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How to Build Event-Driven & Prediction-Ready Crypto Exchange Software?

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Rolling Out Crypto Neo Banking in Poland with White Label BaaS

When TradFi Launches Prediction Markets, Exchange Design Changes

Robinhood rolled out its YES/NO event contracts, and it wasn’t a quirky new trading format experiment. Traders aren’t just seeking exposure to prices, but also to outcomes.

“Will the Fed cut rates?”

“Will a Bitcoin ETF get approved?”

“Will a protocol ship its upgrade on time?”

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These aren’t random casino questions but decision markets. And they’re far more intuitive, engaging, and scalable than yet another spot or perpetual pair.

For founders building cryptocurrency exchange software in 2026, this matters because price-based trading markets are getting saturated. Fees are compressing, UI differences barely make a difference, and liquidity is expensive to bootstrap.

Event-based trading opens a new frontier for cryptocurrency exchange development, including new markets, users, and revenue streams. Major market trading platforms already sensed the air and have already launched their event contracts trading platforms.

Major Crypto Trading Platforms & Their Prediction Market Strategies 

Platform Status The Engine (Provider) Key Details & Differentiator
Coinbase Live (Jan 2026) Kalshi (Partnership) Integrated Kalshi markets directly into the main app. Users trade election/econ events alongside their spot crypto portfolio.
Webull Live Kalshi (Partnership) Focuses on “Hourlies” (e.g., Will S&P 500 be up at 2 PM?) and Sports. Targets active retail traders with short-term outcomes.
Crypto.com Live (B2B) CDNA (Own Exchange) Instead of just a retail app, they use their CFTC-regulated exchange (CDNA) to power other platforms. Currently powering Truth Social’s “Truth Predict” and High Roller casino.
Gemini Live (Dec 2025) Gemini Titan (Own Exchange) Built their own CFTC-licensed exchange (Gemini Titan). They frame predictions as a serious asset class (“Gemini Predictions”), not a game.
Kraken Planned (2026) Small Exchange (Acquisition) Acquired Small Exchange (a regulated futures exchange) to build a native event contract product from scratch, aiming for lower fees than the Kalshi partners.
ForecastEx Live Interactive Brokers (Subsidiary) A dedicated CFTC exchange for “Forecast Contracts.” Key Feature: They pay interest on the collateral you lock up in positions, attracting institutional hedging flow.
Jupiter Live (Feb 2026) Polymarket (Integration) Became the first Solana UI to natively integrate Polymarket. Allows Solana users to trade Polymarket events without bridging to Polygon.
Hyperliquid Live (HIP-4) Native L1 (Outcome Trading) Launched native “Outcome Trading” on their high-speed L1. Uses their massive perpetual liquidity to seed prediction markets, solving the “chicken and egg” liquidity problem.

What Is YES/NO Event-Based Trading?

Event-based trading lets users trade outcomes rather than assets. Each market is framed as a simple YES/NO question tied to real-world or crypto-native events. Traders take positions based on conviction; the truth unfolds when the event concludes, and settlement is immediate. 

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Unlike traditional crypto exchange software, there’s no long-term holding, no complex leverage math, and no dependence on continuous price movement. The trade is binary, time-bound, and information-driven.

They are also called binary markets because they strip away all complexity and leave traders with only two possibilities. Unlike a stock or digital asset price, which can go up, down, or stay the same, a binary event contract has no middle ground. The event either happens (YES) or it doesn’t (NO). 

How Event Contracts Trading Differs From Spot, Perpetual, and Prediction Markets?

Dimension Spot Trading Perpetuals & Futures Prediction Markets Event-Based Trading
What users trade Asset price Leveraged price exposure Forecasts Event outcomes (YES/NO)
Complexity Low High (funding, liquidation) Medium Low
Time horizon Open-ended Continuous Often long Short, predefined
Risk profile Capital-intensive Liquidation risk Thin liquidity Capped, transparent
User intent Hold or speculate High-frequency speculation Forecast accuracy Decision-driven trading
Exchange advantage Commoditized Liquidity wars Niche usage High engagement, new markets

For those planning retail-focused crypto exchange development, integrating these event tap trading games improves engagement and diversifies revenues, without adding leverage risk or launching tokens.

How Event-Driven Trading Fits Crypto Exchange Development?

Cryptocurrency exchange software is structurally built for event contracts trading. On-chain or hybrid trading software enables near-instantaneous settlement, global participation, and round-the-clock access, exactly what short-duration, outcome-based markets require. Like the spot or perpetual crypto markets, traders react to news and volatility in real time. Event-based trading only gives that behavior a cleaner, more explicit trading surface. 

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However, this model shifts the focus away from endless price charts toward outcome-driven markets with clear questions and resolution. Instead of asking whether BTC ticks up or down, cryptocurrency exchange software can list events such as ETF approvals, network upgrades, governance votes, or regulatory decisions. This way, YES/NO event trading merges into the existing exchanges and brings higher engagement, faster trader cycles, and diversified revenue. 

Core Modules Required to Support Binary Event Contracts Trading At Scale

If you’re planning to integrate event contracts trading into cryptocurrency exchange software development, you must ensure to build and implement the following modules:

1. Event Lifecycle Engine

The backbone of the event contracts trading system.

  • Event creation (question framing, expiry, resolution source)
  • Status transitions: Market opens → the stakes on YES/NO are locked → event resolves → markets settle
  • The event-trading system enforces non-negotiable technical locks once an event reaches its cutoff time.

Without deterministic lifecycle rules, outcome markets lose trust fast.

2. YES/NO Market & Pricing Logic

Each event spawns two tradable positions – YES and NO.

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  • People buy YES if they think it’ll happen.
  • People buy NO if they think it won’t.
  • The price moves based on how many people believe each side. If more people bet YES, it gets expensive, and if confidence drops, YES gets cheaper.

There’s no Bitcoin price here like in crypto exchange software. The price simply reflects belief and probability, not charts and candles.

3. Resolution & Oracle Layer

This layer is responsible for feeding the event contracts trading system with information about whether the event happened or not. 

  • The system checks a trusted source, which may be an official announcement, blockchain data, or a regulator notice. 
  • If needed, it checks more than one source.
  • Only in rare cases do humans step in, and that action is recorded publicly.

If outcomes are disputed or distorted, users leave the cryptocurrency exchange software featuring event contracts trading instantly. This layer ensures the result is boring, obvious, and defensible.

4. Risk & Exposure Controls

These mechanisms impose limits that stop people or whales from breaking the market. The limits ensure the following:

  • One user can’t bet unlimited money on one event.
  • One event can’t grow so big that it threatens the platform.
  • Some events are hidden or blocked in certain countries.

Unlike crypto spot and perpetual markets, event markets don’t require leverage but guardrails. They keep the platform defensible and prevent whale distortion.

5. Settlement and Payout Engine

This exchange software development module is responsible for closing the market and paying winners. This is what happens at the settlement stage:

  • Event ends.
  • Outcome is confirmed.
  • Winners get credited automatically.
  • Losers are done.

No positions are ongoing after the event ends. There’s no waiting and no funding fees. The settlement in these event-based tap trading models is fast, clean, and without any drag or mess. 

6. Admin and Compliance Layer

For centralized and hybrid settings, this dashboard lets the admin control:

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  • Which events go live?
  • Audit trails for resolution decisions.
  • Region-based market visibility

For regulated prediction markets and event contracts trading platforms, this control panel is the regulators’ first choice.

How Founders Can Build event contracts trading Platform Using White Label Crypto Exchange Software?

As stated above, event-trading infrastructure fits perfectly within the crypto exchange software, as the trading logic remains the same. By opting white label crypto exchange software that supports derivatives trading, exchanges can build outcome-driven trading modules. Here’s the blueprint:

1. Start With an Event-Native Core

  • Businesses can choose white label crypto exchange software that supports event lifecycles, not just asset pairs.
  • Events must have:
    • fixed start and end times
    • immutable rules once live
    • deterministic settlement logic

If the platform treats events like “just another trading pair,” walk away.

2. Define Events as Financial Contracts (Just like Robinhood)

  • Each event must be:
    • binary (YES / NO)
    • objectively verifiable
    • time-bounded
  • Resolution sources must be locked before trading opens.

3. Plug Event Markets Into the Existing Matching Engine

  • Reuse your order-matching or liquidity logic
  • Replace price feeds with probability-driven pricing
  • Ensure markets auto-freeze at expiry

At this stage, you leverage an existing white label crypto exchange infrastructure to build outcome markets that feel native and not bolted on.

4. Use a Controlled Oracle, Resolution, and Risk Limiting Layer

As stated above, these layers ensure the following:

  • Pre-approved data sources only
  • Multi-source validation, where possible
  • Public audit trails for every resolution
  • Cap exposure per user per event
  • Max open interest per market
  • Region-specific event visibility

5. Automate Settlement and Setup Admin and Compliance Layer

As said above, the settlement layer ensures fast and efficient settlement of the events and automates payouts. The administration and compliance layer, on the other hand, ensures that event workflows are supervised, immutable, and can be stopped anytime during an emergency.

How to Ensure that Event Contracts Trading Doesn’t Seem Like Gambling?

If you’re building event-based trading into your cryptocurrency exchange software development, this question will come up from partners, regulators, and even internal teams. The answer depends on how you design the product.

Robinhood didn’t present YES/NO events as entertainment or betting. It framed them as financial contracts linked to verifiable outcomes. Similarly, these are the factors that differentiate gambling platforms, unregulated prediction markets, and event-based trading. 

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Aspect Gambling Platforms Unregulated Prediction Markets Event-Based Trading
What users act on Chance Opinions Known events
Outcome logic Random / house-defined Often subjective Predefined & verifiable
Risk exposure Open-ended Unclear Capped upfront
Settlement House-controlled Inconsistent Rule-based & automatic
Product intent Entertainment Forecasting Trading decisions

If outcomes are random or house-controlled, regulators call it gambling. If outcomes are unclear or poorly governed, it lands in grey territory.

Event contracts trading avoids both if structured correctly.

Founders seeking regulatory defensability while building event trading into cryptocurrency exchange software development must ensure the following:

  • Events are tied to objective, externally verifiable facts.
  • Resolution rules are defined before trading starts.
  • No post-expiry changes happen ever.
  • Clear limits on exposure and participation are imposed.
  • Full audit trails are maintained for event approval and settlement

Monetization Models Founders Can Actually Scale

  • Per-event trading fees: This is usually a small and flat fee per YES/NO trade. It ensures predictable revenue without relying on leveraged volume.
  • Event creation fees: The event trading enabling crypto exchange software charges projects, institutions, and DAOs for launching custom or premium events 
  • Liquidity incentives: The event contracts trading platform rewards early market makers on high-value events to ensure tight spreads and faster price discovery.
  • Institutional & B2B event markets: The cryptocurrency exchange software featuring YES/NI event contracts may also charge funds, DAOs, enterprises, or research firms for private or permissioned events.
  • Revenue diversification advantage: Earnings come from several events and engagements, not just raw trading volume, reducing dependence on fee wars.
Expand tradeable markets with YES/NO binary event trading

Closing: Build Before the Giants Dominate

Event contracts trading platforms aren’t for pure meme exchanges or platforms without risk or compliance maturity, but if you’re any of the following, you must start building event contracts trading infrastructure:

  • Exchange operators seeking differentiation
  • Web3 startups fighting fee compression
  • Fintechs expanding into crypto trading

Many market giants have launched event-based trading as a core-primitive and not a side feature. Even if you’re leveraging white label crypto exchange software to build your event contracts trading platform, you must not treat it as a side feature. This is why Gemini, Kraken, Hyperliquid, and ForecastEx launched separate platforms for outcome-driven trading. This way, event-based exchanges look more like:

  • Information markets
  • Decision markets
  • Outcome-based financial layers

Robinhood and other major event contracts trading platforms just validated a direction, and the rest of the founders can blaze the trail with product differentiation. They can also target new trader segments or create stronger engagement loops by partnering with an exchange software development company that specializes in digital asset trading infrastructures as well as prediction markets.

Antier delivers enterprise-grade white label crypto exchange software with native event-contract trading infrastructure, engineered for compliant, outcome-driven markets at scale.

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Novo Nordisk (NVO) Stock Drops as Legal War Erupts Over $49 Wegovy Knockoff

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NVO Stock Card

TLDR

  • Novo Nordisk shares fell 7% Thursday when Hims & Hers introduced a $49 compounded Wegovy pill, compared to Novo’s $149 branded version
  • The Danish pharmaceutical company plans legal action, labeling the product “illegal mass compounding” that threatens patient safety
  • Eli Lilly stock also declined 7% as investors worried about increased market competition for weight loss medications
  • Hims & Hers argues its compounded version is legal as a “personalized” treatment with different formulation, despite semaglutide patents running through 2032
  • Novo’s stock has crashed 50% in 2025 and dropped another 15% in 2026 following guidance predicting sales declines between 5% and 13%

Novo Nordisk experienced a 7% stock decline Thursday following Hims & Hers’ announcement of a $49 compounded Wegovy weight loss pill. The Danish drugmaker swiftly responded with plans for legal action.


NVO Stock Card
Novo Nordisk A/S, NVO

The telehealth platform priced its alternative at $49 for the initial month and $99 monthly thereafter with a five-month plan. This represents a substantial discount from Novo’s $149 branded pill price.

Eli Lilly shares tumbled 7% alongside Novo on competitive concerns. Hims stock briefly rallied before retreating after legal threats emerged.

Novo condemned the launch as “illegal mass compounding that poses a risk to patient safety.” The company vowed to pursue legal and regulatory measures to protect its patents and the drug approval process.

“This is another example of Hims & Hers’ historic behaviour of duping the American public with knock-off GLP-1 products,” the company stated. The FDA previously cautioned Hims regarding deceptive GLP-1 product advertising.

Compounding Controversy

Semaglutide maintains U.S. patent protection through 2032. Hims contends its version qualifies as legal personalized compounding.

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The company states its compounded product employs a different formulation and delivery mechanism than FDA-approved oral semaglutide. Hims previously sold compounded injectable semaglutide and now offers pills.

Novo produces Wegovy pills using specialized SNAC technology to facilitate oral absorption. The effectiveness of Hims’ alternative formulation remains uncertain.

The two companies briefly collaborated in 2025 on discounted weight loss shots. Novo severed the partnership within two months, accusing Hims of “deceptive” marketing.

Novo Faces Headwinds

The dispute intensifies pressure on Novo Nordisk during a challenging stretch. Shares plummeted nearly 50% throughout 2025, marking the company’s worst annual performance.

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The stock has dropped an additional 15% in 2026 year-to-date. Investors question Novo’s capacity to maintain revenue growth against strengthening competition.

Novo forecasted last week that 2026 sales and profits would fall 5% to 13%. The company cited U.S. pricing challenges and patent expiration in markets including Canada and China.

CEO Mike Doustdar noted 170,000 patients started taking Wegovy pills since the January rollout. He framed the pessimistic outlook as temporary pain for future benefit.

“We are creating affordability for the patients, millions of patients that are right now in need of GLP-1 products, but simply could not afford it,” Doustdar explained.

Market Dynamics Shift

Eli Lilly plans to introduce its weight loss pill, orforglipron, in the first half of 2026 subject to FDA clearance. The company anticipates 25% sales growth this year, contrasting with Novo’s negative projection.

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Leerink analyst Michael Cherny noted Hims should explore similar opportunities for upcoming weight loss medications as the market expands.

Eli Lilly did not provide comment on the Hims development. Novo launched its Wegovy pill in the United States during early January 2026.

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ARK offloads $17 million of Coinbase, adds $18 million of Bullish amid crypto rout

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ARK offloads $17 million of Coinbase, adds $18 million of Bullish amid crypto rout

ARK Invest sold $17.4 million worth of Coinbase (COIN) stock and bought a similar amount in Bullish (BLSH) stock on Thursday as crypto equities were routed.

Cathie Wood’s investment management company sold 119,236 COIN shares, worth $17.4 million as of Thursday’s close. COIN lost 13.3% on the day to close at $146.12 amid ongoing tanking of the crypto market which has seen bitcoin fall as low as $60,000, its lowest point since November 2024.

ARK also bought 716,030 shares in crypto exchange Bullish, according to an emailed disclosure. The shares are worth $17.8 million, based on BLSH’s closing price of $24.90, nearly 8.5% lower on the day. Bullish is also the parent company of CoinDesk.

It is common to see ARK Invest make sizeable purchases of crypto-adjacent companies when their prices slide due to broader downturns in the cryptocurrency market. The Florida-based company attempts to capitalize on the chance to capture greater value from equities and rebalance the holdings of its funds to reflect the different prices.

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However, it is somewhat rarer to see ARK use this as a window to offload shares in a major crypto holding such as Coinbase.

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Bitcoin (BTC) price recovery still faces macro risks: Crypto Daybook Americas

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CD20, Feb. 6 2026 (CoinDesk)

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Friday’s crypto markets are a sea of green, bouncing from yesterday’s brutal drubbing in a classic oversold rebound. But real risks linger, threatening any lasting recovery.

Bitcoin has climbed back to $65,000 after flirting with $60,000, with BlackRock ETF action hinting at capitulation, that is, long-term holders dumping at a loss, often the bear market’s final gasp. The broader market has perked up, too, with XRP, SOL, ETH and other tokens regaining some poise, while the CoinDesk 20 Index added nearly 9% since midnight UTC.

Still, put options on bitcoin remain in demand, signaling persistent downside fear. It makes sense for a couple of key reasons: First, macro risks have eased, but aren’t gone. President Donald Trump signed a funding bill Tuesday to end the government shutdown, but the Department of Homeland Security cash runs dry in eight days, which means there could be another circus by Feb. 14.

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Meanwhile, oil prices are buoyant on both sides of the Atlantic on concerns the Iran-U.S. tensions will escalate. A spike there could add to global inflation, triggering a flight to safety and hammering risk assets like crypto.

Most critically, the recent crash has pushed many holders and digital-asset treasuries underwater. Many of those may capitulate and become marginal sellers in the market, potentially capping rallies. Plus, confidence tends to rebuild only slowly after a crash, which is why snapback recoveries always crawl.

These things taken together indicate that the market may not be out of the woods yet. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

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What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Crypto
  • Macro
    • Feb. 6, 8:30 a.m.: Canada unemployment rate for January (Prev. 6.8%)
    • Feb. 6, 10 a.m.: Canada Ivey PMI index for January (Prev. 51.9)
    • Feb. 6, 10 a.m.: U.S. Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for February (Prev. 56.4); Michigan inflation expectations (Prev. 4%)
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Governance votes & calls
    • Feb. 6: Chainlink to host an X Spaces session on “Building with the Chainlink Runtime Environment.”
  • Unlocks
    • Feb. 6: Hyperliquid to unlock 2.79% of its circulating supply worth $287.68 million.
    • Feb. 6: to unlock 41.7% of its circulating supply worth $26.87 million.
  • Token Launches
    • Feb. 6: MOVA (MOVA) to be listed on LBank, BingX, KuCoin, MEXC and others.

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Market Movements

  • BTC is up 4.55% from 4 p.m. ET Thursday at $66,022.00 (24hrs: -6.74%)
  • ETH is up 4.14% at $1,924.90 (24hrs: -7.3%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is up 4.75% at 1,905.03 (24hrs: -7.49%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 39 bps at 3.48%
  • BTC funding rate is at -0.0142% (-15.5862% annualized) on Binance
CD20, Feb. 6 2026 (CoinDesk)
  • DXY is unchanged at 97.81
  • Gold futures are down 0.19% at $4,880.30
  • Silver futures are down 4.39% at $73.35
  • Nikkei 225 closed up 0.81% at 54,253.68
  • Hang Seng closed down 1.21% at 26,559.95
  • FTSE is up 0.01% at 10,309.76
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.27% at 5,941.80
  • DJIA closed on Thursday down 1.20% at 48,908.72
  • S&P 500 closed down 1.23% at 6,798.40
  • Nasdaq Composite closed down 1.59% at 22,540.59
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed down 1.77% at 31,994.60
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed down 1.01% at 3,616.07
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 1.8 bps at 4.192%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.3% at 6,841.00
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.36% at 24,740.50
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are up 0.16% at 49,075.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 58.77% (+0.47%)
  • Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.02917 (0.43%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 913 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $29.76
  • Total fees: 5.59 BTC / $377,330
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 115,230 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 13.5 oz.
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 4.4%

Technical Analysis

Bitcoin's weekly price swings in candlestick format. (TradingView)

BTC is closing on the pivotal 200-week SMA support. (TradingView)
  • The chart shows bitcoin’s weekly price swings in candlestick format since 2019.
  • Prices are rapidly approaching their average over 200 weeks, represented by the red line.
  • BTC has consistently put in bear-market bottoms around this average, suggesting the current pullback could be in its final stages.

Crypto Equities

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Thursday at $146.12 (-13.34%), +5.97% at $154.84 in pre-market
  • Circle Internet (CRCL): closed at $50.23 (-8.76%), +5.40% at $52.94
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $16.84 (-16.47%), +6.35% at $17.91
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $24.90 (-8.46%), +3.98% at $25.89
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $6.73 (-18.72%), +6.39% at $7.16
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $12.06 (-14.71%), +5.14% at $12.68
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $14.81 (-8.27%), +1.99% at $15.11
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $8.27 (-19.13%), -3.33% at $7.99
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $35.23 (-12.56%), +2.24% at $36.02
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $9.42 (-11.96%), -1.27% at $9.30

Crypto Treasury Companies

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed at $106.99 (-17.12%), +6.71% at $114.17
  • Strive (ASST): closed at $9.86 (-16.75%)
  • SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $6.07 (-14.27%), +4.12% at $6.32
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $1.09 (-19.85%), +7.34% at $1.17
  • Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $0.95 (-10.27%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$434.1 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $54.3 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~1.27 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: -$80.8 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $11.86 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~5.87 million

Source: Farside Investors

While You Were Sleeping

Bitcoin surges back above $65,000 after $700 million wipeout in Asia whipsaw (Coindesk): Bitcoin rebounded above $65,000 after its worst one-day drop since November 2022. About $700 million in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated in a few hours,

Stocks reel as AI fears dominate market action (Reuters): Global markets retreated as a stock rout on Wall Street spread worldwide, with volatility gripping precious metals and cryptocurrencies while AI fears weighed on equities.

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Weak earnings drag IREN, Amazon; bitcoin stocks rebound in pre-market (CoinDesk): IREN earnings were weaker than expected, while Amazon missed EPS estimates and beat on revenue.

Big tech to spend $650 billion this year as AI race intensifies (Bloomberg): The high spending projections raise concerns about energy supplies, prices, and the potential distortion of economic data, raising questions about whether the companies can afford the costs.

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$6 Million HBAR Liquidations Ahead If Price Breaks This Pattern

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HBAR MFI

Hedera has remained under selling pressure after a steady decline brought HBAR back to retest a long-standing technical pattern. The token has been trading within this structure for several months, limiting upside attempts. 

While multiple indicators now point toward a bullish setup, price action has yet to confirm the shift, keeping sentiment cautious.

HBAR Has An Underlying Bullish Trigger

HBAR’s Money Flow Index is showing early signs of strength despite continued price weakness. On the two-day chart, the indicator is forming a bullish divergence with the price. While HBAR has printed a lower low, the MFI has held higher lows, indicating rising buying pressure beneath the surface.

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This divergence suggests that selling momentum is gradually fading. As sellers lose control, buyers begin to step in without immediately pushing prices higher. Such conditions often precede trend reversals, especially when supported by compression patterns and improving momentum indicators across higher timeframes.

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

HBAR MFI
HBAR MFI. Source: TradingView

Derivatives data highlights growing risk for bearish traders. The liquidation map shows that a breakout in HBAR price would place significant pressure on short positions. If the price reaches $0.1013, approximately $6.2 million in short liquidations could be triggered, forcing rapid position closures.

Given the pattern HBAR is currently trading within, a breakout could occur quickly once resistance is breached. Forced liquidations typically accelerate price movement, amplifying upside momentum. As a result, short traders face heightened exposure if HBAR breaks above its current range.

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HBAR Liquidation Map.
HBAR Liquidation Map. Source: Coinglass

HBAR Price Breakout Is Possible

HBAR price is trading near $0.0826 at the time of writing, holding above the $0.0786 support level. The altcoin has been moving within a descending channel for nearly four months. This structure reflects prolonged consolidation while volatility continues to compress.

A breakout from this pattern appears increasingly likely as selling pressure dissipates on a macro scale. Confirmation would require HBAR to breach the channel’s upper trendline and flip $0.1042 into support. Such a move would trigger short liquidations and push the price toward $0.129, the pattern’s projected 32% upside target.

HBAR Price Analysis.
HBAR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, downside risk remains if broader market conditions fail to improve. A loss of the $0.0786 support would weaken the structure. Under that scenario, HBAR could slide toward $0.0622. A move to that level would invalidate the bullish thesis entirely.

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Bitcoin Slides Below $70,000 After Breaking Key Support

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Simon Peters, Crypto Analyst at eToro

Editor’s note: eToro crypto analyst Simon Peters outlines the forces behind bitcoin’s sharp pullback from its October 2025 highs, pointing to a broader risk-off environment, leverage unwinds, and fragile investor sentiment across global markets. The commentary focuses on key technical and on-chain indicators now in focus, including long-term support levels and valuation metrics that have historically marked major market bottoms. As bitcoin trades under renewed selling pressure, the analysis frames the current correction within past cycles, while highlighting the conditions that could help stabilize prices if macro and market dynamics begin to shift.

Key points

  • Bitcoin has fallen sharply from its October 2025 peak amid global risk-off sentiment.
  • Liquidation of leveraged positions has intensified downside pressure.
  • The 200-week moving average is being watched as a potential long-term support level.
  • Historical cycles show similar corrections in 2015, 2018, 2020, and 2022.
  • On-chain MVRV Z-score signals bitcoin may be nearing long-term fair value.

Why this matters

The analysis offers a timely snapshot of market psychology as bitcoin navigates one of its deepest post-ETF drawdowns. For investors and builders, long-term indicators like the 200-week moving average and MVRV Z-score provide context beyond short-term volatility. In a market increasingly influenced by macro conditions and institutional flows, understanding where leverage resets and valuation metrics converge is key to assessing whether the current correction is a pause or a potential inflection point.

What to watch next

  • Bitcoin’s behavior around the 200-week moving average.
  • Evidence of reduced leverage and easing forced liquidations.
  • Changes in ETF inflows as broader risk sentiment evolves.
  • Shifts in macro and geopolitical conditions impacting risk assets.

Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company/PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates – February 05, 2026: “After reaching an all-time high of $126,500 in October 2025, bitcoin has continued to slide as broader risk-off sentiment spills into the crypto market,” said Simon Peters, Crypto Analyst at eToro.

Simon Peters, Crypto Analyst at eToro
Simon Peters, Crypto Analyst at eToro

“Heightened geopolitical tensions, macroeconomic uncertainty and disappointing earnings forecasts have led investors to reassess risk assets, including technology stocks and crypto, while the liquidation of leveraged long positions has further accelerated the downturn.

“After breaking multiple support levels, bitcoin is now trading just below $70,000 and remains under significant selling pressure.

“From a technical perspective, analysts are closely watching bitcoin’s 200-week moving average as a potential area where the price could find a bottom. Historically, this level has acted as strong support following major corrections and bear markets in 2015, 2018, 2020 during the Covid pandemic, and most recently in 2022.

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“Could history repeat itself in 2026? It remains to be seen. Once leverage is flushed out of the system, selling pressure eases and ETF inflows resume, this could help stabilise prices and signal the end of the current correction.

“From an on-chain perspective, the widely used MVRV Z-score — which assesses whether bitcoin is trading above or below its fair value — is also pointing towards a potential long-term buying opportunity.”

Media Contact:
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About eToro

eToro is the trading and investing platform that empowers you to invest, share and learn. We were founded in 2007 with the vision of a world where everyone can trade and invest in a simple and transparent way. Today we have 40 million registered users from 75 countries. We believe there is power in shared knowledge and that we can become more successful by investing together. So we’ve created a collaborative investment community designed to provide you with the tools you need to grow your knowledge and wealth. On eToro, you can hold a range of traditional and innovative assets and choose how you invest: trade directly, invest in a portfolio, or copy other investors. You can visit our media centre here for our latest news.

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DeFi Development Guide to Vault Infrastructure (2026)

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The 3 Drivers of Sustainable Growth

In 2026, the biggest challenge for Web3 founders is no longer launching a protocol. It is building a business that lasts. While thousands of platforms compete for attention, only a few manage to convert liquidity into predictable revenue, retain users beyond incentive cycles, and operate with financial discipline. The difference is not marketing, but infrastructure supported by enterprise-grade DeFi development.

Today’s most resilient crypto platforms are built on systems that quietly compound capital, stabilize cash flow, and strengthen user loyalty in the background. Through advanced DeFi development practices, leading teams are moving beyond short-term yield tactics and embracing structured vault architectures as a core business layer. This shift is redefining how modern Web3 companies think about growth, monetization, and valuation. In this guide, we break down why DeFi vault infrastructure is becoming the foundation of sustainable Web3 business models, how top platforms are leveraging it to outperform competitors, and what founders must do now to stay ahead in an increasingly capital-efficient market.

The Changing Economics of Web3 Platforms

In early DeFi (2020–2022), growth was driven by hype, aggressive incentives, and short-lived liquidity mining, which boosted TVL but created unstable business models. Today’s on-chain data shows a far more nuanced reality. As of early 2026, TVL in DeFi is around $129 billion, with Ethereum accounting for roughly 55% of that share (~$71 billion), underscoring continued core liquidity concentration in blue-chip ecosystems. This sustained TVL also reflects stronger demand for protocols that offer real utility, like lending, stablecoin liquidity, and yield mechanisms, rather than simple token-incentive farming.

As capital becomes more selective, founders and product leaders are shifting focus toward sustainable infrastructure rather than one-off token rewards. Platforms with structured vault systems benefit from higher capital efficiency, treasury utilization, and user retention compared to those relying solely on manual yield farming or emission-driven inflows. Against this backdrop, serious teams now treat yield infrastructure as a core business function rather than an add-on. Partnering with an experienced DeFi development company enables protocols to embed automated yield generation directly into their platforms, boosting long-term TVL resilience, reducing dependence on external aggregators, and creating sustainable revenue streams that align with evolving market expectations.

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What Is DeFi Vault Infrastructure?

DeFi vault infrastructure refers to a system of smart contracts, automation tools, and risk controls that manage user funds and deploy them into optimized yield strategies. In simple terms, vaults:

  • Collect user or treasury assets.
  • Execute predefined strategies
  • Harvest and reinvest rewards.
  • Optimize gas and liquidity.
  • Protect capital with built-in safeguards.

When users search for DeFi vaults crypto solutions, they are usually looking for this complete infrastructure layer, not just a basic staking contract or manual farming setup. Professional vault systems are not “set and forget” products. They are continuously optimized, monitored, and upgraded frameworks built through advanced DeFi development processes to ensure long-term performance, security, and scalability.

Explore how enterprise-grade vault architecture can power your next growth phase.

Why DeFi Yield Vaults Are Becoming Business-Critical

For Web3 companies, vaults now serve three strategic purposes.

The 3 Drivers of Sustainable Growth

  1. Revenue Generation

Vaults create recurring income through:

  • Performance fees
  • Management fees
  • Strategy incentives
  • Protocol-owned liquidity
  • Yield-sharing mechanisms

These revenue streams help platforms move beyond short-term token speculation and build sustainable monetization models. This transforms volatile token economies into predictable, long-term revenue engines powered by DeFi yield vaults.

  1. User Retention

Platforms that offer built-in yield products retain users longer and reduce capital outflows. Instead of moving funds to external protocols in search of better returns, users can access optimized strategies directly within your ecosystem.

This leads to:

  • Higher platform stickiness
  • Improved lifetime user value
  • Stronger community loyalty
  • Reduced dependency on third-party aggregators

Integrated vault systems turn yield generation into a core user experience rather than a separate activity, driven by professional DeFi development practices that ensure scalability, security, and long-term performance.

  1. Capital Efficiency

Treasuries and idle balances can be deployed into structured, risk-managed strategies instead of remaining dormant. This allows protocols to generate returns on unused capital while maintaining liquidity and operational flexibility.

Improved capital efficiency:

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  • Strengthens financial resilience
  • Enhances treasury sustainability
  • Improves investor confidence
  • Supports long-term governance stability

Well-designed vaults ensure that capital continuously works for the platform.

Leading platforms such as Yearn Finance and Beefy Finance demonstrated early how vault-based models outperform manual yield farming at scale through automation, diversification, and continuous optimization. Today, many new protocols are adopting similar approaches through custom DeFi development company partnerships to accelerate deployment, strengthen security, and build revenue-focused infrastructure from day one.

Inside a Professional DeFi Vault Strategy

A sustainable DeFi Vault Strategy is not about chasing the highest advertised APY. Instead, it focuses on creating a balanced system that optimizes yield while maintaining liquidity, security, and long-term scalability. High-performing DeFi vaults are built on carefully engineered frameworks developed through advanced DeFi development, rather than short-term incentive exploitation.

A mature vault strategy typically includes three core layers.

3 Building Blocks of a Scalable DeFi Vault

  1. Yield Source Selection

The first step is identifying reliable and diversified yield sources. Professional teams evaluate multiple income streams to reduce dependency on a single protocol.

Common sources include:

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  • Lending protocols that generate stable interest
  • Stablecoin liquidity pools with low volatility
  • LP incentive programs on major DEXs
  • Staking mechanisms for network rewards

This diversified approach helps DeFi vaults maintain consistent returns across market cycles.

  1. Risk Modeling and Capital Protection

Every yield opportunity carries risk. Without proper modeling, high returns can quickly turn into major losses.

Enterprise-grade DeFi vault protocol systems apply strict risk frameworks, including:

  • Comprehensive smart contract audits
  • Slippage and liquidity impact controls
  • Volatility exposure analysis
  • Exit liquidity and stress testing
  • Counterparty and protocol risk assessments

A professional DeFi development company integrates these safeguards into the strategy layer to protect both user funds and platform reputation.

  1. Automation and Optimization Logic

Automation transforms strategy design into a scalable financial engine. Without efficient execution, even strong strategies lose profitability.

Well-designed DeFi yield vaults rely on automation features such as:

  • Dynamic harvest thresholds to balance rewards and gas costs
  • Gas fee optimization mechanisms
  • Rebalancing triggers based on market conditions
  • Emergency withdrawal and fallback systems
  • Strategy pause and redeployment tools

Through structured DeFi development, these systems operate continuously without manual intervention.

Get a customized vault strategy designed for performance and risk control.
Why Strategy Engineering Determines Long-Term Success

Together, yield selection, risk modeling, and automation form the operational backbone of every reliable DeFi vault system. When these components are poorly designed, platforms become vulnerable to volatility, liquidity disruptions, and long-term performance decline. Many teams underestimate these challenges and deploy fragile architectures that slowly lose TVL and user trust without experienced DeFi Development support. As a result, strategic planning, rigorous testing, and continuous optimization become essential for building resilient, scalable, and sustainable yield infrastructure.

Key Features Founders Should Demand in DeFi Vault Infrastructure

Before choosing any vault solution, founders and product leaders must assess whether the system is built for long-term growth or short-term experimentation. Not all DeFi yield vaults are designed for enterprise use, and weak infrastructure can expose platforms to financial and reputational risk. A reliable solution, built through professional DeFi development, should deliver the following core capabilities.

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  1. Security Architecture

Since DeFi Vaults crypto platforms manage high-value assets, security must be the top priority. Founders should look for:

  • Multi-layer smart contract audits
  • Emergency pause and recovery systems
  • Multisignature governance controls

An experienced DeFi development company ensures that these safeguards are embedded from day one.

  1. Strategy Flexibility

Markets change quickly, and vault systems must adapt. A scalable DeFi vault protocol should support:

  • Modular and upgradeable strategies
  • Custom risk parameters
  • Automated rebalancing

This flexibility keeps DeFi yield vaults competitive in evolving market conditions.

  1. Transparency

Trust depends on visibility. Professional vault infrastructure must provide:

  • On-chain fund tracking
  • Performance dashboards
  • Public reserve verification

These features strengthen user confidence and institutional credibility.

  1. Compliance Readiness

As regulations tighten globally, compliance has become essential. Mature vault systems should include:

  • KYC-friendly integrations
  • Geo-restriction controls
  • Regulatory reporting tools

Through advanced DeFi development, platforms can balance decentralization with legal readiness. Together, these features separate enterprise-grade DeFi yield vaults from experimental deployments and enable sustainable, scalable Web3 business models.

Future Outlook: Vaults as Financial Operating Systems

Over the next three years, vaults will evolve beyond yield tools.

They will become:

  • Treasury management systems
  • Liquidity orchestration layers
  • Cross-chain revenue engines
  • Institutional onboarding gateways

Protocols that invest early in advanced DeFi yield vaults will control the financial infrastructure of their ecosystems. Those who delay will become dependent on external aggregators and lose margin.

Conclusion

In 2026, the difference between market leaders and market followers is no longer technology. It is infrastructure. Platforms that invest early in scalable DeFi yield vaults and professional DeFi development services are building predictable revenue systems, stronger user retention, and long-term capital resilience. Those who delay remain dependent on external aggregators and shrinking margins.

This is why forward-thinking founders choose Antier as their strategic DeFi development partner. With enterprise-grade security, customized strategies, and battle-tested architecture, we help Web3 businesses turn vault systems into growth engines.

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If you want to lead your market instead of reacting to it, start building today. Book your vault strategy session now

Frequently Asked Questions

01. What is the biggest challenge for Web3 founders in 2026?

The biggest challenge is building a sustainable business that lasts, rather than just launching a protocol.

02. How are today’s resilient crypto platforms different from those in early DeFi?

Today’s platforms focus on stable cash flow and user loyalty through advanced DeFi development, moving away from short-term yield tactics.

03. Why is DeFi vault infrastructure important for Web3 business models?

DeFi vault infrastructure enhances capital efficiency, treasury utilization, and user retention, making it a core business function for sustainable growth.

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Pi Network’s PI Crashed to New ATL, But This Metric Signals More Downside Ahead

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Pi Token Unlock Schedule. Source: PiScan


Millions and millions of PI tokens will be released in the following weeks, which could bring even more pain for the bulls.

The past several weeks have not been kind to the cryptocurrency markets. This trend only intensified on Thursday when the entire market bled out, with multiple double-digit price crashers.

Naturally, Pi Network’s PI token was not spared, and it dumped to fresh all-time lows of under $0.135 (on CoinGecko). This meant that the asset has plunged by over 30% in the last month alone. On a broader scale, PI is down by more than 95% since its all-time high marked on February 26, 2025.

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Despite this massive correction, some members of the ever-vocal and optimistic Pi Network community tried to find the silver linings. This one, for example, outlined the skyrocketing PI transaction volume, which, he believes, shows “increased interest in PI despite the manipulation games done by whales.”

This one was even more bullish, predicting a mind-blowing surge to $4 from the current dip in the first six months after the second Mainnet migration and once old Pioneers (Pi Network users and investors) are done selling off.

More Pain to Come?

If we are being realistic, it’s hard to even imagine such a rally happening soon. Not only because the overall crypto market seems to be dominated by the bears, but also due to PI’s recent price performance and the unlocking schedule for new tokens.

Data from PiScan shows that almost 8 million coins will be freed in the next month on average. What’s even more worrying is the fact that this number will skyrocket to over 18 million on February 12 and to 23.6 million on February 13.

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Such a massive number of tokens to be unlocked might result in more immediate selling pressure from investors who have been waiting a long time for their holdings to become available for trading. This is particularly true in such a time of panic.

You may also like:

Pi Token Unlock Schedule. Source: PiScan
Pi Token Unlock Schedule. Source: PiScan

The Good News

On the positive side, the chart above demonstrates that the number of unlocked tokens will decline after February 20 and will normalize, which could ease the selling pressure. Additionally, there are rumors circulating online that one of the largest and oldest exchanges, Kraken, might be planning to list Pi Network’s native token, which could boost its liquidity and legitimacy among investors.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

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RWA Perps heat up as gold, silver whipsaw; ONDO, PAXG, MKR, LINK lead RWA trade

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RWA Perps heat up as gold, silver whipsaw; ONDO, PAXG, MKR, LINK lead RWA trade

RWA perps volume explodes above $15B as gold and silver crash, Binance cements dominance, and ONDO, PAXG, MKR, LINK front-run the real‑world assets trade.

The RWA perpetuals market is suddenly where the adrenaline is. As CoinMarketCap put it, “the RWA Perpetuals market is carving out an interesting niche… by letting traders speculate on real-world commodities like gold and silver using crypto derivatives,” with early 2026 showing “genuine momentum” on the back of extreme precious‑metal volatility.

Leading the way are ONDO (ONDO), PAXG (PAXG), MKR (MKR), LINK (LINK), which analysts say may be bucking the broader crypto bear trend.

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Volatility, flows, and exchanges

CoinMarketCap’s data show clear venue concentration: “Binance dominates with 68.37% market share in YTD Volume, followed by OKX (14.63%) and MEXC (9.25%). Bitget (4.77%) and Gate (4.52%) combine for under 10%.” That kind of skew tells you where liquidity — and liquidation cascades — are most likely to cluster.

The flow has been violent. On January 30, RWA perps volume hit $15.57 billion as “gold futures plunged around 11% (closing near $4,745/oz), while silver had its worst single day since 1980, crashing about 28% from nearly $115/oz down to $78/oz.” February 2 still pushed $10.96 billion, with gold down another 2% to roughly $4,652/oz and silver slipping to $77.

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By February 5, volume rebounded to $12.06 billion as silver “dropped another 9% to $76 per ounce, while gold slipped about 1.24%,” a sequence CoinMarketCap summarized as “explosive moves fueled by speculation running hot, margin calls forcing positions closed, and macro news sending shockwaves through the markets.”

Crypto bleed and RWA bid

Context matters: “crypto itself has been bleeding badly in early 2026. Bitcoin’s down ~49% from its late 2025 peak, and the overall market has shed trillions in what feels like full capitulation mode.” That backdrop is exactly why RWA perps “are emerging as something genuinely different… a way for crypto traders to get exposure to TradFi assets and speculate without leaving their native ecosystem,” offering diversification and hedging that “pure crypto can’t provide right now.”

Among spot RWA‑themed tokens, names like Ondo (ONDO), Maker (MKR), PAX Gold (PAXG), and Chainlink (LINK) sit at the core of the narrative, spanning tokenized Treasuries, on‑chain collateralized credit, gold‑backed exposure, and oracle infrastructure for tokenized assets.

Major coin prices and 24h moves

As of the latest session, Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $73,420, down roughly 3.9% over 24 hours. Ether (ETH) changes hands near $2,165, off about 5.7% in the same period, while Solana (SOL) sits around $93, down approximately 7.7%. The broader market has seen similar pressure, with total crypto capitalization sliding sharply in early February.

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(For full live pricing and deeper breakdowns, see the crypto.news price pages for BTC, ETH, SOL, ONDO, MKR, PAXG, and LINK.)

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Pump.fun Expands Trading Infrastructure by Acquiring Vyper

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Crypto Breaking News

Pump.fun has expanded its footprint in on-chain trading by acquiring Vyper, the Solana-based trading terminal, and winding down Vyper’s standalone product to merge its infrastructure into Pump.fun’s Terminal ecosystem. The transition is set to begin with the shutdown of core Vyper features on Feb. 10, while limited functionality remains accessible as users are directed to Pump.fun’s Terminal (the former Padre) for continued access to trading tools. The deal’s financial terms were not disclosed, and Pump.fun did not comment for this article. The move underscores a broader consolidation strategy as Pump.fun seeks to unify token launches, execution, and analytics under a single platform, even as Solana-based memecoin activity cools from the speculative peak of late 2024 and early 2025. The acquisition follows Pump.fun’s earlier push into trading infrastructure, positioning the company to streamline workflow across the memecoin ecosystem.

Key takeaways

  • Pump.fun is consolidating its trading workflow by absorbing Vyper, integrating the terminal into its broader ecosystem rather than maintaining standalone tooling.
  • Vyper will begin winding down its core product on Feb. 10, with limited functions remaining as users migrate to Pump.fun’s Terminal (formerly Padre).
  • The deal’s terms were not disclosed, and Pump.fun did not provide comment prior to publication.
  • The move follows Pump.fun’s October acquisition of Padre, which was rebranded to Terminal, and signals a broader pivot toward end-to-end trading infrastructure.
  • DefiLlama data show Pump.fun’s monthly revenue peaked at over $137 million in January 2025, but fell to about $31 million in January 2026, illustrating a cooling memecoin market.

Sentiment: Neutral

Market context: The consolidation comes as the memecoin sector, which once heated Solana-based launch activity, has cooled amid slower momentum and tightened liquidity. The industry is calibrating trading workflows, liquidity provisioning, and analytics to weather shifting risk appetite and evolving regulatory scrutiny.

Why it matters

The acquisition of Vyper marks a notable shift in how meme-centric platforms orchestrate their trading infrastructure. By folding a standalone terminal into a broader platform, Pump.fun aims to deliver a unified experience that spans token launches, liquidity management, and execution analytics. For users, this could mean simplified onboarding and a more cohesive set of tools, reducing the need to juggle multiple interfaces across separate services. For the broader market, the move signals ongoing consolidation among infrastructure players as platforms seek to lock in users during periods of normalization after the frenetic memecoin era.

Central to the narrative is the Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) blockchain’s role in memecoin activity. Pump.fun’s strategy has long leaned on Solana-based launches, where liquidity and speculative demand previously surged, driving short-term revenue growth. The latest integration suggests that Pump.fun intends to offer a more durable, end-to-end workflow—combining launch capabilities with execution and analytics—potentially stabilizing revenue streams even as speculative dynamics recede. Investors will be watching how the Terminal ingestion affects execution quality, slippage, and the reliability of data streams as the platform absorbs Vyper’s user base and tooling.

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From a governance and product perspective, the move foreshadows further shifts as platforms recalibrate their product mix away from standalone memecoin gimmicks toward sustainable infrastructure. Pump.fun’s earlier steps—acquiring Padre and launching an investment arm, Pump Fund, in January—signal a pivot beyond pure memecoin speculation toward more diversified funding and support for early-stage projects. The company’s stated intent to back non-crypto ventures through the hackathon underscores a broader strategic realignment toward building an ecosystem with longer-term value capture, beyond the transient popularity of individual memecoins.

What to watch next

  • Feb. 10: Operational shutoff of Vyper’s core features and the continued migration of users to Terminal. Monitor any service interruptions or migration pain points.
  • Progress of Terminal integration: Assess how quickly users adapt to the combined workflow for launches, execution, and analytics and whether feature parity with Vyper is maintained.
  • Subsequent expansion: Look for additional upgrades or partnerships that broaden Terminal’s capabilities beyond memecoin launches, including non-crypto or cross-chain integrations.
  • Regulatory and market context: Stay aware of changing regulatory signals and macro conditions that influence liquidity and risk sentiment in on-chain trading.

Sources & verification

  • Vyper announced the wind-down and migration plan with Feb. 10 as a milestone (X post by TradeonVyper).
  • DefiLlama revenue data for Pump.fun showing a peak of over $137 million in January 2025 and ~ $31 million in January 2026.
  • Cointelegraph reporting on Pump.fun’s acquisition of Padre (trading terminal) in October, which was later rebranded as Terminal.
  • Pump.fun’s launch of Pump Fund and the January 20 hackathon aimed at supporting early-stage projects beyond crypto.
  • Contextual background on the broader memecoin market’s expansion and subsequent cooling, including market-cap discussions tracked by CoinMarketCap.

Expansion and consolidation: Pump.fun absorbs Vyper into its Terminal ecosystem

Pump.fun’s latest move extends a pattern of vertical integration designed to streamline how users interact with memecoin launches, liquidity provisioning, and on-chain analytics. By absorbing Vyper, a trading terminal with a dedicated user base, into Terminal, the company is effectively folding a specialized toolset into a broader platform that aspires to cover more of the user journey—from initial token ideas to live trading and data-driven decision making. The timeline is explicit: on Feb. 10, core parts of Vyper will cease operating as a standalone product, while limited functionalities will remain accessible to bridge the transition. Users are being redirected to Pump.fun’s Terminal, which had previously been known as Padre, signaling a seamless migration path for existing customers.

The strategic logic behind the acquisition aligns with a broader industry trend: platforms seeking to lock in users by offering a one-stop shop for token launches, liquidity management, and analytics. As memecoin momentum cooled—from the heady days when celebrity-led token drops and government officials’ involvement helped spur a parabolic interest to a more measured pace—providers have sought to preserve revenue by bundling services. DefiLlama’s data capture demonstrates how Pump.fun’s revenue trajectory paralleled this cycle: a record of $137 million in January 2025, followed by a steep 77% decline in the year that followed, landing around $31 million in January 2026. The consolidation may be a pragmatic response to such revenue pressure, creating a more sustainable platform that can weather fluctuating demand while still serving a highly specialized user base.

Industry observers note that the Solana-based ecosystem has been a focal point for memecoin activity, with a number of tokens and launchpads anchored to that network. The rebranding and consolidation around Terminal indicates a shift from a project-centric model to an infrastructure-centric approach—one that prioritizes execution quality, reliability, and analytics accuracy for traders and project teams launching new tokens. The absence of disclosed financial terms in the deal leaves questions about the valuation and future revenue sharing, but the strategic intent is clear: unify tools under a single umbrella to improve user experience and potentially stabilize monetization channels beyond speculative token launches.

In tandem with the acquisition, Pump.fun has already pursued related strategic moves. The October acquisition of Padre, which was subsequently renamed Terminal, extended the company’s reach into the trading floor’s core capabilities. Earlier in January, Pump.fun broadened its footprint by launching Pump Fund, an investment arm intended to diversify beyond memecoins, and kicked off a $3 million hackathon to back early-stage projects, including ventures not directly tied to crypto. Together, these steps signal an evolution from a meme-driven growth model toward a more diversified ecosystem play that emphasizes sustainable infrastructure, broader funding initiatives, and broader use cases for its technology stack. The market will likely scrutinize how this transition affects liquidity, execution quality, and the platform’s ability to attract high-quality launches in a shifting macro environment.

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Bitcoin May Need Two Years to Flip $93,500 Back to Support

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Bitcoin Price, Markets, Market Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) liquidated billions of dollars going into Friday as BTC price action set bearish records.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin liquidates $2.6 billion as it sees its first red $10,000 daily candle ever.

  • BTC price action dives further in percentage terms than on any day since the 2022 bear market.

  • It may take until 2028 for Bitcoin to return above $93,500 again.

Bitcoin seals biggest daily dollar rout in history

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD consolidating after bouncing from $59,930 — its first trip below the $60,000 mark since October 2024.

Bitcoin Price, Markets, Market Analysis
BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Sustained selling pressure during Thursday’s US trading session eventually sparked a liquidation cascade, with $2.6 billion in crypto positions wiped out over 24 hours, per data from CoinGlass.

Crypto liquidations vs. BTC/USD (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Commenting, crypto market participants noted that the liquidation tally had surpassed both the COVID-19 crash from March 2020 and the reaction to the implosion of exchange FTX in late 2022.

Bitcoin price action also brought back historical bear-market records elsewhere.

In percentage terms, Thursday’s daily candle was the largest daily decline since the FTX debacle — an event that sparked the bear-market low of $15,600.

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BTC/USD one-day % change. Source: Joe Consorti/X

“The ETF holders have never experienced this kind of sell-off,” Joe Consorti, head of growth at Bitcoin equity company Horizon, responded on X, referring to institutional investors with exposure to the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

They saw net outflows of $434 million on Thursday, per data from UK-based investment firm Farside Investors.

US spot Bitcoin ETF netflows (screenshot). Source: Farside Investors

BTC/USD, meanwhile, achieved an unenviable new feat, falling by more than $10,000 in a day for the first time.

“Yesterday was the highest volume day on $BTC since August 2024,” trader Jelle added.

“One for the history books.”

BTC price “trend reversal,” only in 2028?

In a grim outlook for Bitcoin bulls, crypto trader and analyst Rekt Capital said that it could be 2028 before a true rebound occurs.

Related: Will Bitcoin rebound to $90K by March? Here’s what BTC options say

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Using the BTC price cycle model as a guide, including a key moving average crossover at the end of January, Rekt Capital foresees a classic bear market year for 2026.

“Looks like it indeed is the year of the Bitcoin Bear Market,” he wrote in an X post.

“2027 will be the Bottoming Out year for BTC. And 2028 will be the Trend Reversal year where $93500 would be finally broken.”

BTC/USD 12-month chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

A separate post warned of “bearish acceleration” on BTC/USD, again mimicking the 2022 bear market.