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MLB MVP odds, picks, predictions: Best bets for AL, NL MVP awards in 2026

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There are but a handful of certainties in life — death, taxes, and Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani winning MVP awards. Both have won the award in each of the last two seasons, and at least one has claimed MVP honors in every season since 2021. This isn’t surprisingly considering Ohtani might be the best baseball player in the history of the game and Judge has a penchant for racking up home runs like its child’s play, but it can make betting on the MVP race tricky and potentially less lucrative.

Judge and Ohtani are once again the favorites to win each league’s MVP award, but does that make them the best betting options? Is there better value with other players? Below, I’ve identified my best bets for each league’s MVP award as well as two longshots and two players to fade with the 2026 season getting underway on Wednesday, March 26. All odds are from DraftKings, and those looking to bet on the AL and NL MVP can visit the DraftKings promo code page to take advantage of the latest offer.

AL best bet: Bobby Witt Jr. (+500)

A player’s MVP case is always strengthened if they can power their team to a playoff spot. The Kansas City Royals have been trendy picks to claim the AL Central for a few seasons now, but this is the year it could actually happen. The Detroit Tigers added an impressive piece in Framber Valdez and will welcome infielder Kevin McGonigle, one of the top prospects in baseball, to the Show. But even with Valdez in the fold and McGonigle entering the fray, do the Tigers really have the offensive firepower to beat out the Royals? Full seasons of Carter Jensen and Jac Caglianone (who looked good at the World Baseball Classic) will help K.C.’s case, and Isaac Collins could prove to be a sneaky good addition.

Then, of course, there’s Bobby Witt himself. A true five-tool player, Witt should be entering his prime in his age-26 season. There may be even more power to unlock in his bat, and if he gets the Royals to a division title, he’ll get serious MVP consideration.

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The biggest road block here is Judge. The greatest slugger of his generation, Judge has only seemed to get better with age. We’ll need a bit of a stumble (or a prolonged injury) from the best right-handed hitter since Albert Pujols for Witt to get over the line. But this is baseball we’re talking about — stranger things have happened. And from a betting perspective, Witt is worth a sprinkle.

NL best bet: Juan Soto (+900)

Ohtani is a ridiculous -145 favorite to win NL MVP at DraftKings and rightfully so. The most talented baseball player of all time will be both pitching and hitting for the best team in the sport this year, and should probably be viewed as the penciled-in MVP until a shocking dip in performance or a long-term injury prevents him from being so. But in the event Ohtani does miss a chunk of time (he’ll be pitching again this year and has a history of arm trouble), who is best positioned to step into the void?

That would be Juan Soto, who somehow went under the radar in his first year in Queens despite finishing third in MVP balloting. A noticeably slow start (which was lambasted in the loud New York media) likely contributed to the narrative that Soto underperformed, but on the whole Soto still managed a 156 wRC+ — he was 56% better than league average at the plate, for the uninitiated. 

The less said about his defense the better, but Soto remains a monster with the bat. If he performs like himself right out of the gate and keeps it up into October, he’ll be in contention for the MVP award … if Ohtani misses time. Or, perhaps, is abducted by aliens. It’s going to be hard to dethrone the best player in the sport.

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AL longshot: Nick Kurtz (+1500)

What Nick Kurtz accomplished in his rookie season was downright scary. In just 117 games, he launched 36 homers (including four in one game, and he narrowly missed a fifth), knocked in 90 runs and hit a hilarious .290/.383/.619. He immediately established himself as one of the preeminent sluggers in the sport, and with the A’s still marooned in their minor-league launching pad in Sacramento, he’ll have plenty of chances to keep hitting bombs. 

The sophomore slump cliche doesn’t scare me here. First basemen are rarely first-round picks these days, but the A’s took Kurtz fourth overall for a reason — he’s a born hitter. He is the centerpiece of this offense moving forward, and if John Fisher’s merry band of exiled sluggers mash their way to the playoffs, he’ll be a driving force. I expect Kurtz to start the All-Star Game and get MVP votes again after he finished 12th last year. He could just win the thing this time with a full season’s worth of plate appearances.

NL longshot: Paul Skenes (+2800)

A full-time starting pitcher (read: not Ohtani) hasn’t won an MVP since 2014, when Clayton Kershaw rampaged his way through the NL with a 1.77 ERA. It takes a special effort like that, along with a relative down year from the league’s hitters, to earn a pitcher an MVP. For example, even with how good Tarik Skubal has been in his back-to-back Cy Young Award campaigns, he’s only finished seventh and fifth in the balloting.

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If anyone’s going to pull it off, it’s Skenes. The young phenom is only getting better, and he’ll also have the narrative factor on his side if the Pirates manage to stumble into the playoffs, as some prognosticators are projecting them to do. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff is excellent, and the team added a few bats (for once). Throw in a potential gangbusters rookie campaign from rookie shortstop Konnor Griffin, the consensus top prospect in the sport, and Skenes could sweep the hardware if he turns in a monster campaign and gets the Pirates back into the playoffs. 

Fans who want to wager on MLB futures can check out the latest Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.

AL fade: Cal Raleigh (+1100)

With all due respect to the Big Dumper, it’s hard to imagine him replicating his ridiculous 2025 season. Cal Raleigh should still be one of the best backstops in the game and will be central to whatever degree of success the Mariners enjoy this season — and a return to the playoffs should be the bare minimum expectation in Seattle. Raleigh is still a worthy centerpiece for a playoff contender, but MVP-level catchers are rare for a reason. He’s unlikely to reach 60 home runs again and given his previous season totals, even reaching 50 would be considered a big accomplishment.

NL fade: Shohei Ohtani (-145)

Ohtani is the best player in baseball and will be the presumptive favorite for at least the next four or five NL MVP awards. However, the issue here is the price point.

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It’s a ridiculous price for an MVP future. For example, Aaron Judge is +215 to win the AL award and he’s won three of the last four. A minus price for an awards future is bonkers and yet it’s hard to quibble with it in Ohtani’s case.  I just can’t seriously endorse investing at that price.

There’s more value to be had with an option like Soto even if Ohtani is likely to win short of the MonStars taking his talent away.

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Capitals giving Ovechkin time to decompress before meeting about future

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The Washington Capitals are doing right by their franchise player as he mulls over one of the biggest decisions of his life.

With Alex Ovechkin‘s retirement decision looming over the team’s off-season plans, the Capitals have decided to give the franchise legend some space and time as he weighs the possibility of hanging up his skates.

“Team’s position is we’re giving him some time here to get away from the season a little bit and think things through and talk to his family, and then he’ll meet with both [president of hockey operations Brian MacLellan] and I, and we’ll continue to support him in however his decision process plays out,” Capitals general manager Chris Patrick told reporters at his end-of-season availability on Monday.

“We could’ve met with him the day after the season ended, but I don’t think he was ready at that point to have that conversation. I think he needs to take some time. Just get away from it, I mean, he just played 82 games in a really hard season, just have a few days with his family to just kind of veg out a little bit then he can start thinking about what the future holds.”

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Last week, at his own end-of-year availability, Ovechkin said that he hopes he hasn’t played his final NHL game and that he’s not yet ready to give a definitive answer on what his future holds.

He told reporters that he has something of a timeline figured out, stating that he may have a clearer idea of where he stands in two weeks, but that he’s “pretty sure it’s not my last game.”

Though Patrick said that the team would “like to know going into the draft” as to whether or not Ovechkin would return, he made it clear that the NHL’s all-time leading goalscorer had “earned the right to do the process how he wants to. So we’ll just work with whatever we get from him, information-wise.”

Either way, the Capitals are heading into the off-season prepared.

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With $36.5 million in projected cap space to work with this summer, per PuckPedia, the team believes they have the financial flexibility to improve their roster whether Ovechkin returns or not.

“I think we’ll be able to have a plan with or without him. No different than really any off-season where you have some players that are expiring. You can go down different paths depending on what happens with them,” Patrick said. “So same thing with him, even though he’s the greatest goalscorer of all time. If he decides to stay, we’ll go one way; if he decides to retire, we’ll go a different way.”

Ovechkin is coming off another solid campaign that saw him build on his all-time goal-scoring lead, potting 30 markers while suiting up for all 82 games at 40 years old. He also surpassed the 900-goal plateau, becoming the only player in NHL history to do so.

What may be harder to deal with should Ovechkin retire is the impact he provides off the ice, for the Capitals, the community, and for the game of hockey.

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“I think his presence is huge. When he decides to leave, it’s gonna leave a big hole, personality-wise, leadership-wise,” MacLellan said. “You see he brings it to the team plane, the team bus, to the dressing room, to pre-game warmup — he’s got a big presence.”

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The Speed Machine delivers in 2026 Mornington Sires

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Mick Price, the trainer, harked back to his pre-training experience by personally parading The Speed Machine at Mornington.

Trained by Mick Price alongside Michael Kent Jnr, the two-year-old gelding turned tricky at saddling time, leading Price to take charge of strapping duties prior to Saturday’s Mornington Sires (1000m).

The approach succeeded brilliantly as The Speed Machine ($3), ridden by Thomas Stockdale, dashed to the lead and held on by a half-neck from favourite Luna Vega ($2.50), with Zynaro ($11) 2-½ lengths adrift in third.

Price noted that red earmuffs are fitted to The Speed Machine for the pre-race parade and removed at the barriers.

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Observing the gelding as half-asleep, Price dispensed with the headgear post-saddling.

“His father (Hanseatic) used to have a bit of feist about him,” Price said.

“His father used to always have two strappers on him, and I did take the red earmuffs off him while we were saddling him up, because I thought he was half asleep.

“But I found out the wrong way. He was not asleep and I had to do my own work.”

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The Speed Machine has won both his starts, including a 1000m victory in a four-runner field on debut at Morphettville Parks last month.

Price doesn’t see him as solely a 1000m specialist and plans to test him at 1200m eventually.

The colours belong to Kempinsky, victor of The Vase at Moonee Valley and second in the Group 1 Victoria Derby at Flemington back in 2003.

“We’ve had horses together for 30 years, but we haven’t had a lot of starters over that time,” Price said.

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“He buys them, I move them on, but this one, he’s a keeper.

“He a fast horse, and he’s a strong horse, and he’s very sound, an easy horse to train.”

Discover the best betting sites offering markets for the Mornington Sires race.

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PGA Tour CEO says league is considering LIV Golf player returns

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PGA Tour CEO Brian Rolapp has addressed the reports and rumors involving LIV Golf’s future, or potential lack thereof, with a straightforward message about where the Tour’s priorities lie amid uncertain times.

Last week, it was widely reported that the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF) was preparing to cut off its funding of LIV Golf after announcing a five-year investment strategy focused on reprioritizing spending. With the Saudis being the sole funders of the breakaway golf circuit, a stoppage of funds would, in all likelihood, end the current iteration of LIV Golf.

LIV GOLF’S END MAY BE IMMINENT AFTER REPORT SIGNALS SAUDI ARABIA IS PREPARING TO CUT OFF FUNDING

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LIV Golf Mexico went on as scheduled over the weekend amid the very loud rumors. Two-time major champion Jon Rahm won the event, and on Sunday, LIV formally announced it would be returning to Mexico in 2027 at a currently unspecified date.

Jon Rahm swinging a golf club at Riyadh Golf Club in Saudi Arabia

Jon Rahm in action during the first round of play at LIV Golf Riyadh at the Riyadh Golf Club in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on Feb. 4, 2026. (Hamad I Mohammed/Reuters)

Rolapp, the former Executive Vice President of NFL Media, joined Monday’s edition of ‘The Pat McAfee Show‘ on ESPN and was transparent while sharing his thoughts about the reports and rumors involving LIV Golf.

BRYSON DECHAMBEAU CALLS OUT LIV GOLF MEXICO CITY COURSE CONDITIONS AMID FUNDING CONCERNS

Most notably, Rolapp admitted that the PGA Tour is thinking about potential pathways back for players who left the Tour to join the Saudi-backed league.

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“I think we’re thinking about it,” Rolapp said when asked about players potentially returning. “Listen, we’re reading all the same headlines you’re reading, we don’t know what’s going on over there [at LIV Golf]. We know that those guys are under contract, we’ll respect that.

PGA Tour CEO Brian Rolapp addresses media

PGA Tour CEO Brian Rolapp addresses media members at a press conference prior to THE PLAYERS Championship at Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass on March 11, 2026 in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. (Tracy Wilcox/PGA TOUR via Getty Images)

“Brooks [Koepka] came back onto the Tour because he made a phone call and said, ‘Look, I’m out of my contract, I’m ready to come back.’ So, we’re thinking about it, and we’ll react when we have an opportunity to react, but right now we’re focused on making the PGA Tour better. I’ve said it publicly, and I’ll say it again, I’m interested in making whatever makes the PGA Tour better. That’s what my job is, that’s what I’m interested in doing, and that has no limit.”

Koepka, a five-time major winner, returned to the PGA Tour at the start of 2026 after joining LIV Golf in June 2022. He did so via the Tour’s ‘Returning Member Program,’ made only accessible to previous Tour members who have won The Players or a major championship between 2022 and 2025.

Brooks Koepka reacting after chipping in for birdie on the 17th hole at Oakmont Country Club

Brooks Koepka of the United States reacts after chipping in for birdie on the 17th hole during the second round of the 125th U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club on June 13, 2025, in Oakmont, Pennsylvania. (Patrick Smith/Getty Images)

MATT FITZPATRICK HAS PERFECT RESPONSE TO USA RYDER CUP FANS AFTER PGA TOUR V

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Koepka agreed to make a $5 million charitable contribution upon his return to the Tour. He also agreed to include a five-year forfeiture of potential equity in the PGA Tour’s Player Equity Program, which estimates his potential losses to be approximately $50-$85 million. Koepka will also not receive any FedEx Cup bonus payment in 2026.

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Patrick Reed also left LIV Golf in early 2026 to seek a return to the PGA Tour. The former Masters champion is serving a one-year suspension that will end in August and is well on his way to earning back his PGA Tour card for 2027 with a pair of wins earlier this year on the DP World Tour.

Bryson DeChambeau, Tyrrell Hatton, Joaquin Niemann, Cameron Smith, and Rahm remain the most high-profile players competing on LIV Golf, and their return to the PGA Tour would undoubtedly fit into Rolapp’s focus of making the PGA Tour better.

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Rhea Ripley has heartwarming reaction to personal moment with Bianca Belair

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Rhea Ripley shared a heartfelt reaction to a personal moment with Bianca Belair at WWE WrestleMania 42. Ripley won a major title match at the biggest show of the year over the weekend.

Bianca Belair returned during Night 1 of WrestleMania 42 to make a huge announcement. The former champion made a surprise appearance at The Show of Shows to announce that she was pregnant.

Belair and the 29-year-old then had a heartfelt backstage interaction after her appearance, and the two stars shared a hug. Ripley reacted to her backstage moment with Belair today on her Instagram story with a heart emoji, and you can check it out in the image below.

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Ripley shared a heartfelt message today (Source: Rhea Ripley on Instagram)Ripley shared a heartfelt message today (Source: Rhea Ripley on Instagram)
Ripley shared a heartfelt message today (Source: Rhea Ripley on Instagram)

Bianca Belair has not competed in a match since WWE WrestleMania 41. She has missed over a year of action due to a hand injury suffered in the Triple Threat match against IYO SKY and Ripley last year on The Grandest Stage of Them All.

Rhea Ripley won the Women’s Elimination Chamber match to earn a title match against Jade Cargill at WrestleMania 42. Ripley defeated The Storm at the PLE to become the new WWE Women’s Champion.

Rhea Ripley opens up about using social media as a WWE Superstar

WWE Women’s Champion Rhea Ripley recently discussed how difficult it was to use social media as a public figure.

Speaking on Pod Meets World, The Eradicator opened up about the negativity she experiences on social media. Ripley stated that she needed to delete Twitter because all she sees are negative comments about herself when she uses the social media app.

“It’s really hard going on to Twitter. I need to delete that. It’s really hard going on and trying to make it a work environment. But then because it is a work environment, I get all these things coming up on my ‘For You’ page. As soon as I click on the app, it’s just negativity towards me,” she said.

Rhea Ripley and IYO SKY had a brief reign as Women’s Tag Team Champions earlier this year. SKY was not booked for a match at WrestleMania but did get involved in Ripley’s match against Cargill at WWE WrestleMania.

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B-Fab and Michin both attacked the challenger, but Sky made the save. Ripley connected with Riptide on Cargill to become champion, and it will be interesting to see what the promotion has planned for her title reign moving forward.