Crypto World
Bulls want the bitcoin (BTC) price above $80,000. Macro says not so fast: Crypto Daily
Bitcoin pulled back to $76,500 from above $79,000 earlier this week, stalling the rally from late-March lows below $65,000. Those expecting a swift return to form may want to take note that recent economic releases do not support a big bullish move.
The most important is the University of Michigan’s Survey of Consumers, which showed the consumer sentiment index falling to an all-time low of 49.8 this month, largely driven by inflationary pressures tied to the Iran conflict.
Inflation expectations also moved sharply higher, with the one-year gauge surging to 4.8% in April from 3.8% the previous month. Long-term expectations (five to 10 years) have risen to 3.5%, the highest reading since October 2025.
This is an excerpt from CoinDesk newsletter ‘Daybook.’ Sign up here, if you haven’t already.
Inflation expectations can become self-fulfilling, which is why central banks like the Federal Reserve monitor them closely and try to anchor them. The sharp rise, therefore, could limit the Fed’s ability to signal interest-rate cuts or liquidity easing in the near term, as additional monetary easing risks reinforcing inflationary pressures. That hawkish tilt could, in turn, cap upside or slow gains in BTC and other risk assets.
“For the Federal Reserve, the long-term expectations move is the more dangerous data point. It is the variable the central bank watches most closely when assessing whether inflation psychology is becoming unanchored, and a one-month shift of this size raises the bar for any near-term easing pivot, even as the real economy weakens at the margin,” analysts at Bitfinex said.
The Fed is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate steady between 3.5% and 3.75% this Wednesday.
In the meantime, traders are also pricing in a potential Bank of Japan rate increase in June.
“Rate hikes this month are looking improbable, according to current market opinion. Financial bets suggest we may see more than two rate increases in the eurozone and the U.K. before year-end. A June hike is almost fully priced in. We are now lacking clarity in the data to make good decisions, and that is the main impediment,” Timothy Misir, head of research at BRN, said in an email.
On the crypto-specific side, sustained ETF inflows remain crucial to keeping spot BTC supported on dips.
Meanwhile, coordinated industry efforts to contain fallout from the KelpDAO exploit have helped DeFi tokens hold up better than the broader market. The CoinDesk DeFi Select Index gained 0.5% over 24 hours, decoupling from the CoinDesk 20’s 1.5% decline. Stay alert!
Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today . For a comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead.”
What’s trending
Today’s signal

The chart shows bitcoin’s hourly price swings in candlestick format since late March.
BTC has dived out of an ascending trendline (white dashed line) that guided its upward trajectory since early this month. Moreover, prices are trading at a discount to their 50- and 200-hour averages.
That configuration points to uptrend exhaustion and scope for a deeper price pullback. The bullish case would reassert itself if prices reclaim both moving averages.

Crypto World
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) Stock Gains Momentum from AI Chip Design Surge in Q1 2026
Key Highlights
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AI chip design momentum propels Cadence Q1 revenue and backlog expansion
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CDNS shares dip in pre-market trading despite solid Q1 performance
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Company elevates full-year 2026 projections following robust first quarter
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Backlog reaches $8 billion milestone as AI design tools gain traction
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New AI-powered design platforms contribute to margin expansion and earnings growth
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) delivered impressive first-quarter financial results powered by surging demand for artificial intelligence chip design solutions. The company’s backlog expanded significantly while management upgraded forward guidance. CDNS shares finished the regular trading session at $336.54, gaining 1.10%, though pre-market activity saw the stock retreat to $334.63, declining 0.61%. Results demonstrated momentum across multiple business segments including software platforms, hardware systems, intellectual property, and system design solutions.
Cadence Design Systems, Inc., CDNS
Strong Revenue Performance Driven by AI Design Tools
Cadence announced first-quarter 2026 revenue totaling $1.474 billion, representing significant growth from the $1.242 billion recorded during the comparable period last year. This advancement stemmed from heightened customer demand for electronic design automation platforms serving chip development and system design sectors. Despite solid quarterly performance, early trading activity following the announcement displayed modest downward pressure.
The company’s GAAP operating margin came in at 29.3%, marginally exceeding the 29.1% achieved in the first quarter of 2025. Meanwhile, non-GAAP operating margin expanded to 44.7%, up from 41.7% year-over-year. This margin improvement demonstrated enhanced operational efficiency and favorable product mix dynamics.
On the earnings front, GAAP diluted earnings per share climbed to $1.23 versus $1.00 in the prior-year quarter. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share advanced to $1.96 from $1.57. Therefore, Cadence posted simultaneous expansion in both top-line revenue and bottom-line profitability.
Substantial Backlog Reinforces Full-Year Projections
Cadence concluded the quarter with total backlog reaching $8.0 billion. Additionally, the company anticipates generating $4.0 billion in revenue from remaining performance obligations within the coming 12 months. This substantial backlog position provides enhanced revenue visibility and demand predictability.
Leadership elevated the company’s 2026 revenue guidance to reflect 17% year-over-year expansion at the midpoint. Cadence currently projects full-year revenue falling between $6.125 billion and $6.225 billion. The firm anticipates non-GAAP operating margin landing in the 43.5% to 44.5% range.
Additionally, Cadence forecasts GAAP diluted earnings per share between $4.39 and $4.49 for the full year. Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share guidance spans $7.85 to $7.95. As a result, Cadence approaches the remainder of 2026 with strengthened earnings confidence.
New AI Platform Introductions Accelerate Growth Trajectory
Cadence unveiled AgentStack throughout the quarter as a cornerstone element of its artificial intelligence design ecosystem. This framework facilitates knowledge integration across chip design, 3D integrated circuit development, and system-level design processes. Furthermore, it unifies Cadence’s comprehensive design tool portfolio into a cohesive operational architecture.
The organization also released ViraStack targeting analog and custom design applications. Additionally, InnoStack was introduced for digital implementation and design signoff workflows. Combined with the existing ChipStack platform, Cadence now addresses an expanded spectrum of chip development stages.
Core electronic design automation revenue advanced 18% year-over-year reflecting robust customer engagement. Hardware revenue achieved a quarterly record, propelled by artificial intelligence and high-performance computing applications. Intellectual property revenue surged 22%, while system design and analysis revenue posted 18% growth.
Crypto World
Capital Gathering III: Prediction Markets Come to Dubai
Capital Gathering, the private community connecting the region’s active founders, investors, and C-level executives across Web3, AI, and emerging tech, is hosting its third edition in Dubai. The theme: Prediction Markets, one of the fastest-growing verticals in finance right now.
With Token2049 Dubai postponed, the community didn’t disperse. Capital Gathering continues the momentum. The evening takes place at Birds, a fine dining venue 63 floors above the city with Burj Khalifa views with no panels and no pitch decks.
The topic isn’t accidental. Prediction markets hit nearly $26B in monthly volume in January 2026, up 13 times year-over-year. Driven by macro volatility, geopolitics, and a new wave of users, they’re moving from niche to real financial infrastructure. The key questions now: regulation, liquidity, and who’s building the foundations.
Tools like Pulse, the event’s co-sponsor, are already answering that last question, giving retail users institutional-grade access to prediction markets in one place.
Capital Gathering was founded by Kristina Berezina and Daria Pakina, two Web3 founders who have spent years inside the ecosystem. The F1 Abu Dhabi edition last December welcomed over 300 guests to a private rooftop near Yas Marina Circuit. The Christmas edition at Armani/Privé inside the Burj Khalifa followed weeks later. With this third Edition, the Capital Gathering community is growing, and the conversation becomes even sharper.
“Dubai doesn’t wait for the next conference. The people shaping this space are here, so it makes sense to build the evening around that,” said Kristina, co-founder of Capital Gathering.
“This space is moving fast, legislation, liquidity, who’s building the infrastructure underneath it all. Dubai is definitely part of this conversation,” added Daria, co-founder of Capital Gathering.
Registration is by approved RSVP only: Apply here
The post Capital Gathering III: Prediction Markets Come to Dubai appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Core Scientific Pursues 1.5GW AI Data Center Campus in Texas
Core Scientific is driving a transformative shift in its business model, planning to convert its Pecos, Texas campus into a high-density AI-focused data center complex that could reach up to 1.5 gigawatts of gross power capacity. The company said that roughly 1 GW of that capacity would be available for leasing, signaling a move beyond traditional cryptocurrency mining toward AI compute infrastructure amid growing demand for data center capacity.
In a press release issued on Monday, Core Scientific outlined the transition as part of its strategy to differentiate its buildout of next-generation AI infrastructure using its in-house engineering capabilities. The project’s initial data hall has completed foundational work and is moving into vertical construction, with the company targeting first capacity in early 2027. Core Scientific noted that about 300 megawatts of power at the Pecos site, previously allocated to Bitcoin mining, are being repurposed for the new data center operations.
The expansion is supported by new power agreements, including an additional 300 megawatts secured under contract with the local utility provider, and land acquisitions to support scale. Core Scientific said it has acquired more than 200 acres in the Pecos area to accommodate the buildout.
The company also disclosed a broad financing plan to fund the expansion, revealing plans to raise approximately $3.3 billion through senior secured notes due 2031, intended to finance data center development across multiple states including Georgia, Texas, North Carolina and Oklahoma. This follows a separate $1 billion senior credit facility secured from Morgan Stanley in March, underscoring the capital-intensive path of building out AI-ready infrastructure at scale.
Core Scientific has historically derived a substantial portion of its revenue from mining digital assets, but it has gradually shifted toward offering infrastructure services. The Pecos project illustrates how miners are repurposing existing facilities to capitalize on the sustained demand for AI compute capabilities, even as the economics of mining face ongoing pressures.
Core Scientific shares have risen about 44% so far this year. Source: Yahoo Finance
Key takeaways
- Core Scientific aims to build a Pecos, Texas, data center campus with up to 1.5 GW gross capacity, roughly 1 GW of which could be leased to customers for AI workloads.
- About 300 MW of power previously used for Bitcoin mining at Pecos is being repurposed for data center operations, with the first data hall expected to deliver initial capacity in early 2027.
- The company has acquired over 200 acres in Pecos to support the build, and it has secured additional power contracts totaling about 600 MW when combined with existing arrangements.
- Financing support includes a $3.3 billion plan via senior secured notes due 2031, complemented by a $1 billion Morgan Stanley credit facility, signaling a broad push into AI-ready infrastructure across several states.
Core Scientific’s Pecos expansion: from mining to AI data centers
The Pecos plan represents a deliberate pivot from pure mining activity toward high-density AI compute, leveraging Core Scientific’s engineering expertise to design scalable, data-center-centric infrastructure. The company emphasized that the first data hall has progressed to vertical construction, with a timeline that anticipates initial capacity becoming operational in early 2027. The repurposing of roughly 300 MW of the site’s existing power load highlights a broader industry trend: crypto facilities are increasingly being repurposed to support AI workloads as demand for compute power grows beyond blockchain validation.
Adam Sullivan, Chief Executive Officer of Core Scientific, underscored the strategic rationale, stating, “We continue to leverage our deep in-house expertise to differentiate how we build and scale next generation artificial intelligence infrastructure.” This sentiment reflects a broader industry push to convert crypto-era assets into flexible, AI-forward data centers capable of housing GPU-intensive workloads, training models, and running inference at scale.
The Pecos project also includes a furniture of land assets—Core Scientific has acquired more than 200 acres—to anchor long-term expansion, aligning with plans to deploy a significant amount of capacity in a single campus. The plan to carve out roughly 1 GW for leasing aligns with a perceived demand gap in premium AI compute space, particularly for operators seeking co-location and predictable power contracts.
Funding the buildout: debt, power, and land
Financing a multi-hundred-megawatt, multi-state data center push requires patient capital. Core Scientific’s plan to raise about $3.3 billion through senior secured notes due 2031 signals a move from opportunistic opportunism to a structured capital strategy designed to sustain multi-year construction, feed-in power capacity, and support ongoing operations as customers come online. This funding plan sits alongside a $1 billion Morgan Stanley credit facility announced earlier in the year, which the company described as part of its broader financing framework to accelerate data center development across Georgia, Texas, North Carolina and Oklahoma.
Power availability remains a central constraint in the AI-data-center equation. Core Scientific’s Pecos expansion hinges on securing reliable, scalable power amid a regional energy market that has historically supported large-scale computing deployments. The company’s additional 300 MW under contract with the local utility provider helps de-risk the project, but ongoing power planning and grid coordination will be critical as the campus scales toward 1.5 GW gross capacity.
Beyond Pecos, Core Scientific’s strategy includes pursuing further expansion via behind-the-meter solutions and additional land acquisitions to sustain a longer-term growth trajectory. The company’s move mirrors a broader trend among crypto miners: diversify revenue streams by converting facilities into data centers that can host AI workloads, a market dynamic that has attracted attention from investors seeking exposure to AI compute infrastructure without the volatility of mining cycles.
A broader AI-infrastructure shift in crypto-mining
Core Scientific is not alone in this pivot. The sector has seen several peers exploring revenue streams tied to AI compute and data-center capabilities alongside their mining operations. In February, MARA Holdings disclosed the acquisition of a 64% stake in Exaion, a French infrastructure company expanding into AI services, signaling a strategic move to broaden AI-focused offerings beyond traditional mining. The broader lineup of miners—Hive, Hut 8, TeraWulf and Iren—have also signaled and undertaken steps to repurpose mining facilities into data centers or AI-focused campuses as margins in mining tighten and AI workloads proliferate. MARA’s Exaion stake is a notable example of this trend.
Related developments in the energy-to-AI transition include the reported near-term sale of idle assets in the industrial sector. Alcoa is close to selling its Massena East smelter in upstate New York to NYDIG, a deal expected to close by mid-year, as the plant has remained idle since 2014 due to high energy costs and global competition. The move aligns with a broader wave of crypto miners seeking to anchor AI data-center capacity in repurposed industrial assets. Massena East and, earlier, Century Aluminum’s Hawesville smelter sale to TeraWulf for $200 million to be converted into a high-performance computing and AI facility illustrate this trend in action. Century Aluminum Hawesville was cited in industry reporting as part of the same wave of industrial-to-AI data-center conversions.
The confluence of higher AI compute demand, capital-intensive buildouts, and the repurposing of mining infrastructure suggests a structural shift in how crypto players engage with data center economics. The trend also dovetails with broader coverage of AI data-center backbones that quietly emerged from the crypto era, underscoring how the sector’s assets are being repurposed to power the next wave of digital infrastructure. CoreWeave and related reporting have underscored these dynamics for investors looking beyond immediate mining yields.
What to watch next
As Core Scientific advances toward its 2027 capacity milestone, investors and industry observers will be watching several key factors: the pace of vertical construction at Pecos, the timing and reliability of power deliveries, and whether the leasing demand materializes at the projected scale. The financing package will also come under scrutiny as proceeds are deployed across multiple sites, with the ability to meet debt obligations and service ongoing capital needs a critical consideration for lenders and future project partners.
Beyond Core Scientific, the sector’s AI-forward pivot remains under observation. The timing of AI deployment milestones at Exaion, the integration of repurposed mining facilities into AI data centers, and the long-term profitability of these ventures will shape how crypto miners position themselves in a world where AI infrastructure investment appears increasingly attractive to both developers and institutions.
Readers should monitor updates from Core Scientific as project approvals progress, as well as any additional capital-raising moves or land acquisitions that may signal further capacity expansion across the United States.
Crypto World
Startale App Taps Privacy Boost for Private Soneium Transfers
Crypto infrastructure company Startale Group has selected Sunnyside Labs’ Privacy Boost as the official privacy partner for its Startale App, built for Soneium, a Sony-linked blockchain network.
Startale Group said Tuesday that the integration will add self-custodial private transfer features to the app, including shielded balances, private peer-to-peer transfers and privacy-enabled payment flows on Soneium.
The move adds a consumer-facing privacy layer to Startale’s Sony-linked Soneium ecosystem as crypto apps try to give users more control over visible onchain activity while preserving compliance mechanisms for operators.
Sunnyside Labs co-founder and CEO Taem Park told Cointelegraph that selective auditability means transaction details remain hidden from the public, while authorized service operators can review them through a feature called Audit View.
Related: Japan’s SBI VC Trade launches retail USDC lending as stablecoin use grows
He compared the system to traditional finance, in which banks can view customers’ transactions for compliance purposes. “This means AML and regulatory obligations can be met without requiring all activity to be publicly transparent. This is a fundamentally different architecture from privacy tools that obscure transactions from everyone, including the operator,” Park told Cointelegraph.
The design leaves a key question over who ultimately controls access to private transaction data. While Privacy Boost is designed to hide transaction details from the public, its Audit View model preserves operator-level visibility for compliance purposes. That means users are relying not only on cryptography, but also on Sunnyside Labs’ controls around when and how shielded transaction records can be reviewed.
Selective disclosure faces privacy, compliance tradeoffs
The Audit View model puts Startale’s integration in the same category as privacy systems that try to keep transaction data hidden from the public while still allowing some form of review by trusted or authorized parties.
Zcash, one of the earliest privacy-focused blockchain networks, uses zero-knowledge proofs and supports selective disclosure through viewing keys. Secret Network uses a similar access-control concept for private smart contract data, with its documentation describing viewing keys as encrypted passwords for viewing data tied to a specific smart contract and private key.

Examples of selective disclosure implementations. Source: TRM Labs
Blockchain analytics company TRM Labs said in a Feb. 19 report that transaction view keys provide “strong privacy but weak compliance utility,” particularly for high-value transfers, rapid fund movements or systemic monitoring.
Privacy Boost’s Audit View model appears to take a different approach by giving authorized operators access to private transaction records for compliance purposes. That may make the system more practical for regulated consumer applications, but it also means disclosure is not controlled only by users.
In its findings, TRM Labs said that “No single privacy regime satisfies all stakeholder needs.” However, the company added that hybrid approaches combining visibility, access controls and limits around private-asset conversions may offer the most workable path.
Magazine: AI-driven hacks could kill DeFi — unless projects act now
Crypto World
New Report Drops OpenAI Bomb at Worst Possible Time
A new Wall Street Journal report claims OpenAI missed internal revenue and weekly active user targets in early 2026. The story landed hours before US markets opened on April 28, pulling AI-linked shares lower in pre-market trading.
According to CNBC’s Mad Money host Jim Cramer, the report was a recycled hit job timed to rattle AI stocks before earnings season.
Report Lays Out OpenAI’s Internal Misses
The piece said OpenAI fell short of internal goals for revenue and weekly active users during early 2026. The shortfall came as rivals picked up share in coding and enterprise workloads.
ChatGPT also missed its internal target of 1 billion weekly active users by year-end. Gains by Anthropic and Google’s Gemini were cited as a key reason. Developer-heavy segments saw the sharpest competitive pressure, according to the report.
OpenAI is racing toward a possible public listing valued near $850 billion. The company has signed compute commitments worth hundreds of billions of dollars with cloud partners.
That includes a recently restructured arrangement with Microsoft that ended Azure exclusivity.
CFO Sarah Friar Pushes for Tighter Spending Discipline
Chief Financial Officer Sarah Friar warned colleagues that aggressive capital expenditure could outpace revenue if growth does not accelerate.
Internal debate has reportedly grown over whether OpenAI can fund its data-center pipeline before any public listing.
Friar has previously told colleagues that OpenAI is not ready for its planned 2026 listing. CEO Sam Altman, by contrast, has favored a faster timeline and continued aggressive investment in compute.
Other media outlets have also focused on whether the company’s burn rate can sustain its capex pipeline.
Pre-market trading saw Oracle drop roughly 3%, with Nvidia and AMD easing on the headlines.
Cramer Calls Out the Timing
Cramer pushed back on the framing, calling the new report an evergreen hit job whose timing seems often too deliberate.
“Doesn’t everyone marvel as I do of the exquisite timing of this Journal evergreen hitjob? Timing is everything,” he quipped.
Meanwhile, the narrative comes amid expected pressure from rivals such as Anthropic, whose pre-IPO valuation has reached $1 trillion on Jupiter.
Bulls argued OpenAI is still growing fast, with capex shaped more by chip supply than soft demand.
Skeptics, however, flag real concerns about burn rate, IPO readiness, and Altman’s expansion plans.
The split mirrored a broader market divide over AI valuations heading into earnings season.
“Valuation split is likely among companies benefitting from AI. Companies in the AI field could face ‘valuation dispersion’ over the coming years, Morgan Stanley strategists say in a note. Companies that use AI to improve their productivity and lower costs are likely to “re-rate higher while others fall behind,” strategists say.
The next stretch of AI and semiconductor earnings reports may decide which side gains traction.
If revenue accelerates and capex commitments hold, the WSJ findings will fade.
However, if growth keeps moderating, Friar’s internal warnings could shape OpenAI’s path to the public market.
The post New Report Drops OpenAI Bomb at Worst Possible Time appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Stellar (XLM) drops 1.7% as index moves lower
CoinDesk Indices presents its daily market update, highlighting the performance of leaders and laggards in the CoinDesk 20 Index.
The CoinDesk 20 is currently trading at 2071.97, down 0.4% (-9.25) since 4 p.m. ET on Friday.
Eight of 20 assets are trading higher.

Leaders: APT (+1.3%) and AAVE (+0.6%).
Laggards: XLM (-1.7%) and HBAR (-0.9%).
The CoinDesk 20 is a broad-based index traded on multiple platforms in several regions globally.
Crypto World
DeFi Analytics & Tools: Turning On-Chain Data into Real Insight
Decentralized finance (DeFi) has transformed financial transparency by making vast amounts of blockchain data publicly accessible. However, access does not equal understanding. Without the right analytical approach, even experienced participants can misinterpret signals and make costly decisions. This article explores how to properly read Total Value Locked (TVL), leverage analytics platforms, identify opportunities through on-chain data, and avoid misleading metrics.
1. Understanding TVL (Total Value Locked) Beyond the Surface
Total Value Locked (TVL) is one of the most widely cited metrics in DeFi. It represents the total value of assets deposited in a protocol’s smart contracts. While often used as a proxy for trust and adoption, TVL can be misleading if interpreted naively.
Key considerations:
- Price Sensitivity: TVL fluctuates with token prices. A rise in TVL may reflect asset appreciation rather than new capital inflows.
- Double Counting: Assets can be reused across protocols (e.g., staking LP tokens), inflating TVL figures artificially.
- Capital Efficiency: High TVL does not necessarily indicate efficiency or profitability. Some protocols generate more revenue with lower TVL.
- Liquidity Composition: Understanding whether TVL consists of stablecoins, volatile assets, or incentivized deposits is crucial.
Takeaway: TVL should be contextualized alongside metrics like protocol revenue, user activity, and capital turnover.
2. Leveraging Analytics Platforms
Modern DeFi analytics platforms provide tools to interpret blockchain data effectively. Among the most widely used is Dune Analytics, which allows users to query blockchain data using SQL and visualize it through dashboards.
Popular platforms include:
- Dune Analytics — Custom dashboards, community-driven insights
- DeFiLlama — TVL tracking across chains and protocols
- Nansen — Wallet labeling and smart money tracking
- Glassnode — Advanced metrics for macro-level insights
Best practices:
- Cross-check data across multiple platforms to avoid bias
- Understand the methodology behind each metric
- Customize dashboards to track specific strategies or protocols
Takeaway: Tools are only as powerful as the user’s ability to interpret them critically.
3. Finding Opportunities Using On-Chain Data
On-chain data offers a transparent view into market behavior, enabling users to identify emerging opportunities before they become widely known.
Key strategies:
- Wallet Tracking: Monitor “smart money” wallets to identify early positioning in new protocols
- Liquidity Flows: Track capital entering or exiting protocols to gauge momentum
- Token Distribution: Analyze holder concentration to assess risk and decentralization
- Yield Analysis: Compare real yield (fees generated) versus incentivized yield (token rewards)
For example, a sudden increase in liquidity combined with rising user activity—but without excessive token incentives—may indicate organic growth.
Takeaway: Early signals often appear in behavior, not headlines.
4. Avoiding Misleading Metrics
Not all metrics are created equal. Some are intentionally designed to attract users rather than inform them.
Common pitfalls:
- Inflated APYs: High yields often rely on unsustainable token emissions
- Vanity Metrics: User counts or transaction volumes can be inflated through bots or incentives
- Short-Term Spikes: Temporary liquidity mining campaigns can distort long-term viability
- Ignoring Risk Factors: Metrics rarely account for smart contract risk, governance issues, or market volatility
A protocol offering 1,000% APY may appear attractive, but if the reward token rapidly depreciates, real returns may be negative.
Takeaway: Always distinguish between nominal and real value.
Conclusion
DeFi analytics is not about memorizing metrics—it is about understanding context, questioning assumptions, and synthesizing multiple data points into a coherent view. Tools like Dune Analytics and Nansen empower users to navigate this landscape, but critical thinking remains the most valuable asset.
In a market driven by transparency yet clouded by noise, those who can interpret on-chain data effectively gain a decisive edge.
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Crypto World
Bitcoin Reclaims Critical Trend Line After 6 Months
Bitcoin (BTC) closed above the 21-week exponential moving average for the first time in roughly six months. The reclaim opens a technical retest that analysts say leaves little margin for error.
The weekly close near $76,794 places the price in striking distance of the EMA from above. That position has historically separated trend recoveries from failed bounces in past cycles.
Six-Month Streak Below the EMA Ends
Bitcoin had spent roughly six months trading underneath the 21-week EMA. The moving average is widely tracked as a proxy for BTC’s medium-term trend.
The weekly chart shared by Rekt Capital on X shows the price reclaiming the green line after a steep decline. BTC peaked above $125,000 in November 2025 before sliding through the first quarter of 2026.
Price is now hovering near $76,794, well off its highs but recovering from a March low near $61,500. Two horizontal levels stand out in the structure, $72,810 and $65,710. Both mark prior swing zones that now frame the broader range.
Why the Retest Window Is Tight
The analyst said Bitcoin’s position above the EMA opens the door to a pullback. The line could be tested from above within days. The same EMA had capped every rebound attempt since the November peak.
The risk is that the buffer between the current price and the indicator is thin. Any sharp weekly wick lower could invalidate the reclaim before the bulls have time to base.
“Which means price is technically positioned for a retest of the EMA. The problem is that there is very little space for the retest to breathe, making it very easy for BTC to drop below the EMA. Bitcoin will need to try to hang at these highs if the retest is to be successful.”
The note frames the next weekly close as the most important data point for the trend.
What to Watch Next
A successful defense of the EMA on the next weekly close would offer the strongest signal in months. The last comparable reclaim came after the November 2025 top. Traders will watch whether buyers hold the reclaim through the next session.
A failed retest brings the $72,810 and $65,710 zones back into focus as downside checkpoints. The lower band roughly aligns with the March swing low and would mark a deeper structural test.
The post Bitcoin Reclaims Critical Trend Line After 6 Months appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
CFTC’s AI will review U.S. crypto registration applications, chairman tells CoinDesk
Already noted for embracing digital assets, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission is also leaning into artificial intelligence to pick up the slack after slashing more than a fifth of its workforce, Chairman Mike Selig said in an interview with CoinDesk.
Selig, who is set to appear at Consensus 2026 in Miami next week, said AI and automation can make up for the personnel cuts under President Donald Trump’s campaign to reduce federal staffing. He said the agency — on its way to become a leading U.S. regulator for the crypto sector — is pushing toward using the technology to review registration applications and even help in market surveillance.
The CFTC registration process currently relies on the manual submission of documents, Selig said, so “we’re building out systems to automate that, to make it much more efficient.” “AI tools can be used to review the applications, flag certain things for the staff, make their jobs easier, make it much faster for them to provide feedback and also reject certain things that aren’t materially complete,” he said. “We can see something come in with blank space or inadequate descriptions or things that are clearly wrong, picked up by AI, and it can reject those or put them at the back of the line.”
Selig said his staff is currently being trained on using Microsoft’s Copilot for the first time, but the agency is also building some “in-house” tools for “reviewing swap data, reviewing for market-surveillance purposes; We have tools now that can help us reach conclusions about certain trades and all of that. So we’re embracing technology.”
The chairman has been at the helm of the U.S. derivatives regulator for four months, and it has leapt into the fray on emerging technologies, including the oversight of both crypto and the prediction markets.
Crypto taxonomy
Even in the absence — so far — of a new crypto law from Congress, one of Selig’s major initiatives has been embracing oversight of the industry. To that end, he said the most important action taken to-date was the joint guidance alongside the Securities and Exchange Commission to set out a “taxonomy” for digital assets — a system of definitions for how each subset of crypto will fit into the range of regulatory jurisdictions.
“That is a massive development that is going to allow market participants, software developers and consumers to engage with crypto systems and crypto assets with confidence that they’re not tripping into the securities laws,” he said, though the interpretive guidance doesn’t yet carry to full force of permanent policy. “Now we have clarity,” he said. “We understand what our responsibility is at the CFTC, and we will be taking action to police fraud, manipulation, insider trading in crypto markets, and we think that’s going to have a huge impact, in addition to the clarity for consumers and users of the asset class.”
Prediction markets
But his prediction-markets foray, involving the businesses such as Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, Coinbase and Gemini, has been the most immediately contentious. Selig’s unbending stance that the CFTC is the only relevant regulator of these firms has put him at odds with the states who have challenged the companies for running afoul of state gaming laws — especially in the sports betting realm. He’s sued several states, most recently including New York, defending the agency’s “exclusive jurisdiction.”
Late last week, the CFTC joined in a Department of Justice case against a U.S. Army Special Forces soldier who is accused of placing prediction-market bets on the military action in Venezuela that he took part in. Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a master sergeant among the Army’s vaunted green berets, was arrested and charged with using confidential government information and fraud, plus the CFTC’s own complaint against him for insider trading.
“We are on the case and continue to watch for news,” Selig said of his agency’s enforcement stance on prediction markets. “We will be taking action against bad actors in our markets, and we’re taking this very seriously. It’s not lip service, and market participants should be on notice.”
Read More: U.S. CFTC’s Selig says AI has helped make up for staffing cuts at key crypto watchdog
Crypto World
Snap (SNAP) Stock Surges 7% on Redburn Upgrade: Is a Comeback Brewing?
Key Takeaways
- Redburn Atlantic raised Snap to “Buy” with a $10 price target, up from $5
- Snapchat+ subscription revenue projected to surge to $1.75B within three years
- Company expected to achieve GAAP profitability by 2026
- AI-powered efficiency initiatives could drive gross margins beyond 60%
- Despite gains, SNAP remains down approximately 25% in 2025 and 41% off its 52-week peak
Shares of Snap (SNAP) rallied approximately 7-8% during Monday’s session following a significant upgrade from Redburn Atlantic, which elevated the social media company to “Buy” while doubling its price objective from $5 to $10.
The new $10 price objective suggests potential gains of approximately 65% from SNAP’s pre-upgrade trading levels.
This wasn’t merely a ratings change — Redburn delivered a comprehensive investment thesis explaining why the firm believes Snap is approaching a pivotal inflection point.
Redburn’s bullish stance hinges on Snap’s strategic pivot beyond pure reliance on advertising revenue. Though digital advertising remains the primary income source, the firm highlighted the rapidly expanding Snapchat+ premium subscription offering as the compelling catalyst.
Analysts project subscription income will more than double across the coming three-year period, climbing from approximately $700 million to $1.75 billion. This trajectory would elevate subscriptions from 13% of total revenue to 22%.
This type of stable, recurring income stream represents a fundamental transformation for a business historically vulnerable to the volatile swings of digital advertising markets.
The Path to Consistent Profits
Redburn’s analysis also emphasized operational discipline as a critical component of the investment case. The company reportedly achieved GAAP breakeven status last year — when excluding its experimental Spectacles hardware division — and analysts forecast Snap will deliver “meaningful profitability” by 2026.
Reaching this benchmark would mark a significant achievement for a company that has consistently struggled with profitability since its 2017 public debut.
Substantial workforce reductions combined with a strategic transition toward AI-driven operations are anticipated to elevate gross profit margins above the 60% threshold. Redburn characterized this evolution as Snap finally maturing into a streamlined, profit-oriented enterprise.
Monday’s price action brought SNAP shares into contact with its 100-day moving average. Market watchers noted that a convincing breakout above the $6.20 level would indicate a fundamental shift in long-term momentum favoring bulls.
The stock also temporarily surpassed important technical resistance points, capturing attention from momentum traders monitoring for potential trend reversals.
Current Market Position
Despite Monday’s impressive gains, Snap shares remain underwater by roughly 25% for the year and continue trading approximately 41% beneath the 52-week high of $10.35 reached in July 2025.
An investor who allocated $1,000 to SNAP five years ago would currently hold a position worth around $100.
The broader Wall Street analyst consensus remains more cautious than Redburn’s optimistic outlook. The overall rating stands at “Hold,” though the consensus price target of approximately $7.99 still indicates over 30% potential appreciation from present levels.
SNAP has experienced single-day moves exceeding 5% on 26 different occasions over the trailing twelve months, underscoring the stock’s characteristic volatility.
The Redburn upgrade represents the most aggressively bullish perspective on the stock in recent quarters, though this optimistic viewpoint has not yet gained widespread acceptance among Wall Street research firms.
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