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Tokenization Value Hinges on Liquidity, Not Novelty

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Crypto Breaking News

Tokenization is maturing from a novelty experiment into a practical infrastructure play, with the strongest cases emerging around assets that already move trillions in daily activity. In a recent perspective, Sebastián Serrano, founder and CEO of Ripio, argues that the true value of tokenization lies not in reinventing niche assets, but in upgrading the rails for money, sovereign debt, and other highly liquid financial instruments. He contends that stablecoins have proven the concept by digitizing the world’s most liquid asset, the U.S. dollar, and that tokenized Treasuries are the logical next step as the market looks to extend tokenization into government debt and large-scale financial instruments.

The argument rests on a simple premise: liquidity drives network effects. When an asset is in high demand and backed by established legal and financial frameworks, tokenization can deliver real interoperability, faster settlement, and real-time collateral management. As Serrano notes, much of the industry’s early tokenization effort aimed at illiquid or bespoke assets—an approach he characterizes as misaligned with where tokenization can practically add value. Instead, he points to stablecoins and tokenized large-scale assets as the foundation upon which on-chain finance can scale.

Key takeaways

  • Tokenization’s most impactful use cases center on broadly demanded assets—money, sovereign debt, and major financial instruments—where standardized rules and deep liquidity exist.
  • Stablecoins demonstrated the value proposition by moving dollars globally with speed and lower costs; tokenized Treasuries represent the next frontier in expanding tokenization beyond currency into government debt.
  • Tokenizing illiquid assets, including NFTs and bespoke real-world assets, remains fragmented by legal ambiguity and a lack of standardization, limiting their potential as a shared financial layer.
  • For liquid assets, tokenization enables continuous settlement, real-time collateral management, and programmable cash flows, potentially improving capital efficiency across markets.
  • Liquidity remains the key determinant of whether a tokenized asset can function as collateral or be integrated into automated DeFi systems; illiquid assets struggle to deliver consistent value signals and active markets.

Tokenizing the core of finance

The argument emphasizes that tokenization should target assets with established demand and robust regulatory underpinnings. Money and sovereign debt are the base layer of the global economy, actively used by governments, corporations, and individuals alike. Tokenizing these assets does not create demand from scratch; it upgrades the infrastructure on which trillions of dollars already circulate. In other words, tokenization acts as a modernization of core financial rails rather than a mission to reinvent the wheel.

Across recent history, the most visible success stories have been those that map neatly onto existing financial activity. Stablecoins, for example, mirror the dollar’s utility in the digital realm, enabling fast, cross-border transfers and programmable settlement without the friction of traditional rails. The logical extension of this pattern is tokenized government debt and other high-demand instruments, which could unlock new operational efficiencies while preserving regulatory clarity.

Liquidity as a catalyst for interoperability

Liquidity is more than a market metric; it is the enabler of interoperability. When assets have deep, reliable markets, tokenization can standardize a common unit of account and reduce reliance on intermediaries for settlement. This creates genuine network effects: developers can build compatible financial primitives around the same tokenized asset, and users benefit from predictable, real-time settlement and governance of on-chain cash flows.

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Stablecoins embody this dynamic by providing an immediate, fungible bridge between traditional finance and on-chain operations. The next major wave, Serrano argues, is tokenized treasuries and similar liquid instruments that institutions already hold at scale. The combination of liquidity and standardization makes it far more tractable for regulated actors to participate and for tokenized assets to be used seamlessly as collateral or as part of complex DeFi protocols. In such a setting, tokenization moves from a novelty to a foundational layer of finance.

The limits of tokenizing illiquid assets

Not all assets are equally amenable to tokenization. NFTs and bespoke RWAs—the kind of assets that are individualized, legally nuanced, and difficult to standardize—pose significant hurdles. Their fragmentation, unclear ownership or custody frameworks, and uncertain enforceability complicate any attempt to create a universal on-chain settlement or a shared economic layer around them. While these assets may hold cultural or speculative value, they do not, in Serrano’s view, anchor broad financial network effects in the same way that money or sovereign debt do.

That said, tokenization can still improve certain aspects of illiquid assets, such as fractional ownership or automated workflows for specific use cases. However, it does not inherently solve the core problem of infrequent trading, opaque valuations, and wide bid-ask spreads that hinder these assets from becoming reusable capital or collateral on a large scale.

Collateral, risk, and regulatory clarity

Another crucial consideration is how tokenized assets fit within existing legal and regulatory frameworks. Digital dollars, government bonds, and large corporate debt enjoy well-established status and accountability, making it easier for institutions to adopt tokenized formats within current law. By contrast, the legal and custody uncertainties surrounding NFTs and certain RWAs can impose higher risk, potentially offsetting the technical benefits of tokenization. In Serrano’s view, that combination helps explain why major tokenization efforts tend to prioritize liquid assets first, paving the way for broader institutional participation as the framework becomes clearer.

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The broader implications are clear: as regulators and markets gain comfort with tokenized liquidity and standardized instruments, tokenization could accelerate the efficiency and resilience of traditional markets. The practical reality, for now, is that liquidity and regulatory clarity are the gatekeepers of adoption. Where those two conditions align, tokenization can deliver faster settlement, real-time collateral management, and more efficient capital deployment.

Industry observers have noted that authorities are actively exploring tokenization pathways. For example, coverage in the broader market has highlighted pilots and research into tokenized government debt and related digital finance experiments supported by central banks and regulatory bodies. These developments underscore the trend Serrano highlights: tokenization is most powerful when it aligns with the core fabric of the financial system, not merely as a speculative overlay.

Roughly $96 billion in liquid assets are locked and used across DeFi protocols. Source: DefiLlama.

What to watch next

The path forward, according to Serrano, hinges on two intertwined dynamics: expanding tokenization into broadly demanded assets while keeping a clear, enforceable regulatory framework. Investors and builders should monitor the rollout of tokenized government debt and stablecoins as primary indicators of whether the market can sustain scalable, low-friction financial rails on-chain. At the same time, the continued experimentation with NFTs and RWAs will reveal how quickly a path toward standardization and risk management can be forged for the more idiosyncratic assets.

As the industry inches toward a more explicit use of tokenized assets in everyday finance, the practical takeaway remains consistent: tokenization should first strengthen the core—money and sovereign debt—before broadening to fringe assets. The momentum around liquid instruments suggests a future where on-chain finance functions as a direct extension of traditional markets, delivering efficiency gains without compromising transparency or safety.

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Opinion by: Sebastián Serrano, founder and CEO of Ripio.

This article reflects a viewpoint on how tokenization could shape financial infrastructure. It does not represent a formal endorsement by Cointelegraph, and readers should conduct their own due diligence before acting on these ideas. For deeper context, related industry discussions have noted central-bank pilots backing tokenization initiatives, including studies and pilots supported by Australian authorities exploring digital finance pathways.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Crypto World

Robinhood (HOOD) Stock Faces Wave of Analyst Downgrades Amid Slowing Trading Volumes

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HOOD Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Needham reduced HOOD price target from $100 down to $90 while maintaining its Buy recommendation
  • Compass Point lowered its target from $127 down to $108, retaining its Buy stance
  • March data revealed declining volumes across equity, options, and cryptocurrency trading
  • HOOD shares have plummeted 52% in the last six months and 38% since the year began
  • The company’s banking arm has exceeded $1.5 billion in total deposits

Robinhood Markets has encountered significant headwinds this week as several Wall Street analysts have lowered their price expectations following the release of disappointing March trading data.


HOOD Stock Card
Robinhood Markets, Inc., HOOD

On Wednesday, Needham’s John Todaro revised his price target downward from $100 to $90, though he maintained his bullish Buy rating. His decision stemmed from observations of decelerating growth throughout virtually all segments of the platform.

“We view HOOD as the most advanced financial services platform in its evolution toward a comprehensive financial super app, however the latest volume data and reduced net interest income suggest a more subdued operating environment,” Todaro explained.

The March performance report, published March 30, indicated equity notional trading volumes reached approximately $196 billion. The platform processed 187 million options contracts, while cryptocurrency trading notional volumes totaled $16 billion.

Todaro adjusted his equities and options projections for the first quarter of 2026 downward but maintained his cryptocurrency volume forecasts unchanged, noting that declines in that sector had already been incorporated into previous models. He also reduced revenue expectations for both 2026 and 2027, primarily due to anticipated lower trading activity and diminished net interest income.

His revised $90 target price reflects 27 times Needham’s discounted fiscal 2027 EV/EBITDA calculation.

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This adjustment came one day after Wolfe Research’s Steven Chubak lowered his target from $115 to $81 — representing approximately a 30% reduction. His revision followed a decline in cryptocurrency transaction revenues, further pressured by broader digital asset market weakness.

Compass Point Joins Downgrade Chorus

Compass Point’s Ed Engel similarly decreased his price objective on Wednesday, moving from $127 to $108 while preserving his Buy rating. His forecasting models project Q1 revenue coming in 9% beneath consensus expectations, with shortfalls anticipated across all three primary business lines.

Engel observed that retail trading activity typically decelerates after five to six straight months of volatile market conditions, and that most retail investor favorites have generally declined since early October.

He made a comparison to April 2025, when analysts were reducing forecasts ahead of Liberation Day. Engel proposed that should markets recover, Robinhood could emerge as a significant beneficiary considering the 2026 IPO calendar.

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HOOD shares have now declined 52% during the past six months and trade 46% beneath their 52-week peak of $153.86. The stock currently carries a P/E multiple of 34.14 and commands a market capitalization of $63.1 billion. InvestingPro’s analysis indicates the stock appears overvalued at present price levels.

Banking Segment Provides Encouraging Signs

Despite trading challenges, not all indicators are negative. Robinhood’s banking operation has surpassed $1.5 billion in deposits, serving nearly 100,000 funded customers — representing an approximately 50% deposit increase over a recent timeframe.

Bernstein SocGen Group reduced its price target from $160 to $130 while maintaining an Outperform rating. The investment firm continues to forecast 25% earnings per share expansion by 2026 and a 30% revenue compound annual growth rate spanning 2025 through 2027.

Jefferies launched coverage with a Buy recommendation and an $88 price target, highlighting opportunities from expanding global retail participation and a diversified product offering.

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According to TipRanks, HOOD maintains a Strong Buy consensus recommendation based on 15 Buy ratings and 2 Hold ratings, with an average price target of $117.33 — suggesting approximately 67% potential upside from current trading levels. The most optimistic price target among analysts reaches $147.

The company’s complete first-quarter earnings report is scheduled for release in May.

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Soluna Announces $53M Acquisition of Wind Farm for AI Facility

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Mining, Bitcoin Mining, Energy, Data Center, Renewable Energy

Soluna Holdings, a publicly traded Bitcoin (BTC) mining and AI infrastructure company focused on renewable energy, announced on Thursday that it closed a $53 million deal to acquire a wind farm to power its upcoming Project Dorothy 3 AI data center campus.

The Briscoe Wind Farm, located in Briscoe County, Texas, has a potential capacity of up to 300 megawatts (MW), according to the company’s announcement.

The company forecasts that the facility will generate annualized revenue between $20 million and $24.4 million. 

Shares of Soluna are up by about 7.6% following the news, and are trading at about $0.76 at the time of writing.

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Mining, Bitcoin Mining, Energy, Data Center, Renewable Energy
Soluna Holdings’ share price rose on the day of the acquisition announcement. Source: Yahoo Finance

Soluna expanded into AI data center infrastructure in February 2024, amid an industry-wide pivot toward AI and high-performance computing infrastructure to shore up declining revenues from the crypto mining business.

Related: AI data center gold rush sparks debate over impact on Bitcoin mining

Miners adopt renewable energy solutions amid profit squeeze

The Bitcoin mining industry faces several economic headwinds, including declining block rewards, rising energy costs and compressing profit margins, with many companies operating near or below breakeven levels.

Up to 20% of mining companies aren’t profitable, according to a March 2026 report from asset manager CoinShares.  

The average cost to mine a single Bitcoin rose to nearly $80,000 in the fourth quarter of 2025, CoinShares said. Bitcoin is currently trading well below that level.

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Mining, Bitcoin Mining, Energy, Data Center, Renewable Energy
The average cost to mine a single BTC for major mining companies. Source: CoinShares

“Q4 2025 marked the most challenging quarter for Bitcoin miners since the April 2024 halving,” the report said.

The October 2025 market crash, which caused Bitcoin to plummet from an all-time high around the $125,000 level to a low of about $60,000, and rising network hashrate have placed even more pressure on the industry, CoinShares said.

Mining, Bitcoin Mining, Energy, Data Center, Renewable Energy
Bitcoin’s hashrate, or the total computing power expended by miners to secure the network, continues to rise. Source: CoinShares

Bitcoin mining companies sold over 15,000 BTC between October and early March to cover operating expenses, and the pace of selling has continued in recent weeks.

Several Bitcoin mining companies, including The Pheonix Group and Sangha Renewables, have adopted renewable energy solutions to power their operations and remain competitive amid a challenging business environment. 

Canaan, a mining hardware manufacturer and mining company, partnered with Soluna in September to deploy a wind-powered BTC mining facility at the Briscoe, Texas site. 

Related: AI may already use more power than Bitcoin — and it threatens Bitcoin mining

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