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XRP Holders Realize Major Losses as Price Decline Triggers Panic Selling

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XRP Holders Realize Major Losses as Price Decline Triggers Panic Selling


Since August 2025, XRP holders have increasingly spent their coins, adding to the selling pressure that has flipped the asset’s on-chain profitability negative.

The past six months have been primarily depressing for XRP, the native cryptocurrency of the Ripple Network. Now, the asset appears to be flashing a capitulation signal as holders realize major losses amid panic selling.

Data from Glassnode shows that on-chain profitability for the digital asset has flipped negative, with the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) falling from 1.16 on July 25, 2025, to 0.96 currently. Analysts say the current setup mirrors that seen during the September 2021 to May 2022 period, when the SOPR for XRP fell into the <1 range. A prolonged consolidation followed the plunge, leading to stabilization.

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XRP Holders Realize Huge Losses

Since August 2025, the price of XRP has been in a steady decline, recovering only briefly before resuming its descent. By late October, the price had dropped 27% from $3.5 in mid-July to $2.4. As the asset lost its value, long-term holders who had accumulated before November 2024 increased their spending by 580% from $38 million per day to $260 million per day.

The numbers remained steady into early November, highlighting a distribution into weakness, not strength. Analysts noted that the spending spree was unlike past profit-realization waves that aligned with rallies. There was a clear signal that experienced traders were exiting their positions, adding pressure to the price of XRP.

By mid-November, the share of XRP supply in profit had plummeted to 58.5%, the lowest since November 2024, when the asset was worth $0.53. Even though XRP traded around $2.15 at the time, four times higher than the November 2024 price, more than 41% of the coin’s supply was sitting in losses. It was an indication that the market was top-heavy, structurally fragile, and dominated by late buyers.

Capitulation Signal or Structural Failure?

As the bears would have it, the price of XRP fell below $2 in mid-November, and the 30-day estimated market average (30D-EMA) of daily realized losses surged to $75 million. Since the beginning of the year, investors have realized between $500 million and $1.2 billion in losses per week each time XRP has retested $2. $2 is now a major psychological zone for XRP holders.

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At the time of writing, XRP was trading at $1.40, having lost its aggregate holder cost basis, which explains the panic selling. Such moves have raised questions about whether the XRP market is in a capitulation or experiencing a structural failure. Experts insist the former is the case because fundamentals are stronger now, unlike 2022, when regulatory clarity did not exist.

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Crypto World

$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

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$80M Hyperliquid Whale Bet Predicts Bitcoin Crash and Oil Rally

Key takeaways:

  • A Hyperliquid whale placed an $80 million bet against Bitcoin and the S&P 500 while going long on Brent crude oil prices.

  • The whale’s history of massive losses and inconsistent signals suggests the trade could fall on the wrong side of the market.

Bitcoin (BTC) showed strength on Wednesday, bouncing back from Tuesday’s $66,000 low after President Donald Trump teased a potential ceasefire in the US and Israel-Iran war. Even with Bitcoin trading above $68,000, one whale used Hyperliquid DEX to place an $80 million bet on a market collapse. 

Traders are now watching closely to see if this whale’s massive position signals a looming Bitcoin price drop.

Hyperliquid whale 0x94d373…c933814 position. Source: CoinGlass

The Hyperliquid whale, linked to address 0x94d373…c933814, carefully built this nearly $80 million leveraged position between Tuesday and Wednesday. The trade includes a $40 million short (sell) on Bitcoin futures near $68,760, a $2 million short on synthetic S&P 500 Index contracts, and a $37 million long (buy) in synthetic Brent oil contracts.

Crude Brent oil (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView

The whale’s aggregate position leverage stood at 7 times, indicating high conviction. The Bitcoin futures liquidation price was $80,083, while the Brent oil position would be forcefully terminated above $93. The timing of the trade is curious as S&P 500 Index futures gained 4% between Tuesday and Wednesday as traders anticipate the US and Israel-Iran war dissipating over the next few weeks.

On Wednesday, President Trump said “Iran’s New Regime President” is considering a “ceasefire,” although the conditions to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz remain unknown. Iran demands reparations and sovereignty. Thus, one could assume that the Hyperliquid whale is counter-trading the market’s optimistic take, betting that Brent crude oil prices will jump while Bitcoin loses its value.

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This Hyperliquid whale previously lost $40 million

This address belongs to a particularly unlucky whale, or at least one who has been extremely unsuccessful since late January. The Hyperliquid whale apparently uses bots for execution, given the sheer number of small trades that build into huge positions, but it still managed to lose $37 million in its first month of activity in December 2025.

The same user was flagged by X user ‘lookonchain’ on Feb. 5 after taking a massive loss on leveraged bullish bets on Ether (ETH), Bitcoin, Solana (SOL), and XRP (XRP). 

Source: X/lookonchain

According to the analysis, the whale had previously made $25 million in profits from shorts in multiple cryptocurrencies, but decided to flip the position on Feb. 4, resulting in a $40 million loss. There is no way to know exactly what triggered this entity to place those bets, but the event proves that even whales can misinterpret the market.

Related: Warren Buffett bought $17B in US T-bills: A bad omen for Bitcoin price?

The erratic signals from President Trump regarding a potential full-on invasion and the war in Iran leave room for opposing views. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi denied there were talks for a ceasefire but confirmed to Al Jazeera on Tuesday that there was an intention to end the war, according to CNBC.

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Given the history of this whale’s market positioning and its track record of losing trades, it’s possible that the current $80 million bet may fall on the wrong side of the market.