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5 On-Chain Signals Suggest Bitcoin’s War-Driven Dip Masks a Quiet Wealth Transfer
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price dropped nearly 3% since the weekend after US-Iran ceasefire talks failed in Islamabad.
The largest cryptocurrency slipped below $71,000 today. It was trading at roughly $70,960 at press time.
On-Chain Data Reveals a Wealth Transfer as Bitcoin Drops on US-Iran News
However, on-chain data tells a different story beneath the surface-level panic. According to an analyst, the military tension spooked retail investors, but institutional capital kept buying. Five key metrics support this thesis.
First, Bitcoin’s Total Netflow on Binance (SMA-30) registered an average of roughly -1,350 BTC, worth about $96 million. Negative netflow indicates coins leaving Binance at an aggressive pace.
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Second, the Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) across all exchanges sits at 1.0018.
“The mathematical verdict is irrefutable: realizing losses predominated over the last 182 days, of which 148 (81.32%) were below 1.00. Today, these investors liquidate their positions practically at ‘breakeven’ to escape the volatility, delivering cheap liquidity into the hands of those who dictate the rules of the game,” the analyst wrote.
Third, global exchange reserves fell to about 2.69 million BTC, sitting below the seven-day moving average. That gap represents roughly 4,500 BTC, about $316 million, withdrawn to cold storage during peak geopolitical uncertainty.
“The scenario proves that today’s drop is not a trend reversal, but a brutal wealth transfer disguised as macroeconomic panic. The data shows that betting against the market in the face of this structural liquidity drought is putting yourself in front of an institutional steamroller,” the post added.
Bitcoin Whale Behavior Confirms the Shift
A separate analysis by Amr Taha reinforced this reading. The 30-day whale inflow to Binance fell to $2.96 billion. The inflow fell below $3 billion for the first time since June 2025.
Declining whale inflows suggest large holders have stopped sending BTC to exchanges for potential sale.
At the same time, Long-Term Holder (LTH) Realized Cap Change over 30 days rose to $49 billion on April 9. That marked its second return to that level since March 26.
Meanwhile, Short-Term Holder (STH) Realized Cap Change fell to -$54 billion, its third drop below -$50 billion since early March. According to the analyst, weaker holders distribute while long-term holders absorb available supply.
Whether this accumulation translates into a price recovery will depend on whether the US-Iran stalemate escalates further or yields a diplomatic breakthrough in the days ahead.
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Three altcoins are flashing critical technical setups heading into the third week of April 2026. RaveDAO (RAVE), Polkadot (DOT), and Official Trump (TRUMP) each face pivotal price levels that could define short-term direction.
RAVE continues its parabolic rally with a 185% daily surge. Meanwhile, DOT struggles after a bridge exploit sent the token near all-time lows. TRUMP tests double bottom support ahead of a key holder event.
RAVE Fibonacci Extensions Point Toward $9.00 Target
RaveDAO has been one of the most explosive movers in crypto this month. The token is currently trading at $7.47, reflecting a 185% gain in the past 24 hours alone. This rally extends a larger parabolic move that has delivered gains of over 3,500% from recent lows.
The structure of the advance suggests ordered, Fib-aware positioning rather than random price action. Key Fibonacci extension levels have acted as a staircase throughout the move. The 2.272 extension at $5.45 held as intraday support.
The next major target sits at the 2.618 Fibonacci extension near $8.99. That level aligns closely with the psychological $9.00 zone. With the current price at $7.47, the gap to that target is roughly 18%.
Breakout candles carried significantly elevated volume. The current daily candle shows no signs of exhaustion wicks or upper shadow rejections. The candle body remains full, closing near its high.
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However, manipulation concerns have emerged alongside the rally. Certain wallets reportedly deposited 18.58 million RAVE tokens onto Bitget roughly 10 hours before the pump began. The token’s low circulating supply of approximately 239 million out of a 1 billion maximum amplifies concentrated buying pressure.
On the downside, a daily close below $5.45 would crack the parabolic structure. A break below $3.68 would fully invalidate the bullish case and open the door toward $2.12.
A correction is likely due, as the RSI remains extremely overheated at 99.
DOT Falls Near All-Time Lows After Bridge Exploit
Polkadot is trading at $1.18, down 8% from Sunday’s highs. The decline follows a Hyperbridge gateway exploit that allowed an attacker to mint 1 billion bridged DOT tokens on Ethereum.
The attacker used a forged cross-chain message to change the admin of Polkadot’s token contract on Ethereum. They then minted the full supply and dumped it in a single transaction. The operation netted approximately 108.2 ETH, worth roughly $237,000.
Limited liquidity for the bridged asset capped the attacker’s profit. The exploit did not compromise Polkadot’s native relay chain or the DOT token on its own network. It targeted only the wrapped DOT representation on Ethereum.
Despite this distinction, major South Korean exchanges Upbit and Bithumb suspended DOT deposits and withdrawals as a precaution. The move added further selling pressure to an already weakened token.
DOT now trades dangerously close to its all-time low of $1.10. The token needs to reclaim the $1.22 level to stabilize. A positive development around the exploit response or network security could help restore confidence.
If DOT establishes above $1.22, it could then challenge the resistance at $1.33.
A failure to hold current levels would likely push the price toward $1.10. It could potentially fall even further below that floor.
TRUMP Price Tests Double Bottom at $2.78
Official Trump is trading at $2.81, roughly flat over the past 24 hours. The token sits near a critical support level that may form the base of a double bottom pattern.
The upcoming Mar-a-Lago crypto and business conference scheduled for April 25 has drawn attention to the token. The event offers the top 297 holders a seat at the gathering. The 29 largest whales receive VIP access to the president directly. A qualification snapshot was taken on April 10.
TRUMP needs to hold $2.78 to maintain the double bottom structure. If buyers defend that level, a breakout above the neckline at $3.08 could trigger a rally toward $3.34. That target aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and would represent a 19% gain from the current price.
The bearish scenario emerges if the $2.78 support fails. A breakdown there would send TRUMP toward its all-time low. New lows near $2.44, the 1.272 Fibonacci extension level, could follow. The token remains roughly 96% below its all-time high of $73.43 set in January 2025.
The April 25 holder event can no longer generate significant demand, since the snapshot has already been taken. However, any positive catalyst from the event remains the key variable for TRUMP’s price action.
The post 3 Altcoins to Watch for the 3rd Week of April 2026 appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Bitcoin and artificial intelligence appear to be moving in opposite directions regarding how their power is distributed.
Summary
- Bitcoin mining is increasingly shifting toward industrial-scale operations while AI development begins to move toward smaller and more personal device applications.
- The edge AI market is projected to reach 119 billion dollars by 2033 as localized data processing and privacy needs drive a 300 percent growth rate.
- High energy costs in the United States are pushing Bitcoin hash rates toward the Global South, with Ethiopia and Paraguay emerging as major hubs for hydroelectric mining.
Galaxy Research head Alex Thorn pointed out on Sunday that Bitcoin mining, which started on simple home computers, now mostly happens in massive industrial warehouses using specialized gear. AI, however, may take the reverse route.
While AI currently lives in giant, restricted data centers, Thorn believes open-source progress is closing the gap as major models hit limits in memory and data.
“If local models keep getting smaller, cheaper, and more efficient, AI may become increasingly personal and on-device,” he noted.
Localized computing on the rise
Grand View Research estimates the global market for “Edge AI”—technology that runs locally on gadgets rather than through a central cloud—will reach $119 billion by 2033.
This represents a jump from roughly $25 billion expected in 2025. The growth stems from the explosion of connected devices and a need for instant data processing that does not rely on a distant server.
Market analysts at GVR attributed this momentum to the expansion of the Internet of Things (IoT). Industry trends show a “rising focus on data privacy and localized intelligence at the network edge,” which allows companies to automate tasks without sending sensitive information to a central hub.
Mining moves to the Global South
A separate report from the crypto exchange KuCoin on Friday showed that while Bitcoin hardware is harder for individuals to own, the locations of these machines are spreading out globally.
High electricity prices in the United States have made mining unprofitable in certain regions, with costs to produce a single coin sometimes exceeding $100,000.
Operators are now seeking cheaper energy in places like Ethiopia and Paraguay, where hydroelectric power is plentiful. Such a move helps protect the network by ensuring it isn’t tied to the politics or power grids of just one or two nations.
According to KuCoin, “this decentralization of mining power across different continents enhances the security of the network by making it less vulnerable to any single country’s political or environmental shocks.”
Financial institutions have “accelerated” their participation in crypto markets this year, while retail investors have pulled out, said Exodus CEO JP Richardson on Sunday.
“This might be the first cycle in crypto history where institutions are in a bull market, and retail doesn’t even know it,” the crypto executive said.
Richardson cited a few examples, such as the stablecoin market capitalization all-time high this year, Morgan Stanley’s Bitcoin (BTC) ETF launch, Schwab starting a waitlist for spot Bitcoin trading, Franklin Templeton announcing a crypto division and Fannie Mae accepting Bitcoin-backed mortgages.
“In 2018 and 2022, institutions pulled out with retail. This time, they accelerated,” he said.
This shift could signal that crypto has evolved from volatile, retail-driven hype cycles to a more mature, institution-led market with steadier accumulation, deeper liquidity and reduced reliance on emotional spikes or panic selling.
Cost of living crisis keeping retail away
MN Fund founder and crypto YouTuber Michaël van de Poppe echoed the sentiment in an X post on Sunday, stating, “It’s super clear that retail isn’t interested in crypto.”
“Almost everyone has a hard time paying their bills on a monthly basis,” he added, referring to the escalating cost-of-living crisis and inflationary pressures.
“That’s why this cycle won’t be the retail cycle. It’s the institutional cycle and will take longer.”
Related: Bitcoin price falls under $71K as US-Iran war tensions spark sell-off
CryptoQuant analyst “Darkfost” noted that retail activity hit a nine-year low earlier this month, reporting that inflows from small accounts with less than 1 BTC reached a record low on Binance.
“Retail investors are clearly absent from the market,” he said.
The analyst added that some retail investors may have recently left the crypto market to move into equities and commodities, which have also delivered strong performances.
Near-term sentiment remains fragile
CoinEx exchange chief analyst Jeff Ko told Cointelegraph on Monday that near-term sentiment “remains fragile and heavily macro-driven, especially by oil, the dollar, and inflation expectations.”
“At this stage, the move still looks more like a macro risk premium overwhelming the near-term bid than a genuine deterioration in crypto appetite.”
He said he was more confident over the medium term, adding, “I do not expect oil prices to remain elevated given the underlying supply-demand fundamentals.”
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Key Takeaways
- Q1 2026 earnings release scheduled for April 14, pre-market hours
- Options market anticipates approximately 3.87% price movement — exceeding the 2.71% historical average
- Consensus estimates point to $5.45 EPS (+7% YoY) and $49.13B revenue (-8% YoY)
- Goldman Sachs upgraded target to $365 (Buy rating); Morgan Stanley lowered to $334 (Equal Weight)
- Shares gained 8.3% in the past month despite a 3% year-to-date decline
JPMorgan Chase unveils its first-quarter 2026 financial results this Tuesday, April 14, ahead of the market open. As the banking sector’s lead-off reporter, the company’s performance will provide critical insights into industry-wide trends.
The options market is signaling potential volatility, with implied movement around 3.87% following the earnings announcement. This exceeds JPM’s typical post-earnings fluctuation of 2.71% across the previous four quarters, suggesting investors are bracing for significant revelations.
Shares have slipped approximately 3% since the year began. Investor sentiment has been dampened by concerns surrounding artificial intelligence infrastructure spending and geopolitical instability related to tensions with Iran.
However, recent momentum has shifted favorably. JPMorgan’s stock has climbed 8.3% during the last 30 days, tracking closely with the banking sector’s 8.5% advance over the identical timeframe.
Consensus Forecasts and Expectations
Analysts project first-quarter earnings per share of $5.45, representing 7% year-over-year expansion. Revenue projections stand at $49.13 billion, reflecting an approximately 8% contraction compared to the prior-year period.
The anticipated revenue downturn deserves attention. During the previous quarter, JPMorgan reported $46.77 billion in revenue — a 6.9% annual increase — yet fell short of earnings expectations.
Estimate revisions have remained relatively stable throughout the past month, indicating analysts aren’t anticipating major deviations. The banking giant has historically demonstrated an ability to surpass Street predictions.
Wall Street Price Targets Show Divergence
Analyst perspectives vary considerably approaching the earnings event.
Goldman Sachs analyst Richard Ramsden elevated his valuation target to $365 from $352 while maintaining a Buy recommendation. Goldman’s thesis centers on improved banking sector valuations following this year’s roughly 7% decline, which has brought multiples closer to historical benchmarks.
Goldman highlighted several focal points for investors: net interest income projections, capital markets revenue impact from market turbulence, and potential credit quality deterioration or loan loss reserve changes stemming from elevated energy costs.
Conversely, Morgan Stanley adopted a more cautious stance. Analyst Manan Gosalia reduced his price objective to $334 from $365 while retaining an Equal Weight designation. The firm implemented sector-wide target reductions averaging 9%, citing inflationary pressures, Middle Eastern geopolitical risks, and private credit market vulnerabilities.
These contrasting targets frame the current Street consensus. Among 12 Buy recommendations and 8 Hold ratings, the average analyst price target stands at $337.00 — suggesting potential upside of approximately 8.76% from present levels. The aggregate rating qualifies as a Moderate Buy.
Serving as the inaugural major banking institution to report this earnings cycle, JPMorgan’s financial disclosure will establish the narrative framework for peer institutions. Trading commences at 9:30 AM ET on April 14.
Bitcoin price is not doing badly at all, but Arthur Hayes drops his most provocative macro prediction yet, and the biggest threat to BTC isn’t missiles over the Middle East. Hayes, Maelstrom CIO and BitMEX co-founder, is calling $500K–$750K by end-2026, but the path there runs through a deflationary minefield that isn’t pricing in.
In a wide-ranging Coinage YouTube interview, Hayes argued that AI-driven displacement of high-income knowledge workers is the dominant deflationary force compressing crypto sentiment right now. Oil futures do reflect Israel-Iran geopolitical tensions, Hayes concedes, but the layoff cascade from AI adoption tightens credit, cuts consumption, and delays the liquidity surge Bitcoin needs.
He frames BTC explicitly as a “liquidity smoke alarm,” something that doesn’t move until the credit taps open. With RSI sitting at a neutral, the chart agrees: Bitcoin is waiting. Middle East developments remain a live variable for short-term volatility either way.
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Bitcoin Price Prediction: War and AI Collide?
Bitcoin current price of $70,700 places it in a well-defined prediction zone. The key technical level traders are watching is the $76,000 resistance above, with support anchoring near current prices and a deeper downside scenario targeting $75K before any meaningful rebound, per Hayes’ own near-term roadmap.
RSI at 50-ish signals neither overbought enthusiasm nor capitulation, more of consolidation with directional tension building underneath.
If Israel-Iran conflict triggers emergency Fed liquidity measures, BTC can clear $76K resistance and accelerate toward 30% of Hayes’ intermediate $250K target on the back of historical rate-cut tailwinds post-geopolitical stress.
However, AI deflation and credit tightening would likely keep BTC range-bound between $70K–$74K through Q3 2026, with a breakout contingent on Fed signaling a pivot.
AI layoff acceleration could also deepen the deflationary shock faster than war-driven liquidity can offset it; Bitcoin price might retests sub-$70K, invalidating Hayes’s prediction for the year-end.
It’s worth remembering (Hayes himself would likely not mind the reminder) that his $200K by March 2026 call went unfulfilled as BTC lingered near $71K. Bold targets require bold catalysts. The Fed and the battlefield are the only two variables that matter right now.
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LiquidChain Fixes What BTC and Alts Can’t
Bitcoin at $70,000 with resistance at $76,000 tells a familiar story for cycle veterans: the big move hasn’t happened yet, and large-cap BTC at current prices offers asymmetric upside only if Hayes’ macro thesis fully materializes, a significant if.
LiquidChain ($LIQUID) is positioning itself as a cross-chain infrastructure for exactly the liquidity environment Hayes describes. The Layer 3 project fuses Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana liquidity into a single execution environment.
A new layer emerges. Only a few see it first. — LiquidChain (@getliquidchain) March 24, 2026
The future is LiquidChain 
⟁https://t.co/vqvBcdSj94 pic.twitter.com/R7ZeZ0NPGl
With Liquid, developers deploy once, access all three ecosystems simultaneously through its Unified Liquidity Layer and Single-Step Execution architecture. Verifiable Settlement and Deploy-Once Architecture reduce the fragmentation cost that has historically bled value from cross-chain protocols.
The presale has raised north of $650K at a current price of $0.01449. LiquidChain is approaching the $1M presale milestone, which tends to accelerate retail attention, especially with its 1600% APY staking bonus.
The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Arthur Hayes on AI, Oil Price, and War Against Crypto appeared first on Cryptonews.
South Korea’s central bank says crypto exchanges should have their own “circuit breakers” that halt trading to prevent a repeat of the market fallout after Bithumb mistakenly sent more than $40 billion in Bitcoin to its customers in February.
The Bank of Korea said in a payments report on Monday that lawmakers should consider introducing mechanisms similar to the Korea Exchange’s trading curbs to suspend trading if crypto prices suddenly fluctuate.
“Currently, the virtual asset industry lacks internal control mechanisms and faces lower regulatory intensity compared to established financial institutions,” the bank said.
“Consequently, as similar incidents could occur at other virtual asset exchanges, it is necessary to strengthen relevant regulations to prevent them in advance,” the report added.
It comes as South Korean lawmakers are currently looking to pass laws to further regulate crypto, which the Bank of Korea said should include its suggested measures “to enhance the safety and transparency of virtual asset exchange operations.”
In early February, Bithumb erroneously sent customers 620,000 Bitcoin (BTC), worth around $42 billion at the time, instead of 620,000 Korean won, worth $400.
The price of Bitcoin on Bithumb fell as users rushed to sell, causing others to panic-sell and further driving down its price, according to the bank’s report.
Bithumb halted trading and reversed its Bitcoin sends within minutes, but the exchange said that 1,788 BTC, worth around $125 million, had been sold before it could act, and it covered the shortfall using company reserves.
Related: South Korea tightens crypto withdrawal-delay exemptions after scam losses
The Bank of Korea suggested that crypto exchanges should be required to have systems capable of detecting and preventing “erroneous payments caused by human error.”
It added that exchanges should also have systems to automatically verify a platform’s internal assets compared to those on the blockchain to flag discrepancies.
Magazine: South Korea gets rich from crypto… North Korea gets weapons
Solana (SOL) treasury companies have shed between 75% and 92% of their stock value since late 2025, as the token’s 34% year-to-date decline punishes concentrated digital asset strategies.
Analyst Ted Pillows compared the price action of these firms to that of meme coins on the Solana network, warning investors that the selling may not be over.
“They are already down 80%-90%, but could go down another 30%-50% before the bottom,” he said.
Forward Industries (FWDI), the largest institutional SOL holder with 6.9 million tokens, has seen its stock plunge over 89% from a multi-year high near $46 recorded in September.
CoinGecko data showed that the company purchased SOL at an average price of around $230. Yet, with the token now trading near $82, the company carries over $1 billion in unrealized losses.
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Other firms face similar pain. Sol Strategies (STKE), which was listed on Nasdaq in September, has dropped over 92% since then. Sharps Technology’s stock (STSS) is down roughly 89%, with the company carrying $225.45 million in paper losses. DeFi Development Corp (DFDV) has fallen around 75%, with $56.43 million in unrealized losses.
Pillows also highlighted that Ethereum treasury firms are showing relative near-term strength, potentially attracting buying pressure into ETH.
However, he cautioned that this is likely a temporary reprieve before both ETH and its associated treasury stocks also move to new lows.
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Ultimately, sustained crypto asset recovery would ease balance-sheet pressure across the sector. Without one, treasury firms face growing questions about whether concentrated single-asset strategies can survive prolonged drawdowns.
The post Solana Treasury Stocks Mirror Meme Coin Crashes, Analyst Warns of 50% More Downside appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Key Highlights
- ARK Invest acquired 85,485 shares of Palantir valued at approximately $11.15M distributed across five ETFs
- The firm divested 44,446 AMD shares totaling roughly $10.52M, scaling back semiconductor holdings
- Palantir shares declined approximately 2% Friday following Thursday’s 7% retreat
- Michael Burry flagged Palantir as “bubble”-valued, pointing to Anthropic’s competitive momentum
- Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives countered Burry’s position, reaffirming Buy rating with $230 target
Cathie Wood’s investment management firm, ARK Invest, executed significant portfolio adjustments during April 10-11, 2026. The fund manager purchased Palantir Technologies stock while simultaneously reducing its Advanced Micro Devices holdings, based on the company’s published daily transaction reports.
ARK accumulated 85,485 Palantir shares representing approximately $11.15 million in value. The acquisition was distributed among five exchange-traded funds: ARKK acquired 46,455 shares, ARKQ added 15,127, ARKW purchased 11,865, ARKF bought 5,973, and ARKX obtained 6,065.
Palantir Technologies Inc., PLTR
Concurrently, ARK divested 44,446 shares of Advanced Micro Devices, representing approximately $10.52 million in total value. These sales were similarly allocated across the identical five fund portfolios.
These transactions indicate ARK’s strategic pivot from semiconductor hardware investments toward artificial intelligence software platforms.
Market Turbulence Hits Palantir
Palantir’s stock experienced significant headwinds during the week preceding ARK’s purchase. The shares retreated approximately 2% Friday after suffering a 7% decline the previous session.
A portion of this downturn stemmed from commentary by Michael Burry, the prominent investor famous for “The Big Short” trade. Burry published remarks on X suggesting Palantir’s market valuation has entered “bubble” levels.
Burry contended that Anthropic, the emerging AI company, is capturing market share from Palantir through its innovative “Mythos” model and accelerated expansion. Cathie Wood apparently viewed the price weakness as an attractive entry point.
ARK additionally liquidated 75,389 shares of Strata Critical Medical worth $305,325, extending a pattern of reducing exposure to that equity during recent sessions.
Wall Street Opinions Remain Split
Burry’s perspective doesn’t enjoy universal support. Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives characterized Burry’s viewpoint as a “fictional narrative.”
Ives maintained his Buy recommendation on Palantir while keeping his price objective at $230. He highlighted Palantir’s impressive 137% expansion in U.S. Commercial revenue as proof that the company’s competitive advantages remain intact.
Benchmark analyst Yi Fu Lee takes a more reserved stance. Lee suggests that Palantir’s elevated valuation metrics require continued strong operational performance to support current stock prices.
The Street consensus on Palantir currently stands at Moderate Buy. This rating reflects 14 Buy recommendations, 5 Hold ratings, and 2 Sell calls.
The mean price objective following the recent market turbulence reaches $194.61, implying roughly 52% appreciation potential from Friday’s closing price.
Advanced Micro Devices shares advanced 3.55% during the same trading session when ARK executed its sale.
Ethereum price is trading just below $2,200, with a macro chart prediction forming since 2017 signals the next move could be violent to the upside. An X analyst has flagged a golden triangle structure on ETH’s 3-week chart, a setup nearly a decade in the making that projects a parabolic rally above $12,000 by 2027–2028. The full target range may surprise even committed bulls.
The pattern is defined by two converging trendlines: a rising lower boundary anchored from the March 2020 Covid crash low and a flat upper resistance connecting the rally peaks of 2021, 2024, and 2025.
ETH has respected both boundaries repeatedly across multiple market cycles, with each touch producing a meaningful bounce. Currently, price is pressing the lower trendline again, forming what appears to be a higher low versus the 2025 bottom in a structure historically associated with breakout setups.
Separately, analyst CryptoFeras identified a rising diagonal support on the 3-day chart connecting cycle lows from 2022, 2023, and 2025, each of which preceded substantial multi-hundred-percent rallies.
Although the market backdrop complicates the picture, the Fear & Greed Index sits at 15–16, deep in extreme fear territory, while Ethereum’s deflationary supply dynamics and growing institutional flows via BlackRock’s ETHA provide structural support.
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Ethereum Price Prediction: $7,500 Before the End of 2026?
ETH is currently consolidating in the $2,000–$2,200 range following a sharp drawdown to $2,000 earlier this month. Volatility sits at 3.89% in a medium intensity level, with 60% green days across the trailing 30 periods, suggesting sellers are losing consistent momentum despite the fear-heavy sentiment.
Key levels define the near-term map. Support clusters at $2,162 (50-day SMA) and $1,760 (2026 year-to-date lows), with a deeper floor at $1,400 if macro conditions deteriorate sharply.
Resistance sits at $2,451 (5-day high) and $2,666 (200-day SMA), the latter being the critical reclaim zone for any sustained recovery thesis. RSI reads 54, neutral, but directional indicators on the daily and weekly timeframes are both flagging buy signals.
If ETH can hold $2,090 SMA support, it could reclaim $2,400, and the golden triangle breakout initiates a run toward Standard Chartered’s revised target of $7,500 by end-2026 and $15,000 by 2027.
The pattern is compelling. Whether price validates it in weeks or months remains an open question.
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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early-Mover Upside as Ethereum Tests Key Levels
ETH at $2,100 offers meaningful upside potential, but reaching $7,500 still requires a 3.5× move from current prices, and Standard Chartered’s timeline stretches to late 2026. For some of us watching the crypto market structure and seeking asymmetric early-stage exposure, the current cycle is surfacing infrastructure plays operating at a fraction of established asset valuations.
Bitcoin Hyper is one generating notable presale traction. The project positions itself as the first-ever Bitcoin Layer 2 with SVM (Solana Virtual Machine) integration, delivering smart contract speed and programmability on Bitcoin’s security layer, targeting sub-second finality faster than Solana itself.
The presale has raised more than $32 million at a current token price of still just $0.0136, with staking available during the presale period. The core proposition addresses Bitcoin’s three structural limitations, like slow transactions, high fees, and absent programmability, without sacrificing BTC’s trust model.
The post Ethereum Price Prediction: Golden Triangle Since 2017 To Send ETH Parabolic appeared first on Cryptonews.
Whale activity around the TRUMP memecoin has intensified in the lead-up to a high-profile luncheon for top holders at Mar-a-Lago, even as the token’s price retraces from a March spike. On-chain data tracked by analytics firms shows several large transfers and new stash increases among the largest wallets, underscoring the ongoing tension between demand from retail participants and the concentration of supply among a handful of holders.
blockchain analytics firm Lookonchain highlighted the latest moves, including a whale who withdrew 105,754 OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) from Binance to augment a stash of about 1.13 million TRUMP — roughly $3.2 million at current prices — reported on Sunday. Earlier in the week, another large holder pulled 850,488 TRUMP from Bybit. On Solscan, a different wallet increased its TRUMP balance to more than 368,000 after an exit from BitMart, while a fourth wallet boosted holdings to above one million TRUMP following a Bybit withdrawal. These movements come as the top holders are slated for a private luncheon at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate on April 25, with the event billed as featuring the former president as keynote speaker and a private reception for the top 29 holders.
Critics have argued that the event blurs political power with fundraising and personal gain, a concern echoed by lawmakers who have proposed measures aimed at curbing profits from memecoins tied to political figures. The White House has not commented on the memecoin’s fundraising optics, but the policy debate around memecoins remains a constant background theme in coverage of this asset class.
TRUMP price drift and what it implies for holders
The token’s price has cooled considerably since its March surge tied to the luncheon announcement. TRUMP traded near $2.80 on Monday, down more than 33% from its March peak of about $4.35. Data from CoinGecko shows the retracement, even as on-chain activity suggests ongoing accumulation among the largest holders.
Analyst commentary from Dominick John at Zeus Research framed the move this way: the price decline appears driven by retail selling against a backdrop of thin liquidity, which makes it easier for modest selling pressure to push prices lower. He also noted that the insider supply overhang means even small distributions from concentrated wallets can absorb new bids, dampening upside momentum for the token.
CoinCarp’s data reinforces the sense of pronounced concentration: the platform lists 642,882 TRUMP holders, with more than 91% of the supply held by the top 10 wallets and over 97% held by the top 100 wallets. In other words, the distribution of supply remains highly centralized, a factor that can both stabilize and cap upside depending on how those wallets choose to act in any given moment.
Past milestones, present dynamics, and potential catalysts
Trump’s first “crypto gala” dinner in May 2025 marked a previous burst in TRUMP’s price, with the token peaking around $15.59 roughly a month before the event and then retreating in the run-up. In the months since, the price path has been markedly less pronounced, though traders and analysts have pointed to potential catalysts that could rekindle momentum. John at Zeus Research suggests that a broader market backdrop paired with event-driven announcements could help establish a usable floor for the token and stir reflexive upside among participants.
“One catalyst to watch is the potential for event-driven launches, such as a proposed Trump Billionaire Game, which could generate social buzz and translate into short-term upside momentum,” John said. He cautioned that the same concentration of supply could moderate gains if the large holders decide to distribute, even in the face of favorable headlines.
Looking ahead, the upcoming luncheon and any related corporate or political announcements could act as a sentiment lever for the TRUMP token. If institutional interest begins to show in early accumulation or if broader memecoin activity heats up around the same time, a floor could form, enabling a more resilient bounce. But observers caution that absent a broader rebalancing of the supply base, gains may remain predominantly tied to the whims of the top holders rather than a healthy, broad-based retail demand story.
From a market structure perspective, the potential for new, high-profile launches tied to Trump’s brand in the crypto space could add a novel driver for short-term upside. Still, investors should contend with a highly concentrated holder base and liquidity that can tighten quickly during pullbacks, a dynamic that has underscored past price fluctuations.
Beyond price, regulatory scrutiny continues to loom. Democratic lawmakers have signaled an intent to curb profits from memecoins associated with political figures, a thread that could influence both participation and sentiment in the space over the medium term. As policymakers weigh proposals, traders and builders will be watching for any clarity on how such tokens should be treated under securities or commodity frameworks and whether targeted restrictions could alter the economics of large-scale memecoin holdings.
The TRUMP token’s appeal appears to rest as much on social momentum and media visibility as on fundamentals. The luncheon at Mar-a-Lago, the album of on-chain movements by large wallets, and the narrative around political branding in crypto all contribute to a multifaceted story that transcends a single price point. For readers, the key takeaway is to watch how the top holders’ decisions, new event-driven catalysts, and regulatory signals intersect to shape the token’s trajectory in the near term.
In practice, the evolving mix of on-chain activity and market sentiment suggests that the next few weeks could be telling for TRUMP. If the pool of actively trading retail investors expands or if a credible new catalyst surfaces, the token could test a new range. If, however, the concentration among the top wallets remains a dominant feature, upside may be limited unless a decisive large-holder move triggers broader participation.
As always, readers should stay tuned to on-chain trackers and exchange flow summaries for the latest movements, while watching for any official commentary on the event’s political optics and potential regulatory implications that could influence investor appetite for memecoins tied to public figures.
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