Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Crypto World

What Supreme Court tariff ruling means for global trade, U.S. economy

Published

on

What Supreme Court tariff ruling means for global trade, U.S. economy

The Supreme Court struck down President Donald Trump’s tariffs on Friday, but the trade tax turmoil is far from over. Fallout over the ruling is already threatening to further strain global trade relations, and the U.S. economy is likely to suffer, economists told CNBC.

In 6-3 decision, the high court ruled that President Trump did not have the legal authority to implement his sweeping tariffs imposed last April under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, or IEEPA.

Trump later leveled new tariffs up to 15% effective immediately on an array of U.S. trading partners, further escalating global trade tensions. European Union leaders expressed dismay over the new tariffs, arguing that the U.S. policy shift would upend trade deals already reached with the EU as well as the U.K. last year. On Monday, the EU again postponed a key vote on its deal with the U.S.

The pushback against the latest U.S. tariff threat underscores deep frustration over the president’s erratic trade policies, and could push foreign governments to scale back U.S. trade and lead businesses to curb expansion, investment and hiring.

Advertisement

The result might hobble the U.S. economy. “It shifts how trade is done with the largest economy in the world, and that has economic consequences,” Mike Reid, head of U.S. economics at Royal Bank of Canada told CNBC, referring to the Supreme Court ruling and new tariff push.

Downside

The trade war drama is likely to contribute to a climate of caution among businesses and foreign governments alike, said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, leading to “nothing but downside,” for the U.S. economy.

“Businesses don’t know” what’s going to happen next, Zandi told CNBC. “They’re going to invest less, they’re going to hire less, they’re going to be less aggressive in their expansions,” limiting U.S. growth.

Foreign governments could react similarly amid rising uncertainty, leading them to “continue to pull away from the U.S,” according to the economist.

Advertisement

“They’ve got to be pulling their hair out over all of this,” Zandi said. “Perceptions of the U.S. are increasingly that we’re a poorly managed economy, and objectively speaking, they’re right. It’s a bit of a mess that feels like it’s getting messier.”

That perception could lead to efforts to divert trade away from the U.S. to a variety of other trading partners, including China.

China’s exports grew 6.6% in U.S. dollar terms last December compared to the same month a year earlier, topping analyst expectations and sending the nation’s annual trade surplus to a record, according to Chinese customs data. Imports increased at their fastest pace in three months, the same data showed.

Trump trade taxes

The Trump administration will continue implementing its trade policy, and now plans to use a variety of sections in the Tariff Act of 1974, according to U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer.

Advertisement

President Trump is pointing to section 122 of the Tariff Act to justify his new tariffs enacted this weekend, although that section limits their effectiveness to 150 days, until mid July, after which they would have to be approved by Congress.  

But the administration is likely to use sections 232 and 301 of the Tariff Act to supplement its new section 122 tariffs, meaning the U.S. could continue to impose tariffs against its foreign trading partners over the next few years, at least.

Others say neither investors nor economists shouldn’t sound the alarm just yet.

The implementation of the new trade taxes “implies little change in the effective tariff rate or our inflation forecasts in the near term,” Citigroup economist Veronica Clark said in a note to clients.

Advertisement

“Eventual Section 301/232 tariffs could have an impact on certain goods prices in the future, but details are still highly uncertain,” Clark wrote. “While a 10% Section 122 tariff would likely have lowered the effective tariff rate by 3-4 [percentage points], a 15% tariff should keep the effective tariff rate essentially unchanged (if anything, lower by ~1pp or so).

While the total impact of the new tariffs remains uncertain, a few things are clear, Zandi said.

“The U.S. is pulling away from the world, and the rest of the world is now pulling away from the U.S.,” the economist said. “Deglobalization is a weight on the economy, and ultimately, the end state is a weakened economy.”

— With additional reporting provided by CNBC’s Alex Harring

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

XRP Crypto Falls to $1.31 After Failed Breakout as Liquidity Dries Up

Published

on

xrp logo

XRP Crypto slipped to $1.31 after a hard rejection at $1.35 left traders with little to show from a breakout attempt that briefly looked credible.

The 2% drop is secondary – what matters is the combination of that ceiling rejection and visibly thinning order book depth, a setup that historically precedes sharper directional moves.

The failed push came off a March 31 high of $1.37, with XRP unable to clear $1.40 resistance and grinding lower through a $1.28–$1.33 range ever since.

That recent run toward $1.35 now looks like a distribution zone rather than a launchpad, and the market cap sits at $80.6 billion with 24-hour volume at just $2.01 billion – reduced participation that confirms the liquidity problem is real. The chart now forces a binary question: does $1.28 hold, or does the next support at $1.15 come into play faster than bulls expect?

Advertisement
Xrp (XRP)
24h7d30d1yAll time

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

XRP Crypto, Reclaim $1.35 or Retreat to $1.15?

XRP Crypto is trading below both its 50-day EMA ($1.38) and 200-day EMA ($1.88), with price pinned inside a descending channel on the 4-hour chart where both the 50-SMA and 200-SMA act as overhead ceiling.

Daily RSI reads 38 – weak momentum, but not yet in oversold territory, which means there’s no technical floor from that indicator alone. MACD is negative and expanding downward, removing any near-term momentum argument.

Advertisement

Key resistances sit at $1.3500; load-bearing supports are $1.3000 and $1.2698. The $1.28 level has held since February, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement – below it, holder support thins materially until $1.15.

Source: TradingView

The bull case requires a clean reclaim of $1.35 on volume – not a wick, a close – followed by a hold above the 50-day EMA at $1.38.

That sequence opens $1.45 and, with a catalyst, $1.60 tied to regulatory progress on the CLARITY Act, which carries a 63% probability of passing in 2026 per current prediction markets. Long-term analysts maintain structurally bullish frameworks, but those scenarios require macro conditions – FOMC dovishness, easing geopolitical tensions – that aren’t present right now.

The bear case activates on a confirmed daily close below $1.28. Analysts are flagging $1.15 as the next meaningful support, with more aggressive targets at $0.80 contingent on oil above $100 and Fed rate holds through Q2.

The uncomfortable reality is that XRP is down nearly 30% year-to-date and 64% from its $3.65 all-time high, and every bounce has been sold. The single most important level: $1.28. Hold it and the range stays intact; lose it and $1.15 becomes the next anchor.

Advertisement

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

The post XRP Crypto Falls to $1.31 After Failed Breakout as Liquidity Dries Up appeared first on Cryptonews.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

South Korea Tightens Crypto Rules with 5-minute Asset Verification Mandate

Published

on

South Korea Tightens Crypto Rules with 5-minute Asset Verification Mandate

South Korea has ordered all crypto exchanges to reconcile their internal ledgers with actual asset holdings every five minutes after an inspection uncovered weaknesses in internal controls.

The directive was announced on Monday by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) after a meeting with top crypto exchanges and the Digital Asset Exchange Alliance (DAXA), during which they discussed the findings of an emergency inspection triggered by the Bithumb payout incident.

The inspection found that three of the country’s five major exchanges were reconciling balances only once every 24 hours, limiting their ability to respond quickly to discrepancies. Systems designed to halt trading during major mismatches were also found to be insufficient, raising concerns about how exchanges would handle large-scale errors.

In February, Bithumb mistakenly distributed 620,000 Bitcoin (BTC) to 249 users during a promotional event. The exchange later announced that it recovered 99.7% of the funds the same day. The remaining 0.3%, 1,788 BTC that had already been sold, was covered using company reserves.

Advertisement

Related: Bithumb seeks to reappoint CEO despite recent controversies: Report

South Korea mandates five-minute asset checks

Under the new measures, exchanges must implement automated ledger-to-wallet reconciliation systems operating on a five-minute cycle. They will also be required to introduce defined criteria for triggering automatic transaction halts in the event of significant discrepancies.

Beyond reconciliation, regulators are pushing for sweeping changes to internal operations. High-risk processes like promotional payouts will require stronger oversight, including third-party cross-checks and multi-level approval systems. Exchanges will also need to separate high-risk accounts and implement automated verification tools for payments.

Top Korean crypto exchanges. Source: CoinGecko

Furthermore, external audits will shift from quarterly to monthly, while disclosures will expand to include detailed asset balances by wallet and ledger.

“The financial authorities and the DAXA plan to complete the rule changes needed to implement the improvement measures within April this year,” the FSC wrote.

Advertisement

Related: South Korean brokerage Korea Investment & Securities eyes Coinone stake: Report

Bithumb delays IPO to post-2028

Last week, Bithumb announced it is now targeting an IPO after 2028, marking another delay from its earlier 2025 plans as it works through restructuring and regulatory pressure. The exchange said it will focus on strengthening accounting policies and internal controls through 2027, following an advisory agreement with Samjong KPMG.

Meanwhile, Naver Financial has also delayed its planned share swap with Dunamu by about three months, now targeting a shareholder vote on Aug. 18 and completion by Sept. 30.

Magazine: South Korea gets rich from crypto… North Korea gets weapons

Advertisement