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May Jobs Report Kills Rate Cut Hopes: Bitcoin And Gold Sold Off in Tandem

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A man in a suit speaking at an event with an orange background.

Bitcoin News: Bitcoin price is trading at $61,100 on Wednesday, down 3% over 24 hours and 6.9% on the week, as a blowout May jobs report pushed Fed rate hike odds higher and triggered a macro risk-off wave that hit every major hedge simultaneously.

Gold price fell 2% to below $4,200 an ounce. Both assets sold off in lockstep, the very scenario their proponents said couldn’t happen.

The catalyst is blunt: 172,000 non-farm payrolls in May versus a 130,000 consensus estimate, with April revised up to 214,000.

That data hardened the case for a rate cut delay into 2027 and forced markets to reprice the entire liquidity environment that floated crypto, gold, and equities through late 2025.

Discover: The Best Crypto to Diversify Your Portfolio

Bitcoin News: Is the Hedge Thesis Breaking? Rate Hike Expectations Drain Both Bitcoin and Gold

The causal chain is straightforward: a hotter-than-expected labor market eliminates the Fed’s rationale for easing, drives real yields higher, strengthens the dollar, and drains demand from non-yielding assets.

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Bitcoin and gold pay nothing. When rates are rising, the cost of opportunity becomes unbearable for institutional allocators.

The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 4.54% on Wednesday. Brent crude is trading near $92 a barrel, adding an inflationary wrinkle that makes the Fed’s calculus even harder.

New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh faces a direct binary at the FOMC June 2026 meeting on June 17–18: hold and signal structural reform, or hike and demonstrate inflation discipline.

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack has already warned the Fed “may need to act soon.”

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Wall Street Journal Fed correspondent Nick Timiraos framed it plainly on June 6, the labor market firmed up, and rate cuts aren’t coming back on the original timeline.

A man in a suit speaking at an event with an orange background.

Bitcoin ETF outflows have accelerated in parallel. Diana Pires, chief business officer at sFOX, put it directly: “Buyers have stepped in after the move lower, but spot demand has yet to return in a meaningful way.”

A record outflow streak in U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF products has kept institutional money sidelined, and Strategy’s first BTC sale since 2022 further eroded the dip-buyer narrative that anchored prices above $70,000 through mid-May.

Total Bitcoin Spot ETF Net Inflow / Source: SoSoValue

The broader market damage is severe. South Korea’s Kospi tumbled 6.3%, the MSCI Asia-Pacific gauge dropped 2.5% for its fourth loss in five sessions, and Nasdaq 100 futures pointed 0.8% lower.

More than $500 million in bearish bets were liquidated, the highest figure since April, confirming the recent bounce was a short squeeze, not fresh buying. Bitcoin’s brief rally near $62,500 failed to attract the sustained spot inflows needed to hold the level.

The gold correlation question is the sharpest one. Rolling 180-day correlations between bitcoin and gold have climbed toward 0.6, but CryptoQuant data has also recorded readings as low as –0.88 during the same cycle, illustrating how rapidly the relationship flips around macro shocks.

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If the June 17–18 FOMC produces a hold with dovish language, deeply oversold technicals could trigger a sharp bounce. If Warsh hikes or signals one is imminent, the structural support floor gets tested hard.

BTC Support at $60,000: $59,735 Double-Bottom or Deeper Breakdown?

BTC is sitting at $61,146 on the daily chart, and price has now broken below the February low which was the last major support level on this timeframe, putting Bitcoin at its lowest point since mid-2024.

That February low around $61,000 to $62,000 was the line that had to hold for the recovery narrative to remain intact, and losing it with this kind of momentum is a serious structural breakdown that changes the picture significantly.

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The next meaningful support is the $55,000 to $58,000 range from the mid-2024 pre-breakout accumulation zone, and that is now the target if current levels fail to stabilize.

The only marginal positive is that the sell-off from $84,000 has been steep and fast, the kind of move that can produce sharp relief bounces before any continuation, but bounces in this environment are likely to get sold rather than sustained.

Reclaiming $64,000 to $65,000 is the minimum needed to even begin stabilizing the chart, and $68,000 above that is the first level that would need to flip before recovery becomes a real conversation.

Right now, this chart is in breakdown mode, and the burden of proof is entirely on the bulls.

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The post May Jobs Report Kills Rate Cut Hopes: Bitcoin And Gold Sold Off in Tandem appeared first on Cryptonews.

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SpaceX (SPCX) Goes Public: Elon Musk Hits Trillion-Dollar Net Worth Milestone

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Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock (SPCX)

Key Takeaways

  • Trading under ticker SPCX, SpaceX shares jumped approximately 30% above the $135 IPO price on debut day
  • With $75 billion raised, the offering shattered Saudi Aramco’s previous IPO record from 2019
  • The public listing propelled Elon Musk’s net worth past $1 trillion, a historic first
  • Optimistic analysts view the company as an integrated AI and aerospace powerhouse; skeptics highlight the $4.94 billion 2025 loss
  • Corporate structure gives Musk 80–85% voting control, raising concerns among institutional investors

Space Exploration Technologies Corporation made its Nasdaq debut Friday trading under SPCX, with shares jumping roughly 30% from the initial public offering price of $135. Early indications placed the opening price near $175, catapulting the company’s market capitalization to roughly $2.29 trillion.

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock (SPCX)
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock (SPCX)

The public offering generated $75 billion in capital, establishing a new benchmark as the biggest IPO ever executed. This figure dwarfs the previous record holder, Saudi Aramco, which raised $26 billion five years ago.

From his location at Starbase in South Texas, Elon Musk participated in a ceremonial bell-ringing to commemorate the trading launch. According to Forbes calculations, the listing pushed Musk’s personal wealth beyond the $1 trillion threshold, establishing him as humanity’s first trillionaire.

SpaceX set the share price at $135 and issued 555.56 million shares to the public. Reports suggest retail investor demand exceeded $100 billion, while BlackRock submitted a single institutional purchase order worth $5 billion.

Breaking from convention, the aerospace company reserved 30% of available shares for individual retail investors, a rare allocation in offerings of this magnitude. Management also bypassed the standard roadshow presentations investment banks normally conduct to assess market appetite.

Core Business Operations

Established in 2002, the company’s stated objective centers on establishing human presence across multiple planets. The Starlink broadband internet system now provides connectivity to subscribers in 164 nations and generates approximately 60% of the firm’s $18.67 billion in 2025 revenues.

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According to company disclosures, SpaceX launches have represented over 80% of total orbital payload mass during the preceding three years. The Starlink network currently maintains service for around 10.3 million customers through a constellation comprising 9,600 active satellites.

Early in 2026, SpaceX finalized a combination with Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence venture xAI. Oppenheimer emerged as the first prominent financial institution to publish coverage, assigning an outperform recommendation with a $190 price objective. New Street Research established a 12-month valuation target at $165.

Goldman Sachs forecasts envision AI-related revenues potentially expanding 100-fold to reach $322 billion by 2030, though analysts acknowledge substantial uncertainty surrounding these projections.

Skeptical Perspectives

Critical voices question whether current valuations reflect fundamental economics. Morningstar assigned SpaceX an intrinsic value of merely $63 per share, characterizing the public offering as “significantly overvalued.” Finance professor Aswath Damodaran calculated enterprise value at $1.22 trillion, substantially below the IPO-implied valuation.

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Prominent short seller Jim Chanos declared the company doesn’t merit a $1.75 trillion valuation “based on any reasonable assumptions.” He observed SpaceX currently trades at approximately 90 times sales, contrasting sharply with Tesla’s 14 times multiple.

Financial statements reveal SpaceX recorded a $4.94 billion net loss during 2025, reversing the $791 million profit generated in 2024. The deficit followed the xAI combination. Revenues climbed 33% compared to the prior year.

Elon Musk maintains an estimated 80–85% of voting authority, substantially limiting public shareholder influence. Pension administrators in California and New York submitted correspondence opposing the offering’s governance framework, highlighting super-voting share classes and compulsory arbitration replacing traditional shareholder litigation rights.

S&P Global rejected requests to expedite SpaceX entry into the S&P 500 index, suggesting passive fund inflows may materialize more gradually than certain market participants anticipated. Nasdaq modified its regulations to permit accelerated inclusion in Nasdaq-affiliated index products, with qualification potentially occurring within 15 days following the listing.

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Exodus Adds 200+ Tokenized Stocks and ETFs Through Ondo

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Exodus Adds 200+ Tokenized Stocks and ETFs Through Ondo

Exodus has launched a marketplace for tokenized assets through a partnership with Ondo Finance, allowing eligible users to trade more than 200 tokenized stocks, ETFs and other real-world assets on Solana directly from the crypto wallet.

The company said Exodus Markets is available in select markets and that users can access the service by updating to the latest version of the app. Tokenized assets do not represent ownership of the underlying securities and do not provide shareholder rights, according to the announcement.

Cointelegraph contacted Exodus to determine which jurisdictions are eligible for Exodus Markets but had not received a response by the time of publication.

Founded in 2015, Exodus is a self-custody crypto wallet provider. RWA.xyz data shows tokenized Exodus shares account for more than $55 million in onchain value, placing them among the largest tokenized equities by market size.

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Top tokenized equities. Source: RWA.xyz

Ondo Finance is one of the largest issuers of tokenized real-world assets. According to RWA.xyz data, the company’s tokenized products hold about $2.7 billion in assets, led by its USDY and OUSG Treasury funds.

Related: TradFi advisers want stablecoins, tokenization over Bitcoin: Bitwise

xStocks leads growth in tokenized equities

The launch comes amid rapid growth in tokenized equities. According to RWA.xyz, the value of tokenized stocks has climbed to $3.5 billion, up more than 139% over the past 30 days, while the number of holders has increased 37% to roughly 357,000.

Much of that growth has been driven by xStocks, a tokenization platform backed by Kraken and issued by Backed Finance. Data shows the company accounts for approximately $2.5 billion in tokenized stock value, representing more than 69% of the sector after growing more than 500% over the past month.

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Source: RWA.xyz

Recently, the trend has expanded into pre-IPO markets, with crypto exchanges racing to offer tokenized exposure to SpaceX ahead of the company’s stock market debut on Friday.

Last week, Kraken announced that SpaceX would become the first company available through its xStocks IPO Access platform, allowing eligible users to trade tokenized shares backed 1:1 by the underlying stock. Days later, Bybit said it would also offer SpaceX through xStocks as the inaugural listing on its new tokenized equity platform.

Binance entered the market in May with a perpetual futures contract tied to SpaceX’s expected pre-IPO valuation, while Coinbase launched pre-IPO markets in June with a SpaceX-linked perpetual futures product for eligible users outside the United States.

Blockchain.com also rolled out a SpaceX-linked perpetual contract this month through its OTC desk as part of a new 24/7 institutional trading platform.

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SpaceX shares gained around 22% shortly after trading began on Friday, rising from an opening price of $135 to about $164 by midday, according to Yahoo Finance data.

Source: Yahoo Finance

However, Bybit announced on Friday that subscribers to its SpaceX IPO offering would receive refunds after xStocks failed to secure the underlying shares needed to fulfill allocations.

Source: Bybit

Magazine: Does ‘Paper Bitcoin’ mean there’s an unlimited supply of BTC?

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Bitcoin Core Developers Find Privacy Bug That Can Leak User IP Addresses

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Bitcoin Core Developers Find Privacy Bug That Can Leak User IP Addresses

Bitcoin Core developers have disclosed a privacy bug that can expose the very detail it was designed to hide, a user’s IP address. A fix will arrive in version 31.1.

The flaw sits in private broadcast, an optional feature added in version 31.0 this April. Developers published the warning on June 6.

How the Privacy Bug Backfires

Private broadcast sends transactions through Tor, an anonymity network famous for accessing the dark web, so recipients never learn where they originated. 

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However, the official advisory admits this promise can break.

The trouble begins when the software attempts an encrypted connection to another computer on the network. If that attempt fails, it quietly retries over a normal connection and skips Tor entirely. The recipient then sees the sender’s real IP address, and with it their approximate location.

Worse, attackers do not need luck. A hostile node can deliberately reject the encrypted handshake and force the revealing retry.

The risk is critical because Bitcoin’s ledger is public. Linking a transaction to an IP address can tie payments to a real person.

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Who is Affected and What to Do

The bug only touches people who run version 31.0 and switched the feature on. Everyday wallet transactions remain unaffected. Developers credit researcher Eugene Siegel with the discovery.

Meanwhile, markets barely flinched. Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $63,700, little changed over the past day. Developers now face the quieter job of repairing trust in Bitcoin privacy efforts.

Until version 31.1 ships, affected users should disable the feature or route all their traffic through Tor. The episode follows a recent transaction relay dispute and revives questions about who maintains Bitcoin Core.

The post Bitcoin Core Developers Find Privacy Bug That Can Leak User IP Addresses appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Tokenized RWAs Boom, Kraken SpaceX IPO & SBF Pardon Bid

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Tokenized RWAs Boom, Kraken SpaceX IPO & SBF Pardon Bid

Crypto prices have spent much of the year reacting to macro headlines and regulatory uncertainty, but tokenization has remained one of the industry’s few consistent growth stories. Active real-world assets are surging, banks are embracing blockchain infrastructure and tokenized equities are expanding into new markets.

That momentum was on full display this week as Kraken rolled out tokenized access to the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO, offering eligible users in more than 110 markets a chance to participate through xStocks.

Elsewhere, prediction markets surpassed onchain gambling for the first time, and former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried formally asked US President Donald Trump for a pardon.

Tokenized RWAs keep growing through crypto downturn

Tokenized RWAs continue to gain traction despite a weaker crypto market. According to Binance Research, the market for active tokenized RWAs has surged 589% since early 2025, with bonds and money market funds adding $6.5 billion in value while tokenized stocks jumped 422%.

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The sector is also becoming more diversified. Platforms such as Ondo Global Markets have fueled demand for tokenized equities, while tokenized precious metals gained $1.5 billion as investors sought safe-haven assets earlier this year. 

At the same time, traditional financial institutions are expanding their blockchain initiatives, from Apex Group’s tokenized fund services to The Clearing House’s planned tokenized deposit network, highlighting growing adoption beyond crypto-native companies.

RWA growth by asset. Source: Binance Research

SpaceX IPO gets tokenized

Crypto exchange Kraken gave eligible users in more than 110 markets access to the SpaceX IPO through xStocks, allowing investors to purchase tokenized shares of Elon Musk’s aerospace company ahead of its public debut. 

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According to Kraken, investors who received an allocation will be issued SPCXx, a tokenized representation backed 1:1 by the underlying equity and tradable 24/7 across participating platforms.

The launch comes as demand for tokenized equities continues to accelerate. SpaceX targeted a $75 billion raise in its Nasdaq debut, with the offering reportedly oversubscribed by roughly four times ahead of public trading, putting it on track to become the largest IPO in history.

Prediction markets surpass onchain gambling

Prediction markets surpassed onchain gambling for the first time in the first quarter of 2026, generating $36.6 billion in volume compared with gambling’s $14 billion, according to blockchain intelligence firm TRM Labs. The milestone comes after both sectors topped $50 billion in annual volume in 2025, underscoring their rapid growth.

Crypto gambling, however, hasn’t lost momentum. Quarterly wagering volume remained near record highs despite the broader market pullback, with TRM attributing the resilience to a loyal and expanding user base. While so-called high rollers – who averaged $13,558 per bet and $378,000 in lifetime gambling volume – still account for most betting volume, casual bettors and daily users are driving the fastest growth, broadening participation across the sector.

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Prediction markets eclipse onchain gambling for the first time. Source: TRM Labs

Sam Bankman-Fried seeks Trump pardon

Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried has formally applied for a presidential pardon from US President Donald Trump, adding another legal avenue to overturn his conviction in connection with the crypto exchange’s multibillion-dollar collapse. 

The request appears on the US Department of Justice Office of the Pardon Attorney’s list of pending clemency applications. The pardon bid comes as Bankman-Fried continues to appeal his 2023 fraud conviction and 25-year prison sentence after a separate request for a new trial was denied. 

In recent months, he has also posted a series of social media messages that appear increasingly aligned with Trump, despite the president previously saying he did not plan to pardon the former crypto executive.

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Sam Bankman-Fried’s pardon request. Source: Office of the Pardon Attorney

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The U.S. government is betting $2 Billion on quantum computing, and the defense side can’t keep up

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It might be too late for bitcoin’s quantum migration, Project Eleven report argues

This is why the most exposed institutional holders have been waiting. They are waiting for the coordination work to happen, which a research grant does not accomplish. The work needs an actor with the standing to convene the protocol communities, the custodians, and the regulators who must move together. No funded entity has taken on that role at the scale Bitcoin requires.

The geopolitical race

Government funding accelerated the offense. Every dollar that compounds into quantum hardware compresses the defense’s runway.

The day after the U.S. announcement, Emmanuel Macron committed €1 billion to France’s quantum strategy and called for Europe to “change the scale” of investment, naming the U.S. and China as its competitors.

China had already routed roughly $17.5 billion through three regional venture funds before the U.S. announcement landed; the U.S. move now gives Beijing the political cover to authorize another round. This is what a three-way industrial-policy race looks like, and it just compressed everyone’s planning horizon, whether they were ready or not.

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What has to happen now

A serious response begins with coordinated migration work, started before the offense capability matures, because the migration has a long tail, and the runway just got shorter.

What is different about the post-quantum case is the scale of the coordination challenge. Bitcoin is uniquely exposed: any address that has ever spent funds has its public key sitting onchain in the clear, forgeable the moment elliptic curve cryptography breaks, with no way to recall it.

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Tennessee man faces federal charges over alleged $1.9M crypto Ponzi scheme

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Tennessee man faces federal charges over alleged $1.9M crypto Ponzi scheme

Federal prosecutors have charged a Tennessee resident over an alleged cryptocurrency investment operation that authorities say misused investor funds.

Summary

  • Federal prosecutors charged Misam Abidi with operating an alleged crypto Ponzi scheme through Star Credit Holdings.
  • Authorities allege Abidi diverted more than $1.9 million of investor funds to himself and family members.
  • The indictment includes wire fraud, money laundering, unlicensed money transmission, and false tax return charges.

Court documents accuse the defendant of making false claims about returns, reserves, and assets under management. The Justice Department announced the charges on Friday and outlined allegations covering activity between 2020 and 2024.

Prosecutors detail alleged investment scheme

According to the U.S. Department of Justice, Misam M. Abidi, 47, of Nolensville, Tennessee, faces an 11-count federal indictment. Prosecutors allege he operated a crypto investment company called Star Credit Holdings. Authorities claim he attracted investors through promises of high returns and claims about financial protections. 

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The indictment states that Abidi represented the company as managing more capital than it actually controlled. Prosecutors say investors from multiple states provided funds to the operation. Court filings allege that Abidi used investor money for purposes unrelated to legitimate trading activities. 

Prosecutors claim he paid earlier participants with funds received from newer investors. The indictment describes that structure as a Ponzi-style operation. Authorities also allege he directed investor funds toward personal expenses. According to prosecutors, more than $1.9 million went to Abidi and members of his family.

Authorities cite loans and tax allegations

Federal prosecutors also accuse Abidi of helping investors obtain personal loans. According to the indictment, those loans provided additional funds for Star Credit Holdings. Authorities claim Abidi encouraged investors to borrow money in their own names. Prosecutors further allege he submitted false information connected to at least one loan application. Court documents state that one affidavit falsely claimed an investor’s identity had been stolen.

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The indictment also includes allegations tied to federal tax filings. Prosecutors claim Abidi failed to report income connected to the investment operation. Authorities allege those omissions resulted in false tax returns. Federal investigators included tax-related offenses among the listed criminal counts. The charges remain allegations unless proven in court.

U.S. Attorney D. Michael Dunavant addressed the case in a public statement. “Ponzi schemes, cryptocurrency scams, and financial fraud can be devastating to individual investors,” Dunavant said. He added that such conduct can harm financial institutions and the U.S. Treasury. Dunavant also praised federal agencies involved in the investigation. He stated that prosecutors would pursue financial fraud cases throughout the district.

The indictment lists multiple federal offenses

The federal indictment includes several criminal counts. Prosecutors charged Abidi with wire fraud and money laundering offenses. Authorities also charged him with operating an unlicensed money-transmitting business. The indictment further includes counts related to false tax return preparation. Each charge carries separate penalties under federal law. 

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Federal investigators have not announced a trial date. Court proceedings will continue in the coming months. If a jury convicts Abidi on all counts, he could face decades in federal prison. The Justice Department announced the indictment on Friday as the latest development in the case.

This offense comes at a time when US lawmakers are trying to cope with crime. As it was reported by crypto.news, bipartisan lawmakers have introduced the Federal Cryptocurrency Theft Enforcement and Coordination Act. The bill would create a federal task force led by the attorney general and involving the DOJ, FBI, Homeland Security, and Treasury.

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Bitcoin Bottom Debate: Standard Chartered and Galaxy Agree on Just One Thing

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Bitcoin price chart showing the June drop to $59,000 and recovery above $63,000, alt text

Standard Chartered says the Bitcoin (BTC) bottom is in at $59,000, while Galaxy Research argues the true low remains months away. However, both firms now reject the brutal 80% collapse that closed every previous market cycle.

Geoffrey Kendrick of Standard Chartered made his call in a Friday client note. Meanwhile, Galaxy’s Alex Thorn released a data-heavy cycle study this week arguing for patience.

Bitcoin price chart showing the June drop to $59,000 and recovery above $63,000, alt text
Bitcoin price chart showing the June drop to $59,000 and recovery above $63,000, alt text “Bitcoin bottom debate”, Source: BeInCrypto]

Standard Chartered Calls the Bitcoin Bottom at $59,000

Kendrick, the bank’s global head of digital asset research, said the slide to $59,000 marked this cycle’s low. That level sits 53% below October’s $126,000 all-time high.

“I think we have now seen the low in crypto asset prices for the cycle. That would be USD59k for BTC (53% down from USD126k high)… Winter is over. Welcome back to crypto Spring,” Kendrick wrote in the note to clients.

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

Two catalysts support his view. President Trump canceled planned strikes on Iran on Thursday and said a deal could be signed within days, before the June 15-17 G7 summit in Evian.

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A truce could end the oil rally that pushed Treasury yields higher and punished risk assets.

SpaceX’s record $75 billion listing, the largest in history, is the second. Kendrick argued some ETF holders sold fund shares to free up cash for Friday’s Nasdaq debut.

Indeed, US spot Bitcoin ETFs lost roughly $4.3 billion across the record ETF outflow streak of 13 straight sessions.

Spot Bitcoin ETF Flows
Spot Bitcoin ETF Flows. Source: SoSoValue

Notably, the $59,000 turn sits above Kendrick’s own February forecast of a capitulation near $50,000, which he framed as a buy level for a $100,000 year-end target.

BTC traded near $63,854 as of this writing.

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Galaxy Sees the Floor Closer to $40,000

Thorn, Galaxy’s head of firmwide research, reached the opposite conclusion. He said the four-year cycle is compressing, and that compression changes where the floor sits.

Galaxy anchored its thesis to the Bitcoin halvings that cut new supply every four years. It found that only four of the 13 signals that marked every prior bottom have triggered.

Moreover, the current 51% decline remains far milder than the 77% to 85% drops that ended past cycles.

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Timing matters too. Past bottoms arrived 12 to 13 months after each top, and this cycle sits just eight months past its October peak.

Consequently, Galaxy’s base case puts the floor between $40,000 and $46,000, arriving by late 2026. That timing echoes separate calls for a bottom in October 2026.

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

“A calmer top has raised the floor, but it has not removed it,” read an excerpt in the Galaxy report.

The report also warns the floor itself can fall if a real panic emerges.

Where the Two Forecasts Meet

Despite the disagreement, both firms say the four-year cycle remains intact, just gentler. Galaxy’s data shows each bear market has grown shallower, shrinking from 85% to 84% to 77% across three cycles.

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Market structure explains why.

Galaxy notes the aggregate cost basis of holders sits at 43.7% of the prior peak, versus roughly a third in earlier cycles.

Therefore, a classic capitulation would end at a much higher dollar price today.

ETF demand and corporate treasuries support that elevated cost basis. In contrast, retail-driven cycles produced the deep washouts of 2015, 2018, and 2022.

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The coming days offer a quick test. Standard Chartered wants Friday ETF inflows, lower oil prices, and proof that Strategy’s 32 BTC sale was a one-off.

Those signals may show which forecast cracks first.

The post Bitcoin Bottom Debate: Standard Chartered and Galaxy Agree on Just One Thing appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Will Bitcoin’s 200-Week Moving Average Ruin the BTC Price Comeback?

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Will Bitcoin's 200-Week Moving Average Ruin the BTC Price Comeback?

Bitcoin (BTC) hit $64,000 after Friday’s Wall Street open while analysis warned of “unreliable” BTC price support.

Key points:

  • Bitcoin hits local highs during the US trading session as US-Iran peace hopes offer modest risk-asset relief.
  • SpaceX looks set to launch the largest IPO ever witnessed,
  • BTC price concerns linger over the ability of a key trend line to hold as support.

Crypto, risk assets “shrug off” inflation headwinds

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD retaining gains as crypto and risk-asset markets surfed mixed signals over a US-Iran peace deal.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

At the time of writing, there was no official information about whether a deal would go ahead, with US President Donald Trump rebutting details from the Iranian side. 

“What they said, including their weak and pathetic statement on having a deal, bears no relation to the truth,” he wrote in his latest post on Truth Social.

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Source: Truth Social

Stocks opted to tread water at the US open on the day that SpaceX launched the biggest initial public offering (IPO) in history. Shares were slated to debut at $170 — $45 above the initial IPO price.

In a fresh analysis, trading resource Mosaic Asset Company said that markets now faced a combination of a strong labor market and high inflation.

“While equity markets seemed to shrug off inflation fears and the impact to valuations and monetary policy, better economic data is giving the average stock a reason to rally,” it summarized in its latest Mosaic Chart Alerts update. 

“While some of the air is being released from the massive rally in AI infrastructure stocks, laggards off the late March lows are turning up recently.”

S&P 500 chart data. Source: Mosaic Asset Company

As Cointelegraph reported, this week’s US inflation data set new multi-year records on the back of the US-Iran war and its impact on oil prices.

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BTC price 200-week trend line in focus

While Bitcoin saw new local highs near $64,000, market participants remained highly cautious on the outlook.

Related: Bitcoin miner ‘capitulation’ comes as trader sees later 2026 bear-market bottom

Trader and analyst Rekt Capital was suspicious of a long-term trend line holding up price — the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) at $62,025.

“Bitcoin is currently treating the 200-week SMA as support. But this SMA has historically proven to be an unreliable support, with price breaking down from it over time,” he warned X followers.

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BTC/USD one-week chart with 200SMA. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Rekt Capital saw additional friction coming from the fact that BTC/USD had dropped below old all-time highs from 2021.

“This deviation below old All Time Highs for Bitcoin tends to take months to fully develop to ultimately form a Bear Market bottom,” he commented.

“Though Bitcoin has deviated -14% below old ATHs thus far, this process is still technically ongoing and will be for a while.”

BTC/USD one-month chart. Source: Rekt Capital/X

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Will Pi Network price hit a ATL as a risky pattern forms?

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Pi Network token unlock schedule showing over 144 million PI set for release in the next 30 days.

Pi Network price has recovered from its recent record low, but a developing bearish continuation pattern and another wave of token unlocks have kept the risk of a fresh all-time low firmly in focus.

Summary

  • Pi Network faces fresh downside risk as a descending triangle forms near key support at $0.124.
  • More than 144 million PI tokens are scheduled to unlock over the next 30 days, keeping supply pressure elevated.
  • Bulls must reclaim $0.130 and break above $0.145 to reduce the risk of a new all-time low.

According to crypto.news data, Pi Network (PI) traded near $0.128 on June 12 after rebounding from its June 6 low around $0.119. The token gained roughly 1.8% over the past 24 hours as Bitcoin climbed more than 2% and the total cryptocurrency market capitalization rose to $2.18 trillion.

Improved risk appetite followed reports that President Donald Trump halted planned U.S. airstrikes against Iran, while traders also reacted to SpaceX’s public market debut and its reported Bitcoin holdings.

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June 18 has emerged as the next major catalyst for the ecosystem. The Pi Core Team has required all Mainnet node operators to complete the Protocol 25 upgrade by that date, warning that nodes that fail to upgrade may be disconnected from the network.

The upgrade introduces compatibility with Stellar Core V20 and lays the groundwork for Soroban smart contracts, a development many holders view as a step toward DeFi and tokenization use cases within the Pi ecosystem.

Exchange flows have started to improve despite the weak price trend. Recent wallet data showed 579,018 PI leaving tracked centralized exchanges against inflows of 319,304 PI, resulting in net outflows of 259,714 tokens.

Exchange balances stood at roughly 546.4 million PI, while most major trading venues, including OKX, Bitget, MEXC, Gate.io, LBank, and Kraken, recorded negative daily flows.

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Reduced exchange balances can ease immediate selling pressure, although the effect remains limited by the network’s unlock schedule.

Fresh supply continues to enter circulation at a rapid pace. Pi unlock data shows that approximately 144.45 million PI tokens will be released over the next 30 days, representing about 2.33% of locked supply. Average daily unlocks stand near 4.8 million tokens, while June 12 alone is scheduled to see more than 14.8 million PI unlocked, the largest single-day release during the period.

Pi Network token unlock schedule showing over 144 million PI set for release in the next 30 days.
Source: PiScan

Thin liquidity has amplified the impact of those releases. Daily trading activity remains relatively modest compared with the size of incoming supply, leaving the token vulnerable to selling from early miners and users completing KYC verification and Mainnet migration.

Previous unlock waves coincided with accelerated declines as newly available tokens entered exchange wallets.

Descending triangle keeps pressure on key support

The four-hour chart shows PI forming an inverse cup-and-handle pattern after its recovery from the June 6 low near $0.119. Price climbed toward $0.132 before losing momentum and carving out a downward-sloping handle beneath resistance. The structure places key support between $0.124 and $0.125.

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Pi Network price has formed an inverse cup-and-handle pattern on the 4-hour chart.
Pi Network price has formed an inverse cup-and-handle pattern on the 4-hour chart — June 12 | Source: crypto.news

A breakdown below that zone would confirm the bearish continuation pattern and expose the measured target near $0.116. Such a move would place the June all-time low back under pressure and could open the door to another leg lower if sellers regain control.

The daily chart presents a similar picture. PI remains trapped beneath a descending trendline that has controlled price action since early May. The token also continues to trade below its Supertrend resistance near $0.146, while a former support area around $0.130 has turned into overhead resistance.

Pi Network price daily chart.
Pi Network price daily chart — June 12 | Source: crypto.news

Momentum indicators have yet to deliver a convincing bullish reversal. The MACD remains below the zero line despite some improvement in histogram readings, while price continues to print a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. Stochastic RSI on the four-hour timeframe has climbed into overbought territory, raising the possibility of another short-term pullback.

Token unlocks and macro risks threaten the recovery

Macro conditions remain another source of uncertainty. Pi’s latest rebound arrived alongside a recovery in Bitcoin and risk assets, but any reversal in crypto sentiment could quickly revive selling pressure across smaller-cap tokens.

Large altcoins continue to trade near critical support levels, and leveraged crypto markets remain sensitive to geopolitical headlines and Federal Reserve policy expectations.

For Pi Network, bulls must reclaim $0.130 and then break above the descending trendline near $0.145 to invalidate the current bearish structure. A successful breakout would also put the Supertrend resistance at risk and improve the odds of a move toward $0.18.

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Until then, the combination of persistent token unlocks, weak long-term trend structure, and a developing bearish pattern leaves PI vulnerable to another breakdown.

A decisive move below $0.124 would increase the probability of a retest of $0.119 and could open the door to a fresh all-time low below the June bottom.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Sam Bankman-Fried Loses Appeal as Trump Pardon Bid Continues

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Sam Bankman-Fried Loses Appeal as Trump Pardon Bid Continues

Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried failed to overturn his fraud conviction and 25-year prison sentence tied to the collapse of FTX after a three-judge appeals panel rejected his bid for relief.

The unanimous ruling by the 2nd US Circuit Court of Appeals in Manhattan, New York, found that the government’s case against Bankman-Fried was, in the court’s words, “conservatively stated, robust,” according to Reuters.

Source: Toby Cunningham

“While he ‌was publicly reassuring customers, investors and regulators ‌that FTX customer funds were safe, he was simultaneously using FTX as his own personal piggy bank, spending customer funds ⁠on real estate, ⁠political contributions, and investments,” wrote Circuit Judge Barrington Parker.

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The decision comes as Bankman-Fried pursues another avenue to challenge his conviction. As Cointelegraph recently reported, he has formally applied for a presidential pardon from US President Donald Trump, with the request appearing on the US Department of Justice Office of the Pardon Attorney website in early June.

Bankman-Fried was sentenced to 25 years in prison in 2024 after being convicted on fraud and conspiracy charges stemming from the multibillion-dollar collapse of FTX.

Related: Sam Bankman-Fried ramps up Trump support following Ellison’s release

Bankman-Fried’s pardon bid faces long odds

In a recent interview with Fox Business, Bankman-Fried said he was “absolutely” seeking a presidential pardon from Donald Trump. However, the former FTX CEO does not appear to have much support from the president. 

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Trump told The New York Times in January that he had no plans to pardon Bankman-Fried. A White House spokesperson also declined to comment on the clemency request, referring Bloomberg last week to the president’s earlier remarks.

Still, Trump has shown a willingness to grant high-profile pardons, including one for Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht shortly after returning to office.

Ulbricht operated the dark web marketplace Silk Road, which used Bitcoin as a primary payment method. He was serving two life sentences plus 40 years before Trump pardoned him in January 2025.

Related: FTX law firm Fenwick & West to pay $54M to victims in settlement

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