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Powell’s comments on oil, inflation may provide BTC price guidance: Crypto Daybook Americas

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By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Bitcoin and the wider crypto market are taking a breather in advance of today’s Federal Reserve rate decision, which could confirm that the interest-rate backdrop is becoming less of a tailwind.

The central bank is widely expected to keep the benchmark borrowing cost unchanged in the 3.5%-3.75% range, putting the focus on growth and inflation projections as well as Chairman Jerome Powell’s comments at the post-meeting press conference.

“For investors, the key question is whether the dot plot shifts toward fewer cuts and whether Powell emphasizes the danger of easing financial conditions too quickly,” said Fabian Dori, chief investment officer at Sygnum Bank, referring to the chart of where decision makers expect interest rates to be at year-end. “Either development would reinforce a ‘higher for longer’ bias and tighten financial conditions at the margin.”

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According to Dori, the bitcoin price is at a critical juncture, where repeated failures to stay above $75,000 signals caution and mean-reversion behavior. Should the Fed raise alarm over the inflationary impact of the Iran war-related oil-price shock and reinforce expectations of slower or delayed rate cuts, then BTC is likely to remain below $75,000.

“A more hawkish stance could keep bitcoin capped below 75k and extend the current consolidation phase,” he noted.

Singapore-based QCP Capital said markets have pared easing expectations as the higher oil price complicates the case for interest-rate cuts, even as growth and labour data soften. This leaves the rates backdrop less supportive for crypto.

Bitcoin’s stalled upswing stalled comes despite renewed institutional appetite for spot ETFs and regulatory clarity from the SEC and CFTC.

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The broader market continues to mirror the largest cryptocurrency. The CoinDesk 20 Index has been largely steady for the past 24 hours, alongside similar action in ether (ETH), XRP (XRP), solana (SOL), and other majors. Smaller coins such as SIREN, M, and KAS, however, have gained about 10% each.

In traditional markets, futures tied to the S&P 500 index have risen by 0.5%, signaling an extension of a two-day rally. Meanwhile, the Dollar Index pulled back to 99.50 from Friday’s high above 100, and the 10-year Treasury yield receded to 4.17% from 4.30%. Taken together, these moves point to continued risk-on sentiment. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

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  • Crypto
  • Macro
    • March 18, 8:30 a.m. ET: U.S. PPI MoM for February est. 0.3% (Prev. 0.5%); Core PPI MoM est. (Prev. 0.8%)
    • March 18, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. PPI YoY for February est. 3.7% (Prev. 3.6%); Core PPI YoY est. 3.2% (Prev. 3.6%)
    • March 18, 9:45 a.m.: Bank of Canada interest-rate decision est. 2.25% (Prev. 2.25%)
    • March 18, 10:00 a.m.: U.S. Factory Orders MoM for January (Prev. -0.7%)
    • March 18, 2:00 p.m.: Federal Reserve interest-rate decision est. 3.50%-3.75% (Prev. 3.50%-3.75%); FOMC economic projections
    • March 18, 2:30 p.m.: Fed Chair press conference
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • March 18: Bitfarms (BITF), pre-market, -$0.03

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Governance votes & calls
    • March 18: Jupiter (JUP) to hold its weekly Planetary Call community session with team updates.
    • March 18: head of marketing and PR to discuss ecosystem updates.
    • WalletConnect Network is voting on allocating 50 million WCT tokens as a dedicated rewards budget for WalletConnect Pay in 2026. Voting ends March 18.
    • ENS is voting on a one-time transfer of 900,000 USDC from the ENS Endowment to wallet.ensdao.eth to cover a shortfall in stream payments owed to ENS Labs. Voting ends March 18.
  • Unlocks
  • Token Launches
    • March 18: Katana (KAT) to be listed on Binance, MEXC, KuCoin, and others.

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Market Movements

  • BTC is down 0.73% from 4 p.m. ET Tuesday at $73,825.38 (24hrs: +0.11%)
  • ETH is down 0.44% at $2,307.45 (24hrs: -0.33%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is down 0.78% at 2,148.73 (24hrs: -0.27%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 6 bps at 2.75%
  • BTC funding rate is at -0.0069% (-7.5643% annualized) on Binance
CD20 components
  • DXY is unchanged at 99.56
  • Gold futures are down 0.10% at $4,996.20
  • Silver futures are up 0.65% at $80.05
  • Nikkei 225 closed up 2.87% at 55,239.40
  • Hang Seng closed up 0.61% at 26,025.42
  • FTSE 100 is up 0.29% at 10,433.60
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is up 1.02% at 5,828.33
  • DJIA closed on Tuesday up 0.10% at 46,993.26
  • S&P 500 closed up 0.25% at 6,716.09
  • Nasdaq Composite closed up 0.47% at 22,479.53
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed up 0.16% at 32,929.09
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed down 3.50% at 3,459.11
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 2 bps at 4.20%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 1.30% at 6,809.00
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 1.57% at 25,184.00
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 1.18% at 47,595.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 59.11 (0.15%)
  • Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.03139 (0.1%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 919 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $32.37
  • Total fees: 3.08 BTC / $228,857
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 115,080 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 14.9 oz.
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 4.93%

Technical Analysis

Daily swings in the number of BTCUSD longs on Bitfinex in candlestick format. (TradingView)
The growth in the number of BTCUSD longs on Bitfinex has stalled. (TradingView)
  • The chart shows the number of BTC/USD longs, or bullish bets, on Bitfinex.
  • The growth has stalled, with the tally now at 78,470 versus 79,115 early this month.
  • As counterintuitive as it may sound, past data shows that declines in long positions on Bitfinex tend to be bullish for BTC, and vice versa.

Crypto Equities

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Tuesday at $210.23 (+3.40%), +1.77% at $213.95 in pre-market
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $23.50 (+1.73%), +0.89% at $23.71
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $9.24 (+0.11%), +0.97% at $9.33
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $14.68 (+1.94%), +1.02% at $14.83
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $16.42 (–3.24%), +1.46% at $16.66
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $10.11 (+0.90%), +0.99% at $10.21
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $9.24 (–0.86%)
  • CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI): closed at $40.13 (–0.79%)
  • Circle Internet Group (CRCL): closed at $132.31 (+5.15%), +1.50% at $134.30
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $39.94 (+0.81%), +1.10% at $40.38

Crypto Treasury Companies

  • Strategy Inc. (MSTR): closed at $150.28 (+1.87%), +0.32% at $150.76
  • Strive Asset Management (ASST): closed at $11.10 (+2.21%), unchanged in pre-market
  • SharpLink (SBET): closed at $8.31 (+1.34%), +0.48% at $8.35
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $1.15 (+6.48%), –0.87% at $1.14
  • Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.21 (–3.20%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: $199.4 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $56.51 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~1.29 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: $138.2 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $11.99 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~5.76 million

Source: Farside Investors

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BTC reels ahead of Fed following PPI numbers, rising oil

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BTC reels ahead of Fed following PPI numbers, rising oil

Quiet bitcoin price action in the $74,000 area was shattered Wednesday morning on reports of military escalation in Iran and then February inflation data that came in far stronger than expected.

The declines started as U.S. President Donald Trump struck a more aggressive tone on Iran, suggesting further escalation in a series of Truth Social posts and calling the country the “NUMBER ONE STATE SPONSOR OF TERROR.”

Alongside, Iran’s state TV reported that part of that country’s South Pars gas field was attacked.

This followed reports that Israel killed Iran’s Intelligence Minister Esmail Khatib, while the U.S. deployed 5,000-pound bunker-buster bombs targeting missile sites near the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global oil flows.

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That news combined to send the price of WTI crude oil from as low as $92 per barrel overnight to nearly $96.

Minutes later, the U.S. Producer Price Index for February rose 0.7% versus just 0.3% expected and up from January’s 0.5%. The core PPI rose 0.5% versus 0.3% expected, though down from January’s 0.8%. Importantly, the disturbing inflation data is from prior to the attacks against Iran and the subsequent sharp rise in the price of oil.

The data complicates the outlook for rate cuts, especially with oil prices still elevated, and is weighing on risk assets ahead of the U.S. stock market open.

Bitcoin has now fallen to $72,300, down 2% over the past 24 hours. Declines for ether (ETH), solana (SOL) and XRP (XRP) are closer to 3%. U.S. stock index futures have swung from solid gains to declines of about 0.4% across the board.

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Fed comes later

Later in the day, the U.S. Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady, shifting the focus to Chair Jerome Powell’s messaging and how policymakers interpret the recent mix of growth risks and inflation pressures. Trump once again renewed calls for rate cuts in a Wednesday post, adding a political dimension to the meeting.

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These Altcoins Crash Hard Following Binance Delisting: Details

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The effort involves eight cryptocurrencies and will take place at the start of April.

Binance revealed it will terminate all trading services for certain cryptocurrencies.

Somewhat expected, the tokens included in the effort nosedived by double digits immediately after the disclosure.

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The Latest Announcement

Even though Binance supports a wide range of cryptocurrencies, their presence on the platform isn’t guaranteed forever and depends on factors such as trading volume, liquidity, network security, public communication, team commitment, and more.

Following its most recent review, the exchange decided to delist the altcoins Arena-Z (A2Z), Ampleforth Governance Token (FORTH), Hooked Protocol (HOOK), Loopring (LRC), IDEX (IDEX), Neutron (NTRN), Solar (SXP), and Radiant Capital (RDNT). The effort will take place on April 1 and will lead to the removal of spot trading pairs involving the aforementioned tokens. Meanwhile, Binance Spot Copy Trading will delist those assets on March 25.

“After this time, any outstanding assets will be force-sold at market price or moved to the Spot Account if the amount is unsellable. Users are strongly advised to update or cancel their Spot Copy Trading portfolios prior to Binance Spot Copy Trading delisting time to avoid potential losses,” the company warned.

Deposits of these tokens will not be credited to users’ accounts after April 2, while withdrawals won’t be supported after June 1. Delisted cryptocurrencies may be converted into stablecoins on behalf of customers after June 2, Binance clarified.

Such announcements usually trigger negative price reactions for the affected assets. After all, losing Binance support damages a coin’s reputation, reduces its liquidity, and limits its accessibility. Such was the case here as all of the involved altcoins headed south by double digits. IDEX was the biggest loser, with its valuation collapsing by 33% on a daily scale.

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IDEX PriceIDEX Price
IDEX Price, Source: CoinGecko

A similar thing was observed last week when Binance removed 21 cryptocurrencies, including WorldShards (SHARD), Alliance Games (COA), BNB Card (BNB Card), MilkyWay (MILK), Hyperbot (BOT), and others. Some of the assets saw their prices crash by an astonishing 70-80% shortly after the news broke.

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The Opposite Effect

On the contrary, backing from Binance typically has quite a positive price effect on the involved cryptocurrencies. Earlier this week, the exchange introduced the trading pairs CFG/USDT, CFG/USDC, and CFG/TRY, causing CFG’s valuation to surge 60% within minutes.

At the start of 2026, the lesser-known digital assets Moonbirbs (BIRB) and ETHGas (GWEI) also posted substantial gains after Binance launched the BIRB/USDT and GWEI/USDT perpetual contracts with up to 50x leverage.

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Crypto payments gain traction in Australia even as banking troubles remain

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Crypto payments gain traction in Australia even as banking troubles remain

Australians are increasingly using cryptocurrency for day-to-day payments, even as banking restrictions continue to hamper access to the ecosystem.

Summary

  • Crypto payments in Australia doubled to 12% in 2026 as more users turn to digital assets for everyday spending, led by online shopping and service payments.
  • Nearly 30% of investors reported bank delays or blocks when transferring funds to crypto exchanges, up from 19.3% in 2025.

A recent survey by crypto exchange Independent Reserve, which polled 2,000 “everyday Australians” between Jan. 12 and Jan. 30, found that the share of users paying with crypto has doubled from 6% to 12% compared to the previous year.

According to the report, one in three Australians now own cryptocurrencies in 2026 and are viewing digital assets as more than just a speculative investment, with growing interest in real-world utility.

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Nearly 21% of respondents reported using crypto for online shopping, making it the leading use case. It was followed by other applications such as freelancing payments and video game purchases, which accounted for 16%.

However, even as demand continues to build, banking-related issues remain a persistent challenge for users trying to access crypto services.

Among the respondents, nearly 30% said their bank had blocked or delayed a payment to a crypto exchange at least once. That figure marks a notable increase from 19.3% reported in 2025.

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Such delays stem from tighter banking controls introduced in recent years, when several major institutions such as Commonwealth Bank and National Australia Bank rolled out measures including payment delays, transfer caps, and additional identity checks for crypto-related transactions.

“For many Australians, the lack of regulation hits home when a payment to a crypto exchange is delayed or blocked, an issue that has continued to rise for another year,” the report said, adding that “clear licensing and regulation can help fix this.”

Australian regulators are still undecided

Australia is still lagging behind other major economies in establishing formal legislation to effectively regulate the crypto sector. 

So far, the federal government has primarily focused on a token mapping exercise and public consultations, while the Treasury continues to refine its proposed framework for digital asset service providers.

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Earlier this week, Australia’s Senate Economics Legislation Committee said it was considering a new bill that would require crypto exchanges and tokenization platforms to operate under the country’s existing financial services framework.

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Ethereum developers propose FCR to speed up L2 and exchange confirmations

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Ethereum adds $15b in market value amid rising allocations to emerging crypto protocols

Ethereum client teams are testing an opt-in mechanism that could cut the time some layer-2 networks and exchanges wait to recognize mainnet deposits, allowing them to process transactions much faster.

Summary

  • Ethereum client teams are testing a Fast Confirmation Rule that could reduce deposit recognition times for layer 2 networks and exchanges to about 13 seconds.
  • The proposal suggests replacing block counting with validator attestations, offering faster confirmation than canonical bridges while avoiding the need for a hard fork.

Dubbed the Fast Confirmation Rule (FCR), the proposal is expected to bring confirmation times down to around 13 seconds, according to Ethereum researcher Julian Ma.

By using this approach, platforms can move away from systems that rely on canonical bridges, where transfers typically take up to 13 minutes to reach full confirmation. However, many already rely on “k-deep” confirmation rules, which offer no formal guarantees. A transaction in such models is only treated as confirmed once a predefined number of blocks have been added on top of it.

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Developers say the rule can be introduced without hard-forking, though client and API integration is still required.

Client teams are already working on implementations, with deployment expected to allow nodes to adopt the rule without network-wide coordination.

When using FCR, rather than counting blocks, the system evaluates validator attestations to determine whether a block is safe to treat as confirmed. This can solve the issue of slow bridging between Ethereum L1 and downstream platforms.

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It does this by relying on two assumptions: that validator messages propagate quickly across the network and that no single entity controls more than 25% of staked Ether. While these thresholds fall short of Ethereum’s stricter finality guarantees, they are considered sufficient for most real-world use cases.

In cases where more security is needed, the system waits longer before confirming a block, Ma explained, adding that “it’s a feature, not a bug.”

Mixed community reaction

Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said the mechanism can provide a “hard guarantee” that a transaction will not be reverted after a single slot under the right network conditions.

But other community members remained skeptical about the proposal. Some argued that the model leans heavily on trust assumptions and may face challenges under stressed network conditions.

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UK lawmakers urge ‘immediate moratorium’ on crypto political donations

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UK lawmakers urge ‘immediate moratorium’ on crypto political donations

A U.K. parliamentary committee urged the government to impose “an immediate moratorium on crypto donations” until Parliament approves Electoral Commission statutory guidance.

In a report, the Joint Committee on the National Security Strategy said crypto poses an avoidable risk to political finance and public trust. The committee said rules should be ready before the next general election.

The reportnoted that the same traits that make crypto useful for fast payments also make it harder to monitor. It points to mixers, tumblers, privacy coins and chain hopping as tools that can blur the source of funds and warns that artificial intelligence tools could help split a large payment into many sub-500-pound ($668) donations, keeping each below the normal reporting threshold.

Crypto donations remain legal in the country, even though cryptoassets are treated as property rather than legal tender, the report adds. Reform UK, the party led by Nigel Farage that leads in national polls, is the first European political party to say it will accept crypto donations.

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The total value of crypto donations Reform UK has received so far is unclear. Crypto investor Christopher Harbone has donated around $12 million in cash to the party.

Natasha Powell, crypto exchange Kraken’s chief compliance officer, told lawmakers that regulated exchanges can manage much of the danger. Still, the committee wasn’t convinced and said the current framework lacks the tools and staff needed to verify donors, trace funds and avoid abuse. As such, it wants the moratorium written into the Representation of the People Bill.

The report adds that a ban on direct crypto gifts would not close every gap. A donor could still cash out cryptocurrencies into sterling before sending money through the banking system.

The committee also wants the Electoral Commission to gain powers to compel information from banks, the tax authority and crypto platforms when it suspects impermissible activity, the report adds.

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Senior Labour members of parliament earlier this year called on Prime Minister Keir Starmer to ban cryptocurrency donations to political parties, over concerns these could be used by hostile foreign entities to influence elections.

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US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis: FX Markets Await Central Bank Decisions

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US Dollar Index (DXY) Analysis: FX Markets Await Central Bank Decisions

Today, the focus for FX traders is on the Federal Reserve: at 21:00 GMT+3, the FOMC will announce its interest rate decision (rates are expected to remain unchanged), followed by a press conference with Fed Chair Jerome Powell half an hour later.

In addition:
→ the Bank of Canada will announce its rate decision today;
→ similar events are scheduled tomorrow for the Bank of Japan, the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of England.

As the DXY chart shows, the index is currently trading near the median of an upward channel that has remained in place since early February — a zone where supply and demand typically balance each other. However, incoming central bank announcements are likely to disrupt this equilibrium.

Technical Analysis of DXY

On the morning of 13 March, when analysing the DXY chart, we:
→ noted that the market appeared overbought, with price trading above the upper boundary of the channel;
→ suggested that a pullback could develop.

Indeed, subsequent price action showed signs of bearish pressure:
→ the formation of a “head and shoulders” (H&S) reversal pattern;
→ a bull trap above the psychological 100-point level.

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It is reasonable to assume that the FX market is currently awaiting a crucial wave of fundamental information from central banks, which is particularly significant given ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. Traders should be prepared for increased volatility in the near term — the dollar index may move towards one of the channel boundaries depending on how the market reacts to upcoming news.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Tally to Wind Down DAO Platform, Scraps Planned ICO

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Tally to Wind Down DAO Platform, Scraps Planned ICO

Decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) governance platform Tally is shutting down after five years of operations, citing a lack of sustainable business models for governance tooling in the crypto market. 

Tally co-founder and CEO Dennison Bertram said the company will begin winding down at the end of March. He added that the company is not moving forward with a planned initial coin offering (ICO), concluding that it could not confidently deliver on the expectations that would come with selling tokens to investors. 

Tally’s closure comes despite years of activity on its platform, which supported governance for hundreds of organizations and processed more than $1 billion in payments, according to Bertram. At its peak, the company said it helped secure up to $80 billion in value and served more than 1 million users.

Tally launched in 2021 as a software platform for on-chain organizations. According to startup intelligence platform Tracxn, the company raised a total of $15.5 million across three funding rounds. 

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Related: Vitalik Buterin proposes using AI to strengthen DAO governance

The shutdown reflects the challenges facing DAO-focused platforms after years of development and adoption. It highlights the pace of change in the industry, where even substantial achievements may prove insufficient to support a venture-backed business in DAO governance tooling.

Source: Tally

Industry reflects on DAO challenges amid Tally shutdown

Following the announcement, builders and operators across the ecosystem pointed to a broader reassessment of DAO governance, with some describing Tally’s closure as part of a wider shift in how coordination tools are being developed and monetized. 

Oku Trade CEO Getty Hill said DAO development has not met the expectations set during earlier growth phases.

Related: DAOs may need to ditch decentralization to court institutions

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“While stablecoins have achieved the greatest product-market fit in crypto, I still believe DAOs will ultimately get there, though maybe not for another 3-10 years,” he wrote. 

Meanwhile, Oasis Onchain founder Stefen Deleveaux described the shutdown as “the end of an era,” reflecting on a wave of early DAO tooling projects that emerged during the 2020–2021 cycle but struggled to sustain themselves over time.

Realms DAO chief technology officer Adrian Brzeziński pointed to the stats highlighted by Bertram, saying that the “hardest truth” in crypto infrastructure is that usage does not equate to revenue. “The next wave of governance won’t look like voting portals. It’ll look like capital coordination,” Brzeziński wrote. 

DAOs are “difficult” to operate

On March 11, Aave founder Stani Kulechov said DAOs, in their current form, are “extraordinarily difficult” to operate. He pointed to internal conflicts and proposals that can take weeks of forum posts, temperature checks and multiple votes to pass. 

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