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Bitcoin investors face ‘harvest now, decrypt later’ quantum threat

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Bitcoin investors face ‘harvest now, decrypt later’ quantum threat

IBIT’s heavy Bitcoin flows and rising institutional demand collide with growing “harvest now, decrypt later” fears and BMIC’s push for post-quantum wallet security.

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust recorded substantial daily trading volume, according to Nasdaq data, as digital asset security concerns related to quantum computing threats gain attention among institutional investors.

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The trading volume spike occurred without a corresponding price decline, a pattern market analysts characterize as a transfer of holdings from retail investors to institutional buyers, according to industry observers. The development suggests Bitcoin’s evolving role in institutional portfolios as a macro hedge asset.

The concentration of digital asset wealth through centralized issuers has raised concerns about vulnerabilities in current cryptographic standards. Elliptic Curve Cryptography (ECC), the encryption method protecting most cryptocurrency assets, faces potential obsolescence with advances in quantum computing technology, according to cybersecurity experts.

Security researchers have identified a threat vector known as “harvest now, decrypt later,” in which encrypted data is collected for future decryption once quantum computing capabilities mature. Nation-state actors are reportedly employing this strategy, according to cybersecurity analysts.

BMIC, a blockchain security project, has positioned itself to address quantum computing threats to cryptocurrency holdings. The project has raised undisclosed funds during its presale phase, according to company announcements.

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The protocol utilizes what the company describes as a “Quantum Meta-Cloud” and AI-enhanced threat detection systems designed to prevent public key exposure during transactions. Traditional cryptocurrency wallets reveal public keys when transactions are signed, creating potential vulnerabilities to future quantum algorithms, according to the project’s technical documentation.

BMIC’s architecture incorporates ERC-4337 Smart Accounts, a wallet standard that eliminates seed phrase requirements while implementing quantum-resistant cryptographic methods, according to the company. The platform offers quantum-secure staking options designed to generate yield without exposing private keys to network participants.

The project’s early funding stage has attracted capital from investors focused on blockchain infrastructure security, according to industry reports. Market observers note a growing focus on post-quantum cryptographic solutions as digital asset valuations increase.

Bitcoin’s market capitalization has reached approximately one trillion dollars, protected by cryptographic standards developed before quantum computing emerged as a practical threat. Protocols offering migration paths to post-quantum security standards may command market premiums as institutional adoption increases, according to blockchain analysts.

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The cryptocurrency industry faces pressure to upgrade security infrastructure as quantum computing technology advances. Traditional encryption methods protecting blockchain assets may require replacement with quantum-resistant alternatives within the coming decade, according to estimates from technology researchers.

Cryptocurrency investments carry inherent risks, and presale investments involve additional uncertainties. Investors should conduct independent research before making investment decisions.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Caught Between CME Gaps and New Macro Lows: Analysis

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Bitcoin Caught Between CME Gaps and New Macro Lows: Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) failed to hold $69,000 as the weekend began amid predictions of fresh macro lows next.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin faces a lack of acceptance above $69,000, while traders see new lows to come.

  • Analysis says that the rebound into the weekend was nothing more than a “relief rally.”

  • Two CME futures gaps provide potential targets for BTC price upside.

BTC price bottom “not in,” analysis warns

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action dropping more than $4,000 versus the daily open.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

With the old 2021 all-time high increasingly turning to resistance, already wary traders were in no mood for relief.

“TLDR: The $BTC bottom, is not in. My priority right now is capital preservation,” Keith Alan, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, warned X followers the day prior. 

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“If you’re thinking, ‘We’re so back,’ we’re not. There is literally no evidence of that yet.”

BTC/USDT order-book liquidity data with whale orders. Source: Keith Alan/X

Alan described the 2021 $69,000 highs as “important” within what he called the ongoing “relief rally.”

“$60k was a gift yesterday, but there’s a high probability that lower is likely before the Bull Market returns,” he continued.

Zooming out, trader and analyst Rekt Capital also had reason to believe that the worst of the bearish BTC price move was not over.

“Whenever Bitcoin peaks in its Bull Market in Q4 of the Post-Halving year… It tends to produce a multi-month Relief Rally from the Macro Triangle Base before breaking down from the Triangle to transition into Bearish Acceleration,” he wrote on X, comparing BTC/USD with the 2022 bear market.

“This is the 4th consecutive cycle that this historical tendency has continued. And history suggests there’s more downside to come.”

BTC/USD one-month chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

Bitcoin bulls bet on CME gap fills

Saturday’s retracement, meanwhile, left a new potential “gap” in CME Group’s Bitcoin futures market.

Related: Bitcoin beats FTX, COVID-19 crash with record dive below 200-day trend line

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A classic short-term price magnet, the gap joined another left at $84,000, and both were now of interest to traders eyeing a broader market relief move.

“Today: correction day. Tomorrow: back up again towards the CME gap. Next week: continuation to $75k+,” crypto trader, analyst and entrepreneur Michaël van de Poppe forecast.

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BTC/USDT four-hour chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Samson Mow, CEO of Bitcoin adoption company JAN3, included the higher CME gap as one of two questions that “every financial analyst should be asking themselves.”

The other topic revolved around the ability of large-scale corporate buyers to add BTC to their treasuries at current 15-month lows.

“I believe the answers are not for long and very soon,” he concluded.