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Crypto World

Cardano (ADA) Price Struggles at Multi-Year Support While Whales Snap Up 270M Tokens

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • Cardano is currently priced at $0.2449, resting on a crucial support zone dating back multiple years
  • Futures market indicators reflect pessimism — declining open interest and negative funding rates
  • Large wallet holders added 270 million ADA between midweek and Friday’s close
  • The Cardano network continues to see daily active users below 900, significantly under previous peaks
  • Technical analyst Ali Charts identifies $0.245 as the pivotal support threshold to monitor

As of this writing, Cardano (ADA) is changing hands at $0.2449, clinging to a support zone that has held significance since 2022. Over recent sessions, the token has shed close to 6%, effectively erasing gains that emerged earlier in the week.

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Cardano (ADA) Price

Price movement has largely been range-bound throughout February. This week’s session saw selling pressure intensify, driving ADA back toward the bottom boundary of its established trading channel.

The cryptocurrency is presently positioned beneath both its 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). On the daily timeframe, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) registers approximately 43, dipping below the neutral 50 threshold and indicating subdued bullish momentum.

Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has crossed beneath its signal line around the zero mark. This technical development confirms the absence of robust buying interest and indicates ADA continues navigating through a prolonged correction.

Futures Open Interest has contracted to $402.94 million, experiencing a steady decline since the middle of March. This reduction reflects diminishing market participation and validates a conservative short-term perspective.

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According to CoinGlass, the current long-to-short ratio stands at 0.83, marking its lowest reading in more than 30 days. When this metric falls below 1.0, it indicates that more market participants are betting on downward price movement rather than upward.

Additionally, funding rates have turned negative at -0.0015%. Under these conditions, short position holders compensate long position holders to maintain their trades, demonstrating that pessimistic sentiment prevails in the derivatives landscape.

Large Holders Increase Positions Near Support Zone

While derivatives markets flash warning signs, blockchain data reveals a more complex picture. Addresses containing 100,000 to 1 million ADA, alongside those holding 10 million to 100 million ADA, collectively acquired 270 million tokens from Wednesday through Friday.

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Source: Santiment

Meanwhile, wallets managing 1 million to 10 million ADA reduced their holdings by approximately 20 million tokens over the same timeframe, suggesting this segment may have surrendered positions while bigger players purchased at lower levels.

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According to CoinGlass metrics, there’s considerable buying support clustering around $0.24, with whale participants establishing $31 million in net long exposure through Binance and OKX perpetual contracts. Spot trading volumes, however, continue at modest levels, potentially signaling that major buyers await clearer trend direction before increasing exposure.

On-Chain Engagement Stays Muted

Throughout March, Cardano’s network engagement has displayed persistent weakness. Since mid-December, daily active users have consistently registered below 900, a stark contrast to the tens of thousands the platform routinely saw during more active periods.

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Source: Artemis

Cardano address count has experienced modest growth, expanding from 4.3 million to 4.44 million, potentially signaling gradual accumulation at reduced price levels during this consolidation period.

Critical Support and Resistance Zones

Looking at downside risk, initial support is located at $0.24. Should ADA close below this threshold on a daily basis, it would expose the $0.23–$0.22 range. For upside potential, the nearest resistance barrier appears at $0.27, with a more substantial obstacle positioned around $0.30.

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Technical analyst Ali Charts has highlighted $0.245 as the crucial support zone deserving attention for ADA, which corresponds closely with current trading levels.

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Crypto World

Onchain Commodity Trading Grows, but Liquidity still Favors TradFi

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Onchain Commodity Trading Grows, but Liquidity still Favors TradFi

Onchain commodity trading is proving it’s more than a short-term spike, but limited liquidity continues to hold the market back from competing with traditional venues.

Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 market recorded a new all-time high on March 23, with roughly $5.4 billion in perpetual futures volume across commodities and macro assets. Silver led the activity at $1.3 billion, followed by WTI crude oil at $1.2 billion, Brent crude at $940 million and gold at $558 million. Equity indices, including the Nasdaq and S&P 500, also saw notable volumes.

HIP-3 per volume. Source: Artemis

Industry participants say the spike shows growing demand for macro exposure onchain. “Previously, onchain commodity futures were mostly a venue for crypto-native investors, that is no longer the whole story,” said Iggy Ioppe, chief investment officer at Theo. “The real tell is not just the volume, it’s when the volume shows up and who is showing up to trade.”

Ioppe noted that onchain oil futures markets are now processing more than $1 billion in daily volume over weekends, when traditional exchanges are offline. He said the shift is being driven in part by individual traders from traditional finance, who are accessing these markets through personal accounts. “Geopolitics does not stop on Friday afternoon, and markets are starting to adapt to that fact,” he said.

Related: S&P Dow Jones licenses S&P 500 perpetual futures for Hyperliquid

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Weekend gap gives onchain markets an edge

The ability to trade around the clock has emerged as a defining advantage for onchain venues. With a roughly 49-hour gap between the close of traditional markets on Friday and their reopening on Sunday, decentralized platforms have become one of the few places where traders can react to macro developments in real time.

That dynamic is starting to influence how prices are formed outside regular trading hours, even if the bulk of liquidity still sits in traditional markets. “For now, onchain is the price discovery layer when the rest of the market is asleep,” Ioppe said. “TradFi is still the depth layer when size matters most.”

On the CME, oil futures alone regularly see between 1 million and 4.5 million contracts traded daily, equivalent to roughly $100 billion to $300 billion in notional volume.

Crude oil futures and volume. Source: CME

“Traditional venues still dominate when it comes to liquidity, execution quality, and institutional-scale pricing depth,” Sergej Kunz, co-founder of 1inch, said. He noted that deeper liquidity and tighter spreads remain the main barrier. Without them, onchain markets struggle to handle large trades without moving prices, limiting institutional participation.

Additional challenges include pricing reliability, market structure maturity and regulatory clarity, according to Shawn Young, chief analyst at MEXC Research.

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Young said commodity tokenization shows “signs of real behavioral changes” but remains in an early phase, with gaps in liquidity and price aggregation still to be addressed.

Related: Perp DEXs become the latest battleground for blockchains

Onchain macro trading expands beyond commodities

Despite certain constraints, activity continues to build. “The broader direction is clear: traders are becoming more comfortable accessing macro-style exposure onchain,” Kunz said.

Gold and oil have led the current wave, but market participants expect similar patterns to emerge in other asset classes as volatility shifts.

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Ioppe concluded that trading activity on onchain futures markets is likely to persist as trust builds around weekend pricing. As more traders begin to rely on these markets during off-hours, volume starts to follow. That, in turn, supports growing open interest, reinforcing confidence in the prices being formed. Over time, this creates a self-reinforcing cycle, where higher participation strengthens market credibility and draws in even more flow.

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