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XRP Open Interest Falls 70% to Yearly Lows: What Does it Mean for Ripple’s Price?

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The total open interest (OI) for XRP futures across major crypto exchanges has plunged 70% from its peak five months ago, settling at $203 million on March 3, 2026.

The sharp drop in unsettled contracts mirrors levels seen in April 2025, a period that immediately preceded a significant price rally for the digital asset, raising questions about whether the market is once again flushing out excess leverage.

Open Interest Collapse Mirrors April 2025 Setup

Data compiled by market analyst Amr Taha shows that XRP’s aggregate open interest has cratered from $660 million in October 2025 to just $203 million today.

Binance, the dominant venue for XRP derivatives, has seen its OI dip below $270 million, a threshold last witnessed on April 8, 2025. Smaller platforms have also seen activity shrink considerably, with Bitfinex and BitMEX now holding just $4.3 million and $3 million in XRP open interest, respectively.

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“Historically, such phases have aligned with local bottoms, as excessive leverage is flushed out and market conditions reset,” Taha noted.

Open interest tracks the total number of outstanding futures and perpetual contracts that remain open. According to the market watcher, a sudden dip alongside falling prices often suggests traders are closing positions or being liquidated as leverage unwinds.

The analyst suggested that the current combination points to forced liquidations and voluntary exits rather than new speculative build-up.

“Traders are either closing positions voluntarily or being liquidated due to margin calls,” he wrote.

The derivatives reset comes at a time when geopolitical tensions are rattling markets. On March 2, analyst Darkfost reported that 472 million XRP, worth about $652 million, flowed into Binance following U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran.

Such large exchange inflows can signal positioning for potential selling, adding pressure to spot prices, and XRP swung from $1.43 down to $1.27 during the weekend turmoil, allowing BNB to leapfrog it to once again become the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap.

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Volatility Spikes as Price Trends Lower

Separate data highlighted by Arab Chain on March 2 shows XRP’s 30-day realized volatility on Binance reaching 1.16, its highest level since March 2025.

Realized volatility measures the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over a 30-day period, and a reading at this level means daily price swings have widened significantly compared to recent months.

At the time of writing, the Ripple token was trading around $1.35, having dipped nearly 2% in the last 24 hours. It also remains down almost 17% over 30 days and about 50% within the past year. Furthermore, the asset is 63% below its all-time high of $3.65, which it reached in July 2025.

However, there might be a positive aspect to consider in the current situation. As Taha pointed out, the April 2025 drop in Binance open interest coincided with a major bottom near $1.80, which was followed by a rally that eventually took XRP to its most recent all-time high.

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The post XRP Open Interest Falls 70% to Yearly Lows: What Does it Mean for Ripple’s Price? appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Crypto World

Ether Exchange Supply Falls To 6-Year Low on Binance

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Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price

The balance of Ether (ETH) held on exchanges has slid to a multi-year low, with more than 31 million ETH leaving centralized exchanges in February, marking the largest monthly withdrawal since November. 

While the ETH price remained near $2,000, derivatives data show a split between small buyers and larger sellers, raising the question of how the price may respond if demand becomes uniform across both retail and whale wallets. 

Ether exchange reserves signal supply squeeze

Crypto analyst Arab Chain said that more than 31.6 million ETH left major exchanges in February, the highest monthly outflow since November. Binance led with roughly 14.45 million ETH withdrawn, nearly half of the total. OKX followed with about 3.83 million ETH, and Kraken recorded close to 1.04 million ETH.

Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
Ethereum Exchange Outflows 30-day. Source: CryptoQuant

Sustained withdrawals reduce the pool of coins readily available for spot trading activity. Coins moving to private wallets or staking platforms are typically less liquid in the short term. As a result, thinner exchange balances can heighten the price volatility when market activity surges.

Likewise, CryptoQuant data also showed that Binance’s Ether reserves have dropped to around 3.46 million ETH, the lowest level since 2020. In previous cycles, reserves peaked above 5 million ETH before entering a gradual downtrend marked by lower highs. The latest reading extends that decline. 

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Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
Ether exchange reserve on Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

With ETH trading below $2,000, the contraction in exchange supply places added focus on future demand. If buying pressure expands while reserves continue to fall, the available liquidity on order books may tighten further around the $2,000 threshold.

Related: Ether price again rejected at $2K: How low can ETH go in March?

Market remains split between retail and whales

Hyblock data highlighted a divergence across trade sizes. The cumulative volume delta (CVD), which tracks net aggressive buying and selling, stands near $95 million for smaller trades (between $0 and $10,000). That shows consistent retail-led buying pressure.

Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
Ethereum price and CVD data. Source: Hyblock

In contrast, the $10,000–100,000 trade bracket records roughly -$162 million in CVD, while the $100,000+ category sits near -$357 million. As observed, the larger participants have leaned towards net selling during the same period.

The bid–ask ratio has turned slightly positive, rising to around 0.2 before dipping to 0.03, indicating marginally stronger buying interest in recent sessions. The move follows a stretch of negative readings and points to short-term stabilization rather than broad conviction.

Cryptocurrencies, Ethereum, Adoption, Markets, Cryptocurrency Exchange, Binance, Price Analysis, Market Analysis, Altcoin Watch, Ether Price
Ether bid-ask ratio and open interest. Source: Hyblock

The aggregated open interest is near $9.41 billion, down from levels close to $10 billion in late February. The reduction signals that leverage has been trimmed as the price consolidates between $1,900 and $2,000.

If retail accumulation persists and large-scale selling slows, bullish positioning may become more aligned. In that case, the reduced exchange supply may amplify the price move once ETH solidifies a position above $2,000-$2,150. 

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Related: AI ‘vibe coding’ could put Ethereum roadmap ahead of schedule: Vitalik Buterin