Crypto World
VanEck’s Sigel Projects Bitcoin to Hit $1M in Five Years
Bitcoin can be worth a lot more than today, according to a prominent crypto strategist at VanEck. Matthew Sigel, head of digital assets research, told CNBC that Bitcoin could hit seven figures within the next five years, with a longer-term model projecting as high as $2.9 million by 2050. The comments underscore a shifting narrative: while the asset remains volatile, a growing chorus of institutional researchers portrays Bitcoin as a mega-trend with a multi-decade adoption arc.
Sigel framed his outlook as the base case for Bitcoin, arguing that the asset’s trajectory will mirror its broader integration into financial and corporate strategy rather than a straight-line ascent. In a discussion on CNBC’s Halftime Report, he said: “Bitcoin going up for us is the base case. We think this asset is going to reach a million dollars over the next several years.” He later clarified that the milestone could arrive in “half a decade,” drawing a parallel to a gradual expansion of video game adoption across age groups—an analogy meant to capture mainstreaming rather than a sudden leap.
His time horizon aligns with VanEck’s base-case long-term model, which envisions Bitcoin scaling to as much as $2.9 million by 2050. The fund house frames this as a probabilistic outcome that reflects a deepening allocation by institutions and sovereign actors over time, even as shorter-term volatility remains a defining feature of the market.
Key takeaways
- VanEck’s base-case: Bitcoin could reach $1 million within five years, with a $2.9 million target in the longer term (2050).
- Long-horizon bull thesis sees Bitcoin as a megatrend increasingly influenced by formal reserve-style adoption, including a potential central-bank bid.
- Near term, Bitcoin remains highly cyclical and volatile, with price action likely to reflect macro cycles rather than a steady ascent.
- Current market positioning appears fragile, as Sigel notes that the rally has not shown froth in derivatives and seems driven by short covering rather than widespread enthusiasm.
- Broader consensus among prominent investors is mixed, with several high-profile forecasters crafting ambitious long-run targets while skeptics flag scalability and regulatory risks.
Bitcoin’s megatrend vs. the daily drumbeat of cycles
Sigel framed Bitcoin as a “very cyclical asset” that will not move in a straight line to a million dollars. The absence of a central authority to cushion downturns, he suggested, means that drawdowns and rallies will occur in waves. Yet, the argument for a longer-term transformation remains compelling to him, particularly if Bitcoin begins to enter mainstream financial systems as a reserve-like asset for some institutions or even official balance sheets.
Looking at the immediate backdrop, Sigel pointed to Bitcoin’s correlation with the Nasdaq as a sign that macroeconomic forces are currently shaping price action. The indicator, he noted, has risen to its highest level in about five years, suggesting the market’s trajectory is closely tied to broader risk-on or risk-off cycles rather than idiosyncratic crypto-driven moves alone. Not everyone is convinced, however. Some prominent voices have urged caution on Bitcoin’s scalability and the risk that it may struggle to displace traditional safe-haven assets in the face of regulatory and sovereign currency risks. For instance, Ray Dalio has acknowledged Bitcoin as a possible store of value but has questioned its capacity to serve as a global reserve asset. Critics like Peter Schiff have argued that Bitcoin lacks intrinsic value and may not supplant gold as a hedge, tempering seven-figure forecasts with questions about real-world utility and governance.
The debate over Bitcoin’s price trajectory reflects a broader tension in the crypto space: a mix of aggressive long-run forecasts anchored in growing institutional adoption and more cautious calls that emphasize regulatory risk, scalability concerns, and competition from alternative assets. In that context, the idea of Bitcoin entering a multi-decade growth phase—driven by reserve-like demand from institutions and possibly sovereign adopters—remains a compelling narrative for many investors, even if timing and pace remain uncertain.
Beyond price targets, analysts point to several milestones that could influence the trajectory in the coming years. These include clearer regulatory frameworks, improved on-chain scalability and infrastructure, the emergence of more asset-class-native products (such as regulated futures, ETFs, and custody solutions), and measurable increases in real-world usage—not merely speculative trading activity. Each development could alter the risk-reward calculus for institutions and retail participants alike.
For readers seeking additional context, the discussion around Bitcoin’s long-run potential is frequently linked to broader market commentary and independent research. Commentary from outlets like Cointelegraph, discussions around ARK Invest’s projections, and cross-industry observations help paint a fuller picture of where the crypto market may be headed as it negotiates regulatory, technological, and macroeconomic headwinds. In short, the near term may remain challenging, but the longer-term thesis remains intact for many observers who view Bitcoin as a structural shift in how value is stored and transferred globally. The coming years will reveal whether the secular trend converges with a more favorable macro environment and a steadier path to widespread institutional involvement.
Readers should watch for signals of genuine reserve-like demand entering official balance sheets, regulatory developments that clarify safe-harbor pathways for institutions, and real-world use-case expansion that moves beyond speculative trading to utility and liquidity provision in both traditional and digital financial ecosystems.
Near-term positioning and macro drivers
What the wider market is watching
Crypto World
1inch Resolver TrustedVolumes Drained for $6.7M on Ethereum

Blockchain security firm Blockaid linked the exploit to the same operator behind the March 2025 1inch Fusion V1 incident, though it stems from a different vulnerability.
Crypto World
‘Polkadot Is Kind of Done.’ The Once Hyped Layer 0 Faces Falling Usage, and Controversy

Former Polkadot insiders report lack of direction and support from leadership, treasury overspending, and even failure to pay contributors for their work.
Crypto World
How ether.fi Moved $220M to OP Mainnet Without Pausing a Single Card Payment
TLDR:
- ether.fi ran 70,000 active cards and 300,000 accounts uninterrupted during a full live chain migration.
- Separating card payment accounting from onchain settlement was the architectural decision that made zero downtime possible.
- Gnosis Safe’s deterministic deployment eliminated address reconciliation — a common blocker in cross-chain moves.
- Since closing the migration, TVL has surged from $220M to $347M, signaling strong post-migration confidence.
ether.fi completed a full migration to OP Mainnet on April 15, moving $220M in total value locked across chains in three days.
The platform ran 70,000 active cards and 300,000 accounts throughout the process without a single migration-related card decline.
No maintenance window was announced. No customers were notified. The infrastructure underneath millions of dollars in daily payments changed quietly while transactions kept processing.
The Architecture Behind a Live Migration
The migration began with ether.fi’s Scroll deployment staying fully operational. The OP Mainnet environment was built alongside it, not as a replacement ready to flip on, but as a parallel system coming online gradually.
Core contracts deployed first on OP Mainnet, mirroring the exact ownership configuration running on Scroll. New users were provisioned directly onto OP Mainnet during the build phase.
Three assets moved through bridges in stages. USDC, USDT, and WETH each traveled from Scroll to Ethereum before taking separate paths to OP Mainnet.
Every other asset migrated as an OFT, cutting out the Ethereum leg entirely. That separation kept the bridging process manageable and reduced single points of failure.
Gnosis Safe’s deterministic deployment across OP Stack chains meant ether.fi kept identical multisig addresses on OP Mainnet without reconciling address differences. That resolved one of the more persistent complications in cross-chain infrastructure moves.
Custom monitoring tools were built specifically for the migration period. Not one unexpected alert triggered from start to finish. Optimism’s permissionless infrastructure meant core deployments required no special access.
As Charles Mountain, DeFi Ecosystem Lead at ether.fi, put it: “OP Mainnet is the only place where the team that built the stack co-pilots your migration, and where the liquidity is already deep before you arrive.”
How Card Payments Kept Processing Through the Transition
ether.fi paused deposits and withdrawals during the migration window. Card payments, however, never stopped. The platform’s accounting system tracks every card spend independently from onchain settlement.
That separation meant authorizations could continue processing while assets were physically moving between chains.
If something had broken mid-migration, the team could have continued routing through Scroll while investigating. The fallback was built into the structure from the beginning, not added as an afterthought.
Institutional observers running compliance desks and treasury operations at scale took note. The most common reaction from those who watched the move closely was: “wait, how did that actually work?”
Once the migration closed, the team settled all outstanding activity onchain on OP Mainnet. Deposits and withdrawals reopened without incident.
OP Mainnet’s performance floor held throughout — sub-250ms finality through Flashblocks, $0.00001 median transaction fees, and 99.99% uptime.
Pyth Network oracle feeds for EURC/USD, ETHFI/USD, and eUSD/USD were confirmed live before migration day, with Chainlink serving as a fallback.
Mountain added: “We closed the move in three days with zero downtime, and we’re already building the next chapter.”
Since closing, TVL has grown from $220M to $347M. Gold Vaults, a Euro card, and native stablecoin support are next on the roadmap.
Crypto World
Hedera Activity Grows & Zcash Rallies Past $420, But BlockDAG’s Casino & 246X ROI Are Pulling Bigger Crowds
The crypto market this May is full of mixed signals. The latest Hedera price prediction shows HBAR stuck below $0.10 despite huge enterprise wins, while the Zcash ZEC price is climbing fast as buyers rush into privacy coins. Both stories tell different sides of the same market, one about partnerships that fail to lift price, the other about momentum tied to a single narrative.
BlockDAG, meanwhile, is doing both: building real demand and real distribution. Its casino is going live soon, BDAG is already listed on 13 exchanges, and a 246X ROI is still on the table. With all these catalysts, BlockDAG is shaping up as the top crypto to buy this cycle.
Hedera Activity Grows, But the Price Refuses to Follow
The current Hedera price prediction reflects a frustrating gap between network growth and market reaction. HBAR is trading around $0.0889, still 75% lower than a year ago and 84% below its all-time high of $0.57. The token has been stuck in a tight range between $0.09 and $0.10 for weeks now.
On the network side, the news looks strong. Hedera has 39 Fortune 500 companies on its council, with McLaren and Accenture joining recently. Real-world asset projects, post-quantum cryptography work, and HederaCon 2026 are all moving forward.
Yet the price keeps drifting. Until HBAR breaks above $0.10 with strong volume, the Hedera price prediction stays cautious, which is why many traders do not yet see HBAR as the top crypto to buy this month.
Zcash ZEC Price Climbs as Privacy Coins Heat Up
The Zcash ZEC price has staged a strong comeback this week, rising to a four-month high of $428 before settling near $418. ZEC is up over 8% in 24 hours, with capital rotating into privacy coins after recent DeFi hacks revived fears around quantum threats and data exposure.
Futures activity backs the move. Over $2.7 billion has flowed into new long positions, with $10 million in short liquidations adding fuel. On the spot side, two straight days of negative netflow point to real accumulation, not just leverage-driven hype.
Momentum indicators have stayed bullish for a full month. If buyers hold the line, the Zcash ZEC price could push toward $430 and then $450. A failure here drops it back to $400. Even with this rally, ZEC’s run depends on the privacy narrative staying hot, which makes it a less obvious pick for top crypto to buy in steady terms.
BlockDAG Brings the Casino, the Listings, and the Liquidity
BlockDAG is doing something neither HBAR nor ZEC can match this month. In May 2026, BDAG goes live with the first Layer 1 casino, turning the token into a daily-use asset where players can bet, win, and transact directly on-chain. This kind of utility creates real, repeating demand instead of one-time hype, which is why so many traders now see BDAG as the top crypto to buy ahead of the launch.
What turns this from a launch into a full market event is the distribution. BDAG is already listed on 13 global exchanges, including Biconomy, Bifinance, CoinStore, P2B, AscendEX, BTSE, XT, BTCC, LBANK, BitMart, WEEX, Pionex, and WEBOT. Even better, more tier-1 exchanges have been confirmed and are on the way.
That means when the casino flips on, buyers around the world will have instant access to BDAG without friction. Casino demand brings the buyers in. Exchange listings deliver the supply. Together, they push the price into discovery mode.
The price story makes the timing sharper. Batch 5 of the aftersale is the final stop, with BDAG still available at just $0.000000976 and a projected 246X ROI on the table. The window closes on May 7, the same day the casino goes live. After that, the presale price disappears for good, and BDAG enters its market-driven phase. With miners shipping, listings expanding, and the utility about to switch on, BlockDAG is shaping up as the top crypto to buy before the door closes for good.
Final Thoughts
The market this May is offering very mixed signals. The Hedera price prediction shows that even big partnerships and enterprise wins do not always move the chart, leaving HBAR stuck under $0.10. The Zcash ZEC price is enjoying a strong rally, but it depends on the privacy coin narrative staying loud, which can fade as quickly as it arrived. Both coins can deliver gains, but the path is uneven.
BlockDAG, on the other hand, is built on solid ground. The casino launches on May 7, bringing real, daily utility that turns BDAG into a working asset, not just a token to hold. With more tier-1 listings confirmed and a 246X ROI still on the table, the setup is rare. As the aftersale window shuts and demand stacks up, BlockDAG stands out as the top crypto to buy this cycle.
Presale: https://purchase.blockdag.network
Website: https://blockdag.network
Telegram: https://t.me/blockDAGnetworkOfficial
Discord: https://discord.gg/Q7BxghMVyu
Disclaimer: This is a Press Release provided by a third party who is responsible for the content. Please conduct your own research before taking any action based on the content.
Crypto World
Yuno Partners With Triple-A to Bring Stablecoin Payments to Global Merchants
Yuno has announced a new partnership with Triple-A aimed at expanding stablecoin payment acceptance for businesses worldwide.
The collaboration integrates Triple-A’s regulated stablecoin infrastructure directly into Yuno’s global payment orchestration platform, allowing merchants to accept stablecoin payments alongside traditional payment methods through a single integration.
The move reflects growing momentum around stablecoins as real-world payment infrastructure for cross-border commerce, e-commerce, SaaS platforms, gaming, travel, and digital services.
Stablecoins Continue Moving Into Mainstream Commerce
Through the partnership, merchants using Yuno’s payment infrastructure will gain access to stablecoin payment capabilities without needing to manage wallets, blockchain integrations, custody, or compliance systems independently.
Yuno currently connects businesses to more than 1,000 payment methods, payment service providers, and fraud prevention tools through a unified API.
According to the companies, the integration is designed to help businesses:
- reduce cross-border payment friction
- improve checkout conversion
- expand payment access in underserved markets
- support customers who prefer digital asset payments
Triple-A says its infrastructure currently supports more than 1,000 enterprise clients globally and reaches over 700 million digital currency users.
Crypto Payments Infrastructure Expands Globally
The announcement highlights how stablecoins are increasingly evolving beyond crypto trading and becoming part of mainstream financial infrastructure.
Businesses operating internationally are increasingly exploring stablecoins for:
- faster settlement
- lower transaction costs
- 24/7 payment processing
- international transfers
- reduced dependence on traditional banking rails
The stablecoin market has grown rapidly over the past several years, becoming one of the most active sectors within the digital asset industry.
Regulated Stablecoin Services Become a Key Industry Focus
Triple-A operates under regulatory frameworks in several major jurisdictions, including the United States, Singapore, and Europe.
The partnership comes as regulators and financial institutions worldwide continue paying closer attention to stablecoin adoption and payment infrastructure.
Industry observers increasingly view stablecoins as one of the clearest real-world blockchain use cases currently scaling across global commerce and financial services.
Yuno and Triple-A say the integration is intended to simplify stablecoin adoption for merchants while maintaining compliance, reliability, and operational scalability for enterprise businesses.
Crypto World
Ethereum Price Analysis: Failure at $2.4K Spells More Trouble Ahead for ETH
Ethereum continues to trade within a broader consolidation structure as the market struggles to establish sustained bullish momentum. Nevertheless, weakening momentum indicators and growing signs of seller activity suggest that the market could be preparing for another corrective move in the short term.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, ETH is showing a notable bearish divergence between the RSI indicator and price action. While the asset recently attempted to stabilize near the $2.3K-$2.4K region, the RSI has been forming lower highs, signaling weakening bullish momentum beneath the surface. At the same time, the recent price action has become increasingly choppy and indecisive, further highlighting the presence of sellers around the current levels.
This combination of bearish divergence, weakening momentum, and unstable price behavior increases the probability of a downward move toward lower support zones in the coming days. If such a decline unfolds, the 100-day moving average around the $2.2K region will likely become the next important defensive line for buyers. A loss of this level could expose Ethereum to deeper corrections toward the broader $2K support range.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
On the 4-hour chart, ETH is currently facing a significant hurdle at the upper boundary of the recent short-term range near the $2.4K region. Despite several attempts, buyers have repeatedly failed to secure a breakout above this resistance area, signaling a lack of strong bullish momentum and continued seller presence at higher prices.
As a result, the market appears vulnerable to another corrective move toward the lower boundary of the range around the $2.2K support zone. This level is particularly important because price behavior there will likely determine the next directional move. If the $2.2K region fails to hold, Ethereum could quickly extend its decline toward the major $2K support area, which remains one of the most critical demand zones on the higher timeframes.
Sentiment Analysis
From an on-chain perspective, the Exchange Reserve metric is beginning to show signs of increasing sell-side pressure. This indicator tracks the amount of ETH held on centralized exchanges, and rising exchange reserves are typically interpreted as a signal that more coins are becoming available for potential selling activity.
Recently, the chart has displayed a noticeable surge in exchange reserves, suggesting that market participants may be preparing to distribute holdings or reduce exposure. If this increase continues in the coming days, it could add further selling pressure to the market and support the bearish scenario currently reflected in the technical structure as well.
Overall, Ethereum remains trapped within a fragile consolidation phase beneath key resistance levels. The weakening momentum, bearish RSI divergence, and rising exchange reserves collectively suggest that the market could face renewed downside pressure unless buyers manage to reclaim the $2.4K region with stronger momentum.
The post Ethereum Price Analysis: Failure at $2.4K Spells More Trouble Ahead for ETH appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
What DeFi Could Look Like in 2030
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) began as an experimental alternative to traditional banking, but by 2030, it may evolve into one of the foundational layers of the global financial system. What started with simple token swaps and yield farming is gradually transforming into a complex digital economy powered by automation, interoperability, artificial intelligence, and decentralized ownership.
While today’s DeFi ecosystem still faces issues with scalability, regulation, security, and user experience, the pace of innovation suggests the next five years could dramatically reshape how individuals and institutions interact with money.
The Evolution from Speculation to Financial Infrastructure
Early DeFi growth was largely driven by speculation. High annual percentage yields, liquidity mining incentives, and token launches attracted users seeking rapid returns. However, many of these systems relied on unsustainable liquidity cycles rather than genuine economic productivity.
By 2030, DeFi may shift away from short-term incentive models toward infrastructure-level utility. Protocols are likely to prioritize sustainable revenue generation through trading activity, real-world asset integration, lending markets, payment systems, and decentralized capital formation.
In this future landscape, successful protocols may resemble autonomous financial networks rather than speculative applications.
AI-Powered Autonomous Finance
One of the most significant developments expected by 2030 is the integration of artificial intelligence into DeFi systems.
AI agents may eventually manage entire portfolios without human intervention. Instead of manually moving assets between protocols, users could define risk preferences and investment goals while autonomous systems optimize allocations in real time.
These AI-driven systems may handle:
- Yield optimization across multiple chains
- Automated risk management
- Smart hedging strategies
- Real-time market analysis
- Liquidation prevention
- Dynamic liquidity provisioning
The combination of AI and smart contracts could create financial systems capable of reacting instantly to market conditions without centralized intermediaries.
In many ways, DeFi may become less about “using apps” and more about deploying intelligent financial agents that operate continuously on behalf of users.
Cross-Chain Liquidity Becomes the Standard
Today’s blockchain ecosystem remains fragmented. Assets, liquidity, and users are distributed across numerous networks, often requiring bridges and complicated transfers.
By 2030, interoperability could become one of the defining features of DeFi infrastructure.
Cross-chain execution layers may allow users to interact with multiple blockchains simultaneously without even noticing which network is being used underneath. Liquidity could flow seamlessly between ecosystems, reducing inefficiencies and improving capital utilization.
The idea of being “stuck” on one chain may eventually disappear entirely.
Instead, DeFi platforms may evolve into unified liquidity environments where transactions, swaps, lending, and settlement occur automatically across interconnected networks.
Real-World Assets Enter the Blockchain Economy
Tokenization is expected to play a major role in the future of decentralized finance.
By 2030, real-world assets (RWAs) such as real estate, government bonds, commodities, invoices, intellectual property, and equities could become deeply integrated into DeFi ecosystems.
This transition may fundamentally alter how global markets operate.
Potential benefits include:
- 24/7 trading availability
- Fractional ownership
- Instant settlement
- Reduced administrative costs
- Increased access to global markets
- Transparent on-chain auditing
For emerging economies, tokenized finance may provide broader access to investment opportunities previously limited to institutional participants.
As regulatory frameworks mature, DeFi protocols could increasingly serve as the infrastructure layer for global capital markets rather than existing outside them.
Institutional Participation Expands
In earlier stages, institutions approached DeFi cautiously due to regulatory uncertainty and security concerns. By 2030, this relationship may look very different.
Large financial institutions may adopt hybrid models that combine decentralized settlement systems with compliant identity layers and regulated custody solutions.
Banks, asset managers, and payment providers could eventually use DeFi rails for:
- International settlements
- Collateral management
- Treasury operations
- Yield generation
- Tokenized securities trading
- Automated market making
This institutional adoption would likely increase liquidity, stability, and legitimacy across the sector.
Ironically, the systems originally designed to bypass traditional finance may eventually become the technology stack powering it.
Identity and Reputation Systems Replace Anonymous Risk
Completely anonymous finance creates efficiency, but it also introduces challenges involving fraud, compliance, and credit assessment.
Future DeFi ecosystems may adopt decentralized identity and reputation systems that allow users to prove credibility without sacrificing privacy.
Instead of relying solely on collateral, lending protocols could incorporate:
- On-chain reputation scores
- Verified financial history
- Behavioral analytics
- Proof-of-income systems
- Decentralized identity credentials
This evolution may unlock undercollateralized lending markets, enabling broader participation while maintaining transparency and risk management.
Privacy-preserving cryptography could become essential in balancing compliance with decentralization.
Security Will Become the Primary Competitive Advantage
The next phase of DeFi growth may be defined less by innovation speed and more by resilience.
As billions or even trillions of dollars move on-chain, security standards will likely become significantly more advanced. Smart contract exploits, bridge hacks, and governance attacks remain major obstacles today, but future ecosystems may rely on:
- AI-assisted auditing systems
- Formal smart contract verification
- Decentralized insurance markets
- Automated threat detection
- Real-time protocol monitoring
- Multi-layer security architectures
Protocols with strong security reputations may dominate liquidity flows, while poorly secured systems could struggle to survive.
In a mature DeFi economy, trust may be built through transparency and mathematical verification rather than corporate branding.
Regulation Will Shape the Industry — Not Eliminate It
Regulation is often viewed as a threat to decentralized finance, but by 2030, it may instead function as a catalyst for broader adoption.
Clear legal frameworks could encourage institutional participation while protecting users from systemic risks and fraudulent platforms.
Rather than eliminating decentralization, regulation may push DeFi toward more sophisticated governance structures that balance openness with accountability.
Jurisdictions that successfully integrate blockchain innovation into financial policy may become global hubs for digital capital formation.
The future of DeFi is unlikely to be fully unregulated or fully centralized. Instead, it may evolve into a hybrid ecosystem where decentralized infrastructure operates within transparent legal boundaries.
The Future May Be Invisible
Perhaps the most important prediction about DeFi in 2030 is that users may stop referring to it as “DeFi” altogether.
Just as people rarely think about internet protocols while browsing online, blockchain infrastructure could eventually fade into the background.
Users may simply interact with financial applications that are:
- Faster
- Global
- Automated
- Programmable
- Accessible 24/7
- More transparent than traditional systems
At that stage, decentralized finance would no longer exist as a niche industry. It would simply become finance.
Conclusion
The path toward DeFi in 2030 will not be linear. Market cycles, regulatory battles, security failures, and technological limitations will continue to shape the industry along the way.
However, the broader direction remains clear: financial systems are becoming increasingly programmable, automated, and decentralized.
If current trends continue, the next decade could transform DeFi from an experimental ecosystem driven by speculation into a global financial infrastructure layer capable of supporting both digital and real-world economies.
The protocols that survive this transition will likely be those that prioritize sustainability, interoperability, security, and genuine economic utility over short-term hype.
In the long run, the future of decentralized finance may not be about replacing traditional finance entirely, but about rebuilding it into something faster, more transparent, and fundamentally more accessible.
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Crypto World
Bitwise to Take Over Superstate's $267M Tokenized Crypto Carry Fund

Bitwise will become the investment manager of USCC on June 1, marking its first tokenized fund and Superstate’s second handoff to a major asset manager this year.
Crypto World
Why ‘negative’ funding is actually a bullish signal for Bitcoin
Bitcoin funding rates are flashing one of the most bearish positioning signals in years, even as spot prices keep grinding higher.
Funding rates have been running near minus 4% annualized, James Aitchison, founder and CIO of Caerus Global, said during a panel at Consensus Miami 2026. That means longs are being paid to hold exposure, a rare setup that points to heavy short positioning.
“The longs are getting paid, which is quite a rarity,” Aitchison said. “On a 30-day basis, the lowest it has been this decade.”
The setup mirrors a broader derivatives disconnect. Bitcoin funding rates hit their most negative levels since 2023 in April, even as BTC pushed through $75,000 at the time. Aitchison said similar conditions have historically preceded positive returns over 30- to 365-day periods.
Bitcoin has rebounded from roughly $60,000 to the low $80,000s at the of writing. The move has forced traders to reassess whether old crypto-native signals still work in a market increasingly shaped by ETFs, basis trades and Wall Street distribution.
Spot bitcoin ETF demand has held through the drawdown. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs pulled in $1.6 billion so far this month, even as short-term holders sold.
That resilience has made ETF holders central to the current market structure. Dan Blackmore, chief commercial officer at Glassnode, said bitcoin is moving into a new regime as volatility falls and allocations become more strategic.
“We’re witnessing the early innings of the Wall Street machine and its impact on the crypto market,” Backmore said.
Options are accelerating that shift. IBIT options open interest topped Deribit in April, pointing to a migration of bitcoin derivatives activity into regulated U.S. venues. Morgan Stanley’s bitcoin ETF opened just last month, adding another large wealth-management platform to the market.
Panelists were split on whether the four-year cycle still matters. Michael Terpin, author of “Bitcoin Supercycle,” said bitcoin could still trade lower before a larger 2028-2029 supply shock. Others argued the halving cycle is losing force as bitcoin becomes a TradFi asset.
The year-end calls reflected the split. Terpin and Backmore said bitcoin may not reach a new high this year. Cole Kennelly, founder of Volmex Labs, said $250,000 is possible. Aitchison said $150,000 is a reasonable target if rate cuts return.
Crypto World
Pi Network consolidates around $0.18 as market weighs long-term narrative against near-term drift
Summary
- Pi Network (PI) is trading around $0.18 today, with most major trackers clustering the live price near the 0.178–0.180 dollar range and 24‑hour volume around $25–35 million.
- The token is sitting slightly below its 200‑day moving average near $0.196–0.20 and broadly flat to down on the week, reinforcing a sideways-to-soft bias rather than a clean bullish impulse. Technical models and prediction engines mostly see PI drifting lower or chopping sideways through the rest of 2026, with end‑2026 targets clustered around $0.13–0.18.
- In the near term, price action is dominated by speculative trading on CEX “IOU” markets and uncertainty over Pi’s fully open mainnet economics, which keeps structural bids cautious even as retail interest remains high.
Across major aggregators, Pi Network (PI) is quoted today at roughly $0.179 per PI, with 24‑hour trading volume near $28–35 million. One representative feed has PI at $0.1782 and down about 2–3% on the day, placing it in the mid‑cap range with a reported market capitalization in the $1.8–1.9 billion band, depending on the circulating supply estimate. Some trackers that extrapolate from a higher assumed circulating supply print a slightly larger market cap near $2.0 billion, but even at the low end PI sits in the top 50–60 coins by value on several rankings.
There is still a split in how data providers treat PI. CoinMarketCap lists a “Pi [IOU]” instrument with a live price around $0.1793 and a relatively low reported volume of roughly $235–275k, flagging that this is an IOU product rather than the fully settled mainnet coin. Other services like CoinGecko and Coinranking track “Pi Network (PI)” spot markets with tens of millions in daily volume, a circulating supply estimate around 9–10 billion PI, and a fully diluted valuation north of $17 billion. That discrepancy reflects the hybrid state of Pi’s rollout: much of the supply still sits in the ecosystem and not all venues agree on what counts as truly circulating.
Technical picture and on-chain sentiment
From a technical standpoint, PI is trading near its short‑term moving averages and modestly below its long‑term trend line. One quantitative forecast desk pegs the 50‑day simple moving average at about $0.176–0.177 and the 200‑day SMA around $0.196–0.197, which means spot is currently sandwiched between them and leaning slightly to the bearish side relative to the longer‑term trend. Their models assign PI a 14‑day RSI just above 55, firmly in neutral territory—neither oversold capitulation nor overheated euphoria.
Short‑horizon prediction engines mostly see more of the same. A CoinCodex‑style projection table has PI at $0.1794 on May 7, with a forecast slide to $0.1412 by May 10 if the upper volatility band is realized, implying up to a 21% downside window over a few days. Longer out, the same model cluster expects PI to end 2026 near $0.134–0.158, roughly 10–25% below current levels, before potentially grinding higher into the 2030s. Another forecasting site that updates PI daily prints spot around $0.173–0.174, down about 1.6% on the day, with a 24‑hour range between $0.1721 and $0.1774 and a market cap near $1.73 billion, placing PI roughly at rank 47 by size.
Taken together, the data sketch out a market that is not in free fall but clearly not in breakout mode either. Volatility is moderate, daily ranges are tight, and momentum oscillators are flat. That combination is typical of a token where macro narratives (mobile mining, mass‑market onboarding) and unresolved fundamentals (actual open mainnet traction, concrete revenue, and real‑world usage) are still colliding.
Forecasts, narratives, and what matters next
Mid‑term and long‑term projections for Pi Network are all over the place, but the systematic ones are surprisingly conservative. One widely cited model projects PI at $0.1794 in early May 2026, then $0.1578 by the end of 2026 and $0.5296 by 2030, implying a roughly 3x over four years if the network actually matures into a functioning L1 with real users and fee flows. The same table pushes out fantasy‑land numbers like $1.01 by 2040 and $2.46 by 2050, but those are purely curve‑fit extrapolations and not grounded in any specific tokenomics change.
More near‑dated prediction grids, including one published by Binance’s research portal, cluster around a $0.178–0.184 range for PI in the coming week, implying modest upside of around 5% from current levels at best. That “bleed slightly up or down, no sudden repricing” stance matches how the market is actually trading: the coin is glued to its $0.17–0.19 band as both bulls and bears lack a catalyst. Without a decisive protocol announcement—such as a fully open mainnet with permissionless smart contracts, large‑scale app launches, or a credible fee‑burn/utility narrative—most models will simply treat PI as a mid‑cap beta asset and let it oscillate with the broader altcoin cycle.
The structural overhang is supply. Forecast engines point to a circulating float close to 10 billion PI versus a maximum supply of up to 100 billion, which leaves enormous room for future unlocks and inflation. As long as the market doubts how aggressively those tokens will drip into circulation and how much of that supply will be actually used versus dumped, PI will struggle to command a rich multiple. That is why you see the token sitting below its 200‑day moving average even as the broader market has pockets of risk‑on behavior: the path to sustainable demand is still ambiguous.
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