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Why traders are looking beyond Bitcoin volatility

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2025 reshaped markets as trade tensions rose, yet stocks and gold surged, defying global uncertainty.

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Summary

  • Despite tariffs and volatility, crypto traders stayed active in 2025, signaling a maturing market beyond panic cycles.
  • Bitcoin swung from $75k to $126k in 2025, yet trader behavior showed resilience amid geopolitical stress.
  • Altcoins plunged up to 34% in 2025, but strong participation suggests crypto markets are evolving past pure speculation.

2025 has been a defining year for global markets, and cryptocurrency trading was no exception. Global trade tensions intensified as the US imposed steep tariffs on several countries, triggering immediate retaliation and market uncertainty. Yet, despite the geopolitical friction, major asset classes surged: the Dow Jones climbed 8.7% YTD, and gold delivered more than 50% over the same period. 

Under normal circumstances, this combination of political uncertainty, trade disruption, and aggressive market repricing would send crypto markets into defensive mode. Instead, crypto traders showed remarkable composure. Even as bitcoin whipsawed between $775,000 and $126,000 throughout the year, participation remained strong, and more importantly, trader behavior began to shift in ways that suggest the market is maturing beyond its usual volatility cycles. 

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A story of volatility

Painting the cryptocurrency landscape in 2025 with broad strokes may be challenging, but it is necessary to understand the dynamics that affect the market.  Around the time of the new US presidential inauguration in January, Bitcoin briefly surged to $109,400 amid renewed political support for digital assets. However, the momentum was short-lived. Prices rolled back within days, only to recover and break through the long-watched $100,000 level again soon after. By April, BTC had fallen to $75,000, before climbing steadily toward its October peak above $126,000.

Altcoins also experienced a whirlwind. In January, Ripple (XRP) reached its highest ever close month-over-month, but wiped out 20% of those gains in just 24 hours. During the same period, most major altcoins, including ETH, AVAX, ADA, DOT, and SHIB, experienced a 17-34% decline in value. Market sentiment deteriorated further after bitcoin posted its largest monthly drop since 2022, while a high-profile exchange hack added another layer of pressure.

Part of the pullback was due to market structure: extreme highs tend to be followed by profit-taking. But the year’s geopolitical backdrop and delayed monetary easing by the Fed also weighed heavily on crypto risk appetite. 

The stability of stablecoins

Despite the broader market downturn, stablecoins quietly reached new milestones. While the combined market cap of major cryptocurrencies slipped by 18.6%, stablecoins climbed to an all-time high of $226.1 billion. The biggest winner during this period was USDC, which added $16.1 billion during this period. This is a clear signal that boldest crypto traders seek stability when uncertainty rises.

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And for a brief moment, Ripple managed to outperform the king of the cryptos, Bitcoin. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Solana (SOL) saw deeper corrections of 45.3% and 34.1% respectively.  

“The trends are showing that the market is starting to establish itself in more concrete terms. We are seeing cryptocurrency investors employ more effective risk management and move away from their strict adherence to the ‘Big Four.’ These are very encouraging signs of an evolving market, more thoughtful, more structured, and more resilient,” said Quoc Dat Tong, Exness senior financial markets strategist.

The power of the pivot

For years, cryptocurrency CFD traders largely centered their strategies on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Ripple. But the 2025 market has shown a clear pivot. More traders diversified into stablecoin CFDs and smaller crypto, not out of speculation alone but to build portfolios that could withstand the year’s volatility. 

This shift also brought a sharper focus on broker infrastructure. Trading highly active, fast-moving assets demands more than market knowledge; it demands conditions built for precision. 

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Platform stability, fast execution, and low spreads are a rare but necessary trifecta. Exness has invested heavily in this infrastructure. Its proprietary pricing model and execution engine help maintain stable spreads and precise order fills, even when markets accelerate. The better-than-market conditions offered by Exness have become a defining advantage for traders navigating the unpredictable momentum of the crypto market. 

Galloping into the new year

As the year draws to a close, Bitcoin is positioned below its all-time highs. Analysts remain cautiously optimistic for the next year, but acknowledge several potential headwinds: slower global growth, the lagged effect of tariffs, and the late-cycle dynamics of the post-halving rally.  

Historically, Bitcoin halvings support upward momentum for 18 to 24 months. Considering the last halving in April 2024, the market may approach the late stages of that cycle in 2026. Exchange-traded fund inflows could offset some of this cooling, but expectations remain measured. 

Beyond Bitcoin, new developments could shape the broader market. The EU is progressing toward a digital Euro, which is expected to be introduced after its legal framework is adopted in 2026, with implementation anticipated by 2029. Other economies are exploring similar digital-currency frameworks, developments that may influence stablecoin dynamics. 

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How confident should crypto traders be in 2026?

“2025 brought sharp swings, from tariffs to sudden highs and deep lows, but the cryptocurrency market handled it with surprising composure. These stresses didn’t swing the market; they strengthened its fabric,” Tong commented.

For traders, the lesson is clear: adaptability matters more than the size of a single swing. The era when bitcoin dominated by default is fading. In its place is a broader ecosystem defined by diversification, more sophisticated risk management, and smoother execution powered by brokers with robust technology. 

Crypto’s next chapter will reward traders who combine agility with infrastructure, and who recognize that confidence isn’t built on the absence of volatility but on the ability to navigate through it. 

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Crypto World

Crypto.com Launches OG Prediction Market Platform

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Crypto.com Launches OG Prediction Market Platform

Crypto.com has spun out its prediction markets business, first launched in 2024, into a standalone platform called OG, competing with the likes of Polymarket and Kalshi. 

OG is powered by Crypto.com Derivatives North America (CDNA), a Commodity Futures Trading Commission-registered exchange and clearinghouse and affiliate of Crypto.com

OG said on Tuesday that it is only available in the United States for now.

Entering a ‘deca-billion dollar’ industry

Kris Marszalek, co-founder and CEO of Crypto.com, highlighted the firm’s growth in the prediction market space as the reason for launching a dedicated platform. 

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Crypto.com first announced the launch of a “sports event trading” product for US users in December 2024.

“We’ve experienced 40x weekly growth in our prediction market business over the last six months. This type of growth warrants a concerted effort with a standalone platform.”

Related: Polymarket strikes prediction market deal with major US soccer league

Nick Lundgren, chief legal officer of Crypto.com and new CEO of OG, described prediction markets as a “deca-billion dollar industry.” 

However, OG is entering a crowded space. Coinbase launched its own prediction market platform in the US in partnership with Kalshi in late January, while Hyperliquid proposed plans to expand into prediction markets on Monday. 

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Boom time for prediction markets

OG is debuting amid accelerating growth in prediction markets, with Wall Street exploring event contracts for new use cases beyond blockchain betting.

Prediction markets have seen 130-fold growth, from less than $100 million per month in early 2024 to over $13 billion by the end of 2025, according to International Banker. 

The combined volume for market leaders Polymarket and Kalshi was $37 billion in predictions placed in 2025, and the two platforms raised $3.6 billion in equity investment in 2025.

Meanwhile, prediction market firm revenues are expected to balloon from around $2 billion annually to over $10 billion by 2030, according to the Citizens Financial Group.

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Polymarket and Kalshi volumes, categories, and top markets. Source: DeFi Rate

Magazine: DAT panic dumps 73,000 ETH, India’s crypto tax stays: Asia Express