Politics
Cabinet Ministers Support Starmer He Fights For Survival
Cabinet ministers have pledged their support for Keir Starmer as the prime minister fights for his political survival.
In a clearly co-cordinated operation, a succession of senior government ministers took to social media to make clear they do not want the PM to resign.
It came as Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar was calling on Starmer to quit over the Peter Mandelson scandal engulfing No.10.
The UK’s former ambassador to Washington is facing a police investigation over allegations he passed market sensitive information to the convicted paedophile Jeffrey Epstein when he was business secretary between 2008 and 2010.
Sarwar said: “The distraction needs to end and the leadership in Downing Street has to change.”
The incendiary move led to speculation that cabinet ministers could resign in order to force the PM out.
But one after another, they posted messages on X making clear they believe he should stay in his post.
Angela Rayner, who was forced to resign as deputy PM last year and is seen as a frontrunner to replace Starmer if he goes, also called on Labour MPs to back him.
Another MP who has been mentioned as a potential replacement for Starmer, armed forces minister Al Carns, also backed the PM.
Politics
Harry Styles Album Reviews: What Do Critics Think Of Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally?
Almost four years on from the release of his Grammy-winning Harry’s House, Harry Styles fans’ patience is about to be rewarded.
On Friday, the chart-topping singer will unveil his fourth album, the curiously-titled Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally.
In the run-up to the release, critics have been weighing in on Harry’s new material, with the reception so far – phew! – being varying levels of positive.
While the jury’s out on whether the album might represent a case of style over substance – and, indeed, whether that actually matters – many critics have also warned fans that the album might not quite be the collection of floor-fillers and club bangers they’ve been led to believe, but if they embrace Harry’s new sound and go with it, they’ll find themselves won over.
Here’s a selection of what critics are saying about Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally…
“Painting everything in muted shades is a risk that intermittently pays off. On the plus side, it gives what’s here a unified atmosphere […] But there are points where it feels like it’s all mood and no material, where subtly lit songs pass by pleasantly enough, but don’t really linger in your memory afterwards.”
“Initially, fans may greet this album with confusion or hesitant enthusiasm, because it may not be what they were dreaming of or expecting. But do we really want the same birthday present every year?”

“There’s a lot going on. On his fourth album, Styles is clearly working through some major stuff […] As such, there’s little to compare with the straightforward joy of Watermelon Sugar, or the keening desire of As It Was – but Styles isn’t stupid enough to alienate his fanbase entirely.”
“Largely, Styles taking a new approach to things really works – ‘Kiss All The Time…’ feels like an album that you’ll really want to spend a lot of time with, letting all its layers envelope you. But, very occasionally, there are things that don’t quite hit the target. […] As Styles has shown us, though, even life’s blips have value, and these instances can’t stop his fourth album from feeling like a triumph.”
“The album is distinctly ‘Harry’, deliberately current, and undoubtedly Styles’s best album yet. [It is] Harry Styles doing what Harry Styles does best. Releasing a series of impeccably produced pop bangers, each better than the last.”
“That’s the appeal of this musically deep, lyrically shallow, curiously laid-back album: hanging out with pop’s Mr Easy.”

“With feather-light melodies, gauzy synths and sketchily oblique references to ‘perfect lighting’, sessions with ‘well-fed’ therapists, elegant hangovers and dining on ‘your favourite pastries’, it sometimes sounds like an episode of Emily In Paris set to sub bass and cool beats. Yet it is expected to land like Godzilla crushing everything in its path. Who needs substance when you have an abundance of style?”
“[Harry’s] new-found freedom that shapes the backbone of his excellent fourth album. It’s eclectic, impossible to pigeonhole and, ultimately, all the better for it.”
“Those expecting rowdy rave anthems should be wary, though. There are indeed several dance numbers, including recent single Aperture and the funky Dance No More. But on the whole, the mood on the 12 new songs that cocoon the listener in a wall of silky sound and supple vocals is subtle and restrained.”
“Styles fleshes out his introspection more inventively, weaving in acoustic instrumentation, jagged beats and bursts of feedback that thrive on the push and pull of delayed gratification. There is a fresh immediacy, even a hint of intensity, to some of these songs, if not necessarily the sense of release that the Billboard Hot 100-topping lead single Aperture foreshadowed.”
Politics
Cornyn did so well that Trump could finally endorse him
Sen. John Cornyn defied expectations in the Texas GOP primary on Tuesday. National Republicans believe his unexpectedly strong showing may be enough for President Donald Trump to endorse the embattled incumbent.
Trump has privately intimated that he will soon get involved in the Texas Senate race after rebuffing endorsement pleas from both candidates for months, according to a GOP strategist close to the White House who was granted anonymity to speak freely. For months, party leaders worried that Trump would back state Attorney General Ken Paxton, a longtime ally of the president, especially if he dominated in Tuesday’s primary.
Then came the results that had Cornyn neck-and-neck with Paxton. With that outcome, the strategist said, it would be “very surprising” if Trump backed Paxton.
The stakes are high for Republicans, who fear control of the Senate is hanging in the balance. The GOP hoped to avoid state Rep. James Talarico clinching the Democratic nomination because they see him as able to draw away moderate Republican voters.
Republicans “should take him seriously,” said another close Trump administration ally, granted anonymity to be candid. Talarico is a “big reason for Trump to get in for Cornyn and end this thing,” the ally said, especially to free up massive amounts of money that could be spent instead on competitive Senate races in Michigan and Georgia.
National Republicans estimated they would have to spend $200 million to protect Cornyn in the runoff. But the GOP strategist shrugged off the price tag. “Look, it will probably cost some money,” the person said. “It’s just money, we have a lot of it.”
Tuesday’s results were the best-case scenario for establishment Republicans, who worried Cornyn would finish far enough behind Paxton that it would be a slog for him — and a tough sell for a president who hates to back losers.
The Texas GOP Senate primary has become a referendum on the future of the Republican Party, testing the strength of the conservative grassroots against the establishment wing. While the MAGA base kept the four-term incumbent — who nearly became Senate majority leader — from getting a majority of the primary vote, the results show the old Republican establishment isn’t quite dead yet.
Cornyn’s narrow lead over Paxton was powered by even performances across the state.
Even in the most heavily Republican counties where Paxton might have expected to benefit from a MAGA base, the incumbent senator largely held his own: Across more than 110 mostly rural counties that Trump won by at least 50 points in 2024 and were reporting complete results as of early Wednesday morning, Paxton built up only the narrowest of leads, 44 percent to just shy of 40 percent for Cornyn.
Meanwhile, Cornyn strengthened his advantage in the more traditional white-collar suburbs, leading by double digits in Travis and Dallas counties as results continued to come in early Wednesday morning.
The senator, speaking to reporters on Election Night in Austin, said Republican voters’ choice is “crystal clear.”
“I refuse to allow a flawed, self-centered, and shameless candidate like Ken Paxton risk everything we’ve worked so hard to build over these many years,” he said. “There is simply too much at stake.”
Republicans are well aware that overall control of the Senate may be at risk. Cornyn’s allies warn that scandal-plagued Paxton turns off general election voters, especially if Talarico is their opponent.
During Paxton’s decade as attorney general, he faced an impeachment by the GOP-led Texas state House, ethics complaints, a federal securities fraud investigation and a recent divorce complete with allegations of infidelity.
Now Paxton is facing another 12 weeks going up against the wrath — and war chest — of the Washington establishment.
“John Cornyn spent around $100 million trying to buy this seat,” Paxton told his supporters at a watch party after the race was called. “We spent around $5 million… We prove something they’ll never understand in Washington: Texas is not for sale.”
One question is which candidate the voters who backed Rep. Wesley Hunt, who finished a distant third place, will support now — or whether they turn out at all for the May runoff.
Lone Star Liberty, a pro-Paxton super PAC, in a memo circulated ahead of Tuesday’s election, shrugged off threats that Cornyn would succeed in the runoff by continuing to hammer the attorney general on his litany of scandals, arguing they had nothing new to offer.
“Cornyn’s talk of ‘unleashing’ new attacks’ in the runoff is bluster,” the memo states. “The truth is that from day one, his forces fired every bullet they had. There are no new attacks left — only more of the same, at ever-greater cost and with ever-diminishing returns.”
Senate Republican operatives – who had entered the night expecting the race to head to a runoff, but unsure of how Cornyn would track against Paxton – were exultant as the incumbent maintained a narrow lead well into the night.
A Republican working on Senate campaigns, granted anonymity to speak freely, said Cornyn “proved to be formidable” on Tuesday — bolstering the establishment GOP argument that he is “the most electable” as the party braces for a battle against Talarico.
Talarico’s lead “reaffirms the need to have Cornyn as the nominee. Can’t risk this to Paxton,” the GOP operative close to the White House said.
Yet some Republicans conceded Cornyn has a tricky path to navigate. He’ll have to square off again with the conservative primary voters who make up Paxton’s base.
“Runoffs are extremely unpredictable, and head-to-head it could be anyone’s ballgame,” said Republican strategist Jeff Burton.
Dasha Burns, Lisa Kashinsky, Alec Hernandez, Jessica Piper and Erin Doherty contributed reporting
Politics
Talarico defeats Crockett in Texas Senate Democratic primary
State Rep. James Talarico won the Texas Senate Democratic primary, defeating Rep. Jasmine Crockett and giving party leaders the candidate they had quietly seen as the stronger option to flip the ruby-red state.
The race was defined by questions of electability and simmering racial tensions, as Talarico and Crockett worked to reassemble the party’s fractured multiracial coalition. That carried over through Tuesday, with both candidates raising concerns that voters had been disenfranchised in Crockett’s home base of Dallas County, which includes a large number of Black voters.
The legal dispute over voting precincts in Dallas could cast a shadow over his victory. Crockett told her supporters not to expect a final call on election night.
Talarico, a progressive Seminarian, took a big-tent approach to his campaign by appealing to voters from both parties and independents. He will face off against either Sen. John Cornyn or Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who is mounting a right wing challenge to the four-term incumbent.
Texas Democrats have failed to win statewide in three decades, but they believe they have a rare opening to flip the Senate seat in November, due to backlash to the Trump administration’s mass deportation efforts and handling of the economy — especially if Paxton emerges from the GOP runoff.
There has been scant nonpartisan public polling in the general election, but a recent memo from the National Republican Senatorial Committee shows Cornyn ahead of Talarico by three points, while Talarico would lead Paxton by three points.
Politics
BBC Expert Condemns US Plan Post Iran Bombing
A BBC expert has condemned the “lack of clarity” coming from the White House on what happens after the US stops bombing Iran.
Jeremy Bowen, the corporation’s international affairs editor, said there were now “huge question marks” about what comes next as violence rips through the Middle East.
The US and Israel launched missile attacks on Iran at the weekend, killing the country’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and other senior regime officials.
Donald Trump initially suggested that the aim of the military action was to replace the regime, which has run Iran since the Islamic revolution in 1979, entirely.
But speaking on Radio 4′s Today programme, Bowen pointed out: “The regime is still there, it’s constructed to try to resist a moment like this. Will it survive? Well we’ll see in the next few weeks and months probably.
“Buildings are ruined, hundreds are dead – civilians as well as leaders – but I think what strikes me right now is the lack of clarity from the Americans about just what happens.
“There has been less talk in the last couple of days of replacing the regime out of Washington. They’re saying very little about what happens in Iran after they declare Iran is no longer a threat and they stop bombing.
“The current message appears to be that the day after is a matter for Iranians, not the Americans, whatever the consequences.
“This is how they seem to want to make it different from their interventions in, say, Iraq, where the mantra you heard all the time was if you break it, you’re responsible for it.
“Now they’re saying ‘it’s up to you. Iran is your country, we’re just going to do what we need to do to get rid of the people we see as threats’.
“So there are huge question marks about where this goes.”
Meanwhile, an ally of Trump has joined in the president’s criticism of Keir Starmer’s decision to initially block US fighter jets from using UK bases to launch its attacks.
The prime minister U-turned on Sunday night, saying America could use the bases to carry out “defensive” strikes on weapons storage depots and missile launch sites.
That has sparked a war of words between Trump and Starmer, with the president telling reporters: “This is not Winston Churchill that we’re dealing with.”
Robert Wilkie, a former US undersecretary of defence, in the first Trump administration told Today: “I think there’s a genuine sadness on the part of the senior military leadership of the Pentagon that Britain’s power has receded as dramatically as it has.”
Politics
The unreality of Labour’s rosy picture of an economy that can’t, in fact, pay for our defence
“You’d better start believing in Ghost-stories girlie – You’re in one!” Captain Barbossa, Pirates of the Caribbean (2003)
Poor Elizabeth Swann. Convinced in the hit film, that a pirate captain has spun her an elaborate and fantastical yarn, and whilst desperately sticking to her principles and the laws of nature she is forced to accept that reality really does seem to be arguing against everything she thinks and believes.
This morning that is how Rachel Reeves and Keir Starmer should be feeling. But don’t count on it.
Number 10 will actually be pleased politically and domestically – because whatever the high moral tone from that ivory tower that has as much to do with the Prime Minister’s stance on Iran as international law – that Starmer has had his Hugh Grant, ‘Love Actually” moment, and shown himself to be able to say ‘no’ to the bad guy in the White House.
At present “we were not involved” in the strikes on Iran has echoes of Corbyn about it. Of course there is huge public concern about being dragged into an escalating war. I share them. But to return to the start, you’d better start believing in a middle eastern war – we’re in one.
I’ll return to this in a moment but there was always going to be a moment when our politics went through the looking glass. Yesterday was it.
In one version of reality the British economy has been stabilised to a point that all is now well, and Britain’s National Security is safe from both Iran and the wild and illegal activities of a dangerous American President and Prime Minister of Israel, all thanks to a determined and cautious Chancellor and the steely moral guardianship of Sir Keir Starmer.
It is a version of reality to which, objectively I cannot subscribe but also one many others, including the Conservative Party cannot either.
The Spring Statement was big on spin and not much else. When a hapless Treasury Minister defended it on Sky News by reaching for the stale “we’ve had to tackle the problems Liz Truss left us with” you know they’re clutching their pearls and at straws.
I can leave the Shadow Chancellor to explain the Conservative position, on ConHome this morning. The reactions to the Spring Statement from many think tanks, finish the job off.
Lord Ashcroft’s most recent polling – that has over time had some hard truths within for the Tories – contained who is most trusted on the economy, a key metric he’s been tracking for the past 19 months. It’s the Conservatives.
“Asked who would do the better job running the economy, voters chose Kemi Badenoch and Mel Stride over Keir Starmer and Rachel Reeves by a 4-point margin, with 40 per cent saying, “don’t know”. Only just over half of 2024 Labour voters named the Labour team; more than seven in ten 2024 Conservatives chose the Tory team.” Lord Ashcroft polls.
I’m going to stick to defence and the war.
Rachel Reeves made a small reference to the unfolding situation in the Middle East at the top of her speech, but therein lies – at times literally – their problem. Not only are the Government being accused of vacillation and dereliction of duty defending our assets and denying their use to a key ally, but they also can’t pay – and have ignored questions about how they’ll pay – to be able to do so.
Conservative MP Ben Obese-Jecty asked the Chancellor this very question about defence spending. Rachel Reeves seemed to suggest that they had overseen the largest defence spending increase in years, and that was why “we’re degrading the capability of Iran to continue these attacks”
That’s news to everybody, because we aren’t, and the money hasn’t been spent, just promised. Word on when we might actually reach the point where it materialises is not to be found. It risks turning up as much too little too late as a British Type-45 Daring class Destroyer to the Mediterranean.
Despite having roughly similar political clothing as our Labour party in government, Australia and Canada have signalled that they support the US in tackling Iran. Making it all about regime change has posed some serious questions. With reference to Iran that is a dubious wish for reasons I spelt out on Sunday. But it is clearly the only way you can tackle the far more historical motivation that we should all want to stop Iran’s progression to having nuclear weapons. The determination not to be involved which has irked the President so much is based on Starmer’s rigid adherence to international law even when it is flouted by the target, observing authoritarian regimes, and nuclear physicists in bunkers in Iran.
It seems odd, that having burnt up so much political and public credit to push forward a deal that was supposed to guarantee the use of the crucial strategic air base at Diego Garcia, for Britain and the US, at staggering cost, and under an over played threat of legal action, we have done so nonetheless, and immediately denied it’s use to our closest ally. One of the smartest foreign office officials I came across has just issued a scathing assessment of our prediliction for rigid adherence to law that has ceased to make sense or at best its modern contradictions need confronting.
You will note many a Starmer loyalist, often using the same phrases – or lines to take as the Downing Street spin doctors call them when they issue them – have said Trump did not tell allies about the immediate strikes, so of course the British PM is having to react to events not ahead of them.
Well as I say the war he doesn’t believe in, he’s already in.
The moment key gulf allies with British citizens in residence were targeted by Iranian drones, the moment RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus was hit, he had no choice to act, or rather let others do it for him. The French are already ahead of defending our assets in the Med. What baffles me is how predictable this all was.
If a third of the US Navy has been amassing for weeks in the gulf, whilst negotiations brokered by the Omanis – note Prime Minister that their neutrality did not afford them protection from Iranian counter strikes, there is every reason to assess, what it was for, likely scenarios and why you might want a T-45 destroyer patrolling in the Med. Second year war studies students could have predicted that.
It might have been academic had the negotiations succeeded. However we learn that even after being offered a ‘lifetime supply of nuclear fuel’ from the US to power a purely domestic Iranian power generation plan the regime would not accept it. Then what did everyone think their uranium enrichment was really for?!
But the negotiations did not succeed. They haven’t, in various forms, for some time. Trump pulling out of the JPCOA agreement in his first term had much to do with that failure, but it’s no secret that he and Netanyahu had long decided if it can’t be agreement, it will be force. If a government functionary at my level knew all this two years ago, I’m damn sure the current incumbent of Downing Street does, or should.
Splashed across the papers today are Trumps brutal swipe at Starmer. It’s personal, because that’s how Trump views any international relationship, even though the so called ‘special relationship’ is between two nations and in multiple arenas and not just two men in their respective offices.
In one respect, and even given that Trump is no Roosevelt, or Truman who sanctioned the use of atomic weapons, Starmer is no Churchill:
Churchill fought a war having argued for years that Britain was economically and militarily unprepared. Starmer is trying not to fight a war arguing via his Chancellor that never before has so much been promised for defence.
For so little return when it matters, it would seem.
Politics
Deri Hughes: International law won’t keep us safe
Deri Hughes is a private investor and former parliamentary assistant.
The recent expiry of the New START treaty has generated a flurry of headlines and commentary. Granted, there is much else to ponder in the world at this time, but the treaty’s expiry is certainly worthy of some attention.
The more neurotic Western commentary has focussed on the apparent dangers of a “new arms race”. This is an echo of concerns that were expressed loudly during the Cold War, particularly in the 1980s. In truth, the arms race concept has been thoroughly over-egged for decades. Nevertheless, it lives on.
As was the case for the Soviet Union during the Cold War, the Russians are quite happy to stoke Western neurosis. The primary benefit, from their perspective, is that there is a Western tendency for fear of nuclear weapons to be channelled into advocacy for disarmament, and for a less robust stance against Russian interests. The secondary benefit, which is more recent, is that it gives the Russians something with which to bargain at Ukraine’s expense. That is not to say that such a gambit or opportunism will necessarily succeed; merely that the Russians are mindful of the potential benefits.
New START was the latest in a series of strategic weapons agreements between the United States and the Soviet Union, and later Russia. For decades, they covered two states whose number of nuclear weapons greatly exceeded that of any other country. Accordingly, the treaties’ bilateral status was not much of a limitation. However, that has changed.
China has embarked upon a very ambitious nuclear weapons development and deployment programme, with particular emphasis upon the type of weapons covered by New START (not all nuclear weapons were included within its scope). China’s aim is not difficult to discern. It likely intends to achieve approximate strategic parity with the United States, thereby leaving it better placed to act upon its designs in the Pacific, should it choose to do so.
This explains the American reticence to replace New START on a like-for-like basis. The lack of limits on Chinese weapons numbers has left the United States in an unhappy position. The Americans must take into account the obvious risk that China and Russia might wage war against it in league. Keeping American and Russian weapons numbers static while the Chinese force grows briskly has weakened America’s position, and could ultimately have posed a serious threat.
The stated American position is that only a multilateral treaty, particularly one covering China, would be an acceptable replacement for New START. Rather predictably, the Russians have reacted by insisting that any multilateral treaty should cover Britain and France. They appear not to be so keen to insist upon Chinese inclusion, although their private views are probably rather different; one of the few blessings of the current geopolitical position is that the Russian and Chinese regimes are mutually suspicious and xenophobic.
As it is, China appears to have no intention of placing itself under such restrictions. Therefore, it is highly unlikely that a multilateral treaty will materialise in the foreseeable future. Nevertheless, the prospect is worthy of consideration in Britain.
The Russian reference to British and French nuclear weapons capabilities points to an obvious risk. The Soviets had form for proposing arms control agreements once they deemed that their own position had been strengthened relative to the Western one. The Russians are no different. They would seek to ensure that native British and French nuclear weapons capabilities are capped at a level markedly inferior to the Russian one.
For as long as the American commitment to European security is maintained, such a result would not necessarily be problematic. It would be little different from the current situation. It would also echo the position in the late 1970s and 1980s, when improved Soviet and Warsaw Pact nuclear weapons capabilities below the “strategic” level prompted the United States to strengthen Western Europe’s position in that respect.
However, it ought to be painfully apparent that the American commitment cannot be taken for granted. This applies at the grand strategic level, i.e. a formal alliance and strong shared interests, but also at a lower level, particularly the continued American deployment of “tactical” nuclear weapons in Europe. This includes the effective loan of American-made weapons to certain other NATO members. Neither element can necessarily be relied upon indefinitely, and both could be abandoned.
The most obvious risk is that an “America First” flavoured administration would do so, but a future left wing administration might act similarly. Both types could do so for various reasons, including a desire to make concessions on Europe’s behalf in pursuit of an agreement with Russia. Such an agreement could be in the context of multilateral arms control negotiations, but could equally be shaped by other motives, e.g. reaching a settlement following a war of conquest waged by the Russians.
With that in mind, the Starmer government’s policy on the RAF’s future nuclear weapons capability ought to raise eyebrows. They have opted to join the American weapons lending arrangement, rather than returning to the condition whereby the RAF operated British-made nuclear gravity bombs. It is possible that capacity constraints at the AWE have made the development of a new British weapon unfeasible for the time being. If so, borrowing American weapons is a reasonable step, but it is not desirable in the long term; and if there are indeed capacity constraints at the AWE, they should be resolved at something better than a glacial pace.
A multilateral arms control process ought to be regarded with wariness in Britain. It is highly unlikely that an agreement that would satisfy Russia would be in Britain’s interests (or Europe’s, for that matter). British nuclear weapons capabilities are too modest as it is. A “minimum credible deterrent” is not appropriate under current conditions, and is likely to become even less appropriate in the coming years. Russia’s fondness for nuclear weapons is as strong as ever, and China is manifestly keen to start catching up with both America and Russia.
However, the British political class as a whole could not be relied upon to resist an adverse multilateral agreement. As usual, the CND tendency is alive and well in Labour, the Liberal Democrats, and in the newer gang of useful idiots, namely the Greens. Nevertheless, the greater danger likely lies in adoration of the totems of whatever qualifies as “international law”. That tendency is obviously very strong in the Starmer government, starting with the man himself. The Chagos Islands debacle is a standing reminder of that.
In contrast, the Conservatives have a strong track record on these matters, notwithstanding some unwise decisions made during the Coalition era (beware Lib Dems bearing influence). Conservatives ought to be vigilant, and should be mindful of the need to establish policy whilst in opposition. They might also teach Reform a few things as to how a natural party of government ought to think about such matters.
Politics
Mel Stride: Really, is that it? All we got was a surrender statement from a spent Chancellor out of ideas
Sir Mel Stride is the Shadow Chancellor and MP for Central Devon.
There are moments in politics when what is not said matters more than what is. Yesterday’s Spring Statement was one of them. The country needed reassurance that there is a plan to fix our economy.
But what did we get? Silence. Shrugged shoulders. A Chancellor who seemed to believe that doing nothing counts as a plan.
Rachel Reeves stood at the despatch box and told the country that her plan is working – and therefore she does not need to do anything.
The trouble is, the facts stubbornly refuse to cooperate with the Chancellor’s narrative. The economy is slowing, businesses are shedding jobs, and households are feeling the squeeze. Yet the Chancellor chose denial over delivery.
Reeves talks endlessly about how she has brought stability. What planet is she on?
Under this Chancellor, we’ve seen tax rises, destroyed growth, vanished headroom, then yet more tax rises, and so it continues. A fiscal twister ripping through our economy.
On growth, her spin collapses entirely. The Bank of England have downgraded their growth forecasts for this year, and now the OBR have done the same. The Chancellor boasts about beating forecasts, yet last year’s growth came in at 1.3 per cent against an original forecast of 2 per cent. By any normal definition, that is failure – not success.
And then there is unemployment. The Chancellor barely mentioned it, perhaps because it now sits at its highest level since the pandemic. Under every Labour government in history, unemployment has risen. This one is no exception. Youth unemployment is now higher than the European average – the first time in a quarter of a century.
The Chancellor says our borrowing costs are falling. But does she not know that Britain’s cost of borrowing remains among the highest in the G7 – higher even than Greece? If debt were a government department, it would be the third biggest in Whitehall. That is money not going to schools, hospitals, or policing, but simply flushed away.
On borrowing itself, the truth is damning. At the election, the forecast for borrowing this year was £77bn. Yesterday the OBR said they now expect it will be £133bn.
And when it comes to bringing that deficit back down again, the numbers underpinning the government’s plans rely on implausible assumptions: deep spending squeezes and yet more tax rises in the run up to the next election, and households absorbing higher energy bills without complaint. Everyone knows it is unrealistic – surely even the Chancellor must privately recognise it. But realism requires backbone, and this government has none.
We have already seen it. Winter fuel payments: U-turn. Welfare reform: U-turn. The two-child benefit cap: U-turn. Farm taxes, family business taxes, pubs – all U-turns. Whenever pressure mounts, this weak government folds.
But despite the evidence of how much damage she has done, we saw no course correction from the Chancellor. Unless, of course, doing nothing is a convenient new way of avoiding the inevitable U-turns further down the line.
The Chancellor insists she is “creating the conditions for growth.” She’s like a dodgy estate agent standing in a crumbling building – roof gone, windows smashed, floors falling away – urging us to “just think of the potential!” But potential means nothing when the foundations have been wrecked by reckless borrowing and runaway spending.
Higher taxes, higher inflation, higher borrowing, higher welfare spending, higher unemployment. That is the record. And still, no apology. No contrition. No plan.
And despite recent events in the Middle East, the Chancellor offered nothing new on how she will fund a move to 3 per cent of GDP on defence spending. She boasts about spending billions on lifting the two child benefit cap – money going on welfare which could have gone towards strengthening our nation’s security.
It does not have to be this way. There is an alternative, as Kemi and I have set out. Control spending, reform welfare to reward work, cut taxes to unleash growth, lower energy costs and get the deficit down. A serious plan for our country.
What we saw yesterday was a government out of ideas, out of their depth, and rapidly running out of road. Britain deserves better – and the longer this Chancellor pretends otherwise, the higher the price we will all pay.
You can see Mel Stride’s response in the House of Commons here
Politics
Trump’s Choice To Attack Iran Creating Worldwide Chaos Just Days In
When Donald Trump posted a brief video early on Saturday about the war he had just started with Iran, he neglected to mention the predictable consequences.
Like a plunging stock market. Or spiking oil prices worldwide and gasoline prices at home. Or tens of thousands of American citizens stranded in the Middle East. Or Iran striking out at its neighbours and whipping up a metastasising regional war.
Not four days later, all of these have come to pass, which is likely to make Trump’s massive attack on Iran at the behest of Israeli leader Benjamin Netanyahu even less popular among Americans than it already is.
“It’s not clear to me what Trump’s main objective is, or how long it will last before something else takes its place,” said John Bolton, one of Trump’s national security advisers in his first term and a decades-long proponent of taking a hard line against Iran.
“There’s a compelling case for regime change in Iran, but he hasn’t made it yet.”
The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Tuesday closed 1,000 points lower than it was on Friday afternoon, hours before Trump’s attack began. Oil prices are up 13% since Friday, and gasoline prices jumped 11 cents overnight and now average $3.11 nationally.
In his first question-and-answer session with the press since starting the war — apart from brief phone interviews with selected reporters — Trump defended his decision to attack Iran and minimised the chaos it has already generated.
He even contradicted the explanation by his own secretary of state, Marco Rubio, that the US had to act because Israel was about to attack Iran on its own, which would have dragged the United States into the conflict regardless.

ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS via Getty Images
Trump said he decided that Iran, not Israel, was about to strike first — an assertion contradicted by his own intelligence community.
“It was my opinion that they were going to attack first. They were going to attack if we didn’t do it, they were going to attack first. I felt strongly about that,” Trump said in an Oval Office photo opportunity with visiting German Chancellor Friedrich Merz.
Trump, who had been planning the attack on Iran for months and had deployed two entire carrier strike groups to the area, claimed that his decision had come too rapidly to permit the timely evacuation of American citizens from the region.
“Because it happened all very quickly. We thought, and I thought maybe more so than most, I could ask Marco ― but I thought we were going to have a situation where we were going to be attacked. They were getting ready to attack Israel, they were getting ready to attack others, you’re seeing that right now,” he said, before going off on a rambling, 800-word tangent about high-end ammunition and Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and how it would never have happened if he been president and some insults of his predecessor, Joe Biden.
Asked about the petroleum price increases, Trump said those would go away when the war was over. “So, if we have a little high oil prices for a little while, but as soon as this ends, those prices are going to drop, I believe, lower than even before,” he said.
Trump’s claim of it all happening so quickly will likely provide little comfort to Americans, both expats and visitors, stuck in the region.
While the State Department urged US citizens in a list of 14 countries and the Palestinian territories to leave at once, the US embassy in Israel told Americans hoping to do precisely that that because the main airport was closed, they should take a bus to Egypt, and try to find a flight from there.
“If you choose to avail yourself of this option to depart, the US government cannot guarantee your safety,” the advisory stated.
Trump later in the afternoon announced in a social media post that the US government would assume the financial liability risk of all shipping, regardless of nationality, in the Persian Gulf, including the Strait of Hormuz, the choke point at the southeastern end that Iran is trying to close off.
“Effective IMMEDIATELY, I have ordered the United States Development Finance Corporation (DFC) to provide, at a very reasonable price, political risk insurance and guarantees for the Financial Security of ALL Maritime Trade, especially Energy, traveling through the Gulf. This will be available to all Shipping Lines. If necessary, the United States Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait of Hormuz, as soon as possible,” Trump wrote. “No matter what, the United States will ensure the FREE FLOW of ENERGY to the WORLD. The United States’ ECONOMIC and MILITARY MIGHT is the GREATEST ON EARTH — More actions to come. Thank you for your attention to this matter!”
In his meeting with Merz, Trump also acknowledged the lack of a plan for after Iran’s Islamic regime loses control of the country.
He told reporters in previous days that his “template” had been his assault on Venezuela early in January, when US special forces troops were able to find and abduct that country’s dictator, with his second-in-command taking over after agreeing to Trump’s demands for a cut of Venezuela’s oil revenue.
That model, Trump agreed, seemed implausible in Iran, where the bombing campaign has killed lower-echelon leaders whom Trump had hoped to install to run the country.
“Most of the people we had in mind are dead. So, you know, we had some in mind from that group that is dead, and now we have another group. They may be dead also based on reports. So, I guess you have a third wave coming and pretty soon we’re not going to know anybody,” he said.
While Trump told the New York Post on Monday that he was not ruling out deploying American troops in Iran, he was also trying to persuade armed Kurdish groups in Iraq to seize control of Iran, effectively serving as his proxy army, according to another report.
When asked about that possibility, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt responded: “President Trump has been in contact with many allies and partners in the region throughout the past several days.”
In American diplomatic parlance, however, “allies” and “partners” have specific definitions, neither of which appears to apply to the Kurdish groups in either Iraq or Iran, so it is unclear what Leavitt meant.
Politics
Troops Being Told To Prepare for ‘Armageddon’ In Iran
For some US military commanders, the emerging war in Iran is part of a biblical plan to bring about the end of the world as we know it, according to complaints filed by over 100 service members.
The Military Religious Freedom Foundation has received a litany of complaints about religious ideology seeping into military orders since the US and Israel began bombing Iran, independent journalist Jon Larsen first reported.
Mikey Weinstein, founder and president of MRFF, a nonprofit group established 21 years ago that focuses on ensuring constitutional protections for service members, spoke with HuffPost by phone and illuminated some details of the complaints, which have come from more than three dozen military units situated in at least 30 different military installations.
“We started getting calls in the wee hours of Saturday morning from people saying their commanders were just jubilant about this and trying to tell people, ‘Don’t worry, it’s all part of God’s plan,’” Weinstein said.
Weinstein said the “metric promised” in the Bible’s Book of Revelation is horrifying and should worry everyone.
“They are promised a 200-mile-long river that is four-and-a-half feet deep filled with nothing but the blood that their weaponised version of Jesus will spill at the Battle of Armageddon,” Weinstein said. “That’s a lot of blood.”
Part of what makes the accounts so disturbing, Weinstein said, is that service members aren’t able to push back when they’re given orders that blur the line regarding the separation of church and state.
“This is all about time, place and manner,” he said. “If you’re being proselytised to by your superior, you can’t say, ‘Get out of my face.’ Under the military’s criminal code of justice, insubordination is considered a felony.”
One of the complaints MRFF received over the weekend came from a non-commissioned officer currently stationed outside of Iran but awaiting deployment at a moment’s notice. That officer filed the complaint on behalf of himself and 15 other troops, all of whom are of different religious backgrounds. (For their protection, MRFF is keeping the identity of these service members anonymous.)

The non-commissioned officer, who is Christian, reported to MRFF that a commander told them to tell fellow troops that the war in Iran was “all part of God’s divine plan.” The commander allegedly cited the Book of Revelation and the section specifically referring to Armageddon and the “imminent” return of Jesus Christ.
The non-commissioned officer said the messaging from higher-ups is not only “destroy[ing] morale and unit cohesion” among troops, but they also believe the commanders are flagrantly violating their oaths to uphold the Constitution, which guarantees the freedom of religion.
According to the complaint first reported by Larsen, the commander said President Donald Trump “has been anointed by Jesus to light the signal fire in Iran to cause Armageddon and mark his return to Earth.”
The commander “had a big grin on his face when he said all of this which made his message seem even more crazy,” the complaint said.
“I and my fellow troops know that it is completely wrong to have to suffer through what our commander said today. It’s not just the separation of church and state … It’s the fact that our commander feels as though he is fully supported and justified by the entire (combat unit’s name withheld) chain of command to inflict his Armageddon views of our attack on Iran on those of us beneath him in the chain of command,” the officer wrote in his complaint to MRFF.
Weinstein said some service members called him on Sunday to report that they were being invited to Bible studies at their commanders’ personal homes to “discuss how this was all part of the plan and it’s all being lived out in the Book of Revelation and Christian eschatology.”
Commanders were “in a hurry” to get subordinates on board, according to the complaints received by MRFF.
Once a service member makes a complaint to MRFF, finding a solution can be difficult. Service members have a few different options, Weinstein said: If troops are told they lack courage, intelligence or bravery because of their religious tradition or lack thereof, they can file an inspector general complaint or an ethics complaint within the military.
“But then you completely out yourself,” Weinstein said. “And when you do that in the military, you become what we call a ‘tarantula on a wedding cake.’ How long do you think that cake lasts at that wedding?”
Troops can complain to military judge advocates, lawyers or chaplains, but the latter can be especially tricky. The majority of the US military’s chaplains are Christian and many are evangelical.
“By itself, that’s fine,” Weinstein said. “But if you are a Christian Nationalist, you don’t pay any attention to the time, place or manner … with any sort of religious extremism, we end up not with little streams, or creeks or brooks, but with oceans and oceans of blood.”
Weinstein said none of this should necessarily be shocking. The evangelical leanings of the Trump administration — and in particular the Department of Defense — have not been a secret. At a prayer breakfast last month, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth claimed the US was a “Christian nation,” and there are prayer meetings at the Pentagon each month.
But putting religion into politics is inflicting “generational damage” onto the US and its military, Weinstein said.
The White House did not immediately return a request for comment.
Harrison Mann, a 13-year veteran of the US Army who served under President Barack Obama, during Trump’s first term and under President Joe Biden, told HuffPost that for soldiers, there “isn’t much of a difference” inside the military — at least “culturally speaking” — even when presidents are “doing some really crazy stuff” publicly, he said.
Because of that, he argues it may be too soon to say whether Hegseth can actually inflict permanent damage to the military. Mann is, however, deeply worried about what happens to the public perception of the troops in the meantime.
“There’s danger in commanders telling soldiers they only vouch for Christians, whites or MAGA supporters. When the public starts to view the military that way too, then you get to a much more dangerous place where they no longer have trust in them,” he said.
Today, Mann is the associate director of campaigns for Win Without War, a grassroots progressive foreign policy advocacy organization based in Washington, DC that formed in 2003 in response to the US invasion of Iraq. Mann left his role as assistant to the head of the Middle East Centre at the Defence Intelligence Agency, or DIA, in 2024, for moral reasons.
After the attacks in Israel on October 7, 2023, Mann said his mission as a soldier primarily became about supporting Israel and sharing intel with Israeli military officials. But once he saw what the war in Gaza was becoming — “a genocide,” he said — he resigned.
Mann knows from personal experience how frightening it can be for a soldier to speak out. The Trump administration’s politicisation of the military, as the MRFF complaints clearly show, makes it harder. Mann worries it is fast creating a situation where subordinate leaders may believe the messaging from on high grants them “tacit approval to start imposing their own religious beliefs on others.”
“I can tell you I’m very worried,” he said. “I think most people who join the military, they want to do something they feel is noble and they want to do the right thing. But the potential consequences for refusing an unlawful order or standing up for what you think is right is very high … So it goes back to the question: What can everyone else do to help them?”
To start, Mann said the public can broadcast support for service members who speak up or disobey unlawful orders or unconstitutional directives. That validation is in short supply inside the military, so it must come from the outside, he said.
“It’s very frightening to imagine that you would be on your own if you tried to defy an unlawful order,” Mann said. “We need to see increasing efforts by members of Congress to impeach Secretary Hegseth and everyone can put pressure on their lawmakers to support that effort.
“You can support a lot of the organizations like About Face and Win Without War that are trying to create a welcoming, safe space for service members who are experiencing this kind of unfair treatment,” he said.
Mann said he isn’t hopeless about the future even though there is much to despair over right now.
“It’s way too soon to give up. There’s just so much that we have not tried… there are so many pressure tactics that haven’t culminated yet. There’s so much people power that has not yet been mobilized. As terrifying as what is happening is, there’s a critical opportunity for growth and pushback against Trump’s agenda,” he said.
CORRECTION: This story has been updated with Harrison Mann’s correct title.
Politics
11 Steps Under-65s Can Take To Lower Bowel Cancer Risk
Medical advice provided by Dr Asiya Maula, private GP at The Health Suite, and Dr Donald Grant, GP and Senior Clinical Advisor at The Independent Pharmacy.
New research has found that almost half of bowel cancer cases (sometimes called colorectal cancer) occur in under-65s.
It was not always this way. The paper, published in the American Cancer Society, said that bowel cancer rates have been declining among over-65s since the ’80s, but rising among those under 50.
Here, we asked GPs Dr Asiya Maula and Dr Donald Grant why this could be happening and what we can do to lower our risk.
Why are younger people getting bowel cancer?
Both doctors said there likely isn’t a single cause.
It “likely reflects cumulative lifestyle and environmental changes,” Dr Maula said.
“We are seeing higher levels of chronic inflammation in younger populations, often linked to ultra-processed diets, sedentary behaviour, stress, and disrupted sleep.”
She also thinks exposure to microplastics, a less diverse gut biome, and air pollution may play a role.
“No single exposure directly causes bowel cancer, but cumulative toxic load over time may influence gut health and inflammatory pathways.”
For his part, Dr Grant said, “While [bowel cancer] remains common in older age groups, factors such as rising obesity levels, diets low in fibre and high in processed foods and an increase in sedentary lifestyles and alcohol intake are all thought to be contributing to this shift.”
How can under-65s lower their risk of bowel cancer?
Not every case of bowel cancer is preventable. But, Dr Grant said, “There are also plenty of ways people can minimise their risk of bowel cancer.”
Dr Maula added, “Small, consistent changes over time can make a meaningful difference.”
Their prevention tips are:
- Maintaining a well-balanced diet,
- staying physically active,
- keeping to a healthy weight,
- limiting alcohol intake,
- avoiding smoking,
- attending screening when invited,
- supporting gut health by “prioritising fibre-rich whole foods” (we’re meant to eat 30g of fibre a day, but 90% of us don’t),
- reducing the consumption of ultra-processed products,
- supporting regular bowel movements,
- trying to reduce stress,
- getting enough sleep,
- adequate hydration, and
- reducing environmental toxic exposures wherever possible.
Speak to your GP if you notice possible signs of bowel cancer, like rectal bleeding, blood in your stool, changes in your bowel habits (like going more often, unusual constipation, or diarrhoea), feeling you still need to “go” after pooping, losing weight without meaning to, fatigue, and/or abdominal or rectal pain.
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