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The Ultimate Bull Signal? Why ETH’s Chart Just Flipped to ‘Buy’ for the First Time Since September

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The Ultimate Bull Signal? Why ETH's Chart Just Flipped to 'Buy' for the First Time Since September


Ethereum may be exiting its months-long downtrend after the SuperTrend indicator turned bullish.

ETH bulls pushed the price to $2,300 on Monday. The altcoin posted over 14% in gains this week. The latest price action has been a welcome relief for investors amid macro tensions due to the blockade of the crucial Strait of Hormuz shipping route.

For Ethereum, a crucial indicator has flipped to “buy” for the first time in months.

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Breakout Alert

According to popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez, Ethereum could be entering a new phase after months of downward pressure, as the SuperTrend indicator flipped from “Sell” to “Buy” for the first time since September.

The last two times this happened, ETH went on to rally 52% and 174%. Martinez also noted that ETH recently reclaimed the $2,200 level as support after trading below it for weeks. The analyst identified $2,400 and $2,600 as the next levels to watch.

Meanwhile, spot Ether ETFs accumulated roughly $265 million over the past three weeks, as per data updated by SoSoValue.

The BlackRock’s newly debuted iShares Staked Ethereum Trust (ETHB) recorded $43.48 million in inflows on its first day of trading. Market experts point out that the investment vehicle could significantly reduce the amount of ETH available on the market. According to Axel Bitblaze, the fund would stake most of the Ether it holds, effectively locking it on-chain and removing it from circulation. With around 30% of ETH already staked, the trader believes additional institutional staking demand could further shrink the liquid supply if other asset managers launch similar products.

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Accumulation Trend

Separate blockchain data indicates that several major investors have been actively building new Ether positions. Bitcoin advocate and ShapeShift founder Erik Voorhees, for instance, has resumed accumulating the asset after roughly a year without purchases. On-chain data shows he used two wallets to spend 49.08 million USDT to acquire 23,393 ETH at an average price near $2,098 and still retains 35.25 million USDT.

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Other large buyers have also appeared, including early Ethereum contributor “billΞ.eth,” who purchased 7,769 ETH for $17.46 million, and another whale wallet that accumulated nearly 12,000 ETH over four days.

Additionally, market commentator Ted Pillows stated that Ethereum’s recovery could allow the asset to climb toward the $2,400 region, where resistance remains limited. Still, Pillows expects the rally could be temporary before the crypto asset potentially turns lower again.

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Metaplanet turns stock volatility into a 210,000 BTC war chest

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Metaplanet to spend $127m on BTC—dilution fear hurts shares

Metaplanet sold equity and fixed‑strike warrants at a premium, monetizing stock volatility into up to $531 million of dry powder for a 210,000 BTC, yen‑hedged balance‑sheet bet.

Summary

  • Metaplanet raised about $255 million via a private share placement at a 2% premium, paired with fixed‑strike warrants at a 10% premium for another ~$276 million if exercised.
  • Warrants only trigger if the stock trades above a Bitcoin‑linked mNAV threshold, turning equity upside and volatility into self‑funding BTC accumulation instead of pure dilution.
  • The strategy aims to make Metaplanet “Japan’s MicroStrategy,” swapping yen‑denominated equity for a structurally scarce asset and using BTC as a long‑term currency and equity hedge.

Metaplanet just weaponized its equity to buy more Bitcoin (BTC). This is not a vibes-based CT announcement; it is a highly engineered capital markets trade aimed squarely at becoming “Japan’s MicroStrategy,” with a yen hedge bolted on.

Deal structure in plain language

Metaplanet raised about 255 million dollars from global institutional investors via a private placement of new shares priced at a 2% premium to market. Alongside that, it issued fixed‑strike warrants at a 10% premium, which, if fully exercised, could bring in roughly another 276 million dollars. In total, the company is unlocking up to 531 million dollars in incremental “firepower” to push toward its stated target of holding 210,000 BTC on its balance sheet.

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The key innovation is not “we raised money and we’ll buy Bitcoin.” It is the explicit monetization of equity volatility: investors are effectively paying for convexity on the stock, and Metaplanet is harvesting that option value to buy hard assets.

Why the warrant design matters

The warrants are struck 10% above the reference price, so they only get exercised if Metaplanet’s share price trades higher, i.e., if the market buys the Bitcoin accumulation story. That creates a self‑funding loop: volatility and upside in the equity translate directly into more capital to deploy into BTC. Commentators on the thread correctly highlight this as “the real innovation,” noting that Metaplanet benefits both from stock volatility and from Bitcoin appreciation.

In market structure terms, the firm is short call options on its own equity and long Bitcoin. It is selling path‑dependent equity upside today to increase its exposure to a non‑sovereign monetary asset it believes will outperform the yen and, likely, Japanese equities over the long term.

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Japan, currency risk, and the “denominator”

Where MicroStrategy pioneered this model in the US, Metaplanet adds another layer: a currency hedge against a structurally weak yen. One international holder in the replies openly frames the move as bullish for Japan, arguing that the yen “could benefit greatly from Bitcoin.” Others go further, calling the strategy a matter of corporate “survival” rather than mere profit, a blunt acknowledgment of what sustained currency debasement does to domestic balance sheets.

Another respondent captures the denominator problem cleanly: institutional capital is “waking up to the reality of the denominator” and “building a fortress out of math,” with volatility as the energy source to forge a new standard. Translated into market terms: Metaplanet is trading a dilutable equity, priced in a weakening unit of account, for an asset with a credibly scarce supply schedule.

Signal to the market

Reaction on X swings from praise—calling the placement a “masterclass in capital strategy”—to confusion and outright skepticism about what Metaplanet is and whether this is a scam. That bifurcation is typical early in any new corporate balance‑sheet regime: most participants do not yet speak the language of corporate‑fi‑meets‑Bitcoin, and the documentation reads like jargon to anyone not trained in derivatives.

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Cardano jumps 8%, $0.30 in focus as funding rate turn positive amid rising OI

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Cardano jumps 8%, $0.30 in focus as funding rate turn positive amid rising OI
  • Cardano (ADA) rises above $0.28 as whale accumulation boosts short-term momentum.
  • Positive funding rates and higher open interest support near-term gains.
  • The key levels to watch are the support at $0.25–$0.27 and the resistance near $0.30–$0.35.

Cardano (ADA) has surged over 8% in the past 24 hours, breaking above key short-term resistance levels.

The price is now hovering around $0.286, bringing the $0.30 mark into focus for traders.

Momentum has picked up sharply as derivatives data show positive funding rates and rising open interest.

This price movement has attracted attention from mid-tier whale wallets.

These investors, holding between one million and ten million ADA, have been actively accumulating during recent dips. Their buying has added upward pressure, tightening available supply in the market.

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Meanwhile, larger whale wallets, holding ten million to a hundred million ADA, have been reducing positions, suggesting some distribution at higher price levels, creating a mixed picture in the whale ecosystem.

The balance between accumulation and distribution will likely influence price swings in the coming days.

Technical analysis

From a technical perspective, ADA has broken above a descending trendline that had capped price action near $0.25 for weeks.

This breakout has set the stage for further gains as short-term indicators lean bullish.

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The relative strength index (RSI) sits above 50, indicating that momentum favours buyers, but it is not yet in overbought territory.

The MACD has crossed above its signal line, and its histogram is expanding, signalling that buying momentum is gaining strength.

Cardano price analysis
Cardano price chart | Source: TradingView

Price action has shown that the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) is providing support near $0.27.

Eyes are now on the 50-day EMA around $0.29 and the 100-day EMA closer to $0.34.

Breaking these levels could open the door to further upside, but failing to hold above the short-term support zone could result in a pullback.

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In addition, Cardano’s open interest is also rising, and the funding rate has turned positive, meaning that long positions are paying shorts, which historically aligns with bullish momentum in the near term.

Cardano price forecast

In the short term, traders should monitor $0.30 as the next psychological resistance.

A breakout above $0.30 could target the $0.34–$0.35 range, guided by key EMAs and prior swing highs.

While momentum indicators suggest room for further upside, the market will need consistent buying volume to sustain higher levels.

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On the downside, the immediate support lies near $0.27, with a more significant level around $0.25.

A drop below $0.25 could test deeper support near $0.24, potentially signalling short-term bearish pressure.

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Bitmine’s Ether Holdings Reach 4.6M ETH, About 3.8% of Supply

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Ethereum, Tom Lee, Ether Price, MicroStrategy, Staking

Bitmine Immersion Technologies has accelerated the pace of its Ether purchases in recent weeks, chairman Tom Lee said Monday, following the company’s over-the-counter purchase of 5,000 ETH directly from the Ethereum Foundation.

Lee said Bitmine added 60,999 Ether (ETH) over the past week, up from a recent weekly average of about 45,000 to 50,000 ETH.

The purchases bring the publicly traded company’s Ethereum treasury to 4.596 million ETH, giving Bitmine control of about 3.81% of the token’s total supply. The company said its combined crypto holdings, cash and other investments total about $11.5 billion.

Bitmine said that 3,040,515 ETH, about 66% of its holdings, are currently staked, valued at roughly $6.6 billion at an Ether price of $2,185.

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The company estimates its staking operations generate about $180 million in annualized revenue. It plans to expand staking through its Made in America Validator Network (MAVAN), expected to launch in the coming months.