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Will Markets React to $1.9B Bitcoin Options Expiring Today?

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3 Things That Could Impact Crypto and Bitcoin Prices This Week


Another Friday has rolled around again, and that means more crypto options contracts are expiring as spot markets post rare gains. 

Around 27,000 Bitcoin options contracts will expire on Friday, Mar. 13, with a notional value of roughly $1.9 billion. This event is smaller than usual, so it is unlikely to affect spot markets.

Crypto prices have been flat for most of this week, picking up a little on Friday, with total capitalization gaining $150 billion since Monday, but volatility and volumes have dwindled.

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Bitcoin Options Expiry

This week’s batch of Bitcoin options contracts has a put/call ratio of 0.97, meaning that the longs and the shorts are relatively evenly matched. Max pain is around $69,000, according to Coinglass, which is pretty close to current spot prices, so many could be in the money on expiry.

Open interest (OI), or the value or number of Bitcoin options contracts yet to expire, remains highest at the $60,000 strike price on Deribit, with $1.7 billion in bearish bets. Total BTC options OI across all exchanges has been climbing this month, reaching $45.5 billion.

Crypto derivatives provider Greeks Live observed the market rebound, noting that Bitcoin was firmly holding above the $70,000 psychological threshold and is “now poised to challenge $75,000.”

Beyond March, the flat forward implied volatility curve implies no significant term structure premium, suggesting balanced risk pricing for longer-dated options amid stable crypto sentiment, noted Greeks Live this week.

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In addition to today’s batch of Bitcoin options, around 185,000 Ethereum contracts are also expiring, with a notional value of $382 million, max pain at $2,000, and a put/call ratio of 1.2. Total ETH options OI across all exchanges is around $7.9 billion.

This brings the total notional value of crypto options expiries to around $2.3 billion.

Spot Market Outlook

Spot markets have ticked up on Friday morning in Asia, with total capitalization reaching $2.5 trillion again, its highest level for a week.

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Bitcoin came just short of $72,000 in early trading but again found resistance there and started to retreat at the time of writing.

Ether prices were faring better with a 4% gain, sending them just above $2,100.

The altcoins were also mostly in the green today with larger moves for Solana, Hyperliquid, Avalanche, and Sui. Meanwhile, Pi Network, PI, skyrocketed 33% on the day to $0.29 following a listing on Kraken.

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Analyst says BlackRock’s staked Ethereum ETF had a ‘very solid’ debut

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Analyst says BlackRock’s staked Ethereum ETF had a ‘very solid’ debut

BlackRock’s newly launched staked Ethereum exchange-traded fund posted a strong first trading day, drawing roughly $15.5 million in volume as institutional interest in Ether investment products continues to grow.

Summary

  • BlackRock’s staked Ethereum ETF (ETHB) recorded $15.5M in day-one trading volume.
  • Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart called the debut “very, very solid” for a new ETF.
  • Ethereum is trading around $2,110 at press time, hovering near the key $2K level amid market volatility.

BlackRock’s staked Ethereum ETF posts strong debut with $15.5M in trading

Bloomberg Intelligence ETF analyst James Seyffart said the debut performance of BlackRock’s staked Ethereum ETF, trading under the ticker ETHB, was impressive for a new listing.

“Vast majority of the trading is done and we are at $15.5 million in trading volume for the BlackRock staked Ethereum ETF — $ETHB. Very very solid for a day 1 ETF launch,” Seyffart wrote on X.

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Earlier in the day, Seyffart noted that the fund launched with just over $100 million in assets and had already recorded approximately $11.1 million in trading volume by mid-afternoon in U.S. markets.

The ETF is managed by BlackRock and provides exposure to Ethereum while also incorporating staking, allowing the fund to generate yield from validator participation on the Ethereum network.

Trading data indicates that ETHB’s debut volume reached about $15.5 million with more than 590,000 shares changing hands during its first session. Analysts said that level of activity is considered a solid start for a newly launched ETF, even though some earlier crypto-linked funds recorded larger opening volumes.

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The launch comes as Ethereum continues to hover around the psychologically important $2,000 level. Ether is currently trading at roughly $2,110, up about 4% over the past 24 hours.

Market data also shows the cryptocurrency has fluctuated near the $2,000 range in recent days after failing to sustain a rally above $2,200 earlier in the month, highlighting ongoing volatility in the second-largest digital asset.

BlackRock already operates other major crypto investment products, including spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs.

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BlackRock’s staked ether ETF draws $15 million in first-day trading

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Risk assets retreat as BTC, ETH prices drop further, dollar strengthens: Crypto Markets Today

BlackRock’s new staked ether (ETH) exchange-traded fund got off to a solid start Friday, pulling in more than $15 million in trading volume on its first day as Wall Street begins experimenting with yield-generating crypto ETFs.

The iShares Staked Ethereum Trust, trading under the ticker ETHB, launched with just over $100 million in assets and had already seen about $11 million in trading by early afternoon, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart. By late session, trading volume had climbed to roughly $15.5 million, suggesting strong initial demand for the product.

Those numbers are considered strong for an ETF launch, market watchers say.

“BlackRock’s Staked Ether ETF launched with just over $100 million in assets and has traded about $11.1 million through early afternoon,” Seyffart said on X, calling it “a pretty good start for any ETF.”

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The product marks a significant evolution in crypto exchange-traded funds. Unlike traditional spot crypto ETFs that simply track the underlying asset, ETHB will generate yield by staking ethereum, distributing most of the rewards back to investors. Staking refers to locking coins in a cryptocurrency network in return for rewards. This is losely analogous to investing in fixed income instruments like bonds.

According to the prospectus, the fund will stake between 70% and 95% of its ether holdings at any given time. About 82% of the staking rewards will be paid out to investors through monthly distributions, similar to how dividend-paying ETFs distribute income.

The remaining 18% will be allocated among the trust, custodians and staking service providers.

The fund charges a 0.25% sponsor fee, though BlackRock is offering a temporary discounted rate of 0.12% on the first $2.5 billion in assets as it seeks to attract early investors.

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ETHB is the latest addition to BlackRock’s growing digital assets ETF lineup. The firm already runs the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which launched in January 2024 and quickly became the dominant bitcoin ETF, as well as the iShares Ethereum Trust (ETHA) introduced in July 2024.

Ethereum’s staking mechanism allows holders to lock up ETH to help secure the network in exchange for rewards, effectively creating a crypto-native yield. By packaging that yield inside an ETF wrapper, firms like BlackRock are attempting to make the structure accessible to traditional investors who cannot easily participate directly on-chain.

If staking ETFs gain traction, they may open the door to similar structures across other proof-of-stake networks — potentially turning crypto ETFs from passive exposure vehicles into income-generating financial instruments.

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Why is the crypto market going up today? (March 13)

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Why is the crypto market going up today? (March 13)

The crypto market rose 2.4% to $2.51 trillion on Friday primarily due to a shift in global risk sentiment following signals of potential de-escalation in the Middle East.

Summary

  • Crypto prices rebounded on Friday after crude oil prices retreated following multi-year highs.
  • A wave of short liquidations across leveraged markets and back-to-back inflows into major crypto ETFs also supported the recovery.

Bitcoin (BTC), the leading crypto asset by market cap, rallied nearly 4%, hitting close to the $72,000 mark. Ethereum (ETH) was up 4.3% over the past day, trading at $2,100 when writing. Other major crypto assets, such as BNB (BNB), XRP (XRP), Solana (SOL), and Dogecoin (DOGE), had also posted modest gains on the day.

It should be noted that today’s market rally was a standalone event as it detached from both the U.S. traditional stock indexes and tech stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by 739 points or 1.56% in U.S. trading hours, while tech-heavy stocks such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 fell by 103 and 431 points, respectively.

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The crypto market rallied as Investor risk-on sentiment improved after oil prices dropped sharply across the globe. Notably, Brent crude oil fell over 7% today, easing immediate fears of inflation and providing a more favorable environment for digital assets.

Short liquidations mount

As crypto prices rallied, it caught short sellers off guard, triggering liquidations of these highly leveraged positions. Data from CoinGlass shows that nearly $246 million was liquidated from leveraged markets, with the majority coming from short positions.

The total crypto market open interest also rose 5.2% on Friday, signalling that investors were injecting fresh capital into the market.

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ETF inflows and Coinbase premium

Inflows into spot ETF products have also supported the recent gains. According to data from SoSoValue, on Thursday, $53.87 had entered spot Bitcoin ETFs, which marks the fourth straight day of inflows for these funds. A similar trend was visible across their Ethereum counterparts, which have posted three back-to-back days of inflows.

At the same time, Coinbase Premium has also risen sharply over the past 24 hours, indicating that U.S. institutions are paying a premium over global prices to secure Bitcoin. Traders often view this as a strong bullish signal that institutional “smart money” is leading the current market charge.

Crypto market rallied following Trump’s recent comments

Crypto prices also benefited after U.S. President Donald Trump recently hinted that the ongoing war between the two countries may be coming to an end. 

This seemed to have calmed investor fears of a prolonged war, which in turn sparked a risk-on sentiment among investors who have begun moving capital from safe havens back into risk assets like crypto.

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Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Bitcoiner Group to Fight Bitcoin’s Treatment as ‘Toxic Asset’

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Bitcoiner Group to Fight Bitcoin’s Treatment as ‘Toxic Asset’

The Bitcoin Policy Institute (BPI) says it will push the US Federal Reserve to change how Bitcoin is treated, as the central bank is set to issue rules on how banks should implement international guidelines for asset risk weighting.

“BPI will be reviewing this proposal closely and submitting a public comment to ensure that US regulators get Bitcoin’s treatment right,” Bitcoin Policy Institute managing director Conner Brown said in an X post on Wednesday. 

It comes just a day after the Fed announced it will issue a proposal for public comment on how US banks should implement risk-weighting guidance, which determines how risky different assets are on a bank’s balance sheet, from the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.

Brown said Bitcoin (BTC) is “treated as a toxic asset under the Basel framework, a global standard for banking regulations.

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Source: Conner Brown

He added it carries a 1,250% risk weighting, which was “harsher than virtually all other asset classes.” 

“More efficient regulation” is the aim: Fed

Federal Reserve vice chair for supervision Michelle Boman said on Thursday that the agency will be proposing rules in the coming weeks to implement the final phase of Basel in the US.

Bowman said that the aim is “more efficient regulation and banks that are better [positioned] to support economic growth, while preserving safety and soundness.” 

The 1,250% capital requirement means that banks must back any Bitcoin on their balance sheets at a 1:1 ratio with approved collateral, making holding the cryptocurrency more costly than other asset classes. 

Cash, physical gold and government debt carry a 0% risk weight under the Basel framework.

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“The most punitive classification”: Bitcoin Policy Institute

Brown said in a blog post last month that the treatment of Bitcoin is the “most punitive classification” in the Basel Committee’s capital framework and a “category error.”

Related: Bitcoin hugs $70K range as March Fed rate cut odds fall below 1%

In 2021, the Basel Committee proposed placing crypto in its high-risk Group 2 set of assets. Group 2 holdings were restricted to under 1% of the value of their Group 1 holdings.

“This risk weighting makes it extremely difficult for banks to provide financial services to Bitcoiners and Bitcoin companies,” Brown said.

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