CHAPTERS
0:00 Countdown
10:00 New week – the weekend gave the retest crowd nothing
11:00 Most people want the pullback. The stats disagree.
12:15 Market overview to open the week
14:58 THE STUDY: the first leg after a 200 SMA reclaim
15:43 Only 3 priors: 2015, 2019, 2023 – median +24.6% (~86,300)
16:41 2015 and 2019: what those first legs looked like
17:27 The retest the crowd wants almost never comes (1 of 3)
17:53 2019 ran +164% without ever looking back
18:10 Intra-leg dips: normal lands 79K down to 74.5K
18:29 The weekly 5 EMA reconnect – 72K and rising fast
19:48 The line in the sand: 70,000
20:19 Higher timeframes following through – 3-week fresh up
22:00 The measured bands: 76K to 86K
26:00 Was the weekend already the pullback?
28:00 Study recap: 24.6% median, no early retest
29:00 The disconnect clock stats
30:00 Daily DCA
31:00 Hourly plays + ticker requests begin
38:00 Gold near the take-profit zone
48:00 Besent speaks this hour
51:00 The first-move pattern: up, sideways, more highs
1:05:00 Charts vs sleep deprivation (honest hour)
1:17:00 Long-term winners vs long-term losers
1:29:00 Monthly closes that matter this week
1:47:00 Defense ETFs: XAR vs ITA
1:55:00 Coinbase: the 222 level decides
2:20:00 Wrapping up the week ahead

Bitcoin at $80,000 and everyone wants a pullback – but the first rally after a bear-market low has a median run of +24.6% before its first real correction. Former market maker, live map, receipts on screen.
The breakout video this builds on:
→ https://youtu.be/sR39MPJzXGo

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ABOUT THIS CHANNEL
Eric Krown is a former NYSE ARCA options market maker with 16 years in the markets. This channel delivers daily Bitcoin and macro market analysis using a systematic five-layer framework: Trend, Volatility, Structure, Momentum, and Risk — the same methodology used on the trading floor. No hype. Data-driven analysis with proof of trade.

This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region.

#Bitcoin #Stocks #investing

CHAPTERS

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Introduction To The Topic 0:00-2:31
Analysis 2:31-15:19

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BITCOIN PRICE ANALYSIS | BITCOIN TRADING | BITCOIN FUTURES | BITCOIN HEATMAP

Bitcoin price analysis today starts with ETF flows, funding rates, exchange balances and volume as spot demand continues to drive BTC. We compare Bitcoin futures volume versus Bitcoin spot volume, 30-day volume distribution, long versus short positioning, historical volatility, liquidation heatmaps and aggregated open interest to determine whether the next Bitcoin trade should be long or short.

Spot volume is currently driving the market, but overall Bitcoin volume remains relatively low. That gives the current move some validation without removing the risk of a liquidity grab, short squeeze or another sell-off. We also use nioctib.live to analyse exchange and volume data and identify where Bitcoin traders are actually positioned.

Today’s market update also covers Scott Bessent’s Treasury bond-buyback programme and its effect on yields and Bitcoin liquidity, Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin on the ETH/BTC golden cross, MicroStrategy and Michael Saylor, crypto lending developments and the wider financial conditions affecting BTC.

In this video:

• Bitcoin spot ETF flows and institutional demand
• Bitcoin funding rates and trader positioning
• Bitcoin exchange balances and USDT exchange balances
• Bitcoin volume overview and market participation
• Bitcoin futures volume versus Bitcoin spot volume
• Bitcoin price versus volume history
• Bitcoin 30-day volume distribution
• Bitcoin long versus short ratio
• Bitcoin historical volatility index
• Bitcoin liquidation heatmap analysis
• Bitcoin aggregated open interest
• Bitcoin futures positioning and leverage
• Bitcoin liquidity grabs and stop-loss hunts
• Bitcoin short-squeeze and liquidation risk
• Bitcoin support, resistance and technical analysis
• Whether Bitcoin currently favours a long or short trade
• Why strong spot volume does not automatically mean the rally is sustainable
• The Bitcoin data suggesting another sell-off could develop

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Thanks for watching! And I’ll see you in the next one! 🩷😎

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👉Intro: 0:00-1:40
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About me: I am a Full-time Crypto analyst, Day trader and investor from Australia! I specialise in technical analysis and take an unbiased view of the markets, focusing on the data and charts only! So…. come join the Whale family and let’s cover bitcoin and altcoins together

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