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‘Stop Shorting Bitcoin,’ One Analyst Says as Fresh Price Targets Emerge

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Spot BTC ETFs


Further pump or crash to $40K: what’s next for BTC?

Bitcoin (BTC) surpassed $74,000 briefly earlier today, reaching its highest point since the start of February.

Some analysts are optimistic that a more substantial move to the upside could be forming, especially if the asset breaks above key resistance levels.

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‘Stop Shorting BTC’

The primary cryptocurrency started the business week on the right foot, with its valuation surging to almost $74,400 (per CoinGecko’s data) following Donald Trump’s latest remarks regarding the war in Iran. The US President threatened to send troops to Kharg Island and urged America’s NATO allies to form a coalition to reopen the Strait of Hormuz by deploying military ships in the area.

Meanwhile, spot BTC ETFs have attracted hundreds of millions of dollars in inflows over the past several days, a factor that could also have contributed to the asset’s recent price strength.

Spot BTC ETFs
Spot BTC ETFs, Source: SoSoValue

According to the popular analyst Ali Martinez, a more significant rally could be on the way. In a recent post on X, he claimed that BTC might be forming a local bottom that often comes before a big move north. Martinez noted that Bitcoin’s funding rates have recently flipped negative: a development that has preceded “every major relief rally” in the last four years.

The most recent example dates back to May 2025, when BTC was trading near $95,000. Once funding rates turned negative, the market quickly shifted, and the asset climbed to a historical peak of over $126,000 within months, the analyst reminded.

Besides that, Martinez pointed out that more than 33,000 BTC have been withdrawn from exchanges in the past week. CryptoQuant’s data shows that just a few days ago, the amount of coins stored on such platforms dipped to a six-year low of approximately 2.73 million. This is considered a bullish factor because it reduces immediate selling pressure.

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BTC Exchange Reserve
BTC Exchange Reserve, Source: CryptoQuant

Other analysts on X also think BTC could chart further gains in the near future. Ted, for instance, described the $72,000-$74,000 range as “strong resistance zone,” predicting that a decisive break above it could open the door for an uptrend to as high as $78,000.

Still on Uncertain Ground

Analysts like Leshka.eth remain somewhat cautious about BTC’s short-term prospects. The X user argued that the price is slowly grinding higher within a descending channel toward the $76,000-$80,000 region, warning that a rejection here could trigger a painful crash to as low as $40K.

The analyst who goes by the moniker Klarck also envisioned a potential pullback. They foresaw a bull trap at around $74,000, a “liquidity grab” at $65,000, $62,500, and $60,000, and an eventual plunge to new lows.

BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one technical indicator suggesting a price plunge could be imminent. The ratio has surpassed 70, meaning the price has pumped too much in a short period and could be due for a pullback. In contrast, readings under 30 suggest the asset is oversold and on the verge of a potential rally.

BTC RSIBTC RSI
BTC RSI, Source: Crypto Waves
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Crypto World

Bitcoin Surges Toward $75K As Huge Capital Inflows Return

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Bitcoin Surges Toward $75K As Huge Capital Inflows Return

Bitcoin chases $75,000 as the return of aggressive spot BTC ETF inflows, billion dollar buys from Strategy and an improvement in investors’ risk appetite propel the crypto market.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price recovery extended into a third week as the price rallied to $74,509, a level not seen since Feb. 4. While markets remain reluctant to confirm whether or not Bitcoin bottomed, the cryptocurrency is up 22.5% from its Feb. 6 low at $60,000 and data point to a renewed institutional investor appetite as a potential key player in the current bullish breakout. 

Over the last week, Michael Saylor’s Strategy, the largest public holder of Bitcoin, purchased 22,237 BTC for $1.57 billion. 

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According to reporting from Bloomberg, 

“Inflows to exchange-traded funds suggest a return of institutional confidence. Net flows for the 12 US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs topped $763 million last week, a third consecutive week of inflows”

On Monday, Metaplanet, a Tokyo-based public company that established Japan’s first corporate Bitcoin treasury, announced that it has raised $255 million in a “private placement” for a new instrument that aims to purchase more Bitcoin. Metaplanet CEO Simon Gerovich said the raise would provide the “additional firepower on our march towards 210,000 BTC.” 

Metaplanet raises $255 million to buy Bitcoin. Source: X / Simon Gerovich

Related: Metaplanet raises $255M and adds warrant structure for Bitcoin buys

Adding to the institutional Bitcoin demand narrative, Bitfinex analysts said that “Bitcoin is approaching this week’s FOMC meeting on March 18 with renewed momentum, and has decisively reclaimed the $70,000 level.” The report noted Bitcoin’s market structure had “improved meaningfully” even though BTC has “yet to secure a breakout above local range highs.” 

Bitcoin monthly trading range: Source: Bitfinex

According to Bitfinex analysts, the absorption-to-emissions ratio (AER) highlighted institutional investors “absorbing nearly five times the daily miner supply,” and this, combined with rising BTC futures open interest, indicated that the market was beginning to mirror “healthier” structures seen earlier in the year. 

When asked whether Bitcoin had bottomed and if institutional capital flows were responsible for the price upswing, Hyblock analysts explained that “following the sharp drop, the market entered a consolidation phase where open interest declined, shorts used more margin, and both spot and perpetual CVDs pointed to selling pressure.” 

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BTC/USDT 1-hour chart. Source: Hyblock

The analysts added that:

“Over the past month, that regime (sellers) has shifted. Traders have started increasing leverage on the long side, open interest is rising, and the perps CVD has turned positive while spot flows remain weak. This suggests the push toward the top of the range is largely being driven by derivatives positioning rather than spot demand.”