Key Takeaways

• SkyBridge Capital’s Anthony Scaramucci maintains that Bitcoin’s traditional four-year market cycle continues operating despite growing institutional participation
• Significant profit-taking occurred around the $100,000 price milestone, creating substantial sell-side pressure that pushed BTC from $126,000 down to $60,000
• While institutional capital and exchange-traded funds have dampened price swings, they haven’t fundamentally altered the cyclical nature of Bitcoin markets
• Scaramucci anticipates volatile, sideways price action throughout most of 2026 before a fresh uptrend emerges in the fourth quarter
• The S&P 500 declined 1.3% and breached its 200-day moving average, prompting warnings that Bitcoin might decline 50% if correlation with equities persists

Anthony Scaramucci, the managing partner at SkyBridge Capital, maintains that Bitcoin is experiencing a typical four-year cycle pullback and anticipates price recovery beginning in Q4 2026.

Scaramucci offered these insights during an appearance on Scott Melker’s “The Wolf of All Streets” podcast. He identified selling activity around the $100,000 price level as a primary catalyst behind the ongoing downturn.

Early adopters and long-term Bitcoin holders viewed the $100,000 mark as a significant profit-taking opportunity. This selling wave created downward momentum despite simultaneous institutional capital entering the market.

Bitcoin reached a peak near $126,000 before experiencing a steep decline to $60,000. This correction shattered widespread market predictions that BTC would reach $150,000 during 2025.

According to Scaramucci, those bullish projections were driven by Donald Trump’s cryptocurrency-friendly policies and improved regulatory conditions in the United States. However, he emphasized that markets typically defy consensus expectations.

He referenced early 2023 as a perfect illustration. Bitcoin began its recovery in January 2023 during a period of extreme bearish sentiment following FTX’s November 2022 collapse.

“It was at a period of great disinterest and great apathy that the bull market started again,” Scaramucci noted.

Institutional Participation Has Modified But Not Eliminated the Cycle

Scaramucci explained that Bitcoin exchange-traded funds and institutional capital have moderated volatility without destroying the cyclical framework. While price fluctuations have become less dramatic, the fundamental pattern persists.

He characterized the cycle as somewhat self-reinforcing. Market participants who recognize and trade based on the four-year rhythm effectively perpetuate the pattern through their collective behavior.

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted approximately $2 billion in net inflows during the last four weeks, representing the most extended period of positive flows seen in 2026.

Bitcoin’s Correlation With Traditional Equity Markets Strengthens

Bitcoin dropped beneath $69,000 on Saturday as escalating Middle East geopolitical tensions continued pressuring risk-sensitive assets. The Iran situation has now stretched into its third week, creating headwinds for global financial markets.

The S&P 500 fell 1.3% on Friday, closing below its 200-day moving average for the first occurrence in ten months. This technical level serves as a critical indicator for assessing long-term equity market trends.

Several market analysts now suggest Bitcoin could experience an additional 50% decline in 2026 if its correlation with the S&P 500 remains elevated.

Scaramucci characterized the present correction as an ordinary downturn consistent with historical cycles. He projects continued volatility and range-bound trading for the majority of the year before a new bullish phase initiates in Q4 2026.

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated approximately $2 billion in total inflows during the previous four-week period.

Bithumb is moving to retain CEO Lee Jae-won as the South Korean crypto exchange faces regulatory pressure and fresh scrutiny over compliance controls. Shareholders are expected to vote on his reappointment at the company’s regular meeting on March 31.

Bithumb will reportedly ask shareholders to approve another two-year term for Lee Jae-won. His current term ends at the close of March. If shareholders approve the proposal, Lee will continue leading the exchange during a period of regulatory pressure.

The reported move comes as Bithumb remains the second-largest crypto exchange in South Korea by trading volume, per CoinGecko data. The company continues to hold a strong market position behind Upbit, while Korbit remains smaller by comparison.

Regulatory action adds pressure

Bithumb has recently faced action from South Korea’s Financial Intelligence Unit. In March, the regulator reportedly imposed a six-month partial suspension and a 36.8 billion won fine over alleged anti-money laundering failures.

Under the reported measures, new customers will not be allowed to make external crypto transfers from March 27 through Sept. 26. The case has added pressure on the exchange as it manages compliance and prepares for future licensing requirements.

Moreover, the exchange also drew attention in February after it reportedly credited users with 2,000 Bitcoin instead of 2,000 won during a promotional campaign. That error led to the distribution of 620,000 coins that the exchange could not support.

Bithumb is also waiting for the outcome of another probe linked to alleged order book sharing with an overseas platform. According to the Korea Times, an industry official said, 

”Bithumb will be on edge awaiting the results of ongoing regulatory probes, as the company still needs to renew its virtual asset service provider license.”

South Korea’s crypto market keeps growing

The leadership decision comes as South Korea’s crypto market continues to expand. The sector has seen stronger policy support since President Lee Jae-myung took office and advanced crypto-related measures, including a bill tied to stablecoins.

Crypto ownership has also risen sharply in the country. Earlier data showed South Korean crypto exchange users had surpassed 16 million, equal to more than 30% of the population. Market estimates also project the country’s crypto sector could generate $1.3 billion in revenue in 2026.

Key Highlights

• A sophisticated attacker leveraged a vulnerability in Resolv’s USR minting mechanism, generating approximately 80 million unbacked tokens from an initial deposit of just $200,000 in USDC
• The hacker successfully extracted 11,409 ETH, valued at approximately $25 million
• USR’s value plummeted to $0.025 on Curve Finance before staging a partial recovery to roughly $0.85
• Resolv has suspended all protocol operations; while the team claims the collateral pool remains secure, USR token holders sustained significant losses due to supply inflation
• Major DeFi platforms including Morpho, Lido, and Aave quickly responded to assess and mitigate their exposure

A critical security breach struck Resolv’s USR stablecoin on Sunday, with an attacker exploiting vulnerabilities in the minting infrastructure to generate approximately 80 million unbacked tokens, ultimately draining roughly $25 million worth of Ether from the protocol.

The malicious activity commenced around 2:21 a.m. UTC. The perpetrator initiated the attack by depositing 100,000 USDC into Resolv’s USR Counter contract, receiving an astronomical 50 million USR in return — approximately 500 times the legitimate amount. A follow-up transaction produced an additional 30 million tokens.

Following the unauthorized minting, the attacker systematically exchanged the fraudulent USR for USDC and USDT through various decentralized exchanges, subsequently consolidating the proceeds into ETH. The attacker’s wallet currently contains 11,409 ETH, representing approximately $23.7 million in current market value.

USR, engineered to maintain a $1 price peg, catastrophically collapsed to $0.025 on Curve Finance merely 17 minutes after the initial minting transaction. While the token experienced a partial rebound to approximately $0.85, it remained significantly depegged as of Sunday morning.

Resolv Labs announced on X that all protocol operations had been temporarily suspended. The development team emphasized that the collateral pool “remains fully intact” with “no underlying assets” compromised. They characterized the vulnerability as “isolated to USR issuance mechanics.”

Despite these assurances, blockchain analysts highlighted that existing USR holders suffered substantial damage. The massive influx of 80 million newly minted tokens severely diluted the circulating supply, while the attacker’s aggressive selling depleted available pool liquidity. Any investors holding USR during the incident experienced immediate portfolio losses.

Security Flaws Traced to Inadequate Access Management

Blockchain security analyst Andrew Hong identified the breach’s origin as a privileged account designated as the SERVICE_ROLE. This critical account was controlled by a single externally owned account rather than a more secure multisignature wallet. The minting contract lacked essential safeguards including oracle verification, amount validation protocols, and maximum minting thresholds.

Pashov, a security firm that previously audited Resolv’s staking module in July 2025, informed Cointelegraph that the fundamental issue appears to stem from a private key compromise rather than inherent weaknesses in the protocol’s architectural design.

Cyvers CEO Deddy Lavid emphasized: “Audits alone are not enough. If you’re not monitoring minting and supply in real time, you’re blind when it matters most.”

Resolv’s official website documents 14 separate audit engagements conducted by five distinct security firms, a $500,000 bug bounty program hosted on Immunefi, and ongoing smart contract surveillance systems.

DeFi Ecosystem Responds to Contain Fallout

Numerous DeFi platforms implemented rapid response measures following the exploit. Lido confirmed that user funds deposited in Lido Earn remained secure. Aave founder Stani Kulechov stated the platform maintained no direct USR exposure and confirmed Resolv was actively repaying outstanding debt. Morpho co-founder Merlin Egalite clarified that only specific vaults had USR exposure.

Contagion Effects Spread Through Lending Ecosystems

Both USR and its staked derivative wstUSR were approved as collateral assets on platforms such as Morpho and Gauntlet. Market analysts observed that opportunistic traders may have acquired USR at its severely discounted price and leveraged it to borrow USDC at the full $1 valuation, effectively draining liquidity reserves from affected vaults.

Resolv’s junior insurance tranche, RLP, also faces potential capital impairment. Stream Finance, holding a substantial 13.6 million RLP position valued at approximately $17 million, could transmit additional losses to its depositor base. Stream previously disclosed a $93 million loss in November 2025.

The RESOLV governance token declined approximately 8.5% in the 24-hour period following the security breach.

This Resolv incident exemplifies a broader industry pattern. According to a recent Immunefi report, the average cryptocurrency hack now inflicts damages of approximately $25 million, with the five largest exploits during 2024–2025 representing 62% of total stolen funds.

Gold price extended losses below $4,500 before the bulls appeared. WTI Crude oil prices are rising and could climb further higher toward $105.00.

Important Takeaways for Gold and WTI Crude Oil Prices Analysis Today

· Gold price failed to clear $5,000 and declined heavily against the US Dollar.

· There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,525 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.

· WTI Crude oil prices are moving higher above the $95.00 resistance zone.

· There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line at $97.00 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.

Gold Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price failed to settle above $5,000 and reacted to the downside, as discussed in the previous analysis. The price traded below $4,800 and $4,650 to enter a bearish zone.

There was a sharp drop below $4,500. The price settled below the 50-hour simple moving average, and RSI dipped below 30. Finally, it tested the $4,320 zone. A low was formed at $4,319, and the price is now consolidating losses.

Immediate resistance on the upside is $4,420 or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $4,734 swing high to the $4,319 low.

The first major hurdle sits at $4,525. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $4,525 and the 50% Fib retracement. A close above $4,525 could initiate a recovery wave to $4,635. An upside break above $4,635 could send Gold price toward $4,735. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward $5,010.

If there is no fresh increase, the price could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near the $4,320 level. The first key area of interest might be $4,300. If there is a downside break below $4,300, the price might decline further. In the stated case, the price might drop to $4,200.

WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a strong increase from $91.80 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke $95.00.

There was a sustained upward movement above $95.50 and $98.00. More importantly, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line at $97.00. The bulls pushed the price above the 50-hour simple moving average, and the RSI climbed toward 60.

A high was formed near $99.42 before there was a minor pullback. The price declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $91.77 swing low to the $99.42 high.

However, the bulls are active above $95.00. Immediate resistance is $99.40. If the price climbs further, it could face hurdles near $100.00. The next major stop for the bulls might be $102.00. Any more gain might send the price toward $105.00.

Conversely, the price might correct gains and retest the 50-hour simple moving average at $95.60 and the 50% Fib retracement. The next area of interest on the WTI crude oil chart could be $94.70.

If there is a downside break, the price might decline to $91.80. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward $85.00.

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Key Takeaways

• DOGE consolidates around $0.094 within a descending triangle pattern established since the 2021 all-time high
• Critical resistance level at $0.10 could unlock price objectives between $0.20 and $0.30
• Elliott Wave framework indicates DOGE may be finishing its final corrective phase around $0.093–$0.094
• Technical analyst Javon Marks spots hidden bullish divergence with potential upside to $0.44
• Blockchain metrics reveal 60,000–110,000 daily active addresses, indicating consistent network engagement

Dogecoin (DOGE) currently hovers around $0.094 as of March 21–22, 2026, confined within a prolonged technical consolidation structure that market participants are monitoring with keen interest.

Following its peak at $0.73 in May 2021, DOGE has experienced approximately 73% depreciation and transitioned into a lengthy consolidation period. The weekly timeframe reveals a formation of descending peaks creating a triangle configuration, with price support maintained within the $0.055 to $0.08 corridor.

Chart analyst CryptoPatel drew attention to this formation, observing that DOGE is positioned close to the upper limit of this extended compression area. This pattern indicates diminishing volatility as downward momentum weakens.

Analyst Crypto Lens identifies a 5-year demand region surrounding $0.07867. Historical breakouts from comparable formations delivered returns of +173%, +180%, and +421%, although historical performance doesn’t ensure future replication.

Elliott Wave Analysis and Momentum Divergence

Certain market observers interpret the current structure using Elliott Wave methodology. According to this framework, DOGE appears to be finalizing the fifth and concluding segment of a corrective downtrend, with Fibonacci projections clustering between $0.093 and $0.094.

Should this wave sequence conclude near present price levels, buying interest may emerge to challenge resistance around $0.098–$0.10.

Independently, analyst Javon Marks has detected a hidden bullish divergence developing within the $0.093–$0.095 territory. While price establishes higher lows above $0.09, momentum indicators are recording lower lows — a technical condition frequently linked to diminishing bearish momentum.

Marks proposes that if this divergence materializes as expected, DOGE might surge beyond 350%, reaching price levels exceeding $0.44 from approximately $0.093.

Critical Price Zones Under Observation

TradingView technical summaries continue displaying a “Sell” orientation across moving average metrics. Momentum oscillators such as RSI and Stochastic maintain predominantly neutral readings.

Market participants are focusing on these crucial levels:

• Resistance zones: $0.095 and $0.098
• Major psychological barrier: $0.10
• Support foundations: $0.092 and $0.088–$0.090

A weekly candle closing beyond the descending trendline, accompanied by volume surge, would constitute the most definitive bullish confirmation. Chart-based projection techniques indicate a breakthrough above $0.10 might establish objectives within the $0.20–$0.30 spectrum.

Blockchain analytics from Glassnode and IntoTheBlock document daily active addresses fluctuating between 60,000 and 110,000, with daily transaction counts spanning 80,000 to 200,000.

As of March 22, 2026, DOGE registered at $0.09191, reflecting a 2.81% decline across the preceding 24-hour period. The $0.09 support threshold remains the critical structural foundation under trader observation.

Quick Overview

• Solana currently trades between $86 and $87, reflecting a roughly 7% decline across the last seven days
• On March 17, 2026, the SEC and CFTC jointly unveiled a comprehensive crypto token classification system
• Rising US-Iran geopolitical friction has dampened investor appetite for higher-risk digital assets
• Investment flows into Solana ETF products totaled between $21 million and $26 million last week, extending a six-week streak of positive inflows
• Critical support is positioned around $85; bulls need to reclaim $90 before challenging the $100 threshold

Solana (SOL) is currently changing hands near the $86–$87 range at press time, wrapping up a challenging trading week that saw the digital asset lose approximately 7% in value. This pullback aligns with broader cryptocurrency market weakness, as the aggregate market cap has retreated to roughly $2.36 trillion.

Bitcoin dropped beneath the $67,360 threshold over the weekend, sparking a cascade of liquidations throughout digital asset markets. Solana has experienced similar downward pressure during this period.

Growing geopolitical uncertainty continues to dampen market confidence. President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social: “PEACE THROUGH STRENGTH, TO PUT IT MILDLY!!!” — signaling heightened tensions with Iran.

Iranian officials warned they would target energy and water systems across Gulf states should Trump execute his stated plan to strike Iran’s electrical grid within a 48-hour window. These escalating threats have prompted investors to retreat from higher-risk asset classes.

Clearer Regulatory Framework Emerges

The SEC and CFTC released a collaborative interpretation document on March 17, 2026, establishing how existing securities regulations apply to cryptocurrency tokens. The framework introduces five distinct classifications: digital commodities, digital collectibles, digital tools, stablecoins, and digital securities.

Regulatory authorities emphasized that digital commodities, collectibles, and tools do not inherently qualify as securities under federal law. That said, they cautioned that specific promotional activities or organizational frameworks could alter this designation.

Solana received explicit mention in the guidance alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano as reference examples. This interpretation represents a component of the broader SEC-CFTC coordination initiative designed to establish more transparent cryptocurrency regulation across the United States.

Market analyst Ali Charts shared data on X (previously known as Twitter) on March 22, stating: “11.80 million Solana $SOL have been withdrawn from crypto exchanges over the last 96 hours.” Withdrawals at this magnitude typically suggest investors are transferring holdings into cold storage wallets rather than positioning for immediate sales.

Strong Institutional Appetite Persists

Despite recent price weakness, professional investor interest in Solana remains robust. Exchange-traded products focused on SOL attracted approximately $21 million to $26 million in net capital last week, representing the sixth straight week of positive flows based on SoSoValue tracking data.

Aggregate net capital flowing into Solana-linked investment vehicles has now reached $989.78 million since product launches began. Additionally, the total value locked within real-world asset protocols built on Solana climbed to an all-time high of $465 million this quarter.

Nonetheless, futures open interest on Binance has experienced steady contraction since mid-January, falling to $871.40 million as of Monday. Funding rates shifted into negative territory during the weekend session, registering -0.0011% on Monday—indicating that short sellers currently outnumber long position holders.

From a technical standpoint, SOL continues trading beneath the $90 resistance threshold. The Relative Strength Index hovers between 38 and 46 across various timeframes, reflecting subdued buying momentum. The MACD indicator persists in bearish territory.

The primary support level sits at $85. Should this floor fail, the next downside objective emerges at $80. Conversely, a sustained breakout above $90 would establish the foundation for an advance toward the $100 psychological level.

Boyaa Interactive International, a Hong Kong-listed Web3 gaming firm, plans to expand its crypto treasury with up to $70 million in new purchases. The company will seek shareholder approval for the move, which comes as firms reassess crypto treasury strategies during a market downturn.

Boyaa stated that it intends to deploy up to $70 million over the next year to grow its crypto holdings. The company said it aims to use “idle cash reserves during periods of weakness in the cryptocurrency market” to increase exposure. This approach focuses on buying during market dips rather than chasing rising prices.

The firm added that it will target assets with “good market liquidity, large market value, wide recognition on the market and relatively long-term holding value.” This suggests a preference for established cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ether rather than smaller tokens.

Boyaa already holds a large crypto treasury valued at nearly $285 million. This includes 4,091 Bitcoin worth around $280 million and 302 Ether valued at over $600,000. These holdings place the company among the top corporate Bitcoin holders globally.

The company began building its crypto position in 2024 as part of its transition into Web3 gaming. It invested $80.5 million in Bitcoin between August and November, showing a steady accumulation strategy tied to its long-term business plans.

In addition, Boyaa currently ranks as the 23rd-largest corporate Bitcoin treasury holder. It is also the third-largest in the Asia-Pacific region, behind Japan’s Metaplanet and China’s Next Technology Holding. This position reflects its growing role in the region’s digital asset space.

The expansion plan comes at a time when fewer companies are actively increasing crypto reserves. Some Bitcoin miners and firms have reduced holdings in recent months, reflecting caution across the market.

Market conditions and Web3 focus

The broader crypto market has declined by about 45% since October, creating a more cautious environment for treasury strategies. Boyaa’s plan to buy during weaker market conditions reflects a different approach compared to companies reducing exposure.

The firm continues to build its Web3 gaming ecosystem alongside its crypto investments. It has developed blockchain-based gaming products, including a Web3 version of its earlier Texas Hold’em platform that offers crypto rewards.

TLDR

• Fidelity Investments submitted formal correspondence to the SEC requesting comprehensive regulatory framework for digital asset operations by broker-dealers
• The correspondence emphasized alternative trading system (ATS) requirements for handling blockchain-based securities
• Fidelity advocates for regulatory standards enabling ATS platforms to facilitate trading of externally issued tokenized securities
• The asset manager proposed modernized reporting frameworks accommodating decentralized platform architecture
• Federal banking authorities clarified that tokenized securities maintain identical capital treatment as their traditional counterparts

Fidelity Investments has submitted a formal appeal to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission requesting enhanced regulatory clarity surrounding digital assets and blockchain-based securities. The correspondence reached the SEC’s Crypto Task Force on Friday.

The communication arrived as a direct response to SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce’s December inquiry. Peirce had solicited industry feedback regarding appropriate frameworks for national securities exchanges and alternative trading platforms managing cryptocurrency operations.

Fidelity expressed general approval of the SEC’s initiative to modernize regulatory frameworks for emerging technologies. However, the firm emphasized that significant gaps in guidance persist across multiple critical areas.

The asset management giant presented four primary policy recommendations. First among these was the continued development of regulatory standards governing broker-dealer engagement with digital assets.

Fidelity acknowledged recent SEC guidance affirming that broker-dealers possess authority to maintain custody of both crypto securities and non-security digital instruments. While recognizing this progress, the firm stressed that substantial ambiguity remains regarding trading operations and custodial protocols.

Regulatory Framework Needed for Tokenized Securities

A substantial section of Fidelity’s letter addressed tokenized securities specifically. These instruments represent traditional financial products—including equities, fixed income, real estate holdings, and private credit—that are either issued on or tracked through blockchain infrastructure.

Fidelity advocated for definitive regulatory parameters allowing ATS platforms to facilitate transactions in tokenized securities originated by third-party entities. The firm emphasized that broker-dealers require certainty in asset classification processes without assuming disproportionate legal exposure.

Additionally, the investment firm requested SEC confirmation that tokenized representations of conventional securities should maintain regulatory parity with their underlying assets. Such clarification could substantially minimize market friction between blockchain-based and traditional trading environments.

Roberto Braceras, serving as Fidelity’s general counsel, emphasized that the SEC should evaluate operational frameworks allowing centralized and decentralized trading infrastructure to coexist effectively.

Decentralized finance platforms inherently lack the centralized governance structures necessary to satisfy traditional exchange reporting obligations. Fidelity contended that existing regulatory requirements impose disproportionate compliance burdens on these alternative systems.

Blockchain Integration and Federal Banking Guidance

Fidelity additionally petitioned the SEC to authorize broker-dealers to implement blockchain infrastructure for regulatory recordkeeping purposes. The firm requested confirmation that utilizing on-chain settlement mechanisms would not subject broker-dealers to clearing agency regulatory obligations.

SEC Chairman Paul Atkins has demonstrated openness toward continuous capital market operations and has permitted financial institutions to pilot tokenized trading initiatives.

In a separate but related development, three federal banking regulators issued a coordinated statement in March. The Federal Reserve Board, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency jointly declared that tokenized securities remain subject to capital requirements identical to the assets they represent.

The regulatory agencies clarified that the technological infrastructure employed for security issuance or trading does not modify capital treatment classifications.

Commissioner Peirce has actively encouraged organizations pursuing tokenization strategies to maintain direct dialogue with regulatory bodies, representing a notable departure from previous enforcement-focused regulatory approaches.

Key Takeaways

• Cardano is currently exchanging hands around $0.25 following a weekly decline exceeding 7%, testing critical support zones
• Geopolitical tensions between the United States and Iran have triggered risk-off sentiment throughout cryptocurrency markets, impacting Bitcoin and ADA
• Open interest in ADA futures contracts has declined consistently since the middle of March, while funding rates have shifted into negative territory, signaling bearish positioning
• A distinctive “Black 9” buy indication from the TD Sequential methodology emerged on Cardano’s weekly timeframe March 21, projecting potential targets of $0.32 and $0.37 upon validation
• Both the SEC and CFTC designated ADA as a “digital commodity” on March 17, providing enhanced regulatory framework

Cardano (ADA) faces mounting downward pressure. The digital asset experienced a decline exceeding 7% during the past week and currently trades in the vicinity of $0.25, positioned near critical support thresholds. The convergence of international geopolitical instability, deteriorating futures market indicators, and widespread cryptocurrency market weakness is fueling the pessimistic sentiment.

Rising hostilities between the United States and Iran have created uncertainty among market participants. During the weekend, US President Donald Trump issued threats to attack Iran’s electrical infrastructure within a 48-hour window. Tehran countered with warnings that it would retaliate by targeting energy infrastructure and water facilities across Gulf region allies if subjected to military action. This diplomatic escalation prompted investors to retreat from higher-risk asset classes.

Bitcoin settled underneath $67,360 during Sunday’s session, catalyzing liquidation cascades throughout digital asset markets. Cardano mirrored this movement, concluding the weekend session around $0.25 and maintaining defensive trading patterns into Monday.

Futures Market Indicators Signal Bearish Positioning

Open interest in Cardano futures contracts decreased to $388.23 million as of Monday. This metric has experienced consistent deterioration since the middle of March, indicating reduced trader participation and conviction.

Funding rates have similarly shifted into bearish territory. Data from CoinGlass reveals ADA’s funding rate reached -0.019% on Monday, indicating short position holders are compensating long position holders. This dynamic generally indicates market positioning skewed toward downside expectations.

From a technical perspective, Cardano is positioned significantly beneath both its 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages, currently located around $0.28 and $0.33 respectively. The Relative Strength Index registers at 41, positioned below neutral territory though not reaching oversold extremes. The MACD histogram has crossed beneath the signal line once more, indicating deteriorating upward momentum.

Near-term resistance is established at $0.27, with more substantial resistance concentrated around $0.30. A daily candle close surpassing $0.30 would begin alleviating bearish momentum. Conversely, support is positioned at $0.24, with a substantial foundation at $0.22. Penetration below $0.22 would likely accelerate the downtrend.

Constructive Developments Provide Counterbalance

Despite prevailing headwinds, several positive factors are developing. On March 21, cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez identified an uncommon “Black 9” buy indication on Cardano’s weekly chart utilizing the TD Sequential technical framework. This signal implies exhaustion of selling momentum may be approaching. Confirmation requires ADA to conclude the weekly period above $0.23. Projected upside objectives from this formation are located at $0.32 and $0.37.

Cardano $ADA has printed a buy signal!

The TD Sequential indicator has flashed a “black 9” on the weekly chart, suggesting the recent downtrend has exhausted. This setup typically anticipates 1–4 weeks of upward expansion.

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The Blueprint:

• Validation: ADA must hold the $0.23… pic.twitter.com/FrhVV8N7Um

— Ali Charts (@alicharts) March 20, 2026

Cardano’s development organization also unveiled Node version 10.7.0, a significant upgrade that establishes infrastructure for upcoming protocol enhancements. The release incorporates advances to Plutus, Cardano’s smart contract framework, through multiple Cardano Improvement Proposals designed to optimize execution performance.

On March 17, the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission collaboratively designated ADA as a “digital commodity,” furnishing developers and financial institutions with greater regulatory certainty for US-based operations.

The Midnight privacy-focused sidechain, constructed by Input Output Global, is anticipated to deploy on mainnet during the current week.

Bithumb, South Korea’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, is pressing to reappoint CEO Lee Jae-won at its upcoming shareholders’ meeting on March 31, industry sources told the Korea Times. If shareholders approve, Lee would extend his tenure for another two years, with his current term set to expire at the end of March. Cointelegraph has sought comment from Bithumb but has not received a response at the time of writing.

The proposed renewal comes amid heightened regulatory scrutiny and a series of penalties that have tightened the exchange’s operating flexibility. In March, South Korea’s Financial Intelligence Unit levied a six-month partial suspension and a 36.8 billion won ($24.2 million) fine over alleged anti-money-laundering shortcomings. Under the sanctions, Bithumb is barred from processing external crypto transfers for new customers from March 27 to Sept. 26.

These pressures follow a February incident in which Bithumb mistakenly credited 2,000 BTC per user during a promotional payout instead of 2,000 won per user, distributing around 620,000 coins that the exchange subsequently could not back. The episode drew attention to governance and risk controls at the firm and added weight to ongoing regulatory scrutiny.

The Korea Times notes that Bithumb is also awaiting the outcome of investigations into its order-book sharing with an overseas platform, with further penalties possible and potentially complicating license renewals. Industry officials cited by the Times warned that Bithumb remains highly sensitive to the regulatory clock as it seeks renewal of its virtual asset service provider (VASP) license.

Key takeaways

• Bithumb aims to reappoint CEO Lee Jae-won at the March 31 shareholders’ meeting, potentially extending his tenure by two years if approved. Source: Korea Times.
• Regulatory actions penalized Bithumb with a six‑month partial suspension and a 36.8 billion won fine for AML shortcomings, plus a ban on external transfers for new customers (Mar 27–Sept 26).
• A February payout mishap credited 2,000 BTC per user instead of 2,000 won, distributing about 620,000 coins that could not be backed.
• Ongoing probes into order-book sharing with an overseas platform or other regulatory measures could threaten license renewal and operations.
• South Korea’s crypto market context remains supportive of growth, with Upbit leading in daily volume and a broader push toward clearer crypto regulation and the potential legalization of stablecoins.

Regulatory penalties and ongoing probes

The March penalties tallied to a substantial financial and operational impact on Bithumb. The six-month partial suspension and the 36.8 billion won fine came as regulators stepped up enforcement around AML controls, a theme that has reappeared in other exchanges’ compliance reviews. In addition to the funding penalty, Bithumb faces a prohibition on onboarding new customers’ external transfers for a six-month window, creating a temporary liquidity and onboarding bottleneck that could affect growth momentum.

The February mispayment incident amplified concerns about risk controls and operational resilience. By crediting 2,000 BTC per user rather than 2,000 won per user during a promo, Bithumb distributed a large, unbacked balance, underscoring governance challenges that authorities are likely to scrutinize closely as part of license-renewal proceedings.

Industry watchers cited by the Korea Times emphasized that the license renewal process remains a pivotal hinge for Bithumb’s near-term prospects. The regulator’s appetite for enforcement could influence not only Bithumb’s ability to operate but also the competitive dynamics among major Korean exchanges as the country’s crypto framework evolves.

Leadership renewal and market positioning

The proposed reappointment of Lee Jae-won signals a continuity plan at a time when regulatory risk is a material consideration for investors and operators. If endorsed by shareholders, Lee’s new two-year term would extend leadership through a period of heightened oversight, with the possibility of further policy adjustments by regulators that could shape Bithumb’s compliance posture and product strategy.

Market observers note that Bithumb remains a significant player in the domestic ecosystem even as it navigates penalties and investigations. Upbit continues to hold the top spot in 24-hour trading volume, followed by Bithumb and Korbit, according to CoinGecko figures. This ranking underscores Bithumb’s continued relevance in a crowded and competitive market and suggests that any regulatory disruptions could reverberate across major platforms.

As this unfolds, Cointelegraph contacted Bithumb for comment, but the exchange did not provide a statement at press time. The ongoing probes and the licensing process will be central to determining how quickly the firm can resume normal operations and whether the penalties portend broader changes to its business model or governance framework.

South Korea’s evolving crypto landscape

The regulatory and policy backdrop in South Korea has gradually shifted toward a more constructive stance for the crypto sector. The election of President Lee Jae-myung in mid-2022 catalyzed a push for crypto-friendly legislation, including a bill to legalize stablecoins and a broader regulatory roadmap intended to foster legitimate use and innovation while tightening compliance standards. In parallel, the user base for crypto services in Korea has continued to expand, with CoinGecko data showing exchanges like Upbit, Bithumb, and Korbit competing for liquidity and market share. By late last year, Korean crypto users surpassed 16 million, reflecting growing mainstream engagement.

Industry analysts also point to the domestic market’s potential to generate substantial revenue. Statista’s outlook for 2026 estimates the South Korean crypto sector could reach about $1.3 billion in revenue, highlighting the sector’s importance to the broader economy and the opportunity set for exchanges and infrastructure providers alike. The regulatory trajectory, combined with a rising user base and a public policy push toward clarity on stablecoins, sets the stage for continued evolution in Korea’s crypto scene.

For investors and builders, the key question remains: will Bithumb’s leadership renewal and the outcome of regulatory reviews stabilize the exchange’s path or signal a longer pause until a clearer compliance regime emerges? Markets will be watching not only the license decision but also how regulators and the exchange navigate AML improvements and governance reforms in the months ahead.

Readers should keep an eye on March 31, the date of the shareholder meeting, and on forthcoming regulatory updates regarding Bithumb’s VASP license and ongoing probes, as these developments will likely shape the competitive dynamics and regulatory expectations for Korea’s crypto sector in 2026.