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Bitcoin Rebounds to $70,000 After Brutal 2022-Style Plunge; Analysts Eye $100,000 Year-End Target

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Bitcoin Rebounds to $70,000 After Brutal 2022-Style Plunge; Analysts Eye

Bitcoin staged a defiant recovery Friday, recapturing the psychological $70,000 threshold after a harrowing 24-hour period that saw the digital asset suffer its steepest one-day decline since the collapse of the FTX exchange in 2022.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency climbed more than 11% to trade as high as $71,600, according to CoinDesk data, providing much-needed relief to a market that had been in a state of freefall. The rebound follows a “Black Thursday” for crypto investors, during which Bitcoin’s price cratered to an intraday low of $60,057.

The recovery has reignited debates among Wall Street strategists regarding the asset’s bottom. While some warn of a “Crypto Winter” in 2026, others maintain that the structural foundations of the market—bolstered by institutional ETFs—could propel Bitcoin back toward $100,000 before the year is out.

Bitcoin Rebounds to $70,000 After Brutal 2022-Style Plunge; Analysts Eye
Bitcoin Rebounds to $70,000 After Brutal 2022-Style Plunge; Analysts Eye $100,000 Year-End Target

Anatomy of a Crash: What Triggered the $60,000 Test?

The midweek rout wiped out more than $500 billion in total crypto market capitalization in just seven days. Several factors converged to create a “perfect storm” of selling pressure:

  • Macroeconomic Anxiety: Uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path and the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair has pushed investors toward “risk-off” assets.
  • ETF Outflows: Data from Deutsche Bank revealed that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw over $3 billion in withdrawals in January, signaling a cooling of the “Bitcoin Boomer” adoption phase.
  • Mass Liquidations: Nearly $1 billion in leveraged long positions were liquidated within 24 hours on Thursday, creating a cascade effect that forced prices lower.
  • Corporate Exposure: Shares of “Bitcoin Treasury” companies like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) plummeted as the market realized many of their recent purchases were “underwater,” with an average acquisition price reportedly around $76,000.

‘Capitulation’ or ‘Buying Opportunity’?

The sharp bounce from $60,000 suggests that significant “buy the dip” demand remains. Julio Moreno, head of research at CryptoQuant, noted that buying volume surged as prices touched the $60,000 level, a sign of institutional or “whale” accumulation.

“It seems like a relief rally after the share-price decline of the last few days,” Moreno told MarketWatch. “In the futures market, the open interest declined while prices increased, which suggests short positions were closed or liquidated.”

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However, the road ahead remains fraught with technical hurdles. Bitcoin is still down roughly 43% from its record intraday high of $126,272 reached in October 2025. For many retail investors who entered the market during the post-election surge in late 2024, the current “recovery” to $70,000 still leaves them deep in the red.

The 2026 Outlook: Price Predictions and Targets

Despite the recent carnage, the long-term sentiment among crypto-native analysts remains cautiously optimistic.

Analyst/Institution 2026 Year-End Prediction Key Rationale
Standard Chartered $120,000 – $175,000 Institutional adoption and ETF inflows
10X Research $75,000 (Bear Case) Overexposed ETF holders and lack of catalysts
Fundstrat $100,000+ Historical recovery patterns after 40% corrections
Coinvo Bullish Continuation BTC hitting 15-year trendline against Gold

“From a sentiment perspective, comparisons across cycles are always imperfect, but anecdotally there is an outsized sense of fear and fatigue,” wrote Sean Farrell, head of digital assets at Fundstrat. Farrell noted he is increasing net long exposure but leaving “wiggle room” for another potential dip into the $50,000s if macro conditions worsen.

The ‘Trump Effect’ Fades

The 2026 slump has notably erased all gains made since President Trump’s election in November 2024. While the administration’s pro-crypto rhetoric initially fueled a massive rally, the lack of movement on key legislation—such as the stablecoin bill—and concerns over conflict-of-interest investigations into Trump-related crypto ventures like World Liberty Financial have dampened investor enthusiasm.

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As of Saturday, Bitcoin continues to consolidate around the $70,000 mark. Traders are closely watching the $75,000 resistance level; a break above this could signal the end of the “mini-bear” market, while a failure to hold $68,000 could lead to a retest of the week’s lows.

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Could a slowdown U.S. population growth impact output? Morgan Stanley weighs in.

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Alphabet-backed Aye Finance raises Rs 454 crore from anchor investors ahead of IPO; Goldman Sachs key investor

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Alphabet-backed Aye Finance raises Rs 454 crore from anchor investors ahead of IPO; Goldman Sachs key investor
Alphabet-backed Aye Finance has raised Rs 454 crore from anchor investors ahead of its IPO that opens for public subscription on February 9, providing a strong institutional endorsement to the NBFC focused on lending to micro-scale MSMEs.

The company informed stock exchanges that it allocated equity shares to anchor investors at Rs 129 per share, the upper end of its price band. The anchor book saw participation from a clutch of global and domestic institutional investors, including Goldman Sachs, Societe Generale, HDFC Life, BNP Paribas Financial Markets, Bay Pond Partners and Ithan Creek Master Investors (Cayman), according to the filing.

The anchor allocation comes days ahead of the Rs 1,010 crore IPO, which will open on February 9 and close on February 11, with listing scheduled for February 16 on the BSE and NSE. The issue comprises a fresh issue of shares worth Rs 710 crore and an offer for sale of Rs 300 crore by existing investors, including Alpha Wave India I LP, MAJ Invest Financial Inclusion Fund II, CapitalG LP, LGT Capital Invest Mauritius and Vikram Jetley.

Aye Finance has fixed the price band for the issue at Rs 122 to Rs 129 per share, with a face value of Rs 2 per share. Investors can bid for a minimum of 116 shares and in multiples thereafter. At the upper end of the price band, the retail application size works out to Rs 14,964.

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Also Read | Radhika Gupta urges investors to ignore ‘cats’ and think like a goldfish amid market chaos

Founded in 1993, Aye Finance is a non-banking financial company in the middle layer category, focused on providing secured and unsecured business loans to micro-scale MSMEs. Its borrowers are spread across manufacturing, trading, services and allied agriculture sectors. As of September 30, 2025, the company had 586,825 active customers across 18 states and three union territories and assets under management of over Rs 6,027 crore, according to a CRISIL report.
The lender specialises in small-ticket loans, with an average disbursement ticket size of around Rs 0.18 crore, and has built underwriting capabilities around assessing cash flows of micro enterprises clustered across different geographies. This approach has helped the company maintain stable credit costs while scaling its loan book, industry analysts said.
On the financial front, Aye Finance reported revenue from operations of Rs 843 crore for the six months ended September 30, compared with Rs 692 crore in the year-ago period. For FY25, revenue stood at Rs 1,460 crore, while net profit rose to Rs 175 crore, up sharply from Rs 40 crore in FY23.
Axis Capital, IIFL Capital Services, JM Financial and Nuvama Wealth Management are the book-running lead managers to the issue, while KFin Technologies is the registrar. The offer is being made through the book-building route, with up to 75% reserved for qualified institutional buyers, and the rest allocated to non-institutional and retail investors.

The strong anchor response is expected to lend momentum to the IPO as it opens amid active primary market conditions and rising investor interest in profitable, scalable NBFC business models.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

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OneMain Financial Stock: A Secure Dividend With Capital Appreciation Potential (NYSE:OMF)

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OneMain Financial Stock: A Secure Dividend With Capital Appreciation Potential (NYSE:OMF)

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Over fifteen years of experience making contrarian bets based on my macro view and stock-specific turnaround stories to garner outsized returns with a favorable risk/reward profile. If you want me to cover a specific stock or have a question for an article, just let me know!

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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Thousands in Islamabad mourn 31 killed in suicide bombing of Shi’ite mosque

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Is European travel to the US recovering?

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Russia launched 400 drones, 40 missiles to hit Ukraine’s energy sector, Zelenskiy says

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F5 Stock: Security Incident Impact And Outlook (NASDAQ:FFIV)

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F5 Stock: Security Incident Impact And Outlook (NASDAQ:FFIV)

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Khaveen Investments is a global Investment Advisory Firm dedicated to serving the investment needs of clients worldwide including high-net-worth individuals, corporations, associations, and institutions. We are a registered investment adviser with the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC). We provide comprehensive services ranging from market and security research to business valuation and wealth management. Our flagship Macroquantamental Hedge Fund maintains a diversified portfolio with exposure to hundreds of investments across various asset classes, geographies, sectors, and industries. We employ a multifaceted investment approach that integrates top-down and bottom-up analysis, blending three core strategies: global macro, fundamental, and quantitative. Our core expertise lies in disruptive technologies that are reshaping the landscape of modern industries including Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, 5G, Autonomous and Electric Vehicles, FinTech, Augmented and Virtual Reality, and the Internet of Things (IoT).www.khaveen.com

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of FFIV either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

No information in this publication is intended as investment, tax, accounting, or legal advice, or as an offer/solicitation to sell or buy. Material provided in this publication is for educational purposes only and was prepared from sources and data believed to be reliable, but we do not guarantee its accuracy or completeness.

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Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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BMW North America to recall over 87,000 U.S. vehicles over engine starter overheating issue

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F&O Talk | Nifty crosses 100-DMA, but consolidation looms; Sudeep Shah highlights 2 rally triggers

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F&O Talk | Nifty crosses 100-DMA, but consolidation looms; Sudeep Shah highlights 2 rally triggers
Indian stock markets ended the week on a strong note buoyed by the India-US trade deal and with an interim trade agreement between the two countries made on Saturday, the domestic markets are set to enter next week trade on strong footing. President Donald Trump issued an executive order scrapping an additional 25% levy imposed over New Delhi’s purchases of Russian oil while also slashing “reciprocal” tariffs from an earlier 25% to 18%.

Nifty ended its two-week losing streak ending above the crucial 100-day moving average. Meanwhile, fear index India VIX has cooled-off sharply by 20% during the week to close near 12 and any further decline in volatility is expected to offer additional comfort to the bulls.

With this, analyst Sudeep Shah, Vice President and Head of Technical & Derivatives Research at SBI Securities, interacted with ETMarkets regarding the outlook for the Nifty and Bank Nifty, as well as an index strategy for the upcoming week. The following are the edited excerpts from his chat:

Q: Nifty ended with weekly gains of 1.4% led by the India-US trade deal managing to close just shy of 25,700. What do Nifty charts suggest for next week of action?

The past week proved to be a high-voltage one for the benchmark index, with Nifty navigating an environment of elevated volatility. The index swung within a massive 1,662-point range, marking its widest weekly movement since June 2024.

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On Union Budget day, Nifty slipped sharply to an intraday low of 24,571, weighed down by concerns over the increase in STT on F&O transactions. However, the weakness was short-lived. A sharp 1,770-point rebound followed as global risk sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump announced an immediate reduction in reciprocal tariffs on Indian goods from 25% to 18%. This positive trigger propelled the index to an intraday high of 26,341, reviving hopes of a fresh all-time high.
That optimism, however, faded quickly. Within the very first minute of trade, Nifty witnessed a sharp 600-point intraday cut, reflecting aggressive profit booking amid heightened volatility. Despite supportive global cues, the index failed to decisively scale new highs, underscoring the fragile sentiment prevailing in the market.
In the latter half of the week, Nifty moved into a phase of sideways consolidation. Intense selling pressure in IT stocks capped broader market gains, as rising concerns around recent developments in artificial intelligence triggered apprehensions over the sector’s long-term growth outlook. Consequently, the Nifty IT index emerged as the worst-performing sector, ending the week with a sharp decline of 6.91%.
From a technical perspective, momentum indicators point towards consolidation, suggesting that the index may continue to oscillate within a defined range before a decisive directional move emerges.

Looking ahead, the 100-day EMA zone of 25,500–25,550 is expected to act as immediate support, followed by 25,200. On the upside, the 25,850–25,880 region will remain a critical resistance band. A sustained move above 25,880 could open the door for further upside toward 26,000, followed by 26,200 in the near term, setting the stage for another attempt at higher levels.

Q: February has traditionally been a week month but the start has so far been quite encouraging. What will be your advice to investors who have a positional view on the markets and would like to make trades based on this. Based on the seasonality data and post-budget trends, are there specific sectors which stand a higher chance to deliver gains for the investors?

Despite February being seasonally weak, post-Budget trends support a cautiously positive positional approach. In the week following the Budget, Sensex has closed positive 11 out of 15 times with an average gain of 2.10%, while Nifty has ended positive 12 times with an average gain of 2.04%.

From a 3-month perspective, both Sensex and Nifty have delivered positive returns 9 out of 15 times, with average gains of 6.77% and 7.40% respectively.

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Sectorally, Pharma has been the strongest performer. In the week post Budget, Pharma has closed positive 14 out of 15 times with an average gain of 3.20% and a negligible average loss of just 0.24% in the lone negative instance. Over three months, Pharma has delivered positive returns 10 times with an average gain of 7.45%, while losses averaged only 1.90%.

Financial Services has also shown consistency, closing positive 11 times in the week post Budget with an average gain of 2.93%, while the 4 negative instances saw an average loss of 3.21%. From a 3-month view, Financial Services ended positive 9 times with an average gain of 10.85%, while losses averaged 8.81%.

Q. What is your view on Bank Nifty?


The banking benchmark index Bank Nifty registered a fresh all time high of 61764 on Tuesday, reflecting continued strength in the financial space. However, the index failed to hold on to higher levels, as profit booking emerged sharply in the latter half of the week. Despite this pullback, Bank Nifty ended the week on a strong note at 60120, delivering nearly 3% weekly gains and forming a bullish candle accompanied by a long upper shadow on the weekly chart — a sign of intraday volatility and selling pressure at elevated zones.

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From a trend perspective, the index remains comfortably positioned above all its crucial moving averages, reaffirming the resilience of the medium term uptrend. That said, momentum indicators and oscillators have started to flatten out, signalling a likely consolidation phase or sideways movement as the market digests recent gains and awaits fresh triggers.

Looking ahead, the 20 day EMA placed between 59600-59500 is expected to act as the immediate and most important support zone for the index. Holding above this region will be critical for maintaining the current bullish structure. On the upside, the band of 60400–60500 continues to act as a strong supply zone. A decisive and sustained breakout above 60500 could reignite bullish momentum, paving the way for a swift rally towards 61200, and potentially extending further to 62000 in the short term.

Q: FIIs have remained net buyers this week while INR has also managed to deliver its best weekly closing in nearly three years. Do you expect these reversals to sustain for markets to benefit?

While FIIs have turned net buyers this week and the INR has posted its best weekly close in nearly three years, it is still premature to assume that the reversal will sustain. A major portion of the FII inflow came from a single large buying session after the India–US trade deal announcement, rather than a steady flow trend. On the currency front, the dollar index has eased marginally from its recent high of 92.19 recorded on 28th January, but it has largely moved in a narrow range over the last few sessions, indicating that the weakness is not yet decisive. A sustained dollar decline is typically needed to drive durable EM inflows.

Importantly, most key domestic triggers namely the India–US trade deal, Union Budget, RBI policy decision, and Q3 earnings season are already behind us, yet broad-based FII participation has not meaningfully returned. In addition, elevated FII index futures shorts have not seen expected unwinding.

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For markets to build a stronger uptrend, consistent FII cash buying and visible short covering will be two crucial triggers, going forward.

Q: Tech stocks were worst hit this week with Nifty IT index falling more than 6%. How should one trade in this pack?


The Nifty IT index was among the worst performers this week, falling over 6%, largely triggered by renewed global concerns around AI-led disruption after Anthropic launched an advanced legal-focused AI tool. This development intensified fears that AI could increasingly replace or compress high-value software and consulting work, a risk not limited to Indian IT firms but also impacting US technology and software companies. The selloff reflects worries about future billing models, pricing power, and demand visibility across the global IT services space.

Technically, the setup has weakened further. The IT index is trading below its key short- and long-term moving averages and has confirmed a double-top neckline breakdown, with the measured downside target placed near the 35,050–35,000 zone. RSI has slipped below 40, indicating bearish momentum, and the MACD line has moved below the zero line. Unless the index reclaims and sustains above 36,000, weakness is likely to persist. Traders should avoid aggressive bottom fishing and look at rallies toward resistance as potential sell-on-rise opportunities until momentum stabilizes.

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Q: Defence stocks struggled this week despite a largely positive budget for this sector. Where do you see opportunities?


Defence stocks underperformed this week despite a budget that was broadly supportive for the sector, mainly because price action continues to lack momentum. The Defence index has been moving in a wide 8,359–7,459 range since Budget day and, in fact, has remained largely range-bound since September last year with no sustained directional trend. The only phase of notable outperformance was during the post–Operation Sindoor rally from early April to late June 2025, after which most gains were retraced and momentum faded.

Technically, the 8,300–8,400 zone remains a strong resistance band. Only a decisive breakout above this area with volumes can revive buying interest at the index level. Until then, opportunities appear selective rather than broad-based. Among the pack, Data Patterns and MTAR Tech currently display relatively stronger price structures, while most other defence names continue to show weak or sideways setups. Traders may focus on stock-specific strength instead of the entire theme.

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Q: Apar Industries, Aarti and Nykaa have been star performers this week while BDL, Hindustan Copper and GRSE have been big losers. What should investors do with them?


Apar Industries, Aarti Industries and Nykaa have shown relative strength this week, but the approach should remain level-based rather than chasing momentum. After the post-Budget gap-up, APARINDS has moved in a tight range, with 9,750–9,800 acting as a strong resistance; only a sustained breakout above this zone can trigger fresh move higher. AARTIIND has given a downward-sloping trendline breakout with a rising RSI, and the bullish bias holds as long as it sustains above 420–415 zone. Nykaa has given a volume-backed horizontal trendline breakout, with RSI rising and DI+ crossing DI-, indicating continued upside potential on follow-through.

On the laggard side, BDL and GRSE remain weak as the defence pack underperforms. Both trade below key short- and long-term moving averages. BDL has broken below the 1,305–1,300 swing low, while GRSE failed near 2,800 and slipped. Trend reversal is unlikely unless these resistance levels are reclaimed. Hindustan Copper has corrected about 24% after a parabolic rally and is now consolidating in a 658–555 band since last 7 sessions. Traders should wait for a decisive range breakout for fresh directional signals.

Q. Which Sectors you feel can outperform from here on & stocks within them?

From a technical perspective, several sectoral indices are showing signs of relative strength and are poised to outperform in the near term. Notably, the Nifty CPSE, Nifty PSE, Nifty Metal, and Nifty Oil & Gas indices are displaying sustained momentum, favourable price structures, and strong sector specific tailwinds. These indices continue to trade above key moving averages, and their short term indicators point toward continued outperformance as long as current trend supports hold.

On the contrary, pockets such as Nifty IT, Nifty Pharma, and Nifty Healthcare appear comparatively weaker on the charts.

(Disclaimer: The recommendations, suggestions, views, and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times.)

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Why India’s ‘mother of all deals’ with the EU could be a game changer

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