The Great Bitcoin Race: MicroStrategy, Governments, and the Shrinking Supply | by Alertforalpha | Coinmonks

The United States is reportedly eyeing an ambitious goal: to accumulate 1 million Bitcoin. Sounds bold? It is. But also, it’s not going to happen.

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That might ruffle some feathers, but here’s the logic behind why the U.S. is already too late — and who’s actually winning the Bitcoin accumulation game.

Let’s start with some context.

Right now, estimates suggest that around 2 million Bitcoin remain on crypto exchanges. But that doesn’t mean they’re all up for grabs. A large portion of these coins are not liquid — they’re sitting idle in wallets, used more like long-term savings accounts than currency.

Think about your own setup. You might have some BTC on Coinbase, some on a Ledger, maybe a bit on an old phone or laptop. Most people diversify their storage. But very few are actively trying to sell their Bitcoin — especially not at these prices.

And for many, they’re not selling until Bitcoin hits $1 million or more.

So even if we assume 2 million BTC are on exchanges, realistically only around 1 million are actually up for grabs.

Now here’s the kicker: MicroStrategy alone is on pace to acquire that 1 million BTC.

Let that sink in.

They’ve already passed 528,000 BTC, and they’re not slowing down. Michael Saylor has made it very clear — this company is buying Bitcoin forever. They’re raising money through stock, debt, taxes — whatever it takes — to keep stacking sats.

In just the past five months, they’ve added over 300,000 BTC. That’s not accumulation. That’s an all-out land grab.

And remember, Saylor himself owns over 100,000 BTC personally. You think the rest of the MicroStrategy execs aren’t doing the same?

Now add the Bitcoin ETFs, which already hold over 1.5 million BTC combined and are inching toward 2 million. Then factor in:

Canadian banks and provinces accumulating BTC.
Over half of U.S. states planning to buy Bitcoin, with some allocating billions.
Mexico’s millionaires and billionaires stacking quietly.
Europe, Africa, and Latin America seeing surges in BTC wallet creation.
Countries like Abu Dhabi, Dubai, and others in the UAE buying and mining BTC.
At least 13 sanctioned nations now using Bitcoin for trade, mining, and reserves.

Everyone’s racing toward Bitcoin — and they’re not waiting for the U.S. to finish filling its bag.

So let’s recap:

2 million BTC on exchanges.
Maybe 1 million actually available.
MicroStrategy is on track to buy at least half of that.
ETFs and sovereign entities are competing for the rest.
And nearly nobody is selling.

The market is being strategically drained by those who understand how rare Bitcoin truly is.

Retail investors? Many have been scared out of the game — thanks to price manipulation, FUD, and short-term noise. Meanwhile, institutions are quietly buying billions of dollars worth of Bitcoin every two weeks.

This isn’t just smart — it’s diabolical.

By the end of the year, don’t be surprised if: