Crypto World
Vistra (VST) Stock Plunges 13% After Missing Q4 Expectations by Wide Margin
Key Takeaways
- VST shares began trading 12.6% lower at $146.23 following weaker-than-expected quarterly results
- Quarterly earnings per share reached $2.18, missing the Street’s $2.45 estimate; sales totaled $4.58B against a $5.75B forecast
- Executive Vice President offloaded 10,000 shares on March 9th at a price of $160.31 per share
- Wall Street maintains a Buy consensus rating with a mean target of $236.87
- JPMorgan increased its target price to $240 from $239 while keeping an Overweight stance
Vistra Corp’s fourth-quarter financial results disappointed investors significantly. The energy company failed to meet both earnings and sales projections by considerable margins, triggering a sharp decline in share price at Monday’s market open.
Shares of VST commenced trading at $146.23, representing a 12.6% decline for the session. This marked a substantial retreat from the stock’s 50-day moving average of $163.60 and an even more pronounced distance from its 200-day moving average of $177.24.
The financial results painted a clear picture. The company reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $2.18, undershooting analyst projections of $2.45. Quarterly revenue registered at $4.58 billion, substantially below the anticipated $5.75 billion. The company’s net profit margin came in at 5.32%.
Considering the stock’s 12-month trading pattern provides perspective on the selloff. VST has fluctuated between $90.51 and $219.82 throughout the past year, indicating that despite the painful decline, shares remain considerably elevated from their 52-week floor.
Wall Street’s Perspective
Notwithstanding the earnings shortfall, financial analysts maintain their optimistic stance on the stock. The prevailing consensus rating stands at Buy, with analysts projecting an average price target of $236.87 — representing significant upside from current trading levels.
JPMorgan revised its financial model following the earnings release and slightly raised its price target to $240 from $239, maintaining an Overweight designation. Goldman Sachs elevated VST to Buy status in February, establishing a $205 price objective. Jefferies similarly upgraded the stock to Buy during the same period, setting a $203 target.
Bank of America reduced its target from $231 to $218 while preserving its Buy recommendation. Scotiabank maintains a $293 target accompanied by an Outperform rating. Among the firms providing coverage, three assign a Strong Buy rating, twelve recommend Buy, and one maintains a Hold position.
Analysts project Vistra will generate $7 in earnings per share for the complete fiscal year.
Share Transactions and Shareholder Returns
Significant insider trading activity occurred prior to the earnings announcement. EVP Stephanie Zapata Moore disposed of 10,000 VST shares on March 9th at an average transaction price of $160.31, generating proceeds of approximately $1.6 million. Following the transaction, she maintains ownership of 114,409 shares.
Vistra announced a quarterly dividend distribution of $0.228, scheduled for payment on March 31st to shareholders registered as of March 20th. This represents a marginal increase from the previous quarterly payment of $0.23. On an annualized basis, this equals $0.91 per share, translating to approximately 0.6% yield. The company’s dividend payout ratio stands at 41.94%.
Regarding institutional ownership, multiple investment firms expanded their positions during the fourth quarter. Teamwork Financial Advisors boosted its stake by 39.9%, acquiring an additional 22,492 shares for a total holding of 78,855 shares, valued at $12.72 million at quarter’s conclusion. Procyon Advisors expanded its position by 395.2%. Harbor Investment Advisory surged 495.7% in its ownership, albeit from a modest starting point. Institutional investors collectively control 90.88% of outstanding shares.
The company’s financial structure carries considerable leverage. Vistra operates with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.01, maintains a current ratio of 0.78, and trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 67.39. The company’s market capitalization totals $49.51 billion.
Crypto World
U.S. lawmakers to introduce bipartisan bill banning sports betting on prediction markets: WSJ
A bipartisan group of lawmakers plans to introduce legislation that would ban sports betting on prediction markets including Polymarket and Kalshi.
U.S. lawmakers are set to introduce a bipartisan bill that would prohibit sports betting on prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi, according to reporting from The Wall Street Journal. The legislative action targets the growing use of decentralized and offshore prediction platforms for wagering on sporting events.
Polymarket and Kalshi are among the largest prediction market platforms, with Polymarket operating on the Polygon blockchain and Kalshi operating as a regulated U.S.-based platform. The move reflects ongoing regulatory scrutiny of prediction markets and sports betting activities outside traditional regulated channels.
This article was generated automatically by The Defiant’s AI news system from publicly available sources.
CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.
The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2025.84, up 0.2% (+3.37) since 4 p.m. ET on Friday.
Seven of 20 assets are trading higher.
Leaders: BCH (+2.3%) and SOL (+1.0%).
Laggards: APT (-5.3%) and ICP (-3.6%).
The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.
Strategy (MSTR) has unveiled a $42 billion at the market (ATM), equity program, split between $21 billion of Class A common stock (MSTR) and $21 billion of its Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock, Stretch (STRC), according to an 8-K filing.
The company also introduced a new $2.1 billion ATM for its STRK preferred stock, replacing a prior STRK program that had more than $20 billion remaining.
The company expanded its sales syndicate. Strategy added Moelis & Company, A.G.P./Alliance Global Partners, and StoneX Financial, bringing the total number of agents to 19. These firms act as intermediaries, selling shares into the market over time, allowing the company to raise capital gradually rather than through large, one-time offerings.
As of March 22, Strategy still had capacity remaining on its existing ATM programs. This included approximately $6.24 billion of common stock, $1.98 billion of STRC, $20.33 billion of STRK, and $1.62 billion of STRF available for issuance.
The company last week purchased another 1,031 bitcoin, bringing holdings up to 762,099 coins. Shares are modestly higher on Monday as bitcoin trades up slightly from the Friday close at $71,300.
Apple CEO Tim Cook (L) stands with Siemens CEO Roland Busch prior to the opening ceremony of the China Development Forum 2026 at the Diaoyutai State Guesthouse on March 22, 2026 in Beijing, China.
China News Service | China News Service | Getty Images
BEIJING — As corporate giants navigate U.S.-China tensions, more than 80 global executives, from Apple to Eli Lilly, traveled to Beijing this weekend for the annual state-organized China Development Forum.
The executives’ remarks reflected renewed interest in capturing the Chinese consumer, after years of uncertainty from the Covid-19 pandemic, slower growth and U.S. trade tensions.
Fresh off a recovery in Apple iPhone sales in China, the company’s CEO Tim Cook took the stage after Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Sunday, praising the “extraordinary” pace of technological progress in the country, such as factory automation.
He said: “We are proud to be part of that progress, and we’re committed to working alongside our supplier partners to push it even further.” He added that more than 90% of Apple’s production in China is powered by clean energy.
Apple still manufactures most of its iPhones in China, which accounted for nearly 18% of Apple’s revenue in the December quarter. Thanks to the iPhone 17 release, Apple smartphone sales in the first nine weeks of the year were up 23% year-on-year, bucking a 4% decline in China’s overall smartphone market, according to Counterpoint Research.
On his way to Beijing, Cook also visited Chengdu, China, as Apple has been pressured to cut its China App Store fees.
According to an official delegate list seen by CNBC, attendees included more than 30 executives of U.S. companies, including McDonald’s, Coach parent Tapestry, and Mastercard, along with representatives of British, South Korean and German corporations.
Their trips to Beijing come as the U.S. and China reached a trade truce in October that lowered the effective tariff rate to less than 50% for a year. It remains unclear whether the two countries can extend the truce and whether Beijing will agree to allow more critically needed rare earths to leave the country.
U.S. President Donald Trump was scheduled to visit Beijing later this month for trade talks, but delayed the plans by at least a few weeks due to the Iran war.
U.S. companies have pushed ahead with plans to invest in China, even as the White House has sought to encourage more of that spending to return home.
Pharmaceutical giant Eli Lilly announced in March plans to invest $3 billion in China over the next decade. The company reported that just under 3% of its revenue came from China last year.
CEO David A. Ricks told CNBC’s Eunice Yoon that he sees “significant” potential in China for the company’s GLP-1 obesity drug, if there are better reimbursement systems.
Beijing has made incremental improvements to foreign access.
Eli Lilly’s Mounjaro weight-loss drug was added to China’s list for reimbursements under the state-run health insurance this year.
On Sunday, China’s Premier Li said Beijing would make it easier for foreign businesses to access the country’s services sector. He added that China would also buy more healthcare and digital technology products from abroad.
He also pushed back on the idea that state subsidies drove China’s technological development, while stating that the country has never pursued a trade surplus. Li noted that many products made in China by foreign companies are exported back to their home markets, with profits accruing to investors.
China reported a record trade surplus in 2025. This year, China began its 15th five-year development plan, with a focus on boosting tech self-sufficiency as well as domestic demand. Measures to support consumption have focused on trade-in subsidies and incremental increases to social welfare.
But the high-level China Development Forum didn’t reflect all views. Stephen Roach, an economist and senior fellow at Yale Law School, said he was not invited this year, after 25 years of attending the event.
“My focus on consumer-led rebalancing was always presented as constructive criticism,” he told CNBC by email. “Ironically, it is something they have finally embraced in the 15th five-year plan — albeit with inadequate policies.”
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But executives that were still invited have businesses at stake. Volkswagen CEO Oliver Blume has now visited Beijing twice in just four weeks. He accompanied German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on a state visit in late February.
“Our long-standing partnership provides an opportunity to address challenges clearly at the China Development Forum as well: volatile supply chains, an imbalance between supply and demand, and high price pressure in the market,” Blume said in a statement distributed to media.
“As China’s largest foreign investor, we rely on stable framework conditions,” he said. “That is why we welcome measures to sustainably improve domestic demand and fair competition, as well as the stabilization of supply chains.”
“This year will be a very crucial one,” Blume told CNBC’s Eunice Yoon on the sidelines of the forum Sunday.
After a three-year effort to build up local manufacturing and tech capabilities, Volkswagen is launching 20 new models in China this year. The automaker reported an 8% drop in China passenger car sales last year.
Hyperliquid is generating $14M in weekly fees and leading DeFi growth, but analysts say HYPE still trades at a discount to its fee run‑rate and CEX-style positioning.
Summary
- Hyperliquid generated $14 million in protocol fees over seven days, up 56% week‑on‑week, while HyperEVM’s transactions grew 55% and active users 25%, making it the fastest‑growing chain by proportional activity.
- HYPE has surged more than 600% since launch and recently jumped 17.1% in a single day to about $31.86, even as it trades roughly 44% below its all‑time high with around $6.2 billion in TVL and over $1.23 billion in open interest.
- Analysts say “fees‑to‑valuation remains compelling relative to CEX comps,” arguing that growth‑adjusted multiples still discount Hyperliquid’s fee run‑rate and positioning as an on‑chain perps hub.
Hyperliquid (HYPE), a decentralized perpetuals exchange built around its own HyperEVM chain, has emerged as one of DeFi’s most aggressive fee‑generating protocols in early March 2026. In its latest weekly market brief, altFINS highlighted that “Hyperliquid generated $14.0M in fees over the past week, a +56% increase week‑on‑week, this is exceptional for a derivatives platform and confirms that on‑chain perps activity is picking up meaningfully.”
The same report singled out the underlying chain, noting that “HyperEVM deserves a specific mention, 55% transaction growth this week and a 25% uptick in active users. It’s the fastest‑growing chain by proportional activity, which correlates with HYPE’s strong price momentum.”
Off‑chain statistics mirror that acceleration. HyperEVM has processed roughly 97.8 million total transactions with average daily volume near 434,000, while cumulative on‑chain fees have surpassed $256.2 million since launch, according to analytics compiled by CoinLaw. Daily DEX volumes on HyperEVM peaked near $0.9 billion in late May 2025, with app fees topping $8 million in June and weekly active addresses recently pushing above 106,000 as TVL approached $1.9 billion. “Sustained growth signals that both traders and developers are participating in HyperEVM ecosystem activities,” the report concluded, underscoring how deeply Hyperliquid’s order books now anchor DeFi trading flows.
That surge in usage is feeding directly into HYPE’s token economics. A recent daily market analysis from MEXC noted that Hyperliquid’s platform “generated $13M in weekly fees with TVL exceeding $6.2B, signaling strong institutional demand,” even as HYPE “is up 662% since its November 2024 launch, currently trading 44% below its all‑time high.” On March 3, the token “surged 17.1% to $31.86 as traders flocked to its 24/7 commodity derivatives during US‑Iran tensions,” with open interest hitting $1.23 billion and deflationary buybacks removing 17,146 tokens to offset an upcoming $316 million contributor unlock, according to a follow‑up report.
Crucially, the market still appears to undervalue that growth relative to traditional exchanges. “With HYPE’s price also rallying, the market is beginning to price in the fundamental activity, though fees‑to‑valuation remains compelling relative to CEX comps,” altFINS wrote, framing Hyperliquid as a rare example where protocol revenues are outrunning token appreciation. On a simple revenue model, annualizing this week’s $14 million in fees implies roughly $728 million in run‑rate protocol revenue if activity holds, a level that would command mid‑to‑high single‑digit forward multiples in listed exchange stocks.
For traders, the setup resembles a late‑stage SaaS rerating: either fees and user growth normalize back toward DeFi peers, or HYPE continues to climb until its market cap better reflects a derivatives venue that is already capturing billions in on‑chain flow. Key live metrics and charts for HYPE can be tracked via dedicated market‑cap dashboards, while broader DeFi coverage on crypto.news—including analyses of derivatives platforms, protocol fee trends and altcoin market structure—provides additional context for Hyperliquid’s rise.
Key Highlights
- Shares of MGRX skyrocketed more than 129% during Monday’s trading following SEC disclosure of a 500,000-share bonus awarded to CEO Jacob Cohen.
- An additional 200,000 shares were transferred by Cohen to The Tiger Cub Trust, an entity under his control, increasing the trust’s holdings to 805,000 shares.
- Daily trading volume exploded to over 107 million shares, vastly exceeding the three-month average of approximately 208,000.
- Despite Monday’s surge, the stock declined 54.51% in Friday’s session and remains down 78.11% for the year.
- Analyst consensus remains at “Strong Sell” with no current price target coverage from major firms.
Shares of Mangoceuticals (MGRX) experienced a dramatic surge exceeding 129% during Monday’s trading session following the disclosure of regulatory filings showing CEO Jacob Cohen was granted 500,000 shares as bonus compensation.
In the same filing, Cohen relocated 200,000 shares into The Tiger Cub Trust, which operates under his direction, pushing the trust’s aggregate position to 805,000 shares. The simultaneous disclosure of both equity movements ignited significant market attention.
The rally represents a sharp reversal from Friday’s trading, when shares plummeted 54.51%. Year-to-date performance shows MGRX down 78.11%, while the 12-month decline stands at 96.59%.
Trading activity on Monday was extraordinary, with transaction volume surpassing 107 million shares—a massive increase compared to the typical three-month daily average of roughly 208,000 shares.
According to MarketBeat records, the most recent closing price stood at approximately $2.33 per share as of late October 2025. Currently, no active analyst price targets are available for the stock.
Legal Action and Intellectual Property Initiatives
Beyond executive compensation disclosures, Mangoceuticals has been active on multiple strategic fronts. The company announced it initiated litigation against Clarity Ventures, Inc., its former technology partner, pursuing damages in excess of $73 million. The legal action alleges breaches related to technology service delivery and platform development obligations.
Regarding intellectual property expansion, the company submitted a PCT international patent application in February for MGX-0024, described as an antiviral additive technology designed for incorporation into animal feed and water systems. The February 26, 2026 filing aims to secure worldwide patent protection.
Operational Highlights
The company’s $99 monthly injectable testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) subscription service has demonstrated strong performance. Company executives reported 336% month-over-month revenue growth beginning in mid-December, accompanied by a 54% reduction in customer acquisition expenses.
Mangoceuticals additionally launched MangoRx Direct and PeachesRx Direct in November 2025. These direct-to-consumer platforms offer access to GLP-1 weight management medications including Zepbound and Wegovy, with monthly pricing beginning around $499 on a cash-pay model.
However, despite operational developments, Wall Street coverage remains limited and unfavorable. MarketBeat data shows one Sell rating with no Buy or Hold recommendations currently assigned to the stock.
The overall analyst consensus stands at “Strong Sell,” with no major investment firms having issued upgrades, downgrades, or fresh price objectives in recent months.
The latest available closing price on record stands at roughly $2.33 per share from late October 2025.
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals (NBY) — a nanocap with a market capitalization of about $30 million — has renamed itself Stablecoin Development Corporation and changed its ticker to SDEV, marking a full shift from healthcare to crypto.
This follows a $134 million private placement backed by firms including Framework Ventures and Tether Investments, the company said.
The firm is using those funds to build a large position in SKY, the governance token tied to the Sky protocol, a decentralized finance protocol that issues the cryptocurrency-backed dollar-pegged stablecoin USDS..
The company currently holds about 2.06 billion SKY tokens, roughly 8.78% of the total supply, worth around $147 million. It acquired over half of that on the open market at an average price near $0.065. The rest came as part of the financing deal, which included cash and stablecoins.
The firm has also begun staking its holdings to earn rewards. It reports earning about 26.6 million SKY tokens so far, with these rewards varying based on network rules and participation.
CoinDesk has reached out to Stablecoin Development Corp for comments, but hasn’t heard back at the time of writing.
Sky, which evolved from MakerDAO, currently has a SKY staking rate of over 10%, according to the protocol’s website. The token’s value is down around 1.45% over the last 24 hours, while the broader crypto market rose 4% over the same period, as measured by the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index.
NBY is higher by 5% on Monday.
Monero (XMR) slammed into a brick wall at $380 this week, fueling a bearish Monero price prediction as momentum drains from the privacy coin sector.
The rejection was violent and precise. Price action is now curling downward, trapped beneath the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with bears firmly in control of the tape.
Monero Price Prediction: Can XMR Hold $150 or Is a Crash to $135 Coming?
XMR is sitting at $355.95 on the 2h chart, and the structure here is messy but there is something worth noting underneath the noise.
Price got absolutely obliterated in early February, dropping from above $400 all the way to $287 in a near-vertical flush, and what has happened since then is a slow and choppy recovery that has been grinding higher lows over the past 6 weeks without ever fully breaking down again.
The $400 level marked on the chart as a red dotted line is the psychological and technical ceiling that has not been reclaimed since the initial dump, and every rally attempt since February has failed to get back there, including the most recent push to $383 which rolled over and pulled back to the $340 range before bouncing again.
The current price action shows XMR bouncing off the $340 area for the second time in a week, which is starting to define that zone as a short term support floor, and the move back toward $356 suggests buyers are showing up there consistently.
The immediate resistance to clear is the $360 to $370 range where price has been churning, and above that the $383 recent high is the last wall before $400 comes back into view.
The bearish case is straightforward, lower highs since the February peak combined with a choppy recovery structure suggests this is distribution rather than accumulation, and a break below $340 would open the door back toward the $305 to $310 lows.
The $400 level is the line in the sand. Until that gets reclaimed, this chart is still in recovery mode, not breakout mode.
Discover: The best new crypto in the world
The post Monero Price Prediction: XMR Trapped Below $180 as Exchange Liquidity Dries Up appeared first on Cryptonews.
Larry Fink, Chairman and CEO of BlackRock, speaks during an interview with CNBC on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., Jan. 15, 2026.
Brendan McDermid | Reuters
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink urged investors to resist the temptation to time markets, arguing that staying invested through periods of turmoil has historically delivered far stronger returns.
“Over time, staying invested has mattered far more than getting the timing right,” Fink wrote in his annual chairman’s letter released Monday. “Some of the market’s strongest days came amid the most unsettling headlines.”
He pointed to the past two decades as a stark example: every dollar invested in the S&P 500 grew more than eightfold. But investors who missed just the 10 best days over that stretch would have earned less than half as much.
The warning from the billionaire comes as markets are increasingly driven by rapid shifts in sentiment tied to geopolitics, inflation and technological disruption. Stocks rallied sharply Monday after President Donald Trump said the U.S. and Iran have held talks and that he was halting strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure.
“The danger is that we focus so much on the noise that we forget what actually matters,” Fink wrote. “The forces behind today’s headlines have been building for a long time. The old model of global capitalism is fracturing. Countries are spending enormous sums to become self-reliant — in energy, in defense, in technology.”
BlackRock is the world’s largest asset manager with a $14 trillion in assets under management at the end of 2025.
Fink also warned that the rapid rise of artificial intelligence could amplify inequality, enriching those who already own assets while leaving others further behind.
“The massive wealth created over the past several generations flowed mostly to people who already owned financial assets. And now AI threatens to repeat that pattern at an even larger scale,” he said.
Companies tied to AI have driven a significant share of recent equity market gains, concentrating returns among a relatively small group of firms and their shareholders.
SIGN’s 100M “Orange Basic Income” locks rewards on-chain and pays higher yields to wallets that keep SIGN in self-custody instead of on centralized exchanges.
Summary
- SIGN launches a 100 million token “Orange Basic Income” program to reward long-term holders who move funds into self-custody instead of leaving them on centralized exchanges.
- Season 1 allocates up to 25 million SIGN, including 9 million tokens dedicated specifically to holding rewards calculated from balance and duration.
- All 100 million SIGN earmarked for OBI are locked in an on-chain custody address, fully collateralizing rewards and positioning the token within a broader DeFi shift toward transparency and user control.
SIGN has unveiled its “Orange Basic Income” (OBI) initiative, a 100 million token incentive program designed to pay users for holding SIGN in self-custody wallets rather than on centralized exchanges. The project describes OBI as a way to “reward real on-chain holders” and to “redefine value rewards for long-term holders” by tying payouts directly to wallet balances and how long tokens remain under self-custody.
SIGN is the native utility token of the Sign ecosystem, an omni-chain attestation and token-distribution infrastructure originally incubated by the EthSign team. The protocol underpins products like Sign Protocol, TokenTable and SignPass, which handle on-chain identity, credential verification, airdrops, vesting and unlocks across Ethereum and other major networks. SIGN launched its token in late April 2025 with a total supply of 10 billion, following several funding rounds backed by venture investors and a large community airdrop allocation. The project is now positioning SIGN as a long-term governance and incentive asset for builders, institutions and the “Orange Dynasty” community aligned around self-custody and transparent on-chain distribution rails.
According to the launch materials, Season 1 of OBI will distribute up to 25 million SIGN, with 9 million tokens reserved purely for holding rewards. “To participate, users must hold their SIGN in a self-custody wallet,” one explainer states, adding that “tokens held on exchanges or locked in third-party platforms do not qualify.” The token itself trades under the ticker SIGN, with live pricing and market data available on its dedicated page in the crypto.news market-cap section.
OBI is explicitly framed as a break with yield products that resemble traditional staking. Rather than promising a fixed percentage return, SIGN calculates rewards using a time-based formula that tracks on-chain balances over the course of a season, favoring wallets that commit to holding through volatility while avoiding exchange custody. The team argues this approach “abandons the traditional fixed staking model” in favor of a mechanism that more closely aligns incentives with decentralization and user control.
In its announcement thread on X, SIGN called the program “Holder Supremacy,” urging users to “secure your eligibility by moving your $SIGN to a self-custody wallet” before each snapshot. The launch comes as DeFi protocols from lending platforms to liquid-staking services race to distinguish themselves with more transparent reward structures, and mirrors a wider industry trend of traders shifting away from centralized venues toward self-custody and on-chain liquidity.
To back the scheme, the foundation says all 100 million OBI tokens are locked in a public on-chain custody address, with funds sourced from a prior strategic buyback. This, SIGN argues, ensures that “each quarterly reward is fully collateralized and publicly transparent,” a structure aimed at institutional users and regulators wary of opaque token incentive programs and DeFi yield promises.
Analysts are now watching how OBI affects metrics like token velocity, wallet counts and the proportion of SIGN held off exchanges, as these will reveal whether self-custody incentives meaningfully change investor behavior. At the same time, the move lands amid mounting policy debates over hardware wallets, DeFi oversight and self-custody rules, underscoring how programs that push assets off centralized platforms could become a focal point in the next phase of crypto regulation.
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