Crypto World
Onchain Gambling Defies Crypto Pullback With $14B Quarter: TRM Labs
Prediction markets overtook onchain gambling for the first time in the opening quarter of 2026, recording $36.6 billion in volume compared with gambling’s $14 billion, according to TRM Labs.
In a Wednesday report, the blockchain intelligence company said the shift followed a rapid expansion in both sectors. Onchain gambling reached $51 billion in 2025, while prediction markets climbed to $54 billion, putting the two categories at comparable scale heading into 2026.
Still, onchain gambling remained near record levels. Quarterly gambling volume reached an all-time high of $15 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025, then held at $14 billion in Q1 2026.
Neither onchain gambling nor prediction markets retreated along with the broader crypto markets. Volumes remained elevated through the 2025-2026 market correction.

Annual onchain wagering volume. Source: TRM Labs
A TRM Labs spokesperson told Cointelegraph that gambling volumes have surged during the recent market pullback because of the “sticky and expanding activity of a loyal user base.”
“This does not mean anything about concentration risk in itself, since there is quite a large gambling user base,” the spokesperson said. “It shows how a consistent user activity can insulate an industry from a market pullback and in fact drive growth.”
Gambling and prediction markets face different risks
TRM said gambling platforms and prediction markets are increasingly converging on shared stablecoin infrastructure, but their financial crime risks remain distinct.
Prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi operate as peer-to-peer markets for binary outcomes, while gambling platforms such as Stake, WINk and Rollbit operate more like traditional casinos, with the platform setting odds and maintaining a house edge.
Related: Chainalysis, South Korean police link up to fight crypto crime
TRM said prediction markets have attracted scrutiny over insider trading, while gambling platforms are more exposed to money laundering risks.
“Gambling services and prediction markets carry distinct inherent financial crime risks, and firms should calibrate controls accordingly,” a TRM Labs spokesperson told Cointelegraph.
Casual bettors drive growth alongside whales
TRM said more than 2 million personal wallets interacted with gambling platforms between January 2022 and March 2026.
The firm divided those users into five behavioral groups. “Dabblers” made five or fewer transactions and disappeared within a month, while “Casual Bettors” averaged 18 transactions across eight active days. “Event Chasers” returned around major sporting events, while “Daily Grinders” gambled on at least 30% of the days in their active tenure. “High Rollers,” the highest-value cohort, averaged $13,558 per bet and $378,000 in lifetime gambling volume.
The firm found that volume remains heavily concentrated among high-value users, with High Rollers representing 6.3% of personal gambling wallets but driving 91.8% of personal wallet gambling volume since 2022.
Despite this, TRM said the fastest-growing user categories are not only high-stakes bettors. Casual Bettors’ monthly volume rose from $17 million in January 2022 to $188 million by March 2026, while Daily Grinders’ volume increased 12x over the same period.
Magazine: Vietnam preps crypto pilot, HK pushes tokenization: Asia Express
Crypto World
Best Ever AI Model Claude Fable 5 Predicts XRP Price By The End of 2026
Claude AI Fable 5 just dropped its XRP price prediction, with Anthropic AI’s latest model predicting a reclaim of $4.50 by the end of 2026.
Billed as the best AI model ever released, Fable 5 was held back over safety concerns before going public, and its first big crypto call lands on a coin sitting at $1.10 right now, which makes this a clean 4x target from current levels.
The core thesis is about where XRP sits on the chart. At $1.10 it has flushed into the deepest demand zone on the entire chart, the exact level where buyers stepped in aggressively during every dip since late 2024.

The read is that capitulation at major support is historically where the best year-end setups are born, not where they die. This is the maximum fear zone, and the structural story behind XRP has not changed one bit while price bled out.
The bull case is built on rails that are already live. Spot XRP ETFs are trading on U.S. exchanges, Ripple ODL corridors keep expanding across Asia and the Middle East, and the regulatory clarity XRP fought years for is now fully priced in as a foundation rather than a ceiling.
When BTC reclaims $100,000 and the altcoin rotation finally fires, XRP has the institutional rails to run harder than any prior cycle.
Reclaiming its all-time high at $3.84 and pushing to $4.50 by December is a 4x from here, and squarely in line with what XRP did from similar capitulation lows back in 2024.
The bear case has real teeth. If ETF outflows persist, escrow releases keep adding fresh supply, and BTC dominance refuses to break, losing $1.00 turns psychological support into a trapdoor.
That is the path where $0.75 becomes the realistic floor, the zone where the 2024 breakout originally launched from. So the whole trade hinges on one line. Hold $1.00 and the 4x setup stays alive, lose it and the floor drops out fast.
XRP Price Prediction: When Capitulation At Support Writes The Year-End Story
XRP Price is on the daily and price sits at $1.10 after a long bleed from the $3.65 top set last July.
The structure is a relentless downtrend, a steady run of lower highs and lower lows that just carved a fresh local low right at $1.10.
Pattern wise this is a descending staircase that has now flushed into the major demand zone that held every dip since late 2024.
Key support sits at $1.10, with the next floor near $1.00 and deeper demand around $0.75. Resistance stacks at $1.40, then $1.80, and the heavier zone at $2.40.
RSI is reading 28.51 with its signal line at 31.40. So momentum is deeply oversold and sitting just below its average.
That gap of about 3 points shows sellers still have a grip, but this far into oversold is exactly where violent bounces tend to fire off.
When RSI curls back above that 31.40 signal, it gives the first hint the bleed is slowing. Tie it together and the chart is hammered right into the capitulation zone the thesis is built on.
Reclaim $1.40 first, then $1.80, and the path back toward the old high and that $4.50 target starts to open up, but only once BTC lights the fuse.
Here is Why Gemini AI Predicts For LiquidChain is Bullish
Waiting at resistance is not a strategy. It is a queue.
Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP are all stuck under the same ceilings they have been testing for weeks. The macro catalyst is always one print away. The institutional wave is always next quarter. The upside is visible, capped, and depends entirely on decisions made by people who are not you.
Early stage infrastructure does not work that way. Capital that would not register as noise at Bitcoin’s market cap can move a small project dramatically. The gap between what something is actually worth and what the market has priced it at is where real returns come from. That gap exists only while the project is still unknown. Once it gets found, it closes permanently.
Cross-chain fragmentation has been bleeding DeFi since the first bridge launched. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana were built as separate systems that were never meant to talk to each other. Every transaction crossing those boundaries pays for that in fees, slippage, and failed execution. Bridges did not fix the problem. They became the toll booth.
LiquidChain removes the toll booth. All 3 networks inside one execution layer. Deploy once. Reach everywhere. No cross-chain tax.
Claude AI flagged it as worth watching. The presale is at $0.01454 with just over $820,000 raised.
Execution is unproven. Adoption is unknown. Established assets offer a smoother ride toward a ceiling that is already priced in. LiquidChain is an earlier entry into a problem that has not been solved yet.
Explore the LiquidChain Presale
The post Best Ever AI Model Claude Fable 5 Predicts XRP Price By The End of 2026 appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Is Bitcoin (BTC) Cheap Now? Grayscale Flags Major Buying Opportunity
Bitcoin’s (BTC) drop to a new cycle low briefly below $60,000 has raised fresh questions across the market about whether the asset has become cheap again.
According to Grayscale Research, the asset currently appears undervalued based on multiple on-chain metrics. Still, the report said current conditions are not as extreme as past bear market bottoms, especially the period after FTX failed and triggered heavy selling pressure across crypto markets.
Two Key Catalysts
Bitcoin’s current price remains well below its long-term average, as highlighted by Grayscale’s composite onchain valuation indicator, built from a weighted average of three separate measures. However, the firm said that the current bear market may end up being shallower than past cycles because the preceding bull market was also more “muted.”
Grayscale said the crypto market is now stronger than in previous cycles because of wider access to exchange-traded products, increased deployment of crypto on wealth management platforms, and increasing institutional participation. The firm believes these factors could make the current downturn less severe than earlier bear markets.
Looking ahead, the firm said investors should closely watch two major short-term catalysts. The first is progress surrounding the CLARITY Act in the US Senate, while the second is whether leveraged Bitcoin holders can stabilize their balance sheets in the near term. While Grayscale said it remains optimistic about the CLARITY Act, prediction markets currently suggest the outcome remains uncertain.
Despite the uncertainty around whether Bitcoin has already found its bottom, the firm believes current price levels present a buying opportunity for investors with long-term horizons, particularly through dollar-cost averaging strategies. However, Grayscale added that more tactical traders may prefer to wait for greater clarity around the legislation before making moves.
Capitulation Risk Remains
Separately, Fidelity Digital Assets said Bitcoin has remained in a “death cross” for more than 200 days, while the price briefly slipped below its 200-week moving average over the weekend. The firm noted that similar breaks in the past have often coincided with forced selling events, including during the 2022 collapse.
Meanwhile, analytics firm Swissblock said that Bitcoin’s Risk Index and spot BTC ETF net flows are showing some of the clearest signals of whether the market is stabilizing. It explained that the Risk Index usually starts declining once selling pressure begins easing and ETF accumulation gradually returns, which indicates that the market may be absorbing fresh sell-offs.
However, Swissblock warned that the crypto asset remains under structural pressure as long as the Risk Index stays within what it describes as “Capitulation Risk.”
The post Is Bitcoin (BTC) Cheap Now? Grayscale Flags Major Buying Opportunity appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
SEC Trading Division Director Lays Out Tokenized Securities Framework and Joint CFTC Harmonization Push

The head of the SEC's Division of Trading and Markets laid out two structural priorities on Wednesday: building a regulatory framework to list and trade tokenized securities on existing market infrastructure, and harmonizing SEC rules with those of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Jamie… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
UK Advocates Say Banks Restrict Legal Crypto Access
TLDR
- Stand With Crypto UK launched a campaign against bank transfer restrictions to crypto exchanges.
- The group urged its 286,000 UK advocates to file complaints with their banks.
- It cited a report showing 40% of attempted transfers face delays or blocks.
- The report said 80% of exchanges reported increased customer friction over the past year.
- One exchange recorded nearly £1 billion ($1.3 billion) in cancelled transactions due to bank rejections.
A UK crypto advocacy group has launched a public campaign against bank limits on exchange transfers. Stand With Crypto UK urged supporters to challenge what it calls blanket restrictions. The group said banks are blocking legal access to regulated crypto platforms and slowing adoption.
UK Campaign Targets Bank Transfer Blocks
Stand With Crypto UK asked its 286,000 registered advocates to file formal complaints with their banks. The group said banks restrict transfers to exchanges registered with the Financial Conduct Authority. It argued that these policies prevent customers from accessing a legal asset class.
The campaign cited the UK Cryptoassets Business Council’s “Locked Out” report released earlier this year. The report found that 40% of attempted transfers are delayed or outright blocked. It also stated that 80% of exchanges reported rising customer friction during the past year.
One exchange reported nearly £1 billion ($1.3 billion) in cancelled transactions over one year. The report attributed those cancellations to bank rejections. Stand With Crypto UK said such restrictions undermine the government’s digital asset goals.
Adriana Ennab, director of Stand With Crypto UK, criticised the current banking approach. She said, “People across the UK are being blocked from accessing a legal asset class.” She added that banks impose one-size-fits-all policies instead of assessing customers individually.
Katie Harries, Coinbase’s head of policy for Europe, also addressed the issue.
She said, “The banks are choking off the crucial on-ramp from fiat money into crypto.”
Harries linked the restrictions to barriers that limit access to digital assets.
Regulators Outline Gradual Integration Steps
The campaign unfolded as UK authorities advanced measured steps toward crypto integration. The House of Lords Financial Services Regulations Committee recently issued a warning. It said the UK risks falling behind the United States and the European Union on stablecoin regulation.
At the same time, the Financial Conduct Authority proposed new rules for investment funds. The FCA suggested allowing funds to allocate up to 10% of assets to crypto exchange-traded notes. Regulators framed the proposal as part of a broader review of market access.
Earlier this year, retail investors regained tax-advantaged exposure to crypto exchange-traded notes. The government allowed access through the Innovative Finance ISA framework. This move reopened a channel for regulated crypto investment products.
Despite these measures, access to banking services remains disputed. Crypto advocates said restrictions limit entry from fiat into digital assets. Stand With Crypto UK said its complaint drive aims to address those barriers.
The group stated that it seeks direct engagement with financial institutions. It encouraged supporters to request clear explanations for blocked transfers. The campaign continues as regulators review crypto policy and market access rules.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Near Realized Price as ETF Demand Turns Negative
TLDR
- CryptoQuant identifies $53,600 as Bitcoin’s realized price and a potential bottom zone.
- Bitcoin traded near $62,150 after falling to around $59,000 last week.
- Total Bitcoin demand dropped by 652,000 BTC, the largest weekly contraction since January 2022.
- One-year apparent demand growth turned negative and fell below its moving average.
- Thirty-day ETF demand growth declined to negative 74,000 BTC since January 2024 launch.
Bitcoin could approach $53,600 as a potential floor while demand metrics remain weak, CryptoQuant reported on Wednesday. The firm said this level matches the current realized price, which tracks the aggregate onchain cost basis. However, research head Julio Moreno stated that demand conditions remain “deeply unfavorable” and no durable recovery has formed.
Bitcoin Realized Price Signals Possible Bottom Zone
CryptoQuant identified $53,600 as Bitcoin’s realized price and a possible bottom area. Moreno said Bitcoin historically bottoms near or slightly below this metric in bear cycles. He told The Block, “Historically, it’s a level that would confirm a bottom.”
However, Moreno added that price may not necessarily hit that level. He said demand weakness keeps that possibility open for now. Bitcoin fell to about $59,000 last week, placing it 9% above $53,600.
After the drop, Bitcoin rebounded and traded near $62,150. In November 2022, Bitcoin briefly fell below its realized price during the FTX selloff. It later recovered, reinforcing that level as a key valuation reference.
Demand Metrics Show Persistent Weakness
CryptoQuant reported a 652,000 Bitcoin contraction in total demand last week. The firm combines speculative futures activity and apparent spot demand in that measure. Moreno wrote that both segments weakened as Bitcoin dropped below $60,000.
Long liquidations increased and spot selling accelerated during that period. Meanwhile, one-year apparent demand growth turned negative and declined below its moving average. Moreno said this marked the fastest pace of decline since February 2024.
He wrote that fewer buyers exist today compared with a year ago. He added that this trend “removes the demand foundation required to sustain any price recovery.” The report also pointed to slowing institutional demand through spot exchange-traded funds.
Thirty-day ETF demand growth fell to negative 74,000 Bitcoin. CryptoQuant said this marked the weakest reading since U.S. spot ETFs launched in January 2024. Moreno wrote that ETFs now contribute to net supply expansion as investors reduce exposure.
At the same time, realized losses have not reached capitulation levels. Bitcoin holders realized 187,000 Bitcoin in losses over the past 30 days. That compares with 400,000 Bitcoin during the February 2026 drop below $60,000.
During the November 2022 market bottom, realized losses reached 1.2 million Bitcoin. Moreno said, “The absence of a capitulation-level spike in realized losses indicates that a large cohort of holders is still above water at $59,000.” He added that heavy selling and seller exhaustion usually precede major bottoms.
Moreno concluded that the current price should serve as a valuation floor candidate. He said a bull market requires a constructive demand recovery. He stated that such a recovery does not yet appear in the data.
Crypto World
Tether Expands AI push with Lead Role in NEURA Robotics Raise
Tether is leading a funding round of as much as $1.4 billion for German tech company NEURA Robotics, deepening the stablecoin issuer’s push into artificial intelligence and robotics.
The round, which values NEURA at roughly $7 billion, is expected to include a mix of strategic and financial investors. Tether said it is leading the raise through its investment arm, which deploys capital from the company’s profits and excess reserves across sectors including AI, energy and digital infrastructure.
NEURA said it expects to integrate Tether’s Wallet Development Kit into its robotic systems, enabling machines to receive payments and execute transactions within predefined parameters. The companies also plan to deploy Tether’s QVAC AI runtime, which is designed to run models directly on devices rather than through cloud-based infrastructure.
Tweet from Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether. Source: Tether on X.com
Founded in 2019 and headquartered in Metzingen, Germany, NEURA Robotics develops humanoid robots, robotic arms, autonomous mobile robots and other AI-powered systems for industrial and commercial applications. It is building an ecosystem called Neuraverse, a software platform intended to connect robots, AI models, data and services.
The investment follows reports from November 2025 that Tether was considering a 1 billion euro ($1.15 billion) investment in the company. The Financial Times reported at the time that the deal could value the tech maker at between $9.3 billion and $11.6 billion, though neither company confirmed the discussions.
Today’s announcement did not disclose how much money Tether is contributing to the current funding round.
Related: Tether, Georgia plan lari-backed stablecoin GELT under new rules
Tether expands AI and payments push
The NEURA investment is part of Tether’s broader push beyond stablecoins into artificial intelligence, payments and emerging technologies. The company reported $1.04 billion in net profit during the first quarter of 2026 and said its excess reserves reached a record $8.23 billion, providing additional capital for investments outside its core USDT (USDT) business.

Source: DefiLlama
In recent months, Tether has accelerated its push into AI through its QVAC platform. In March, the company introduced a training framework that enables AI models to be trained and run on consumer hardware, including smartphones and non-Nvidia chips. Two months later, it unveiled QVAC MedPsy, a family of medical AI models designed to run directly on smartphones and other devices rather than through cloud-based infrastructure.
The company has also sought to expand the ecosystem around its technology stack. In May, Tether launched a grants program to fund developers building local-first AI and payment applications using its open-source tools, including QVAC and its Wallet Development Kit.
In a January 2025 interview, CEO Paolo Ardoino said AI-powered humanoid robots could become commonplace within the next decade as advances in computing and automation reshape the workforce.
Tether issues the $187 billion USDT stablecoin, which controls roughly 59% of the global stablecoin market, giving it one of the largest balance sheets in the digital asset industry.
Magazine: Kraken’s $600M stablecoin firm, Huione scandal deepens: Asia Express
Crypto World
President Trump Loves Inflation, and Bitcoin Could Feel the Impact
US President Donald Trump told reporters he “loves” inflation on Wednesday after government data showed consumer prices rising at the fastest annual pace in three years. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed 4.2% from a year earlier.
The reading lands one week before the Federal Reserve’s June policy meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Traders now lean toward rate hikes rather than cuts, which could pressure risk assets like Bitcoin (BTC).
Energy Prices Push US Inflation to a 3-Year High
Inflation rose 0.5% in May after a 0.6% jump in April, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. Energy drove most of the increase, climbing 3.9% after a 3.8% rise the prior month.
Gasoline now averages $4.15 per gallon, according to AAA. That compares with an average of $2.98 when the US and Israel first struck Iran on February 28. Meanwhile, real wages fell 0.1% in May, marking a second straight month of declines.
When asked about the latest inflation numbers, Trump embraced them.
“The numbers were great…I love the inflation,” he said.
Trump went on to acknowledge a covert effort to route millions of barrels of oil through the Strait of Hormuz. The president predicted oil would “come down like a rock” once the war ends. He previously insisted that blocking Iran’s path to a nuclear weapon is the “only thing” he considers.
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Bitcoin Faces Pressure as Rate Hike Odds Climb
Persistent inflation complicates Trump’s repeated calls for lower borrowing costs. CME FedWatch shows a 98.4% chance the Fed holds at 3.5%–3.75% next week. However, markets now price more than 70% odds of a rate hike by the end of 2026.
That shift matters for Bitcoin. Higher rates typically strengthen the dollar and Treasury yields, drawing capital away from non-yielding assets.
BTC trades near $62,000, down almost 24% over the past 30 days, according to BeInCrypto Markets. The token now sits roughly 51% below its all-time high of over $126,000. A 1% bounce over the past day has done little to repair the broader downtrend.
Warsh inherits a Fed facing accelerating prices and softening real incomes. If next week’s meeting signals tightening ahead, Bitcoin’s macro headwinds could strengthen into the summer.
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The post President Trump Loves Inflation, and Bitcoin Could Feel the Impact appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Botanix Shuts Down Bitcoin L2 Spiderchain After Four Years

Botanix Labs is winding down its Spiderchain Bitcoin Layer 2, giving users until July 9 to withdraw all assets before the network goes dark. The Polychain-backed project cited insufficient demand for Bitcoin-native DeFi as the reason it could not sustain itself economically. In a post on X Tuesday,… Read the full story at The Defiant
Crypto World
Curve changes DeFi lending model with Llamalend v2 upgrade
Curve Finance has launched Llamalend v2 on Optimism with support for isolated lending markets and non-crvUSD borrowing pairs, opening the first phase of a lending system upgrade ahead of a planned Ethereum mainnet rollout later this year.
Summary
- Curve has launched Llamalend v2 on Optimism, expanding lending beyond crvUSD-only borrowing markets.
- Users can now use Curve LP tokens as collateral while maintaining exposure to liquidity pool rewards.
- The rollout starts with three isolated markets and a 250,000 OP incentive program ahead of an Ethereum mainnet launch.
According to Curve Finance, the new version removes a key limitation from Llamalend v1, which was built around crvUSD as the borrowed asset. Markets can now be created using supported assets on both sides of a lending pair, subject to governance approval, allowing collateral and borrowed assets to be selected without requiring crvUSD.
The deployment begins on Optimism, where Curve said users will initially be able to access three isolated markets: ETH against wstETH, wstETH against USDC, and WBTC against USDC.
All three markets will launch with borrow caps set at zero, meaning users can lend assets but cannot borrow until governance approves debt limits through a DAO vote expected to take about seven days.
LP tokens can now support borrowing activity
Alongside the expansion beyond crvUSD markets, Curve has introduced support for LP tokens as collateral. According to the protocol, liquidity providers can deposit Curve LP tokens, continue earning trading fees from liquidity pools, and borrow against those positions simultaneously.
The update ties lending activity more closely to Curve’s exchange infrastructure. Curve said the framework could also support other productive collateral types in the future, including yield-bearing vault assets and principal tokens used in fixed-yield strategies.
Llamalend v2 retains the liquidation model introduced with the original protocol in early 2024. Rather than liquidating a position at a single price point, the system uses a liquidation range that gradually converts collateral into the borrowed asset as prices move through predefined levels.
Curve previously said the design was created to reduce concentrated liquidation pressure during periods of market stress and give borrowers more time to manage positions.
Risk controls remain separated on a market-by-market basis. According to Curve, each lending market carries its own collateral asset, borrowed asset, oracle configuration, borrowing limits, and risk parameters. Borrow caps start at zero and must receive governance approval before debt can accumulate.
LlamaRisk reviews markets before borrowing begins
For the initial rollout, Curve said LlamaRisk will review proposed collateral assets and oversee market assessments before markets move through governance. The protocol noted that isolated markets reduce the possibility of risks spreading between unrelated lending pairs.
Support for the launch includes a 250,000 OP token grant from the Optimism Foundation, according to Curve’s announcement. The incentives are expected to be distributed over roughly two months to encourage liquidity and participation.
Curve’s technical documentation also states that an initial incentives campaign will distribute 100,000 OP tokens through Merkl across the first markets.
Before enabling borrowing, Curve said it chose to deploy on Optimism to observe contract behavior, integrations, and user activity in a lower-risk environment. A launch on the Ethereum Mainnet is expected during the second half of the year.
The rollout follows other recent lending-related initiatives from Curve. As previously reported by crypto.news, the protocol introduced a bad-debt recovery framework for LlamaLend markets that converts distressed lending positions into tradable on-chain claims.
Curve founder Michael Egorov described that mechanism as an investment tool that could eventually be applied to other markets if successful.
Crypto World
Binance Converts Stock Holdings Into On-Chain Tokens With bStocks Launch

Binance has moved its tokenized-equity program from announcement to live product, introducing bStocks, a first batch of five US equities that eligible users can convert into on-chain tokens and trade around the clock, seven days a week. The exchange posted the launch Wednesday to its official… Read the full story at The Defiant
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