Bitcoin (BTC) reached a new three-month high of $80,500 on Monday, testing the level for the first time since Jan. 31. The rally above $80,000 puts the price just below short-term holders’ cost basis of $81,486, the next dynamic resistance level. For the rally to continue, a daily close above this level is key to securing $80,000 as support. 

A rally to $81,500 may lock in the trend

Bitcoin’s rally to $80,000 places the price directly under the short-term holder’s realized price of $81,486. This metric reflects the average cost of coins moved over the last 155 days and indicates where recent buyers have flipped from loss to profit.

A daily close above $81,500 would return these holders to profit and reduce sell-side pressure. According to crypto analyst Crazyyblockk, the short-term holder losses have narrowed to about -2.17%, showing that the overhead supply band is thinning. The long-term holders (LTHs) hold near +27% profit and are not distributing aggressively.

Bitcoin LTH/STH SOPR ratio. Source: CryptoQuant

The spent-output profit ratio (SOPR), which tracks whether coins are spent at a profit or a loss, has climbed to 1.097 from 0.99. This indicates the coins are being spent in profit again, led by long-term holders. 

The exchange inflow data aligns with that shift. Around 97.2% of recent deposits came from short-term holders, with wallets holding 1 to 1,000 BTC contributing roughly 58%.

BTC inflows peaked at 35,649 BTC on April 24 and dropped to 3,895 BTC by May 3. That compression reduces immediate sell pressure and supports the case for holding at $80,000 once the cost basis flips.

Related: Bitcoin in ‘disbelief rally’ as traders spot $84K BTC price target

BTC exchange supply builds below $80,000

BTC exchange flow data tracked by Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr shows 8,512 BTC in net inflows over recent days, with spikes on April 27 and April 30. The price absorbed that supply without a sharp downside, signaling an active BTC demand.

Bitcoin exchange netflows for all exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

The BTC flows have since cooled to near-neutral at 269 BTC between May 1 and May 3. The short-term averages stay positive, while the longer-term averages sit near zero, keeping the move contained to a short impulse.

BTC exchange reserves increased by 5,773 BTC week over week to 2,685,541 BTC, before easing slightly after April 30. Adler Jr explained that the coins are currently sitting on exchanges without aggressive selling, forming a supply overhang that could turn into pressure if demand slows.

Meanwhile, crypto trader Ardi highlighted that BTC is retesting breakout liquidity near $79,600. The trader said that holding this level keeps the move intact toward the next supply zone near $84,000. 

BTC/USDT analysis by Ardi. Source: X

A breakdown below $80,000 shifts focus to the new-money cost basis near $76,500 and increases the likelihood of a failed breakout setup.

Related: BTC price can ‘easily’ hit $95K: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

Pi Network co-founder Dr. Chengdiao Fan is set to speak at Consensus 2026 in Miami on May 6, delivering a session titled “Aligning Web3, AI, and Blockchain for Utility” at the Convergence Stage, six days before Protocol 23 brings full smart contracts to the Pi blockchain on May 11.

Pi Network’s official X account confirmed that Dr. Fan will speak May 6 from 11:15 to 11:35 AM EDT at the Convergence Stage. Her presentation argues that as AI lowers the barriers to building products, competition increasingly centres on authentic human data, verified user acquisition, and trusted participation.

This is the infrastructure Pi has been building since 2019. As crypto.news reported, Pi Network is an official sponsor of Consensus 2026, with co-founder Nicolas Kokkalis joining a May 7 panel titled “How to Prove You’re Human in an AI World (Without Doxing Yourself).”

As crypto.news documented, Protocol 23 is scheduled for May 11, six days after Consensus 2026 closes, introducing full smart contract functionality and unlocking decentralised applications, exchanges, and real-world asset tokenisation on Pi for the first time. The Consensus timing creates maximum public visibility immediately before launch.

As crypto.news tracked, PI rose more than 5% on April 29 as both founders were confirmed for Consensus 2026, with the token near $0.187 entering conference week. The official minepi.com blog confirmed full schedule details and session descriptions for both founders.

The Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) plans to pilot trading of tokenized securities in July with a goal of a full service launch in October.

The post-trade market infrastructure giant said Monday that more than 50 TradFi and DeFi firms will play a role in the design and deployment of the service. That DTCC Industry Working Group includes Alpaca, Anchorage Digital, BitGo Bank & Trust, BlackRock, Circle and Fireblocks, along with some of the biggest banks in the country.

Source: DTCC

DTCC, which currently custodies $114 trillion in liquid assets from stocks to exchange-traded funds, said it expects the service will enable tokenization of real-world assets that provide the same entitlements, investor protections and ownership rights as the assets held in traditional form.

In December, DTCC received permission from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to offer tokenization services on pre-approved blockchains for three years.

“Although this program is a pilot subject to various operational limitations, it marks a significant incremental step in moving markets onchain,” SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce said at the time.

Related: Tokenized assets climb to $23.6B as investors seek always-on markets

While the pilot phase will test limited production trades, the full service is expected to tokenize a specific set of some of the most-widely traded liquid assets, including exchange-traded funds tracking major indexes, Russell 1000 constituents, US Treasury bills, bonds and notes, according to DTCC’s announcement.

Tokenized RWA market grows, but remains concentrated

The value of tokenized real-world assets have surged 66% in 2026, with funds, gold and equities driving growth across public blockchains.

Data from the analytics platform RWA.xyz show that tokenized stocks alone expanded from $375.4 million on May 3, 2025, to about $1.21 billion on May 3, 2026. Kraken’s xStocks platform has emerged as one of the more visible entrants, reporting more than $25 billion in cumulative trading volume since launching last year.

In January, the New York Stock Exchange and its parent company, the Intercontinental Exchange, announced the development of a new platform to trade tokenized stocks and ETFs. The platform, subject to regulatory approvals, is intended to underpin a new NYSE trading venue for tokenized securities.

Tokenized stocks have recently topped $1.2 billion in value. Source: RWA.xyz

Rather than creating a parallel crypto-native marketplace, the venue is designed to operate within existing US market rules while leveraging blockchain-based settlement infrastructure.

Both NYSE Group and Kraken’s parent, Payward, are part of the DTCC Industry Working Group announced Monday.

In March, TD Securities’ Reid Noch, vice president for electronic trading, said tokenization is beginning to carry real implications for market structure, pointing to the NYSE’s proposed tokenized equities alternative trading system as a key development.

Noch described the structure as closer to a “2.0” market shift, where custody and settlement would remain anchored to the DTCC, while trading would comply with National Best Bid and Offer requirements.

Magazine: How to fix suspected insider trading on Polymarket and Kalshi

TLDR

• Bitmine purchased 101,745 ETH worth about $238 million and increased its total holdings to over 5.18 million ETH.
• The company now holds roughly 4.29% of Ethereum’s outstanding supply and maintains total crypto and cash assets of $13.1 billion.
• Bitmine has pledged more than 4.36 million ETH to staking operations and generates about $297 million in annualized revenue.
• Chairman Thomas Lee said a new crypto spring has begun despite subdued investor sentiment.
• Lee referenced progress on the CLARITY Act and cited a more than 60% probability of passage this year on Polymarket.

Bitmine expanded its Ethereum holdings last week with a 101,745 ETH purchase valued near $238 million. The acquisition raised its total holdings to more than 5.18 million ETH, equal to about 4.29% of supply. Chairman Thomas Lee said a new “crypto spring” has started even as overall sentiment remains weak.

Ethereum Treasury Expands Ether Holdings

Bitmine increased its Ethereum treasury with the latest purchase and pushed total holdings above 5.18 million ETH. The firm said the position equals roughly 4.29% of Ethereum’s outstanding supply. It confirmed the transaction value at about $238 million based on current market prices. The company has continued weekly purchases and has accumulated ETH at scale.

The firm reported total crypto and cash holdings of $13.1 billion after the transaction. It holds 200 Bitcoin, worth about $79,935.77 each at the time of disclosure. It also maintains $700 million in cash and equity stakes in Beast Industries and Eightco Holdings. Bitmine said it uses its balance sheet to support long-term digital asset exposure.

Bitmine has pledged more than 4.36 million ETH into staking operations. That figure represents over 84% of its total ETH holdings. The company said staking generates about $297 million in annualized revenue. It operates the MAVAN staking platform for internal use and institutional clients.

Regulation and Market Outlook Shape Strategy

Lee linked the company’s accumulation strategy to improving regulatory progress in the United States. He referenced the Senate’s release of compromise text for the CLARITY Act. He said the bill bans stablecoin yield on reserves but allows activity-based rewards. He stated, “This compromise is largely acceptable to us, and we hope to see this bill passed in 2026.”

He also cited Polymarket data that assigns more than a 60% chance of passage this year. Lee said crypto markets are emerging from a recent “mini-winter” phase. He stated, “Crypto Spring, in our view, has commenced, and like past cycles, investor sentiment and conviction are muted and bearish even as crypto prices strengthen.” He added that current sentiment does not reflect price performance.

Lee said Ethereum benefits from tokenization trends and artificial intelligence growth. He argued that financial assets continue shifting onto blockchain infrastructure. He said AI systems may prefer neutral public networks for payments and verification. He also said ETH functions as both a store of value and a medium of exchange.

He cited Ethereum’s performance relative to equities since the start of the Iran conflict. Bitmine plans to maintain its staking allocation through its MAVAN platform.

TLDR:

• Bitcoin on-chain activity has fallen to 2-year lows, with only 531K wallets making daily transfers.
• BTC’s 22% price rise over five weeks is not backed by broad network participation or new user growth.
• Only 203K new Bitcoin wallets are created daily, a figure that sits at the lowest point in two years.
• Santiment warns that price rallies without on-chain support are historically fragile and short-lived.

Bitcoin on-chain activity has dropped to its lowest levels in two years, even as BTC reclaims the $80,000 price mark.

Data from blockchain analytics firm Santiment shows only 531,000 wallets making daily transfers. Additionally, just 203,000 new Bitcoin wallets are being created each day.

These are the weakest participation numbers since 2023. The gap between the price recovery and user activity has drawn fresh scrutiny from market observers.

A Rally Supported by Few Market Players

Bitcoin’s price has climbed roughly 22% over the past five weeks. Yet, the number of daily active wallets has not risen in step with the price.

This kind of divergence is unusual during a sustained price recovery. Market participants and on-chain analysts are paying close attention to the gap.

Santiment noted on X that both wallet metrics are sitting at two-year lows. The firm shared data showing “531K Bitcoin wallets making transfers daily” and “203K new Bitcoin wallets created daily.”

This comes as Bitcoin breaks back above $80,000 for the first time in three months. The timing makes the numbers stand out even more.

Typically, rising prices pull in new users and encourage more wallet activity. More on-chain traffic and higher wallet creation rates are common signs of broad adoption. Those signals are clearly missing from the current rally.

Instead, a smaller pool of market participants appears to be driving prices higher. Without wide user participation, the move rests on a narrow foundation.

That makes it more sensitive to profit-taking by larger holders. There is also less fresh demand available to absorb a potential sell-off.

What Low Network Activity Could Signal Next

Low on-chain activity during a price rally is widely viewed as a warning sign. According to Santiment, price increases without growing on-chain participation tend to be fragile. There is simply less buying pressure backing the current move.

If larger players choose to exit their positions, the situation becomes more delicate. There may not be enough demand from new users to keep prices elevated.

The absence of retail adoption at scale remains a key concern for market watchers. Santiment’s data shows that buying fuel remains thin at current participation levels.

However, Santiment also notes that low activity can serve as a contrarian signal. Activity bottoms have historically marked the end of periods of market apathy, not the continuation of them. The market may be closer to a turning point than the current numbers suggest.

Bitcoin is already recovering toward $80,000 with participation near multi-year lows. If retail interest picks back up and daily active addresses begin climbing, the move could gain a stronger footing.

During the 2024–2025 peaks, new wallet creation regularly exceeded 100,000 per day. A return to those levels would represent a notable shift in market momentum.

XRP price climbed from $1.3840 to $1.4065 in early Asia trading on May 4 on a sharp pickup in volume, breaking through resistance at $1.40 alongside Bitcoin’s return above $80,000.

XRP price broke above $1.40 for the first time in several days on May 4, alongside Bitcoin’s move above $80,000. As crypto.news reported, Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey Kendrick projected that Senate Banking Committee advancement of the CLARITY Act could unlock $4 to $8 billion in additional XRP ETF inflows, placing the week-of-May-11 markup as the primary event that could break the $1.45 supply wall.

The $1.45 level has rejected XRP four times in 2026, including a brief $1.50 excursion on April 17 after Rakuten integrated XRP payments for 44 million Japanese users.

Glassnode data confirms roughly 36.8 billion XRP, approximately 60% of total circulating supply, is held at an average cost basis of $1.44, creating a mechanical ceiling at every approach. Traders are now watching whether XRP can hold $1.40 as support and clear $1.41 to $1.42, with a failure back below $1.40 signalling a reversed breakout.

As crypto.news documented, Standard Chartered cut its 2026 XRP target from $8 to $2.80 in February on macro headwinds, making the CLARITY Act catalyst the primary variable for any re-rating this year. As crypto.news tracked, XRP spot ETFs posted $81.63 million in April inflows across a 20-day streak that broke on April 30, before the broader market recovery on May 4 brought renewed buying interest.