Crypto World
Nevada Sues Kalshi After Appeals Court Greenlights Action
The US state of Nevada has sued Kalshi after the prediction market company lost its court challenge to stop the state’s regulator from taking action over its sports prediction markets.
The US Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit on Tuesday denied Kalshi’s bid to stop Nevada’s gaming regulator from taking action on its sports event contracts, removing a block on the regulator launching a civil suit against the company.
After the decision, the Nevada Gaming Control Board promptly filed a civil enforcement action in state court against Kalshi, which it said sought to block the company “from offering unlicensed wagering in violation of Nevada law.”
Kalshi swiftly filed a motion to have the suit heard in a federal court, repeating its long-held argument that it is “subject to exclusive federal jurisdiction” under the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
The appeals court order and subsequent lawsuit are a blow to Kalshi in its nearly year-long battle against Nevada to keep its sports contracts active in the state. The company and other prediction markets are facing multiple similar lawsuits from other states.
The company sued the state last year in March after receiving a cease-and-desist order to halt all sports-related markets within the state. In April, a federal court backed Kalshi’s bid to temporarily block Nevada from taking action amid court proceedings.

Kalshi did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Nevada says Kalshi is flouting state law
In its latest lawsuit, the Nevada Gaming Control Board repeated its past claim that Kalshi’s sports event contracts meet the requirements to be licensed under state law, as they allow “users to wager on the outcomes of sporting events.”
Despite making wagers, sports betting and other gaming activities accessible in the State of Nevada, Kalshi is not licensed in Nevada and does not comply with Nevada gaming law, the regulator argued.
In its federal court motion, Kalshi argued that such a claim means the court “must adopt a narrow interpretation” of federal commodity exchange laws, which it asserts it is regulated under by the CFTC.
CFTC chair asserts jurisdiction over prediction markets
Earlier on Tuesday, CFTC chair Mike Selig said his agency filed an amicus brief backing Crypto.com in a similar lawsuit the crypto exchange had brought against Nevada.
Crypto.com had sued Nevada’s regulators in June after similarly receiving a cease-and-desist letter. It also appealed to the Ninth Circuit in November after losing a federal court motion to block the state from taking action.
Related: Crypto lobby forms working group seeking prediction market clarity
The CFTC argued in its brief to the Ninth Circuit that “states cannot invade the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction over CFTC-regulated designated contract markets by re-characterizing swaps trading on DCMs as illegal gambling.”
Selig said that event contracts “are commodity derivatives and squarely within the CFTC’s regulatory remit,” and the agency would “defend its exclusive jurisdiction over commodity derivatives.”
The CFTC’s push comes after Trump Media and Technology Group said in October that it was looking to bring prediction markets to its flagship social media platform, Truth Social, via a partnership with Crypto.com.
Donald Trump Jr., the US president’s son, has also been an advisor to Kalshi since January 2025. He has also served as an advisor to rival Polymarket after investing in the company in August.
AI Eye: IronClaw rivals OpenClaw, Olas launches bots for Polymarket
Crypto World
Schwab Preps Spot Bitcoin and Ether Trading
Charles Schwab has confirmed it remains on track to launch direct spot trading for Bitcoin and Ether in the first half of 2026, opening one of the largest pools of investor capital in the world to direct crypto access for the first time.
Summary
- Schwab confirmed a spot Bitcoin and Ether trading launch in H1 2026 through its Charles Schwab Premier Bank unit
- The firm manages nearly $12.2 trillion in client assets across approximately 46 million brokerage accounts and has opened a waitlist for early access
- CEO Rick Wurster first signaled the move in mid-2025 and confirmed a phased Q2 rollout in March 2026 remarks to Barron’s
A Schwab spokesperson confirmed to multiple outlets: “We remain on track to launch our spot crypto offer in the first half of 2026, starting with bitcoin and ether.” The service, branded as “Schwab Crypto,” will be operated through Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB — a regulated banking subsidiary.
Clients will trade Bitcoin and Ether directly within their standard brokerage accounts, without a separate wallet or third-party exchange. Schwab will process orders internally. The rollout will be phased: internal employee testing first, followed by invited clients, before full public availability. Early access is currently limited to U.S. residents, excluding New York and Louisiana.
Yahoo Finance reports that Bitcoin was trading near $66,864 at the time of the announcement, down approximately 47% from its all-time high of $126,080. Ether changed hands near $2,052, roughly 59% below its August 2025 peak.
TradFi Moves In
Schwab has been working toward this moment for several years, citing regulatory uncertainty as the primary obstacle. With the Trump administration rolling back SEC accounting restrictions and the Federal Reserve loosening bank crypto guidelines, the path cleared. Schwab reported a 400% increase in traffic to its crypto site in 2025, with 70% coming from non-clients — a signal of untapped demand the firm is now moving to capture.
The competitive implications for the crypto exchange landscape are significant. Analysts have noted that Schwab’s scale could allow it to undercut competitors on fees, potentially reshaping the retail crypto trading market. Morgan Stanley is also preparing a comparable launch through its E*TRADE platform. Schwab has additionally indicated plans to introduce a stablecoin product following the passage of the GENIUS Act.
Market Relevance
The firm already offers cryptocurrency-linked ETFs, Bitcoin futures contracts, and the Schwab Crypto Thematic Index ETF. Spot trading is the next step in a deliberate, regulated build-out. CEO Wurster said the company is “ready to compete in spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading,” a statement that carries weight given Schwab’s 46 million existing brokerage relationships — a potential distribution advantage that no crypto-native exchange can replicate.
Crypto World
Why Circle Refused to Freeze $285M in Stolen USDC During the Drift Protocol Hack
Key Takeaways
- Cybercriminals extracted $285 million from the Drift protocol, transferring $232 million in USDC between blockchains via Circle’s native CCTP system
- On-chain detective ZachXBT criticized Circle for not acting quickly enough to freeze the stolen stablecoin during the breach
- Circle maintains it only freezes digital assets when mandated by legal authorities or law enforcement agencies
- According to ZachXBT, Circle has declined to freeze approximately $420 million in questionable USDC movements spanning 15 incidents since 2022
- Legal professionals caution that freezing funds without proper legal backing could leave Circle vulnerable to lawsuits
The stablecoin issuer Circle is under intense scrutiny following its response to this week’s $285 million theft from the Drift protocol.
The perpetrators initially drained approximately $71 million in USDC tokens directly from Drift’s platform. Following the conversion of most other stolen digital assets into USDC, the attacker utilized Circle’s Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) to relocate roughly $232 million worth of USDC from the Solana blockchain to Ethereum.
This cross-chain movement significantly complicated recovery efforts. It also placed Circle squarely in the crosshairs of industry criticism.
On-chain investigator ZachXBT emerged as a prominent voice challenging Circle’s response. He contended that Circle possessed the technical capability to blacklist addresses and immobilize funds but failed to deploy these measures swiftly during the ongoing attack.
“Why should crypto businesses continue to build on Circle when a project with nine-figure TVL could not get support during a major incident?” he posted on X.
Circle’s Official Response
Circle issued a firm rebuttal to the accusations. A company representative informed CoinDesk that as a regulated entity, Circle exclusively freezes assets when legally mandated through judicial orders or official law enforcement directives.
“We freeze assets when legally required, consistent with the rule of law and with strong protections for user rights and privacy,” the spokesperson said.
Salman Banei, who serves as general counsel for tokenized asset platform Plume, supported Circle’s stance. He emphasized that freezing cryptocurrency without proper legal authorization could subject issuers to significant legal exposure. He advocated for legislators to establish legal protections enabling issuers to respond more rapidly in unambiguous theft scenarios.
Not everyone in the cryptocurrency sector views this incident through a simple lens. Ben Levit, who heads stablecoin evaluation firm Bluechip, characterized the Drift incident as involving market and oracle manipulation rather than a conventional hack, positioning it within a murky legal territory.
“Any action by Circle becomes a judgment call, not just a compliance decision,” Levit said.
ZachXBT Alleges Systemic Pattern
ZachXBT escalated his critique by releasing data suggesting that Circle has declined to freeze or blacklist approximately $420 million in suspicious USDC transactions spanning 15 distinct incidents dating back to 2022.
Within this collection of cases, he alleges Circle refused to freeze $9 million from the GMX exchange breach in July 2025, and that addresses associated with the $200 million Cetus DEX theft only received blacklist treatment after the stolen funds had already been exchanged out of USDC.
He emphasized that the $420 million estimate encompasses only prominent public incidents and that actual losses likely exceed this figure substantially.
Circle had previously investigated “reversible” USDC functionality in September 2025, a mechanism potentially enabling the rollback of transactions in theft situations. The company has historically frozen USDC holdings, notably funds connected to Tornado Cash wallets sanctioned by US authorities in 2022.
Cybersecurity experts tracking blockchain threats have attributed the Drift exploit to hacking groups affiliated with North Korea’s government.
Crypto World
Schwab’s 46 Million Clients to Gain Direct Bitcoin Access in 2026
Key Highlights
- Direct spot trading for Bitcoin and Ethereum will debut in H1 2026 at Charles Schwab
- Schwab Crypto accounts will operate through Charles Schwab Premier Bank
- Early access waitlist is currently available ahead of the full public launch
- The brokerage oversees $11.9 trillion across approximately 46 million client accounts
- Schwab-backed EDX Markets is pursuing a national bank charter through the OCC
Charles Schwab is set to introduce direct cryptocurrency trading capabilities, enabling clients to purchase and hold Bitcoin and Ethereum through newly created “Schwab Crypto” accounts. The launch timeline targets the first six months of 2026.
On April 3, 2026, the brokerage giant validated these plans to CoinDesk. An early access waitlist has been activated for interested customers.
Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB will handle the service operations. According to CEO Rick Wurster, a select group of clients may receive access during the current quarter, followed by a comprehensive rollout.
Wurster initially revealed the cryptocurrency trading initiative last July. His stated objective was enabling clients to consolidate their crypto holdings with traditional investments like equities and fixed income in a unified view.
The platform currently provides crypto-related investment products, including digital asset ETFs, bitcoin futures contracts, and micro bitcoin futures. Schwab has also introduced the Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF, designed to track companies engaged in the blockchain and digital currency ecosystem.
The forthcoming Schwab Crypto account represents a significant advancement by facilitating direct asset ownership of bitcoin and ether, distinguishing it from indirect exposure through ETFs or derivative instruments.
Traditional Finance Firms Rush Into Digital Assets
Schwab isn’t alone among legacy financial institutions embracing this strategic shift. Morgan Stanley has similarly revealed intentions to provide cryptocurrency trading via its E*TRADE platform, featuring Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana.
These developments signal a widespread movement among established financial organizations to integrate direct crypto access for their customer bases. Schwab’s massive scale provides an immediate advantage with its substantial existing clientele.
As of 2025, the firm managed $11.9 trillion in client assets. With approximately 46 million accounts under management, this represents a potentially enormous audience for cryptocurrency adoption.
EDX Markets Pursues National Banking Status
EDX Markets, a cryptocurrency exchange with Schwab backing, has filed a separate application for a national bank charter through the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.
The platform aims to join Ripple and Coinbase, both recipients of conditional approvals for trust charter requests.
EDX CEO Tony Acuña-Rohter has stated that mainstream crypto growth will be driven by major banking institutions. He views national trust charter status as essential for EDX to effectively partner with these financial entities.
Schwab’s phased implementation strategy begins with internal employee testing, progresses to a limited client pilot program, and culminates in full public availability.
Pricing structures and additional specifications for the Schwab Crypto account remain unannounced. Interested parties can join the waitlist through the company’s website.
Crypto World
Musk Demands Wall Street Buy Grok AI Subscriptions
Elon Musk is requiring banks, law firms, and auditors competing for roles on SpaceX’s upcoming IPO to purchase subscriptions to Grok, his artificial intelligence chatbot — a mandate the New York Times reported Friday that some Wall Street firms have already agreed to, spending tens of millions of dollars annually.
Summary
- Musk has made Grok subscription purchases a condition of participation in SpaceX’s record-breaking IPO, according to the New York Times citing four people with knowledge of the arrangements
- Some banks have agreed to spend tens of millions of dollars per year on Grok and have begun integrating it into their internal IT systems
- The requirement comes as SpaceX targets a $1.75 trillion valuation and a raise of up to $75 billion for a planned June Nasdaq listing
The demand is not a suggestion. Four people familiar with the confidential discussions confirmed to the Times that Musk insisted on it. The leverage is precisely calibrated: access to advisory and underwriting roles on what could be the largest IPO in financial history.
According to Benzinga, the five active bookrunners — Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Morgan Stanley — are the lead banks managing the deal. International institutions including Royal Bank of Canada, Mizuho Financial Group, and Macquarie Group are also participating, focused on share distribution in their respective markets.
Musk separately asked the banks to advertise on X, though people familiar with the matter said he was considerably less insistent on that point.
SpaceX acquired xAI in an all-stock deal in February 2026, folding the Grok chatbot and the X social network into its corporate structure. xAI was valued at $250 billion at the time of the transaction. Grok currently ranks fourth in the AI chatbot market, behind OpenAI’s ChatGPT, Anthropic’s Claude, and Google’s Gemini.
The subscription mandate effectively turns the IPO process into a forced distribution mechanism for xAI’s commercial product. With 21 banks involved across the deal, the financial institutions committing to subscriptions represent a significant and captive customer base that Musk appears to view as a distribution channel as much as a capital-raising partner.
It is not the only unconventional feature of the offering. Bankers involved in the deal are also reportedly considering waiving the traditional 180-day lock-up period that typically prevents insiders from selling shares immediately after listing — an arrangement that has drawn concern from some market observers about potential conflicts of interest.
Context
SpaceX is targeting a June Nasdaq listing at up to $1.75 trillion, with a raise of up to $75 billion. Despite nearly 23 years of operation, the company reported zero net earnings as of early 2026. IPO proceeds are earmarked for orbital data centers, a lunar base, and crewed Mars missions.
The SpaceX brand has historically been exploited in crypto markets through impersonation scams and copycat token launches, but the Grok subscription clause puts the company squarely in the center of a different kind of market conversation. As major institutions have accelerated capital movements across both traditional and digital asset classes, the SpaceX offering is now emerging as a defining test of how Wall Street adapts to Musk’s increasingly integrated financial, AI, and infrastructure empire.
Crypto World
XRP Faces Tug-of-War: $451M Spot Buying Counters Massive Short Positions
Key Takeaways
- Binance spot market shows $451 million in net XRP accumulation while futures traders hold -$1.5 billion in bearish bets
- XRP currently trades near $1.31 after six straight months of red candles dating back to September 2025
- Network usage surged to 4.49 million daily transactions on April 2, with active wallets exceeding 200,000
- A descending wedge formation is tightening, with breakout confirmation requiring a move above $1.47
- March 2026 marked the first month of negative XRP ETF flows since U.S. products debuted in November 2025
XRP finds itself in a fascinating standoff between contrasting market forces. Physical buyers continue accumulating tokens, while derivative traders maintain aggressive bearish positions.

Data from Binance reveals spot Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) has reached $451 million in positive territory. This metric represents actual capital flowing into physical XRP holdings. Conversely, Binance Perpetual CVD registers approximately -$1.5 billion, indicating substantial leverage-based short exposure. When examining the broader exchange landscape, aggregate CVD approaches -$1 billion in bearish positioning.

Market analysts identify this configuration as a classic pre-squeeze environment. As spot market participants continue absorbing sell pressure generated by derivatives positions, the available supply for downward price movement diminishes. Once this supply reaches critical depletion levels, short positions transform from strategic advantages into potential vulnerabilities.
As of April 3, XRP exchanges hands at $1.31, registering a modest 0.33% daily decline. The token has experienced six consecutive negative monthly closings without a single green candle since September 2025.
Technical Formation Nears Critical Decision Point
XRP’s daily chart reveals compression into a descending wedge apex, characterized by converging upper resistance and gradually ascending lower support trendlines. The daily MACD histogram currently reads -0.0222, maintaining bearish territory while showing signs of contraction—suggesting diminishing downward momentum.
Examining the 4-hour timeframe, the signal line has marginally crossed into positive terrain for the first instance since February. While a confirmed bullish MACD crossover remains pending, momentum indicators are displaying directional shifts.
Crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted via X that XRP “could offer a short-term buying opportunity” at current price levels within its broader multi-year ascending triangle pattern. However, he cautioned about a potential 30% correction scenario before any sustained long-term recovery materializes.
A confirmed daily close surpassing $1.47 would validate breakout momentum, establishing initial targets at $1.50 followed by $1.60. Alternatively, a breakdown beneath $1.27 would expose XRP to downside risk toward $1.14. Notably, approximately 19.6 million XRP tokens are concentrated between $1.27 and $1.28, establishing this range as the critical support zone requiring defense.
Blockchain Metrics Reach Unprecedented Levels
On-chain analytics paint a markedly different picture from price performance. The XRP Ledger processed 4.49 million successful transactions on April 2—representing a two-year record. Daily active addresses have rebounded above the 200,000 threshold. The total count of non-empty wallets recently surpassed 7.7 million, establishing a new benchmark in the ledger’s 13-year operational history.
Significant XRP volumes have migrated off exchanges in recent periods, with Binance alone witnessing $11.4 billion in outflows.
March 2026 represented a watershed moment as U.S. spot XRP ETF products recorded their first negative flow period since launching in November 2025. Meanwhile, aggregate open interest across all exchanges currently stands near $2.45 billion, reflecting an approximately 73% contraction from September 2025 peak levels.
Crypto World
Ethereum (ETH) Weathers $1B Selloff as Foundation Nears Staking Milestone
Key Takeaways
- Ethereum Foundation has deposited 69,500 ETH into staking, leaving only 500 ETH to reach its 70,000 milestone
- More than $143 million worth of ETH is currently secured in the Beacon Deposit Contract
- ETH maintains trading activity around $2,050 with critical support established at $2,000 and resistance zones between $2,150–$2,200
- Spot ETH ETFs experienced $42.1 million in net outflows during the past week, including $53.3 million from BlackRock
- Korean retail investors are accumulating, evidenced by a positive Korea Premium Index reading
In a series of Friday transactions, the Ethereum Foundation (EF) deposited more than 45,000 ETH into staking contracts, with each transaction containing exactly 2,047 ETH. This substantial move elevated the foundation’s cumulative staked position to approximately 69,500 ETH — leaving just under 500 ETH remaining to achieve its publicly announced 70,000 ETH objective.

According to blockchain analytics platform Arkham Intelligence, Friday’s staking operations represented over $92.2 million in value. The foundation’s total holdings within the Ethereum Beacon Deposit Contract now exceed $143 million.
This staking initiative launched in February 2025, following a treasury management strategy the foundation outlined in June 2025. The strategic shift aims to generate staking rewards that will finance protocol development, research initiatives, and ecosystem grant programs, eliminating the need to liquidate ETH holdings for operational expenses.

The foundation’s staking timeline began with 2,016 ETH deposited in February, expanded to 22,517 ETH throughout March, and culminated with Friday’s substantial allocation.
However, co-founder Vitalik Buterin has expressed reservations about this methodology. In January 2025, he highlighted that by staking its treasury, the foundation would effectively be compelled to align with one faction during any disputed protocol upgrades or hard forks. Foundation representatives acknowledge this concern and are actively exploring mitigation strategies.
Price Action Maintains $2,000 Floor Amid Mounting Sell Orders
ETH currently trades in the vicinity of $2,050. The psychological $2,000 threshold has proven resilient as a support floor, withstanding numerous tests over recent weeks as buyers continue defending this critical level.
Derivatives market data reveals Ethereum’s net taker volume has shifted sharply negative, indicating a wave of aggressive market sell orders. This recent spike represents one of the most pronounced sell-side imbalances observed in weeks, occurring alongside approximately $1 billion in collective sell pressure throughout major exchanges.
Technical indicators show price action remains suppressed beneath the Ichimoku cloud formation, which currently functions as dynamic overhead resistance. The Relative Strength Index hovers near neutral territory, reflecting market indecision without clear directional dominance from either buying or selling forces.
ETF Capital Flight and Geographic Buying Patterns
Market analyst Ted Pillows reported on X that Ethereum spot ETF products recorded $42.1 million in net outflows throughout the week, with BlackRock’s offering accounting for $53.3 million in redemptions alone.
Conversely, South Korean retail market participants appear to be accumulating during price weakness. The Korea Premium Index has shifted into positive territory at approximately 0.6, signaling that Korean exchange users are willing to pay premiums above international market rates for ETH access.
Global spot market flows remain dominated by outflows, with only sporadic inflow periods that haven’t materially altered the prevailing negative trend.
Critical resistance levels for ETH lie at $2,150 and $2,200. A decisive break above $2,200 with sustained volume could pave the way toward $2,300 and potentially $2,400. Conversely, failure to maintain support above $2,000 would likely target $1,900 and $1,800 as subsequent downside objectives.
Crypto World
Over 20 Crypto Projects Are Shutting Down in the First Half of 2026
More than 20 crypto projects have shut down in the first quarter of 2026, signaling a fresh wave of consolidation as market conditions tighten.
The closures span wallets, exchanges, NFT platforms, and DeFi tools, pointing to a broader shakeout across the industry.
Several high-profile names stand out. Magic Eden shut down its wallet and scaled back multi-chain operations to refocus on Solana.
Meanwhile, Leap Wallet confirmed a full shutdown by late May, marking a complete exit rather than a pivot.
Derivatives exchange Bit.com has also wound down operations, alongside DeFi aggregator Slingshot and Web3 messaging platform Dmail.
Earlier in the quarter, NFT marketplace Nifty Gateway and analytics tool Parsec also ceased operations.
These closures reflect a pattern: many of the affected projects were launched during the 2021–2022 and early 2025 bull cycle, when capital was abundant and user growth came easily.
However, the current environment is less forgiving. Trading volumes have cooled, funding has tightened, and user activity has consolidated around a smaller number of dominant platforms.
As a result, products without clear revenue models or strong user retention have struggled to survive.
This trend suggests the market is moving into a more mature phase. Instead of rapid expansion, the focus is shifting toward sustainability, profitability, and real usage.
For now, smaller and mid-tier projects remain the most exposed as the industry resets.
The post Over 20 Crypto Projects Are Shutting Down in the First Half of 2026 appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: Experts Split on Whether Bottom Is In or More Pain Ahead
Key Takeaways
- BTC currently trades around $66,800, confined within a $60,000–$70,000 corridor for several weeks
- Trader Michael van de Poppe suggests extended consolidation typically precedes significant price movements
- Wednesday witnessed $173.73 million exiting spot Bitcoin ETFs
- Presidential remarks regarding international conflicts reduced appetite for risk assets marketwide
- Several market observers believe Bitcoin hasn’t reached its cyclical low, with projections dipping under $50,000
Bitcoin currently sits near $66,800, reflecting an approximately 8% decline across the last month. The flagship digital asset has remained trapped between $60,000 and $74,000 following its annual bottom of $60,000 recorded on February 6.

Michael van de Poppe, who founded MN Trading Capital, shared his perspective on the current price behavior through a Friday post on X. “Bitcoin remains stagnant in this area, which means that there’s literally no direction,” he observed. He continued: “The longer it lasts, the heavier the breakout will be.” Van de Poppe is monitoring a potential climb above $71,000, a threshold BTC last touched on March 26.
Market observer Ted shared via X that the $60,000 level “wasn’t the bottom.” He anticipates a conclusive capitulation event before Bitcoin establishes a firm foundation. Ted highlighted that BTC faced resistance at the $69,000–$70,000 area, which had previously served as a support zone. He cautioned that breaking below the $65,000–$66,000 bracket would probably trigger a fresh decline.
Institutional Withdrawals Mount Pressure
Institutional appetite has shown inconsistency. Spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced $173.73 million in withdrawals on Wednesday, ending a two-day streak of inflows. This reflects caution among institutional participants who are stepping back from volatile assets.
Glassnode’s weekly analysis observed that BTC continues in a “redistribution phase.” The amount of supply held at a loss stays elevated while long-term holder selling hasn’t completely subsided. The analysis determined that the market is “no longer in outright stress but is still searching for stronger conviction.”
Trader Jordan forecasted in an X message that Bitcoin might surge to $80,000, referencing an upward trend that began in February. He observed BTC has maintained support in the lower $60,000s during each retest of that zone. Jordan suggested that holding there could propel prices toward the $80,000–$84,000 CME gap region.
Market Watchers Disagree on Cycle Bottom
Cryptocurrency analyst Doctor Profit indicated he sees a medium-high likelihood that BTC touches the $79,000–$84,000 area. Nevertheless, he revealed plans to establish short positions at those levels, targeting zones beneath $50,000. He also expressed conviction that Bitcoin’s price hasn’t found its floor yet.
Analyst CrypFlow referenced the 2-month stochastic RSI as a critical indicator. He noted that a bullish crossover below 20 has signaled optimal entry points in 2015, 2019, and 2023. That formation hasn’t materialized yet, implying additional downside may be forthcoming.
Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo stated on March 30 there exists a “very good chance” of a more severe bear market stemming from deteriorating global macroeconomic conditions. Seasoned trader Peter Brandt informed Cointelegraph he doesn’t anticipate Bitcoin achieving a new all-time peak until the second quarter of 2027.
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index registered at 11 on Saturday, firmly within “Extreme Fear” range.
From a technical standpoint, BTC trades close to the lower edge of a parallel channel around $65,900. The RSI hovers in the low 40s while the MACD stays beneath its signal line, indicating persistent selling momentum. A decisive close above $72,600 would mark the initial indication of a bullish reversal.
Crypto World
ZachXBT claims Circle failed to halt $420M in USDC
Circle faced fresh scrutiny after onchain investigator ZachXBT alleged that the USDC issuer failed to freeze or blacklist about $420 million in illicit fund flows since 2022.
Summary
- ZachXBT said Circle failed to freeze illicit USDC across 15 hack and fraud cases since 2022.
- The claims included GMX, Cetus, and Drift, where Circle allegedly had time to block funds.
- The accusations renewed debate over stablecoin issuers, compliance duties, and delayed responses to onchain crime.
The claims centered on 15 hack and fraud cases in which Circle allegedly had time to act but did not move fast enough, according to ZachXBT’s public thread and follow-up reporting.
ZachXBT said Circle took “minimal” action or failed to act in 15 separate cases tied to stolen or illicit USDC flows. He argued that the delays stretched across three years and involved law enforcement requests, private sector requests, and cases that were visible onchain.
He pointed to several examples. ZachXBT said Circle did not freeze about $9 million in USDC linked to the GMX hack in July 2025. He also said Circle blacklisted wallets tied to the Cetus hack only after the stolen USDC had already been converted into Ether.
In a recent Drift Protocol case, he said attackers moved about $232 million during a six-hour window through more than 100 transactions before the funds were converted. Cointelegraph said Circle did not provide an immediate response before publication.
The allegations renewed debate over how much responsibility a centralized stablecoin issuer should carry during hacks and fraud cases. Circle has the technical ability to freeze USDC and blacklist wallet addresses, which made the timing of any response a central issue in the discussion around ZachXBT’s claims.
ZachXBT tried to separate the criticism from a broader attack on Circle. He wrote,
“Circle builds good products, and I hold USDC myself. This isn’t a post about hoping they collapse.”
He added that “nine figures were lost from the ecosystem because of repeated inaction” and said the $420 million figure covered only major public cases.
Circle’s past actions stay in focus
The renewed criticism also drew attention to Circle’s earlier comments on transaction controls. In September 2025, Circle President Heath Tarbert said the company was exploring “reversible” USDC transactions that could be rolled back or amended in cases of hacks, theft, or fraud. That idea suggested Circle was already studying stronger user protections for some payment flows.
Circle has acted in other enforcement cases before. In August 2022, the US Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control sanctioned Tornado Cash, saying the mixer had been used to launder more than $7 billion in virtual currency since 2019. After those sanctions, Circle froze USDC tied to sanctioned Tornado Cash addresses, showing that the company has used blacklist controls when compliance action required it.
Crypto World
Judge continues Nevada ban on Kalshi sports markets
A state judge in Nevada extended a temporary ban on prediction market provider Kalshi’s sports-related contracts in the Silver State on Friday.
Judge Jason Woodbury in the First Judicial District Court told attorneys at a hearing in the Carson City courthouse that he would also grant the Nevada Gaming Control Board’s request to impose a preliminary injunction against Kalshi banning it from offering some of its prediction markets until a broader court case from the state gaming regulator could be resolved. He extended the temporary restraining order he first granted on March 20 by two weeks to sort out the language of the injunction, Reuters reported Friday.
The judge’s original temporary restraining order blocked Kalshi from offering sports, entertainment and election-related bets.
The judge said buying a contract on a baseball game on Kalshi was “indistinguishable” from placing a bet on a state gaming platform, Reuters reported.
“So I find based on the arguments that have been presented that it is a gaming activity that is prohibited for any non-licensee to engage in,” he said.
Spokespeople for Kalshi and the Nevada Gaming Control Board did not return requests for comments.
State regulators have moved to block prediction market providers in much of the U.S., arguing that these companies’ sports-related products appear to be gambling products that should be regulated at the state level. Kalshi and other prediction market providers argue that they are federally regulated designated contract markets offering swaps, a type of derivative product, and therefore are not subject to state regulators.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission, helmed by Chairman Mike Selig, has taken a stance agreeing with these companies. It filed an amicus brief in an appeals court case earlier this year, and sued Arizona, Illinois and Connecticut on Thursday alongside the Department of Justice, arguing that it is the proper regulator and alleging that the states are infringing on its role.
The hearing took place the same day as another hearing at a federal court in Arizona. In that hearing, Kalshi had filed to block state regulators from filing to block the prediction market provider’s products in the state. Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes had previously filed an information alleging criminal charges against Kalshi.
According to the court docket, District Judge MIchael Liburdi heard arguments and is considering the motion.
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