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UFC Paris predictions – MMA Fighting

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UFC Paris predictions - MMA Fighting

Benoit Saint Denis looks to make it a trio of triumphs in his return to Paris.

The lightweight contender takes on Renato Moicano in Saturday’s UFC Paris headliner in front of a supportive French crowd and in a city where he has never lost. Saint Denis has twice competed in his nation’s capital, both times scoring second-round knockouts, against Thiago Moises in 2023 and Gabriel Miranda in 2022.

If he can put away Moicano, it will reestablish Saint Denis as a potential title challenger in one of MMA’s deepest divisions. Saint Denis is coming off of his first UFC loss, a Fight of the Night defeat at the hands of lightweight legend Dustin Poirier, and he has the chance to prove his thrilling five-fight win streak wasn’t lightning in a bottle.

Moicano has become appointment viewing and not just because he’s won three straight. His “Money” persona has captivated fans as he generates anticipation for what he’ll do in his fights and what he’ll say after whenever he makes the walk to the octagon. It’s anyone’s guess what he’ll have in store for a sea of disgruntled Parisians should he beat Saint Denis.

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In the co-main event, Nassourdine Imavov is tasked with defending his spot against a highly motivated Brendan Allen. “All In” isn’t happy with how the UFC has ranked him, and he’s eager to take out his frustrations on Imavov, while moving one step closer to the top 5 of the division.

Also on the main card, William Gomis and Joanderson Brito battle for a spot in the featherweight top 15, welterweights Kevin Jousset and Bryan Battle put their undefeated streaks on the line, former Cage Warriors featherweight champion Morgan Charriere takes on Gabriel Miranda, and Fares Ziam takes on the always exciting Matt Frevola in the lightweight opener.

What: UFC Paris

Where: Accor Arena in Paris

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When: Saturday, Sept. 28. The eight-fight preliminary card begins at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by a six-fight main card at 3 p.m. ET also on ESPN+.


(Numbers in parentheses indicate standing in the MMA Fighting Global Rankings)

Renato Moicano (12) vs. Benoit Saint Denis (14)

Can Renato Moicano outlast Benoit Saint Denis? That’s really the question.

Moicano has a history of defusing fighters that are perceived to be heavier hitters than him. Consider how he used his elite jiu-jitsu to ground Jalin Turner, Drew Dober, and Brad Riddell. And that stems from his willingness to stand and scrap too. His grappling compliments his striking and vise-a-versa. He’s just effective enough on the feet to force his opponents to respect him and leave gaps in their defense.

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When it comes to Saint Denis, the gaps aren’t hard to find, it’s exploiting them that’s the problem. The French star fights with a physicality that’s nearly unmatched at 170 pounds and he’s more than capable of bridging the experience gap by sheer force of will. That’s why I expect him to win on Saturday.

Moicano is the more skilled, more well-rounded fighter, but it’s fair to question his durability. He has to last at least two hard rounds with Saint Denis, and I don’t see that happening. His past losses have come when he is just overwhelmed, and Saint Denis will have 20,000 hollering fans backing his attack.

Saint Denis finishes in the first.

Pick: Saint Denis

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Nassourdine Imavov (T7) vs. Brendan Allen (8)

Yes, it’s time for everyone’s favorite game show: AK Lee Picks Against Brendan Allen!

Your contestants today, Nassourdine Imavov and, of course, our returning champion currently on a seven-fight win streak, Brendan Allen, ladies and gentlemen!

I’ve picked against Allen in four straight predictions pieces, and for his sake, I’m doing it again. Not that I believe in any kind of superstitions, but in the off chance they exist, I might just reverse jinx Allen all the way to a freaking UFC title fight. And if I pick against him there… anything is possible.

There are more substantial reasons to pick Imavov to win, too. The Frenchman’s specialty is timing and precision, and when he’s able to effectively control the distance, he looks like one of the best strikers in the middleweight division. He’s strong enough to not be out-muscled if Allen wants to grapple and won’t shy away from a takedown attempt if the opportunity presents itself.

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Allen’s preference is to come forward and pressure, a strategy that has served him well during this impressive run of form. If he can cut off the cage and keep Imavov stuck to the fence, it could be another check in the W column for “All In.”

Sticking with the rules of this game show, I’m picking Imavov by decision.

Pick: Imavov

William Gomis vs. Joanderson Brito

This matchup between William Gomis and Joanderson Brito has a real matador and bull feel to it.

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Gomis has carved out a nice niche for himself as one of the craftiest fighters in the featherweight division. That hasn’t always resulted in the most memorable performances, but a win is a win, and there are a lot of worse things to be than 145-pound Leon Edwards (look how well that worked out for Edwards!).

On the other side, Brito does everything with force and intention to finish. He grapples hard, he throws hard, he even fights hard off of his back. Brito is a world-class risk taker and there’s no scenario where he isn’t looking to take the advantage and set himself up for a knockout or submission.

I see Brito’s swashbuckling style paying off eventually. He’ll endure some early frustration before dialing up the offense in Round 2, hurting Gomis on the feet, and finishing with a submission.

Pick: Brito

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Kevin Jousset vs. Bryan Battle

One big change for Kevin Jousset in this matchup is he’s going from an opponent in Song Kenan that he had a reach advantage over, to an opponent in Bryan Battle that has the reach advantage over him.

That’s oversimplifying this matchup, but Jousset has gotten a lot of mileage out of an effective jab and well-timed leg kicks. He’ll find the rangy Battle is considerably more difficult to outpoint from distance. Fortunately for Jousset, he brings a solid grappling background to the table, so that could be the path he takes to keep his win streak going.

Battle has been calling for a step up in competition and while Jousset is more of a lateral move, it’s the test Battle needs to show he’s truly ready to graduate to the next tier of welterweights. The Ultimate Fighter 29 winner has the tools to be a mainstay of the division, but needs seasoning with just 13 pro bouts under his belt.

This will be a closely contested, ahem, battle, that Battle will edge out on the scorecards after a hard-fought, three round battle.

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Man, I wrote battle so many times there.

Pick: Battle

Morgan Charriere vs. Gabriel Miranda

Is it too severe to call this a make-or-break fight for Morgan Charriere?

I’m still of the opinion the former Cage Warriors featherweight champion can be a player in the UFC’s 145-pound division, but he has to deliver on Saturday if he’s to be taken seriously as a contender. “The Last Pirate” is one of the biggest favorites on the card, hovering around 5-to-1 on most sportsbooks.

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He’s been granted a favorable matchup in Gabriel Miranda, a high-pace fighter with questionable defensive skills. Charriere shouldn’t be timid in this matchup because Miranda certainly won’t be, and if Miranda sets the tone early, his pressure could make Charriere wilt.

As versatile as Charriere is, he should be smart here and stick to sprawling and brawling, as it were. He has a significant advantage on the feet and should be able to frustrate Miranda with his takedown defense before letting his hands and feet go. I’m predicting a highlight-reel knockout win for Charriere.

Pick: Charriere

Fares Ziam vs. Matt Frevola

One way or another, this one shouldn’t go to the judges and that’s good news for Matt Frevola.

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With respect to Fares Ziam—a fine technical striker that looks like he’s capable of challenging elite lightweights when he’s at his best—sometimes you’ve got to just kick some ass and that’s what Frevola always signs up for. Ziam will keep this as technical as he can for as long as he can before Frevola just rushes in and breaks the door down.

Who knows? Maybe the counter-heavy Ziam will find Frevola’s chin and finish his first fight in five years (yikes!). Or maybe this will turn into a crowd-pleasing slugfest that goes the distance. But my prediction is Frevola risks it all to crack Ziam and hand him his first knockout loss.

Pick: Frevola

Preliminaries

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Ivan Erslan def. Ion Cutelaba

Oumar Sy def. Da Un Jung

Ludovit Klein def. Roosevelt Roberts

Taylor Lapilus def. Vince Morales

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Darya Zheleznyakova def. Ailin Perez (15)

Daniel Barez def. Victor Altamirano

Nora Cornolle (T13) def. Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Bolaji Oki def. Chris Duncan

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Lionel Messi scores twice as Inter Miami win MLS Supporters’ Shield for first time

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Lionel Messi scores twice as Inter Miami win MLS Supporters' Shield for first time


The trophy is Messi’s 46th piece of silverware in his glittering career for club and country.

By finishing top of the standings, Miami have secured home advantage during the post-season play-offs.

“The first objective has been achieved and now we have to think about what’s next,” said Messi.

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“The first round is three games but then it’s one game and anything can happen. But we have the great advantage of playing all the games at home, which is what we were looking for. We are very strong at home.”

Miami need two wins from their final two league matches to beat the MLS record for most points in a regular season, which currently stands as the 73 amassed by the New England Revolution in 2021.



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FPL tips & team of the week: Brennan Johnson, Evanilson and Bryan Mbeumo are great value for Gameweek 7

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FPL tips & team of the week: Brennan Johnson, Evanilson and Bryan Mbeumo are great value for Gameweek 7


David Raya, Arsenal, keeper, £5.6m – home to Southampton

This is the second of Arsenal’s plum home games in a row and, despite last week’s disappointment, they are the team most likely to keep a clean sheet in gameweek seven.

Taking Raya is a hefty investment, but he has been worth it this season with three clean sheets and also six bonus points.

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Riccardo Calafiori, Arsenal, defender, £5.8m – home to Southampton

Doubling up on Arsenal’s defence feels like a safe bet.

It’s a small sample size, but in Calafiori’s two starts for Arsenal, he has a higher expected goals number (xG) than goal machine Gabriel (0.26 to 0.21).

The Italian scored a cracker at Manchester City and is averaging a couple of shots per game he starts. He’s also had more touches in the box than any other Gunners defender in the past two games.

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Rico Lewis, Manchester City, defender, £4.7m – home to Fulham

Speaking of touches in the box, Lewis leads that statistic for City and for just £4.7m he feels like an FPL cheat code, with a decent chance of an attacking return.

The flip side is you never know who Pep Guardiola is going to play on any given week in defence, but Rodri’s absence makes Lewis’ involvement against Fulham feel a bit more likely.

At the price, Lewis owners can make sure they have a decent fourth defender in case he stays on the bench.

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Max Kilman, West Ham, defender, £4.5m – home to Ipswich

A budget defender at home to the team with the lowest xG so far this season – makes sense, right?

Kilman is a threat from corners – he scored twice last season for Wolves and has had two headers on target so far this term.

Team-mate Konstantinos Mavropanos has been more threatening from set-pieces this season, but he didn’t start the last game.

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New signing Jean-Clair Todibo should eventually become Kilman’s defensive partner and he will make West Ham’s defence better.



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Republic of Ireland: McGuinness earns first call-up with Doherty among absentees

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Republic of Ireland: McGuinness earns first call-up with Doherty among absentees


Smallbone and Coleman have not played for their clubs since featuring for the Republic of Ireland last month.

Coleman hobbled off with a leg injury in the 2-0 defeat by England.

Smallbone started in both home losses against England and Greece but a hamstring issue has prevented him from playing for Southampton since then.

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Taylor, 26, has been in previous Republic squads but the Ipswich midfielder, who made seven appearances for the Irish Under-21 in 2019 and 2020, is yet to earn a full cap.

The Irish will face Finland in Helsinki on 10 October before taking on Greece in Athens three days later.

Hallgrimsson began his Republic of Ireland reign with last month’s two defeats and will be seeking significant improvement both in terms of performances and results in the Helsinki and Athens contests.

Republic of Ireland squad

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Goalkeepers: Caoimhin Kelleher (Liverpool), Mark Travers (AFC Bournemouth), Max O’Leary (Bristol City).

Defenders: Festy Ebosele (Watford, on loan from Udinese), Mark McGuinness (Luton), Dara O’Shea (Ipswich Town), Nathan Collins (Brentford), Andrew Omobamidele (Nottingham Forest), Liam Scales (Celtic), Callum O’Dowda (Cardiff City), Robbie Brady (Preston North End).

Midfielders: Josh Cullen (Burnley), Jayson Molumby (West Bromwich Albion), Jason Knight (Bristol City), Finn Azaz (Middlesbrough), Jack Taylor (Ipswich), Jamie McGrath (Aberdeen).

Forwards: Adam Idah (Celtic), Evan Ferguson (Brighton and Hove Albion), Sammie Szmodics (Ipswich Town), Chiedozie Ogbene (Ipswich Town), Mikey Johnston (West Brom), Troy Parrott (AZ Alkmaar), Kasey McAteer (Leicester City).

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Rountree: Strickland apologized for starting beef like ‘dumbass’

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Khalil Rountree doesn’t feel underestimated by Alex Pereira

SALT LAKE CITY – It appears the beef between Khalil Rountree and Sean Strickland is over – at least from Rountree’s side.

Rountree (14-5 MMA, 9-5 UFC) challenges light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira (11-2 MMA, 8-1 UFC) in Saturday’s UFC 307 (pay-per-view, ESPNews, ESPN+) headliner at Delta Center in Salt Lake City.

Strickland is in Salt Lake City to help Pereira prep for Rountree, whom he’s never been fond of. His issue with him started in 2022 when he went off on Rountree for crying during one of his post-fight scrums. Rountree downplayed his comments, claiming he didn’t know who Strickland was.

Rountree says Strickland approached him a couple of months ago to apologize, but that didn’t stop the former UFC middleweight champion from recently going off on Rountree again, calling him a “liberal c*ck beta male,” as well as accusing him of being in a cult.

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“Honestly, the last interaction that I had with Sean Strickland was at the UFC PI. It was literally the day after Dan Ige stepped in for that fight on like three hours, four hours’ notice, or something like that,” Rountree told MMA Junkie and other reporters at Wednesday’s UFC 307 media day. “Out of the blue, Sean Strickland came up to me. He approached me, and he just said, like, ‘Khalil, I apologize. I’m a dumbass. I actually kind of like you. I think you’re liberal, but overall, I like you’ or ‘I respect you,’ something along those lines.

“So what I took it as is, almost like squashing whatever beef, or just saying, like, ‘Look dude, I am who I am. I’m going to say what I’m going to say, but I’m coming here to personally shake your hand, tell you I think you’re a liberal to a certain level, I respect you.’ It was like that. So I took it as like, OK, you’re coming here to kind of make the peace. I left it at that. So now, anything moving forward, anything that’s said, I’ve got that in my memory bank, so I know that there’s really no issue. It’s really just talk, and I won’t concern myself with it.”

Strickland is expected to get his desired title-fight rematch with UFC middleweight champion Dricus Du Plessis, who edged him out by split decision in their first fight in January,

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 307.

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Be sure to visit the MMA Junkie Instagram page and YouTube channel to discuss this and more content with fans of mixed martial arts.

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Julianna Peña accuses Raquel Pennington of underpromoting fight

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Julianna Peña accuses Raquel Pennington of underpromoting fight

SALT LAKE CITY – Julianna Pena feels she’s carrying the promotion of her UFC women’s bantamweight title fight with Raquel Pennington this Saturday, and she made sure to let the world know.

Both Peña (11-5 MMA, 7-3 UFC) and Pennington (16-8 MMA, 13-5 UFC) got into a heated back and forth at Thursday’s UFC 307 press conference, mainly initiated by “The Venezuelan Vixen.” Pennington, who makes her first title defense, wasn’t happy with the several shots thrown her way.

“You are a warrior, and you have heart, but guess what? I’m a warrior, I have heart, and this whole “Pitbull” talk? You’re just a yapie-ass chihuahua who is in front of somebody’s face,” Pennington said.

Peña was quick to the microphone and responded by saying she’s had no choice but to stir the pot, accusing Pennington of not properly promoting their fight.

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“Speaking of chihuahua, I feel like because I told her that she’s a bad representation of the women’s division, that she’s had no choice but to talk,” Peña said. “This is the most you’ve ever heard Raquel Pennington speak in the history of Raquel Pennington. I have to bring that out in her in order to get people interested in the fight because nobody else is interested in this block of wood here. She’s boring.”

You can watch their whole exchange in the video above.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 307.

Be sure to visit the MMA Junkie Instagram page and YouTube channel to discuss this and more content with fans of mixed martial arts.

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PFL CEO accuses Kayla Harrison of running from Cris Cyborg and Pacheco

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Kayla Harrison ‘can’t be stopped,’ says title is ‘inevitable’

Donn Davis continues to express his frustration towards Kayla Harrison’s departure from PFL.

Harrison (17-1 MMA, 1-0 UFC) signed with the UFC in early 2024, and made big waves in her octagon debut. She dominated Holly Holm en route to a Round 2 submission in the promotion’s historic UFC 300 event in April.

The PFL CEO wanted to see Harrison stick around to try and avenge her setback to Larissa Pacheco, who handed her the first loss of her career. Harrison had already beaten Pacheco twice before.

After PFL acquired Bellator, Davis was also excited at the possibility of matching Harrison up with Bellator champion Cris Cyborg, but Harrison opted to sign with the UFC.

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“We brought Kayla into MMA from the Olympics, developed her into an 18-1 star, two-time champion, and one of the greatest women, top five in the sport today,” Davis told MMA Today. “(I have) nothing but pride for that and nothing but respect for Kayla as a competitor. To build the company, I want every great fighter here.

“I’m disappointed that we couldn’t keep Kayla here for, what I think, are the two biggest fights of her legacy and her career: avenging Pacheco and winning the championship, and beating Cyborg, who is the greatest ever. I think those are the two toughest fights ahead of Kayla. I don’t like that she ran from those. I don’t like that she ran to a brand to validate herself. I think so highly of Kayla Harrison. She doesn’t need a brand to validate her. She’s that great. .. So that disappointed me.”

Harrison will look to emerge as No. 1 contender at bantamweight when she takes on Ketlen Vieira (14-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC) on Saturday’s UFC 307 (pay-per-view, ESPNews, ESPN+) main card at Delta Center in Salt Lake City.

For more on the card, visit MMA Junkie’s event hub for UFC 307.

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Be sure to visit the MMA Junkie Instagram page and YouTube channel to discuss this and more content with fans of mixed martial arts.

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