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XRP Price Prediction for July 2026: Can Buyers Finally Break the Downtrend?

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Monthly Returns History

XRP (XRP) price trades near $1.05, caught between a year-long downtrend and a sudden burst of buying.

July has historically rewarded XRP holders. This year the month arrives with on-chain accumulation and steady institutional flows, raising the question of whether they can finally crack a falling channel.

XRP Price Eyes a Bullish July as the Falling Channel Tightens

History gives bulls a reason to watch. July is one of XRP’s strongest seasonal months, with an average return near 10% and a median close to 11%. May behaved as expected, slipping 2.64% in line with its median, before June sold off hard.

Monthly Returns History
XRP Monthly Returns History: CryptoRank

That seasonal hope meets a difficult chart. Since mid-July last year, the XRP price has traded inside a falling channel. Each attempt to reach the upper boundary has failed.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

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The 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a trend gauge that weights recent prices more heavily, sits at the center of those failures. On the three-day chart, price reclaimed it on January 4 and again on May 13, only to be rejected near the upper trendline both times.

XRP Falling Channel Structure
XRP Falling Channel Structure: TradingView

Now the 20-period EMA rests directly on that upper trendline. A break would clear both barriers at once. Volume offers a quieter clue. Selling pressure has faded since early June even as price drifted lower, a possible sign that downside conviction is thinning. A bearish crossover, a key headwind, with the 100-period EMA slipping under the 200-period, has concluded.

Seasonality and structure set the stage, but flows show whether anyone is acting on them.

Exchange Outflows and ETF Inflows Build a Demand Base

The clearest shift is on-chain. The exchange net position change, a metric that tracks tokens moving in and out of exchanges, has turned sharply negative. A deeply negative reading suggests coins are leaving exchanges, which often points to accumulation rather than selling.

On June 22, the figure stood near 40.7 million XRP. It has since deepened to roughly 123 million XRP, an increase of about 200% that nearly tripled the outflow in days. The data suggests buyers may be pulling supply off exchanges with intent.

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XRP Exchange Net Position
XRP Exchange Net Position: Glassnode

Institutions appear to share the bias. XRP ETF inflows have now run positive for eight straight weeks, with the week of June 26 adding $22.99 million and cumulative net inflows reaching about $1.47 billion. That steady drip gives XRP a base of committed demand.

XRP Spot ETF Inflows
XRP Spot ETF Inflows: SoSoValue

With spot and institutional flows aligning, the price chart becomes the decider.

XRP Price Prediction for July 2026 and the Levels That Decide It

The first hurdle is the 0.382 Fibonacci level near $1.18 ($1.178 to be exact). Above it sits the 20-period EMA around $1.22, the level that has capped every recent bounce.

The cost basis heatmap, which maps where supply was last acquired, reinforces both. Roughly 22.8 million XRP cluster at the $1.18 to $1.19 band, and about 27.4 million XRP sit between $1.21 and $1.22.

XRP Cost Basis Heatmap Cluster 1
XRP Cost Basis Heatmap Cluster 1: Glassnode

Those are supply walls where trapped holders may sell to break even.

A clean break of $1.18 followed by $1.22 would lift XRP out of its bearish channel into neutral territory, validating the on-chain accumulation thesis.

Cost Basis Heatmap Cluster 2
XRP Cost Basis Heatmap Cluster 2: Glassnode

The downside is just as defined. Immediate support sits at the 0.5 Fibonacci level near $1.02. A 3-day candle loss there opens the 0.618 level around $0.87 and weakens the bullish case.

XRP Price Analysis
XRP Price Analysis: TradingView

One caveat matters. The fading sell volume is a hint, not a signal. A rejection at $1.18 on weak follow-through would keep the channel intact. The $1.18 level separates a seasonal July recovery from another leg lower toward $0.87.

The post XRP Price Prediction for July 2026: Can Buyers Finally Break the Downtrend? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Supreme Court Blocks Trump From Firing Governor Leaving Bitcoin with Hawkish Fed

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Supreme Court Blocks Trump From Firing Governor Leaving Bitcoin with Hawkish Fed

The US Supreme Court ruled 5-4 on June 29 that President Donald Trump cannot remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, for now. Still, the decision preserves the Fed’s independence at the worst possible time for Bitcoin.

The ruling locks in a hawkish Fed that has already eliminated rate cut expectations for 2026 and put hikes back on the table. High rates keep pressure on zero-yield assets like Bitcoin, and Monday’s decision removes one of the few near-term paths to a more dovish board.

A Hawkish Fed Just Got More Secure

Cook’s survival matters for rate policy. Trump wanted her gone so he could, instead, install a governor more open to rate cuts. The court blocked that move.

The timing stings for crypto markets. The June Federal Open Market Committee meeting eliminated rate cut projections for 2026 entirely and put hikes back on the table. Bitcoin ETF outflows continued through June as investors rotated away from zero-yield assets.

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BTC dropped below $60,000 on Monday, meaning it is now down more than 50% from its all-time high.

Monday’s ruling locks in the Warsh-led, hawkish Fed, at least until lower courts resolve the underlying case. Trump cannot sidestep that by firing governors at will.

“This was never about mortgage documents … It was an attempt to remove me on a manufactured pretext because I refused to bow to political pressure.”
— Lisa Cook, Federal Reserve Governor, statement

What Case Does Trump Have Against Cook?

The case against Cook centers on allegations from FHFA Director Bill Pulte, who accused her of mortgage fraud in August 2025. Pulte claims Cook listed two properties, one in Michigan and one in Georgia, as primary residences within weeks of each other in 2021, notably before she joined the Fed board.

Cook’s attorney called the claim baseless, saying it rests on a single ambiguous reference in one mortgage document.

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Lisa Cook, Federal Reserve Governor. Image Source: BBC

Cook and her allies argue that the timing reveals the real motive. Trump moved to fire her after months of pressuring the Fed to cut rates faster, and Cook had voted to hold rates steady. Ultimately, the court said no to the firing.

Yet, the fact that this case reached the Supreme Court at all is proof of concept. As Trump’s appointment of Warsh showed, political pressure on the Fed does not require firing anyone. It just requires choosing the right chair.

The post Supreme Court Blocks Trump From Firing Governor Leaving Bitcoin with Hawkish Fed appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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From Wallets to Intelligent Financial Agents

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From Wallets to Intelligent Financial Agents

For years, crypto wallets have served as the gateway to decentralized finance (DeFi). They allow users to store digital assets, sign transactions, and interact with blockchain applications. While these functions remain essential, the next generation of wallets is evolving into something much more powerful: intelligent financial agents capable of managing digital assets autonomously, making informed decisions, and optimizing financial strategies.

This transformation marks a major milestone in the evolution of Web3, where artificial intelligence (AI) and blockchain technology converge to create smarter, more efficient financial systems.

The Evolution of Crypto Wallets

The earliest cryptocurrency wallets were simple tools designed to store private keys securely. As blockchain ecosystems matured, wallets expanded their capabilities by supporting decentralized applications (dApps), NFT management, staking, cross-chain transactions, and token swaps.

Despite these improvements, users still perform most tasks manually. Finding the best yield, monitoring market conditions, rebalancing portfolios, and protecting assets from emerging risks require continuous attention and technical knowledge. Intelligent financial agents aim to eliminate much of this complexity.

What Are Intelligent Financial Agents?

An intelligent financial agent is an AI-powered software system that operates on behalf of a user while respecting predefined rules and permissions. Instead of simply executing commands, these agents analyze blockchain data, evaluate market opportunities, and carry out financial actions automatically.

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Unlike traditional automated trading bots that follow rigid instructions, intelligent agents continuously learn from changing market conditions and adapt their strategies based on user preferences and objectives.

For example, an intelligent agent could:

  • Monitor multiple DeFi protocols for the highest risk-adjusted yields.
  • Automatically rebalance a crypto portfolio.
  • Pay recurring blockchain subscriptions.
  • Execute cross-chain transfers at the lowest possible cost.
  • Protect funds by moving assets away from protocols experiencing security concerns.
  • Optimize tax reporting and transaction records.

The wallet becomes more than storage—it becomes an active financial assistant.

How AI Enhances On-Chain Decision Making

Artificial intelligence excels at processing enormous amounts of information far faster than humans. Blockchain networks generate vast streams of real-time data, including liquidity movements, governance proposals, protocol upgrades, transaction volumes, and market sentiment.

AI agents can analyze these data sources simultaneously to identify trends and opportunities that would be difficult for individuals to detect manually.

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Rather than asking:

“Which lending protocol currently offers the best return?”

Users may simply instruct:

“Maximize my yield while keeping portfolio risk low.”

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The intelligent agent can evaluate multiple protocols, compare risks, execute transactions, and continue monitoring performance after deployment.

Automation Beyond Trading

Many people associate AI in crypto with automated trading, but intelligent financial agents have much broader applications.

They can simplify everyday blockchain interactions by:

  • Managing staking positions automatically.
  • Claiming and compounding rewards.
  • Voting in decentralized governance according to user preferences.
  • Managing NFT collections.
  • Scheduling recurring payments.
  • Executing payroll for decentralized organizations.
  • Monitoring wallet security continuously.

This allows users to focus on strategy instead of repetitive operational tasks.

Personalized Financial Management

One of the greatest strengths of intelligent financial agents is personalization.

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Every investor has different goals, risk tolerance, liquidity needs, and investment horizons. AI agents can build customized strategies based on these individual preferences.

For example:

  • Conservative users may prioritize capital preservation.
  • Income-focused investors may maximize staking rewards.
  • Active traders may seek short-term opportunities.
  • Long-term holders may automate dollar-cost averaging.

Instead of offering generic financial advice, intelligent agents continuously adapt to each user’s evolving objectives.

Challenges and Risks

Despite their promise, intelligent financial agents introduce new challenges.

Security remains the highest priority. Permitting AI systems to manage digital assets requires robust safeguards, including permissioned execution, transaction limits, multi-signature approvals, and transparent audit trails.

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Privacy is equally important. AI systems handling sensitive financial information must protect user data while maintaining decentralization whenever possible.

There are also regulatory considerations. As autonomous financial software becomes more sophisticated, governments and regulators will likely develop new frameworks governing AI-driven financial services.

The Future of Autonomous Finance

The long-term vision extends beyond individual wallets.

Future decentralized ecosystems may consist of networks of AI agents collaborating. One agent could negotiate loans, another could optimize liquidity, while another manages governance participation—all operating under user-defined objectives.

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In this environment, financial management becomes increasingly autonomous, efficient, and accessible.

Rather than replacing human decision-making, intelligent financial agents serve as trusted assistants that help users navigate increasingly complex decentralized ecosystems with greater confidence.

Conclusion

The transition from traditional crypto wallets to intelligent financial agents represents one of the most exciting developments in Web3. By combining blockchain’s transparency with AI’s analytical capabilities, users can move beyond manual asset management toward autonomous, personalized financial assistance.

As these technologies continue to mature, wallets will no longer function solely as secure storage for digital assets. They will evolve into intelligent companions capable of monitoring markets, executing complex financial strategies, managing risk, and helping users achieve their financial goals with minimal friction.

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The future of decentralized finance isn’t just about owning digital assets—it’s about empowering intelligent systems to help manage them responsibly, securely, and efficiently.

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KuCoin faces scrutiny over alleged legal threat in stolen funds case

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KuCoin faces scrutiny over alleged legal threat in stolen funds case

KuCoin is facing new scrutiny after blockchain investigator ZachXBT claimed the exchange sent legal warnings to a victim whose stolen funds were allegedly routed through KuCoin-linked accounts. 

Summary

  • A crypto investigator claims KuCoin sent legal warnings after stolen funds were allegedly routed through accounts.
  • The case centers on a reported $250K Atomic stealer theft and five alleged KuCoin deposit addresses.
  • The dispute adds pressure as KuCoin remains under scrutiny over past AML and compliance failures.

The case involves a reported $250,000 Atomic stealer theft from Aug. 18, 2025, according to ZachXBT’s Telegram post.

ZachXBT listed one theft address and five alleged KuCoin deposit addresses. He claimed the accounts involved “purchased mule KYC,” a term used for accounts verified with another person’s identity. The claims have not been confirmed by court filings or an official KuCoin statement.

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The screenshot shared with the post appears to show a message signed by KuCoin Customer Care and Support Team. It says KuCoin respects the right to raise concerns through legal and regulatory channels, but warns that false or unlawful statements may lead to legal claims.

The message also says, “All rights are expressly reserved.” The post drew further attention after DNBWIZARD shared the exchange on X and said, “Hilarious @kucoincom threatening to sue me.”

KuCoin allegations echo earlier compliance concerns

The dispute comes after years of pressure on KuCoin’s compliance record. In January 2025, the U.S. Department of Justice said KuCoin pleaded guilty to operating an unlicensed money transmitting business and agreed to pay more than $297 million in penalties. The DOJ said KuCoin failed to maintain effective AML and KYC programs and allowed suspicious activity on its platform.

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The DOJ had charged KuCoin and two founders in March 2024, alleging that the exchange failed to maintain proper anti-money laundering controls. Prosecutors said KuCoin had received more than $5 billion and sent more than $4 billion in suspicious and criminal funds between 2017 and 2024.

Related stolen funds cases remain in focus

As reported by crypto.news, a fake Ledger Live app stole at least $9.5 million from more than 50 victims earlier this year. That report said the stolen funds were routed through more than 150 KuCoin deposit addresses and into a centralized mixing service.

The same report said blockchain investigator ZachXBT traced stolen funds through transactions into KuCoin deposit addresses linked to AudiA6. It also noted that recovery would likely require law enforcement action and cooperation from exchanges.

As previously reported by crypto.news, KuCoin secured a MiCA license in Austria through its European subsidiary in late 2025. The approval allowed the exchange to offer regulated services across the European Economic Area under the EU’s passporting rules.

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However, Austria’s regulator later barred KuCoin’s European arm from new business and onboarding customers, citing compliance staffing issues. The restriction followed KuCoin’s earlier push to present itself as a regulated European platform.

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ARK Invests Buys $43.5 Million in Crypto-Related Stocks

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ARK Invests Buys $43.5 Million in Crypto-Related Stocks
Latest NewsPublishedJun 30, 2026

ARK Invest’s biggest crypto stock purchases over the past three trading days were Coinbase and Circle, whose shares have fallen 17% and 27.6%, respectively, over the past month.

Tech-focused asset manager ARK Invest has capitalized on the recent crypto market downturn, buying a combined $43.5 million worth of shares in crypto firms such as Coinbase and Circle over the past three trading days.

Data from ARK Invest shows the asset manager bought another 122,544 shares in Coinbase (COIN) worth about $18.6 million since Thursday, while adding another 169,777 shares in Circle (CRCL) worth roughly $12.9 million over the same time frame.

The firm also purchased nearly $5.2 million worth of shares in crypto exchange Bullish (BLSH) and added another $5.12 million in brokerage firm Robinhood (HOOD), which has pushed aggressively into the crypto tokenization space in recent months. It also bought $1.69 million worth of shares in crypto-friendly bank SoFi Technologies (SOFI) on Monday.

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ARK’s purchases come as investors have turned bearish on these crypto-related stocks. CRCL, COIN and BLSH have fallen 27.6%, 16.9% and 26.3%, respectively, over the past month. During that time, Bitcoin (BTC) slipped to a near two-year low of $58,190, while confidence that the CLARITY Act will pass before the US midterm elections in November has faded.

Changes made to ARK’s ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) on Monday. Source: ARK Invest

Most of the newly purchased shares were added to the ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK), the firm’s flagship fund, followed by the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW).

Related: Kiwoom eyes Bithumb stake as Korean brokerages push into crypto: Report 

The ARK Blockchain & Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) was also topped up with crypto-related stocks.

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ARK also added to its positions in Elon Musk’s SpaceX (SPCX) and software intelligence platform Palantir (PLTR) over the past three trading days.

Over the same period, ARK reduced positions in Alibaba (BABA), Roku (ROKU), Strata Critical Medical (SRTA) and several other companies.

Magazine: Bitcoin slides to $58K, XRP hits $1 but onchain data promising: Market Moves 

Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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Saylor kicks the can down the road and yen hits 40-year low. what next?

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SBI, Sony back Startale’s $63 million push to expand Japan’s tokenized finance stack

Bitcoin is down over 1% on Tuesday as the Japanese yen slipped to four-decade lows against the U.S. dollar, triggering volatility in currency markets.

The leading cryptocurrency by market value traded below $60,000, holding below the pivotal 200-week simple moving average.

On Monday, Strategy, the world’s largest publicly listed BTC holder, authorized plans to buy back as much as $1 billion each of its preferred and Class A common shares, and is launching a $1.25 billion “monetization program” to raise capital with bitcoin sales. Essentially, it may sell BTC worth over a billion dollars in an already weak market — a sharp pivot from founder Michael Saylor’s longtime mantra of “never sell your bitcoin.”

This pivot, however, may offer little long-term solace, according to some observers. Strategy’s preferred stock STRC, a yield-generating play, has cratered in recent weeks, weakening the company’s major funding channel for BTC purchases.

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“The can has been kicked down the road for a year or two,” Jeff Dorman, CIO of Arca, said on X.

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Prediction-Market Consolidation Could Trigger M&A Wave

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Crypto Breaking News

Prediction-market platforms are increasingly trying to control more of their own trading stack—an “operational consolidation” trend that analysts at Bernstein say could accelerate mergers and acquisitions across crypto exchanges, brokerages, sportsbooks, and consumer trading apps.

In a research report released on Monday, Bernstein argued that major players are consolidating both distribution and execution functions, tightening links between what used to be separate parts of the market. The shift matters for investors and operators because it can change fee structures, reduce dependence on external infrastructure providers, and potentially reshape how regulators view these products.

Key takeaways

  • Bernstein characterizes the sector’s shift as “operational consolidation,” with platforms merging distribution, brokerage, exchange, and clearing functions.
  • Several mainstream consumer and prediction platforms have moved toward tighter in-house routing and infrastructure control, according to Bernstein’s examples.
  • Owning more of the stack can preserve fees that previously went to outside partners, making acquisitions an efficient way to fill gaps or gain licenses.
  • Greater vertical integration may also increase legal and regulatory pressure as the line between financial trading and gambling becomes harder to define.
  • State-by-state approaches—alongside ongoing legal challenges—could limit how quickly consolidation proceeds.

Platforms move from partnerships to vertical control

Historically, prediction markets often relied on third-party infrastructure for routing, exchange operations, or clearing—arrangements that made it easier to launch products without building everything internally. Bernstein says that model is weakening as leading consumer platforms consolidate functions across the prediction-market workflow.

In its report, Bernstein pointed to examples spanning different parts of the ecosystem. Robinhood has routed major World Cup contracts through Rothera, the exchange it jointly owns with Susquehanna, according to Bernstein’s account. DraftKings is also cited by Bernstein for launching DKeX and shifting volume away from venues that previously handled some execution, including CME and Crypto.com infrastructure.

The report also highlights consolidation efforts at the crypto-operations layer. Bernstein cited Coinbase’s acquisition of The Clearing Company—framed in related coverage as a move tied to expanding prediction-market capabilities—and Coinbase’s launch of event contracts, adding to the pattern of larger consumer crypto firms seeking greater control over the prediction-market stack.

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Why “owning the stack” can change deal economics

Bernstein’s central argument is straightforward: integration can be a direct business advantage. By controlling more of distribution, brokerage, execution, and clearing, platforms can keep revenue streams that would otherwise be shared with specialized partners.

That matters because acquisitions can become a faster path to operational control than building from scratch. Bernstein suggested that deal-making may accelerate as companies pursue missing components—whether that means distribution reach, exchange capabilities, or clearing infrastructure—using purchases to close gaps and strengthen end-to-end product delivery.

However, vertical integration doesn’t only affect profitability. It also reshapes the competitive landscape: businesses that historically operated in different industries—consumer finance apps, sportsbooks, exchanges, and crypto trading infrastructure providers—can end up competing under a single set of product and customer expectations.

Regulatory conflict is the largest constraint

Bernstein singled out regulation as the principal friction point for larger integrations. As prediction markets blend with brokerages, sportsbooks, and exchanges, regulators may scrutinize whether specific products should be treated as financial derivatives or as gambling.

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The report suggests that these classifications are not merely academic. They drive enforcement priorities, licensing requirements, and how courts determine jurisdiction. Bernstein warned that such questions could feed antitrust disputes as firms attempt to merge capabilities across multiple market segments.

The regulatory tension has already played out in the U.S. Minnesota enacted what the CFTC described as the first outright ban on prediction markets, while Illinois adopted legislation requiring platforms to obtain a state license before offering sports event contracts—developments Bernstein cited through earlier coverage.

Kalshi challenged restrictions in both states, arguing that federally regulated exchanges fall under the CFTC’s exclusive authority. Bernstein’s framing implies that these legal fights create a practical uncertainty: consolidation may make commercial sense, but execution could remain constrained until regulators and courts clarify where federal derivatives oversight ends and state gambling authority begins.

What to watch as consolidation accelerates

With platforms continuing to move routing, exchange functions, and clearing in-house, the next phase of the sector may hinge less on product launches and more on legal outcomes—particularly whether courts establish a clearer boundary between federal trading regulation and state gambling rules. Until that boundary hardens, consolidation could keep happening, but with deal structures and operating decisions likely shaped by ongoing jurisdictional risk.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Cryptos slide as Strategy’s bitcoin sales plan pressures market

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Bitcoin recovers to $67,400 after dipping below $65,200 as Houthis enter Iran war

Onchain demand stayed soft through the slide, according to Glassnode data. The number of active addresses, a rough gauge of how many users are actually transacting, sat around 618,000, in the middle of its recent range rather than breaking higher.

The value of coins moving across the network held near $4.2 billion, just above the bottom of its range around $3.6 billion, pointing to subdued rather than surging activity, the firm said in a Monday report.

Total transaction fees, or what users pay to move funds and a read on competition for space in each block, kept contracting. Together, the three say demand has not picked up even with prices lower.

Adding to the caution, Strategy, the largest corporate holder of bitcoin, said Monday it may sell more than a billion dollars of the token under a new program to shore up its finances, a reversal of founder Michael Saylor’s long-standing refusal to sell.

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The prospect of those sales hangs over an already thin market. That leaves crypto where it has traded for weeks, pinned by a strong dollar and a lack of fresh demand rather than any single shock.

The next tests are whether the dollar’s climb stalls and whether the yen’s slide forces Japan to step in, a move some warn could unwind the cheap-yen borrowing long used to fund risk trades worldwide.

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What next as Ripple-linked token holds $1 support

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What next as Ripple-linked token holds $1 support

• The token traded in a $0.0435 range and continued to hold above the $1.00 psychological support level.

• The main burst of activity came on June 29 at 17:00, when volume reached 86.5 million XRP, about 67% above the 24-hour average.

• Price later consolidated between $1.03 and $1.06, leaving the market range-bound rather than in a confirmed recovery.

Technical Analysis

• The key development is that XRP continues to defend $1.00 even after a 19% monthly decline.

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• The leverage reset improves the setup. Open interest has fallen sharply, funding has turned negative and forced long liquidations have cleared out crowded positioning.

• The on-chain picture is stronger than the chart. Active addresses are rising, ETF inflows are continuing and exchange reserves remain stable, but price is still below major moving averages.

• XRP remains capped by resistance near $1.10, with larger barriers near the 50-day EMA around $1.20 and the 100-day EMA around $1.31.

• The 4-hour RSI has recovered from oversold territory to 46, but momentum remains below the neutral 50 level.

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What traders should watch

• $1.00 remains the key support level. A break below it would put $0.90-$0.87 back in focus.

• $1.06 is the first short-term resistance level, followed by $1.09-$1.10, where recent rallies have stalled.

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Bitcoin (BTC) Steadies Near $60,000 After Volatile Week

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin (BTC) steadied itself over the weekend after a volatile week that saw its value drop to its lowest level since September 2024.

The flagship cryptocurrency fell to a low of $58,000 on Thursday, struggling against sustained ETF outflows, a hawkish Federal Reserve, concerns around Strategy, and a stronger US Dollar.

Bitcoin Stabilizes After Sharp Selloff

BTC experienced a substantial downturn last week, falling from a high of $65,553 on Monday to a low of $58,000 on Thursday. ETF outflows, a stronger US Dollar, a hawkish Federal Reserve, and the ongoing geopolitical situation continue to pressure Bitcoin and the broader market. However, price action steadied over the weekend and has reclaimed the $60,000 level after falling to a low of $58,800 earlier today.

Bulls have defended $58,000, a key support level, despite substantial selling pressure. BTC maintained its position above $58,000 over the weekend despite fresh US-Iran tensions over a volatile ceasefire. Markets had registered a substantial recovery earlier this month after tensions in the Middle East thawed, easing oil prices and inflation concerns. However, the rally soon fizzled out, pushing the price to sub-$60,000 levels.

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BTC’s price action could go one of two ways. If the flagship cryptocurrency fails to regain momentum and slips below $58,000, a drop toward $55,000 or lower can be expected. However, a clean recovery above $60,000 would suggest buying pressure returning.

Strategy Under Pressure

Concerns around Strategy’s capital structure have also impacted market sentiment. STRC, the company’s preferred stock product, is currently trading around $74.57, significantly lower than its intended $100 mark. Annual dividend obligations have risen to $1.2 billion, while dividend coverage dropped to 14 months thanks to declining cash reserves. Strategy used its stock premium to raise capital for more BTC acquisitions. However, weak pricing has made it substantially harder for the Michael Saylor-led firm to depend on this model to raise additional capital.

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant has urged Strategy to pause its acquisitions and rebuild its cash reserves. However, the plea looks to have fallen on deaf ears, with Michael Saylor teasing another buy, posting the company’s Bitcoin tracker with the caption “We’re going to need more charts.”

Analysts Divided

Meanwhile, analysts remain divided on Bitcoin’s price action. Analyst Market Watcher highlighted a downtrend from July and August highs of around $70,000 and $67,000, adding that a break of the line would make investors more willing to deploy capital. The analyst described the current price range as an “indecisive summer chop.” However, he added that a break of the main trend around $58,000 could change the entire setup.

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Another analyst, EGRAG CRYPTO, highlighted Bitcoin’s 12-month cycle, adding that the current cycle may be different from the usual “three years up one year down” cycle. Meanwhile, CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk stated that Bitcoin is currently in an undervalued zone after its short-term holder realized dominance fell to 27.6%. Previous cycles have witnessed market tops when short-term holders controlled the realized capital. Bear markets witness the opposite, as short-term holders realize their losses and realized capital drops.

Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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SEC Wins $5.4 Million Crypto Fraud Case

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SEC Wins $5.4 Million Crypto Fraud Case

The US Securities and Exchange Commission has won its fraud suit against crypto platform NanoBit Limited, nearly two years after the agency accused it of stealing hundreds of thousands of dollars from at least 18 investors between 2023 and 2024.

The announcement by the SEC on Monday came nearly two weeks after the US District Court for the Eastern District of New York entered a final judgment against four entities and two individuals tied to the NanoBit fraud case on June 16.

The SEC alleged that NanoBit’s operators impersonated financial professionals in WhatsApp groups to trick investors into depositing funds on the fake platform. Instead, the funds were allegedly diverted to scheme participants, the SEC said. 

The case is another example of the SEC’s continued crackdown on crypto-themed fraud under the Trump administration, even as the agency has softened its regulatory approach to crypto companies and revised what it considers to be a securities offering.

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On May 29, the SEC charged a Texas man with allegedly running a fraud scheme that raised more than $12 million from roughly 150 investors by falsely claiming to use AI-powered trading bots to generate guaranteed returns. 

In April, the SEC also charged crypto executive Donald Basile and two companies he controlled for raising roughly $16 million from hundreds of investors through false claims tied to a crypto token called Bitcoin Latinum. 

NanoBit perpetrators ordered to pay $5.4 million

The New York court found that the defendants violated US securities laws and issued permanent injunctions against them, prohibiting them from engaging in the issuance, purchase or sale of securities. 

Related: Crypto scammers exploit World Cup ticket demand, TRM warns 

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NanoBit was ordered to pay a $1.18 million fine, disgorgement of more than $532,000 for the ill-gotten gains and prejudgment interest of nearly $81,200, totaling nearly $1.8 million.

NanoBit’s affiliates — Radiant Horizons, Sweet Karma and Zhao Deli — were each ordered to pay a $1.18 million fine, while one of the scheme’s main orchestrators, Jiajie Liu, was ordered to pay about $120,000 in penalties, disgorgement and prejudgment interest.

In the September 2024 complaint, the SEC alleged that NanoBit investors were solicited on social media, such as Instagram, before being added to the WhatsApp groups.

Investors were allegedly shown a fake dashboard depicting rising returns, creating the illusion that their funds were growing. 

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It allegedly persuaded investors by falsely claiming that its affiliate, NanobitUS Securities, was an SEC-registered broker, while also promoting fake initial coin offerings (ICOs) promising substantial returns. 

However, “no transactions took place on the NanoBit platform and investors’ funds in fact went to scheme participants who wired more than $2 million to bank accounts in Hong Kong and misappropriated hundreds of thousands of dollars’ worth of investors’ crypto assets,” the securities regulator alleged.

The SEC alleged that investors who sought to withdraw funds were met with excuses and asked to pay large fees, while others were removed from the WhatsApp groups for questioning the platform’s legitimacy.

Magazine: The end of anonymity? AI could unmask crypto’s hidden identities 

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