Crypto World
Ondo Finance (ONDO) Price Prediction 2026, 2027-2030
ONDO
Ondo Finance$0.3757
24h Volume$422.79M
Market Cap$1.83B
24h Low/High$0.3511 / $0.4289
Last updated: June 04, 2026 07:12 · Live price: $0.3757 (-10.88% 24h)
Ondo Finance Price Statistics
| Ondo Finance Price | $0.3757 |
|---|---|
| Price Change 24H | -10.88% |
| Price Change 7D | +5.32% |
| Price Change 30D | +17.49% |
| Market Cap | $1.83B (#46) |
| 24H Volume | $422.79M |
| 50-Day SMA | $0.3413 |
| 200-Day SMA | $0.3417 |
| 14-Day RSI | 44.2 |
| Technical Signal | bearish, neutral |
Ondo Finance trades between $0.43 and $0.45 in late May 2026, market cap around $2.19 billion (#44), roughly 79 percent below its $2.14 high from early 2024. The setup is unusual because most RWA platforms remain speculative. Ondo has shipped product that is processing real institutional volume. Tokenized US Treasury market on Ethereum hit $8 billion ATH in May 2026 with Ondo’s products among the leading contributors. OUSG (Ondo Short-Term US Government Treasuries) holds $680 million in TVL, with BlackRock’s BUIDL fund aongside allocations to Franklin Templeton, WisdomTree, Fidelity, and Wellington/FundBridge vehicles. Ondo Global Markets (the tokenized stocks and ETFs platform) crossed $1.5 billion in TVL by May 2026. The company acquired Oasis Pro in late 2025, securing SEC licenses that removed key US regulatory barriers for institutional products. EU regulatory approval came simultaneously, allowing tokenized stocks and ETFs across 30 European markets. ONDO is deployed across Ethereum, Solana, Sui, and the XRP Ledger with continued multi-chain expansion. The platform integrates with Ripple, J.P. Morgan, and other major institutional finance firms. On May 21, 2026, ONDO surged 10 percent on SEC rumor that tokenized stock trading might be permitted with TVL surpassing $1.5 billion. MEXC launched a $1 million Ondo Stocks Carnival the same day featuring zero-fee trading. The honest read is Ondo represents the cleanest pure-play exposure to institutional RWA tokenization in 2026, with the real advantage being that the platform actually has institutional products processing real volume rather than speculative roadmap promises. The real challenges are also concrete: ONDO token has limited direct value capture from platform operations, 4.87 billion circulating of 10 billion max supply creates ongoing unlock pressure, competition from BlackRock’s BUIDL, Franklin Templeton’s BENJI, and emerging institutional tokenization initiatives is intensifying, and broader RWA market growth could happen with or without ONDO token appreciation. This piece walks through what the data actually says, the bull case ($1.50-$4 by 2030), the base case ($0.60-$1.20), and the bear case ($0.20-$0.50), with the variables that determine which one plays out.
Short-Term Ondo Finance Price Targets
| 2026 full-year range | $0.35 – $0.80 |
|---|---|
| 2026 year-end (base) | $0.40 – $0.65 |
| 2026 year-end (bull) | $0.80 – $1.40 |
| 2026 year-end (bear) | $0.30 – $0.42 |
Long-Term Ondo Finance Price Prediction (2026-2030)
| Year | Bear case | Base case | Bull case |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0.30 – $0.42 | $0.40 – $0.65 | $0.80 – $1.40 |
| 2027 | $0.25 – $0.40 | $0.50 – $0.80 | $1.20 – $2.20 |
| 2028 | $0.22 – $0.45 | $0.55 – $0.95 | $1.50 – $3.00 |
| 2029 | $0.20 – $0.48 | $0.60 – $1.10 | $1.50 – $3.60 |
| 2030 | $0.20 – $0.50 | $0.60 – $1.20 | $1.50 – $4.00 |
The 2030 range across scenarios is wide ($0.20 to $4.00, a 20x spread). That width reflects the core disconnect: Ondo-the-platform is clearly growing and institutional, while ONDO-the-token has limited direct value capture and ongoing supply pressure. Which scenario wins depends largely on whether governance ships a value-capture mechanism (fee distribution, staking, or buyback) while the platform keeps scaling.
Summary
Ondo Finance is two businesses in one company. The first business is tokenized US Treasuries through OUSG and USDY ($680M and growing). The second is tokenized stocks and ETFs through Ondo Global Markets ($1.5B+ TVL with EU approval across 30 markets and SEC licenses via Oasis Pro acquisition). Both businesses are real, both are growing, and both compete against institutional incumbents (BlackRock BUIDL, Franklin Templeton BENJI) with bigger balance sheets and longer institutional relationships. The bull case for 2030 ($1.50-$4) requires Ondo Global Markets to scale to $10-30 billion TVL, OUSG to grow to $5-10 billion, ONDO token value capture to materialize through governance fees or revenue distribution, regulatory clarity supporting tokenized stocks at federal level, and competitive moat maintenance against BlackRock and Franklin Templeton. The base case ($0.60-$1.20) assumes moderate growth across both business lines, ONDO maintains its position as one of multiple RWA tokenization leaders, governance value remains limited, and competitive dynamics stay balanced. The bear case ($0.20- $0.50) assumes BlackRock and traditional institutional incumbents capture the bulk of institutional tokenization volume, ONDO governance token fails to capture meaningful value despite platform growth, token unlocks continue creating supply pressure, and the broader RWA narrative cools.
Why Ondo is at $0.43 right now
The current Ondo price reflects multiple competing forces unique to RWA tokenization platforms.
The starting point: ONDO peaked at $2.14 in early 2024 during peak RWA narrative momentum. The decline to current $0.43 reflects multiple specific pressures: token unlock pressure as scheduled distributions continue, broader altcoin weakness through 2024-2026, and the disconnect between platform-level growth and token value capture that affects most governance tokens without direct fee accrual mechanisms.
The platform fundamentals are concrete and growing. OUSG holds $680 million across tokenized US Treasury products built on top of institutional money market fund vehicles (BlackRock BUIDL, Franklin Templeton BENJI, WisdomTree, Fidelity, Wellington/FundBridge). The 30-day APY of approximately 3.19 percent reflects actual short-term Treasury yields. The product structure is genuinely institutionalgrade: holders are limited to US Qualified Purchasers, the underlying assets are real-world securities, and the infrastructure is built for compliance with traditional finance regulatory frameworks.
USDY (Ondo’s dollar-yielding stablecoin alternative) provides yield-bearing dollar exposure without requiring qualified purchaser status. The product is positioned for retail and non-US institutional accessibility. Combining OUSG (institutional-restricted, higher-yield) and USDY (broader-access, loweryield) provides differentiated product set.
Ondo Global Markets is the tokenized stocks and ETFs platform. TVL crossed $1.5 billion by May 2026 with EU regulatory approval allowing the platform to offer tokenized stocks across 30 European markets. The platform allows institutional and retail users to trade tokenized representations of US stocks and ETFs with on-chain settlement.
The Oasis Pro acquisition in late 2025 secured SEC licenses for institutional products. The acquisition removed key US regulatory barriers and enables broader institutional access to Ondo’s tokenized products. The licenses cover alternative trading system operations and broker-dealer activities required for institutional tokenization.
The institutional integrations are real. Ondo integrates with Ripple (covered in detail in your XRP piece – tokenized US Treasury pilot announced February 2026 by J.P. Morgan, Mastercard, and Ondo). J.P. Morgan’s involvement extends to multiple settlement and tokenization initiatives. The integrations provide validation that institutional finance views Ondo as legitimate infrastructure partner.
The May 21, 2026 catalyst pushed ONDO 10 percent higher on SEC rumor regarding tokenized stock trading permissions. The actual SEC announcement remained pending but the rumor showed market sensitivity to regulatory developments affecting Ondo’s core business. MEXC’s $1 million Ondo Stocks Carnival the same day promoting zero-fee trading provided additional exposure and accessibility.
The competitive context matters. BlackRock’s BUIDL fund grew to over $2.5 billion. Franklin Templeton’s BENJI continued expanding. The tokenized US Treasury market on Ethereum hit $8 billion ATH in May 2026 with multiple participants. Ondo competes against well-capitalized traditional finance incumbents but with the advantage of being crypto-native and having stronger DeFi integration.
The token economics are the structural challenge. ONDO is a governance token without direct fee accrual mechanism. Platform revenue from OUSG management fees (0.15 percent), USDY yields, and Ondo Global Markets transaction fees flows to the underlying business rather than the ONDO token directly. Governance value depends on DAO decisions about future value capture mechanisms, which haven’t been clearly set.
Supply dynamics create ongoing pressure. 4.87 billion ONDO are in circulation out of 10 billion max supply. Continued scheduled unlocks add to circulating supply throughout 2026-2027 period. The January 2025 unlock of 1.94 billion tokens created significant supply expansion that the market is still absorbing.
At $0.43, the market is rewarding Ondo’s platform but penalizing the token. The platform keeps shipping product (OUSG, USDY, Mastercard, BlackRock integration) but ONDO itself has no direct fee accrual. The supply keeps expanding through unlocks. Governance tokens for traditional-finance-style infrastructure businesses are a category the market hasn’t decided how to price.
The bull case: $1.50-$4 by 2030
The bull case requires multiple variables resolving favorably and assumes ONDO captures meaningful value from platform growth.
Ondo Global Markets scaling to $10-30 billion TVL. The platform reached $1.5 billion by May 2026 with growth trajectory. Bull case requires continued scaling through expanded asset coverage (more stocks, more ETFs, additional asset classes), geographic expansion beyond current EU 30-market approval, and institutional adoption from major financial institutions seeking on-chain access to tokenized securities. The 7-10x scaling from current TVL is plausible given the broader RWA market trajectory ($8 billion tokenized Treasury market on Ethereum alone, growing).
OUSG and USDY scaling to $5-10 billion combined. The current $680 million OUSG and additional USDY represent meaningful but small share of the $8 billion tokenized Treasury market. Bull case requires Ondo capturing larger market share through superior product structure, institutional relationships, and regulatory positioning. The institutional preference for tokenization-as-service (which Ondo provides) versus building proprietary tokenization could drive market share gains.
ONDO token value capture mechanism deployment. The bull case requires the DAO or company to set direct value capture from platform revenue. Possible mechanisms: governance-driven fee distribution to ONDO holders, staking yields backed by platform revenue, buyback-and-burn programs funded by platform fees, or other mechanisms creating direct economic linkage between platform growth and token value. The mechanism doesn’t currently exist meaningfully but is a possible future development.
Regulatory clarity supporting tokenized stocks at federal level. The SEC rumor that produced May 21 catalyst would need to crystallize into actual approval for tokenized stock trading in US markets. Combined with CLARITY Act framework providing broader crypto regulatory clarity, the regulatory environment could support Ondo Global Markets US expansion. US institutional access would dramatically expand the platform’s TVL potential.
Competitive moat maintenance against BlackRock and Franklin Templeton. The bull case requires Ondo to defend its position as institutional crypto-native partner rather than getting displaced by traditional finance incumbents building proprietary tokenization. Differentiation: Ondo’s DeFi integration capabilities, multi-chain deployment (Ethereum, Solana, Sui, XRPL), and developer ecosystem create advantages BlackRock’s BUIDL doesn’t match in pure-crypto-native contexts.
The Trump administration RWA policy support. The current administration has signaled pro-tokenization policies. The CLARITY Act provides regulatory framework. Specific RWA-friendly policies (covered in your CLARITY Act and Strategic Bitcoin Reserve pieces) create supportive environment for Ondo’s institutional positioning.
The crypto cycle supporting altcoin appreciation. Bitcoin reaching new highs sustained above $150K. Altcoin rotation producing institutional capital flow to mid-cap altcoins. Broader crypto market dynamics support ONDO appreciation alongside platform-level growth.
Targets if bull case conditions materialize: – 2026 year-end: $0.80-$1.40 – 2027 year-end: $1.20-$2.20 – 2028 year-end: $1.50-$3.00 – 2029 year-end: $1.50-$3.60 – 2030 year-end: $1.50-$4.00
The upper end ($4) requires sustained execution across all variables including ONDO governance token capturing meaningful value from $30+ billion platform TVL. The lower bull case ($1.50) is achievable through platform scaling combined with moderate value capture mechanism deployment.
The base case: $0.60-$1.20 by 2030
The base case assumes meaningful platform growth with limited token value capture mechanism deployment.
Ondo Global Markets scaling to $4-8 billion TVL. Growth continues from current $1.5 billion levels through expanded asset coverage and geographic reach but at slower pace than bull case. The platform captures specific institutional niches without dominating the broader tokenized securities market.
OUSG and USDY scaling to $2-4 billion combined. Continued growth from current levels but with intensifying competitive pressure from BlackRock BUIDL, Franklin Templeton BENJI, and emerging institutional tokenization initiatives. Ondo maintains its position as significant but not dominant tokenized Treasury platform.
ONDO token value capture remains limited. The DAO discusses but doesn’t deploy transformative value capture mechanisms. Governance token continues to derive value primarily from speculative trading rather than direct economic linkage to platform revenue. Some moderate developments (staking introduction, limited governance-driven distributions) may occur.
Regulatory developments produce mixed outcomes. EU framework continues supporting platform expansion. US regulatory developments are positive but slow. CLARITY Act deployment supports general crypto adoption but specific tokenized stock SEC approval remains delayed.
Competitive dynamics stabilize. BlackRock BUIDL and Franklin Templeton BENJI capture significant institutional tokenization volume but Ondo maintains its niche. Crypto-native and DeFi-integrated positioning provides defensible competitive position without dominating.
Supply dynamics play out predictably. Continued scheduled unlocks add to circulating supply through 2027-2028 period before unlock pressure compresses. Token economics improve gradually but don’t transform.
The broader crypto cycle provides moderate support. Bitcoin reaches $130-160K range with altcoin rotation producing periodic Ondo rallies. ONDO participates in altcoin cycles without leading.
Targets in base case: – 2026 year-end: $0.40-$0.65 – 2027 year-end: $0.50-$0.80 – 2028 year-end: $0.55- $0.95 – 2029 year-end: $0.60-$1.10 – 2030 year-end: $0.60-$1.20
The base case represents moderate appreciation from current $0.43 levels but stays well below the $2.14 all-time high. The support comes from continued platform growth and gradual institutional adoption. The structural pressure comes from limited token value capture and ongoing supply expansion.
The bear case: $0.20-$0.50 by 2030
The bear case requires adverse outcomes across multiple variables.
Traditional finance incumbents dominate institutional tokenization. BlackRock BUIDL scales to $20+ billion. Franklin Templeton BENJI captures growing institutional share. Major banks (JPMorgan Onyx, State Street, BNY Mellon) build proprietary tokenization platforms. Ondo’s institutional positioning erodes to specialty product rather than primary platform.
Ondo Global Markets growth stalls. EU expansion produces limited additional TVL beyond current levels. US regulatory approval for tokenized stocks remains delayed indefinitely. The platform captures specific niches without scaling to bull-case-required levels.
ONDO token value capture fails to develop. The DAO doesn’t deploy meaningful value capture mechanisms. Governance token continues to derive value from speculation rather than fundamental economics. Token holders increasingly question the value proposition relative to direct holding of underlying assets (USDY for yield, traditional ETFs for stock exposure).
Token unlocks overwhelm demand. Continued scheduled distributions create persistent sell-pressure that fundamental demand can’t absorb. Combined with broader altcoin weakness, supply expansion pushes price below current $0.43 levels sustainably.
Regulatory deterioration. CLARITY Act stalls or fails to provide expected framework. Post-2029 administration reverses RWA-friendly policies. International regulatory pressure increases on tokenization platforms. SEC takes adverse action under shifting priorities.
Competitive displacement by emerging RWA platforms. New entrants with stronger institutional relationships, better technology, or more favorable tokenomics capture market share Ondo was positioning to serve. Securitize, Centrifuge, or new platforms grow faster than Ondo.
The RWA narrative cools. Broader institutional adoption develops slower than expected. The “tokenization will eat traditional finance” narrative that supported RWA valuations doesn’t deliver on aggressive timelines. Institutional capital flows to other crypto themes.
The macro deterioration. Higher US interest rates reduce relative attractiveness of tokenized Treasury yields. Broader altcoin weakness during sustained risk-off periods. Crypto market weakness affects all altcoins including RWA-themed assets.
Targets in bear case: – 2026 year-end: $0.30-$0.42 – 2027 year-end: $0.25-$0.40 – 2028 year-end: $0.22- $0.45 – 2029 year-end: $0.20-$0.48 – 2030 year-end: $0.20-$0.50
The bear case represents 5-55 percent downside from current $0.43 levels. Even in bear scenarios, ONDO retains some value given platform fundamentals and continued operation. Complete failure scenarios would require platform-level operational issues combined with broader market collapse.
The five variables that determine the outcome
Five variables that track which scenario is materializing.
Variable 1: Ondo Global Markets TVL trajectory. The single most important platform variable. Currently $1.5 billion. Bull case requires $10-30 billion by 2030. Monitor: monthly TVL reporting, asset coverage expansion (additional stocks, ETFs, asset classes), geographic expansion (EU markets activation, additional jurisdictions), institutional adoption announcements, and competitive positioning versus traditional finance incumbents.
Variable 2: OUSG and USDY market share in tokenized Treasury market. Currently $680 million OUSG in $8 billion total tokenized Treasury market (8.5 percent share). Bull case requires significant share expansion. Monitor: monthly OUSG and USDY market cap, total tokenized Treasury market growth, BlackRock BUIDL trajectory, Franklin Templeton BENJI growth, competitive dynamics among institutional tokenization providers.
Variable 3: ONDO token value capture mechanism deployment. Currently limited. Monitor: DAO governance proposals for fee distribution, staking mechanisms introduction, buyback-and-burn programs deployment, revenue distribution discussions, and any direct economic linkage between platform growth and ONDO token value.
Variable 4: Regulatory developments affecting institutional tokenization. SEC tokenized stock rulings, CLARITY Act deployment specifics, EU MiCA framework operational impact, additional jurisdictional approvals beyond current EU 30-market access. Monitor: SEC announcements, CLARITY Act deployment milestones, Ondo regulatory filings and approvals, competitor regulatory developments.
Variable 5: Competitive positioning versus BlackRock BUIDL and Franklin Templeton BENJI. The largest institutional incumbents in tokenization. Monitor: BlackRock BUIDL TVL trajectory, Franklin Templeton BENJI growth, JPMorgan Onyx and other bank tokenization initiatives, emerging cryptonative competitors (Securitize, Centrifuge, etc.).
The variables interact significantly. Platform TVL growth supports token interest. Market share gains create defensible competitive position. Token value capture mechanism deployment transforms governance token value proposition. Regulatory developments enable institutional adoption. Competitive positioning determines which institutional capital flows to Ondo versus competitors. All variables compound in producing the eventual price outcome.
What this means for ONDO holders and traders
What this means for ONDO holders and traders For current ONDO holders, the practical implication is the asset’s setup is solid at the platform level but uncertain at the token level. Platform fundamentals (OUSG, USDY, Ondo Global Markets growth, regulatory wins) support the broader investment thesis. Token economics (limited direct value capture, supply expansion) create headwinds that platform growth alone may not overcome.
For potential ONDO buyers, current $0.43 reflects substantial discount from all-time high combined with developing institutional adoption. The risk-reward depends on assessment of platform growth probability (high given current trajectory), value capture mechanism deployment probability (uncertain), and competitive dynamics versus traditional finance incumbents (Ondo well-positioned but facing strong competition). Entry at current levels has asymmetric upside if value capture develops, modest upside if platform grows but value capture remains limited.
For traders, ONDO has showed catalyst sensitivity around: regulatory announcements (SEC tokenized stock rumors produce 10+ percent moves), TVL milestones, institutional partnership announcements, and broader RWA narrative momentum. Trading the catalysts requires monitoring regulatory developments, partnership announcements, and TVL reporting alongside broader crypto market dynamics.
For institutional investors evaluating ONDO allocation, the platform offers exposure to institutional RWA tokenization through crypto-native infrastructure. The investment case depends on belief in RWA tokenization scaling combined with confidence that crypto-native platforms (versus traditional finance incumbents) capture meaningful share. ETF accessibility could develop following set crypto ETF patterns but is not yet available.
For developers and ecosystem participants, Ondo provides institutional-grade tokenization infrastructure that’s accessible across multiple chains (Ethereum, Solana, Sui, XRPL). The multi-chain deployment creates opportunities for DeFi protocol integration of tokenized RWA assets. The technical infrastructure supports building applications that combine traditional finance assets with DeFi composability.
For traditional finance professionals exploring tokenization, Ondo represents a tested operational alternative to building proprietary tokenization platforms. The platform’s regulatory positioning, institutional partnerships, and technical infrastructure provide reference deployment. Whether to build with Ondo versus building proprietary versus using BlackRock BUIDL or Franklin Templeton BENJI depends on specific use case requirements.
Connection to broader market dynamics
Ondo’s setup connects to several broader dynamics covered in your existing crypto.news editorial work.
The XRP institutional tokenization piece directly connects through the J.P. Morgan, Mastercard, and Ondo XRP Ledger tokenized US Treasury pilot announced February 2026. The pilot shows Ondo’s integration capabilities across major institutional infrastructure providers. The XRPL deployment provides multichain expansion that competing platforms haven’t matched at similar scale.
The CLARITY Act framework (covered in the CLARITY Act series) provides regulatory pathway for tokenized stocks and broader institutional crypto adoption. The Act’s deployment supports Ondo Global Markets US expansion and removes structural barriers for institutional participation.
The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve piece (covered in your Strategic Bitcoin Reserve analysis) creates broader pro-crypto policy environment that benefits institutional tokenization infrastructure. The administration’s crypto-friendly approach supports Ondo’s regulatory positioning.
The WLFI RWA platform comparison (covered in WLFI price prediction) provides direct competitive context. Both Ondo and WLFI’s RWA platform target institutional tokenization but with different capital bases (institutional traditional finance for Ondo, politically-aligned capital for WLFI). The two platforms occupy adjacent positioning rather than direct competition.
The Hyperliquid HYPE buyback comparison provides analytical contrast for value capture mechanisms. HYPE has aggressive direct value capture (99 percent fee-to-buyback). ONDO has indirect value capture dependent on future governance decisions. The contrast highlights why HYPE has produced stronger token appreciation despite less institutional positioning than Ondo.
The TON Pay 2.0 comparison provides framework for institutional infrastructure adoption. TON has Telegram distribution advantage. Ondo has institutional finance partnership advantage. Both target consumer/institutional adoption pathways but through different mechanisms.
The honest bottom line
Ondo is the pure-play institutional RWA tokenization investment. Not the only RWA token, but the only one where BlackRock’s BUIDL fund sits inside an Ondo product, where Mastercard is using Ondo infrastructure to settle stablecoin transactions, and where the team has been shipping institutional-grade product since before “RWA” was a category most analysts knew how to spell.
The platform fundamentals are concrete: $680 million OUSG holding BlackRock’s BUIDL fund and other institutional money market vehicles, $1.5 billion Ondo Global Markets TVL, EU regulatory approval across 30 markets, SEC licenses via Oasis Pro acquisition, J.P. Morgan and Ripple integrations, multichain deployment across Ethereum, Solana, Sui, and XRP Ledger. These are not speculative roadmap items. They are operational businesses processing real volume.
The institutional partnerships validate the positioning. BlackRock’s BUIDL backing OUSG. Franklin Templeton products in OUSG portfolio. Fidelity allocations. Wellington/FundBridge vehicles. JP Morgan tokenized Treasury pilots. Ripple integration. The institutional finance establishment treats Ondo as legitimate tokenization infrastructure partner.
The regulatory wins are substantial. EU 30-market approval for tokenized stocks and ETFs. SEC licenses via Oasis Pro. Operating across multiple jurisdictions with appropriate compliance. The regulatory positioning provides barriers to entry that competing platforms haven’t matched.
The real challenges are equally concrete. ONDO governance token lacks direct value capture mechanism from platform operations. Platform revenue flows to underlying business rather than token holders. 4.87 billion circulating of 10 billion max supply creates ongoing unlock pressure. Competition from BlackRock BUIDL and Franklin Templeton BENJI is intensifying with their stronger balance sheets and longer institutional relationships.
The 2030 range across scenarios is wide: $0.20 to $4.00, representing 20x range. The wide range reflects the disconnect between platform-level growth and token-level value capture. If platform grows substantially and value capture develops, bull case materializes. If platform grows without value capture or competition intensifies, base or bear case dominates.
For holders, the variables that matter are the ones connecting platform success to token value: governance proposals for fee distribution or buyback mechanisms (most important), Ondo Global Markets TVL trajectory (validates platform thesis), regulatory developments (enables expansion), and competitive positioning (determines market share). Platform fundamentals can be excellent while token value stays constrained without value capture mechanism deployment.
For buyers, the question is whether you’re buying ONDO as a platform-growth bet (where moderate appreciation is achievable through platform success) or as a value-capture-deployment bet (where transformative appreciation requires governance mechanism evolution). Different theses have different time horizons and risk profiles.
For the broader market, Ondo represents the test case for whether crypto-native platforms can compete with traditional finance incumbents in institutional tokenization. If Ondo successfully scales against BlackRock BUIDL and Franklin Templeton BENJI, the success shows that crypto-native infrastructure can capture institutional finance market share rather than getting displaced. The outcome affects how the broader RWA category develops.
For 2026, expect ONDO in a $0.35 to $0.80 range with significant catalysts around SEC tokenized stock approval timing, Ondo Global Markets TVL milestones, governance proposals for value capture, and broader RWA market growth. The floor near $0.35 reflects current platform positioning. The upside ($0.65 to $0.80) needs catalysts to land.
For 2027-2030, the question is whether governance evolves to capture platform value. If Ondo’s DAO ships fee distribution or buyback mechanisms while the platform keeps scaling, ONDO trades $1.50 to $4. Without value capture, even strong platform growth produces $0.60 to $1.20. Adverse competitive or regulatory dynamics produce $0.20 to $0.50.
ONDO is the trade for someone who thinks the next leg of crypto adoption comes through traditional finance tokenization rather than memecoin rotation or DeFi innovation. The platform thesis is sound and shipping. The token value capture question is what determines whether holding ONDO produces returns proportional to the platform’s success.
For analysts, the cleanest framework is: separate Ondo-the-platform (clearly growing, clearly institutional) from ONDO-the-token (limited direct value capture, ongoing supply pressure, dependent on future governance decisions). Conflating them produces analytical mess. The platform’s success doesn’t automatically translate to token appreciation without the governance evolution that enables value capture.
What everyone should watch: the next major DAO proposal addressing ONDO value capture from platform revenue. That proposal’s outcome and deployment will largely determine whether bull case or base case becomes the operative trajectory through 2030.
Ondo Finance Technical Analysis
As of June 04, 2026 07:12, Ondo Finance (ONDO) trades at $0.3757. The 50-day SMA ($0.3413) sits below the 200-day SMA ($0.3417), and the 14-day RSI of 44.2 reads as neutral. The combined short-term technical signal is bearish, neutral. Based on realized daily volatility of ~7.81%, the model projects the following short-term ranges:
Ondo Finance Short-Term Projection
| Horizon | Low | Average | High |
|---|---|---|---|
| Today | $0.3473 | $0.3766 | $0.4060 |
| This week | $0.3041 | $0.3817 | $0.4594 |
| Next week | $0.2779 | $0.3877 | $0.4975 |
| Next month | $0.2407 | $0.4015 | $0.5622 |
Short-term ranges are statistical projections from live price and realized volatility, refreshed continuously. They are not guarantees.
Ondo Finance Price Prediction FAQ
What is Ondo Finance’s price prediction today?
Based on live price and current volatility, Ondo Finance (ONDO) is projected to trade between $0.3473 and $0.4060 today, with an average around $0.3766. The current technical signal is bearish, neutral.
What is Ondo Finance’s price prediction for tomorrow?
Tomorrow, Ondo Finance is expected to stay near today’s range of $0.3473–$0.4060, barring a major catalyst. The live model refreshes this estimate continuously from market data.
What is the Ondo Finance price prediction for this week?
For this week, the model projects Ondo Finance between $0.3041 and $0.4594 (average ~$0.3817), based on a realized daily volatility of about 7.81%.
What will the price of Ondo Finance be next month?
Over the next month, Ondo Finance is projected in a $0.2407–$0.5622 range (average ~$0.4015). Short-term ranges widen with the time horizon as uncertainty grows.
What is Ondo Finance and how does it differ from other RWA platforms?
Ondo Finance is a tokenization platform that brings real-world assets like US Treasuries, stocks, and ETFs onto blockchain through institutional-grade infrastructure. Key products include OUSG (tokenized US Treasuries with $680M TVL), USDY (yield-bearing dollar alternative), and Ondo Global Markets (tokenized stocks/ETFs with $1.5B TVL). Ondo differs from competitors through: SEC licenses via Oasis Pro acquisition, EU regulatory approval across 30 markets, BlackRock BUIDL backing for OUSG, multichain deployment (Ethereum, Solana, Sui, XRP Ledger), and integration with J.P. Morgan and Ripple. Differs from BlackRock BUIDL by being crypto-native; from Securitize by having stronger DeFi integration.
Can Ondo reach $4 by 2030?
$4 is at the upper end of the bull case range ($1.50-$4 by 2030). Required conditions: Ondo Global Markets scaling to $10-30 billion TVL, OUSG and USDY combined reaching $5-10 billion, ONDO governance token deploying meaningful value capture mechanism, federal regulatory clarity for tokenized stocks, competitive moat maintenance against BlackRock and Franklin Templeton, and broader crypto cycle supporting altcoin appreciation. The base case for 2030 is $0.60-$1.20.
What is OUSG and how does it work?
OUSG (Ondo Short-Term US Government Treasuries) is a tokenized fund providing on-chain exposure to US Treasuries by investing in institutional money market funds. Portfolio primarily holds BlackRock’s BUIDL fund alongside allocations to Franklin Templeton, WisdomTree, Fidelity, and Wellington/ FundBridge vehicles. Current TVL approximately $680 million. NAV around $115. 30-day APY approximately 3.19 percent. Eligible investors limited to US Qualified Purchasers. Management fee 0.15 percent. Performance fee 0 percent. Inception January 26, 2023.
How does Ondo Global Markets work?
Ondo Global Markets is the tokenized stocks and ETFs platform that received EU regulatory approval allowing trading across 30 European markets. Platform TVL crossed $1.5 billion by May 2026. Allows institutional and retail users to trade tokenized representations of US stocks and ETFs with on-chain settlement. The Oasis Pro acquisition secured SEC licenses removing US regulatory barriers for institutional products. Continued geographic expansion and asset coverage growth represent key bull case variables.
What is the ONDO token’s relationship to platform revenue?
ONDO is currently a governance token without direct fee accrual mechanism. Platform revenue from OUSG management fees (0.15 percent), USDY yields, and Ondo Global Markets transaction fees flows to the underlying business rather than ONDO token directly. Governance value depends on DAO decisions about future value capture mechanisms which haven’t been clearly set. The token’s eventual price appreciation depends substantially on whether governance mechanism evolution creates direct economic linkage between platform growth and token value.
How does Ondo compete against BlackRock BUIDL?
BlackRock BUIDL is the largest tokenized Treasury fund ($2.5+ billion TVL). Ondo competes through: crypto-native infrastructure versus BlackRock’s traditional finance positioning, multi-chain deployment across Ethereum/Solana/Sui/XRPL versus BlackRock’s Ethereum-only initial deployment, stronger DeFi integration capabilities, OUSG product structure (which actually holds BUIDL among other vehicles, making them complementary rather than purely competitive). The competitive dynamic includes both competition (for direct institutional clients) and collaboration (OUSG uses BUIDL as portfolio holding).
What are the main risks to Ondo?
Six primary risks. First, traditional finance incumbents (BlackRock, Franklin Templeton, major banks) dominate institutional tokenization at Ondo’s expense. Second, ONDO governance token fails to develop meaningful value capture mechanism from platform revenue. Third, ongoing token unlocks create persistent sell-pressure. Fourth, regulatory deterioration affecting tokenized stocks specifically (SEC delays, EU framework changes). Fifth, Ondo Global Markets growth stalls below required levels. Sixth, broader RWA narrative cools as institutional adoption develops slower than expected.
Should I buy Ondo given the institutional partnerships?
This piece does not provide investment advice. Current $0.43 reflects substantial discount from all-time high combined with strong platform fundamentals and uncertain token value capture. The risk-reward depends on assessment of platform growth probability (high given current trajectory), value capture mechanism deployment probability (uncertain), competitive dynamics versus traditional finance (Ondo well-positioned but facing strong competition), and broader RWA market growth. Position sizing should reflect that platform success and token appreciation may follow different timelines. The five-variables framework provides objective monitoring signals.
How we forecast Ondo Finance price
Our ONDO forecasts combine platform fundamentals (OUSG and USDY TVL, Ondo Global Markets TVL, institutional partnerships, regulatory approvals) with token-level dynamics (supply schedule and unlocks, governance value-capture status) and broader crypto-cycle context. Rather than a single number, we model bear, base, and bull scenarios tied to five trackable variables, and update the figures as new data lands. Forecasts are scenario-based and inherently uncertain.
This article is for informational purposes and does not make up financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and price predictions are inherently speculative. The figures and analysis described reflect data available as of late May 2026. Always do your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.
Latest Ondo News
Read more – Nathan Allman’s sudden death leaves Ondo Finance at a turning point
Ondo Finance founder Nathan Allman dies unexpectedly, with Ian De Bode taking over as CEO while the RWA firm says its mission remains unchanged.
ONDOONDO
Ondo Finance’s native token $ONDO has broken above $0.46 and is trading near $0.466 with a 24 hour gain above 15 percent, according to data from Gate. Spot market shows ONDO (ONDO) testing the $0.46 level and printing around $0.466…
Read more – Ondo price confirms bull flag breakout, eyes upside to $0.55 as key metrics surge
Ondo price extended its recovery this week after confirming a bullish continuation setup on the daily chart, with rising demand for tokenized real-world assets and strong platform growth metrics reinforcing the bullish outlook. According to data from crypto.news, Ondo (ONDO)…
ONDOONDO
Read more – Ondo price pauses after rally to yearly highs, bullish setup keeps upside hopes alive
Ondo price cooled slightly on Monday after surging to its highest level of the year, though the broader technical structure still points to growing bullish momentum across the tokenized real-world asset sector. According to data from crypto.news, Ondo (ONDO) price…
ONDOONDO
Crypto World
The Death of the Petrodollar: Nouriel Roubini Outlines Shift to AI-Backed ‘Technodollars’
Economist Nouriel Roubini has declared the “death of the petrodollar” and backed a new tokenized reserve asset called ‘Technodollar’ tied to US productive assets, marking his first formal move into digital assets after years as one of crypto’s most prominent critics.
Speaking on the Expert Council podcast this week, Roubini said stablecoins fail to protect investors from the same inflation and debasement risks that affect traditional fiat currencies.
He argued that the next reserve asset should be linked to technology, artificial intelligence, defense, semiconductors, and other parts of the US economy.
The comments came as Atlas Capital Team launched USAFi, a tokenized reserve asset issued in Dubai under the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority’s Asset-Referenced Virtual Asset framework.
Atlas says USAFi introduces a new category of regulated digital reserve infrastructure. The token is structured as a permissionless ERC-20 asset and is directly collateralized by the Atlas America Fund, an SEC-registered, actively managed ETF listed on Nasdaq under the ticker USAF.
The Illusion of On-Chain Safety
For years, crypto investors have treated dollar-pegged stablecoins such as USDT and USDC as safe places to park capital during market stress.
Roubini said that view misses a larger problem. Stablecoins may help with payments, but they still track a fiat currency that can lose purchasing power during inflationary periods.
“Stablecoins are going to be useful as a means of payment… but if the critique of cryptocurrency was the risk of debasement that comes from inflation, then something that is not interest bearing, like a stablecoin, just a digital dollar with zero interest rate, is subject to the same kind of a debasement risk as a fiat,” Roubini said. “Stablecoins are a very imperfect way of providing this hedging. Highly imperfect is essentially a digital version of the fiat currency with all the problems of fiat currencies.”
His argument is simple. A token that only tracks the dollar does not solve the dollar’s weakness. It moves that weakness onto the blockchain.
That matters more in an economy facing persistent inflation, geopolitical shocks, and climate-related risks. In that environment, Roubini argues that investors need exposure to assets that can preserve real value, rather than digital cash that earns no yield.
From Petrodollars to Technodollars
Atlas framed USAFi around a larger shift in the global reserve system.
In a whitepaper published alongside the launch, the firm said the world has moved from the gold standard of 1944 to 1971, then to the energy-backed petrodollar from the 1970s onward. It now sees a new phase built around what it calls the “technodollar.”
The thesis is that US economic power is increasingly driven by technology rather than oil. Atlas says a reserve asset backed by AI-linked equities, semiconductors, defense technology, cyber infrastructure, short-duration Treasuries, gold, and climate-resilient real estate offers a better hedge for the modern economy.
USAFi’s collateral comes through the Atlas America Fund, which is custodied at BNY Mellon. Atlas says the fund uses machine learning to manage risk across its portfolio.
“The machines do the homework and the people on the investment committee, which Nouriel chairs, make the call,” said Reza Bundy, Atlas Capital CEO and Chairman.
Bringing the Asset On-Chain
Atlas partnered with Securitize to bring the asset onto public blockchains. Securitize is the tokenization platform behind several institutional real-world asset products, including BlackRock’s tokenized fund infrastructure.
The goal is to make USAFi usable as on-chain collateral, rather than keeping it inside a closed institutional environment.
“We think that the tokenized version of it could actually be a very good fit as working as a reserve asset for DeFi collateral,” said Carlos Domingo, founder and CEO of Securitize.
The launch also reflects a broader shift in real-world asset tokenization. Tokenized Treasuries and money market products have already gained traction, but Atlas is pitching USAFi as a more adaptive reserve asset for periods of inflation and macro stress.
For Roubini, the core point is that digital assets cannot rely only on fiat replicas. If investors want protection from debasement, he argues, the collateral itself must change.
USAFi is his first major test of that idea.
The post The Death of the Petrodollar: Nouriel Roubini Outlines Shift to AI-Backed ‘Technodollars’ appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Bitcoin (BTC) hit new two-week lows at Wednesday’s Wall Street open as traders predicted a rally to a “poor” lower high.
Key points:
- Bitcoin price action edges closer to range lows, which traders still see holding.
- A relief bounce should enter soon, they say, with targets closer to $70,000.
- US-Iran peace progress has little bullish impact on risk assets, with US stocks flat at the open.
BTC price nears range lows: Is $70,000 next?
Data from TradingView showed BTC price action dropping below $60,000 for the first time since June 10.
BTC/USD four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
Traders had warned of increasing short interest with rising funding rates, boosting the odds of a capitulatory move lower.
“It’s time to start bouncing soon on the LTF,” trader Killa wrote in ongoing commentary on X, referring to low time frames.
“Range bound till proven otherwise.”
BTC/USD chart segment. Source: Killa/X
Killa uploaded a further chart showing a relief bounce toward $70,000, being due following the bounce.
BTC/USD chart segment. Source: Killa/X
Fellow trader RektProof had a broadly similar forecast, seeing BTC/USD trading in a range with $60,000 as its floor “for the rest of the month.”
“Overall, a move to supply and back down to the EQ lows before forming back to poor highs + 70k,” he added.
BTC/USDT one-hour chart. Source: RektProof/X
Stocks tread water as Hormuz oil transit progresses
On a macro level, US stocks appeared to have already priced in relief from the US-Iran peace deal.
Related: BTC price four-year trend calls for $76K as analysis says Bitcoin ‘not broken’
Upside was limited at the open despite US President Donald Trump offering further details of mutual cooperation between the two sides.
Trump specifically made reference to the Strait of Hormuz oil transit route, writing in a post on Truth Social that there would be “no tolls, no insurance costs, & no other charges of any kind being sought or received by Iran on ships traveling” via the route.
Source: Truth Social
The S&P 500 traded up 0.4% at the time of writing, while the Nasdaq Composite Index even turned slightly negative on the day.
Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on several factors keeping risk-asset enthusiasm in check, including forward earnings guidance by tech giant Micron Technologies and the May print of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index, due out on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.
Crypto World
Strategy Stock Falls Below $100 for First Time in Two Years as Analysts Pick Apart Its Bitcoin Bet
Shares of Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, fell below $100 on Wednesday for the first time since March 2024, leaving the company trading at a discount to the Bitcoin on its balance sheet and turning investor attention to which layer of its capital structure is still worth owning…. Read the full story at The Defiant
Cryptocurrency mining profitability remains under pressure across major proof-of-work networks, according to new data shared by Alphractal, which shows the sector is experiencing stagnation and reduced returns.
The analytics platform said that while miners continue to play an important role in maintaining network security and decentralization, the data suggests that profitability remains difficult across major proof-of-work networks.
Growing Pressure on Miners
Alphractal’s Mining Equilibrium Index compares miners’ average revenue per hash over 30 days against the 365-day average. Readings above 1.0 signal above-average profitability, while values below 0.5 point to stressed conditions for miners.
Among the four largest proof-of-work assets tracked by the index, Bitcoin posted the highest reading at 0.75, which makes it the strongest performer in terms of mining profitability.
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) followed at 0.66, which suggests relatively better conditions than the rest of the group. The OG meme coin, Dogecoin (DOGE), registered a score of 0.60, as mining profitability declined significantly over the years. Litecoin (LTC), on the other hand, recorded the lowest reading at 0.58, making it the weakest performer among the four assets.
However, Bitcoin’s position at the top of the list does not necessarily point to favorable conditions for miners. As recently reported by CryptoPotato, Bitcoin mining difficulty fell by more than 10%, in one of the largest downward adjustments of the year, and demonstrated that fewer miners are participating in the network. At the same time, the Bitcoin hash rate has continued to decline.
The figure briefly dropped below 790 EH/s this month from record levels above 1.2 ZH/s reached last year.
Alphractal also acknowledged that the current environment has made crypto mining increasingly dependent on access to capital, operational efficiency, and patience.
BTC Sales By Mining Companies
Several publicly listed Bitcoin miners have been selling their BTC holdings at the fastest pace since the previous crypto bear market. Back in April, The Energy Mag published a report that revealed that major mining companies such as MARA, CleanSpark, Riot, Cango, Core Scientific, and Bitdeer collectively sold more than 32,000 BTC during the first quarter of 2026.
The amount of Bitcoin sold surpassed the combined net sales recorded throughout all four quarters of 2025. The figure also set a new industry record as it exceeded the roughly 20,000 BTC liquidated by public miners during the second quarter of 2022, when the market was shaken by the collapse of the Terra-Luna ecosystem.
The post Mining Profits Dry Up Across Bitcoin, DOGE, LTC, and BCH appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Protect Progress, the super PAC affiliated with crypto industry flagship Fairshake, spent $5.5 million backing Adrian Boafo in Maryland’s Democratic primary for the 5th Congressional District on June 23, a 24-candidate field for the seat vacated by retiring House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer.
Boafo won. Fairshake spokesperson Geoff Vetter put it plainly: “We went big, and we went early. We did our part to move Adrian Boafo from fifth place to the halls of Congress.”
That is not a boast. It is a data point. Boafo entered the race without top-tier name recognition in a district crowded with stronger-profile rivals, including former U.S. Capitol Police officer Harry Dunn, who carried Nancy Pelosi’s endorsement. The crypto PAC’s independent expenditure campaign changed the arithmetic of the race.
MD-05 is rated safely Democratic in the general election. Boafo’s primary win is effectively his congressional seat.The execution event, crypto-backed members voting as a bloc on market structure legislation, comes next.
The Maryland result is a single data point inside a larger, faster-moving pattern. Crypto legislation is stacking up in Congress, and the industry has been explicit about its strategy: build the vote count before the bills arrive on the floor, not after. Fairshake and allied crypto PACs have raised $188.9 million for the 2026 cycle، an aggressive early pace relative to the $359.4 million they deployed across the entire 2024 cycle. The Maryland win is proof of concept, not a one-off.
How $5.5M Buys a Congressional Nomination in a 24-Candidate Field
The structural logic of primary targeting is straightforward: low-turnout primaries in safe seats are the cheapest legislative votes the industry can buy. A $5.5 million independent expenditure in a crowded Democratic primary, where winning margins can be decided by a few thousand ballots, delivers substantially more ROI than the same sum deployed in a competitive general election.
Protect Progress is the Fairshake network’s affiliate vehicle for House races. The PAC began spending on Boafo well before the final push. Estimates from AdImpact and FEC data place early-cycle expenditures at $3.1 to $4.5 million by early June, including roughly $300,000 in a single week on TV and mail, before the final burst brought the total to $5.5 million.
This was a sustained intervention, not a last-minute rescue.
When AIPAC’s United Democracy Project is included, total outside support for Boafo reaches approximately $10-$11 million, accounting for more than 80% of all pro-Boafo advertising. The ads themselves did not mention crypto as an issue، they ran on endorsements from Governor Wes Moore, Senator Angela Alsobrooks, and Steny Hoyer.
The financial architecture and the campaign message were kept in separate lanes, which is legally required for independent expenditures and strategically useful for optics.
Maryland Senator Chris Van Hollen called the spending an “obscene amount of big special-interest money.” That framing will repeat in November and in the next cycle. It has not yet altered the outcome of a race where Fairshake was deployed at this scale.
Crypto PAC Have Raised $188.9M This Cycle: Maryland is the Latest Proof of Concept
The Maryland congressional election was not the only race on the board Tuesday. Fairshake simultaneously spent $1.3 million backing Representative Ritchie Torres in New York’s 15th district، described internally as one of the industry’s most reliable House allies، and $516,000 on incumbent Representative April McClain Delaney in Maryland.
All supported candidates won or were winning as counts concluded.
The week prior, Fairshake had committed $12 million to Barry Moore’s Alabama Senate bid, the largest single-race deployment in the PAC’s 2026 cycle to date. The pattern is bipartisan by design: Moore is a Republican; Boafo and Torres are Democrats. The crypto PAC’s selection criterion is a candidate’s regulatory posture, not party affiliation.
The Blockchain Leadership Fund, backed by Anchorage Digital and Chainlink, also aligned publicly with Boafo in MD-05, adding a second layer of industry coordination beyond Protect Progress.
Fairshake’s broader donor base، heavily funded by Coinbase and Andreessen Horowitz, which have each contributed tens of millions to crypto-aligned political vehicles، had approximately $126 million remaining on-hand at the end of May, with general election spending not yet begun. The industry is not running low on ammunition.
Prediction market platform Kalshi currently prices a Democratic House majority at 79% odds. If that holds in November, the crypto industry will have built campaign-finance relationships with a significant portion of the incoming majority caucus, relationships established at the primary stage, before general election loyalties had to be negotiated.
The post Fairshake’s $5.5M Maryland Bet Pays Off: Boafo Heads to Congress appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Lummis Sets July as Senate Floor Deadline for Clarity Act, Tells Dimon to Read the Bill
Senator Cynthia Lummis announced Wednesday morning that the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act will reach the Senate floor in July, setting the first hard public commitment to a floor date from the bill's lead sponsor. Lummis made the announcement on Fox Business's "Mornings with Maria," saying the… Read the full story at The Defiant
Months of negotiations have brought the CLARITY Act to its final review stage, with Senator Cynthia Lummis confirming a July 4 release of the updated text ahead of a Senate push later in July.
Summary
- Senator Cynthia Lummis said the final CLARITY Act text will be released around July 4 for public review.
- Senate leaders are working to schedule floor consideration of the crypto market structure bill in July.
- Law enforcement groups and anti-trafficking advocates continue to oppose Section 604 over AML and oversight concerns.
According to Lummis, who spoke with Fox Business host Maria Bartiromo, Senate negotiators are preparing to publish the updated legislative text after months of discussions involving lawmakers, industry stakeholders, and banking representatives. She said the bill will be made available for one final round of feedback before lawmakers seek a Senate floor vote later in July.
Speaking during the interview, Lummis said negotiations on the legislation have been ongoing since last Labor Day and have required extensive work to address concerns raised throughout the drafting process. She stated that lawmakers spent thousands of hours examining issues tied to both the CLARITY Act and the recently debated GENIUS Act while also considering objections raised by parts of the banking industry.
Following the publication of the text, Lummis said Senate leadership is working to secure floor time next month. She added that discussions with Senate Majority Leader John Thune are focused on placing the legislation on the chamber’s July agenda.
Senate prepares next step for crypto market structure bill
The expected release comes as lawmakers continue refining a framework intended to establish regulatory boundaries for digital asset markets in the United States.
During the interview, Lummis pushed back against criticism from JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon, who had argued that the bill could allow crypto companies to offer rewards programs resembling interest-bearing banking products without being subject to the same safeguards as traditional financial institutions.
Responding to those concerns, Lummis said the criticism does not accurately reflect the legislation’s current language. She pointed to Section 301 of the bill, which she said was revised during negotiations to address issues raised by banks and regulators.
According to Lummis, the updated provisions ensure that rewards offered by crypto firms are not linked to account balances in a way that resembles interest payments. She also said the legislation includes additional anti-money laundering measures that were incorporated during the drafting process.
Her remarks come as lawmakers continue balancing demands from the crypto industry with concerns raised by traditional financial institutions over consumer protections and regulatory consistency.
Section 604 continues to attract opposition
While Senate negotiators move toward publication of the final text, several organizations have recently urged lawmakers to reconsider another part of the legislation.
As crypto.news previously reported, four law enforcement organizations sent a letter to Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche and White House digital assets adviser Patrick Witt, warning that Section 604 could create regulatory gaps and make investigations involving digital assets more difficult. The groups argued that the provision could weaken Know Your Customer and Anti-Money Laundering requirements compared with standards applied in traditional finance.
Section 604 incorporates the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act and would prevent certain non-custodial participants, including open-source developers, self-custody tool providers, software contributors, and some decentralized finance infrastructure operators, from automatically being classified as money transmitters.
Separately, the Alliance to End Human Trafficking urged Senate Republican Leader John Thune and Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer to revisit the same provision. The organization said the proposed language could create ambiguities that complicate efforts to monitor financial activity linked to human trafficking, organized crime, child exploitation, sanctions evasion, and other illicit conduct.
Those objections add to the list of issues lawmakers are weighing as the CLARITY Act enters what Lummis described as its final public review phase before Senate consideration.
Ripple won a regulatory milestone in Japan this week — but it needed a rival blockchain to do it.
Earlier today, SBI VC Trade, a crypto arm of the $11 billion Japanese financial giant SBI Holdings, listed Ripple’s dollar-pegged stablecoin for trading, heralding it as the country’s first “Type 4 electronic payment instrument” under Japan’s revised Payment Services Act.
However, the only Ripple USD (RLUSD) tokens that SBI traders in Japan can deposit or withdraw are on the Ethereum blockchain.
The irony is rich. Ethereum is the primary competitor of the XRP Ledger (XRPL), the blockchain that Ripple incubated.
The Japanese approval of RLUSD as its first Type 4 instrument is unambiguous. The supported chain is Ethereum, and RLUSD on any other chain will not be accepted for deposit, including XRPL-based RLUSD.
Additional blockchains could earn approval in the future, although regulators have not specified any particular timeline for review.
Type 4 electronic payment method
Japan’s 2023 amendments to its Payment Services Act created a dedicated regulatory bucket for fiat-pegged stablecoins.
These “electronic payment instruments” separated digital money-type tokens from ordinary crypto assets like ether or XRP, which aren’t pegged in value to any fiat currency.
Pursuant to Article 2 of the act, Type 1 instruments include currency-denominated value usable for payment to and tradable with unspecified persons, Type 2 covers value instantly exchangeable with Type 1, and Type 3 covers instruments with specific trust beneficiary rights.
Type 4 is a residual, catch-all slot for property value designated, by cabinet office ordinance, as otherwise equivalent in value to the first three categories.
It’s the bucket regulators can reach for when an instrument doesn’t fit cleanly anywhere else.
That residual quality explains the awkward legal footnote in SBI VC Trade’s own announcement. The RLUSD token is not a trust beneficiary right under US law, the company noted, yet SBI workers were able to help it gain Type 4 classification for Japanese purposes anyway after establishing its financial equivalencies to the USD to the satisfaction of regulators.
The Type 4 label is as much a classification as a regulatory admission that Ethereum has some superiority over the XRPL.
RLUSD didn’t slot neatly into the three main categories, but thanks to the help of Ethereum, it was able to gain a catch-all designation.
It’s issued by Standard Custody & Trust Company, a New York-chartered Ripple subsidiary, and is backed by dollar deposits and short-term Treasuries subject to monthly, third-party attestations.
It’s the second dollar stablecoin on the SBI VCTRADE platform, which has handled Circle’s USDC since March 2025. USDC is a Type 3 instrument in Japan.
An XRP milestone using Ethereum
Still, XRP influencers framed the event as a win. RLUSD started trending on X.
The president of SBI VC Trade billed the listing as a milestone and credited Ripple Labs for the momentous occasion.
Jack McDonald, Ripple’s senior vice president for stablecoins, praised Japan’s regulatory clarity and applauded RLUSD’s ability to link Japanese institutions with global liquidity.
Neither executive dwelt on which blockchain was actually linking up the liquidity.
“They launched this one on ETHEREUM,” one account posted in reply to celebratory coverage.
A separate post highlighted the fine print on the approval. RLUSD is live “on Ethereum ONLY” as a Japanese Type 4 electronic payment instrument and capped at roughly $6,200 per transaction, a ceiling that matches the 1 million yen per-transaction limit set in SBI VC Trade’s own announcement.
Most of RLUSD already lives on Ethereum
The Japanese listing isn’t an anomaly. Indeed, despite being a Ripple project, the majority of RLUSD tokens have historically existed outside of the XRPL.
As Protos reported on June 15, around $879 million of the token in circulation was parked on Ethereum, ahead of roughly $760 million on the XRP Ledger.
Read more: Ripple dumps XRP to pump RLUSD — still 0.2% the size of USDT
Ethereum’s dominance had been wider earlier in the cycle, with Ethereum holding close to 88% of RLUSD supply as recently as October 2025.
Coin listing sites like CoinMarketCap reinforce the preeminence of Ethereum-based RLUSD, listing RLUSD’s primary blockchain as Ethereum and pointing to the token’s ERC-20 contract address as its primary smart contract, rather than any XRP Ledger issuance.
Dwarfing the size of XRPL, Ethereum gave RLUSD deeper liquidity, mature DeFi venues like Aave and Curve, and a far larger base of dollar-stablecoin holders.
For a Japanese exchange wiring up a new asset, Ethereum-based RLUSD was the quickest path to approval and trade listings.
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
Congressional scrutiny has intensified around World Liberty Financial (WLFI) after Senate Democrats raised concerns about a major foreign-linked investment. The lawmakers are seeking additional information about a reported transaction involving entities connected to the United Arab Emirates. Meanwhile, the issue has emerged alongside ongoing debates over digital asset legislation in Washington.
Senate Democrats Seek Review of WLFI UAE Investment
Five Democratic senators have urged Republican committee leaders to examine a reported investment involving WLFI. The lawmakers requested a congressional hearing and highlighted potential conflicts linked to foreign interests. As a result, the issue has drawn fresh attention to the company’s ownership structure.
According to the senators, the investment agreement was completed shortly before Donald Trump returned to office. They stated that a UAE-linked partner received a 49% stake in WLFI through the arrangement. Additionally, the lawmakers reported that foreign buyers paid $218 million to entities connected to Trump and envoy Steve Witkoff.
The senators identified Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan as the lead investor in the transaction. They argued that the reported ownership structure raises questions about foreign influence. Consequently, they requested sworn statements from administration officials and others connected to the deal.
The lawmakers also pointed to policy developments that occurred after Trump took office. They noted that the UAE received more than $1.4 billion in arms approvals since January 2025. Furthermore, exports of advanced artificial intelligence chips exceeded $1 billion during the same period.
Democrats want authorities to clarify what officials knew about the reported payments and timing. Therefore, they are seeking records and testimony from relevant parties. The request forms part of a broader effort to examine potential conflicts involving public officials.
The inquiry adds another layer of political pressure on WLFI and its associated projects. At the same time, lawmakers continue to debate how digital asset businesses should operate. As discussions continue, congressional committees may face increased pressure to address the concerns.
Clarity Act Debate Adds New Dimension to Dispute
The controversy has surfaced while Congress continues work on the CLARITY Act. The legislation aims to establish a clearer regulatory framework for digital assets. Therefore, lawmakers remain engaged in negotiations over several key provisions.
Senate Democrats have proposed ethics measures tied to the legislation. The proposal would restrict federal officials from creating, promoting, or sponsoring crypto assets. Consequently, the amendment could affect projects associated with current government officials.
The proposed restrictions could impact crypto ventures linked to Trump. Lawmakers specifically referenced World Liberty Financial and the TRUMP meme coin. As a result, the debate has expanded beyond market regulation and into ethics oversight.
White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt has become involved in discussions surrounding the bill. Reports indicate that he is working to address concerns related to the ethics provisions. Meanwhile, lawmakers continue to negotiate the final structure of the legislation.
Supporters of the ethics proposal argue that stronger safeguards would reduce potential conflicts. However, opponents maintain that broad restrictions could affect participation in emerging technologies. Therefore, the issue remains a key point of disagreement in Congress.
The dispute highlights the growing intersection between digital assets and national politics. At the same time, regulators and lawmakers continue shaping future crypto policy. As congressional discussions move forward, both the WLFI inquiry and the CLARITY Act debate are expected to remain prominent topics.
Cboe, one of the largest U.S. derivatives exchanges, said it is entering the prediction-market arena and is reviving binary options on the S&P 500 index after abandoning them more than a decade ago, a move that brings it into competition with platforms such as Kalshi and the crypto-native Polymarket.
A binary option is a yes-or-no bet that pays a fixed amount if an outcome occurs, in this case whether the benchmark U.S. equity index crosses a specific level. That is close to what Polymarket and Kalshi already offer, though their offerings go beyond stock market forecasts to cover political and sporting outcomes as well as other topics.
The introduction follows Cboe’s success with same-day S&P 500 options, contracts that expire within hours and now make up about 30% of U.S. options volume, calling attention to the demand for fast, outcome-based trades.
“Investors increasingly seek products that allow them to express a specific view on future events and market outcomes,” said Milan Galik, CEO of Interactive Brokers, which is carrying the binary contracts, in a statement.
The contracts will also become available on Charles Schwab later this year.
Second time round
Cboe has tried this market before. It first listed binary options on the S&P 500 and the Cboe Volatility Index in 2008, but they failed to draw interest and were pulled, with the last such contract expiring in 2017.
The Death of the Petrodollar: Nouriel Roubini Outlines Shift to AI-Backed ‘Technodollars’
The re-engineered Titleist Tour Soft delivers premium performance
How to watch Scotland vs Brazil: Free streams & TV channels for World Cup 2026
-
Fashion5 days agoWeekend Open Thread: Miami – Corporette.com
-
Entertainment4 days agoRenter of Home in Anne Heche Crash Denies Settlement With Son
-
Tech2 days agoMicrosoft accidentally kills epic Outlook email threads
-
Sports1 day agoTwo goals and an assist by sheer aura: Cristiano Ronaldo just entered the World Cup chat
-
Business4 days agoSoccer-U.S. defends Iran World Cup travel restrictions, says discussions ongoing
-
Crypto World16 hours ago
Bitcoin (BTC) Dips Below $62K, Ethereum (ETH) Plunges 6% Daily: Market Watch
-
Politics6 days agoBBC Reporter Discusses Cross Party Criticism Of Trumps Iran Deal
-
Crypto World13 hours agoSecuritize Wraps Roubini's SEC-Registered ETF as Dubai VARA Digital Security
-
Business18 hours ago
Entergy settles forward sale agreements, raises $672 million in cash proceeds
-
Business5 days agoWall Street Week Ahead: Investors see Micron earnings as pulse check of AI rally momentum
-
Politics4 days agoAndy Burnham and the meaning of Makerfield
-
Tech6 days agoAWS enters the context layer race with a graph that learns from agents, not manual curation
-
Crypto World4 days agoCan Charles Hoskinson Really Rescue Cardano?
-
NewsBeat5 days agoKeir Starmer Allies Question His Chances For No 10
-
Crypto World5 days agoHIVE shares jump as $220M AI deal speeds Bitcoin mining pivot
-
Crypto World4 days agoJake Chervinsky accuses CME of protecting derivatives monopoly
-
Tech3 days agoSignal’s Meredith Whittaker says AI chatbots ‘are not your friends’ and calls Copilot agents a backdoor
-
Entertainment5 days agoJose Alvarado Wants Taylor Swift at More Knicks Games
-
Tech2 days agoNearly 7,000 fake Amazon domains registered ahead of Prime Day 2026, researchers warn
-
Business6 days agoBrexit cost 6% of UK economy, Bank of England company data suggests
You must be logged in to post a comment Login