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Ray Dalio thinks bitcoin is no gold, and that is exactly why bulls are buying

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Ray Dalio thinks bitcoin is no gold, and that is exactly why bulls are buying

Crypto experts are pushing back after billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio renewed his skepticism about bitcoin , arguing that the largest and oldest cryptocurrency lacks the qualities that make gold a reliable store of value.

Speaking on the All-In Podcast, the Bridgewater Associates founder said bitcoin should not be compared to gold because it lacks central bank backing, offers limited privacy and could face an existential threat from future advances in quantum computing. Dalio also pointed to the asset’s public ledger, suggesting transactions can be monitored and potentially controlled.

Dalio, who said last year that he has about a 1% allocation to bitcoin, isn’t new to the criticism of the digital asset. At the time, he said bitcoin faces challenges as a global reserve asset due to its traceability and potential vulnerabilities from quantum computing.

However, industry figures say those critiques reflect longstanding debates around bitcoin, and that the risks Dalio highlighted are already reflected in bitcoin’s much smaller market value compared to gold.

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Bitcoin’s risks are also its upside

However, some analysts say those critiques are exactly why bitcoin is worth buying.

“Dalio’s not ‘wrong’ in an absolute sense,” Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at asset manager Bitwise, told CoinDesk. “There really is some risk with quantum and central banks really aren’t buying bitcoin yet.”

But Hougan said those concerns are precisely why bitcoin still trades far below, roughly 4%, of gold’s total market size. Bitcoin’s market cap currently stands at around $1.4 trillion, compared to gold’s estimated $35 trillion

“These criticisms are quite literally the opportunity,” he said. “We invest in bitcoin because we think these things will change over time; that developers will solve quantum risk and central banks will come around.”

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“If these critiques did not exist, bitcoin would already be at $1 million a coin,” he added.

‘Tired’ old narratives

Alex Thorn, Galaxy’s head of research, said Dalio’s arguments echo older narratives from bitcoin’s early years.

“Ray Dalio’s Bitcoin critiques are reminiscent of tired narratives from the pre-2017 era,” Thorn said in an email, adding that quantum risks are already being addressed by developers.

Read more: Here’s why the quantum threat for bitcoin may be smaller than people fear

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He also said that comparing bitcoin to gold is fair but overlooks how the two assets differ in practice. “Gold might function well stored in a bunker or at the New York Fed, but Bitcoin has actual real-world utility in ways that gold could never match,” he said, pointing to the asset’s growing adoption by both individuals and institutions over nearly two decades.

Monetary shift

Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research at VanEck, said both gold and bitcoin “have a role” as they represent hard assets from different monetary eras.

“Ultimately, this is a debate between the monetary architecture of the last century and the one emerging in this one,” he said in an email.

Gold, in his view, solved the trust problem in an “analog” financial system built around reported reserves and custodians. Meanwhile, bitcoin addresses that in a digital environment through open-source development and verifiable transactions.

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He added that central banks — like the Czech National Bank — are already beginning to experiment with digital asset exposure and that privacy improvements are emerging through better wallet practices and second-layer networks.

Sigel also pushed back on the quantum computing concern, saying the issue affects the entire financial system rather than bitcoin alone. “Quantum risk is a broader cryptography challenge facing the entire financial system, not a flaw unique to bitcoin,” he said.

Investor surveys, he said, also show that younger investors increasingly favor bitcoin, suggesting a gradual shift in “monetary center.”

Read more: ‘Big Short’ Micheal Burry spots 2022 vibes in bitcoin crash

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Morgan Stanley Lays Off 2,500 Employees Across All Divisions as AI Drives Major Workforce Shifts in Finance

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Morgan Stanley cut 2,500 jobs, roughly 3% of its workforce, despite record $70.6B revenue in 2025.
  • AI adoption linked to an 11% job elimination rate and 11.5% productivity gain across 1,000 surveyed firms.
  • Block’s Jack Dorsey cut 4,000 jobs, nearly half its staff, citing AI tools making human roles unnecessary.
  • Anthropic’s CEO warned AI could eliminate 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs in law, finance, and consulting.

Morgan Stanley layoffs have reached approximately 2,500 employees across all divisions as of March 2026. The cuts span investment banking, trading, wealth management, and investment management.

Financial advisors, however, are not included in the reductions. This follows the bank’s best financial year ever, with annual revenue hitting a record $70.6 billion in 2025.

The move reflects a growing industry shift toward artificial intelligence adoption at major financial institutions.

Record Profits Do Not Protect Jobs

Morgan Stanley posted a banner year in 2025, beating Wall Street estimates for fourth-quarter profit. Investment banking revenue jumped 47%, while debt underwriting fees nearly doubled during the same period.

Banking executives had expressed an optimistic tone heading into 2026, citing healthy pipelines for mergers and acquisitions. Yet the bank still moved forward with cutting roughly 3% of its global workforce of 82,992 employees.

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The cuts are based on strategy and individual performance, according to a source familiar with the matter. The bank also plans to add headcount in select areas following the reductions.

Volatile markets continue to boost trading desks as clients reposition portfolios against risk. Meanwhile, the broader workforce faces mounting pressure from rising AI adoption across financial services.

Social commentary has drawn attention to the pattern emerging across industries. As one widely shared post noted, “Record profits, record layoffs while AI gets the credit and workers get the door.”

The Anthropic CEO stated on national television that AI could wipe out 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs. Those roles include positions in law, finance, and consulting — precisely where Morgan Stanley made cuts.

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Morgan Stanley’s own research team surveyed nearly 1,000 companies already using AI tools. The findings showed an 11% job elimination rate alongside a 4% net headcount decline.

Productivity, however, rose by 11.5% across those surveyed companies. The bank had also previously predicted 200,000 European banking jobs would disappear within five years.

AI Drives Layoffs Across the Broader Financial Sector

Morgan Stanley is not alone in linking workforce reductions to AI adoption strategies. Jack Dorsey-led payments firm Block cut over 4,000 employees in late February 2026.

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That figure represented nearly half of Block’s entire workforce at the time. Dorsey publicly stated that AI tools had made human workers unnecessary for many functions.

He further stated that most companies would reach the same conclusion within a year. The Block layoffs came as part of an overhaul designed to embed AI across its operations.

These developments followed a broader wave of workforce reductions across U.S. companies since early 2026. Businesses have been streamlining operations as AI tool adoption continues to accelerate.

Observers note that Washington has yet to produce a formal policy response to AI-driven job displacement. Corporate boards are increasingly choosing technology over headcount to sustain profit margins.

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Workers across entry-level white-collar roles continue to face an uncertain employment outlook entering the remainder of 2026.

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Cyclops raises $8m for enterprise stablecoin infrastructure

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Cyclops raises $8m for enterprise stablecoin infrastructure

Cyclops has raised $8m to build compliant stablecoin infrastructure for payment firms.

Summary

  • Cyclops closed an $8m funding round led by Castle Island Ventures, with participation from F-Prime and Shift4.
  • The startup will provide B2B infrastructure so payment processors and fintechs can issue and manage stablecoin products.
  • BTC traded around $71.7k and ETH near $2.1k, with majors up 7%–9% as stablecoin volumes on chains like SOL hit record highs.

Stablecoin infrastructure company Cyclops has secured $8m in fresh funding to expand its platform for enterprises that want to issue, manage, and integrate stablecoin products into their existing payments and banking stacks. The round was led by Castle Island Ventures, with participation from F-Prime and payment processor Shift4, underscoring how traditional fintech investors are positioning around regulated, dollar-linked assets rather than pure-speculation tokens. Cyclops aims to act as a middleware layer between banks, processors, and public blockchains, offering APIs for minting and redeeming stablecoins, managing reserves, and handling compliance workflows such as KYC and transaction monitoring. The company is targeting payment companies and fintechs that want to support on-chain settlement and tokenized balances without building their own infrastructure from scratch.

The raise comes as stablecoins continue to gain share in both trading and real-world payment activity. On networks such as Solana, monthly stablecoin trading volumes have hit new highs, supported by low fees and a shift from speculative meme trading toward SOL and stablecoin pairs, while Ethereum remains the dominant venue for larger stablecoin and tokenized-asset flows. For investors like Castle Island and Shift4, backing Cyclops is a bet that the next phase of growth will come from enterprise-grade adoption, where merchants and platforms move parts of their settlement and treasury stack onto public chains. In that model, infrastructure providers handle integration with blockchains and custody partners, while brands focus on user experience and regulatory engagement in their home markets.

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Enterprise demand for stablecoin rails

Cyclops is entering a competitive but expanding field where payment firms, exchanges such as Coinbase, and networks like Visa are racing to support stablecoin settlement across multiple regions and currencies. For corporates and fintechs, key requirements include reliable issuance and redemption, clear segregation of reserves, and straightforward integration with existing ledgers and compliance systems. In practice, that means infrastructure providers must connect bank accounts, custodians, and public chains while maintaining audit trails that satisfy regulators and institutional risk teams. By focusing on B2B tooling, Cyclops is positioning itself as a behind-the-scenes provider rather than a consumer-facing brand, similar to how card processors and acquiring banks operate under the logos of retail-facing platforms.

The timing of the round reflects a broader shift in market structure. After a period of deleveraging and ETF-driven repositioning in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), liquidity has rotated back into spot markets and stablecoins, with on-chain data showing increased usage for cross-border payments and micro-transactions. At the same time, policymakers in jurisdictions implementing frameworks like MiCA are clarifying capital, reserve, and disclosure rules for fiat-backed tokens, creating a clearer environment for banks and payment institutions to participate. For Cyclops and its backers, success will depend on convincing risk-averse enterprises that tokenized dollars can reduce friction and cost without adding unacceptable complexity or regulatory exposure, turning stablecoin rails from a niche experiment into a core part of global payments infrastructure.

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Ethereum price eyes $2,200 as local structure flips bullish

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Ethereum price eyes $2,200 as local market structure flips bullish - 1

Ethereum price has begun showing early signs of recovery as local market structure turns bullish. Consecutive higher highs and higher lows above key volume levels now place the $2,200 resistance zone in focus.

Summary

  • Higher highs and higher lows signal bullish structure shift
  • $1,862 high timeframe support held at value area low
  • $2,200 major resistance becomes next upside target

Ethereum’s (ETH) recent price action suggests a shift in short-term momentum after a successful defense of major support. While the broader market remains range-bound, the internal structure has begun to show bullish characteristics.

This shift is raising the probability of a continued move higher toward the next significant resistance level.

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Ethereum price key technical points

  • Bullish Structure: Higher highs and higher lows forming above the Point of Control.
  • Key Support Held: $1,862 acted as strong high timeframe demand.
  • Upside Target: $2,200 high timeframe resistance above the value area high.
Ethereum price eyes $2,200 as local market structure flips bullish - 1
ETHUSDT (4H) Chart, Source: TradingView

Ethereum’s current price action reflects an important local structural change. After previously trading in a corrective phase, the asset has begun forming consecutive higher highs and higher lows, a classic signal that momentum may be shifting in favor of buyers. This structural transition occurred as price reclaimed and held above the Point of Control (POC), which represents the area with the highest traded volume within the current trading range.

Holding above the POC typically signals that the market is establishing acceptance at higher prices. When buyers manage to sustain price above such an equilibrium level, it often opens the probability of a continuation move toward the upper boundary of the range.

A key factor supporting this shift was Ethereum’s reaction at the $1,862 high timeframe support level. This region aligns closely with the Value Area Low, a technical level where markets frequently find demand. The strong defense of this zone provided the catalyst for the initial bullish rotation that is now unfolding.

From a market structure perspective, this reaction marked the beginning of the internal trend shift. Buyers stepped in aggressively at support, absorbing selling pressure and pushing price back above key volume levels. The resulting momentum has allowed Ethereum to build a short-term bullish structure within the broader range environment.

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Despite this positive development, it is important to note that Ethereum remains confined within a larger trading range on higher timeframes. Range-bound markets often produce multiple internal rotations between support and resistance before a decisive breakout occurs. As a result, short-term bullish expansions can still occur even while the broader structure remains neutral.

The next major technical level to watch is the $2,200 resistance zone, which sits above the current Value Area High. This area represents a significant supply region where sellers previously stepped in. If Ethereum continues to maintain its current bullish structure, price could attempt to test this level in the near term.

However, resistance zones such as $2,200 often attract selling pressure, particularly within range environments. Should price reach this area, the market may encounter renewed supply that could trigger a rotational move back toward support levels.

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Volume dynamics will play a key role in determining the outcome. A strong expansion in bullish volume as price approaches resistance would increase the probability of a breakout attempt. Conversely, weakening participation could lead to rejection and continuation of the broader range-bound structure.

Overall, Ethereum’s internal market structure currently favors upside continuation, but the presence of strong overhead resistance means traders should remain cautious.

What to expect in the coming price action

If Ethereum maintains higher lows above the Point of Control, the probability of a rally toward the $2,200 resistance zone increases. However, failure to break and hold above this level could trigger another rotation within the broader range, sending price back toward high timeframe support near $1,862.

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Bitcoin Short Sellers Caught Off Guard in New White House Move

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Bitcoin Price Performance

Over $530 million in Bitcoin (BTC) short positions were liquidated today as the White House nominated pro-Bitcoin Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chairman, triggering a broad crypto market rally.

Bitcoin is up by 9% in 12 hours, adding $123 billion to its market cap. Ethereum (ETH) climbed 11% over the same period, adding $26 billion.

Bitcoin Short Sellers Caught Offguard As White House Officially Nominates Pro-BTC Fed Chair

Bitcoin reclaimed the $73,000 psychological level and was trading for $73,413 as of this writing.

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

The move forced a cascade of short liquidations across derivatives markets, with Coinglass data showing nearly $30 million in short positions blown out over the past hour. This brings total liquidations to $530 million over the last 24 hours.

The move caught short sellers exposed. Traders betting against BTC and ETH were squeezed out as prices rose sharply, amplifying upward momentum through forced buybacks.

Warsh Nomination Serves as Macro Catalyst

The policy trigger behind the rally came from Washington. The White House officially nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor widely regarded as sympathetic to digital assets, to serve as Fed Chairman for a four-year term.

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“Kevin Warsh, of Florida, to be Chairman of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System for a term of four years. Kevin Warsh, of Florida, to be a Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System for a term of fourteen years from February 1, 2026,” read the announcement.

Meanwhile, the divergence between Bitcoin and traditional safe havens widened. Bitcoin is up by almost double digits, while Gold fell 3%. This stark contrast suggests capital rotation from traditional stores of value into digital assets.

The Warsh nomination and Saylor’s public stance, indicating potential for buying more BTC than sellers can offload, point to a market increasingly driven by macro policy expectations and institutional positioning.

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Threshold Launches All-in-One Bitcoin Liquidity App

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Threshold Launches All-in-One Bitcoin Liquidity App

[PRESSS RELEASE – New York, United States, March 3rd, 2026]

Threshold Network, the decentralized blockchain protocol behind tBTC, has introduced an update to its decentralized application featuring an all-in-one Unified Bitcoin App that enables users to route Bitcoin across major chains through a single interface.

This new unified routing interface brings minting, redeeming, bridging, tracking, and native BTC swaps into a single application: The Threshold App. Users can now move Bitcoin across ecosystems through a coordinated system, rather than stitching together multiple tools or navigating between different Decentralized protocols.

This release simplifies how Bitcoin enters and moves across DeFi, offering a more user-friendly on-chain experience with tBTC. Whether a transaction requires a swap, a bridge, or multiple steps, execution is seamlessly coordinated through a single interface

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Coordinated Execution Instead of Fragmented Workflows

Historically, moving BTC into tBTC and across chains required multiple disconnected workflows: minting in one app, bridging via another protocol, swapping on separate exchanges, and manually checking the best price for each transaction. This fragmented process introduced friction, higher execution risk, added costs, and unnecessary complexity for users attempting to access DeFi with Bitcoin.

The Threshold All-in-one Bitcoin Liquidity App streamlines this experience by consolidating minting, bridging, swapping, and cost tracking into a single coordinated interface. Instead of manually comparing bridges and liquidity venues, users receive optimized routing options based on cost, speed, and reliability, such as the fastest or lowest-cost path: all within the Threshold Network App.

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By abstracting multi-step transactions into a single seamless flow, the router significantly lowers the barrier for Bitcoin holders to use BTC across major ecosystems, including Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, Sui, Starknet, and other integrated chains. The result is a simpler, more efficient way to move Bitcoin into DeFi.

Native BTC Execution with Deep Liquidity

Native BTC swaps are integrated directly into the routing engine, leveraging deep Ethereum liquidity to deliver competitive pricing and more efficient execution compared to fragmented, chain-specific pools.

“Capital should move efficiently across chains without requiring users to manage infrastructure decisions,” said MacLane Wilkison, Co-Founder of Threshold Network. “The new Threshold Bitcoin app coordinates liquidity sourcing and settlement behind the interface, enabling more efficient Bitcoin deployment across ecosystems.”

The update also strengthens the utility of Threshold’s token (T). The App tracks staked $T from the connected wallet and automatically applies minting and redemption fee waivers for eligible users. Gasless minting remains available as an opt-in feature, further reducing transaction costs.

Additionally, the router enables streamlined conversions from assets such as WBTC and cbBTC directly into tBTC on the destination chain, providing more direct and efficient access to Bitcoin liquidity across DeFi ecosystems.

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Integrated Infrastructure Across Major Networks. Currently, the router connects Bitcoin, Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, Sui, and Starknet within one coordinated framework. It integrates native tBTC mint and redeem flows, established bridging infrastructure, and DEX aggregation to ensure reliable settlement across chains.

All transactions are tracked in real time and are fully resumable. If a user disconnects or closes a session, progress is preserved. Fee logic is staking-aware, with eligible T stakers seeing applicable redemption fees waived directly within the interface.

New Features:

  • Unified Routing Interface: Enables minting, redeeming, swapping, and bridging from a single entry point. Users select source and destination assets, and the system automatically constructs the optimal execution path.
  • Multi-Chain Connectivity: Supports Bitcoin, Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, Sui, and StarkNet within a single coordinated framework. Users can move BTC or tBTC across ecosystems without managing separate bridge interfaces.
  • Smart Route Discovery and Ranking: Automatically evaluates possible transaction paths and ranks them by cost, speed, reliability, and simplicity. Users are presented with clearly labeled best options.
  • Native BTC Swaps: Provides direct access to BTC liquidity with competitive execution, while enabling seamless conversion of assets such as cbBTC or wBTC into tBTC on a user’s chosen destination network.
  • Integrated Liquidity and Bridging Stack: Connects tBTC mint and redeem flows with established bridging infrastructure and DEX aggregation to coordinate multi-step transactions seamlessly.
  • Resumable Transactions: Persists in-flight operations, allowing users to refresh, disconnect, or return later without losing progress. Reduces failed cross-chain flows and operational friction
  • $T Staking-Aware Fee Display: Recognizes T staking status and surfaces fee waivers directly in the interface, reinforcing participation incentives.
  • Unified tBTC Explorer and Transaction Tracking: The new explorer section of the app consolidates historical mint, redeem, bridge, and swap activity into a single view, improving transparency and user oversight.

Impact for Users and Stakeholders

This release expands the utility of tBTC across six ecosystems while increasing throughput across minting, bridging, and swap flows. By embedding routing intelligence directly into the protocol interface, Threshold captures more activity within its infrastructure and further strengthens staking incentives tied to network usage.

With this launch, Threshold advances its role from Bitcoin asset issuance to core infrastructure for Bitcoin mobility, coordinating capital movement seamlessly across chains and unlocking more efficient access to decentralized finance.

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Users can explore the new Bitcoin App today at https://app.threshold.network

About Threshold Network

Threshold Network is the decentralized protocol behind tBTC, a non-custodial, 1:1 Bitcoin-backed asset secured by a 51-of-100 threshold signer model. tBTC enables native BTC to move across chains like Ethereum, Base, Sui, Arbitrum, and Starknet without requiring custodians or compromising security. With over 6 years of proven security and about $5.1B in bridge volume, Threshold offers the most battle-tested, trust-minimized Bitcoin infrastructure on-chain.

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Why GENIUS Act Could Lead to CBDC-Like Surveillance

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Why GENIUS Act Could Lead to CBDC-Like Surveillance

For many, the passage of the GENIUS Act closed the doors on the creation of a Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). Stablecoins, though digital, were marketed as a private form of currency, in contrast to a government-issued digital dollar.

Aaron Day, a fellow at the Brownstone Institute and a staunch critic of the crypto industry, argued that the GENIUS Act facilitates increased government surveillance despite this ban.

Surveillance Concerns Under the GENIUS Act

The GENIUS Act explicitly prevents the Federal Reserve from issuing a CBDC directly to individuals or through a third party. Its goal was to block the creation of a government-issued digital dollar at all costs.

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Its July 2025 passage tied in nicely with President Trump’s early campaign promises to oppose the creation of a CBDC, describing it as a form of tyranny

According to Day, stablecoins and CBDCs are essentially the same thing. The only difference is that the former is privately issued, whereas the latter is issued by a central bank. Yet, as long as the government is involved, the degree of surveillance remains the same.

“The issuance by the Federal Reserve is not actually the part of this that people are concerned about. The Federal Reserve is a private organization that is a collection of banks. Whether you end up having a stablecoin issued by Jamie Dimon at JP Morgan Chase or by the Federal Reserve doesn’t matter,” Day told BeInCrypto.

What privacy-preserving people are really concerned about, he argued, is a government entity being able to program, track, and censor money

This line of thinking has prompted him to define the GENIUS Act as a “backdoor CBDC.” Day highlighted the urgency of the issue, especially given the exponential growth in stablecoins.

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“Last year, there was $33 trillion worth of stablecoin transactions. Globally, this is larger than the amount processed through Visa,” he said, adding, “What they’ve done essentially is they’ve taken stablecoins… and they put [them] under the surveillance and control of Congress.”

According to him, this level of surveillance already existed before the passage of the GENIUS Act. The recently signed bill only represents a new degree to an already established order.

Day noted that most of the dollar is already digital.

When asked for examples, he pointed to the Bank Secrecy Act (BSA). This legislation, passed in 1970, requires financial institutions to assist government agencies in detecting and preventing money laundering, terrorism financing, and other illicit activities.

According to Day, the BSA allows government agencies to engage in overreach in certain contexts.

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“We have something called suspicious activity reports. Anytime you do a financial transaction through your bank greater than $10,000, a report is automatically generated and sent to the Treasury Department. This shows you that we already have tracking within the system,” he said.

While these tools are often used for public protection, government agencies can implement them without specific authorization.

Day pointed to a specific example. In March 2025, the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), a bureau of the US Treasury Department, issued a geographic targeting order to combat money laundering activities in the southwest border of the United States. 

As part of that order, FinCEN mandated that money services businesses in 30 ZIP codes report transactions over $200.

“Understand what this means. The Treasury Department, without Congress, without a bill, without a law, can simply send a memo and banks will start adjusting the dollar transaction amount with which they start automatically reporting to Treasury,” he said.

In light of these examples, he argued that surveillance frameworks already exist. The GENIUS Act merely allows Congress to supervise stablecoins, potentially expanding control over digital currencies in ways that mirror those of a CBDC.

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Korea’s KOSPI Surges 11% in Historic Rebound, Outpacing Crypto

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Korea's KOSPI Surges 11% in Historic Rebound, Outpacing Crypto

One day after recording its worst single-session loss in history, South Korea’s KOSPI surged more than 11% on Thursday, staging one of the most dramatic reversals the index has ever seen.

No major economy is more acutely wired to Middle East instability than Seoul — and this week proved it.

The Bounce of KOSPI and KOSDAQ

South Korea’s two main stock indices — the large-cap KOSPI and tech-heavy KOSDAQ — are among Asia’s most actively traded markets and a key barometer of Korean retail investor sentiment.

By mid-morning, the KOSPI had climbed to 5,682 — up from Wednesday’s close of 5,093 — after touching an intraday high of 5,715. The KOSDAQ recovered above the 1,000 level, gaining over 11%. A buy-side sidecar was triggered in early trade — a striking contrast to Wednesday’s sell-side sidecar and full circuit breaker halt. The won strengthened sharply, pulling back from an overnight high of 1,505 to trade near 1,461.

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The catalyst: oil prices stabilized, with Brent crude holding at $81.40 and WTI at $74.66, and reports of back-channel contacts between Washington and Tehran lifted sentiment across Asian markets. Wall Street had closed higher on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq up 1.29%, led by Tesla (+3.44%), Amazon (+3.95%), and Nvidia (+1.66%).

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix — which had shed 21% and 22.75% respectively from their late-February peaks — rebounded 13–15% in early trade. Foreign investors, who had used both stocks as first-resort liquidity during the panic, returned as net buyers of over 710 billion won by mid-morning. Retail investors added another 600 billion won alongside them.

Why Korea Fell Harder Than Anyone Else

The scale of the crash and recovery reflects a structural reality. Over the two sessions on March 3–4, the KOSPI and KOSDAQ fell 18.43% and 17.97%, respectively — the worst and second-worst performances globally. Japan fell 6.57%, Taiwan 6.46%, and China’s Shenzhen Composite just 3.76%. US indices barely registered, declining less than 0.35% combined.

Korea imports over 70% of its energy from the Middle East and operates an export-dependent economy with high sensitivity to commodity shocks. When US-Israel strikes on Iran triggered Strait of Hormuz closure fears, global risk was concentrated in Seoul with exceptional force. Wednesday’s KOSPI decline of 12.06% surpassed even the 12.02% drop recorded the day after 9/11 — a threshold that had stood for 25 years.

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What Comes Next

Analysts are cautiously optimistic but warn that the path forward depends on geopolitical developments. One analyst argued that a prolonged Hormuz blockade is self-defeating for Iran. It would cut Tehran’s foreign exchange revenues while inviting further military response. Another pointed to a potential mediator as the key turning point. At current index levels, he said, “the case for buying is strong.”

Mirae Asset set a near-term KOSPI recovery target of 5,800. Kiwoom Securities suggested the two-day selloff had effectively front-loaded the war risk premium in full.

What It Means for Crypto

For crypto markets, as BeInCrypto reported Wednesday, Korea’s retail investor base showed some resilience during the crash — with newly listed tokens on Upbit and Bithumb posting double-digit gains even as equities collapsed. But Thursday’s equity rebound may quickly reverse that dynamic.

With foreign and retail investors pouring over 1.3 trillion won back into equities in a single morning session, the stock market’s gravitational pull reasserts itself. Korea’s crypto volumes had already dropped by more than 80% during the KOSPI’s 85% bull run since President Lee’s election, and a sharp V-shaped equity recovery threatens to drain whatever crypto inflows emerged during the two-day panic.

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The won pulled back from 1,505 to near 1,461. That partial recovery reduces the currency-hedge appeal that briefly boosted digital assets. The effect is already visible in the data: Bitcoin rose 6.4% in dollar terms over the past 24 hours, but gained only around 5% on Upbit in won terms — the won’s sharp rebound absorbed more than a percentage point of that gain.

If geopolitical risk continues to ease, the KOSPI could push toward Mirae Asset’s 5,800 target. Korean retail capital — historically the most swing-sensitive in global crypto markets — would likely follow equities. Not digital assets.

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Bitcoin shows record weekly oversold as selling pressure eases

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Microsoft stock plunges 11% as Bitcoin traders seek refuge amid broader tech selloff

Bitcoin has hit its most extreme weekly oversold level on record as selling slows.

Summary

  • Research firm K33 says bitcoin is in its deepest weekly oversold zone ever.
  • The move follows months of selling from long-term holders and institutions, though that pressure is now easing.
  • Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed $71,000 with roughly 7% daily gains as derivatives metrics show cautious but stabilizing positioning.

Bitcoin (BTC) has entered the most extreme weekly oversold zone in its history, according to a new report from research firm K33, even as early signs suggest that sustained sell pressure from long-term holders and institutions is finally starting to ease.

The firm notes that over the past several months, systematic selling from older wallets and ETF-related flows pushed prices lower and kept sentiment muted, despite ongoing interest in spot products. Now, with bitcoin back above $70,000 and net outflows slowing, K33 argues that the market is moving into a phase where forced or programmatic selling is less dominant, allowing spot demand to have a clearer impact on price. At the same time, derivatives indicators point to a market that is still cautious rather than euphoric, with traders paying for downside protection even as spot rebounds.

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K33’s oversold signal is rooted in longer-term momentum and breadth metrics, rather than short-term intraday swings, highlighting how extended the prior drawdown had become relative to previous cycles. The report emphasizes that similar readings in past years often preceded medium-term recovery phases, though the timing and strength of those rebounds varied depending on macro conditions and liquidity. In this cycle, the backdrop includes U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs that continue to attract steady, if uneven, inflows, as well as growing interest from corporates and fintech platforms like Coinbase that are integrating digital assets more deeply into their product stacks. For now, the firm characterizes bitcoin’s current state as one of “exhausted sellers” rather than a fully confirmed trend reversal.

Derivatives still signal caution

Despite the oversold reading and price recovery, K33 stresses that derivatives markets are not yet signaling a return to aggressive risk-on behavior. Funding rates on major perpetual futures have normalized from previous extremes and sit near neutral, suggesting that leveraged longs are no longer crowding in at any price, but are also not completely absent. Open interest has climbed from local lows in a more measured fashion, indicating that new positions are being added without the kind of unchecked leverage build-up that often precedes sharp liquidations. Options markets, meanwhile, show persistent demand for puts and elevated implied volatility around key macro and policy dates, reflecting ongoing concern about downside scenarios.

For traders and asset managers, the combination of record weekly oversold conditions and still-cautious derivatives positioning creates an environment where upside follow-through is possible, but not guaranteed. Short-covering rallies can be powerful in this type of setup if spot demand continues and ETF flows stay positive, yet any renewed wave of macro stress or regulatory headlines could quickly reignite selling. Institutional desks focused on structured products and basis trades may see opportunities to re-enter yield strategies as spreads normalize, while long-only investors weigh whether current levels offer an attractive entry point in light of K33’s historical analogs. The key test in the coming weeks will be whether bitcoin can hold above reclaimed support zones while leverage remains contained, confirming that the market has transitioned from forced selling into a more sustainable, accumulation-driven phase.

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Why South Korea’s KOSPI Just Crashed 12%

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KOSPI_2026-03-04_09-21-17


Escalating geopolitical tensions amid the war in Iran are part of the reasons behind South Korea’s worst stock market crash in decades.

The benchmark market index in South Korea, KOSPI, saw a massive decline during the last trading session, dropping by more than 12%. Undoubtedly, this last drop represents a significant escalation from earlier market movements and highlights the increasing volatility in local equity markets amid the war in Iran.

Worst Stock Market Crash Since 2008

As of this writing on Wednesday, KOSPI is down by more than 12%. On the previous trading day, the benchmark index lost another 7%, marking what appears to be the worst performance since 2008.

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Both Kosdaq and KOSPI hit the threshold for an emergency circuit breaker on Korea’s stock exchange, triggering 20-minute trading halts.

Commenting on the matter in a report for CNBC was Lorraine Tan, Asia’s director of equity research at Morningstar, who said:

“The decline in the KOSPI can broadly be attributed to the single-name concentration that we see in the Korean markets. […] We believe that the drop in share prices is partly driven by profit taking after a strong runup amidst a risk-off environment but also implies growing concern that the AI datacenter adoption pace might slow down due to its significantly higher energy costs than regular data centers.”

Additionally, analysts point out that South Korea’s economy is highly sensitive to oil prices, making it even more vulnerable during the war in the Middle East.

KOSPI_2026-03-04_09-21-17
Source: TradingView

Global Tensions in Markets

Markets in Japan are also under pressure. Japan’s flagship market index, the Nikkei, is down over 5% over the last 48 hours, while the US Stock Market has been able to recover somewhat following statements from respective parties.

Crypto markets remain flat on the day. Bitcoin is up 0.6% in the past 24 hours, while the majority of altcoins are trading in the range between -1% and +1%. The total capitalization is around $2.3 trillion, down 0.1% on the day, according to CoinMarketCap.

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Crypto market rallies as top Federal Reserve official maintains support for interest rate cuts

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here’s why Pepe Coin, Zcash, Morpho, and Dogecoin are rising

The crypto market rally resumed on Wednesday as a senior Federal Reserve official maintained his view that the bank should cut interest rates despite the rising inflation jitters.

Summary

  • The crypto market rallied on Wednesday. Stephen Miran said that he supported interest rate cuts.
  • He argued that the labor market was not strong and that inflation was largely contained.
  • The rally also happened amid rumors that Iran had reached out to the United States.

Bitcoin (BTC) zoomed past the key resistance level at $72,000, leading to a broader rally among other altcoins. SPX6900 jumped by 20%, while Aerodrome Finance, Kite, Zcash, and Decred soared by over 10%. The market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies rose by 6.48%, while the futures open interest rose to over $95 billion.

Stephen Miran supports interest rate cuts 

One major reason why the crypto rally is happening is that Stephen Miran, a top Fed official appointed by President Donald Trump, expressed his support for interest rate cuts despite the ongoing geopolitical tensions and higher crude oil prices.

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Miran has always argued that inflation is still low and that the labor market was still under increased pressure. As such, he believes that cutting interest rates will be ideal to supercharge the economy. He said:

“When you look at the totality of labor-market data, there’s still evidence to me that it needs more support from monetary policy.”

Miran, however, is part of the bank’s minority in his support for more interest rate cuts. The most recent Fed minutes showed that some officials supported hiking rates in the last meeting, citing the elevated inflation, which has remained above the 2% target for over four years.

Inflation may remain above this range for longer as Trump plans to implement a new 15% universal tariff as soon as this week. Also, the ongoing war in Iran has pushed crude oil and natural gas prices to the highest level in months. Higher energy prices often lead to higher inflation because they are used in transport, manufacturing, and other activities.

Crypto market rally also triggered by hopes of talks between the US and Iran 

The crypto market rally also happened as investors cheered a report saying that Iran had reached out to the United States for talks on how to end the ongoing war. Officials from the government’s intelligence office made the approach on Sunday, a day after the war started. 

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Still, it is unclear whether the two sides will meet soon to talk, as they are both confident of victory. Trump has insisted that the US was ready to fight the war as long as possible. He has also not ruled out a ground operation in the country. Similarly, Iran has maintained that it was prepared to continue fighting.

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