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2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, predictions, field: PGA picks this week from 10,000 simulations

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The PGA Florida Swing continues on Thursday with the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational at Arnold Palmer’s Bay Hill Club and Lodge. The Signature Event status for this tournament brings virtually all of the PGA’s top players back after most sat out last week’s Cognizant Classic. The top-10 players in the Official World Golf Ranking are all in the field, and it’s Scottie Scheffler who is atop the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds board at FanDuel Sportsbook.

He’s the +350 favorite (risk $100 to win $350), followed by Rory McIlroy at +1000. Tommy Fleetwood (+2000), Matt Fitzpatrick (+2200), Collin Morikawa (+2500) and Xander Schauffele (+2500) are among the other 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational favorites. Before locking in any 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, entering any Arnold Palmer Invitational one and done contests, or making any PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting picks that have a history of being extremely profitable. 

This same model has also nailed a whopping 16 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters — its fourth Masters in a row — as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites

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New users can also target the DraftKings promo code, which offers $200 in bonus bets if your first $5+ bet wins:

Now that the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational field is locked in, the model simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one and done contests or golf DFS lineups. 

2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the API 2026: Schauffele, one of the favorites and a two-time major winner, barely cracks the top 10 of the projected leaderboard. He’s a golfer to fade. The 32-year-old finished T7 at the Genesis Invitational last time out, but otherwise has finished T19 or worse in every other tournament this year. He’s never finished in the top 20 of this tournament and was T40 after barely making the cut at this event last year. See who else to fade here

Another surprise: The model says Si Woo Kim makes a strong run at the title, even though he’s a +3300 longshot. Kim has cooled a bit in his past two events, but he opened the season with four straight finishes of T11 or better, including a T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T3 at the WM Phoenix Open. See who else to pick here

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New users can also check out the latest FanDuel promo code and get $100 in bonus bets at FanDuel if your first $5+ bet wins:

How to make 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks

The model is also says three golfers going off at +3000 or higher will make a run at the top spot on the leaderboard. You can only see the model’s picks here

Who will win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational, and which massive longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.

2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational odds, favorites 

Get full 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, best bets and predictions here
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

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Scottie Scheffler +350
Rory McIlroy +1000
Tommy Fleetwood +2000
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Collin Morikawa +2500
Xander Schauffele +2500
Harris English +3000
Si Woo Kim +3300
Russell Henley +3300
Hideki Matsuyama +3300
Ludvig Åberg +3300
Viktor Hovland +3300
Cameron Young +3500
Min Woo Lee +4000
Patrick Cantlay +4000
Jake Knapp +4000
Sam Burns +4500
Robert MacIntyre +4500
Chris Gotterup +4500
Kurt Kitayama +4500
Adam Scott +4500
Shane Lowry +4500
Justin Rose +5000
Sepp Straka +5000
Rickie Fowler +5500
Ben Griffin+5500
Ryan Gerard +5500
Maverick McNealy +5500
Pierceson Coody +5500
Nicolai Højgaard +6000
Jacob Bridgeman +6000
Justin Thomas +6500
Jordan Spieth +6500
Akshay Bhatia +6500
Corey Conners +6500
Jason Day +7000
Keegan Bradley +7000
Nick Taylor +8000
J.J. Spaun +8000
Ryan Fox +8000
Keith Mitchell +8000
Ryo Hisatsune +10000
Sahith Theegala +10000
Michael Thorbjornsen +10000
Nico Echavarria +10000
Harry Hall +10000
Alex Noren +10000
Samuel Stevens +10000

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Brock Lesnar retires?! Several new champions crowned!! 

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WWE WrestleMania 42 Night 1 was a divisive night of action with mixed reviews. Did the Show of Shows recover on Night 2? Let’s find out.

We saw Trick Williams (With Lil’ Yachty), Rhea Ripley, Jade Cargill, and CM Punk preparing for the show. John Cena was out to kick things off, and he was surprised they didn’t fire him after last night? You were fine, big guy!!

Here are the full results for Night 2 of WWE WrestleMania 42:

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  • Oba Femi defeated Brock Lesnar via pinfall.
  • Penta defeated Dragon Lee, JD McDonagh, Je’Von Evans, Rey Mysterio, and Rusev to retain the Intercontinental Championship.
  • Trick Williams defeated Sami Zayn to win the United States Championship.
  • “The Demon” Finn Balor defeated “Dirty” Dominik Mysterio via pinfall.
  • Rhea Ripley defeated Jade Cargill via pinfall to win the WWE Women’s Championship.
  • Roman Reigns defeated CM Punk via pinfall to win the WWE Men’s World Heavyweight Championship.

Cena said it’s a historic night, because this was the first time WWE WrestleMania aired live from ESPN (the channel, specifically, for those confused), so we gotta start with something big! Well, big was an understatement!! Because a battle of the titans started things off!!!

Oba Femi got a MASSIVE pop from the crowd! We see various celebrities, including San Francisco 49ers’ TE George Kittle, doing the Oba strut.


WWE WrestleMania opener: Oba Femi vs Brock Lesnar

After a stalemate, Brock takes Oba to the corner for the shoulder thrusts. Oba Femi shrugs them off!! The Ruler lays out Brock with a huge clothesline!! I don’t think I’ve seen Paul Heyman’s eyes get that wide since The Invasion!

Brock goes to the floor, catching Oba in between the ropes. The two-time NXT Champion is bounced around the posts and steps. Suplex City time!

1, 2, 3 German suplexes. Oba stops the 4th and flattens Lesnar in the corner with some running uppercuts. Another hits an–BROCK CATCHES HIM!!! F-5!!

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Oba stood up from the F-5 like it was nothing! Chokeslam! Fall From Grace!!! OBA FEMI CRUSHED BROCK LESNAR!!!

Oba Femi defeated Brock Lesnar via pinfall.

Grade: C+ It was a shocking moment, but it was under five minutes. So, as a match, not much to sink your teeth into. But Oba’s win was so triumphant that it still served as a great opener.

After the match, Brock took his boots and gloves off and began to weep… The Beast Incarnate retired?? Lesnar gets a huge “Thank You, Brock” chant as he hugged his Advocate and best friend.

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Six-Pack Ladder Match for the WWE Intercontinental Championship: Dragon Lee vs JD McDonagh vs Je’Von Evans vs Rey Mysterio vs Rusev vs Penta

Rusev, JD McDonagh, and Dragon Lee didn’t get entrances, so their odds were slim. Penta is last and comes out with a Shao Kahn helmet (Mortal Kombat 2 is out next month, don’t ya know).

Dragon Lee sent Je’Von to the floor with a leaping hurricanrana, where the Young OG crashed into JD! Back inside, Rey avoided a Styles Clash from Lee, but a superkick sends the Lucha Legend to the floor. Rusev rocks Lee with a ladder, and this match is living up to the car crash description in a good way.

NASTY moment for JD as he is launched high by Rusev onto a prone ladder. Je’Von fell from the top of the ladder to the floor, landing on the floor! He rushed back inside, hitting a springboard clothesline to JD off the ladder! Rey rocked Dragon Lee with a 619 in a ladder! No friends when gold is on the line.

Action slowed down when Rusev took over, setting up a few ladders. Je’Von is uranaged onto an elevated ladder. Penta and Rey worked together, with Penta launching Rey overhead for a seated senton to a waiting Rusev, driving both through the ladder.

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Lee caught Rey with the Styles Clash, but JD blocked his ascent to the Intercontinental Title. Spanish Fly off the near top!! McDonagh and Penta met at the top, where Penta drove JD into the other ladder with the Destroyer!! “McDonagh’s dead,” exclaimed Cole!

Je’Von made it to the title, but Rusev took out the ladder. The Young OG got yanked down and launched to the floor with a ROUGH landing. But Je’Von got back to the ropes before Rusev could make it to the top. OG CUTTER!!

Penta played spoiler ultimately, using a ladder to leap off for another Mexican Destroyer to Je’Von. Penta survived!

Penta defeated Dragon Lee, JD McDonagh, Je’Von Evans, Rey Mysterio, and Rusev to retain the WWE Intercontinental Championship.

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Grade: B. Lotta great stuff here. Je’Von, Dragon Lee, and JD McDonagh all had their moments. Penta got a big reaction.


Before the next match, we were told by Wade Barrett and Michael Cole that Brock Lesnar did, in fact, retire tonight.


WWE United States Championship: Trick Williams w/Lil’ Yachty vs Sami Zayn (c)

Sami Zayn got an initial pop, but then the crowd nearly booed him out of the building. Trick Williams? Huge pop, huge reaction, GIANT train on his coat that nearly took up the entire ramp.

Sami’s aggression pretty much confirmed what I knew, what we all knew. This was gonna be a double turn. Steve Austin/Bret Hart. Zayn got pulled off Trick repeatedly, then took out Yachty with another Helluva Kick. A brainbuster dropped Trick on the apron. This crowd HATED Sami Zayn. Trick barely beat the 10-count.

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While the ref checked on Trick, Yachty hung Sami up on the rope. Discus boot by Trick! Sami kicked out. Trick Shot missed, and Sami launched his challenger into the corner with the exploder! Hellu–TRICK SHOT!!! 1-2-3!!

Trick Williams defeated Sami Zayn via pinfall to win the WWE United States Championship.

Grade: C. Great moment for Trick. Sami fed into the boos. But this didn’t really get going at all. Trick more or less got beaten up for 7 minutes just to hit the Trick Shot.


Time for the celebrity shots. George Kittle chugged another beer. Somehow, Rob Gronkowski was more relaxed and subdued. Oh, never mind, they had a chugging contest. Tony Hinchcliffe was also there.

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Street Fight: “Dirty” Dominik Mysterio vs “The Demon” Finn Balor

“You’re a jack*ss!!” Michael Cole shouted at Dominik Mysterio, who threw his sweaty mask at the veteran play-by-play man. Well, I say sweat. They called it “juice,” which…is so much worse. The Demon returned tonight, covered in paint and flowing wraps, plus a mohawk made of spikes!

From the start, Dirty Dom got mauled. Whether Dominik was scared of the Demon or just unprepared for Finn, he took a beating for five minutes, including some thwacks from a kendo stick. Dom finally got some offense in, catching Balor looking for a table with a dive.

The AAA Mega Champ littered the ring with chairs, going for a suplex. Balor blocked, hitting a gourdbuster through the steel instead, and dropping him with the Slingblade! But a superkick and a 619 brought Dom back into it. Frog Splash!

Balor kicked out at one! John Woo Dropkick! Dom avoided the Coup de Grace, bouncing a chair off of Balor’s dome as he got to his feet. Dom set up a table and actually sent Balor through it! With a chair around the Demon’s neck, the 619 connected again. Frog Splash #2

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Balor AGAIN kicked out! The Greatest Mysterio (I said it) grabbed another table, but Balor grabbed a chair and beat the Tom and Nick out of Dom! Chair wrapped around his head, Dom was launched into the corner with another John Woo dropkick! Coup de Grace through the table!

“The Demon” Finn Balor defeated “Dirty” Dominik Mysterio via pinfall.

Grade: C+. This was more about the entrance and the Demon’s return, which was cool. But the match? It was fine. But I wanted more than “fine” from the return of Finn Balor’s ace up his sleeve.


WWE Women’s Championship: Rhea Ripley vs Jade Cargill (c)

WWE Women’s Champion Jade Cargill entered first, which didn’t bode well for her. She was gilded, wrapped in a strange gold robe that almost engulfed her. Rhea Ripley came out simple, but with some great white on black gear and bright red lipstick and makeup around the eyes.

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It was a powerhouse affair, as expected. Two of the most dominant women in WWE, if not all pro-wrestling, for the Women’s WWE Title. And Jade Cargill won the strength advantage early on, bouncing Ripley around ringside with ease. Back in the ring, Rhea went for a wild swing, and Jade caught it, catching her with a crossface!

We got the yay-boo punching trade, with the crowd FIRMLY behind Mami! A leaping dropkick rocked Cargill, who was driven hard to the mat with an electric chair facebuster. The WWE Champion caught the challenger with a spinebuster, but Rhea escaped a Jaded with a roll-up.

As Rhea went for the Razor’s Edge, Michin’s new baddies interfered, allowing Jade to escape and Michin & B-Fab to batter Rhea in the corner. ONE WINGED ANGEL!! Oh…uhhh…SANDSTORM!!! But it wasn’t enough!!

IYO SKY rushed the ring, taking care of B-Fab and Michin and distracting Jade! Headbutt to Cargill! Jade avoided the Riptide and hoofed Ripley, but Ripley slipped through her feet! RIPTIDE!!! Rhea won the WWE Title!!

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Rhea Ripley defeated Jade Cargill via pinfall to win the WWE Women’s Championship.

Grade: B+. Jade and Rhea felt like a real clash of the titans in the best way. A little awkward here and there, but swinging for the fences at all times. This was great.


We got a recap of the entire night, but not before a large bottle of juice was seen partying with families in the crowd. John Cena returned to give us our attendance total. Tonight’s added up to 55,255 in-house. With the 50,817, that gave WWE a total of 106,072 for the weekend!

Cena was ready to wrap up his duties right then and there. But The Miz and Kit Wilson appeared, demanding their WWE WrestleMania moment. Cena let Miz go, but the A-Lister was interrupted by Danhausen.

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Well, first a group of Danhausen midgets (Michael Cole stated that the group DEMANDED to be called that, saving both him and me some face), followed by Danhausen on a…jeep?

Danhausen was happy to meet Cena, and vice versa. Wilson shoved one of the Minihausens down, and another punched Wilson right in his Toxicity (testicles). Miz got a low blow as well, and Danhausen followed up with a Five-Knuckle Shuffle.

With that, Cena kicked off the main event for WWE WrestleMania Night 2: CM Punk vs Roman Reigns for the WWE Men’s World Title.


WWE Men’s World Heavyweight Championship: Roman Reigns vs CM Punk

WWE’s OTC came out with an incredible entrance, as always. A concert pianist, a classical singer, and a dude on two giant drums played out the multi-time WWE Champion, as images of the Anoa’i’s bloodline appeared on the WrestleMania set.

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Punk’s entrance? The WWE World Heavyweight Champion emerged to “Miseria Cantare” by AFI before switching to “Cult of Personality”. His jacket was covered in the names of late musicians, WWE producers, and more, with the large crown on the back for the late great Harley Race.

Punk one-upped Roman early, taking him down, then throwing up Roman’s “one.” Roman shoved him off, and Punk slapped the taste out of his mouth. A Samoan Drop planted Punk, letting the Voice of the Voiceless know where things stood.

The two quickly made their way to the floor, where Punk got the better of the Tribal Chief with a clothesline off the barricade. The WWE World Champ hit Roman’s pose again, to an equally split reaction from the crowd. Roman punished him for his arrogance, a big slam off the table and onto the floor. “Mock me again, b*tch!! Mock me again!”

Roman avoided the GTS and rocked Punk with the Superman Punch! 1-2- Oh, you know nobody gets pinned by that. Roman’s spear taunt cost him, as Punk rocked him with the running knee in the corner mid-yell. A second knee. Two short-armed clotheslines and a swinging neckbreaker. The challenger was stunned!!

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Punk wanted the Macho Elbow through the announcer’s desk, but Roman recovered while the champ soaked in the crowd. Roman trapped Punk in the tree of woe, leaving him hanging on the apron. Three Superman Punches to a vulnerable CM Punk!

Reigns hammers Punk with the steps and, for some reason, is not disqualified. Cole and Wade mentioned that, since it’s the main event of WrestleMania, they wouldn’t want to end the WWE World Title match like that. Strange rule.

A powerbomb through the table left the champion in bad shape. “That’s how Niner Gang does it, b*tch!” Back in the ring, Punk, somehow, countered a spear and hit a GTS out of nowhere!!

1-2-noooo!! Reigns kicked out!! The second GTS fails, and Roman responds with the spear!! Punk kicked out!! Unlike Roman, Punk continued to eat heavy shots. Big rights from the big challenger, as Roman told Punk it was time to Go…To…Sleep.

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Punk blocked and rocked the challenger with a big roundhouse. Roman kicked out, but the momentum swung. Punk hit Roman with the Superman Punch, then grabbed an Ula Fala from a fan to set up the spear. Roman blocked it, going for the guillotine! Punk countered with a pin, then transitioned to the Anaconda Vice!

Sharpshooter attempt is stopped as Roman rocked the WWE World Heavyweight Champion with a boot to the jaw. Guillotine again, and Punk turns it into a jackknife pinfall. Back on their feet, two big clotheslines, and everyone is down!

Punk threw some of his wrist wrap at Roman, and when the ref tossed it away, Punk went low! GTS!! Roman kicked out!!

Punk finally hit the elbow drop through the announcer’s desk, and Roman screamed out in pain. Punk got to his feet, giving a fan at ringside a free video of the Best in the World, while Roman couldn’t even get up on his own.

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Another GTS? No, Punk collapsed before he could finish Reigns. Spear, but Reigns can’t cover. They slowly get to their feet, and the super spear!! 1-2-3!!

Roman Reigns defeats CM Punk via pinfall to win the WWE World Heavyweight Championship.

Grade: A+. Weird “no DQ” logic aside, that was an awesome main event. CM Punk finally got what he wanted, and Roman ended up back on top. An A+ performance for a C average weekend.

Overall Grade for WrestleMania 42 Night 2: B-

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