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XRP price outlook as velocity hits 1-year peak

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XRP price grinds higher as XRP Ledger stablecoin velocity hits a 1-year peak, signaling rising real payment activity behind the price action.

Summary

XRP price and market snapshot

As of Feb. 18, XRP (XRP) is trading around $1.48, with 24‑hour moves roughly flat to slightly positive (about +0.1% to +0.7% depending on venue).

Data shows XRP at $1.48 with a 24‑hour change of +0.11%, a circulating supply near 60.92 billion tokens and a market cap close to $89.96 billion. CoinMarketCap and other trackers broadly confirm a 24‑hour volume in the $2.2–$2.4 billion range and total XRP supply of roughly 100 billion.

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XRP price outlook as velocity hits 1-year peak - 1

For context, Bitcoin trades near $67,900, down about 0.8–0.9% on the day, on more than $33 billion in 24‑hour volume. Ethereum changes hands around $1,998–$2,000, up about 0.5% over the last 24 hours, with spot volume near $2.7 billion.

Velocity on XRPL: capital actually moving

Stablecoin value is accruing to the XRP Ledger, and relatively fast. Roughly $425 million in stablecoins now sit on XRPL, up 6.6% over the 30 days ending Feb. 12, with Ripple’s RLUSD accounting for about 83% of that pool. In monetary terms, that base is the ledger’s “money stock.”

The more important signal for price, however, is velocity. According to one analyst, “Stablecoin transfers rising can often be an even more informative piece of information than stablecoin supply rising, because it hints that people are actually moving money rather than just parking it.” Over the last 30 days, XRPL processed around $1.2 billion in stablecoin transfer volume, a 57.5% jump that the author calls “a huge surge in volume, to say the least.”

In macro terms, you have a growing stock ($425 million in stablecoins) turning over faster ($1.2 billion in transfers), meaning each unit of capital is circulating multiple times a month. That rising throughput supports fee burn, forces participants to hold XRP as reserve collateral, and tends to anchor speculative rallies in actual payment activity rather than pure narrative.

Implications for XRP price path

The XRP Ledger (XRPL) is getting used for what it was built to do. In other words, velocity is laying the rails before price tries to break out. Higher payments flow can attract more businesses and developers to build on the ledger, and they’ll need to buy and hold some XRP to do so, while more activity means more XRP is being used to pay transaction fees.

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Still, does this mean you should drop $2,000 into XRP today? For traders used to beta‑chasing, the message is blunt: watch the velocity and on‑chain cash flow first; the sustainable leg higher in XRP likely comes only once that fundamental usage persists through the current drawdown.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin’s ‘No Direction’ Action May Lead To Bigger Breakout: Analyst

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption

Bitcoin’s prolonged consolidation below $70,000 may be paving the way for a more significant rally, according to a crypto analyst.

“The longer it lasts, the heavier the breakout will be,” MN Trading Capital founder Michael van de Poppe said in an X post on Friday.

“Bitcoin remains stagnant in this area, which means that there’s literally no direction,” van de Poppe said, adding that he is eyeing Bitcoin (BTC) breaking through $71,000, a level the asset hasn’t reached since March 26.

Bitcoin has been trading in a narrow range

Since reaching a yearly low of $60,000 on Feb. 6, Bitcoin has been trading in a narrow range between $60,000 and $74,000. Bitcoin is trading at $66,890 at the time of publication, down 8.25% over the past 30 days, according to CoinMarketCap.

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Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin Price, Adoption
Bitcoin is down 7.63% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap

Crypto analyst Ted said that $60,000 “wasn’t the bottom” in an X post on Friday. “This doesn’t mean another 50% crash will happen,” he said, adding that “there’ll be one final capitulation before the bottom.”

Van de Poppe’s optimistic call comes amid sentiment toward the broader crypto market being down. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which measures overall sentiment in the crypto market, stayed within “Extreme Fear” territory on Saturday, recording a score of 11.

“Deeper bear” for Bitcoin still on the cards

While van de Poppe is watching for a potential reversal as Bitcoin continues to consolidate, other analysts are more skeptical.

Bitcoin analyst Willy Woo said in an X post on Mar. 30 that there is a “very good chance we get a deeper bear due to a breakdown of the secular bull market in global macro.”

Related: Bitcoin ‘done’ with 85% crashes, says Cathie Wood amid new $34K target

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Meanwhile, veteran trader Peter Brandt recently told Cointelegraph that he doesn’t anticipate Bitcoin reaching a new price high in 2026.

“Not until maybe the second quarter of 2027,” he added.

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