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Crypto World

Pi Network Price Prediction: Can PI Reclaim $0.20?

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Pi Network price prediction with PI near $0.12 at its all-time low, weighing token unlocks and thin liquidity against ecosystem catalysts.

Pi trades near $0.12, sitting on its all-time low, down roughly 95% from its peak. Getting back to $0.20 would take a 60% gain. This guide weighs the unlocks and thin liquidity dragging it down against the upgrades and the Pi2Day catalyst that bulls are counting on.

Summary

  • Pi trades near $0.12-$0.13, sitting on or just below its all-time low near $0.13, down roughly 95% from its post-listing peak above $2.90.
  • Reclaiming $0.20 would require a gain of roughly 60% from current levels, a large move against a year-long downtrend, and persistent selling pressure.
  • The core drag is supply meeting weak demand: ongoing token unlocks add millions of coins while 24-hour volume sits below $10 to 26 million against a market cap over $1.3 billion, a sign of thin liquidity.
  • The bull case rests on catalysts: the annual Pi2Day event, newly launched smart contracts, a growing app ecosystem, and the long-awaited possibility of a major exchange listing.
  • Reclaiming $0.20 before year-end is possible but demanding, requiring real demand to finally outpace the unlocks, with the more likely path a continued grind unless a genuine catalyst lands.

Pi Network’s token trades near $0.12, sitting on or just below its all-time low, and the question for the rest of 2026 is whether it can claw its way back to $0.20, a level that would require a gain of roughly 60% from where it stands now. That framing matters because $0.20 is not an arbitrary target; it is the level Pi traded around as recently as late 2025 before its latest decline, a psychological and technical zone that, if reclaimed, would signal that the relentless downtrend has finally broken.

Pi Network price prediction with PI near $0.12 at its all-time low, weighing token unlocks and thin liquidity against ecosystem catalysts.
Pi Network daily price chart | Source: crypto.news

Getting there, though, means overcoming the forces that have driven Pi down roughly 95% from its post-listing peak above $2 and $0.90: a steady stream of token unlocks that keep adding supply, thin trading liquidity that makes the token fragile, weak real-world utility, and the conspicuous absence of a listing on a major tier-one exchange.

Against those headwinds stand a set of genuine catalysts that Pi’s large community is counting on, including the network’s annual flagship event, the recent arrival of smart contracts, a growing roster of ecosystem apps, and the ever-present possibility of a major listing. This piece weighs the two sides honestly to assess whether a move back to $0.20 is realistic before the year ends.

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The reason to frame Pi’s prediction around the twenty-cent question, rather than the wildly divergent multi-year targets that fill most prediction pages, is that Pi’s situation is fundamentally a near-term contest between supply and demand, and $0.20 is the concrete level at which that contest would be visibly resolved in the bulls’ favor.

The wildly optimistic long-term forecasts that some sites publish, and the community calls for prices many multiples higher, are largely disconnected from the mechanics actually driving Pi’s price right now, which are the unlock schedule, the thin liquidity, and the search for real demand. 

What follows traces how Pi reached its all-time low, maps the levels that matter, examines the supply problem that defines the token, weighs the catalysts that could spark a recovery against the forces holding it down, and lays out concrete bull, base, and bear scenarios for whether $0.20 is reachable before year-end.

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A long way back to $0.20

Start with the distance Pi has to travel, because it frames everything. At roughly $0.20, Pi sits on or just beneath its all-time low near $0.13, having fallen relentlessly from a peak above $2 and $0.90 recorded shortly after its broader market availability. That is a decline of roughly 95%, the kind of drawdown that leaves a token searching for any sign of a floor.

To reclaim $0.20 from $0.12 requires a gain of around 60%, which in the context of crypto is far from impossible over a year, but which represents a major reversal for an asset that has done little but fall and that faces continuous selling pressure from new supply.

The $0.20 level is meaningful precisely because Pi traded around it as recently as the fourth quarter of 2025, before sliding below it and then below subsequent support levels through the first half of 2026, so reclaiming it would mark a genuine break from the established downtrend.

The path to $0.20 was a steady erosion rather than a single collapse. Pi traded in a higher range through much of 2025, with periods in the $0.30-$0.40, before momentum faded in the second half of the year and the price slipped into the twenties and then below.

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In early 2026, it broke beneath the twenty-cent area that had served as support, and subsequent attempts to rally, often fueled by ecosystem announcements, failed to hold, with the price repeatedly rejected at higher levels before resuming its decline toward the all-time low. 

The token now trades below all of its major moving averages with momentum indicators in or near oversold territory, the technical signature of a sustained downtrend that has not yet found its bottom. The 60% climb back to $0.20, in other words, would have to overcome both the weight of a year-long decline and the specific forces that have driven it, which is why the question is genuinely open rather than a foregone conclusion in either direction.

The levels: $0.097 below, $0.20 above

The technical map around Pi is worth laying out, because it defines how much room there is on each side. Immediately around the current price, support sits in the area of $0.130-$0.135, the zone of the all-time low, with a break below it pointing toward lower levels that some analysts identify near $0.10, and a deeper “ultimate support” flagged around $0.09-$0.10.

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These are the downside markers: losing the all-time low would open the door to single-digit-cent territory, a prospect that underscores how fragile the current level is. The fact that Pi is testing its all-time low at all means there is little historical price structure beneath it to provide support, which is part of what makes the downside risk real.

On the upside, the resistance levels are stacked and meaningful, which is what makes the climb to $0.20 demanding. The first hurdle sits near $0.14, with a more significant barrier around $0.16, the level that has recently capped rallies. Above that, the seventeen-to-nineteen-cent zone represents further resistance, and then $0.20 itself, the target, sits at the top of this band as both a psychological round number and a former support-turned-resistance level.

For Pi to reclaim $0.20, it would have to break through this entire stack of resistance in succession, each level representing a point where sellers, including holders looking to exit losing positions and recipients of newly unlocked tokens, are likely to apply pressure.

The structure is therefore asymmetric in a worrying way for bulls: relatively little support beneath the all-time low, and multiple layers of resistance between the current price and the twenty-cent target. Climbing that wall requires sustained buying pressure that has been conspicuously absent, which brings the analysis to the core problem.

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The supply problem nobody can ignore

The single most important factor weighing on Pi’s price is the imbalance between supply and demand, and it is worth understanding in detail because it defines the token’s predicament. Pi has a very large maximum supply, and a substantial portion of the total has yet to enter circulation, held back by lock-up mechanisms that release tokens on a schedule. As those unlocks occur, new supply enters the market, and in June alone, the network was set to unlock well over 170 million tokens worth tens of millions of dollars.

This is the crux of the problem: every unlock adds coins that can be sold, and unless demand grows fast enough to absorb them, the additional supply pushes the price down. For a token already in a downtrend, a steady stream of unlocks acts as a persistent headwind, continually replenishing the supply available to sell into any rally.

Compounding the supply pressure is the thinness of Pi’s trading liquidity, which is striking given its size. Despite a market capitalization above $1 billion, Pi’s 24-hour trading volume has at times fallen below $10 million and generally sits in the low tens of millions, an unusually small amount of trading for a token of that nominal value. Thin liquidity makes a token fragile in both directions, but especially on the downside, because relatively small amounts of selling can move the price significantly when there are few buyers, and the steady supply from unlocks meets a market without deep enough demand to absorb it.

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This combination, ongoing unlocks adding supply into a thinly traded market with weak organic demand, is the fundamental reason Pi has ground lower, and it is the central obstacle to any recovery toward $0.20. Until demand grows enough to outpace the unlocks and deepen the liquidity, the supply problem will keep exerting downward pressure, which is why the bull case has to rest on catalysts large enough to change the demand side of the equation.

The bull case: catalysts that could spark a move

For Pi to reclaim $0.20, demand has to finally outpace the unlocks, and the bull case rests on a set of catalysts that could, in principle, drive that demand, several of which are concrete and near-term.

The most immediate is the network’s annual flagship event, held in late June, which has historically served as a moment for major ecosystem announcements, including new applications, developer initiatives, and feature launches. Because the community anticipates this event as a catalyst, it can drive a surge of engagement and speculative buying around the date, and a slate of well-received announcements could refresh the narrative around Pi and spark the kind of demand the price needs.

The event functions as a recurring opportunity for a positive surprise, and with it falling just days away from the current moment, it is the most time-sensitive catalyst on the horizon.

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The deeper bull case rests on the network’s technical progress and ecosystem growth. Pi recently introduced smart contracts through a series of protocol upgrades, a significant capability that opens the door to decentralized finance, real-world asset tokenization, and more complex applications, potentially giving the token the genuine utility it has lacked.

The ecosystem has shown early signs of life, with new applications and games attracting tens of thousands of users in short periods, developer tools expanding, and initiatives to make it easier for builders to launch apps and reach Pi’s large user base.

If this ecosystem activity translates into real, sustained usage that creates organic demand for the token, it could begin to absorb the unlock supply and shift the supply-demand balance. And hanging over everything is the possibility, long rumored and long awaited, of a listing on a major tier-one exchange, which would dramatically expand access, liquidity, and visibility, and which many in the community view as the single catalyst most capable of driving a substantial repricing.

Each of these, the event, the smart contracts, the ecosystem, and a potential major listing, is a plausible source of the demand a recovery would require, which is what keeps the bull case alive despite the bearish chart.

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The bear case: why $0.20 may stay out of reach

Honesty requires giving equal weight to the case that $0.20 stays out of reach, because the bearish argument is grounded in the same structural realities that have driven Pi to its all-time low.

The foundation is the supply problem: the unlocks are scheduled and will continue regardless of sentiment, so unless demand grows substantially and consistently, the steady addition of new supply will keep capping rallies and pressuring the price, making a 60% climb against that headwind genuinely difficult.

The thin liquidity reinforces this, because even if demand picks up, the shallow market can be overwhelmed by unlock-driven selling, and the absence of deep order books makes sustained rallies hard to hold.

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The bearish case is reinforced by the demand side’s persistent weakness. Despite a large user base, Pi has struggled to translate that into real economic activity that creates organic token demand, with utility remaining limited and much of the trading driven by speculation instead of usage.

The much-anticipated catalysts have, in the past, repeatedly failed to produce sustained demand: ecosystem announcements have sparked brief rallies that faded, and the major exchange listing that the community counts on has not materialized despite years of anticipation, with no guarantee it ever will.

The risk around the annual event is that announcements fail to meet the community’s high expectations, which could trigger sell pressure instead of a rally. And Pi remains exposed to the broader crypto market, where a weak environment for altcoins provides little tailwind.

The bearish synthesis is that Pi’s problems are structural and have repeatedly defeated the same catalysts the bulls are counting on, so the most likely path is a continued grind near or below the all-time low, with $0.20 remaining out of reach unless something truly changes the demand side in a durable way.

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One widely cited analysis has flagged a path toward $0.10 as a real possibility if unlocks keep outrunning demand.

The bull, base, and bear cases for year-end

Tying the scenarios to the supply-demand contest and the catalysts makes them concrete. These are conditional ranges, not predictions, and each depends on whether demand can outpace the unlocks.

  • Bull case: a genuine catalyst lands, whether a strong slate of announcements at the annual event, real adoption of the new smart-contract capabilities, breakout ecosystem usage, or a long-awaited major exchange listing, and demand finally outpaces the unlock supply. Pi breaks through the stack of resistance from fourteen to $0.19 and reclaims $0.20 before year-end, with the upper end of optimistic ranges pointing toward the high $0.20-$0.40 if a major listing in particular materializes.
  • Base case: Pi continues to grind in a low range near its all-time low, roughly $0.12-$0.18, as the unlocks and thin liquidity cap rallies while the ecosystem develops too slowly to generate the demand needed for a decisive breakout. In this scenario, the catalysts produce brief rallies that fade, $0.20 is approached at best but not reclaimed durably, and the token ends the year near where it began the second half. 
  • Bear case: the unlocks continue to outpace weak demand, the anticipated catalysts disappoint, no major listing arrives, and a soft broader market provides no support. Pi loses its all-time low and slides into single-digit-cent territory toward $0.10 or below, with $0.20 firmly out of reach and the structural supply problem dominating.

What to watch

For anyone tracking whether Pi can reclaim $0.20, the analysis points to a clear watchlist, and the first item is the annual event and its immediate aftermath. Because the late-June event is the most time-sensitive catalyst, the substance of its announcements and the market’s reaction will be an early and telling signal: a strong, well-received slate that drives sustained buying would support the bull case, while announcements that disappoint and a rally that fades would reinforce the bearish pattern of catalysts failing to produce lasting demand. Watching how Pi trades around and after the event is the most immediate test.

The second item is the perennial question of a major exchange listing, which remains the single catalyst most capable of a substantial repricing; any credible news of a tier-one listing would be a powerful bullish signal, while continued absence keeps a key source of liquidity and demand off the table.

The third item is the relationship between the unlocks and demand, which is the structural heart of the matter: watching whether trading volume and on-chain usage grow enough to absorb the scheduled unlock supply, or whether the unlocks continue to outpace demand, will indicate which direction the supply-demand balance is tipping. The fourth item is the adoption of the new smart-contract capabilities, and the ecosystem’s growth, since real, sustained usage is what would create the organic demand a durable recovery requires, as opposed to the speculative rallies that have repeatedly faded.

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The honest synthesis is that reclaiming $0.20 is possible but demanding, requiring demand to finally and durably outpace the persistent unlock supply, and that, absent a genuine catalyst of sufficient size, the more likely path is a continued grind near the all-time low. The catalysts that could change this are real, and some are near-term, but Pi’s history is a string of catalysts that sparked brief hope and faded, so the burden of proof rests firmly on demand actually showing up this time. 

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Pi trading near its all-time low?

Because of a persistent imbalance between supply and demand. Pi has a very large maximum supply, much of it released gradually through scheduled unlocks, and in some months, well over 100 million tokens enter circulation. That steady new supply meets weak organic demand and unusually thin trading liquidity, with twenty-four-hour volume sometimes below $10 million despite a market cap of over 1 billion. The result is continuous downward pressure: new supply gets sold into a shallow market without enough buyers to absorb it, driving Pi down roughly 95% from its post-listing peak to its current all-time low area near $0.12-$0.13.

What would it take for Pi to reach $0.20?

Demand would have to finally and durably outpace the unlock supply, which requires a genuine catalyst. The most immediate is the network’s annual late-June event, which can drive engagement if its announcements are strong. The deeper drivers would be real adoption of Pi’s new smart-contract capabilities, breakout ecosystem usage that creates organic token demand, and, most powerfully, a listing on a major tier-one exchange, which would expand access and liquidity. Reclaiming $0.20 from $0.12 is a roughly 60% gain, achievable in crypto over a year but demanding against the unlock headwind, so it depends on demand truly showing up.

What is the supply problem with Pi?

Pi has a large maximum supply, and a substantial portion has not yet entered circulation, held back by lock-up mechanisms that release tokens on a schedule. As these unlocks occur, new coins enter the market and can be sold, and unless demand grows fast enough to absorb them, the added supply pushes the price down. For a token already in a downtrend with thin liquidity, this acts as a persistent headwind, continually replenishing the supply available to sell into rallies. The supply problem is the central obstacle to any recovery, because it must be outpaced by demand for the price to rise durably.

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Why does Pi’s thin liquidity matter?

Because it makes the token fragile and amplifies the supply problem. Despite a market cap over $1 billion, Pi’s daily trading volume often sits in the low tens of millions or below, unusually small for a token of that size. Thin liquidity means relatively small amounts of selling can move the price significantly when buyers are scarce, so the steady supply from unlocks meets a market without the depth to absorb it smoothly. It also makes rallies hard to sustain, because shallow order books can be overwhelmed. Deepening liquidity, which a major exchange listing would help with, is part of what a durable recovery would require.

Could Pi fall below its all-time low?

Yes, that is the bear scenario, and it is a real risk. Because Pi is testing its all-time low, there is little historical price structure beneath it to provide support, so a decisive break lower could open the door to single-digit-cent territory, with analysts identifying levels near $0.10 and a deeper floor below that. This would happen if the unlocks continue to outpace weak demand, the anticipated catalysts disappoint, no major listing arrives, and the broader market stays soft. One widely cited analysis has flagged a path toward $0.10 as a genuine possibility if supply keeps overwhelming demand.

Are the bullish long-term Pi price predictions realistic?

Most of the very high long-term targets that circulate, including community calls for prices many multiples above current levels, are largely disconnected from the mechanics actually driving Pi’s price, which are the unlock schedule, thin liquidity, and weak demand. Reaching even $1, let alone the far higher figures some promote, would require a combination of full ecosystem adoption, sustained real usage, and much broader exchange access than exists today, and figures in the hundreds or thousands of dollars are not grounded in any realistic near or medium-term scenario. A disciplined view focuses on the near-term supply-demand contest instead of speculative long-range targets.

This article is information, not investment advice. The scenarios described are conditional ranges that depend on unresolved questions, not predictions, and Pi is highly volatile with thin liquidity. Prices, unlock schedules, and ecosystem developments reflect reporting available as of June 26, 2026, and can change quickly. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell. Verify current data from primary sources and consider your own circumstances before making any decision. 

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EU Lawmakers Back Review of DeFi, Staking and NFT Regulation

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EU Lawmakers Back Review of DeFi, Staking and NFT Regulation

The European Parliament’s economic affairs committee has urged the European Commission to assess whether crypto lending and borrowing, staking, non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and decentralized finance (DeFi) should be regulated.

The recommendations were part of a report tabled Friday for plenary vote. It also called for promoting tokenization across financial services, encouraging euro-denominated stablecoins and assessing whether additional crypto activities should be regulated under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA).

Drafted by Belgian Member of the European Parliament Johan Van Overtveldt, the report is an own-initiative resolution by the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs (ECON) that outlines recommendations for the Commission on digital asset regulation. 

It will next go before the European Parliament for a vote, expected July 7. If adopted, the resolution would become Parliament’s official position on digital assets policy but would not amend MiCA or create new legal obligations.

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The legislative timeline shows the committee’s approval of the report and its referral for a plenary vote. Source: European Parliament

Related: European Parliament throws support behind digital euro

EU warms up to regulated stablecoins

The recommendations also reflect an evolving view of stablecoins among policymakers. Days after former Bank for International Settlements general manager and longtime crypto critic Agustín Carstens softened his stance on stablecoins, the report welcomed euro-denominated stablecoins under MiCA and encouraged their development to support the bloc’s payment sector.

In 2023, Van Overtveldt called for tighter restrictions on cryptocurrencies following the banking turmoil surrounding Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank and Silvergate Bank. The crisis was also closely tied to stablecoins, as USDC issuer Circle held roughly $3.3 billion of its reserves at Silicon Valley Bank when it collapsed, briefly causing USDC to lose its dollar peg.

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Van Overtveldt likened cryptocurrencies to drugs during the 2023 banking crisis. Source:Johan Van Overtveldt

The report argued that euro-denominated stablecoins could complement tokenized commercial bank deposits and wholesale central bank digital currencies while enabling faster and cheaper cross-border payments. It also said broader adoption could strengthen the competitiveness of EU financial markets and the international role of the euro.

The stance also aligns with ECON’s broader vision for Europe’s digital money ecosystem. On Tuesday, the committee backed legislation for a digital euro, with lawmakers arguing that public and private forms of digital money should coexist rather than compete.

Related: Poland president vetoes MiCA bill again as crypto companies look to license abroad

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Lawmakers look beyond MiCA’s current scope 

Van Overtveldt first presented a draft of the report in February before months of negotiations and amendments by ECON members. The earlier version largely focused on MiCA’s existing framework, including stablecoin classifications and legal certainty for multi-issued stablecoins.

The committee-approved report urged consistent application of MiCA across the EU to preserve a level playing field for crypto firms. It also warned member states against introducing national requirements beyond MiCA that could fragment the bloc’s digital asset industry.

The Commission is already reviewing MiCA. In May, the Commission launched a public consultation seeking feedback on whether the framework should be expanded to cover areas including DeFi, staking, lending, NFTs and tokenized financial assets, while also reopening debate over the regulation’s ban on interest-bearing stablecoins.

Meanwhile, MiCA’s transitional period ends July 1, after which crypto asset service providers generally must hold authorization under the regulation to continue operating across the EU.

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Polymarket Hit by Third-Party Breach Drains $2.9M, Raises Compliance Risks

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Crypto Breaking News

Polymarket says a third-party vendor compromise discovered on Thursday enabled attackers to inject malicious code into its website interface, leading to a phishing campaign that targeted multiple users. According to blockchain analyst Specter, the injected script was used to drain an estimated $2.94 million from at least 11 Polymarket wallets.

Polymarket stated that the incident has been contained and that the compromised dependency has been removed. The platform also said affected users will receive full refunds. Cointelegraph contacted Polymarket for comment but did not receive a response before publication.

Key takeaways

  • Polymarket reported a third-party vendor compromise that allowed attackers to inject a malicious script into its frontend.
  • Analyst Specter linked the malicious code to phishing activity, estimating losses of about $2.94 million across at least 11 user wallets.
  • Polymarket said the issue has been contained, a dependency has been removed, and users will be fully refunded.
  • Blockchain security reporting data indicates the incident fits within a high volume of crypto breaches in the quarter.
  • Separately, DefiLlama data shows private key compromise remains the dominant cause of reported exploit losses over the last 30 days.

Frontend compromise and phishing-driven wallet losses

The Polymarket incident centers on a supply-chain style failure rather than a direct smart contract exploit. Specter said the malicious script appeared to enable a phishing attack that redirected or induced users into compromising credentials or authorizations, culminating in unauthorized asset movement from user wallets.

In practice, this type of front-end compromise can be especially damaging for institutions and compliance teams because it shifts the risk profile away from on-chain mechanics alone. Even where contracts are unchanged, malicious web-layer code can manipulate user behavior, compromise session-related security assumptions, or trick users into signing harmful transactions. For regulated entities that integrate with or route user access to crypto services, incidents like this highlight the need for tighter vendor governance and continuous integrity controls over externally served dependencies.

Polymarket’s response suggests the affected component was identified and removed after discovery. Its commitment to fully refund users also raises operational and policy considerations: while refunds may mitigate user harm, they do not automatically address whether the underlying controls—such as third-party software update processes, dependency monitoring, and incident response playbooks—were sufficient to prevent reoccurrence.

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DefiLlama breach reporting underscores a pattern of recurring exploit methods

The Polymarket case arrives as crypto security incident reporting remains elevated. DefiLlama data places the event within a broader timeline: the third quarter’s second quarter-to-date statistics indicate the quarter had its most-hacked period by incident count, according to Cointelegraph’s reference to DefiLlama and its reporting on Q2.

DefiLlama also reports that June saw reported crypto exploit losses of $74.9 million across 29 incidents, exceeding May’s $60.5 million total but remaining well below April’s $644 million peak.

Among the largest June incidents were a $36 million Humanity Protocol exploit, a $4.7 million Secret Network bridge exploit, two separate Aztec exploits valued at $2.1 million each, and a $1.7 million bridge exploit tied to Taiko. While each exploit involves different technical pathways, they collectively reinforce a key compliance reality: incident frequency and magnitude continue to stress operational risk management across exchanges, wallets, and service providers with protocol-level exposure.

DefiLlama’s breakdown of losses over the past 30 days points to private key compromise as the most common leading vector, accounting for 43% of reported exploit losses. Fake proof exploits made up 10%, and reverse MEV honeypots accounted for 8%. For risk teams, these categories matter because they indicate whether controls should prioritize key management, signature/authorization integrity, or transaction routing safeguards for automated systems and integrators.

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Private key history at Polymarket highlights multiple threat surfaces

About a month before the reported Polymarket frontend incident, the prediction market disclosed an additional exploit traced to a six-year-old private key used for internal top-up operations. Cointelegraph previously reported that Polymarket said contracts and user funds remained safe in that earlier case and that all permissions associated with the compromised key were revoked.

Taken together, the two events underscore that Polymarket—or any crypto service with on-chain and off-chain touchpoints—can face multiple, distinct threat surfaces: backend key management for operational processes, and web-delivered dependencies for user-facing interactions. For institutional stakeholders, the combination can complicate assurance: even when one control area is remediated (for example, permissions revoked after a key issue), a separate control plane—like third-party dependency integrity—can still introduce new risk.

Polymarket’s scale also implies higher stakes for incident governance. DefiLlama reports that the platform holds more than $450 million in total value locked, up from $112 million a year ago.

Regulatory and compliance implications for crypto firms and integrators

Although Polymarket operates in a market with evolving regulation, incidents of this nature feed directly into compliance expectations for crypto businesses. Under frameworks such as the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation (MiCA), firms are expected to meet governance and operational resilience obligations, while AML/CFT requirements under applicable regimes typically extend to “know your customer” processes and the protection of user funds. Supply-chain compromise and phishing-driven theft also raise questions for regulated counterparties about how customer asset protection claims are substantiated in practice.

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For exchanges, wallet providers, payment processors, and institutional service providers, vendor-linked incidents may trigger additional internal review under third-party risk management policies. Common areas include: the lifecycle management of dependencies, auditability of frontend build and deployment pipelines, incident detection and containment procedures, and the adequacy of refund or restitution policies. Even if the theft originates outside on-chain code, user harms can still translate into regulatory scrutiny about consumer protection, disclosures, and operational risk controls.

Cross-border differences in enforcement priorities can further complicate response. In the United States, where crypto enforcement actions have frequently addressed security, consumer protection, and alleged failures in compliance controls, and where federal agencies coordinate through legal processes and subpoenas, a frontend-driven phishing incident can still be framed as a failure to maintain reasonable safeguards. Separately, AML/KYC obligations do not prevent phishing, but they can affect how stolen funds are identified, how affected users are supported, and how suspicious activity is triaged.

For institutional compliance monitoring, the most actionable element is the incident pattern itself: third-party compromise leading to user deception, alongside persistent exploit vectors such as key compromise. These themes suggest that governance should cover both technical controls (key management, permissioning, transaction integrity) and administrative controls (vendor oversight, software supply-chain assurance, and documented response measures).

Closing perspective

Polymarket says the compromised dependency has been removed and that affected users will be refunded. The next phase will likely involve detailed post-incident validation of the compromised supply chain, verification of residual exposure across its frontend delivery stack, and continued alignment of technical controls with the compliance expectations institutions apply to customer protection and operational resilience. Security incident reporting will remain a key reference point for assessing whether this case reflects a broader systemic risk pattern or an isolated vendor failure.

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How MiCA is Testing Binance’s Four Competitive Advantages

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2025 Centralized Exchange Trading Volume

Binance’s competitive advantages are facing a hard new test. Europe’s sweeping new crypto rulebook reopens an old question: how much of its dominance is due to scale, and how much to a regulatory gap.

The pressure is immediate. The European Union (EU) is forcing Binance out of the bloc under new Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) rules. Days earlier, OKX chief executive Star Xu split its success into four parts, arguing each leans on those gaps.

Binance Has Four Competitive Advantages

Analysts and rivals credit Binance’s dominance to four pillars, a breakdown Xu recently detailed. Each is a real strength. Each also now faces a harder test.

Regulatory Arbitrage

Binance scaled quickly by operating across many markets, often ahead of local licensing requirements. That kept costs low. US prosecutors later found that it had never filed a suspicious activity report and let US users trade more than $898 million with sanctioned Iran.

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It settled for $4.3 billion in 2023, the year founder Changpeng Zhao pleaded guilty and resigned.

Since then, it has chased licenses and, when pushed, left markets instead, exiting Canada, the Netherlands, and an earlier German application.

A Market-Leading Listings Engine

Binance turns attention into volume better than any rival. It took 39.2% of the top exchanges’ spot trading in 2025, almost five times the share of its nearest competitor, according to CoinGecko.

2025 Centralized Exchange Trading Volume
2025 Centralized Exchange Trading Volume. Source: Coingecko

By its own count, it processed $34 trillion in total product volume across the year. Its Launchpad and constant listings keep traders chasing the next token, though critics warn the sharpest hype cycles leave retail holding the losses.

Unmatched Distribution

Binance counted more than 300 million registered users by the end of 2025, the company reported. A network of affiliates, volunteer Angels, and media partners stretches that reach further.

Supporters call it strong community building. Critics call it narrative management when bad news lands.

Heavy Compliance Investment

Binance’s compliance spending has topped $200 million a year, up from $158 million two years earlier, chief executive Richard Teng told Bloomberg. It fielded about 63,000 law enforcement requests in 2024, up from 58,000.

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Yet US prosecutors still imposed a three-year independent monitor in 2023, and critics, Xu among them, say the controls long trailed the marketing.

“Let’s see how Binance plays the regulatory arbitrage game again…Regulators are ultimately evaluating outcomes, not organizational charts,” Xu said, with his own exchange competing directly with Binance.

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Why the Moat May Still Hold

Binance’s scale is hard to dispute. It pushed $7.3 trillion in spot trades in 2025, far ahead of the field. It also held the top rank through the upheaval that followed CZ’s exit and Teng’s arrival.

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Binance says its proof-of-reserves system now backs about $163 billion in user assets.

That base reaches across Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America, well beyond Europe.

Even so, the EU squeeze is real. Binance is winding down EU services next week, and it withdrew its Greek bid days ago.

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“Binance is not leaving Europe,” Gillian Lynch, its Head of Europe and UK, told Reuters.

Rivals are circling. Kraken cleared Ireland and Coinbase chose Luxembourg, ready to absorb users Binance sheds.

Analyst Paul Barron is less alarmed, calling the deadline a priced-in consolidation that mostly clears dormant platforms.

The open question is how much of Binance’s lead is scale and how much is a regulatory gap. Cleaner rules should start to answer it.

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The post How MiCA is Testing Binance’s Four Competitive Advantages appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Majors fall 9% over week as AI stocks lure buyers

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Majors fall 9% over week as AI stocks lure buyers

Dogecoin and Hyperliquid’s HYPE led the week’s losses across crypto, falling near 10%, as money kept flowing toward stocks tied to the artificial-intelligence boom and away from major tokens.

Dogecoin slid 9.6% over seven days to about $0.076 and HYPE lost 9.9%, the steepest falls among the majors. Ether dropped 8.4% to about $1,581 and XRP fell 7.8% to $1.06, while solana and tron held up better, roughly flat on the week at $72 and $0.32.

Bitcoin was the steadier major, down 5.3% to around $60,345 on Saturday after dipping to about $58,800 on Friday and recovering, per CoinDesk data.

“Bitcoin approached $58K at its lows late Thursday and early Friday, but in both cases, aggressive buying quickly pushed it back into the $60K range,” Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro chief market analyst, told CoinDesk. “This pattern resembles margin position liquidations during downtrend spikes, followed by strong buying on pending orders during the recovery.”

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“Given deteriorating sentiment among institutional investors and their ability to quickly divest from cryptocurrencies to stabilise their balance sheets, it is worth preparing for continued pressure and periodic sell-off spikes by leveraged traders,” he added.

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Ripple CEO stays bullish on bitcoin but says Saylor’s strategy has hurt crypto

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Ripple CEO stays bullish on bitcoin but says Saylor's strategy has hurt crypto

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse said he remains bullish on bitcoin but that Michael Saylor’s approach to funding bitcoin purchases has damaged the broader crypto market, in a CNBC interview on Friday, as the preferred stock at the center of Strategy’s model fell to a record low.

“Financial engineering does not drive long-term value,” Garlinghouse said, arguing that the lasting value of any digital asset comes from its usefulness. “Team Michael Saylor wasn’t focused on the right stuff and that has hurt the overall market.”

He separated that from his view on the asset itself, saying he is still bullish on bitcoin.

Garlinghouse’s target was the machine Strategy has used to accumulate bitcoin. For about a year, the company has issued preferred shares, a class of stock that pays a fixed dividend, to raise cash for more bitcoin.

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Its STRC share carries an 11.5% annual dividend and is engineered to trade near $100. Garlinghouse pointed to STRC trading about 25% below that level as a “damning indictment” of the strategy.

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Solana (SOL) Rebounds Above $70, Bitcoin (BTC) Fights for $60K: Weekend Watch

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Bitcoin’s price volatility around and just under $60,000 continued at the end of the business week, but the asset has managed to climb above this level as of Saturday morning.

Most larger-cap alts are slightly in the green, with XRP trading above $1.05 and ETH standing close to $1,600. SOL has risen the most from this cohort.

BTC Fights for $60K

The business week began on the right foot for the primary cryptocurrency as the asset rebounded from the weekend slump to $62,500 and tapped $65,500 on Monday. However, that was a short-lived attempt for a more profound recovery as the bears were quick to intervene and halt all the progress.

In the following hours, the asset fell to $62,000. It bounced to $63,000, but the next leg down was even more painful. Bitcoin broke below $60,000 for the second time this month and tapped $59,000. After another dead-cat bounce to almost $62,000, the asset plunged even harder on Thursday, dumping to $58,000 for the first time since late 2024.

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The latest leg down was strongly related to the adverse price moves observed from Strategy’s MSTR, which also marked a multi-year low of under $80. Nevertheless, BTC has managed to recover some ground from the aforementioned low and now stands at just over $60,000 despite the new attacks in the Middle East.

Its market capitalization has risen to $1.210 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the alts remains under 56%.

BTCUSD June 27. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD June 27. Source: TradingView

SOL, AAVE Pump

Ethereum continues to climb gradually after the recent low of $1,510 and now trades close to $1,600 following a minor daily increase. XRP has reclaimed the $1.05 support after a 2% jump since yesterday. Solana’s SOL has gained the most from the larger-cap alts today and sits above $72.

Even more impressive gains come from AAVE, AVAX, and MORPHO. Aave’s token has risen by double digits and sits above $95, while AVAX is north of $6.6. MORPHO has neared $1.80 following a 7% jump.

In contrast, MemeCore continues to drop, losing another 20% of value and struggling below $0.70 as of now.

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The total crypto market cap has recovered over $80 billion since the Thursday low and is up to $2.170 trillion.

Cryptocurrency Daily Overview June 27. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Daily Overview June 27. Source: QuantifyCrypto

The post Solana (SOL) Rebounds Above $70, Bitcoin (BTC) Fights for $60K: Weekend Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Kalshi Seeks $40B Valuation Seven Weeks After $22B Raise

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Kalshi Seeks $40B Valuation Seven Weeks After $22B Raise


Prediction-market operator Kalshi is in talks to raise fresh capital at a valuation of roughly $40 billion, according to the Financial Times, nearly double the price tag from a round that closed just seven weeks ago. The Financial Times first reported the talks, citing people familiar with the… Read the full story at The Defiant

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BlackRock-backed Securitize targets $400M in NYSE market debut

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Cantor Equity Partners II (CEPT) stock chart showing a 7% gain to $10.86 at market close, with shares rising further to $11.00 in after-hours trading.

Securitize has secured commitments expected to deliver about $400 million ahead of its planned New York Stock Exchange debut through a merger with Cantor Equity Partners II.

Summary

  • Securitize expects to raise about $400 million ahead of its planned NYSE listing through a merger with Cantor Equity Partners II.
  • Backed by BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, Coinbase, and Circle, the firm continues expanding its tokenization business with new institutional products.
  • The market debut comes as Securitize grows its on-chain asset platform while defending itself in a patent dispute with tZERO.

According to Securitize, fewer than 30% of shareholders in Cantor Equity Partners II, the special purpose acquisition company taking the firm public, chose to redeem their shares following the final redemption results.

The company said it now expects to receive approximately $400 million in gross proceeds from the transaction, including related private investment in public equity (PIPE) financing, before transaction-related expenses.

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The proposed listing comes as tokenization companies continue attracting institutional attention, with firms seeking to bring traditional financial assets onto blockchain networks. Securitize counts BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, Coinbase, and Circle among its backers and has become one of the largest providers of tokenization infrastructure for financial institutions.

The merger is expected to complete next week

Market reaction has been positive ahead of the vote. Shares of Cantor Equity Partners II closed 7% higher at $10.86 on Friday before extending gains in after-hours trading to $11.

Cantor Equity Partners II (CEPT) stock chart showing a 7% gain to $10.86 at market close, with shares rising further to $11.00 in after-hours trading.
Source: Yahoo Finance

According to Securitize, shareholders are scheduled to vote on the merger on Monday. If approved and all remaining closing conditions are satisfied, the transaction is expected to close on July 1. The combined company is then expected to begin trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SECZ on July 2.

Commenting on the listing, Securitize co-founder and CEO Carlos Domingo said reaching the public markets represents an important step for the company after more than eight years of building tokenization infrastructure.

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“Reaching the public markets is a significant milestone for Securitize and a reflection of the growing momentum behind tokenization.”

Domingo added that tokenized securities, once considered largely theoretical by major financial institutions, are now moving into mainstream finance as institutional adoption continues to grow.

The public debut also follows several months of expansion for the company. As previously reported by crypto.news, Securitize recently extended its Tokenized AAA CLO Fund (STAC) to the Solana blockchain. The company said Ethena Labs plans to allocate $250 million to the fund, which invests in U.S. dollar-denominated AAA-rated collateralized loan obligation tranches.

According to Securitize, the product is developed with BNY serving as custodian of the underlying assets and sub-adviser through BNY Investments.

Institutional tokenization business continues to expand

Alongside new investment products, Securitize has continued growing its role in tokenized capital markets. Earlier this year, the company partnered with the New York Stock Exchange to support the exchange’s planned tokenized securities platform.

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Crypto.news previously reported that Securitize provides tokenization infrastructure for more than 650 funds and oversees more than $4 billion in tokenized assets. BlackRock has also deepened its relationship with the firm.

In May, crypto.news reported that the asset manager filed a second Securitize-powered tokenized fund with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission after its BUIDL fund expanded to roughly $2.3 billion in assets.

At the same time, Securitize is dealing with a legal dispute ahead of its market debut. As reported by crypto.news, the company recently asked the U.S. District Court for the District of Delaware to declare that its products do not infringe patents owned by tZERO after receiving a cease-and-desist letter. Securitize called the allegations “without merit,” while tZERO said its claims involve patents covering compliance systems, investor registry checks, and tokenized market infrastructure.

Separate industry forecasts also point to continued growth in tokenized finance. Earlier this month, Standard Chartered projected that tokenized assets used in decentralized finance could reach $2.7 trillion by the end of 2030, up from current levels.

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Coinbase Base Restarts Block Production After 2-Hour Halt

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Crypto Breaking News

Base, Coinbase’s Ethereum layer-2 network, has resumed normal operation after a consensus-related issue temporarily halted block production for nearly two hours on Thursday. The incident triggered “unhealthy” block building, leaving new blocks unable to be created until the network isolated and corrected the underlying problem.

Base said blocks were later being produced normally and that the broader ecosystem infrastructure had recovered and synced. The outage was unusual for a chain that has become a go-to venue for activity on Ethereum’s scaling roadmap, highlighting how sensitive rollup operations can be when consensus and sequencing logic fail.

Key takeaways

  • Base went offline briefly due to a consensus problem that resulted in an invalid block being sequenced and prevented new block creation.
  • Base reported recovery of “healthy blockbuilding” and confirmed ecosystem-wide infrastructure synchronization.
  • The outage occurred around an on-chain upgrade window, with a Base upgrade (“Beryl”) scheduled for 6 pm UTC.
  • Network creators emphasized that user funds remained safe, while reiterating that a block-production halt is not acceptable.
  • Thursday’s incident joins a small set of notable recent outages affecting major L2 ecosystems.

How the outage unfolded

Base’s status page said it began investigating “unhealthy” block production at 4:03 pm UTC on Thursday. In a subsequent update at 5:21 pm UTC, the Base team explained that it had “isolated a consensus problem” which caused an invalid block to be sequenced.

According to the status updates, that invalid sequencing stopped progress at the protocol level: “This prevented new blocks from being created.” In other words, the issue was not presented as a simple infrastructure hiccup; it was tied to the chain’s ability to agree on what should be built next.

Recovery confirmed, post-mortem expected

Base later posted an operational recovery update just before 6 pm UTC. It said the network had “recovered healthy blockbuilding,” and that ecosystem-wide infrastructure was able to sync again. Base also indicated that it had identified the issue and would continue investigating the root cause, promising a full post-mortem.

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Separately, Base’s creator Jesse Pollack used X to reassure users that funds on the network are safe. Pollack also framed the halt as a solvable operational setback, saying it would be used to “level up” Base as a platform aimed at supporting continuous, global finance.

An uncommon downtime event for a leading L2

The episode stands out as a rare downtime event for Base. The report notes that Base is widely considered among the most-used Ethereum layer-2 networks, and it cites the chain’s previous major outage in August 2025, when Base reportedly went down for 33 minutes. That earlier incident is referenced via Base’s status page.

Such disruptions matter for users and developers because L2 block production is the backbone for transaction inclusion, sequencing, and timely settlement flows. Even if funds remain safe, a halt can translate into delays for withdrawals, reduced reliability for dApps, and friction for systems that assume steady block cadence.

Upgrade timing raises questions for reliability planning

Base downtime appeared to occur separately and shortly ahead of a scheduled network upgrade dubbed “Beryl,” planned for 6 pm UTC. The described goal of the Beryl upgrade was to reduce delays on withdrawals and introduce a new token standard intended for real-world assets and stablecoins.

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That timing is important for operators and integrators: when an outage overlaps with a planned change, teams typically have to ensure that the network can recover cleanly and continue the upgrade without compounding issues. Base did not state that the outage directly affected the Beryl rollout, but the proximity means builders watching Base would likely want to see post-recovery monitoring closely through the upgrade window.

The incident also comes amid broader reminders across the L2 landscape. The report points to Sui experiencing two periods of downtime on back-to-back days in May, each involving temporary stops in block production. In that case, Sui later attributed the downtime to a network update it said it knew had a low probability of causing a halt—an example of how even planned changes can create operational risk.

What to watch next

Base has said it will share a detailed post-mortem and identified the consensus problem responsible for blocking new block creation. Investors, traders, and developers should watch for that report, plus confirmation that the Beryl upgrade proceeds smoothly with stable block production and no renewed consensus symptoms around the new token standard changes.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Securitize Targets $400M Raise Before Public Market Debut

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Crypto Breaking News

Tokenization platform Securitize is set to make its long-awaited leap into the public markets after reporting final redemption results for its merger partner, Cantor Equity Partners II (CEPT). According to Securitize’s filing, fewer than 30% of CEPT shareholders chose to redeem their shares—an outcome that improves the odds that the deal can move forward as scheduled.

The company said the transaction is expected to generate approximately $400 million in gross proceeds, including private investment in public equity (PIPE) financings. The merger is expected to close on Wednesday, July 1, followed by trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SECZ on Thursday, July 2, subject to shareholder approval on Monday and other closing conditions.

Key takeaways

  • Securitize said final redemption results show less than 30% of CEPT shareholders redeemed, a lower-than-feared level that supports deal momentum.
  • The merger is expected to bring in about $400 million in gross proceeds, including PIPE financing, excluding transaction-related expenses.
  • The company plans to begin NYSE trading under ticker SECZ on July 2, after the July 1 expected closing.
  • The move reflects accelerating institutional interest in tokenized securities amid heightened attention from US regulators.

Redemption results reduce uncertainty for the merger

The immediate catalyst for CEPT’s post-announcement trading was Securitize’s update on final redemption outcomes. In a statement to investors reported by PR Newswire, Securitize said that its final redemption results indicated that fewer than 30% of CEPT shareholders elected to redeem.

Redemption thresholds matter for SPAC-style transactions because they directly affect the cash proceeds available at closing. While Securitize did not characterize the numbers as “unexpected” in its release, the company’s disclosure effectively signals that the funding structure underpinning the merger is likely to remain intact, clearing one of the more common obstacles for deals tied to shareholder opt-outs.

On Friday, CEPT shares rose, closing up 7% to $10.86 and continuing higher after hours to $11, according to market data cited alongside the announcement.

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Expected proceeds and what they mean for tokenization ambitions

Beyond the redemption update, Securitize outlined the expected funding to be raised through the combination. The company said it expects to receive approximately $400 million in gross proceeds from the merger, including related PIPE financings, while excluding transaction-related expenses.

For investors watching tokenization, the scale of the proceeds is not just about corporate finance—it also points to how seriously major market participants are preparing for tokenized securities infrastructure. Tokenization remains a complex intersection of technology, market structure, and regulatory compliance. Capital raised in public markets can help cover product expansion, business development, and operational scaling as tokenized offerings move from pilots toward broader rollouts.

Securitize positions the listing as a “significant milestone” and, in remarks shared in the company’s release, CEO Carlos Domingo framed the step as evidence that tokenization is shifting from a niche concept to a mainstream institutional priority.

Why this public listing matters to the tokenization market

Securitize’s debut arrives at a moment when Wall Street increasingly views tokenization as a route to improved settlement efficiency and asset accessibility, while regulators continue to refine expectations for how tokenized securities should be offered and traded.

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The company is backed by major institutions, including BlackRock and Morgan Stanley, and also counts crypto-native firms such as Coinbase and Circle among its supporters, according to the information provided in the announcement. That blend matters because it suggests tokenization is being pursued simultaneously through traditional capital markets channels and crypto rails—an alignment that can influence how liquidity, custody, and compliance tooling evolves.

In addition, Securitize has been actively working with established market infrastructure. Earlier this year, the company partnered with the New York Stock Exchange in March to support tokenized assets for the exchange’s upcoming tokenized securities platform—an effort reported by Cointelegraph. While that project is distinct from Securitize’s SPAC path, it reinforces the company’s goal of becoming a bridge between regulated markets and tokenized issuance.

Elsewhere in the broader ecosystem, Standard Chartered earlier this month projected that tokenized assets active in decentralized finance could expand 37-fold to $2.7 trillion by the end of 2030. That kind of forecast underscores why investors are paying attention to tokenization platforms that can operate across different settlement and trading environments.

Regulatory backdrop: SEC decisions still shape the pace

Even as interest grows, US regulatory uncertainty continues to influence how quickly tokenized products can be adopted in mainstream trading venues. In mid-May, Cointelegraph reported that the US Securities and Exchange Commission was reportedly ready to allow trading of tokenized stocks under an innovation-related framework. However, the plan was later delayed after stock exchange officials raised concerns about implementation details, according to that earlier coverage.

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This matters for Securitize and peers because the path from “tokenization is possible” to “tokenization is broadly tradable” depends heavily on regulatory clarity—especially around operational readiness, market oversight, and the mechanics of secondary trading for tokenized instruments. A public-market listing can bring visibility and liquidity, but compliance and market structure decisions still determine how fast product adoption accelerates.

What to watch next

With a planned July 1 closing and July 2 NYSE start under ticker SECZ, the next key signal will be whether shareholder approval and remaining closing conditions clear without further complications. Investors should also watch how regulatory developments around tokenized stock trading evolve, since they will likely influence the pace at which tokenization platforms convert momentum into large-scale liquidity and recurring issuance.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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