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Wild Bitcoin Prediction Ahead of the FOMC: Here’s What Could Trigger a Pump

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The CLARITY Act did not receive enough support in the US Senate, so it could not move to official discussion. This triggered a correction in the broader cryptocurrency market, while the upcoming FOMC meeting may worsen the sector’s condition.

The prevailing expectation is that interest rates in the USA will rise by 0.25%, yet analyst Ali Martinez assumed the central bank may be forced to keep the benchmark unchanged, which could propel a BTC price rally. Here’s why.

Influence From Trump?

Martinez started his thesis by noting the CLARITY Act failure and describing it as “a major setback for one of Trump’s crypto-policy objectives ahead of the November midterms.”

Then, he revealed that the odds of a 25-basis-point rate hike following the FOMC meeting, scheduled for later today (September 16), are roughly 93%, with only a small minority expecting the figure to stay the same.

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According to the analyst, the smaller group may actually get it right this time. He pointed to the approaching midterms in the US, arguing that Trump needs a political win and that another rate increase could create more economic pressure, possibly hurting his chances of success.

“That could weigh on Kevin Warsh and the FOMC’s decision-making,” he said.

Martinez thinks that such a surprise move could trigger a powerful rally across risk assets, with BTC (which has rarely risen after the past 14 FOMC decisions) potentially surpassing $82,000.

“This is my wild prediction. Not the consensus view. Trump needs a win. A no-hike decision could give markets exactly the surprise they need to rally,” he concluded.

However, another angle is worth considering. The widely expected rate hike may already be priced in, making Fed Chair Warsh’s press conference the key event to watch. It will take place immediately after the FOMC meeting, and any signals of further rate increases could negatively impact BTC and altcoins. On the other hand, a softer tone and remarks that the central bank has made progress on inflation could lead to a solid rebound.

Massive Shorts Ahead of the Meeting

X user Max Crypto revealed that a mysterious whale opened a $50 million short position on BTC and a $15.8 million short on ETH ahead of the central bank’s crucial decision.

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Usually, such major bets fuel speculation that the trader may have access to inside information. However, the whale’s win rate is around 40.6%, meaning their track record is far from flawless.

Meanwhile, another anonymous trader (with a staggering 100% win rate) recently opened multi-million shorts on BTC, ETH, and ZEC before the CLARITY Act vote. As mentioned above, the bill did not move forward for official discussion, and the crypto market headed south.

The post Wild Bitcoin Prediction Ahead of the FOMC: Here’s What Could Trigger a Pump appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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UK Inflation Hits 5-Month High. Will the Bank of England Hike or Hold?

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UK Inflation Hits 5-Month High. Will the Bank of England Hike or Hold?

UK inflation rose to 3.1% in August from 2.9% in July, the highest reading in five months. The Bank of England decides on interest rates one day later.

The same shock is showing up elsewhere. Energy costs tied to the Middle East conflict have lifted inflation across major economies over recent months.

A Fuel Problem Wearing an Inflation Label

Bank of England’s July forecast put August inflation at 2.8%, so the headline reading overshot by 0.3 percentage points.

The ONS said motor fuel made the biggest contribution to the rise. Motor fuel prices rose 23% over the year.

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Average petrol prices climbed 9.1p between July and August to 161.3p a litre. That is the highest level since November 2022.

Diesel rose 14.2p to 181.8p a litre. Air fares added to the pressure with a 6.2% monthly increase, led by long-haul routes.

Underlying inflation told a different story. Core inflation, which strips out energy and food, held at 2.6% for a fourth consecutive month. Services inflation stayed at 3.4%.

However, those two readings matter most. Policymakers tend to focus more on underlying price growth.

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The labour market is not helping the hawks either. Average weekly earnings, which exclude bonuses, rose 3.5% in the three months to July, the ONS reported Tuesday. That is close to the weakest pace since 2020. 

Vacancies over the three months to August dropped to 702,000. Outside the pandemic years, that is the lowest count since 2014. British hiring, meanwhile, has only just started to turn.

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The ECB Went First. The BOE, Fed, and Japan Follow

The figures arrive a day before the Bank of England announces its own rate decision. Most economists expect the Bank to leave Bank Rate at 3.75% when it votes at midday on Thursday.

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Investors see a one-in-three chance of a quarter-point hike this week, according to Reuters. Two increases are fully priced before the end of 2026.

Other central banks have not waited. The European Central Bank raised its deposit rate to 2.50% on September 10, pointing to energy costs.

“The conflict in the Middle East continues to generate inflation pressures, and inflation is set to remain well above target for an extended period,” the ECB Governing Council said.

The Federal Reserve announces its decision on Wednesday, with futures pricing roughly 87% odds of a quarter-point hike. The Bank of Japan follows on Friday. Three major central banks could therefore be tightening inside the same week

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The post UK Inflation Hits 5-Month High. Will the Bank of England Hike or Hold? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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How TIME and Statista Determined Arabia's Top Companies of 2026

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How TIME and Statista Determined Arabia's Top Companies of 2026
—Photo-illustration by TIME; Elijah-Lovkoff—Getty Images

The research project “Arabia’s Top Companies 2026” is a comprehensive analysis conducted to identify the top performing companies in the GCC countries (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The study is based on three primary dimensions: Employee Satisfaction, Revenue Growth and Sustainability Transparency (ESG).

Methodology

The first dimension, Employee Satisfaction, was investigated based on survey data from a large sample of over 20,000 employees in the region. The evaluation encompassed direct recommendations of verified employees as well as indirect evaluations from industry peers.

The second dimension, Revenue Growth, was assessed using data from Statista’s revenue database, which contains company growth data for the last three years. The companies had to meet certain criteria to be considered for the evaluation, including generating a revenue of at least $50 million USD in 2025. Additionally, the companies had to demonstrate positive revenue growth in the last three years. Both relative and absolute growth were considered in the evaluation.

The third dimension, Sustainability Transparency, was evaluated based on ESG data among standardized KPIs from Statista’s ESG Database and targeted data research. To formulate a comprehensive ESG index, multiple Key Performance Indicators were collected. For the environmental evaluation, this included the 2024 carbon emissions intensity and reduction rate compared to 2022, as well as the Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) score. The social dimension assessed the share of women on the board of directors and the existence of a human rights policy.

The governance dimension evaluated whether a company had a Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) report adhering to the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) guidelines and a compliance or anti-corruption guideline.

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Once the data was collected and evaluated, it was consolidated and weighted within a scoring model. The scores of all three dimensions were added on an equal percentage basis to form the final ranking score of a maximum of 100 points. The 200 companies with the highest scores were awarded as Arabia’s Top Companies 2026 by TIME and Statista.

See the full list.

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Blockchain finance platform Theo launches tokenized silver backed by $40 million in active leases

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Binance offers gold and silver options after commodity futures pull in billions in daily volume

The product launches with more than $40 million of leases committed, the firm said. Initially available in beta, thSLVR will be offered to institutions and whitelisted investors, with broader access planned later.

Tokenized silver remains a considerably smaller market than tokenized gold, which has grown to several billion dollars across multiple products. Existing silver tokens that offer returns typically distribute a portion of platform trading fees rather than income earned by lending the underlying metal.

Tokenized commodities

The tokenized real-world asset market has expanded rapidly beyond U.S. Treasuries and private credit into equities, funds and commodities. Tokenized commodities now represent about $4.9 billion in distributed value across 130 products, led by gold-backed tokens from Tether and Paxos, while the number of commodity-token holders rose 13% over the past month to almost 339,000, according to RWA.xyz

Silver leasing rates can rise sharply during periods of limited physical availability. Around 83% of the silver held in London vaults is locked in physically backed investment products, leaving about 136 million ounces available for trading and leasing, according to data cited by Theo.

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London’s one-month silver lease rate briefly climbed to about 39% in October 2025, compared with a historical norm below 1%. Rates have since normalized, though the market is projected to record a sixth consecutive annual supply deficit in 2026, with the shortfall estimated at 46.3 million ounces.

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Six signs a crypto winter is ending

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Crypto Long & Short: Where DeFi yield really comes from (and why it broke this spring)

5) Thermocap multiple: The thermocap multiple is a measure like price to book that compares bitcoin’s market capitalization to the cumulative dollar value ever paid to miners, with each coin valued at its market price when it was mined. Prior crypto winters ended at single-digit multiples, but this cycle it only declined to 13 times, according to Glassnode data as of June 30, 2026. These levels are not a guarantee of future price action.

6) Price action: A 50% rally from the low has historically coincided with prior market troughs, although no such relationship guarantees future outcomes.

Once the next cycle does begin, we expect two key debates to persist throughout:

Will bitcoin reach a new high before the next halving? During both the 2012 to 2016 cycle and the 2016 to 2020 cycle, bitcoin did not surpass its prior cycle high until after the halving. However, in the 2024 cycle, bitcoin surpassed the 2021 high one month before the April 2024 halving, according to Bloomberg data.

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Has AI replaced crypto as the market’s leading speculative/disruptive-technology narrative? In 2020 and 2021, crypto was one of the clearest expressions of a high-liquidity, disruptive-technology market. Since 2024, however, AI has become the dominant growth story.

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Coinbase Faces Greater CLARITY Act Exposure, Saxo Says

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Coinbase Faces Greater CLARITY Act Exposure, Saxo Says

While Bitcoin and crypto-linked stocks fell sharply after the US Senate failed to advance the Digital Asset Market Clarity, or CLARITY, Act, Saxo Bank believes exchanges like Coinbase have more at stake than most because clearer rules could directly affect their trading businesses.

In a Wednesday note, Saxo strategist Ruben Dalfovo said Coinbase (COIN) is the most directly exposed to developments around CLARITY because market-structure rules could determine registration requirements, which assets can trade and who can participate in US crypto markets.

“Coinbase is most exposed to clearer market rules because trading and crypto participation directly affect its business,” Dalfovo wrote.

Stablecoin issuer Circle (CRCL) and Bitcoin (BTC) treasury company Strategy (MSTR) have different exposures, according to Dalfovo. Circle’s business is more closely tied to adoption of its USDC stablecoin and interest earned on its reserves, while Strategy’s performance is driven primarily by its BTC holdings and financing structure.

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As Cointelegraph reported late Tuesday, shares of all three companies fell between 5% and 10% after the Senate procedural vote, despite differences in how the legislation could affect their businesses.

The selloff continued early Wednesday, with Coinbase, Circle and Strategy all down between 2% and 6%, according to Yahoo Finance data.

Related: Democrats push back on GOP’s ‘final’ CLARITY offer with counterproposal: Politico

CLARITY faces narrowing path forward

The CLARITY Act failed a key procedural vote on Tuesday, with senators voting 49-50 against invoking cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill, well short of the 60 votes needed. The vote would have limited further debate and allowed the Senate to move toward considering the legislation on the floor.

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Ethics provisions remained a major sticking point despite last-minute concessions aimed at addressing concerns over public officials’ crypto interests. 

The setback significantly narrows the bill’s path forward this year. The Senate has a limited legislative calendar around the Nov. 3 midterm elections and is targeting Dec. 18 for adjournment, leaving lawmakers a relatively small window to revive the legislation before the current Congress ends.

Related: Crypto Biz: AI took a back seat when Bitcoin started climbing

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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Hamas told its potential donors to avoid Binance for funding and use rivals including Bybit and OKX

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Hamas told its potential donors to avoid Binance for funding and use rivals including Bybit and OKX

The newspaper subsequently reported that the Treasury is “investigating $165 million in cryptocurrency-linked transactions that may have helped finance Hamas” prior to the October 2023 attacks.

While the documents suggested that Binance may have improved its KYC and AML protocols, it’s unclear whether the Hamas overture is a response to this.

“When terrorist groups tell people to avoid Binance, it shows our controls are working,” said Binance’s chief compliance officer, Noah Perlman. “Binance is not a safe place for illicit actors. We invest heavily in sanctions screening, transaction monitoring and investigations, and we work closely with law enforcement to identify, disrupt and report terrorist financing and other financial crime.”

According to OKX, the wallet address referenced in the Feb. 10, 2025, communication had no association with OKX and had already been identified by its internal controls as linked to illicit activity. As a result, any attempts by OKX customers to transfer funds to the address would have been flagged and prevented, the exchange said via email.

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Kast said it maintains a dedicated financial crime compliance function, with more than 50 employees across its broader compliance organization.

“All customers are subject to identity verification and screening before accessing our services. The company combines its own technology with established compliance and risk-management providers, including Elliptic, Sumsub, and Sardine, to support sanctions screening, customer due diligence, and transaction monitoring,” a Kast spokesman said via email.

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World’s Top HealthTech Companies of 2026

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How TIME and Statista Determined the World's Top HealthTech Companies of 2026

The health tech industry is booming, with services like telemedicine getting more popular, and more companies offering tools to monitor personal health at home. To identify the companies across the globe using digital technologies to make healthcare more effective and accessible, TIME partnered with data firm Statista to research the World’s Top HealthTech Companies of 2026, evaluating metrics including financial performance, reputation, and online engagement.

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S&P 500 Trucking Stock JB Hunt Dives On CFO’s Earnings Warning Amid Surging Diesel Costs

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J.B. Hunt stock trucking companies

Shares of J.B. Hunt plummeted 12% on Wednesday morning after the trucking company warned of an impending earnings decline. The morning’s drop made it the worst-performing stock on the S&P 500. During a Morgan Stanley conference late Tuesday CFO Brad Delco front ran the bad news. Costs were rising faster than J.B. Hunt (JBHT) could raises its prices, setting up…

Copyright ©2026 Investor’s Business Daily, LLC. All rights reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Strategy still can’t get STRC back to parity

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Strategy still can’t get STRC back to parity

It’s been four months, over 120 days, since Strategy’s dividend vehicle, STRC, broke parity and the executive leadership made getting it back to its $100 peg its absolute, number one priority.

Since then, it’s never, not even for a second, managed to get back to parity.

This week, however, as Strategy continued a major shift in its business model — repurchasing shares of STRC instead of buying BTC — it seemed as though it would finally succeed, with STRC cruising to $99 on Monday.

Unfortunately, it wasn’t meant to be.

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The next day, STRC fell back to nearly $97. There’s no evidence of further internal purchases yet.

Strategy barely missed regaining parity, cruising to $99.

Read more: MSTR has lost 75% of its value since STRC began trading

More STRC sellers than buyers

Despite months of buying its own dividend vehicle, countless promises, and Strategy executives claiming that STRC is priority number one for the firm, the asset has remained stubbornly off-parity.

The CLARITY Act failing to pass only hurt the company’s cause more, with Strategy down 7% on the day.

In the meantime, Strategy Chairman Michael Saylor has continued to incessantly repost strange, bullish Bitcoin AI videos.

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Prediction markets say Democrats are slightly favored to win Senate

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Prediction markets say Democrats are slightly favored to win Senate

The U.S. Capitol in Washington, July 22, 2026.

Aaron Schwartz | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The battle for the U.S. Senate is still tight, but prediction market traders think Democrats have one of their best chances yet of taking the upper chamber. 

Speculators on Kalshi now give Democrats a 54% chance to win the Senate, nearly matching a level reached in mid-April. On Polymarket, the odds are even higher, with a 59% chance that Democrats wrest control. 

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Republicans are defending majorities in both the U.S. House of Representatives and Senate this November, but the upper chamber was always viewed as more difficult for Democrats to flip. Republicans already control 20 of the 33 Senate seats up for grabs this year, and Democrats would have to flip several states where President Donald Trump won by 10% or more in 2024 — including Alaska, Texas and Ohio — to take control. 

Odds that the Democrats win the Senate have improved significantly in 2026 on prediction markets. Before the U.S.-Iran war began on Feb. 28, Republicans had about 60% odds to hold onto the Senate on both Kalshi and Polymarket. Odds declined as rising gas prices rove down Trump’s approval rating

Odds that Democrats would win the Senate topped Republican odds of keeping control in April, but the GOP’s chances recovered in May and throughout the summer as the U.S. and Iran deescalated the war, easing pressure on gas prices. 

GOP fortunes have darkened in recent weeks. U.S. oil prices are now above $100 per barrel, gasoline is above $4 a gallon nationally and diesel prices are at an all-time high. Pediction market traders now think gas prices will hit new highs this year

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This week has brought several high-quality polls showing Democrats with a favorable environment heading into November. A New York Times/Siena University poll released Wednesday showed likely voters nationwide favoring Democratic candidates over Republicans in their congressional districts by close to 9 percentage points. 

Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.

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