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Why Trump’s War In Iran Is Set To Make Us All Worse Off

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Fire and a plume of smoke is visible after, according to authorities, debris of an Iranian intercepted drone hit the Fujairah oil facility, in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 3, 2026.

Donald Trump’s war in Iran is set to have a trickle-down effect on prices around the world – meaning we could all end up worse off as a result.

The US president caused international chaos after he decided to work with Israel to launch strikes against Iran more than a week ago.

In retaliation, Tehran released missiles and drones on the neighbouring Gulf countries which are home to various US military bases.

It also effectively closed the Straits of Hormuz – the narrow stretch of water between the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman – by attacking the ships which travel through it.

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About 20 million barrels of oil moves through the strait each day. That’s around a fifth of the world’s supply.

With the oil industry under threat, the global energy market is on unsteady ground – meaning everyone’s pockets are about to be hit.

Here’s what you need to know.

Petrol Prices Set To Go Up

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The disruption in the Middle East is already sending the cost of Brent crude oil up.

It exceeded $105 (£78) a barrel on Monday, which is its highest price point in almost two years.

Gas has not increased in price this quickly since Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, a time when the west tried to rapidly wean itself off Moscow’s cheap oil exports.

Higher wholesale energy prices result in higher prices at the petrol pumps.

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The average cost of a litre of unleaded petrol was at 137.51p on Monday, while diesel cost 150.97p, according to the automotive services RAC – but both prices are expected to rise.

However, motorists have been urged not to panic-buy as this could be short-lived.

RAC’s head of policy Simon Williams told The Times: “We really shouldn’t see a shock jump in prices because wholesale fuel costs have only been rising gradually.

“Even though the price of Brent crude has risen, the impact of this shouldn’t be felt for more than a week.”

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Still, he predicted that unleaded would reach an average of 140p in the next week or so while diesel may go up to 160p.

Meanwhile, the Petrol Retailers Association has already written to chancellor Rachel Reeves requesting she drops plans to hike fuel duty later this year.

Trump – who is a multi-billionaire – has tried to downplay the impact of rising oil prices.

He wrote on TruthSocial: “Short term oil prices, which will drop rapidly when the destruction of the Iran nuclear threat is over, is a very small price to pay for USA, and World, Safety and Peace.”

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Energy Bills Expected To Rise

Changes in the oil market will hit energy bills too, as so many businesses and households are reliant on fossil fuels.

Wholesale gas prices in the UK have already increased by as much as 50% after Qatar stopped producing liquified natural gas as a result of the conflict.

The UK is more reliant on gas than many of its European allies though it has been moving towards renewable energy since the Ukraine invasion.

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It produces less than half of the gas it needs and imports the rest, meaning UK bills will still be impacted.

The good news is these higher wholesale costs will not trickle down to household budgets until July.

Energy regulator Ofgem controls how much companies can charge customers who are on standard variable tariffs for each unit of gas and electricity with a new amount every three months.

The cap has already been confirmed for April to June – £1,641 per year, for homes which use both oil and gas.

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However, the investment firm Stifel has warned that European wholesale gas prices could triple if the Strait of Hormuz closes for more than six weeks.

That would take the cap to £2,500 a year.

Fire and a plume of smoke is visible after, according to authorities, debris of an Iranian intercepted drone hit the Fujairah oil facility, in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 3, 2026.
Fire and a plume of smoke is visible after, according to authorities, debris of an Iranian intercepted drone hit the Fujairah oil facility, in Fujairah, United Arab Emirates, March 3, 2026.

Interest Rates Expected To Go Up

Approximately 1.2 million borrowers will have their fixed mortgage deals end between now and September, meaning they will be looking to take out a new agreement with the bank.

Mortgage rates were declining and the Bank of England was expected to cut its base rate of interest from 3.75%.

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But, the conflict in the Middle East means rates are now likely to go up.

Since Trump first initiated attacks on Iran, swap rates – the rate of interest lenders pay to institutions in return for fixed funding – went up by 0.2 percentage points.

That’s a cost which is likely to be passed onto homeowners.

For savers, a hike in interest rates is normally a positive as it means they get more returns on their savings.

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The stock market has stumbled in recent days but investing usually helps to defy the impact of high inflation rates.

Yet, the FTSE 100 – the Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index – fell nearly 200 points at one point on Monday, though it has already slightly improved.

Overall Economic Impact

Prominent economist Paul Johnson told Times Radio that the Iran war will likely take “at least half a point off growth” within the economy this year, if the conflict continues.

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He said: “That doesn’t sound like much, but that is quite a lot.

“That’s going to create problems for the public finances, and it’s going to make us all worse off.”

He added: “If energy prices are up, the UK and other countries dependent on energy will just be worse off, at least for the period that they’re higher.”

Johnson said the damage could be quite reduced if the war concludes quickly – but if it doesn’t, we could be in for “another couple of slightly miserable years.”

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Prime minister Keir Starmer also warned on Monday “that the longer this goes on, the more likely the potential for an impact on our economy, impact into the lives and households of everybody and every business”.

Even before the Iran war, the UK economy was already looking rather sluggish at the end of last year, with GDP going up by 0.1% between October and December.

Labour has been promising to improve the UK’s economic growth and address the rising cost of living for years.

But, the longer the conflict goes on, the worse it looks for the government’s plan to implement real change.

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Israel turns worshippers away from Ibrahimi mosque

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Israel turns worshippers away from Ibrahimi mosque

On the third Friday of Ramadan, Israeli occupation forces have restricted Palestinians in the West Bank city of Hebron from entering the Ibrahimi Mosque, a revered Muslim pilgrimage site.

Israel gatekeeps Ramadan in Hebron

Muslims gathered at the checkpoint to enter the mosque for Friday prayers, but Israeli forces allowed no more than 60 worshippers inside. Under normal circumstances, upwards of 5,000 Palestinians would attend Friday prayers at the Ibrahimi Mosque.

As the queue grew, the Canary spoke to several worshippers waiting at the mosque checkpoint.

Raneen, a 17 year-old Hebron resident, painted a different portrait of mosque life, prior to the war in Gaza.

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People came to the old city in large numbers. But since then, there have been less people here, because they are scared- because soldiers make problems for everyone. Now, because of the Iran war, there are even less people. Unfortunately they only let 50 people in today. I came here three hours ago but it is not allowed for me to enter the mosque.

Qusai, 27 years-old, spoke of the significance of Friday congressional prayers, especially during the holy month of Ramadan.

We are surprised, because we arrived at the checkpoint, and saw that soldiers have closed the entrance to the mosque. It’s very important for our religion, and important to pray here. Many people waited for the soldiers to open the checkpoint, but they did not let many people through. We have waited a long time.

In conversation with the Canary, Mohammad, aged 64, described deliberate strategy by occupational forces to extend control over Palestinian territories.

Israel does this to make it hard to come to Ibrahimi Mosque and the old city, to make everything empty and control the area. We are feeling very sad, as we’ve come from far away and we aren’t allowed to go in.

The sliding scale of religious freedoms

Since its emergence in 1947, Israel’s ethnoreligious state has treated Islam as an elected enemy. The religious freedoms granted for one community, and denied for another.

Angered by these latest restrictions, elderly resident, Yazeed, hit back saying:

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This is the occupation. They let 50 in so they can say the mosque is open today, but it isn’t! They are making control and do not let people have freedom to pray and go to their mosque.

This Ramadan, with its ongoing offensive war against Iran, the Israeli occupation has used the pretext of “security” to ground Palestinians, expand , and deny access to sites of worship in the West Bank. This has meant the journey to prayer has been markedly more difficult, with Palestinians forces to navigate a maze of check points and gates armed by occupational soldiers, and military checkpoints than usual. And there is growing uncertainty over whether the mosque will even be open.

This Ramadan, amid its ongoing offensive against Iran, the Israeli occupation has used the pretext of “security” to ground Palestinians, extend restrictions, and deny access to sites of worship in the West Bank. As a result, the journey to the Ibrahimi mosque, among others sites, has become laden with obstacles, with Palestinians forced to navigate a maze of gates and checkpoints manned by occupation soldiers. Uncertainty looms over when, and if, the mosque will reopen.

A mosque under siege

The restrictions began on the first day of Ramadan, when Israeli soldiers prevented Palestinians from entering the Ibrahimi Mosque, with reinforced deployments throughout the Old City surrounding the mosque.

Then, on Saturday 28 February, the first day of Israeli and America’s joint assault on Iran, occupation forces closed the gates of Ibrahimi Mosque “until further notice,” preventing both worshippers and Islamic Waqf staff from entering the compound.

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Then, on Saturday 28 February — the first day of Israel and America’s joint assault on Iran — occupation forces closed the gates of the Ibrahimi Mosque ‘until further notice,’ shuttering the compound and preventing worshippers and Islamic Waqf (religious endowment) from entering.

For Palestinian residents, the restrictions represent another escalation in a decades long battle for control of the sacred site. Zionist control over Hebron, known as al Khalil in Arabic, began after 1967 when ‘Israel’ occupied the West Bank and East Jerusalem. But in 1994, an illegal Israeli settler stormed the mosque, and massacred 29 Muslim worshippers during dawn prayers. After this incident, Israeli occupation authorities divided the mosque complex in two – annexing half of the mosque where Jewish worshipers pray. The larger portion was allocated to Jewish worshipers, leaving Palestinian muslims with less than half.

The IOF, of course, controls access to the entire site, through the use of metal detectors, checkpoints and restricted entrances. These measures not only affect Palestinian worshippers, but also the daily life and social fabric of the old city of Hebron, where the mosque is located. This area is under the total control of the Israeli occupation’s military, and has illegal Israeli settlements located there.

Ibrahimi Mosque’s storied history

The Ibrahimi Mosque, known to Jews as the Cave of the Patriarchs, is revered by both communities. It stands above a cave believed to contain the tomb of the Prophet Ibrahim.

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For centuries Muslims have travelled to Hebron to pray at the mosque. It is considered the fourth most sacred site in Islam, after the holy mosques in Mecca and Medina, and Jerusalem’s Al-Aqsa Mosque, which is also currently closed to Palestinian worshippers. Praying at these sites during Ramadan carries special spiritual significance for worshipers observing the holy month.

Control over the mosque’s administration has increasingly shifted away from Islamic authorities in recent years. Israel occupational forces guard every entrance to the Ibrahimi Mosque, and the Israeli occupation has even placed CCTV cameras in the Muslim section, allowing them to surveil Palestinians while they pray. In 2025, Israeli authorities also removed the Hebron municipality’s role in managing the site and transferred control to a settler council linked to the nearby illegal settlement of Kiryat Arba.

Cleaving access

The decision followed earlier moves limiting the authority of the Islamic Waqf, the endowment historically responsible for the management of Islamic sites. The changes could allow structural modifications to the complex, thought to include construction work and expanded facilities for Jewish worshippers, without Palestinian oversight.

These changes are part of an intentional broader transformation of the Old City of Hebron, by the Zionist regime. The area surrounding Ibrahimi Mosque lies in a heavily militarised zone where the IOF guard the settlers living in the illegal settlements established at the city’s centre. Military checkpoints, surveillance cameras and restricted streets now dominate what was once the busiest commercial district in the South of the West Bank. And the nearby Palestinian shops remain closed after years of closures and security restrictions.

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For as long as the occupation tightens its grip on Hebron’s Old City, Palestinians will assemble — prideful and peaceful — outside the Ibrahimi Mosque, undetered and unafraid. Prayer at the mosque is more than a sacred act or a conversation with God — it asserts their visibility as  part of Hebron’s cultural and religious fabric. It’s not heroic or provocative, but an affirmation of what should be ordinary, yet is criminalised under occupation.

Featured image via Charlie Jaay

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The House | Zack Polanski: “There’s A Lot Of Inauthenticity In Politics, But It’s Not Coming From Me”

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Zack Polanski: “There’s A Lot Of Inauthenticity In Politics, But It’s Not Coming From Me”
Zack Polanski: “There’s A Lot Of Inauthenticity In Politics, But It’s Not Coming From Me”

Zack Polanski (Photography by Louise Haywood-Schiefer)


12 min read

Green Party leader Zack Polanski talks to Sienna Rodgers about his by-election success, potential Labour defectors, and how his upbringing shapes his views on Zionism

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Zack Polanski is still revelling in a historic by-election victory in Gorton and Denton, where plumber Hannah Spencer won over 40 per cent of the vote, when he visits The House offices.

The Greens’ unquestionable triumph in Manchester and corresponding jump in the national polls have been quickly overshadowed, however, by events abroad as Israel and the US launched attacks on Iran.

Polanski’s deputy, Mothin Ali, reacted to the strikes by joining a protest that critics characterised as supportive of the Iranian regime but the Greens describe simply as anti-war.

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“I can’t guarantee that I’ve never been on a march where someone hasn’t said something I disagree with,” the leader says, confirming that he would attend these protests himself, even though attendees were flying pro-regime flags and mourning Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. “It’s cynical when people seek to smear people who are being voices of peace by finding one poster or one line that someone said in a speech.”

What is his message to those who will look to use this opportunity to escape a theocratic regime that executes gay people and oppresses women?

“We need absolute solidarity with the Iranian people, and I’ve been consistent on this for years,” he replies, resolute in his warning that the UK could be “dragged into another illegal war”. He supports sanctions on Iran but says they must be “handled very carefully” or they risk hitting the poorest.

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Polanski contends that Britain cannot rely on President Trump – who is a “real threat” and not an ally – being out of office in a few years. “We might get something worse than Donald Trump. It’s really important that we have our own sovereignty here, we stand on our own two feet, and we recognise, thankfully, we’re not an empire any more. We’re a small island.”

He would like to rejoin the EU at some point (“we are stronger together”). But for now, does he recognise that British security is deeply reliant on the US, which is something that cannot be changed quickly?

“Yes, in the short term, it’s very difficult to disentangle our military from the US,” he acknowledges. “I think the important thing to do, in the short term, is to look at: ‘What does the plan look like in the longer term?’ and then to begin to execute it. To make sure that, ultimately, we’re protecting this country.”

As we turn to coastal communities, Polanski’s prescription is much the same: difficult problems simply require clear leadership.

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When local residents protest the new infrastructure needed to reach net-zero targets, who wins – democracy or the environment? “I think you can have both,” he says. “You have to show leadership. Far too often, consultation actually means notification.”

His description of this ideal might sound like notification with more communication. “What’s really powerful is when a politician turns up in the community and says: ‘This is what we need to get done. This is why I’m taking you on that journey. Let’s work out how we can do it together.’” But he insists this approach can build trust.

Polanski characterises Keir Starmer, by contrast, as having a “worrying authoritarian edge to him”.

“I don’t think this is what Labour MPs stand for at all. So many of them are so deeply frustrated and disappointed right now. In fact, I know they are because I speak to them,” he continues. “I know many of them are just hanging on in there, and I get that – they’re waiting for another leadership contest.”

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Andy Burnham is often regarded as the Labour politician with the charisma to counteract the Polanski effect, but he was blocked by the leadership from entering Parliament.

While Polanski does not believe the Greater Manchester mayor would have held Gorton and Denton for Labour, he admits: “When he wasn’t selected, I’ll be completely honest, I was really happy about it, because it would’ve been really tricky.”

The Green leader claims to hope that dissenting Labour MPs will “increasingly find their voice”, yet he doubts their ability to do so: “The Prime Minister far too often holds them in contempt.”

How many is he discussing defection with? “If you speak to some Labour MPs, some days it seems like it’s going to be their last day in the party, and other days they’ve seen a glimmer of light and think everything’s going to be OK.”

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Pushed for a number of potential defectors, he says it has reached “a handful”.

Zack Polanski
Zack Polanski (Photography by Louise Haywood-Schiefer)

The Green leader, who listens to political podcasts at three times the normal speed, is a fast talker.

Although his favourite content comes from Twitch and YouTube streamers, he refers to “the cesspit that is online”, where it feels like “everyone in the world hates each other”. He suspects that bots were used to target him during the by-election campaign because the level of abuse dropped off as soon as it ended.

“When you look at my posts during that campaign – which would have comment after comment about my teeth, about politics, about all sorts of things – that went from, like, 95 per cent of the comments to five per cent almost overnight.”

Polanski, 43, was shy as a child and drew further into himself when his parents divorced. He credits drama classes at school for building his confidence. He later became an actor and, more controversially, a hypnotherapist. (In 2013 he was persuaded by a reporter to boost her cup size with the power of the mind, as an experiment. He has apologised for the incident while saying it was misrepresented by the Sun.)

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He became a London Assembly member in 2021, deputy leader of the Greens the following year, and six months ago easily won the top job with 85 per cent of party member votes.

“If I didn’t have those drama classes when I was 11, I certainly wouldn’t be doing what I’m doing now,” he says. “I felt so insecure about who I was and my place in the world and what was going on about my family. Like so many young people at that age, if their parents divorce, I felt like it was my fault and I’d done something wrong.”

After attending a Jewish school that he enjoyed, he moved at secondary age to Stockport grammar, a private school, on a scholarship. Bullied for being Jewish and more so for being gay, he “absolutely hated every second of it”.

As the eldest of his father’s children, the youngest of his mother’s, and the only child of both parents, he “fit every category” of siblinghood, which one imagines must have felt like fitting none of the categories.

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While his dad worked in a DIY shop and his mum did lots of jobs – in theatres, as a make-up artist – he cannot easily define himself in terms of class either: “I was one of the poorer children at school but, still, my story is not a story of poverty.”

Do his parents support the Greens now? “I don’t talk about my parents – just because I’m in public life, but they’re not,” he replies, though the Guardian reported last year that they were Green voters. He is more guarded than one might expect from a politician pitching themselves as a straight talker.

Apart from inhaling the chocolatey fumes of the nearby McVitie’s factory via his bedroom window, the only positive childhood memory he recalls is being part of the Jewish community in northern Manchester, including cheder on Sundays.

Being raised in a pro-Israel family must complicate his feelings about the Jewish state. What did Zionism mean to him at that time?

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“When I was growing up, the story of Israel was always ever-present in the family home and in the school,” he says. “As I got older, though, I was always really aware of socialist Zionism, a small group of people that were always against the eviction of the Palestinians from their homeland, and [non-Zionist Jewish socialist movement] Bundism as well.

“So, there’s lots of different aspects of what a Jewish homeland would look like. It is a complicated, sensitive and nuanced conversation. What is clear to me, though, is what Zionism is under Benjamin Netanyahu – a genocidal regime.”

“Zionism is racism” is the title of a motion that is being sent to the next Green Party Conference and that Polanski has not opposed. Would that statement not flatten the nuance he speaks of? “If we’re talking about Benjamin Netanyahu and the genocidal regime, then that is obviously racist,” he replies.

But “Zionism is racism” would be labelling as racist those he grew up alongside – family, friends – who consider themselves Zionist.

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“I think all statements and slogans are complicated because there’s always more nuance behind a sentence, and so that’s why I think the sentence needs qualifying to talk about the present day and what’s happening right now.”

He would not consider them racists for being Zionists, though, would he? “Who, sorry?” Zionists he grew up around, for example. “I think if someone supports Benjamin Netanyahu’s genocide, then I think there’s no other definition of that than racist.”

But he has mentioned different kinds, such as socialist Zionism? “Yeah, and so that’s for that person to define what their Zionism is. That’s why I’m defining the Zionism that I’m talking about. And that’s the problem with labels, right?”

In the Gorton and Denton campaign, critics opposed the Green Party’s use of videos in Urdu. Would he do one in Hebrew? “Yes.”

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He was born David Paulden before he changed his name (Zack after the Jewish character in Goodnight Mister Tom; Polanski to restore his familial name). Together with his professional background as an actor, and his past as a Liberal Democrat who so opposed Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour leadership that he heckled him at a rally, the rebranding has led to charges of inauthenticity from some. How does he respond?

“I’d laugh in their face. I think there’s a lot of inauthenticity in politics, but it’s not coming from me.”

Asked when his thinking changed on Corbyn, who endorsed the Greens in the by-election, Polanski explains: “Lots of people have been on this journey… I really bought the fairytale that a national economy was anything like a household budget.”

Citing Extinction Rebellion and becoming a vegan as contributing factors to his political journey, he argues that openly changing his mind helps to connect with people. “I’m almost more suspicious of politicians who have a fixed mindset about everything,” he says.

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Many would say Corbyn is one of those politicians. “Me and Jeremy Corbyn are very different people. He’s said so. He wouldn’t mind me saying that,” he replies.

When Corbyn was opposition leader in 2018, Polanski tweeted that as “a pro-European Jew”, these were “two reasons I couldn’t vote for Labour under Jeremy Corbyn”.

“Since then, we’ve had a book by Paul Holden, The Fraud, which I think has laid out the cynical and systemic deliberate obfuscation of a really serious issue like antisemitism. I believe that I believed what I was reading and what I was seeing,” he explains today.

“I’m a Jewish leader of a political party who regularly gets accused of antisemitism. I think we need to take antisemitism really seriously, and I don’t believe a political weaponisation of it is the way to do it.”

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Zack Polanski (Photography by Louise Haywood-Schiefer)
Zack Polanski (Photography by Louise Haywood-Schiefer)

So, what next for Zack Polanski?

He is not interested in the London mayoralty for himself – “I’m more focused on Parliament” – but reckons New York’s Zohran Mamdani offers a blueprint for Green success. (The pair are liaising on their shared love of video-based comms.) Nor would he run in any non-London by-election: “What I will be doing is looking for the future Hannah Spencers.”

Polanski has made it clear that he would not stand against Diane Abbott in her Hackney North and Stoke Newington seat, where he currently rents with his partner Richie. Opposing a “national treasure” is a “non-starter”, he stresses. Yet the idea, The House understands, is that he could be her successor.

“I don’t think anyone should be rushing her for an answer,” says the Green leader. “It’s definitely not up to me to decide when Diane Abbott is going to retire.” Yet he does not reject the concept: “Hackney North and Stoke Newington is one seat that is definitely in consideration.”

And, where for the Green Party? In pushing Labour into third place in a previously safe seat, they have put a serious dent – if not altogether destroyed – the argument that Labour is the only left alternative to Reform UK.

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“My target is to be an MP within a much bigger group of Green MPs. Whether that is having a confidence and supply deal, or any government relationship, really depends on what the voters decide, who the leader of the biggest party is, what they’re offering,” Polanski says.

He rules out any kind of partnership with Starmer: “I think that relationship is broken. There are plenty of Labour MPs that I would very happily work with, such as Nadia Whittome, Clive Lewis, but I think the chances of them leading the Labour Party, with no disrespect to them, are about as likely as me leading the Labour Party.”

A progressive alliance is similarly dismissed, now that the Greens are “confident in our own ability to win” – even if the Tories and Reform unite the right.

“Gorton and Denton was our 127th target seat, which now means there’s no no-go areas for the Green Party in the country. What we’ve absolutely smashed out the park now is that idea of a wasted vote. That line was holding us back for decades, and I cannot wait to see how much faster we can move now.”

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As we leave Millbank Tower, an office worker spots the Green leader and begins waving excitedly from inside. By the time Polanski is explaining that he now receives Nigel Farage levels of attention, she has abandoned her desk and come out to praise him in person. He looks faintly self-conscious – but does not miss his cue. 

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Mel Stride: Axe the Fuel Tax

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Mel Stride: Axe the Fuel Tax

https://x.com/meljstride/status/2031044361484411143?s=61

The post Mel Stride: Axe the Fuel Tax appeared first on Conservative Home.

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Aphra Brandreth: Why the Commonwealth matters in a changing world

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Aphra Brandreth: Why the Commonwealth matters in a changing world

Aphra Brandreth MP is Member of Parliament for Chester South & Eddisbury.

Unlocking Opportunity: Why the Commonwealth Matters in a Changing World

Britain has slipped to fourth place in the 2026 Global Soft Power Index, behind the United States, China and now Japan. One explanation often offered for this decline is that Britain has adopted a more isolationist foreign policy since leaving the European Union. Yet this interpretation does not stand up to scrutiny. In reality, under the previous Conservative government, the United Kingdom expanded its engagement with new markets and emerging opportunities beyond Europe, seeking to strengthen ties with regions that will play an increasingly significant role in the global economy in the decades ahead.

One clear example of Britain working in partnership with countries around the world is the Commonwealth, the largest and oldest transnational association of nations. Its membership spans every continent and represents around a third of the world’s population. The modern Commonwealth is sometimes mistakenly viewed as a continuation of the British Empire, but this characterisation is outdated. Today it is better understood as a voluntary family of nations committed to shared principles including development, democracy and peace, where every member state has an equal voice regardless of size or economic strength. The fact that the four most recent members have no historical ties to the British Empire illustrates how the Commonwealth has evolved into a forward-looking partnership rather than a legacy institution. Britain is just one of 56 countries working together through this network of cooperation and shared values. In an increasingly unstable world, the importance of such partnerships, and of working as equal partners, should not be underestimated.

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The modern Commonwealth was established in 1949, in the years since the world has changed dramatically. Today with war on our doorstep in Europe, and the Middle East in chaos, it is clear that the international system is becoming increasingly multipolar, uncertain and, at times, dangerous. In this environment, networks that bring countries together around shared values and encourage dialogue between diverse nations matter more than ever – highlighting the enduring importance of the Commonwealth.

Yet Britain today faces a clear soft power challenge. In an increasingly unstable and volatile world, strengthening our hard power remains essential. However, influence in the modern era is exercised in many ways. Too often discussions about global competition focus solely on military capability, whether measured by the size of navies, the strength of air forces, or the number of soldiers in our armies. These capabilities remain vital, but soft power, expressed through our cultural influence, diplomatic networks, educational institutions and economic partnerships, can be just as significant in shaping global influence. This year’s Commonwealth Day offers a timely opportunity not only to celebrate one of the world’s most enduring transnational networks, but also to look ahead. Its theme, “Unlocking Opportunities Together for a Prosperous Commonwealth,” reflects the potential of this partnership to expand cooperation and create new opportunities for its member nations. For Britain, it is an opportunity to deepen collaboration with partners across the Commonwealth and to work together to unlock the opportunities that this unique network provides.

Recent developments illustrate how Commonwealth relationships could help shape the global dynamics of tomorrow. Last week, Canada’s Conservative Party leader, Pierre Poilievre, outlined a vision in which the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia and New Zealand deepen their cooperation in areas such as defence, trade, mobility and skills. Greater collaboration between these nations would not only generate economic, cultural and social benefits, but would also strengthen our collective voice at a time when speaking with clarity and conviction on the international stage matters more than ever.

Of course, it would be unrealistic to replicate a CANZUK-style framework across the entire Commonwealth.

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The diversity of its membership, spanning every region, culture and stage of economic development, makes such an arrangement impractical. Yet that diversity is also one of the Commonwealth’s greatest strengths. While deeper integration may be possible between some members, there remains significant scope to expand cooperation across the wider network wherever it is mutually beneficial. Whether through trade, education, diplomacy or development, the Commonwealth provides a unique platform through which its 56 members can strengthen partnerships and unlock new opportunities for growth and collaboration.

Britain must recognise a simple reality.

In today’s world, influence is rarely exercised alone. Power is more widely distributed, and the ability to shape events increasingly depends on the strength of partnerships and alliances. That challenge has been compounded by the current Labour Government’s hesitant and ineffective response to the crisis in the Middle East, which has done little to reinforce Britain’s credibility on the global stage. Networks such as the Commonwealth therefore become even more valuable. If Britain approaches this partnership with ambition, humility and a clear sense of purpose, it can help deepen cooperation between member states while strengthening its own global influence in the process.

By working alongside Commonwealth partners to expand opportunity, strengthen connections and address shared challenges, Britain can help ensure that this remarkable network remains a force for stability, cooperation and prosperity in an increasingly uncertain world.

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ADHD experts debunk Labour’s ‘overdiagnosis’ myth

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ADHD experts debunk Labour's 'overdiagnosis' myth

A team of 32 experts has published a paper proving there is no evidence that ADHD is overdiagnosed — a big fuck you to the Labour government pedalling this dangerous lie.

Government departments unite against disabled people

The Department of Health and Social Care (DHSC) has launched reviews into the strain of ‘overdiagnosis’ of neurodivergent and mental health conditions has on the NHS.

Meanwhile, the Department of Work and Pensions (DWP) is in the process of reforming PIP. One of the main things the disability benefits cuts protests stopped last year was them limiting eligibility. This would’ve especially affected people with conditions such as ADHD. Streeting’s reviews would give them the ammunition to do that.

And it’s not just those departments that are ramping up hatred. Prime Minister Kier Starmer has also stated that there’s a “moral case” for changing PIP eligibility. Moreover, I don’t think we should be taking morality lessons from those enabling genocide.

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Experts debunk overdiagnosis myth

With the media complicit in benefits hate, it’s so important that medical experts are standing up and proving the government to be liars.

32 experts came together to publish ADHD (over) diagnosis: fiction, fashion and failure in the British Journal of Psychiatry. The report overwhelmingly rules that

There is no evidence that ADHD is over-diagnosed in the UK

The authors state that, in fact, just 5.4% of children and 3.3% of adults are estimated to have ADHD. They also explain that while health records do show a rise in diagnosis between 2000 and 2018, it is nowhere near what it should be.

While the administrative prevalence of ADHD has increased over time, available pre-pandemic data suggest that it has remained substantially below the ADHD population prevalence in the UK, providing no evidence at present that ADHD is over-diagnosed at a population level.

They said this increase in diagnoses could be because more people know about ADHD than in the past. In the last few years, for instance, far more older women have discovered they have ADHD. This was missed in childhood.

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Labour’s lies are a barrier to ADHD diagnosis

The report states that, if anything, it’s still massively underdiagnosed, largely because the NHS isn’t funded enough to support people with ADHD.

Beyond the controversy around over- or under-diagnosis and over-medicalisation of ordinary behaviours or emotions, the main issue is that UK clinical services cannot adequately support individuals with ADHD who need help.

It also skewered the pervasive narrative that ADHD is overdiagnosed, coming from the media and politicians

There is a risk that the narrative claiming ‘ADHD is over-diagnosed’ could be used to deny people with properly-diagnosed ADHD the care they deserve.

Which, funnily enough, is exactly what Labour plans to do.

It’s clear to see that Labour doesn’t actually care if ADHD actually is overdiagnosed; they just want to strip disabled people of vital support. But hopefully, with the overwhelming evidence against them, they will be called on their bullshit.

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LIVE: Reform Launches Local Election Tour

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Lammy is STILL refusing to listen to legal experts on jury trials

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Lammy is STILL refusing to listen to legal experts on jury trials

A criminal barrister has demolished Justice Secretary David Lammy on social media for his terrible ability to understand the law and its impacts on ordinary people.

This intervention came after Lammy posted a propaganda clip from the Ministry of Justice (MoJ) which compares the incomparable. Apparently, the MoJ believe that having a jury of peers decide a defendant’s guilt when sentences are less than three years is akin to demanding to see an NHS consultant after scraping a knee.

This has been condemned by criminal barristers on X, highlighting just how out of touch our political elite are. Some have said that Lammy’s insistence on curbing our right to a fair trial and attempts to minimise its impact should see the Justice Secretary resign.

The Secret Barrister certainly didn’t mince his words:

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Lammy needs to listen: the right to a fair trial includes right to a trial by jury

Once again, the UK government is shown to be woefully inept with cabinet ministers unable to even exercise their supposed specialised knowledge. Lammy, a qualified barrister and first black Briton to study at Harvard, seems incapable, or unwilling, to be honest about the likely impact of his penny-pinching policy to remove jury trials in some criminal cases. This will be applied to ‘either-way’ offences which would see a sentence lesser than three years.

Our own Alex/Rose Cocker wrote in December about the open letter signed by over 100 lawyers slamming the decision to withdraw jury trials through Lammy’s Crown Court Bench Division (CCBD). We wrote:

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The letter listed many compelling reasons that the CCBD would be unworkable. It would require significant recruitment of magistrates – a judge and two lay magistrates for most offences. However, the magistracy has been in decline, and there’s serious doubt over whether enough could actually be recruited at all. As such, magistrates and support staff would likely be drawn from the pool staffing Crown Court and magistrates’ courts.

Diverting judges from sitting Crown Court jury trials would not reduce the backlog. Likewise, if there’s money to pay new judges, it should be going to the Crown Court as it currently exists. Similarly, the CCBD need deliberation rooms, office space, waiting rooms, cells and docks. If there’s money for these new facilities, it should go towards reducing the backlog of the existing Crown Court.

However, this new video which compares someone scraping a knee and insisting on a consultant’s attention to our right under the ECHR to a trial by jury is tasteless and out of touch. It also shows that Lammy has refused to heed the warnings from other legal professionals. This freedom exists to protect citizens against state overreach, ensuring that citizens are judged with the oversight of a jury of their peers maintaining transparency and accountability.

Lammy is a qualified lawyer, so he should know better.

Apples and oranges

The offending video from the Ministry of Justice can be seen here:

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Another criminal barrister has also politely highlighted the obvious – a scraped knee is not the same as ending up in prison for up to three years:

Joanna Hardy-Susskind elaborated:

A three year prison sentence will destroy your life, ruin your job, almost certainly wreck your mental health, it will impact your relationships, your children, your parents, your prospects of work, having a home, your good name – and you can’t stick a plaster on any of that.

Adding:

They use an example of stealing a bottle of whisky deliberately, you see. Because it sounds lightweight & silly. But either way offences with sentences less than 3 years will include some sexual assaults, some ABHs, some s20 GBHs & some frauds.

It’s not about whisky.

Or knees.

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Hardy-Susskind finished by pointing out the obvious:

I’m not sure which bit is worse. The comparison to hospital, to triage or the gutting of the presumption of innocence.

The trial is there to determine *if* someone has stolen. But the hospital, hopefully, isn’t staring at a bloody knee & asking *if* it’s hurt.

The Secret Barrister further reminded just why we have the right to a trial by jury, and just who it will hurt when taken away:

Every time you read one of these disingenuous – no, strike that – outrageously dishonest propaganda pieces from @DavidLammy and @sarahsackman, remember that the freedoms they wish to curtail are designed to protect people wrongly accused of criminal offences.

And the barrister reminds ‘it could be you’ next:

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Every time they distract you with absurd and misleading claims about abolishing juries being necessary to get “offenders” and protect “victims”, what they are trying to hide is that innocent people end up in criminal courts.

It could be you.

It is your rights they are attacking

Finishing:

David and Sarah want to give *you* – the wrongly accused – a lower quality of justice whenever you face up to *three years of your life* in prison.

And they don’t even have the decency to make their case on the evidence.

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Just bluster, distraction and, I’m afraid to say, lies.

This account on X possibly highlights just where Lammy’s Freudian slip comes in where he refers to those affected as ‘offenders’. So much for innocent until proven guilty:

Even Tory leader Kemi Badenoch has spoken up against curbing this necessary civil protection:

Labour MP Karl Turner confronted Lammy on how life-destroying these sentences can be and highlights those who always seem to evade justice:

Shame on David Lammy

Once again, those in power expect the British public to accept a decline in our quality of life, food, opportunity, and healthcare while our costs continue to rise. Now David Lammy wants to save money by stripping protections from those at the bottom of the ladder. After all, ordinary people do not have access to expensive lawyers and can often be pressured into extremely difficult situations.

All the while this government refuses to look to the wealthiest to cough up fair taxes against their obscene riches. Let alone the fact that it is well known that inequality increases the likelihood of both violent and property crime, so ordinary people will be punished for conditions beyond their control.

Introducing these changes at a time when cases of sexual assault are increasing is also deeply concerning. As the barristers highlighted, the proposal would apply to any case where the potential sentence is less than three years. If prisons become overcrowded, could judges face pressure to impose non-custodial sentences instead? Without the oversight provided by juries, that risk for women and girls becomes far more likely.

We need jury trials: the accused need to be judged by their peers not the elite. We cannot allow the risk for politics, prejudice, and discrimination to gain more ground in our legal system.

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Britain must wake up to Iran’s malign influence

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Britain must wake up to Iran’s malign influence

Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, likes to present himself as a pious and self-sacrificing servant of the Islamist regime he has suddenly found himself leading. But there are limits to this humility. According to an investigative report by Bloomberg, Khamenei Jr has a property empire worth hundreds of millions of pounds in London alone, including 11 houses in Hampstead and two apartments in Kensington.

London has long had a reputation for being a second home for very rich Middle Eastern princelings. However, the portfolio of Khamenei, who was appointed as his father’s successor over the weekend, appears to be in a different league altogether. His houses in Hampstead are all reportedly on the Bishops Avenue, also known as ‘billionaire’s row’. His two homes in Kensington, as well as reportedly overlooking the Israeli embassy, are a short distance from Kensington Palace, the official home of the Prince and Princess of Wales. Mojtaba Khamenei has done very well for himself indeed.

How this squares with the Islamic Republic’s view of the UK as ‘evil’ – a term used by his father, Ali Khamenei – isn’t immediately obvious. Indeed, despite the republic’s well known antipathy to the West, encapsulated in the regime’s ‘Death to America’ motto, many children of the Iranian leadership seem to prefer life in supposedly corrupt, irreligious societies such as America and the UK. It has been widely reported that the niece of Hassan Rouhani, a former president of Iran, works for Deutsche Bank in London. She is one of apparently 4,000 aghazedehs (Iranian nobles) who have ditched life in the Islamic Republic in favour of life in its supposed existential enemies.

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It is further evidence of just how corrupt and hypocritical the Islamic Republic is. Despite extolling simplicity and austerity, and indeed enforcing these ‘ideals’ on its population, the republic’s leaders have enriched themselves at the expense of their long-suffering population. Indeed, before Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed by American and Israeli airstrikes last month, it was reported that he had a business empire worth $95 billion.

For Mojtaba Khamenei to invest in London is comparatively harmless, at least compared with the regime’s other overseas activities. We were reminded of these other activities just last week, when four people were arrested in London on suspicion of spying for Tehran. One man was an Iranian national while the other three were dual Iranian-British citizens.

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According to the i paper, Iran has been using the encrypted messaging service, Telegram, to conscript an army of low-level criminals to carry out not only spying and surveillance activities, but also far more serious offences. In February, UK prime minister Keir Starmer stated that the ‘Iranian regime poses a direct threat to dissidents and the Jewish community [in the UK]’. Starmer said that, in the past year alone, UK intelligence services had thwarted 20 ‘potentially lethal’ attacks on British soil.

The Islamic Republic’s sinister reach into British public life is extensive. The Islamic Centre of England (ICE) has been under investigation by the Charity Commission since 2022 for its close ties to the Iranian regime. According to a recent report published by Lord Walney, the government’s former extremism adviser, there are roughly 30 charities and community organisations in the UK maintaining the ‘influence and interests’ of Tehran, of which ICE is allegedly the ‘central node’. The Islamic Republic even has its own school in London – the Islamic Republic of Iran School in Maida Vale, where students were filmed in 2022 singing about the massacre of Jews.

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Indeed, Iran has been causing disruption and seeding division in Western countries for some time. In August, Australia told the Iranian ambassador to leave the country after it emerged that the anti-Semitic campaign of terror that has plagued Australia since 7 October 2023 largely bore Tehran’s fingerprints. This included the firebombing of a synagogue in Melbourne as well as repeated attacks on Jewish businesses. According to the head of Australia’s security services, Mike Burgess, Iran had been employing a similar tactic to the one that’s since emerged in the UK: ‘They’re just using cut-outs, including people who are criminals and members of low-level crime gangs to do their bidding.’ Australian prime minister Anthony Albanese said the Islamic Republic was attempting ‘to undermine social cohesion and sow discord in our community’.

There is some consolation in the thought that Mojtaba Khamenei’s London mansions aren’t much use to him now. But the UK should never have allowed the Islamic Republic to gain such a foothold in British society. Iran’s malign influence must be countered, once and for all.

Hugo Timms is a staff writer at spiked.

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Hannah Spencer threatened by far-right thugs

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Hannah Spencer threatened by far-right thugs

On International Women’s Day 2026, a group of aggressive far-right men openly harassed MP Hannah Spencer in Manchester. The situation was so concerning that she had to take refuge in a police car.

The new Green MP for Gorton and Denton had been speaking at an anti-fascist event in the city. But a far-right group went from shouting during speeches to actually following her through Piccadilly Gardens.

The far-right agitators were aggressively pushing Spencer on trans questions in particular. And members of the group were clearly itching for a fight. Because there were a number of scuffles around Spencer as police escorted her away from the scene.

The police, meanwhile, seemed mostly to take a hands-off approach. This is despite local authorities apparently knowing exactly who some of the agitators were. As one attendee said:

The cops let the known far right roam in and out of the crowd. They let them back in again after they harassed an MP.

The YouTube fascists, she said, had been “harassing all afternoon“. Nonetheless, police preferred to have a laugh with them and:

let the far right to the front

Far-right voices have tried to gaslight people into thinking Spencer’s team was somehow responsible for scuffles. But if you watch the footage, you can see exactly the type of aggression Spencer and her entourage were facing.

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The fascists weren’t there for women. “They were there for intimidation.”

As journalist Femi Oluwole said:

these men were wearing signs that said that they don’t want men in female spaces. Yet they are violently and aggressively pushing their way into a female MP’s personal space. No trans woman has ever made Hannah Spencer feel as unsafe as those men just did, which just shows that they weren’t there because they actually believe in their cause. They were there for intimidation.

Many people felt the same, highlighting the hypocrisy of the agitators:

As Sue V insisted, the agitators have a record. And police need to take their threat to democracy and public safety seriously:

As long as authorities fail to deal with them, though, it’s on all the rest of us to protect each other as best we can:

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Can you hear us now? Collective scream for women at upcoming event in Manchester

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Can you hear us now? Collective scream for women at upcoming event in Manchester

In collaboration with Women Against the Far Right, author Blair James has organised a protest event in response to multiple recent events. These include:

Supported by numerous women-focused and feminist groups, the coalition will lead a rally in St Peter’s Square, outside Manchester Central Library. It will take place on Thursday 19 March, starting at 6:30pm.

The rally will feature speeches and readings from organisers, public figures, and artists. Speakers include Harriet Williamson, commissioning editor and reporter from Novara Media and Steph Pike from Stop the War. Stalls from local feminist and women-focused groups are welcome in the rally area.

To mark the beginning of the march, organisers will lead one minute’s silence for victims, followed by a collective “primal scream” in which all attendees will be asked to scream simultaneously to symbolise the reclaiming of women’s voices.

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The march will then begin from the rally space and head to:

  • Rise Up, Women, the Emmeline Pankhurst statue.
  • Over to the Manchester City Centre Police Public Enquiry Counter on Mount Street.
  • Around to Manchester Town Hall on Albert Square.
  • Down to Manchester Crown Court.
  • Through The Avenue in Spinningfields.
  • Onto Deansgate.
  • Through Jackson’s Row and Bootle Street.
  • Over to the Peterloo Massacre Monument on Windmill Street.
  • And finally back across to St Peter’s Square.

The route will pass these places to signify our demand for accountability and change. Organisers will then gather marchers back to the rally area and give closing remarks.

Bringing women together

The goal of the event is to bring women together to express their abhorrence of the misogynistic corruption going on today and to create action which is peaceful yet unique, meaningful, and effective.

The event is intersectional and inclusive of all women, non-binary persons, and children. The purpose of the scream is to give a voice to women and survivors and to break the silence which upholds enabling systems, demanding accountability; safeguarding; transparency; and ending abuses against women and children.

The march is held in the evening purposefully to demand women’s safety akin to Reclaim the Night style work.

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Speaking about the urge to create the event, James said:

The problem is that men are never really going to be interested or motivated to change systems that support them. Women need to step forward.

Dr Jilly Kay is senior lecturer in Communication and Media at Loughborough University. She specialises in feminist media and is co-convenor of the cross-institutional Media and Gender research group. She called the protest “an important event.”

Adele Dolan from Intersectional Uprising said:

An incredibly powerful event! We look forward to marching alongside you all in solidarity!

Bioengineer, author, and researcher, Ojochide Obidi, called the event a “beautiful initiative.”

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Ash Sarkar from Novara Media also said that this is “an important event.”

Steph Barney, CEO of Girls on the Go said that the event is:

incredible and so important – such a meaningful event for the community. We will definitely be sending our team to attend in person and show our support on the 19th. It’s an incredibly powerful initiative and we’re glad to be a part of it.

James, Women Against the Far Right, and all collaborators invite all women from near and far to join the rally and march. More speakers and supporters will be announced in the run up to the event.

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