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WTI Oil Prices Volatile Ahead of Potential Talks

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WTI Oil Prices Volatile Ahead of Potential Talks

As the XTI/USD chart shows, the price of a barrel rose above $65 yesterday, reacting to the risk of talks between Iran and the United States on the nuclear deal breaking down. These negotiations could begin on Friday.

According to Axios, Arab world leaders have urged Donald Trump not to follow through on his threats to withdraw from the talks and shift towards military action after demands put forward by Iran. This news prompted a pullback in prices below $64.

The news backdrop is further complicated by conflicting reports regarding India’s refusal to purchase Russian oil, alongside other global factors. All of this is contributing to heightened volatility in the oil market, a trend also confirmed by the ATR indicator.

Technical Analysis of XTI/USD

On 14 January, we:

→ analysed swings in WTI crude prices to identify a breakout from a descending channel (shown in red) and outline an upward trajectory (shown in blue);
→ noted that the breakout level (around $58.35) was acting as support;
→ suggested that the market was vulnerable to a corrective move.

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Indeed, on the same day (as indicated by the blue arrow), the price formed a bearish impulse towards this support, where the market found some balance.

However, geopolitical developments since the second half of January have supported higher prices, providing grounds to draw a broad ascending channel (shown in purple). In this context:

→ its lower boundary is acting as support, with the long lower wick on the 3 February candle confirming aggressive buying interest;
→ the $65 level appears to be a key resistance. Broad price swings formed there on 29–30 January — a sign of “smart money” activity — after which prices declined. Yesterday, the market again reversed sharply from this level.

It is therefore reasonable to assume that this resistance will pose a significant hurdle for bulls if they attempt to keep prices within the ascending purple channel. At the same time, the further direction of WTI oil price movements will most likely be determined by developments surrounding Friday’s Iran–US nuclear talks in Oman.

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Crypto World

Solana Price Charts Are Hinting at a Potential Rally Toward $110 Next

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Solana Price Charts Are Hinting at a Potential Rally Toward $110 Next

Solana’s SOL (SOL) has rallied 10% over the past 24 hours, rising to an intraday high of $86 on Wednesday.

The recovery was accompanied by a leap in futures activity, with SOL’s open interest rising by more than 5% to $5.27 billion.

Analysts are now focusing on the short-term technical setup and fundamental indicators that may signal a major turning point for SOL.

Key takeaways:

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  • SOL price has risen 10% in 24 hours, fueled by bullishness in the broader market and Solana ETF inflows.

  • Solana’s symmetrical triangle breakout targets $110 SOL price.

SOL recovers with the crypto market

The SOL/USD pair rose as much as 13.6% to $86 on Wednesday from a two-week low of $75 on Tuesday, amid a marketwide recovery.

Bitcoin (BTC), the market leader, was trading at $66,800 at the time of writing, up 5% over the 24 hours. Second-placed Ether (ETH) has gained about 8% on the day to trade just above $1,990. XRP (XRP) has also posted significant daily gains among the top 10 cryptocurrencies, up 6% over the same period.

As a result, the global crypto market capitalization is up 4% on the day to $2.28 trillion on Wednesday.

Performance of top-cap cryptocurrencies: Source: CoinMarketCap

Solana’s surge today is accompanied by significant short liquidations totaling $15.4 million over the last 24 hours, signaling intense demand-side pressure.

The buyers were also US-based spot Solana ETFs, which have recorded $40 million in net inflows since Feb. 9.

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Spot Solana ETFs flows table. Source: Farside Investors

The growing demand-side pressure that could push SOL prices higher when coupled with increased inflows from global Solana investment products and buying by whales.

Cryptocurrencies, Markets, Price Analysis, Tech Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Solana, ETF
Source: Lookonchain

SOL’s symmetrical triangle breakout targets $110

Data from TradingView shows SOL price breaking above a symmetrical triangle on the six-hour time frame, as shown in the chart below.

The price needs to close above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at $86 to sustain the upward momentum.

The measured target of the prevailing pattern, calculated by adding the height of the triangle to the breakout point, is $110, coinciding with the 50-day SMA. This represents a 28.5% rally from the current levels. 

SOL/USD 6-H chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

As Cointelegraph reported, a daily candlestick close above the 20-day EMA, currently at $88, would open the way for a rise toward $95 and later to $117. 

Glassnode’s realized price distribution data for Solana shows limited historical buying activity above $85, suggesting that the bulls could easily break this resistance.

In other words, there are relatively few SOL holders with a cost basis above this zone, reducing the chances of sellers stepping in decisively until the price reaches higher supply zones. 

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The next significant resistance sits at $115, where approximately 22 million SOL were previously acquired.

SOL: UTXO realized price distribution (URPD). Source: Glassnode