XRP is seeing large amounts of tokens leave exchanges, reducing available supply — but price isn’t responding yet. The token is hovering near $1.34 after a modest gain, creating a disconnect between tightening supply and muted price action that typically doesn’t last.

News Background

• XRP edged higher to $1.34 with volume rising 29% above its weekly average
• Around 7.03 billion XRP left exchanges in February, signaling supply compression
• Binance scarcity indicator climbed to 0.59, its highest level since 2024

Price Action Summary

• Price traded in a tight range, repeatedly testing the $1.33-$1.34 zone
• Early breakout attempts failed, with resistance forming just above current levels
• Buyers defended dips near $1.31, establishing a sequence of higher lows
• Late-session action showed steady buying, but no decisive follow-through

Technical Analysis

• The key setup is a mismatch: supply is tightening, but price isn’t expanding
• Large outflows usually reduce sell pressure, yet sellers are still capping rallies
• Elevated volume without price expansion points to positioning rather than conviction
• This kind of compression typically resolves with a sharper directional move

What traders should watch

• $1.34-$1.35 is the immediate trigger — a break opens room toward $1.42
• $1.31-$1.32 remains the key support zone holding structure intact
• If price continues to stall despite shrinking supply, it suggests sellers are still active overhead

SpaceX has reportedly filed confidential IPO papers with the SEC, eyeing a June 2026 listing at over $1.75T and up to $75B raised after its $1.25T xAI merger valuation.

SpaceX, Elon Musk’s rocket and satellite company based in the United States, has quietly filed a draft registration for an initial public offering with the Securities and Exchange Commission, in a move that could value the group at more than $1.75 trillion and bring the world’s biggest-ever listing to market as soon as June 2026.

People familiar with the process told Bloomberg that SpaceX is “targeting a confidential filing for an initial public offering as soon as next month,” a timetable that would keep the long-awaited flotation on track for a mid-year debut. Under U.S. rules, a confidential submission allows large issuers to work through several rounds of SEC comments before publishing an S-1 prospectus, limiting early scrutiny of detailed financials.

Insiders cited say the company has already submitted its IPO registration draft and is expected to go public in June, potentially the first of three so‑called “super IPOs” ahead of OpenAI and Anthropic, with banks including Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley lined up as lead underwriters. The same report suggests SpaceX could raise up to $75 billion in fresh capital, more than double the $29.4 billion Saudi Aramco raised in its 2019 IPO, which White & Case described as “the largest-ever initial public offering” at the time. In crypto markets, SpaceX’s looming deal follows similar large-cap listings that have intersected with digital assets, including Coinbase’s direct listing, and echoes recent coverage highlighting how major corporate treasuries are increasingly willing to hold assets like bitcoin alongside cash and bonds.

The IPO preparation comes just weeks after SpaceX acquired Musk’s artificial intelligence startup xAI in a record-setting all‑stock transaction that Reuters says values SpaceX at $1 trillion and xAI at $250 billion, creating a combined entity worth about $1.25 trillion. In a memo quoted by Reuters, Musk framed the tie‑up in typically expansive terms, writing that the merger “signifies not just a new chapter, but an entirely new book in the journey of SpaceX and xAI: expanding to create a conscious sun that comprehends the Universe and spreads the essence of awareness to the stars!” Coverage in the Financial Times and other outlets has stressed that the deal concentrates even more of Musk’s wealth and operational leverage into SpaceX just as bankers pitch investors on its satellite internet arm Starlink as the engine of long‑term cash flow.

The SpaceX listing adds to a pipeline of equity deals that could influence liquidity conditions across both traditional and digital asset markets, particularly if the company confirms reported bitcoin holdings or clarifies whether any related tokenized equity products will trade alongside the stock. In a previous crypto.news story, markets tracked how large technology listings and bitcoin‑linked balance sheets can amplify risk‑on sentiment across digital assets, while another story examined how Musk‑adjacent ventures have repeatedly acted as catalysts for renewed retail inflows into crypto during major funding milestones. With benchmark tokens like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), traders will be watching whether a SpaceX roadshow in early summer sharpens the bid for risk or drains liquidity into what could be the IPO of the decade.

Asian stocks posted their best day in months and S&P 500 futures jumped after the president said he would address the nation Wednesday night with an “important update” on Iran. Oil pared losses as the UAE reportedly prepares to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz by force.

Bitcoin traded at $67,950 on Tuesday, up 0.2% over 24 hours, as a wave of optimism over a potential end to the Iran conflict lifted risk assets across the board. Ether rose 1.6% to $2,100, its strongest daily move in weeks.

XRP gained 0.5% to $1.34, dogecoin added 0.5% to $0.09, and BNB edged up 0.4% to $616. Solana’s SOL was the notable laggard, dropping 0.7% to $83.14 and extending weekly losses to 8.7%.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index surged 4%, its best session since the war began, with nearly 10 stocks rising for every one that fell. Asian tech jumped 6.5%, led by Samsung and SK Hynix surging more than 9% each. S&P 500 futures climbed, and the index notched its biggest single-day gain since May.

The catalyst was Trump telling reporters he expected the war to end within two to three weeks and that a deal with Iran was not a prerequisite for concluding the conflict. He announced a national address Wednesday at 9 p.m.

Eastern to provide what he called an “important update.” Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian told the EU Council president that Tehran has “the necessary will to end this war” but expects guarantees against future aggression.

Separately, the Wall Street Journal reported that the UAE is preparing to help the U.S. and allies reopen the Strait of Hormuz by force, which would make it the first Gulf state to enter the conflict as a combatant. Brent crude edged back above $105 after Tuesday’s decline.

The crypto market’s reaction was muted relative to equities, a pattern that has held for weeks. Bitcoin has spent the entire war grinding between $65,000 and $73,000 while equities swing violently on each headline. The gap between crypto’s sideways range and the stock market’s correction-level drawdown remains the most notable divergence in the cross-asset picture.

There were reasons for cautious optimism beyond geopolitics. Morgan Stanley received approval for a bitcoin ETF charging just 14 basis points, 11 below the category average. The product opens access to Morgan Stanley’s 16,000 financial advisors managing $6.2 trillion, a channel that has not previously had direct bitcoin ETF exposure.

Alex Blume, CEO of Two Prime, pointed to three catalysts that could drive bitcoin higher in Q2 — the Morgan Stanley ETF, continued success of Strategy’s STRC preferred equity product in funding bitcoin purchases, and a swift resolution to the Iran war.

“A lot of market uncertainty could be resolved soon,” Blume said in an email to CoinDesk. “Coupled with new buying power, a strong Q2 may be ahead.”

Gold advanced for a fourth straight day to near $4,700, though its nearly 12% decline in March was its worst monthly performance since October 2008. The precious metal’s ongoing weakness during an active war continues to break historical precedent.

Whether Trump’s Wednesday address produces an actual off-ramp or just another headline in a month that’s been full of them will determine if this rally holds. As one analyst put it, “I’m not convinced over the longer term. Investors will soon want concrete evidence that the end of the war is in sight.”

The US Department of the Treasury issued a notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM) on Wednesday and is seeking public comment on proposed regulations for state-level stablecoin governance frameworks under the GENIUS Act.

The GENIUS stablecoin regulatory framework, also known as the “Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins Act,” gives states the authority to regulate stablecoins with a market cap of less than $10 billion, as long as the regulations do not deviate significantly from federal policies.

The Treasury outlined several non-negotiable stablecoin regulations that must be in line with Federal regulations, including a 1:1 reserve backing with cash or high-quality cash equivalents and monthly reporting requirements. 

States must also comply fully with federal anti-money laundering and sanctions policies for stablecoins, while upholding bans on token rehypothication, or using the same asset to support multiple claims.

Under the proposal, states are allowed to impose their own liquidity, reserve, risk management, regulatory procedures, enforcement and administrative rules, as long as the rules impose higher financial thresholds or are more restrictive than the federal regulations. 

“State-level regulatory regimes must lead to regulatory outcomes that are at least as stringent and protective as the Federal regulatory framework,” the proposal said.

The public must submit comments within 60 days of the NPRM announcement. Once a stablecoin issuer passes the $10 billion threshold, it will automatically be under the regulatory jurisdiction of the federal government, meaning the largest stablecoin issuers will be regulated exclusively at the federal level.

Related: FSB flags dollar stablecoins as bigger risk for emerging markets in annual report

GENIUS Act becomes law, but uncertainty remains over yield-bearing stablecoins 

US President Donald Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law in July, which was considered a landmark moment for crypto regulations.

Despite the landmark regulations, uncertainty about yield-bearing stablecoins and whether stablecoin issuers can share interest with token holders has stalled the CLARITY crypto market structure bill in Congress.

Some crypto companies, led by Coinbase, argue that yield-bearing stablecoins provide savers with a competitive alternative to traditional savings accounts, which typically have interest rates far below 1%.

The banking lobby continues to oppose yield-bearing stablecoins over fears that the tokens will cause deposit flight and erode the sector’s market share.

Magazine: GENIUS Act reopens the door for a Meta stablecoin, but will it work?