Business
Buy the Dip or Sell the Rally as Turnaround Gains Traction?
NEW YORK — Starbucks Corp. shares have climbed more than 15 percent year-to-date in 2026, trading near $98 in mid-April as investors weigh early signs of a turnaround under new CEO Brian Niccol against lingering pressures from cautious consumers and a complex China market.
At around $98.47 on April 15, 2026, SBUX stock sits well above its recent lows but remains far below the all-time highs above $120 seen in prior years. The company’s market capitalization hovers near $110 billion after a volatile stretch marked by declining traffic in key markets and aggressive cost-cutting efforts. Year-to-date gains outpace the broader market modestly, reflecting guarded optimism around the “Back to Starbucks” strategy launched after Niccol’s arrival from Chipotle in late 2024.
Wall Street’s consensus leans toward cautious optimism. Across roughly 40 analysts, the average 12-month price target stands near $101 to $104, implying modest single-digit upside from current levels. Ratings tilt toward Hold with a sprinkling of Buy recommendations, though some firms have nudged targets higher following positive Q1 signals. The highest targets reach $165 in optimistic scenarios, while bears see downside risks toward $74 if momentum stalls.
Fiscal first-quarter 2026 results released in late January offered the clearest evidence yet that Niccol’s plan is gaining traction. Global comparable store sales rose 4 percent, driven by positive U.S. transaction growth for the first time in eight quarters. Revenue climbed 5 percent to approximately $9.9 billion, beating estimates, though adjusted earnings per share of $0.56 missed consensus slightly amid higher labor investments and one-time items.
The company introduced full-year fiscal 2026 guidance calling for global comparable sales growth of 3 percent or better, with similar revenue expansion. Non-GAAP earnings per share are projected in a range of $2.15 to $2.40, and Starbucks plans to open 600 to 650 net new stores worldwide. Executives described the turnaround as “ahead of schedule,” highlighting menu simplification, improved store operations and a renewed focus on the core coffeehouse experience.
Niccol has emphasized returning Starbucks to its roots — faster service, friendlier baristas and a stronger sense of community — after years of over-reliance on digital orders and drive-thru efficiency that some critics said eroded the brand’s soul. Early moves included trimming the menu by 25 to 30 percent to reduce complexity and waste, enhancing in-store ambiance and retraining staff. U.S. traffic trends have stabilized, with transaction growth turning positive amid targeted promotions and value offers.
International markets present a more mixed picture. China, once a high-growth engine with plans to reach 20,000 stores through a partnership with Boyu Capital, continues facing headwinds from intense local competition and a sluggish consumer environment. While the company maintains long-term ambitions in the region, near-term traffic remains soft. Starbucks closed a strategic deal in China earlier in 2026, aiming to accelerate expansion while sharing risk.
Analysts credit Niccol’s operational discipline for margin stabilization efforts even as investments in labor and store refreshes weigh on near-term profitability. Operating margins contracted in Q1 but executives expect slight improvement for the full year through efficiency gains and disciplined pricing. Free cash flow generation remains solid, supporting the company’s quarterly dividend of about $0.61 per share, which yields roughly 2.5 percent at current prices.
The stock’s valuation sparks debate. Trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple in the high 30s to low 40s based on 2026 estimates, SBUX commands a premium that assumes successful execution of the turnaround. Bulls argue the multiple is justified by Starbucks’ powerful global brand, loyal customer base and potential for mid-single-digit long-term growth as digital, ready-to-drink products and new store development compound. Bears counter that the premium leaves limited room for error if U.S. consumer spending weakens further or China recovery lags.
Next earnings for the fiscal second quarter are scheduled for late April, with investors eager for updates on U.S. traffic trends, China performance and progress on store renovations. Any positive surprises on same-store sales or margin trajectory could fuel further gains, while softer commentary might trigger profit-taking.
Competition remains fierce. Rivals such as Dutch Bros, local coffee chains and even fast-food players offering premium beverages continue chipping away at market share, particularly among price-sensitive younger customers. Starbucks has responded with value bundles, seasonal drinks and loyalty program enhancements designed to boost frequency without deep discounting that could erode margins.
Longer-term catalysts include international expansion beyond China, growth in the Global Coffee Alliance and ready-to-drink beverages, and potential innovation in plant-based or premium offerings. The company also continues investing in technology, including mobile order improvements and data-driven personalization, to enhance the customer experience.
For investors debating buy or sell decisions in 2026, Starbucks represents a classic turnaround story in the consumer discretionary space. Optimists see an attractive entry point after years of underperformance, with Niccol’s proven track record at Chipotle providing credibility. The current dividend yield and share repurchase activity add appeal for income-oriented portfolios. At depressed levels relative to historical peaks, the stock offers asymmetric upside if the “Back to Starbucks” plan restores mid-single-digit growth and expands margins toward pre-pandemic levels.
Skeptics highlight structural challenges: a maturing U.S. market, persistent inflation pressures on discretionary spending and geopolitical risks in China. Execution risk remains high as the company balances cost discipline with investments in people and stores. If traffic gains prove temporary or new store openings fall short, the premium valuation could compress quickly.
Portfolio considerations matter. Defensive qualities in the consumer staples-adjacent sector make Starbucks appealing during economic uncertainty, yet its sensitivity to discretionary spending ties it more closely to cyclical trends. Dividend growth history and strong balance sheet provide some downside protection.
As spring advances, attention will focus on summer beverage sales, back-to-school traffic and any updates on China operations or new product launches. Broader economic factors — interest rates, employment trends and consumer confidence — will influence results.
At current levels near $98, Starbucks offers a blend of recovery potential and income. Short-term traders may await the April earnings reaction for clearer direction, while longer-term investors can lean on the brand’s resilience and Niccol’s strategic shifts. Those with high conviction in a U.S. traffic rebound and successful China navigation see room for the stock to climb toward the $110-$120 range by year-end.
The coming months will test whether early positive trends translate into sustained momentum. Strong Q2 results, accelerating U.S. transactions and credible progress on margins could validate the bullish case and support multiple expansion. Any signs of renewed softness, however, might pressure shares toward the lower end of the 52-week range.
Starbucks built its empire on the simple promise of a welcoming third place between home and work. Under Niccol, the company is rediscovering that heritage while adapting to a more competitive, cost-conscious environment. Whether 2026 marks the inflection point for renewed growth or another transitional year will shape shareholder returns for years ahead.
For now, the data point to a Hold with upward bias for those willing to tolerate volatility. The golden siren has weathered storms before. If the turnaround delivers, patient investors could be rewarded as Starbucks reclaims its position as a premium growth name in the restaurant sector. Execution will be everything in the months ahead.
Business
Spirit Airlines could liquidate as early as this week, sources say
Spirit Airlines airplanes taxi on the tarmac at New York’s Laguardia Airport in the Queens borough of New York City, U.S., Nov. 7, 2025.
Ryan Murphy | Reuters
Spirit Airlines could liquidate as early as this week, according to people familiar with the matter.
They spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss matters that had not yet been made public.
The budget carrier has been struggling to regain its footing from its second bankruptcy in less than a year, but it now faces the added challenge of a spike in the price of fuel. Fuel is airlines’ biggest expense after labor.
“We don’t comment on market rumors and speculation,” Spirit said in a statement.
The exact day the carrier could begin liquidation wasn’t immediately clear. Bloomberg earlier reported on the potential liquidation.
The news comes just as the U.S. airline industry, including Florida-based Spirit, is wrapping up its busy spring break season.
Pilot and flight attendant unions had made concessions in recent months in a bid to help Spirit survive. The airline had planned to shrink and focus on high-demand travel periods and routes in a bid to exit bankruptcy as early as this spring.
Spirit enjoyed largely steady profitability for years and enviable margins in the industry. But things took a turn after the pandemic, when wages and other costs soared, customer preferences changed, and an oversupply of domestic flights drove down airfare, which was especially punishing for U.S.-focused carriers that don’t enjoy a buffer from plush first-class cabins and large credit card and loyalty program deals.
Its problems snowballed after a Pratt & Whitney engine recall grounded dozens of its Airbus aircraft starting in 2023 and its planned acquisition by JetBlue Airways was blocked two years ago by a federal judge who ruled it was anticompetitive, leaving both carriers to fend for themselves against a backdrop where larger carriers dominate.
Spirit forecast it would generate a net profit of $252 million last year, according to a court filing in December 2024, but it said in an August report that it lost nearly $257 million in a matter of months stretching from March 13, after it exited its first Chapter 11 bankruptcy, through the end of June. It filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection again less than a month later.
The airline had tried in recent years to win over higher-spending customers by offering roomier seats or bundled fares that include seat assignments and baggage to better compete with larger rivals whose profits have been buoyed big-spending customers post-pandemic.
Business
Nkarta receives FDA agreement for outpatient NKX019 dosing

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Scheme to support energy-intensive firms to be expanded
The scheme is designed to support firms that are high energy users in sectors such as automotive and aerospace, steel producers, metal fabricators, pharmaceutical and medical supplies companies, recycling businesses, plastic producers, nuclear fuel processors, and cooling and ventilation equipment manufacturers, the government said.
Business
LARRY KUDLOW: Let’s make April 15, Tax Day, a pro-growth tax cut day
FOX Business host Larry Kudlow discusses President Donald Trump and the GOP delivering on the tax cut promise on ‘Kudlow.’
Today is April 15, tax day, and it should be a day of celebration for nearly all taxpayers because of President Trump’s one, big, beautiful bill that was signed last July 4. It not only avoided a $4.5 trillion tax hike proposed by Democrats, but it also provided substantial pro-growth tax cuts for the vast majority of American taxpayers. And 53 million people claimed one of Mr. Trump’s new deductions. And some 51 million seniors will pay no tax on their Social Security under the law. No taxes on tips and overtime will boost take-home pay by about $1,400 per person.
And here are some more factoids: more than 6 million people have filed for no tax on tips. The average deduction is higher than $7,100. More than 25 million people have filed for no tax on overtime. The average deduction is more than $3,100. And more than 30 million senior citizens have filed for no tax on Social Security. The average deduction there is more than $7,500.
Small business tax deductions remain in place. 100 percent immediate cost expensing for business and factory building is financing millions of new jobs at higher wages to boost kitchen table middle class family incomes. It’s all there. But for some reason, most Americans don’t seem to know about it.
White House senior counselor for trade and manufacturing Peter Navarro discusses the major boost in tax refunds from President Donald Trump’s ‘big, beautiful bill’ on ‘Kudlow.’
The highly regarded accurate TIPP poll shows that 40 percent of Americans think their taxes are going up, and only about 10 percent think they’re going down. Thirty-seven percent think there’s been no change.
So the Republican party has itself a marketing problem. When I sat down with Mr. Trump last February and raised this issue, he acknowledged that he and his team had to do a better job of getting the message out. The TIPP poll, just completed, shows that the message is still not getting out. And other polls may agree with that one.
I know the president is a busy guy, obliterating Iran and winning the war, which is terribly important, but he and his team and congressional leaders have just got to do a better selling job on tax cuts. Republicans should put together another economic growth plan. There’s plenty of time to do it through reconciliation which requires 50 votes plus the vice president. And I’m not interested in a small plan.
Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, breaks down worries over a potential ‘skinny’ reconciliation bill to fund DHS on ‘Kudlow.’
I’m not interested in an anorexic plan, I’m advocating a wide-bodied plan with tax cuts, especially inflation-adjusted capital gains.Huge savings from waste, fraud, and abuse, we need funding for real voter ID, and the Pentagon’s wartime supplemental. It should all be in there. And I am hopeful this growth plan can come to pass. I had a colloquy about this with the majority leader, Senator John Thune, yesterday.
“You’re talking about a very skinny anorexic, I love that, anorexic, very skinny, anorexic reconciliation bill,” I said, but “Mr. Thune, you’re not an anorexic kind of leader.” Mr. Thune replied: “If we want to do a budget resolution and do a more comprehensive approach and use reconciliation in the way that you described, there will be an opportunity to do that.” I asked: “This year?” Mr. Thune replied: “Obviously, it depends.” I repeated: “This year, sir? Big, beautiful.” “Big and beautiful,” Mr. Thune responded. “Big, Beautiful 2.0 bill,” I said. “It depends on getting the votes,” Mr. Thune said. When I asked if he was open to such a measure, Mr. Thune replied: “Yeah, absolutely. I’m for doing more, not less.”
Hopefully Speaker Mike Johnson will be as open to a wide-bodied growth plan as Mr. Thune appears to be. And hopefully the whole Republican Party will just get behind it. Yes, today is tax day. Let’s make it a pro-growth tax cut day. Mr. Trump will win the war in Iran. Yet he and the GOP have to win the domestic economic war, in other words, the midterm elections.
Business
Snap lays off roughly 1,000 employees as tech firm restructures workforce
Boston Consulting Group global chair Rich Lesser discusses a new survey showing A.I. is becoming a major source of stress for CEOs on The Claman Countdown.
Snap on Wednesday announced plans to lay off roughly 1,000 employees, as the tech company adopts artificial intelligence (AI) and looks to streamline its operations.
The parent company of Snapchat will also close over 300 open roles as part of its workforce restructuring, which comes after Irenic Capital Management pushed Snap to optimize its portfolio and performance. The firm is an activist investor with an economic interest of roughly 2.5% in the company.
Snap explained that advancements in AI are helping it streamline operations and function with smaller teams as AI generates over 65% of new code, while the company assigns more critical work to focused teams and AI agents.
The tech company had about 5,261 full-time employees as of December, and the layoffs will impact about 16% of the company’s full-time staff.
ORACLE LYING OFF THOUSANDS OF WORKERS TO CUT COSTS AMID AI PUSH: REPORT

Snapchat is laying off about 16% of its full-time employees as it restructures its workforce. (Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images)
Snap’s stock rose nearly 8% on Wednesday amid the news, leaving shares down about 25.7% year to date despite a 29% increase over the last month.
The company expects to cut more than $500 million in annualized expenses by the second half of the year, driven significantly by the recently announced layoffs, as well as broader efforts to reduce operating costs and stock-based compensation, CEO Evan Spiegel said. He asked employees in North America to work from home on Wednesday.
AMAZON CUTS JOBS IN ROBOTICS UNIT AS LAYOFFS CONTINUE: REPORT
| Ticker | Security | Last | Change | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNAP | SNAP INC. | 6.04 | +0.44 | +7.86% |
Snap anticipates $95 million to $130 million in layoff-related charges, most of which will fall in the second quarter, according to a regulatory filing.
Snap’s layoffs come after the company invested heavily in its augmented reality glasses unit, known as Specs, and is planning to launch the product this year.
META’S BAY AREA LAYOFFS AFFECT ROUGHLY 200 WORKERS AS COMPANY POURS BILLIONS INTO AI INFRASTRUCTURE

Snapchat has invested heavily in augmented reality glasses. (Alisha Jucevic/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Irenic Capital has urged Snap to either spin off or shut down the business unit, which has received $3.5 billion in investment, as a means of conserving cash while the company pursues broader cost cuts.
“Cutting costs may appease an activist in the near term, and give long-suffering shareholders some relief, but whether it really leaves the company with a defensible business model and competitive position that it can defend, develop and turn into profits and cash flow is still unclear,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.
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Reuters contributed to this report.
Business
Algernon Health to rebrand as Grey Matters Health, consolidate shares

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Business
EMXC: A Ex-US Buy On Ex-China And Semiconductors (NASDAQ:EMXC)
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The views expressed in this article are solely the author’s own and do not represent the opinions or recommendations of an SRO or broker-dealer. This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Readers should consult their own financial advisor before making investment decisions. As a reminder, investment products: Are NOT FDIC insured. Not deposits of, or obligations of a bank, and may be subject to investment risk, including a possible loss of principal. /////
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Business
Southern First Bancshares launches public stock offering

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Willis Lease Finance: Engine Leasing Strength Supports Strong Buy Rating (Upgrade) (WLFC)
Dhierin-Perkash Bechai is an aerospace, defense and airline analyst.
Dhierin runs the investing group The Aerospace Forum, whose goal is to discover investment opportunities in the aerospace, defense and airline industry. With a background in aerospace engineering, he provides analysis of a complex industry with significant growth prospects, and offers context to developments as they occur, describing how they might affect investment theses. His investing ideas are driven by data informed analysis. The investing group also provides direct access to data analytics monitors.
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Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
Average mortgage payment tops $2,000 for first time, Realtor.com says
Financial influencer Taylor Price joins ‘Varney & Co.’ to break down how shifting your mindset can help Americans grow wealth and achieve the American Dream.
Outstanding mortgage payments reached a new high at the end of last year when the typical mortgage holder’s monthly payment exceeded $2,000 for the first time.
While the average monthly payment for new homebuyers crossed the $2,000 threshold in September 2022, the rise in the average monthly payment for all outstanding mortgages to $2,005 in the fourth quarter of 2025 for the first time underscores the affordability challenges facing buyers, according to Realtor.com data.
The uptick covers the full portfolio of mortgages in the U.S., including a large group of borrowers who took out loans before 2022 and have mortgage rates of 4% or lower – whereas new buyers face significantly higher payments given the elevated mortgage rates.

Average mortgage payments rose to the highest level on record at the end of last year. (Getty Images)
“New borrowers entering the market today face substantially higher payments than the existing portfolio average implies, which is keeping many potential sellers locked in place,” wrote Hannah Jones, senior economic research analyst for Realtor.com.
THESE 8 HOUSING MARKETS FAVOR BUYERS
The report noted that the average payment was $1,255 in early 2013 and increased gradually to $1,456 by early 2020, before it accelerated sharply amid surging home prices and new mortgage originations.
The average mortgage payment increased by more than $600 in just the last several years, rising from $1,390 in early 2021 to $2,005 at the end of 2025 – which amounts to a 44% increase in roughly four years.
NEW JERSEY OUTPACES US HOUSING MARKET, TOPS NATION IN PRICE GROWTH
The report found that a little more than half of all outstanding mortgages, or 50.6%, still carry interest rates of 4% or lower. More than three quarters of all mortgages, or about 78%, have a rate below 6%.
The share of mortgages with a 6% or higher share now stands at 21.9%, an increase of 3.9 percentage points from the 18% reading at the end of 2024, which shows a meaningful year-over-year acceleration that was driven by sustained buyer activity even amid high borrowing costs.
HOUSING MARKET GAINING MOMENTUM AS SPRING SEASON BEGINS

Life events are helping drive activity by sellers despite high mortgage rates and home values. (Elijah Nouvelage/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
“Even in today’s high-price, high-rate market, homebuying activity around major life events, such as having kids, a job change, or a divorce, keeps the market in motion,” Jones wrote.
“Easing inflation and mortgage rates will be key drivers of seller activity as well, which will relieve some of the price pressure and competition in today’s undersupplied market,” she added.
The Realtor.com report also noted that while rate lock-in “remains substantial” with about 78% of mortgages carrying rates below 6%, the steady erosion of the cohort of mortgage holders with rates below 4% and the acceleration in the growth of the population with mortgage rates at or above 6% suggests the “market’s center of gravity is gradually shifting.”
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“The question for 2026, now complicated by renewed rate volatility tied to geopolitical uncertainty, is whether relief arrives fast enough to unlock reluctant sellers before another spring slips by,” Jones said.
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