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SEC plans CAT takeover in sweeping market data reform
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has outlined a plan to take control of the Consolidated Audit Trail, replace its funding model, and prepare a transition that could run through late 2027.
Summary
- The SEC has ordered staff to assess direct agency control of CAT and the resources required.
- A proposed rule could rescind Rule 613 while retaining CAT’s infrastructure and reporting standards.
- Funding options include congressional appropriations and Section 31 transaction fees.
- The SEC expects the proposed transition to remain underway until late 2027.
The SEC said in an Aug. 10 letter from Chair Paul Atkins to CAT Operating Committee Chair Robert Walley that staff must prepare recommendations for changing how the market surveillance system is funded, governed, and operated.
Under the plan, the agency would examine whether CAT expenses could be covered through congressional appropriations or transaction fees collected under Section 31 of the Securities Exchange Act. Staff will also calculate what personnel, technology, and other internal resources the SEC would need to manage the system.
A separate rulemaking proposal could remove Rule 613 of the Regulation National Market System, the provision that led to CAT’s creation. Rescinding the rule would not eliminate the tracking system or end reporting by market firms.
Instead, Atkins asked staff to consider requiring stock exchanges, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, and broker-dealers to send the same CAT data directly to the SEC or an agency-appointed operator. Existing infrastructure and technical reporting standards would remain in use, limiting disruption during the changeover.
SEC takeover would replace CAT’s current governance model
CAT records information about orders and trades across U.S. equity and options markets, giving regulators a single system for examining market activity. Rule 613, adopted in 2012, required national securities exchanges and FINRA to submit a plan for creating and maintaining the database.
Atkins said the current arrangement still has “persistent cost, governance, and funding issues,” even after the SEC reduced the system’s annual operating expenses and narrowed its data collection.
The agency achieved some of those reductions through targeted regulatory exemptions and amendments to the CAT NMS Plan, according to the letter. It also ended the requirement to report personally identifiable information to the system, reducing the amount of sensitive investor data entering the database.
Despite the changes, Atkins said the existing structure requires additional work because CAT remains managed under a joint national market system plan involving exchanges and FINRA. The proposed model would place responsibility more directly with the federal regulator that uses the data for market oversight.
“One theme emerges from the comment file: investors and market participants want the Commission to take more responsibility for managing and funding this project,” Atkins wrote.
His instruction does not transfer control immediately. SEC staff must first prepare recommendations, assess agency resources, and draft a proposal for the commission to consider. Any repeal of Rule 613 and replacement reporting requirements would need to pass through the federal rulemaking process before taking effect.
Hundreds of comments informed the CAT reform plan
The latest instructions follow an SEC concept release issued on April 16, which requested public feedback on CAT and other audit trails used to oversee U.S. securities markets.
According to Atkins, the commission received hundreds of responses, and staff reviewed them after the comment period closed. The feedback covered the system’s management, costs, data requirements, funding, and the role the SEC should play.
Among the options raised during that review was bringing CAT expenses into the SEC budget. Under such an arrangement, Congress would examine the spending through the appropriations process, while Section 31 transaction fees could provide another source of money.
Section 31 authorizes the SEC to collect fees on certain securities transactions. The agency adjusts those fees periodically based on the amount it must collect and the expected volume of covered transactions.
Atkins has asked staff to explore the option rather than adopt it, meaning the letter does not establish a replacement funding formula or determine how costs would be allocated among market participants. Congressional appropriations would also involve lawmakers because the SEC cannot approve its own federal budget.
The SEC expects several parts of the work to proceed at the same time. Since the agency must examine funding, prepare rules, and build its capacity to run CAT, Atkins said the handover would probably not finish before late 2027.
Market participants will have opportunities to comment as the process advances, according to the letter. Atkins said the agency intends to consult investors and firms both while developing the changes and after assuming responsibility, provided the commission approves the required rules.
CAT reform joins an SEC review of U.S. market rules
The CAT instructions form part of an active review of rules governing American securities trading, including provisions that could affect blockchain-based versions of U.S. stocks.
In June, the commission proposed rescinding Rules 611 and 610(e) of Regulation NMS. Rule 611 generally prevents a trading venue from executing a stock order at a worse price when another venue displays a better protected quote, while Rule 610(e) addresses locked and crossed quotations.
As crypto.news reported, Atkins said the proposal was intended to simplify equity market structure and reduce costs after two decades under Rule 611. The proposal entered the public comment process and did not change the rules immediately.
Galaxy Digital research head Alex Thorn said automated market makers may struggle to comply with Rule 611 because decentralized liquidity pools execute trades through bonding curves and cannot check every U.S. exchange before completing each swap. Thorn’s assessment concerned a possible obstacle for tokenized stocks and did not mean the SEC proposal had authorized their onchain trading.
CAT’s future could matter to firms offering tokenized securities because regulated trading venues and broker-dealers would still have federal reporting duties under the structure Atkins described. The proposed repeal of Rule 613 would change the legal and governance framework, but exchanges, FINRA, and broker-dealers would continue submitting transaction data through CAT’s existing specifications.
SEC rulemaking extends to crypto assets and broker-dealers
Digital-asset regulation is also moving through separate SEC projects. In July, crypto.news covered three proposals in the agency’s 2026 regulatory agenda involving crypto offerings, broker-dealers, and market structure.
One project considers exemptions and safe harbors for crypto asset offerings. Another examines how broker-dealer financial responsibility and recordkeeping requirements should apply to digital assets, including possible amendments to Rules 15c3-1, 15c3-3, 17a-3, and 17a-4.
The third project concerns crypto trading on national securities exchanges and alternative trading systems. Unlike the CAT plan, the projects focus on how digital assets could be issued, held, and traded within SEC-regulated markets.
Atkins also said in July that the SEC was prepared to use its existing authority if Congress did not complete the CLARITY Act. However, earlier reporting noted that agency rulemaking cannot independently grant the Commodity Futures Trading Commission nationwide authority over digital commodity spot markets.
The CAT plan does not depend on the CLARITY Act and deals with surveillance of securities orders and trades under the SEC’s existing market mandate. Any rule proposed by staff would still require commission consideration, publication for public comment, and another decision before becoming final.
According to Atkins, the SEC plans to issue regular public updates as staff develops the restructuring. The agency will also seek input from market participants during implementation and after any approved transfer of CAT governance.
Kalshi settled its Western Michigan versus Michigan market before the game ended, paying traders who backed the losing team. The exchange then clawed that money back.
The market had traded $18.6 million by the time the result became final. Traders on both sides watched their balances move twice in the space of minutes.
How Kalshi Settled the Michigan Game Too Early
Michigan trailed 12-7 with the clock reading zero after an incomplete Hail Mary attempt. Western Michigan players had already run onto the field to celebrate.
Officials then reviewed the play and ruled that a Western Michigan defender touched the ball from out of bounds. One second still showed on the clock.
That second was restored and quarterback Bryce Underwood threw a 47-yard touchdown to JJ Buchanan, and Michigan won 13-12.
Kalshi had already treated the zeroed clock as the final state. It paid the Western Michigan side, then reversed those payouts. It reimbursed the wrongly marked losers and paid Michigan holders last.
Kalshi’s own sports account had spotlighted one $2,265 Western Michigan position during the game. It stood to pay $93,201.
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“Kalshi confirms they wrongly and prematurely settled the “Western Michigan vs. Michigan” market, as if Michigan lost. They clawed back payments to initial incorrect “winners,” reimbursed the initial “losers,” and then paid the right people. (This market saw $18.6m volume.)” Marshall Cohen of CNN noted.
Why the Settlement Error Matters for Prediction Markets
The result Kalshi eventually paid out on is itself disputed. NBC rules analyst Terry McAulay questioned how officials arrived at one second.
“The ball isn’t even close to touching a player when it goes to zero,” CBS reported, citing Terry McAulay, NBC rules analyst.
BeInCrypto flagged a similar failure in July. Coinbase pushed an AI-generated World Cup result to users before kickoff. Coinbase routes its prediction product through Kalshi.
The timing is also awkward, coming after a Michigan judge barred Kalshi from offering sports contracts inside the state on September 1. That order carries a $500,000 daily penalty.
Five days later, the exchange misfired on a Michigan football market. Prediction markets are already colliding with sports law, and critics now have a concrete settlement failure to cite.
Kalshi fixed the payouts within hours, but whether it publishes the source and timing rule that failed will matter more than the refund.
The post Kalshi Paid the Wrong Winners $18.6 Million Before Michigan's Miracle Comeback appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Given the nature of its blockchain, bitcoin was long considered to move around within a broader four-year cycle prompted by the halving, which takes place in general every four years. However, the pattern has been rejected in the past year or so, and popular on-chain analyst Willy Woo took the same approach in his latest opinion on the matter.
He suggested that BTC may be transitioning toward a six-to-eight-year cycle, increasingly influenced by the same debt and liquidity conditions that drive traditional financial markets.
From Halving to Liquidity?
Woo’s reasoning begins with the cryptocurrency’s diminishing supply shock. Following the latest halving in April 2024, new BTC issuance dropped to approximately 0.8% of the existing supply per year. The next event, scheduled to take place in early 2028, will reduce that figure to roughly 0.4%.
As newly mined supply becomes increasingly insignificant relative to the existing market, Woo argued that the halving’s ability to dictate BTC’s broader price cycle weakens. Instead, the asset may begin moving more closely with TradFi’s six-to-eight-year short-term debt cycle.
The halving framework worked remarkably well for much of bitcoin’s history. Now, though, the market structure has changed dramatically, perhaps mostly from the US spot Bitcoin ETFs. Current data shows that these financial products hold close to 1.3 million BTC, which is over 6% of the circulating supply. Public companies with at least 1,000 BTC currently own over a million units.
Together, ETFs and those corporate treasuries controlled almost 12% of circulating BTC – vastly more than miners now create annually.
Others who have supported the narrative that the four-year cycle is dead include Arthur Hayes, who claimed in 2025 that traders focus too heavily on it, and Fidelity Digital Assets. In a report from last year, the analysts questioned whether BTC’s maturing market could produce more gradual rallies and corrections rather than the violent boom-and-bust cycles of the past.
Not Everyone Is Convinced
Galaxy Research examined the same question in June this year, but concluded something different – BTC’s four-year cycle remains visible in the data. The researchers noted that bitcoin again peaked in October 2025, roughly 18 months after the April 2024 halving – precisely within the historical window.
The difference is that each cycle is becoming less extreme. Bitcoin’s previous bear markets produced drawdowns of approximately 85%, 84%, and 77%, while the decline to the July 1 low was considerably milder at just over 53%.
The post Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Could Be Changing: Willy Woo Reveals What Could Replace It appeared first on CryptoPotato.
XRP price is trading around the $1.40 to $1.45 area after a sharp rebound pushed the token back toward $1.50 in a bullish prediction environment. The move followed a volatile week that saw XRP fall into the low $1.30s before recovering alongside the broader crypto market. That rebound has arrived with a notable increase in trading activity.
Binance recorded $7.28 billion in XRP spot trading volume during August, the highest monthly figure since February. Upbit and Bithumb also recorded substantial activity at approximately $4.68 billion and $2.59 billion, respectively.
CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain highlighted the acceleration as XRP recovered toward $1.45, suggesting participation has increased across several major exchanges rather than being isolated to one venue.
Institutional demand provides another important piece of the picture, although the latest ETF data is more mixed. U.S. spot XRP ETFs recorded 11 consecutive sessions of inflows worth roughly $170 million before the streak ended Wednesday with $7.2 million in net outflows.
Cumulative net inflows remain around $1.68 billion since launch, meaning the latest reversal has not erased the much larger trend of capital entering XRP investment products.
For Sunday’s outlook, XRP remains caught between improving spot activity and the first signs that ETF demand may be cooling.
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XRP Price Prediction: Hit $1.79 Next Week?
XRP’s weekend setup remains defined by a broad $1.30 to $1.50 range, with the token recently trading near the upper half of that band. The $1.30 to $1.32 zone remains important support after buyers stepped in during the latest selloff. Meanwhile, resistance between $1.45 and $1.50 continues to cap the recovery, making a decisive breakout increasingly important for the bullish case.
The surge in activity is notable because exchange outflows also reached a six-month high, while XRPL active addresses reportedly jumped 659%. Together, those metrics point to increased network activity and stronger demand for XRP.
However, for now, neither metric alone confirms accumulation, meaning traders should wait for price confirmation before treating the activity spike as a definitive bullish signal.
The bull case becomes stronger if XRP breaks above $1.50 with sustained volume. Such a move could put $1.60 and then $1.79 on the radar, while more aggressive projections extend toward the $2.50 to $2.90 region. Those higher targets would likely require continued ETF demand, improving market sentiment, and a favorable regulatory backdrop.
The base case is continued consolidation between roughly $1.31 and $1.48 as traders digest the recent surge in activity. A break above $1.50 would shift momentum toward the bulls, while a loss of $1.30 would invalidate the current support structure and expose the low $1.20s.
With XRP ETF inflows having recently cooled after an 11-session streak, the weekend price action could provide an important test of whether underlying demand remains strong.
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Maxi Doge Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Levels
XRP holders riding this six-month volume high are sitting on solid gains, but let’s be honest, a token with a $90 billion-plus market cap isn’t going to 10x from here, no matter how strong the ETF flows get. Diminishing returns are the price of maturity.
That math is exactly why traders looking for asymmetric upside are rotating attention toward earlier-stage plays with room to actually multiply.
Enter Maxi Doge ($MAXI), a meme token built around 1000x-leverage trading culture and a 240-lb canine mascot that embodies the “never skip leg-day, never skip a pump” ethos.
The presale has raised $4.8 million so far, with tokens priced at $0.0002837 and dynamic APY staking live for early holders. Standout features include holder-only trading competitions with leaderboard rewards and a Maxi Fund treasury earmarked for liquidity and partnerships.
Research Maxi Doge before allocating any capital.
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The post XRP Price Prediction: Spot Trading Volume Hits Highest in 6 Months appeared first on Cryptonews.
McDonald’s India deleted a run of posts from its verified X (Twitter) account on Sunday. Written in the first person, they claimed an unpaid intern was owed ₹60,000, then promoted a meme coin.
The drama arrived at a low point for the stock. McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) closed Friday at $255.69, its weakest level in a year. However, Wall Street has not followed it down.
Inside the McDonald’s India Drama
The account said the writer interned at McDonald’s India and ran several of the company’s Asian social media handles. It named a manager, Amit Joshi, and said no salary had arrived since December 2025.
A later post revised that date to May, an inconsistency that fueled doubt. Another put the outstanding sum above ₹60,000, roughly $650. One said meme coin trading losses had left the writer starving daily.
Final messages promoted a token and shared crypto wallet addresses, before noting that fees had been claimed. McDonald’s India pulled the thread and answered with a meme of a dog holding a phone.
McD admin right now: If only our actual posts went this viral…” wrote McDonald’s India, via its official X account.
No name matching Amit Joshi appears in the operator’s public leadership. The company has not said whether the handle was breached.
Comparable takeovers hit Robinhood CEO’s X account in July and the Saudi Law Conference account last year.
Wall Street Targets a 24% MCD Stock Rally
Meanwhile, TipRanks counts 24 analyst covering MCD stock over the past three months. That sample holds 14 buys, 10 holds and no sells.
Their average 12-month target stands at $317.18, about 24% above Friday’s close. The high reaches $390. Even the low, $280, sits above where shares trade now.
The chart argues the other way. MCD peaked near $340 in March and has printed lower highs every month since April. Friday alone took another 3.5% off the week.
Fundamentals sit between the two, seeing as McDonald’s reported diluted earnings of $3.32 per share in the second quarter, up 6%, with global comparable sales rising 1.3%.
The 24% gap between price and target predates the Sunday incident.
The post McDonald’s India Drama Erupts While Wall Street Targets 24% Stock Rally appeared first on BeInCrypto.
New Jersey petitioned for a writ of certiorari in Kalshi’s case against it last week, finally throwing the ball to the high court.
Ripple’s XRP remains in a corrective phase after its sharp August breakout, with buyers struggling to regain control of the key overhead supply zone. The current structure suggests that the market may need more consolidation before another sustained directional move develops.
XRP Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, XRP’s explosive rally from the $0.94-$0.97 support zone broke the previous descending structure and pushed the price as high as roughly $1.70. However, the breakout was followed by an equally notable rejection, and the asset has since been unable to establish itself above the $1.45-$1.54 resistance zone.
The price is currently trading around $1.42, just below this major supply area. More importantly, XRP continues to hold above the long-term moving average near $1.27, which has flattened after previously trending lower. This level represents an important structural support for the ongoing recovery.
As long as the $1.27 area holds, the recent weakness can still be viewed as consolidation following an impulsive rally. A daily close above the $1.45-$1.54 resistance zone would strengthen the bullish case and could eventually bring the $1.70 high back into focus. Conversely, losing the $1.27 support would substantially weaken the structure and increase the probability of a deeper retracement toward the lower moving average around $1.15.
XRP/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart highlights a descending channel that has contained XRP since the initial surge. The asset has repeatedly failed to break through the channel’s upper boundary, which is now converging with the crucial $1.45-$1.54 resistance zone.
The latest rebound from around $1.34 has brought XRP back toward $1.42, placing it directly beneath this descending resistance. This makes the current area particularly important. A breakout above the trendline followed by a successful reclaim of $1.45 could signal that the corrective structure is ending, with the $1.50-$1.54 zone becoming the next hurdle.
However, another rejection would preserve the descending structure and could send the token back toward $1.34-$1.38. Below there, the channel’s lower boundary is approaching the $1.27-$1.30 region, which overlaps with a clearly defined support zone.
Therefore, XRP remains caught between improving support underneath and persistent resistance overhead. Until the descending channel is broken, the short-term outlook appears more consistent with continued consolidation and potentially another corrective move rather than an immediate bullish continuation.
The post Ripple Price Analysis: Where Is XRP Heading Next Week After Defending Its 200-Day EMA? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Ethereum is attempting to stabilize after its explosive August breakout, but the follow-through has remained limited. ETH is holding around $2.5K, yet repeated swings within the same range suggest the market is still digesting the rally rather than establishing a fresh directional trend.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
ETH’s broader structure remains constructive after the powerful breakout from the $1.85K-$1.92K base. Yet, momentum has stalled inside the $2.44K-$2.52K resistance area. Several daily candles have tested this region without producing a sustained breakout, while repeated upper and lower wicks indicate considerable indecision. ETH is currently trading near $2.5K, close to the upper portion of this range.
A clean daily breakout above roughly $2.52K-$2.56K would be required to confirm that buyers have regained control and potentially initiate another impulsive leg higher. Until then, continued consolidation remains the more likely scenario.
On the downside, losing the $2.39K-$2.44K area would weaken the current setup and increase the probability of a deeper correction. In that case, the $2.08K-$2.15K former resistance zone would become the major medium-term support to watch.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour timeframe shows ETH trapped in a broad consolidation between approximately $2.35K and $2.56K following the vertical advance from below $2K.
The important development is that buyers have repeatedly stepped in near the lower portion of this range. The latest recovery from around $2.38K has carried ETH back toward $2.5K, placing the price once again near the upper resistance region. Yet multiple previous attempts around $2.5K-$2.55K have failed to generate continuation.
Therefore, another rejection could keep the market oscillating inside the existing range. A breakdown below the $2.35K-$2.39K floor would be more consequential and could expose the first major pullback zone around $2.22K-$2.27K.
Conversely, sustained acceptance above $2.52K-$2.56K would invalidate the near-term consolidation scenario and indicate that buyers are ready to resume the broader bullish move.
Sentiment Analysis
Ethereum’s Spot Average Order Size provides an important clue regarding the lack of follow-through. The latest observations around $2.4K-$2.5K are predominantly gray, classified as normal-sized orders, while the green whale-order activity visible during earlier portions of the recovery has largely disappeared.
This suggests that ETH’s recent push toward $2.5K has not been accompanied by notable large-player participation. There is also no visible concentration of retail orders in the latest data, pointing to an absence of aggressive positioning from either side.
The lack of dominant whale activity fits well with the price action. With neither substantial large-scale demand nor supply appearing in the metric, ETH may remain prone to low-conviction, choppy movements inside its current range. A renewed appearance of significant whale orders could therefore be an important signal that the consolidation is approaching a more decisive resolution.
The post Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Consolidates at $2.5K as Whale Participation Stalls appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Berlin’s state government refused a 30 Bitcoin ransom, and the hackers behind the attack published 5.7 terabytes of stolen data on the dark web.
The Rhysida ransomware group had opened the auction at 30 BTC. Berlin let the deadline pass instead of paying.
Why the Bitcoin Ransom Demand Failed
Rhysida, a ransomware crew active since 2023, offered the files to the highest bidder. Bidding started at 30 BTC.
Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $79,902 per coin. Therefore, 30 coins come to roughly $2.4 million. Berlin’s Senate Chancellery put the demand at about two million euros.
BTC has added 0.46% today and 24.4% over the past month. That climb raised the dollar value of the demand while the ultimatum ran.
Florian Hauer, the city’s chief digital officer, ruled out any payment.
“The State of Berlin will not give in to blackmail. The safety of the State of Berlin’s staff and the people of Berlin is our top priority.”
The Bitcoin ransom deadline ran out on Friday, September 4. Rhysida published the full dataset that afternoon.
Berlin’s refusal tracks a broader shift. On-chain ransomware payments fell about 8% in 2025, even as claimed attacks rose 50%.
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Berlin Counts the Cost of a Dark Web Auction
The attack surfaced on August 14. Berlin then cut two Senate departments from the state network. One covers urban development and housing; the other covers mobility, transport, and the environment.
Housing benefit payments and family support stalled until both departments returned on August 23. Officials have warned that residents’ personal data could be in the leak.
A central crisis unit now reviews the material Rhysida released once the Bitcoin ransom went unpaid. Forensic specialists comb through the files around the clock.
The State Criminal Police Office and Germany’s federal cybersecurity agency lead the investigation. Officials told residents to report fraud or identity theft to police.
Berliners elect a new state parliament on September 20, two weeks after the Bitcoin ransom expired.
Rhysida collected nothing. Berlin has not put a figure on the damage, and the review of the published files continues.
The post Hackers Demand $2 Million in Bitcoin from Germany. Berlin Refuses to Pay appeared first on BeInCrypto.
For the eighth consecutive week, the spot XRP ETFs ended in the green, attracting almost $19 million. Although this sounds impressive, the actual number was significantly lower than last week’s figure.
Moreover, Friday ended as a no-inflow day for the first time in about three weeks, reigniting an old dilemma about actual demand.
XRP ETFs Still in the Green
The last full week of August was the best for the XRP ETFs in 2026. They gained over $110 million, making it the most impressive one since early December 2025. The first slowdown during the previous business week was felt on August 31, when investors poured in a more modest $5.64 million.
The double-digit net inflows returned on September 1 with $14.38 million, but the trend changed on Wednesday when withdrawals were dominant with $7.20 million taken out. This was the first red day for the Ripple ETFs since August 5.
$6.14 million entered the funds on Thursday, but Friday was a no-show day with SoSoValue data showing flows of $0.00. The good news is that the cumulative total net inflows hit another all-time high of $1.68 billion.
The worrying part of the weekly performance is actually twofold. First, it was Wednesday’s net outflows, which broke a near-one-month streak. Second, it was Friday’s no-reportable flows, which raised concerns that had been forgotten in the past few weeks.
Before the market-wide revival experienced after August 19, the spot XRP ETFs had seven such days out of 11 trading days in August. Nevertheless, the broader weekly performance was still bullish with almost $19 million in net inflows. The streak of consecutive green weeks is up to eight.
XRP Defends $1.40
Despite the massive inflows of over $110 million during the previous business week, the underlying asset had failed to capitalize and had fallen below the key support at $1.40 last weekend. It dipped further to $1.33 during the new week, but finally found support and surged to $1.45 on Friday.
It was stopped there and pushed south to $1.41 as of press time, which means that it remains above the key support at $1.40. Analysts remain highly bullish on its recent performance, claiming that its bull phase has finally begun. Moreover, Ali Martinez and EGRAG CRYPTO outlined some mind-blowing price targets for the culmination of the bull market, of up to $60.
We break them down in more detail in this article, and review the actual obstacles XRP would have to face on its way to these levels.
The post 8 in a Row: Ripple (XRP) ETFs Record Another Green Week but Warning Signs Return appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Since the Federal Reserve was created in 1913, the US dollar has lost about 97% of its purchasing power, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U.
A 1913 dollar buys roughly 3 cents’ worth of today’s goods, meaning $1 back then is worth about $33 to $34 in 2026.
What 113 Years of Inflation Actually Looks Like
That figure is not a slogan. It reflects the official price index compounded over 113 years, through two world wars, the Great Inflation of the 1970s, and the 2021-23 spike. The 1971 end of gold convertibility accelerated the dollar’s stretch, and cash left idle was quietly taxed by inflation the entire time.
“Check out the biggest, kosher ponzy scam in recent history. The US dollar has lost 97% of its purchasing power since the Federal Reserve was created in 1913. A $3 item in 1913 would cost $100 today,” one user said on X.
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Bitcoin was designed in response to that system: a 21 million-coin cap paired with a declining issuance schedule. It did not exist in 1913, so the comparison is not one-for-one. As a store of value, though, its record since 2009 has been extreme in both directions.
Early buyers saw their purchasing power explode. Later buyers, by contrast, endured drawdowns of 50% to 80% within single cycles.
As of early September 2026, Bitcoin trades near $79,852, well below its October 2025 peak of $126,080. Since its inception, the token’s price has soared more than 59,000%, and over full market cycles, it has beaten cash and often beaten gold.
Inside any single cycle, though, it can erase years of gains within months — the trade-off inherent to a scarce, non-yielding, narrative-driven asset.
How Institutional Access Changed the Story
Utility has reshaped Bitcoin’s role since then. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, approved in the United States in 2024, turned a bearer asset into a ticker that pensions, RIAs, and balance-sheet allocators can hold without managing private keys.
Those products have accumulated $55.62 billion in cumulative net inflows as of September 4, according to SoSoValue data, with total net assets across the category reaching $101.25 billion, equal to roughly 6.33% of Bitcoin’s entire market cap.
Adoption remains incomplete in several respects. Volatility stays high, regulation varies widely across jurisdictions, and energy and custody risks are real and unresolved. The US dollar still clears most global trade, prices most debts, and pays most wages worldwide. Bitcoin has not replaced that role as a unit of account.
What Bitcoin has done is offer savers an exit from a currency that official statistics say lost 97% of its purchasing power since 1913. Whether that exit functions as a genuine reserve asset, pure speculation, or some combination of both depends heavily on the investor’s time horizon.
Cash loses value slowly and predictably. Bitcoin can lose value fast, sometimes dramatically so, but over the long run, it has, so far, compounded gains faster than either cash or gold.
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The post The US Dollar Has Lost 97% of Its Value Since 1913: Is Bitcoin the Way Out? appeared first on BeInCrypto.
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