On 11 June, the ECB is holding the second day of its Governing Council meeting. The interest rate decision will be announced at 14:15 CET, followed by a press conference by Christine Lagarde at 14:45 CET. Markets are focused on the possibility of a 25-basis-point rate increase to 2.25%.

The case for further tightening is supported by accelerating inflation in the euro area, driven in part by higher energy prices resulting from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. At its 30 April meeting, the ECB paused its policy cycle but indicated that June would be an important point for reassessing the outlook. Labour market resilience and signs of second-round inflation effects have strengthened the arguments in favour of tighter policy. The tone of the press conference could shape market expectations for interest rates through the remainder of the year.

Technical Picture

Following a peak near 1.2000 in January, EUR/USD formed a downward move towards the March lows around 1.1400 on the daily chart. An ascending trendline drawn from the March lows is currently being tested from above, with price attempting to break below it.

At the same time, the pair is trading beneath the lower boundary of the current volume profile at 1.1620, which may indicate increasing selling pressure in this area. Should the price remain below the trendline, the next downside reference point could be the green support level around 1.1450.

The red resistance zone is located near 1.1850. If the market reverses higher and manages to overcome both the point of control (POC) at 1.1720 and the upper boundary of the profile at 1.1790, this area could become the next target for buyers.

RSI + MAs currently shows readings of 35, 41 and 44. All three lines remain below the neutral 50 level, while the moving averages continue to point lower.

Key Takeaways

The outcome of the ECB press conference on 11 June may determine whether the current attempt to break the corrective trend develops into a sustained move or ends with a return to the point of control (POC) area. For now, RSI + MAs remains firmly in bearish territory.

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Bitcoin BTC$62,691.92 has lost buyers on two fronts.

The exodus from spot ETFs as a catalyst for the recent bitcoin price swoon is well documented. Less discussed is the equally steep drop in buying by digital asset treasuries, or firms whose core business is accumulating bitcoin as a treasury asset.

“As BTC broke down from the mid-$70Ks toward $60K, net inflows from corporate treasury firms fell sharply, with daily purchases slowing to a fraction of their recent pace,” analysts at Glassnode said in the latest market update.

“While companies remain net buyers overall, the decline in accumulation suggests this cohort is becoming more cautious, removing another source of marginal demand at a time when broader market sentiment remains weak,” they said.

The green and red bars show the dollar value of daily net purchases by digital asset firms since June 2025, smoothed using a seven-day moving average.

The DAT demand has pretty much evaporated this month, down significantly from multiple instances of over $500 million in daily accumulation observed through April and May.

That partly explains BTC’s quick slide from $74,000 to under $60,000 last week.

Some analysts believe the sell-off was mainly catalyzed by Strategy, the world’s largest publicly listed BTC holder, disclosing that it sold 32 BTC in the final week of May. The firm, however, returned to the market during last week’s sell-off, snapping up BTC worth around $100 million. But that failed to keep prices from falling below $60,000.

As of writing, bitcoin changed hands at around $62,500.

The U.S.-listed spot ETFs remain another major headwind, continuing to bleed capital and reducing the odds of a sustained price rebound. On Wednesday, the 11 funds posted an outflow of $213.85 million, according to SoSoValue. Total redemptions have exceeded $5.72 billion since the second week of May.

Advisers to some of the largest financial institutions are taking more of an interest in stablecoins and tokenization than in Bitcoin, which could help pull crypto out of its current slump, said Bitwise investment chief Matt Hougan.

Hougan said in a note on Wednesday that he recently spoke with more than 40 advisers who were “still interested in crypto” but are “more interested today in stablecoins and tokenization than they are in Bitcoin.”

“It was pretty hard to engage with advisors on Bitcoin this week,” he said. “In call after call, they expressed much more curiosity over the real-world applications of crypto that are quickly reshaping everything from capital markets to global payments.”

Stablecoins and tokenization have recently captured the interest of Wall Street, as Bitcoin (BTC) has struggled to maintain momentum, trading down almost 30% so far this year to $62,500.

Stablecoin issuer Circle saw a buzzy initial public offering in June 2025, with its stock quickly rallying to a peak of $240 from its debut price of $31. It has since struggled amid a wider rout in crypto stocks, closing at just under $79 on Wednesday.

Tokenization is also set for a boost as the US Securities and Exchange Commission is reportedly planning to allow tokenized stock trading, which could give traditional investors confidence and spur investment.

“It’s hard to turn on CNBC and not hear someone like SEC Chair Paul Atkins or Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon or BlackRock CEO Larry Fink talking about stablecoins and tokenization,” Hougan said. “Investors want to be a part of that.”

Matt Hougan, pictured appearing on a podcast in January, says advisers are becoming less interested in Bitcoin. Source: YouTube

He said interest in the technologies could be what pulls crypto into a bull market, which has historically been triggered by “new product breakthroughs and new types of investors.”

Related: Bitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads

The “best hope,” according to Hougan, is that financial advisors and institutional investors make up the new crypto investment class, and their money is likely to flow into stablecoin and tokenization investments.

He said Ethereum, Solana, Canton, Chainlink and Avalanche were mentioned during his conversations, along with trading platform Hyperliquid and crypto companies Figure, Circle and Coinbase.

Coinbase and other crypto exchanges have been expanding into business lines beyond crypto trading in a bid to capitalize on investor interest in blockchain-linked services.

Many exchanges have begun to offer tokenized stocks, albeit outside of the US, which have grown in popularity as investors seek to gain exposure to popular stocks and intensely-hyped public offerings, such as SpaceX’s planned debut on Friday.

Magazine: Does ‘Paper Bitcoin’ mean there’s an unlimited supply of BTC?

The British pound is maintaining a cautious tone following a period of elevated volatility, with market participants now focused on key upcoming UK economic data releases. Both GBP/USD and GBP/JPY are consolidating near important technical levels as investors await macroeconomic indicators that could provide clearer signals on the outlook for the UK economy and the Bank of England’s next policy moves.

The main event later this week will be the release of UK GDP data for April. Forecasts suggest the economy may contract by 0.1% month-on-month, following a 0.3% expansion in the previous month. At the same time, figures for industrial production, manufacturing output, construction activity, and the trade balance will also be published. Weaker-than-expected data could reinforce expectations of further Bank of England easing and put additional pressure on sterling, while stronger readings may support the currency and trigger a fresh wave of demand.

GBP/USD

From a technical perspective, GBP/USD remains in a consolidation phase following its recent decline. After bouncing from support at 1.3300, a bullish piercing candlestick pattern formed on the daily chart, with potential follow-through towards 1.3420–1.3480. A sustained break below 1.3300, however, could extend the downside move towards the April lows in the 1.3220–1.3180 area.

Key events for GBP/USD:

• Today at 13:00 (GMT+3): Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) in the UK;
• Today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US Producer Price Index (PPI);
• Today at 19:00 (GMT+3): US Department of Agriculture (USDA) World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report.

GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY is also trading in a consolidation range near important resistance levels. The pair continues to find support from persistent yen weakness, although the lack of a decisive breakout above recent highs suggests caution among buyers. Strong UK data could prompt another attempt to extend gains towards the 215.60–216.30 area. Conversely, a break below 214.20 may open the way towards 213.30–213.00.

Key events for GBP/JPY:

• Tomorrow at 07:30 (GMT+3): Japan industrial production;
• Tomorrow at 09:00 (GMT+3): UK gross domestic product (GDP);
• Tomorrow at 09:00 (GMT+3): UK manufacturing output.

Overall, sterling is approaching a key juncture where its next direction will largely depend on the state of the UK economy. Upcoming GDP, industrial production, and trade balance data could act as the main short-term drivers for GBP/USD and GBP/JPY. Ahead of these releases, markets are likely to remain cautious, with consolidation near current levels remaining the dominant scenario.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

Key Takeaways

• May’s annual Consumer Price Index climbed to 4.2%, marking the steepest increase in three years, with energy costs surging 3.9%.
• Bitcoin has plummeted 36% year-to-date, currently hovering around $62,000—approximately 51% beneath its record peak.
• President Trump expressed enthusiasm for the inflation figures despite gasoline prices reaching $4.15 per gallon.
• Financial markets now assign more than 70% probability to a Federal Reserve interest rate increase by year-end 2026, typically negative for cryptocurrency markets.
• Market experts believe institutional capital will remain on the sidelines until inflation demonstrates consistent downward momentum.

The United States recorded its steepest inflation increase in three years during May, sending ripples of concern through cryptocurrency markets as analysts warn of prolonged headwinds for digital assets.

The Consumer Price Index registered a 4.2% annual increase, propelled primarily by escalating energy expenditures. Pump prices nationwide now average $4.15 per gallon, representing a substantial jump from $2.98 recorded prior to the February military operations involving the US and Israel against Iran.

Energy sector inflation accelerated 3.9% during May alone, extending a pattern that has elevated crude oil valuations since military confrontations disrupted critical supply corridors adjacent to the Strait of Hormuz.

The monthly CPI measurement advanced 0.5%, following April’s 0.6% acceleration. Inflation-adjusted wages declined 0.1% for consecutive months.

When questioned about the economic indicators, President Trump informed journalists he “loves” the current inflation trajectory. He projected oil valuations would retreat following resolution of the Iranian conflict.

Implications for Bitcoin Markets

Bitcoin has endured a challenging 2026. Values have contracted 36% since January, with current trading levels near $62,000. This positions the cryptocurrency roughly 51% below its historical apex exceeding $126,000.

Market strategists argue the inflation statistics eliminate any Federal Reserve incentive for monetary easing. The central bank has maintained its current rate structure since December 2025. CME FedWatch projections indicate a 98.4% probability of unchanged rates at the June 17 policy meeting.

Nevertheless, over 70% of market observers now anticipate at least one rate elevation before 2026 concludes. Elevated interest rates typically bolster the dollar and government bond yields, redirecting investment capital from non-yielding assets like Bitcoin.

“We maintain our assessment that prevailing macroeconomic conditions represent persistent obstacles for Bitcoin,” stated Markus Thielen from 10x Research. He emphasized that institutional investors will probably defer increased allocations until inflation establishes an unmistakable downward trajectory.

Iggy Ioppe, serving as chief investment officer at Theo, characterized the CPI release as reinforcing the Fed’s “cautious, data-dependent” posture with “no urgency to reduce rates.” He observed that liquidity forecasts remain constrained while risk assets respond primarily to positioning dynamics rather than fundamental catalysts.

Precious Metals Face Similar Challenges

Gold hasn’t escaped unscathed either. The precious metal has retreated 23% from its January zenith.

Ioppe highlighted that real yields continue elevated, increasing the opportunity cost associated with gold ownership since the commodity generates no income stream. Absent anticipated rate reductions, this headwind appears persistent.

Tim Sun, senior researcher at HashKey Group, acknowledged escalating rate hike speculation while noting the actual probability of monetary tightening this year remains comparatively modest.

“Risk appetite will only genuinely reverse when inflation subsides, rate cuts materialize, and liquidity conditions improve alongside reduced capital expenses,” Sun explained.

Thielen additionally highlighted continuing vulnerabilities stemming from the Iran situation. He suggested oil supply interruptions could intensify throughout summer months, amplifying upward inflation pressures.

He characterized Bitcoin as “remaining vulnerable” with a decline beneath $60,000 appearing progressively probable in the immediate term.

Newly appointed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh assumes leadership of a central bank confronting ascending prices and deteriorating real income levels. Should the June 17 policy meeting signal forthcoming monetary tightening, analysts anticipate Bitcoin’s challenging period will persist.

TLDR:

• Gate’s TradFi volume grew from near zero to a widening share of total activity through early 2026.
• Spot trading on Gate compressed from ~35% in early 2025 to low double digits as TradFi expanded.
• Gold and silver instruments, including XAU and XAUT, now lead Gate’s TradFi volume by category.
• Equity exposure on Gate spans Nvidia, Tesla, and crypto-linked names via USDT-based fractional access.

Crypto-native investors are quietly gaining exposure to stocks and metals through their existing exchange accounts. Data from Gate shows a structural change in how users are building multi-asset positions. 

TradFi instruments, once a negligible slice of overall volume, now represent a visible and growing share of activity in 2026. Metals and equities are drawing sustained participation across multiple market cycles.

Gate’s TradFi Volume Signals a Multi-Asset Shift Among Crypto Users

Futures still dominate Gate’s order book, holding around 80% of total volume. But the composition beneath that headline figure has shifted. 

Spot trading compressed from roughly 35% of volume in early 2025 to low double digits. The gap was filled by TradFi instruments, which grew from near zero to a consistent and expanding band.

CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ flagged this pattern in recent data. The TradFi slice has gone through several sharp expansion phases. 

Each time, activity pulled back but settled at levels materially above where it started. That pattern rules out a one-time launch spike.

Users are returning to these markets repeatedly. The driver appears to be macro conditions. When equities, commodities, or monetary policy narratives generate stronger signals than crypto, traders are pivoting within the same platform.

Gate’s infrastructure makes that pivot frictionless. USDT-based access, fractional trading, and real U.S. stock exposure allow users to reposition without transferring capital to a separate brokerage.

Metals Lead TradFi Demand as Equities Build a Strategic Foothold

Gold and silver instruments are generating the majority of Gate’s TradFi volume. Tickers including XAU, XAG, and XAUT account for the bulk of metals activity. 

Demand for these instruments reflects a broader search for defensive positioning and macro hedges during periods of crypto uncertainty.

Oil remains a relatively small portion of TradFi volume. Equities represent a lower share overall but carry notable strategic weight. 

According to CryptoQuant data, activity is spread across technology, AI, and crypto-linked names. Nvidia, Tesla, Circle, and Coinbase-related instruments are among the tickers seeing consistent traffic.

Volume across equities remains sensitive to news events. But the spread across multiple tickers signals more than reactive trading. 

Crypto users are building familiarity with stock exposure on a venue they already use.

MorenoDV_’s analysis frames this as a behavioral evolution rather than a product novelty. Investors are not stepping back from risk. They are expanding the range of instruments through which they express it.

Key Takeaways

• BTC is currently hovering around its 200-week moving average, a threshold typically observed during bear market conclusions
• Market sentiment has plummeted to 9 on the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, signaling “extreme fear”
• According to CryptoQuant analysis, Bitcoin’s realized price of $53,600 represents a possible structural floor
• May’s US CPI data showed 4.2% annual inflation, the steepest increase since early 2023, weighing on crypto assets
• Futures markets indicate renewed interest, with open interest on BTC contracts climbing nearly 2% to reach $45.71 billion

Bitcoin finds itself trading at a price point rarely witnessed outside of severe bear market conditions. As of Thursday’s session, BTC was exchanging hands between $62,150 and $62,623, reflecting a modest daily gain of approximately 2%, though still registering weekly losses.

Earlier this week, the leading cryptocurrency momentarily dipped beneath the $60,000 threshold — marking its first visit to this zone since 2024.

Data from blockchain analytics provider Checkonchain reveals that BTC has descended to levels approaching its 200-week moving average. This positioning effectively places Bitcoin within the lowest 10% of its entire historical price spectrum.

Bear market bottoms are a process, not an event.

First, price-sensitive investors capitulate. Then comes the harder phase: months of sideways action that slowly wear down the conviction of those who remain.

In our latest newsletter piece, @_Checkmatey_ examines the evidence… pic.twitter.com/ReSQFfqi5R

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— _Checkonchain (@_checkonchain) June 10, 2026

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index currently registers at 9 out of a possible 100 points. This represents a decline from the previous week’s reading of 11 and a dramatic drop from last month’s 48.

According to information shared by Wu Blockchain citing CryptoQuant research, the analytics platform identifies Bitcoin’s probable floor near the $53,600 mark, which aligns with its present realized price. Julio Moreno, CryptoQuant’s research director, indicated that this realized price represents “a level that would confirm a bottom” based on historical patterns, while cautioning that it remains merely a “valuation bottom candidate” rather than a verified cycle trough.

CryptoQuant Sees Bitcoin’s Potential Bottom Near $53,600

CryptoQuant said Bitcoin’s potential bottom may be near $53,600, its current realized price, though research head Julio Moreno stressed this is only a “valuation bottom candidate,” not a confirmed cycle bottom. The firm… pic.twitter.com/2CO0ROpDJ5

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— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) June 11, 2026

Moreno emphasized that genuine market recovery necessitates a “constructive demand recovery, a condition not yet visible in the data.” Recent CryptoQuant metrics indicate aggregate demand decreased by 652,000 BTC during the past week, while 30-day ETF demand growth contracted to -74,000 BTC.

Institutional Flight and Macroeconomic Headwinds

United States consumer price indices advanced 4.2% on an annual basis throughout May, representing the most rapid acceleration since the beginning of 2023. Elevated energy expenditures connected to US-Iran geopolitical tensions contributed to headline inflation growth, although core CPI figures arrived below analyst projections.

BREAKING: May CPI inflation rises to 4.2%, the highest level since April 2023.

Core CPI inflation also rises to 2.9%, the highest since September 2025.

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Inflation in the US is officially back above 4% and more than double the Fed’s target.

Odds of Fed rate hikes are rising.

— The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) June 10, 2026

Wirex Head of Trading Yves Renno observed that Polymarket probability estimates for US Clarity Act passage in 2026 fell from 62% to 48% over the current week. He identified the upcoming June 16–17 FOMC meeting as pivotal, suggesting Bitcoin could either rally toward the $68,000–$72,000 corridor or collapse beneath $60,000 based on Federal Reserve messaging.

Exchange-traded fund outflows continue exerting downward pressure. Unprecedented net redemptions have withdrawn institutional capital from Bitcoin investment vehicles throughout multiple consecutive trading sessions.

Blockchain Metrics and Futures Market Dynamics

Market cycle specialist Benjamin Cowen maintains that Bitcoin’s four-year pattern remains unbroken and projects a probable bottom formation around October. He emphasized that Bitcoin is presently rebounding from the 200-week moving average, while price action unfolds within the Fibonacci Golden Zone on weekly timeframes.

Additional market observers have identified the potential emergence of a double bottom configuration on daily charts, supported by substantial volume clusters within the current trading range.

Information from CoinGlass demonstrates that BTC futures open interest expanded nearly 2% across 24 hours, reaching $45.71 billion. CME, Binance, and OKX platforms each recorded open interest increases of 5%, 2%, and 4% respectively.

Glassnode’s latest assessment indicates that short-term holders face unrealized losses with accelerating realized loss velocity, while options markets continue factoring in heightened risk premiums.

As of Thursday’s close, BTC maintained trading activity near $62,150, with the wider cryptocurrency market registering marginal advances insufficient to offset this week’s declines.