“My $40K Bitcoin Call Was WRONG, But I’m 100% CERTAIN of THIS…” Arthur Hayes

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Arthur Hayes has dramatically changed his outlook on Bitcoin — and his new crypto thesis could have major implications for Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ethena, Hyperliquid and the broader market.

In a recent interview, Hayes argues that the fundamental liquidity environment has changed as pressure builds inside the US Treasury market. He believes policymakers may increasingly be forced to support the long end of the Treasury market, creating a form of de facto yield-curve control that could ultimately benefit risk assets and cryptocurrencies.

Hayes now sees Bitcoin potentially reaching **$150,000 by the end of 2026**, but his biggest conviction may actually be elsewhere.

He calls **Ethereum his number-one crypto pick**, arguing that ETH has been heavily beaten down, remains a foundational layer for DeFi, and has not surpassed its 2021 all-time high. Hayes believes Ethereum could potentially deliver a **3–5x move** as capital rotates back into the asset.

He also discusses **Ethena**, which he believes could potentially deliver a 5x move over the next six months if Bitcoin’s rally drives greater demand throughout the ecosystem.

Meanwhile, Hayes says **Hyperliquid** can continue rising but no longer offers the same asymmetric opportunity it did when he accumulated it in the low $30s and sold around $75.

In this video, we break down:

• Why Arthur Hayes completely changed his Bitcoin outlook
• His argument that Treasury-market pressure could drive more liquidity
• Why he believes a Bitcoin “hate rally” has already begun
• Why Hayes now prefers Ethereum over Hyperliquid
• His bullish Ethereum 3–5x thesis
• Why Ethena could benefit from a renewed crypto rally
• Arthur Hayes’ new **$150,000 Bitcoin target for 2026**
• The liquidity and money-printing thesis behind his predictions
• Why the next crypto rally could happen while investors remain skeptical

The key question is not simply whether Bitcoin reaches $150,000.

It’s whether Hayes is correctly identifying the next major liquidity cycle — and whether crypto investors are still too skeptical to recognize it.

**What do you think?**

Is Bitcoin heading toward $150K by the end of 2026? Could Ethereum really outperform Bitcoin from here? And which crypto has the best risk/reward right now?

Let us know your Bitcoin and Ethereum targets in the comments.

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#Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #ArthurHayes #BTC #ETH #BitcoinPrice #EthereumPrice #CryptoNews #CryptoAnalysis

Timestamps:

0:00-0:37 Intro
0:38-2:46 Why Arthur Hayes Changed His Conviction
2:47-3:46 Is the Bottom In
3:47-4:25 Why I predicted $40k BTC & WHAT Proved Me Wrong
4:26-5:34 The Next 6 Months in Crypto
5:35-6:34 Thoughts Hyperliquid?
6:35-7:36 Number 1 Crypto Right Now!
7:37-8:27 Why Arthur Loves Ethena (Sure 5X Trade)
8:28-9:23 Macro & Crypto
9:24-10:09 Year End BTC Prediction
10:10-13:03 The Next Big Thing for Arthur Hayes
13:04-15:29 Wrap Up
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Sources: Cointelegraph
Arthur Hayes Just Changed His Bitcoin Call — Here’s Why BTC Goes Higher | Trade Secrets

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