Crypto World
Policy Summit and other things at Consensus 2026: State of Crypto
Consensus 2026 in Miami starts Tuesday. We’ve got a host of policy sessions — some of which this newsletter previewed a few weeks back. Here’s the full list of sessions you should attend. On the fence about going but you’ll be in Miami? Not too late to register. Can’t make it in person? Hit me up about a virtual pass.
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The narrative
Consensus 2026 Miami kicks off! Be there or be square.
Why it matters
The thing I enjoy most about Consensus is meeting folks who are willing to walk me through the policy and regulatory issues they’re following. We’re putting many of those folks on stage for that reason. The goal is for these sessions to be as informative as they are entertaining, if not more so. Bring your notebooks.
Breaking it down
The following is a complete list of the policy sessions taking place this week.
Tuesday
Wednesday
Thursday
- 10:00 a.m. ET: We are kicking off the Policy Summit. The goal: Eight hours of informed discussion on key issues, starting with how decentralized finance can be regulated, especially given all the hacks that keep on happening.
- 10:30 a.m. ET: Former IRS officials Raj Mukherjee and Seth Wilks will discuss the 1099-DA and how the IRS’ approach to digital assets may evolve. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 10:55 a.m. ET: PayPal Head of Crypto Compliance Larry Wade and Crypto Council for Innovation CEO Ji Hun Kim will talk about how fintech firms are looking at the regulatory sector for digital assets. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 11:40 a.m. ET: Senator Ashley Moody and Digital Chamber CEO Cody Carbone will discuss the industry’s relationship with D.C.
- 11:40 a.m. ET: Executives at federally regulated banks will discuss how more and more crypto companies are seeking banking licenses, and what that means for both the banking and crypto industries. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 12:50 p.m. ET: World Liberty Financial co-founders Donald Trump, Jr. and Zach Witkoff will take the stage.
- 12:55 p.m. ET: Breadcrumbs analyst James Delmore will lay out how much money has been dedicated to the 2026 election from crypto companies, and how that may be spent. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 1:00 p.m. ET: Stand With Crypto’s Mason Lynaugh, Fellowship PAC’s Jesse Spiro and Sternhell Group’s Alex Sternhell will discuss how the crypto industry is engaging with the midterm. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 1:30 p.m. ET: DeFi Education Fund’s Gavin Zavatone and Blockchain Association’s Lindsay Fraser will lay out what might happen with crypto legislation and rulemaking in 2027, based on the different possibilities this November. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 1:55 p.m. ET: SEC Crypto Task Force Chief Counsel Taylor Lindman will discuss his role and the work he’s engaged in at the regulator. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 2:00 p.m. ET: Tether’s Bo Hines and Bridge’s Lindsey Einhaus will talk about the evolution of stablecoin regulations.
- 2:10 p.m. ET: Former CFTC Acting Chair and current Moonpay CLO Caroline Pham, Aleo’s Head of Policy Yaya Fanusie and Binance Global Policy Lead Steven McWhirter will talk about recent regulator proposals around stablecoin rules, and what these proposals may eventually turn into. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 2:40 p.m. ET: Coinbase Vice President Kara Calvert will talk about the White House negotiations that may ultimately lead to a deal on stablecoin yield in the Clarity Act. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 2:55 p.m. ET: And speaking of the Clarity Act, is it even happening? Experts keeping track will weigh in. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 3:30 p.m. ET: Everyone is talking about tokenization, including how the rules around that sector of the financial services industry may change. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 4:00 p.m. ET: We’ve spilled a lot of ink talking about federal regulatory efforts, but the U.S. also has 50 states with their own jurisdictions and approaches. Representatives working with these states as part of, or with the local governments will talk about those approaches. This session is part of the Policy Summit.
- 4:30 p.m. ET: Last, but certainly not least: Prediction markets. Are prediction market contracts federally regulated swaps? Or are they gambling products dressed up as a financial derivative? These questions are sitting before courts throughout the country, and will likely wind up before the U.S. Supreme Court before all’s said and done. A crack group of lawyers are going to preview what those arguments might look like to close out Policy Summit.
If you’ve got thoughts or questions on what I should discuss next week or any other feedback you’d like to share, feel free to email me at nik@coindesk.com or find me on Bluesky @nikhileshde.bsky.social.
You can also join the group conversation on Telegram.
See ya’ll next week!
Crypto World
Warren Buffett Calls Stock Market a Casino and Warns U.S. Dollar Is Not Safe in 2026
TLDR:
- Buffett compared today’s stock market to a church with a casino attached, warning gambling is at a peak level.
- Berkshire Hathaway now holds over $397 billion in cash, signaling Buffett sees no compelling investment opportunity yet.
- Buffett warned the U.S. is not immune to runaway inflation, drawing parallels to the pre-Volcker dollar crisis era.
- He cautioned that real market crashes come from unexpected events, not from risks that investors are already watching.
Warren Buffett, 95, drew global attention at Berkshire Hathaway’s 2026 annual shareholder meeting in Omaha on May 2.
The legendary investor, now serving as chairman after stepping down as CEO in January, did not hold back on his views.
He compared today’s stock market to a casino, warned the U.S. dollar is not immune to runaway inflation, and explained why Berkshire continues to sit on a record cash pile exceeding $373 billion.
Buffett Sees Gambling, Not Investing, in Today’s Markets
During the lunch break, Buffett compared markets to “a church with a casino attached,” drawing a clear line between traditional value investing and the growing enthusiasm for short-term options trading.
He noted the casino side has grown increasingly crowded. The observation came as markets continue to see heavy retail participation in speculative instruments.
Buffett pointed to one-day options as a clear example. “If you’re buying one-day options or selling them, that’s not investing, it’s not speculating — it’s gambling,” he said.
He also cited a recent meme-driven short squeeze in a legacy rental car company as further proof of the mood. The episode mirrored retail-driven volatility seen in earlier years with other struggling companies.
Buffett added, “We’ve never had people in a more gambling mood than now.” That assessment came from a man who has witnessed every major market cycle of the past six decades. His view carries weight precisely because of that experience.
He also acknowledged his own limits in the current environment. Buffett said he understands fewer businesses today, as a percentage of the whole, than he did ten years ago.
He noted that younger people who grew up with newer industries carry an edge he no longer has. That admission explains, in part, why Berkshire has remained largely inactive in deploying capital.
Dollar Vulnerability and the Risk of an Unseen Collapse
Buffett warned that the U.S. is “not immune” from runaway inflation, referencing the period just before Paul Volcker intervened to rescue the dollar.
He described how Americans at that time were borrowing at 12% to invest in farmland earning only 6%, purely on the belief the dollar would lose its value. That mindset led to widespread financial ruin in communities across Nebraska.
“Cash is trash” was the prevailing mentality then, Buffett recalled, noting that large Nebraska farmers collapsed because they bought beyond their earning power and paid interest rates their returns could not support.
He said the loss of faith in a currency transforms a country into something entirely different. The warning drew clear parallels to current conditions where fiscal deficits remain elevated.
Berkshire’s cash and Treasury bill position now stands at $373 billion, a deliberate accumulation built over years of disciplined inaction during expensive markets.
Buffett described cash not as dead weight but as optionality — the ability to act when others cannot. He said Berkshire would deploy capital only in the event of a “big” decline, making clear that the current environment does not meet that threshold.
On the question of a coming crash, Buffett was characteristically measured. “If you saw them, then they wouldn’t happen,” he said, suggesting the greatest risks are always those that go unnoticed.
He compared an unexpected shock to the assassination of Archduke Franz Ferdinand in 1914 — an event nobody anticipated that reshaped the world overnight. That framing was a reminder that preparation, not prediction, defines sound investing.
Crypto World
OFAC Wallet Seizures Hint at Other State Actors, Not Iran
A new wave of sanctions-enforcement in the crypto space is testing how investigators attribute blockchain activity to state actors. While the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) seized wallets tied to Iran holding more than $340 million, the provenance of these wallets is under fresh scrutiny. Blockchain intelligence firm Nominis suggests that the seized addresses exhibit structural and behavioral patterns that diverge meaningfully from the IRGC’s previously observed crypto footprint, raising questions about attribution and the limits of static wallet typologies.
The contrast between the scale of asset seizures and the nuanced behavior of the wallets highlights a broader shift in how authorities understand illicit crypto use. Nominis CEO Snir Levi emphasizes that the IRGC’s past activity has tended to show distributed holdings, modest per-wallet balances, short holdings horizons, and a deliberate turnover that minimizes exposure to freeze or seizure. In this case, however, the characteristics appear to depart from those established patterns, prompting a closer look at whether the seizures reflect direct IRGC control or a broader network that overlaps with other state or non-state actors.
According to Nominis, this disconnect matters for compliance teams and investigators alike. Levi notes that static wallet classifications—simple checklists tied to known actor profiles—may no longer be sufficient. Instead, behavioral analysis and clustering—examining how wallets interconnect, how funds move between addresses, and the timing of transactions—are increasingly critical to identify risk. “The behavioral divergence observed in this case raises a critical question: To what extent does the frozen $340 million reflect direct IRGC control versus infrastructure that overlaps with broader, potentially foreign, financial networks,” Levi said.
The discussion comes as U.S. authorities continue to shape the narrative around crypto and sanctions. OFAC’s action to seize the wallets is part of a broader enforcement posture that, in parallel, has drawn attention to the way sanctioned assets are managed in the crypto ecosystem. The sector’s borderless nature means that enforcement agencies must rely not only on static indicators but also on the dynamics of on-chain behavior and cross-border financial networks. In this context, the Nominis analysis seeks to add nuance to the attribution debate—an essential consideration for financial institutions trying to comply without stifling legitimate activity.
In a broader enforcement frame, another major development is the intensifying campaign to cut off Iran from lucrative economic channels. The U.S. Treasury has pursued a sweeping initiative known as Operation Epic Fury, targeting Iranian financial networks with the aim of imposing economic costs on Tehran. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the effort as freezing bank accounts and disrupting access to overseas assets, while noting that retirement funds and overseas real estate held by Iranian officials are also under scrutiny. In remarks to Fox Business, Bessent said the operation has put substantial pressure on the regime, signaling a multi-pronged approach that combines traditional financial channels with crypto-enabled assets.
The public record shows the scale of the crypto aspect of this effort. Treasury officials have cited nearly $500 million in Iranian crypto assets being targeted as part of Epic Fury. This figure surpasses earlier disclosures about crypto seizures linked to Iran, which had tallied at least approximately $344 million frozen in USDt (USDT) across wallets identified or linked to Iranian networks. The discrepancy in these figures underscores the evolving nature of asset attribution in the crypto sanctions landscape and the complexity of tracing ownership in a sector where funds can move rapidly and obfuscation techniques continue to evolve.
As enforcement actions stack up, the implications for market participants and policymakers become more pronounced. Tether, the issuer of USDt, confirmed that it had frozen more than $344 million worth of USDT at the request of U.S. authorities. This kind of action demonstrates how traditional financial sanctions tools extend into stablecoins and on-chain liquidity, reinforcing the idea that crypto rails are not immune to geopolitical pressures. The convergence of traditional law enforcement and crypto-specific tools raises questions about how exchanges, wallet providers, and custodial services should implement risk controls to avoid exposure to sanctioned entities without inadvertently blocking legitimate users.
Beyond the immediate wallet seizures and token freezes, the broader geopolitical backdrop adds urgency to the discussion. Iran’s economy has been under strain, with sanctions compounding domestic financial turmoil. A prominent indicator cited by officials is the country’s currency weakness and systemic stress in key financial institutions. The government’s efforts to diversify and manage foreign exchange flows through multiple channels—including crypto—continue to be a strategic dilemma for both policymakers and market participants.
The recent reporting also points to the ongoing evolution of how sanctions-thinking intersects with blockchain technology. The June 2025 FinCEN advisory on illicit networks—described in later commentary as a reference point for shadow banking networks—illustrates how U.S. regulators are expanding their lens beyond traditional banking to consider crypto-enabled infrastructures. While the FinCEN advisory itself sits in the regulatory space, its appearance in discussions around Iran and crypto underscores the growing emphasis on cross-cutting financial crime risk and the need for robust analytics that can adapt to shifting tactics.
For practitioners, the key takeaway is clear: static rules and fixed “actor profiles” may be insufficient in a landscape where sanctioned actors experiment with blockchain infrastructure and where affiliated networks can blur the lines of attribution. Levi argues that structural patterns matter less than the ability to detect and interpret on-chain behavior that deviates from historical profiles. In other words, the enforcement community may have to lean more on network analytics—mapping how funds flow through interconnected wallets and exchanges over time—rather than solely on wallet tags tied to IRGC or other known entities.
These developments also have implications for international cooperation and enterprise compliance programs. If state actors or overlapping networks are indeed entangled with sanctioned actors in ways that challenge clean attribution, firms may need to expand their monitoring to include behavior-based clustering, cross-chain movements, and the timing of asset dispersion. The practical endgame is clearer risk signals: can institutions identify and respond to evolving actor behavior before assets are liquidated or moved beyond the reach of sanctions? That question sits at the heart of both regulatory expectations and the risk-management practices of crypto businesses.
Key takeaways
- OFAC’s wallet seizures tied to Iran involved addresses holding over $340 million, but recent analysis suggests the holdings may not map neatly to IRGC’s historical crypto patterns.
- Nominis’ assessment points to a behavioral divergence from known IRGC techniques, emphasizing the need for on-chain clustering and activity-based risk scoring in addition to static actor profiles.
- The enforcement narrative is expanding into crypto rails, with Tether confirming a $344 million USDT freeze at authorities’ request and Treasury officials highlighting a broader campaign to pressure Tehran, including financial and crypto channels.
- Operation Epic Fury, described by officials as crippling to Iran’s economy, has come amid reports of a banking sector crisis and a sharp currency decline, illustrating the intertwined nature of traditional finance sanctions and crypto enforcement.
- Regulators are signaling a shift toward more sophisticated analytics that consider how networks interact across wallets, exchanges, and cross-border flows, rather than relying solely on label-based risk tagging.
Towards a more nuanced attribution framework
The ongoing convergence of sanctions policy and crypto enforcement is pushing market participants to rethink their compliance strategies. Static labels—such as “IRGC-linked” wallets—are increasingly insufficient in isolation. Analysts and investigators argue for a more holistic approach that combines on-chain behavior, network analysis, and cross-jurisdictional data to identify risk signals in near real time. This shift is not about painting with a broader brush, but about deploying finer-grained tools to distinguish direct control from infrastructural overlap with other actors.
From a market perspective, investors and builders should monitor how these attribution practices affect on-chain liquidity, cross-border asset flows, and the willingness of counterparties to engage with sanctioned entities. The possibility that sanctioned assets may be routed through increasingly complex networks could introduce new layers of risk for exchanges and custodians, potentially affecting liquidity and the quality of on-chain counterparties in certain corridors.
Looking ahead, watchers should stay tuned for further clarifications from regulators and for additional data points about how attribution is evolving. The interplay between evolving criminal methodologies and enforcement capabilities will likely shape how crypto businesses implement Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) controls in a landscape where borders blur and digital assets travel with speed and anonymity that traditional finance once deemed impossible to achieve.
As this story unfolds, readers should keep an eye on any new wallet cluster analyses from major forensic and analytics firms, as well as any updates from OFAC and FinCEN that refine best practices for risk assessment in relation to sanctioned jurisdictions and their associated networks. The coming weeks could reveal whether the observed divergence in wallet behavior signals a broader shift in how sanctions agencies trace crypto activity or simply a warning flare from an evolving but still-understood playbook.
The discussion remains timely for anyone involved in the crypto ecosystem—from exchange operators and wallet providers to institutional traders and compliance teams. The evolving toolkit for tracing illicit crypto activity—balancing labeled risk indicators with behavior-based analytics—will determine how effectively enforcement can deter sanctioned actors while preserving legitimate innovation in the space.
Further reading and corroboration are encouraged as regulators, researchers, and industry participants continue to document and dissect the cross-border dynamics at work in Iran’s crypto usage and the broader sanctions ecosystem. See the OFAC action and the Nominis analysis for related context, and follow official briefs from the U.S. Treasury and FinCEN for updates on how policy shifts might shape operational practices in the months ahead.
Source traces and related reporting can be found in coverage that includes OFAC’s recent actions, Nominis’ analysis of the 344 million USDT link, and Treasury’s public statements on Operation Epic Fury. For background, earlier coverage noted the Iranian crypto dynamic and how BTC and USDT are used in oil-t toll mechanisms, illustrating the continuing complexity at the intersection of sanctions policy and blockchain technology.
Crypto World
Mt. Gox Collapse: How 850,000 Bitcoin Vanished and Changed Crypto Forever
TLDR:
- Mt. Gox once handled 70–80% of all Bitcoin trades globally before its catastrophic 2014 collapse.
- A total of 850,000 Bitcoin vanished from Mt. Gox, worth over $60 billion at today’s market price.
- Mark Karpelès was convicted only for falsifying records, not theft, and served no prison time at all.
- Creditors repaid in 2024 received more in dollar value than their original losses due to Bitcoin’s rise.
Mt. Gox was once the world’s largest Bitcoin exchange, handling nearly 70–80% of all global trades. The platform’s catastrophic failure in 2014 resulted in the loss of 850,000 Bitcoin.
At the time, the loss was valued at $473 million. Today, that figure exceeds $60 billion. The collapse reshaped the entire cryptocurrency industry and left hundreds of thousands of creditors waiting a decade for partial recovery.
From a Card Trading Site to a Crypto Giant
Jed McCaleb originally bought the domain Mtgox.com in 2007 to trade Magic: The Gathering cards online. In 2010, he read about Bitcoin and repurposed the site into a cryptocurrency exchange almost overnight. No new security systems or infrastructure were added before the platform went live.
Within a year, Mt. Gox dominated global Bitcoin trading. The rapid growth far outpaced its technical foundation. As X user Jeremybtc noted, McCaleb “added no new security or infrastructure” before the site became the dominant exchange on earth.
Hackers had already breached the platform by 2011. By the time McCaleb sold Mt. Gox to French programmer Mark Karpelès, 80,000 Bitcoin were reportedly missing.
McCaleb walked away and went on to co-found Ripple, then Stellar, and later an aerospace company called Vast. His net worth today stands at $2.85 billion.
Karpelès took over and continued running the exchange from a small Tokyo office with minimal staff. The security breaches did not stop. Customer withdrawals were quietly being covered with Bitcoin the exchange no longer actually held.
The Fallout and the Road to Recovery
In February 2014, Mt. Gox abruptly froze all customer withdrawals. Days later, Karpelès publicly confirmed that 850,000 Bitcoin had disappeared from the exchange. The platform filed for bankruptcy shortly after the announcement.
Karpelès was arrested in Japan and faced trial over the losses. However, his 2019 conviction was not for theft. He was found guilty of falsifying financial records to conceal the losses and received a suspended sentence, walking free without serving prison time.
The U.S. Department of Justice later identified Russian operator Alexander Vinnik as the person who laundered the stolen Bitcoin. The original hacker behind the theft was never identified or charged.
Creditors waited nearly ten years before receiving any repayment. In July 2024, the bankruptcy trustee began distributing recovered Bitcoin to affected customers.
Because Bitcoin’s price had risen dramatically since 2014, many creditors received more in dollar value than they had originally lost.
The Mt. Gox collapse ultimately forced the crypto industry to adopt stronger protections. Cold storage practices, proof-of-reserves standards, and regulatory frameworks all trace back to lessons learned from that failure.
Every security standard in crypto today exists largely because Mt. Gox showed what happens without them.
Crypto World
Is Zcash (ZEC) in a False Rally? Analysts Weigh In as Price Pushes Above $400
TLDR:
- Zcash (ZEC) surpassed $400 as analysts debate whether the rally has the structure to sustain further gains.
- Long-term ZEC holders have already moved their coins, with social media engagement dropping sharply since earlier highs.
- Alpha Price metric shows a $1,500 gap, suggesting ZEC is unlikely to reach that ceiling based on historical data.
- ZEC holds above the $315–$330 support zone, with a symmetrical triangle pointing to a possible move toward $405.
Zcash (ZEC) is drawing renewed attention from analysts as its price climbs past $400, raising questions about sustainability.
Two market observers have shared contrasting views on whether the current rally reflects genuine strength or a temporary phase of false optimism.
Their analysis covers on-chain data, social sentiment, and technical price structure, painting a complex picture for traders watching ZEC closely.
On-Chain Data and Sentiment Raise Caution Flags
Analyst Joao Wedson has flagged several warning signs surrounding ZEC’s recent price surge. He suggests the asset may be entering a complacency phase during what could be a false rally. Long-term holders, he notes, have already moved their coins earlier in the cycle and are no longer doing so now.
Social media activity around ZEC has also dropped sharply. This decline in retail attention is a notable shift from earlier in the rally when community interest was much higher.
Reduced social engagement often precedes a slowdown in buying pressure, which can weigh on price momentum.
Wedson also points to a metric known as Alpha Price, which he uses to estimate potential price tops. The current reading shows a gap of around $1,500 between ZEC’s price and that ceiling, suggesting the asset is unlikely to reach that level based on historical patterns.
Given these factors, Wedson advises extra caution for market participants. He also sees this as a possible window for remaining sellers to exit positions they have not yet closed, particularly those still holding coins from earlier in the move.
Technical Structure Still Points Toward Continuation
On the technical side, analyst Ardi offers a more constructive view of ZEC’s current positioning. He notes that the asset is holding above a key macro support zone between $315 and $330, which has acted as a strong base throughout this expansion phase.
From that low near $250, price action has compressed into what Ardi identifies as a symmetrical triangle formation.
This pattern typically resolves in the direction of the broader trend, and the series of higher lows forming within it adds weight to a continuation scenario.
However, Ardi is clear that confirmation still requires a close above $375. Without that, the setup remains unconfirmed, and traders should treat it as a developing thesis rather than a done deal.
The tight invalidation level just below current support gives the trade setup a well-defined risk structure. Should price hold and break higher, Ardi sees a move toward the $405 wick as the next logical target for ZEC.
Crypto World
XRP Quantum Risk: 77 Billion Tokens Face Future Cryptographic Threats
TLDR:
- Over 76.82 billion XRP across 5.6 million accounts are currently exposed to potential quantum computing attacks.
- Dormant XRP wallets inactive for five-plus years face the highest risk with little chance of timely migration.
- XRPL supports key rotation and multi-signature wallets, offering a pathway toward stronger quantum-safe security.
- Experts like Bill Gates warn powerful quantum machines could arrive within three to five years, narrowing response time.
XRP faces a growing threat from quantum computing, based on new research from an XRP Ledger validator. The validator analyzed approximately 7.8 million accounts and identified 5.6 million as “quantum exposed.”
In total, nearly 76.82 billion XRP could be vulnerable to future quantum-based attacks. An account becomes exposed after signing a transaction, which reveals its public key on-chain.
Future quantum machines could then reconstruct private keys to access user funds.
Dormant Accounts and the Scale of XRP’s Quantum Exposure
The report was published by an XRPL validator known as “Vet,” who shared the findings publicly. The study drew widespread attention on social media, including posts from crypto commentators flagging the scope of the risk.
Key data showed that 96% of exposed XRP belongs to currently active accounts. The remaining 3.83%, however, sits in dormant wallets inactive for more than five years.
Dormant accounts, particularly those created around XRP’s 2013 launch, present the most serious concern. Their owners are unlikely to migrate funds to quantum-secure infrastructure before threats materialize.
These wallets could become easy targets as quantum computing capabilities expand over time. The concern is pressing because no active user may be monitoring or protecting these funds.
This situation creates a difficult choice for the broader crypto industry. Protecting inactive accounts may require centralized intervention that conflicts with decentralization principles.
Leaving them exposed, on the other hand, could allow quantum actors to drain them without resistance. There is currently no clear consensus on how to resolve this dilemma.
XRP is not the only blockchain facing this threat. Bitcoin carries even greater exposure, with 1.1 million BTC linked to Satoshi Nakamoto sitting untouched for years.
Research from Google also suggests that quantum computers could intercept Bitcoin transactions within minutes. So, the risk extends well beyond the XRP ecosystem.
XRPL’s Built-In Defenses and the Narrowing Window to Act
Despite the risks, the XRP Ledger has structural features that support a smoother security transition. Ripple notes that XRPL supports key rotation, allowing users to change keys without altering their addresses.
Deterministic key generation also makes migration easier to manage at scale. Multi-signature wallets add further protection, though they are not fully sufficient on their own.
Full protection, according to Ripple, requires combining multi-signature setups with ongoing key rotation practices. This approach offers a stronger defense against potential future quantum-based attacks.
However, applying this across millions of accounts remains a genuine practical challenge. Many users are unlikely to act until the threat feels immediate and real.
The quantum computing timeline is no longer a distant concern. Prominent figures like Bill Gates estimate that powerful quantum machines could emerge within three to five years.
That leaves the crypto industry with a narrow window to upgrade its security models. Approaching this as a future problem rather than a present one carries measurable risk.
As of writing, XRP is trading around $1.38, slightly down over the past week. Trading volume has also declined, reflecting reduced market activity.
These conditions point to a quieter period across the broader crypto sector. Still, the quantum computing threat continues to grow regardless of short-term price movements.
Crypto World
SanDisk Stock Rises Over 4,000% in 12 Months as AI Storage Demand Reshapes the Market
TLDR:
- SanDisk reported Q3 earnings of $23.41 per share, beating the $14.50 estimate by a wide margin.
- Five AI companies signed $42B in multi-year supply deals, with over $11B already committed upfront.
- Data center revenue surged 233% to $1.47B, reflecting strong AI-driven demand for flash storage.
- SanDisk announced a $6B share buyback and forecast next-quarter revenue of up to $8.25 billion.
SanDisk’s stock has climbed over 4,000% in the past 12 months, driven by surging AI storage demand.
The company, spun off from Western Digital in 2025, reported third-quarter revenue of $5.95 billion, a 251% year-over-year increase. Earnings per share reached $23.41, well above forecasts.
CEO David Goeckeler secured $42 billion in multi-year contracts with AI companies, backed by $11 billion in upfront financial guarantees.
From Losses to Record Revenue in One Year
SanDisk’s financial turnaround has been one of the most dramatic on Wall Street. Just a year ago, the company was reporting a loss of $0.30 per share.
Now, it has posted earnings of $23.41 per share against an estimate of $14.50. Revenue also came in at $5.95 billion, surpassing the $4.70 billion forecast.
Data center revenue led much of this growth, rising 233% to $1.47 billion. AI companies are actively locking in storage supply to avoid potential shortages.
The demand surge reflects how critical flash storage has become in powering large-scale AI systems. SanDisk found itself at the center of that shift at the right time.
Five AI companies have signed binding multi-year supply agreements totaling $42 billion. Over $11 billion of that amount has already been committed as upfront financial guarantees.
As Bull Theory noted on X, “These are not purchase orders. These are guarantees.” That distinction matters because it removes uncertainty from SanDisk’s revenue pipeline for the near term.
Looking ahead, SanDisk is forecasting next-quarter revenue between $7.75 billion and $8.25 billion. That guidance comfortably exceeds Wall Street’s estimate of $6.49 billion.
The forward outlook reflects continued confidence in AI-driven storage demand. Management’s numbers suggest the momentum is not slowing down anytime soon.
Stock Performance and Capital Return Plans
SanDisk was the best-performing stock in the entire S&P 500 in 2025, posting a 729% annual gain. In 2026, it has continued that run, becoming the top-performing stock year-to-date.
The share price has moved from lows near $33 to close to $1,187. That trajectory places it among the most talked-about turnaround stories in recent market history.
The company also announced a $6 billion share buyback program at all-time highs. Buybacks at record prices are typically seen as a sign of management confidence in future value.
For SanDisk, this move signals that leadership believes the current valuation is still justified. Strong cash flow generation has made the program financially feasible.
Peers like Micron and Western Digital have also seen notable gains tied to AI storage demand. However, SanDisk’s scale of growth stands apart from the broader sector.
Its spinoff structure allowed it to move quickly and focus entirely on flash storage solutions. That independence appears to have worked in its favor.
Bull Theory’s post on X summed up the shift plainly: “The AI storage shortage did not just save SanDisk. It turned it into one of the most important companies in the world.”
Whether that status holds will depend on how long AI infrastructure spending continues at its current pace.
Crypto World
MicroStrategy Pauses Bitcoin Buys Ahead of May 5 Q1 Earnings
Michael Saylor indicated that Strategy will make no Bitcoin (BTC) purchases this week. The break comes two days before the firm reports first-quarter (Q1) 2026 earnings on May 5.
The pause lands during MicroStrategy’s first sharp quarterly Bitcoin drawdown of the cycle. The company is also shifting funding toward preferred equity rather than common-stock dilution.
MicroStrategy Bitcoin Pause Aligns With Earnings Window
The break ends a near-weekly cadence that has defined MicroStrategy’s 2026 accumulation. A 13-week buying streak snapped in late March.
Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens
Strategy now holds 818,334 BTC worth $64.44 billion at an average cost of $75,532 per coin, a 4.23% unrealized gain.
Q1 still saw aggressive accumulation. MicroStrategy added roughly 89,600 BTC for $5.5 billion last quarter, the second-largest quarterly purchase in company history. Bitcoin fell more than 20% during the same period.
Earnings Will Test the STRC Pivot
Meanwhile, Wall Street expects Q1 revenue near $120 million and a GAAP loss driven primarily by mark-to-market Bitcoin accounting.
Zacks pegs consensus EPS at negative $3.41, while broader analyst aggregates show much deeper losses tied to the quarter’s drawdown, after MicroStrategy reported a $14.5 billion unrealized loss in its Q1 GAAP report.
“According to Zacks Investment Research, based on 1 analysts’ forecasts, the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $-3.41. The reported EPS for the same quarter last year was $-16.49,” Nasdaq reported.
Investors will track the Stretch (STRC) preferred share program. STRC has become the primary engine since Strategy stepped back from common-stock at-the-market offerings.
The shares pay an 11.5% dividend and recently traded below par. Critics including Peter Schiff argue the structure introduces dilution and refinancing risk if Bitcoin extends lower.
The May 5 call airs at 5 p.m. ET on Zoom, X, and YouTube. Investors will watch whether buying resumes next week or whether yield-focused discipline now takes priority.
The post MicroStrategy Pauses Bitcoin Buys Ahead of May 5 Q1 Earnings appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
BlackRock Presses OCC to Remove 20% Cap on Tokenized Reserve Assets Rule
TLDR:
- BlackRock urges OCC to remove the cap on tokenized reserves under the GENIUS Act stablecoin draft rules.
- Firm argues that tokenized asset risk depends on liquidity, credit quality, and maturity rather than blockchain format.
- The BUILD fund scale of $2.6B tied to stablecoin reserves could be constrained by the proposed regulatory cap limit.
- BlackRock seeks ETF recognition as eligible reserves, pushing parity with government money market funds.
BlackRock Tokenized Reserve Assets emerges as a key regulatory debate within stablecoin policy development. The asset manager pushes for broader recognition of tokenized Treasuries and ETFs under evolving GENIUS Act reserve composition standards.
OCC Tokenized Reserve Cap Faces Institutional Pushback
BlackRock Urges is a response to draft rules under the GENIUS Act. The OCC proposal introduces a 20% ceiling on tokenized reserves for stablecoin issuers. However, BlackRock disputes this structural limitation.
Moreover, the firm argues that risk evaluation should remain consistent across all asset forms. Credit strength, liquidity, and maturity should define eligibility.
Therefore, blockchain representation should not influence regulatory treatment. This approach aims to maintain uniform financial standards across reserve systems.
In addition, BlackRock links the proposal to its tokenization strategy. The BUIDL fund holds around 2.6 billion dollars in tokenized Treasuries.
It also supports stablecoin reserves across multiple platforms. As a result, a cap could restrict institutional scale and operational flexibility.
Furthermore, BlackRock urges OCC to Drop 20% Cap on Tokenized Reserve Assets while industry feedback continues to accumulate.
Over 200 submissions are under review. Consequently, regulators are assessing how to balance innovation with financial stability in reserve frameworks.
ETF Eligibility and BUIDL Expansion Shape Reserve Debate
BlackRock is pushing for clearer ETF classification under reserve rules. The firm seeks confirmation that Treasury ETFs qualify as eligible reserve instruments when fully backed by approved assets.
Additionally, BlackRock calls for equal treatment between ETFs and government money market funds. Both instruments, it argues, share similar risk profiles.
Therefore, they should receive consistent regulatory recognition under safe harbor provisions within the GENIUS Act framework.
Meanwhile, the firm recommends expanding the list of eligible reserve assets. Treasury floating rate notes with short maturities are included in its proposal. These instruments offer stability and frequent resets, which support liquidity management in reserve portfolios.
The OCC is evaluating feedback from more than 200 stakeholders. As a result, final rules are expected to shape reserve standards before the 2027 compliance deadline.
In addition, regulators are examining how tokenized and traditional instruments should coexist within reserve structures.
This ongoing review may redefine stablecoin backing frameworks. Ultimately, ETF eligibility and tokenized reserve treatment remain central to the evolving regulatory direction.
Crypto World
NYSE Files Rule Change to Enable Tokenised Securities Trading Under SEC Review
TLDR:
- The NYSE proposal enables tokenised equities and ETFs to trade on the same order book as traditional shares.
- Tokenised securities must retain identical CUSIP, ticker, rights, and execution priority under filing.
- DTC pilot ensures clearing and settlement remain on a T+1 basis within the existing market infrastructure.
- SEC review aligns NYSE tokenisation framework with regulated exchange trading standards and rules.
The NYSE tokenised securities filing is a regulated framework where tokenised equities can trade alongside traditional listed shares.
The proposal integrates digital representation into existing exchange systems while preserving settlement rules, execution priority, and investor protections under current market infrastructure systems.
Unified Order Book and Tokenised Execution Framework
The filing sets a unified structure for trading tokenised equities within the same order book as traditional shares. This ensures both formats interact under identical execution rules. As a result, price discovery remains consistent across the exchange environment.
Moreover, the NYSE tokenised securities filing requires tokenised assets to retain the same CUSIP, ticker, and shareholder rights.
This ensures legal equivalence between digital and traditional forms. Therefore, market participants face no change in rights or instrument classification during trading. It also reduces operational discrepancies between digital and traditional settlement processes over time.
Furthermore, liquidity remains unified under a single order book structure. The NYSE tokenised securities filing avoids splitting trading venues. Instead, both tokenized and non-tokenised orders interact directly.
Consequently, fragmentation risk is reduced across institutional and retail participation. This structure supports deeper liquidity integration across institutional trading desks and market participants globally.
Execution mechanics remain unchanged under the NYSE tokenised securities filing. Orders follow identical matching rules on the exchange. Additionally, execution priority remains consistent for all participants.
This preserves existing market structure behaviour without introducing parallel trading systems. It also signals the gradual adoption of tokenised infrastructure within regulated markets globally over time.
DTC Pilot Settlement Design and Regulatory Review Path
DTC pilot settlement under the NYSE tokenised securities filing maintains the existing post-trade infrastructure. Trades continue to settle on a T+1 cycle. Therefore, tokenisation occurs at the execution layer only.
Custody and clearing remain within established financial systems, ensuring continuity across institutional workflows.
This approach ensures operational continuity across custodians and broker-dealer networks during the market operations cycle.
Additionally, the pilot spans three years under regulatory supervision. The NYSE uses this period to evaluate system efficiency and reconciliation processes. Market participants provide feedback through structured SEC channels during the review phase.
Moreover, SEC coordination ensures consistency across exchange frameworks. At the same time, traditional equity market rules remain unchanged, preserving stability within regulated trading environments.
Finally, the NYSE tokenised securities filing keeps tokenised trading separate from crypto-native systems. Instead, it operates within a regulated equity infrastructure.
As a result, market structure evolution remains controlled, with digital representation embedded into existing financial rails rather than replacing them.
Crypto World
Berkshire CEO Greg Abel earns solid first scorecard after first annual meeting
Greg Abel, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, speaks during the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, NE on May 2, 2026.
CNBC
OMAHA, Nebraska — In his debut running Berkshire Hathaway‘s annual meeting, Greg Abel delivered what many shareholders came to see: a steady hand, a firm grasp of the sprawling conglomerate and just enough of his own style to reassure investors the post-Warren Buffett era is on solid footing.
The reviews from longtime shareholders and professional investors were broadly positive, even as many acknowledged the notable absence of Buffett, whose wit, storytelling and investing acumen have long defined the event.
“Very solid. No misspoke words. Thorough answers,” said Steve Check, founder of Check Capital Management. “Nice guy, but we sure don’t have the laughs that we had with Warren and Charlie [Munger].”
“Greg and company delivered on content, examination of businesses and confidence in outlook,” Macrae Sykes, a portfolio manager at Gabelli Funds.
David Kass, a finance professor at University of Maryland and a decades-long Berkshire shareholder, said he grew more confident in Berkshire after seeing firsthand Abel’s performance. He pointed to the firm’s “deep bench” — including executives like vice chairman of Berkshire’s insurance operations Ajit Jain; Adam Johnson, president of Berkshire’s consumer products, service and retailing businesses; and BNSF Railway CEO Katie Farmer — as evidence that leadership continuity runs well beyond a single figure.
“Greg demonstrated the knowledge of and passion for running all of Berkshire’s businesses,” Kass said. “His main focus is that of operations. By contrast, Buffett focuses more on the investment side of Berkshire.”
Granular insights
That shift in emphasis was evident throughout the Q&A session, where Abel leaned into detailed discussions of Berkshire’s subsidiaries, a level of specificity that resonated with shareholders seeking reassurance about execution under new leadership.
“The answers were really good as they gave granular insights,” said Tilman Versch, a German shareholder and founder of investor community Good Investing. “Everybody misses Warren. His clear, consistent and funny answers are hard to replace. But with more practice, I hope Greg can find his own style.”
Abel opened the session with a near hourlong presentation walking investors through the inner workings of Berkshire’s major businesses. He drilled into performance and outlook across its railroad unit, energy operations, insurance arm and retail subsidiaries, offering a level of operational detail that shareholders said felt more akin to an investor day than the freewheeling, anecdote-driven format of past meetings.
Greg Abel and Ajit Jain speak during the Berkshire Hathaway Annual Shareholders Meeting in Omaha, NE on May 2, 2026.
CNBC
Leaning into tech
Artificial intelligence emerged as a central theme at the meeting. Abel said Berkshire is already exploring AI-driven tools to improve operations at BNSF Railway, and spoke fluently about technologies like large language models, emphasizing their potential to enhance the company’s existing businesses.
He also pointed to the surge in data center development as a major tailwind for Berkshire’s utility operations, with rising power demand creating a significant growth opportunity for its energy grid assets.
“He was clearly very comfortable with technology and AI, as opposed to Warren, who typically avoided technology-oriented investments outside of Apple and, more recently, Google,” said Adam Patti, chief executive of VistaShares and manager of an ETF tracking Berkshire’s largest holdings. “Perhaps that lends insight into how the portfolio may evolve over time.”
Buyback disappointment
Berkshire’s pace of share repurchases was a point of frustration for some shareholders.
The firm repurchased $235 million of stock in the first quarter, according to the earnings report. The company had already disclosed that it purchased $226 million in stock on March 4, so this means it only slightly increased its buying as the quarter came to a close.
“The only missing piece was any real guidance on additional buybacks,” Patti said. “I was hoping that they would get more aggressive about this.”
“I’m disappointed in the lack of significant buybacks,” Check said. “I guess they’re waiting for a lower price, but they bought much more at this valuation before.”
The crowd may still be adjusting to a Berkshire meeting without Buffett at center stage. But after this first outing, investors appear increasingly willing to give Abel the room and time to define the next chapter on his own terms.
“They really incorporated more of the businesses than they ever have because it used to always just be Warren answering Warren questions,” said Susan Chan, a longtime shareholder who along with her friend Wanda Lee decided to skip the meeting this year. They watched it from Chan’s home in New Jersey instead, and found that the new format instilled confidence in Berkshire’s future direction. “And now, it’s really more of a ‘Our shareholders are our family. And we’re going to show you exactly what we’re invested in, and what we’re doing.’”
“We made the conscious decision not to go this year,” Chan said. “But we just said to each other, ‘Let’s go next year.’”
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