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What’s Next for XRP Before the End of February?

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Key Insights:

  • XRP drops over 30% in February, trades 61% below its $3.66 all-time high.
  • Whales accumulated 3.17B XRP since October, controlling 17.04% supply.
  • XRP ETFs hold $1B+ AUM despite mixed February inflows.

XRP is set to close February in negative territory as it trades near $1.43, down more than 30% from its early-month level of $2.05. The token fell to a monthly low of $1.11 before rebounding into the $1.40 range.

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Despite strong whale accumulation and expanding institutional activity on the XRP Ledger, broader crypto market weakness continues to pressure price action. The downward trend experienced in February, marks one of weakest months in XRP history, reinforcing a cautious sentiment among traders.

Since 2014, XRP has recorded losses in seven of 11 February trading periods. The highest monthly drops reached 33.4% in 2014 and 22.1% in 2018. With only a few days remaining, the asset would require a rally of more than 40% to end the month positive. With this in mind, analysts believe that this is not likely to happen under the current circumstances. The market capitalization of the token is over 87 billion and the 24-hour volume is approximately 1.7 billion. XRP is still about 61% below its all-time high of $3.66 in July 2025.

Institutional Adoption Expands Despite Price Weakness

The XRP Ledger adoption metrics indicate further growth. Network-based tokenized real-world assets have surpassed $354 million in the last month, and the report indicates that 63% of tokenized U.S. Treasurys are issued on XRPL infrastructure.

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Banking organizations such as DBS Group and Franklin Templeton are establishing trading and lending infrastructures over tokenized money market funds on the ledger. In payments, Deutsche Bank is partnering with Ripple to modernize cross-border transfers, signaling continued enterprise engagement.

ETF Flows and Whale Accumulation Signal Divergence

Seven XRP spot exchange-traded funds now trade in the United States, with combined assets exceeding $1 billion and roughly 790 million XRP locked. The funds recorded 43 consecutive trading days without outflows after launch. However, flows turned mixed between Feb. 11 and Feb. 20, with only one positive inflow day totaling $4.5 million.

On-chain data from Santiment shows wallets holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP accumulated 3.17 billion tokens since October 2025, now controlling 17.04% of the asset circulating supply. The exchange balances decreased by 55 percent to 1.7 billion XRP. On Binance, the funding rates dropped to negative 0.028%, historically associated to short-term rebounds.

Ahead of the month-end, traders are keeping a watch on funding rates, ETF flows, and overall crypto sentiment. Stay in touch with Crypto Breaking News as we continue uncovering the XRP price outlook, February 2026.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Spike as BTC Rally Halts at $75K

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Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Spike as BTC Rally Halts at $75K

Centralized crypto exchanges recorded a spike in Bitcoin hourly inflows on Monday as the crypto market rallied, with one analyst warning it could signal selling pressure. 

Hourly Bitcoin flows into exchanges spiked to 6,100 BTC on March 16, the highest since Feb. 20, reported head of research at CryptoQuant, Julio Moreno, on Tuesday. 

He added that the share of large inflows reached 63% of total inflows, which is the highest since mid-October 2025. 

It comes as Bitcoin has rallied around 12% so far this month, hitting a six-week high of around $76,000 on March 17.

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Traders often send Bitcoin (BTC) to exchanges in preparation to sell or exchange for stablecoins.

“Historically, spikes in large deposits to exchanges have been associated with increased selling pressure,” the analyst noted.

Bitcoin exchange flows have spiked this week. Source: CryptoQuant

Fed may signal no rate cuts this year

The spike in exchange inflows comes just days before the Federal Reserve’s meeting and rate decision on Wednesday, which can have an impact on crypto sentiment.

However, markets have priced in no changes to the US interest rate this month, with CME futures predicting a 98.9% probability of them remaining the same and only a 1.1% chance that they will be increased. 

Related: Trump ups pressure for Fed chair Powell to cut rates ‘right now’

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The Fed could even signal no interest rate cuts at all this year in the wake of the US-Iran war and increasing inflation concerns, reported the Associated Press on Wednesday. 

Bitcoin realized price resistance at $75,000

Moreno also noted that if Bitcoin continues to rally, it could first find resistance at $75,000.

“These levels represent the lower band of the traders’ onchain Realized Price, which historically acts as price resistance in bear markets,” he said.

The asset came just shy of $75,000 three times on Coinbase over the past 24 hours and hit resistance each time, according to TradingView. 

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The actual Realized Price, or the average break-even price for active traders, which acted as resistance in October and January, is currently around $84,700. 

Bitcoin is facing resistance at the lower band of the onchain RP. Source: CryptoQuant

Magazine: Metaplanet’s Japan Bitcoin bet, Bithumb ordered suspension: Asia Express