Bitcoin (BTC) traders have placed new buy orders near $70,000 as the price approaches a key liquidity zone. Order-book data shows more than $500 million in bid liquidity between $72,000 and $70,000, creating a demand zone that could shape BTC’s next move.

BTC buy bids form key support zone

Data from CoinGlass shows dip buyers have placed 6,235 BTC in bid liquidity between $72,000 and $70,000. At current prices, the buy orders are worth roughly $443 million.

The largest cluster sits directly above $70,000, where buyers are positioned to absorb the current selling pressure. Bid liquidity refers to limit buy orders waiting below the market price. When price trades into those orders, it can slow a decline and trigger a sharp rebound if demand absorbs available BTC supply.

BTC/USD, one-day chart, buy liquidity analysis. Source: Velo chart

Below $70,000, the next notable pocket of demand sits at $68,505, where traders have placed another 1,012 BTC worth approximately $69 million. Outside that level, the order book thins considerably, with few visible bids below $68,500.

Meanwhile, liquidation heatmap data shows about $2 billion in cumulative long positions at risk near $70,000, compared to more than $5 billion in short positions around $78,000. Once BTC taps the bid cluster near $70,000, the larger liquidity pool may trigger a sharp rebound toward overhead liquidation zones. 

BTC liquidation map. Source: CoinGlass

Related: Bitcoin falls out of the global top 10 assets as market cap dips below $1.5T

RSI hits three-month low as daily BTC trend turns bearish

Bitcoin’s daily trend turned bearish after losing support at $74,800, confirming a pattern of lower highs and lower lows. The price is trading inside a descending channel and is currently testing support near the lower boundary around $72,000–$73,000.

The relative strength index (RSI) has fallen to roughly 33, its lowest level since Feb. 24. Momentum has stayed below the neutral 50 level throughout the recent decline, suggesting sellers still control the short-term price action.

BTC/USD, one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Crypto trader Ardi outlined a similar view. The analyst said the $74,500–$75,500 region now acts as resistance across multiple time frames. A rejection from that area could keep focus on the $71,500 region, while a move through channel resistance near $76,000 may challenge the ongoing downtrend.

Options markets show investors have also been preparing for a move toward $70,000. According to Glassnode, traders spent nearly $10 million on put options with a $70,000 strike during the recent dip. 

Put options rise in value when prices fall, making them a common hedge against downside risk. Recent flows show some easing in that protection demand as traders lock in profits, though the concentration of hedging activity highlights how closely the market is watching the $70,000 level.

BTC options market analysis at $70,000. Source: Glassnode/X

Related: Bitcoin’s major holders halt buys as demand slows: CryptoQuant

The U.S. derivatives watchdog is edging crypto markets closer to a 24/7 trading model, signaling a more permissive posture toward crypto-based derivatives. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) issued an order granting Kalshi approval to list Bitcoin perpetual futures tied to the spot price, while also granting Coinbase a no-action position for similar BTC-based contracts. The moves come as the agency weighs how prediction markets and traditional futures frameworks can coexist with rapidly evolving digital assets.

The CFTC’s Friday notice confirms Kalshi’s BTCPERP perpetual futures contract, designed to track Bitcoin’s spot price and settle accordingly. The regulator emphasized that the approval rested on Kalshi’s representations about the contract’s terms, the underlying market, and compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act and the Commission’s core principles for designated contract markets. In parallel, Coinbase was granted a no-action stance for its own BTC perpetual futures, underscoring a willingness to explore crypto derivatives within a regulated framework.

Paul Grewal, Coinbase’s chief legal officer, described the decision as a “massive first for the industry” in a post on X, noting the broader trend toward more permissive access to crypto derivatives. Coinbase previously expanded into perpetual futures for non-U.S. traders in March, broadening the reach of crypto derivatives on mainstream trading venues.

The agency didn’t stop at Kalshi and Coinbase. In a separate notice, the CFTC contrasted the suitability of 24/7 trading for crypto-based derivatives with more traditional markets, like agriculture, where 24/7 activity may be less appropriate given regional customer bases and other market dynamics. The regulator highlighted that derivatives referencing crypto assets may be well-suited for around-the-clock trading due to their digital infrastructure and global reach. At the same time, it signaled a cautious stance on applying 24/7 models uniformly across all asset classes.

Industry echoes of that sentiment arrived from other corners of the market. CME Group has signaled intent to offer 24/7 crypto futures trading, subject to regulatory review, signaling that a broader ecosystem shift toward continuous trading could be on the horizon.

Key takeaways

• Kalshi wins approval for BTCPERP: The CFTC approved a Bitcoin perpetual futures contract on Kalshi’s prediction-market platform, marking a notable step toward exchange-like crypto derivatives on the regulatory map.
• Coinbase receives no-action relief: The exchange can explore BTC perpetual futures under the agency’s current stance, signaling growing U.S. legitimacy for retail crypto derivatives.
• 24/7 trading under scrutiny: The CFTC separately underscored that crypto derivatives may be better suited to around-the-clock trading than some traditional markets, while acknowledging not all asset classes share this feature.
• Regulatory and market dynamics: The developments occur amid ongoing regulatory repositioning and broader industry moves toward 24/7 crypto trading, including CME Group’s potential entry into the space.
• Political context: The evolving framework unfolds alongside political commentary on CFTC authority and jurisdiction over prediction markets, with nominations for commissioners still outstanding.

Kalshi’s BTCPERP: a milestone for prediction markets meeting crypto futures

The CFTC’s approval of BTCPERP places Kalshi at a unique crossroads between prediction markets and crypto derivatives. By tying a perpetual contract to Bitcoin’s spot price, Kalshi offers a mechanism for participants to speculate on crypto prices without owning the underlying asset. The regulator’s decision rested on Kalshi’s representations about contract terms, market structure, and compliance with applicable laws and core principles for designated contract markets. This move positions Kalshi as a platform that could operate with a more derivatives-exchange-like footprint within the U.S. regulatory framework.

As Kalshi moves forward, market participants will be watching how liquidity, margining, and settlement mechanics evolve in a framework that combines elements of prediction markets with perpetual futures dynamics. The BTCPERP contract promises to unlock new hedging and speculation avenues for both retail and institutional users who want continuous exposure to Bitcoin’s price movements.

Coinbase’s no-action stance: signaling incremental openness for U.S. crypto rails

Coinbase’s no-action relief, paired with Kalshi’s approval, signals a cautious but notable expansion of permissible crypto derivatives in the United States. The decision aligns with Coinbase’s broader strategy to offer perpetual futures products to diverse client bases while navigating the regulatory environment. Paul Grewal hailed the development as a turning point for the industry, underscoring the potential for regulated, 24/7 access to crypto derivatives on mainstream platforms. This follows Coinbase’s March rollout of stock perpetual futures for non-U.S. traders, illustrating a broader push into continuous, instrument-driven trading outside traditional stock markets.

24/7 trading: regulatory nuance, market implications

The CFTC’s second notice clarifies that the suitability of around-the-clock trading for derivatives is not universal. Crypto assets, with their digital infrastructure and global reach, may be well-suited to 24/7 trading, the agency contends. Traditional markets—such as agricultural commodities—pose distinct considerations tied to regional customer bases and physical delivery dynamics, which may complicate non-stop trading schemes. The nuanced stance suggests regulators are weighing the benefits of continuous liquidity and accessibility against the risks of around-the-clock activity in more service-heavy or regionally segmented markets.

Beyond Kalshi and Coinbase, the broader market is watching CME Group’s public statements about 24/7 crypto futures trading as an indicator of where the mainstream exchange ecosystem might converge. Pending regulatory review, the industry could see a broader rollout of continuous trading across multiple venues, potentially reshaping liquidity, risk management, and price discovery for crypto derivatives in the United States.

Regulatory context and political backdrop

The regulatory narrative surrounding crypto derivatives remains active. In parallel to these developments, U.S. President Donald Trump publicly supported the CFTC’s authority over prediction markets in a social media post, reflecting ongoing debates about jurisdiction and enforcement. The CFTC chair, Michael Selig, remains the sole commissioner in a five-member panel, with no announced nominations to fill the other seats as of Friday. The political and regulatory dynamics suggest continued scrutiny and potential shifts as more platforms seek to offer crypto-based derivatives under a U.S. regulatory umbrella.

As the year unfolds, observers will be monitoring how these approvals translate into real-world activity: Will Kalshi’s BTCPERP attract meaningful liquidity? How will Coinbase’s no-action status influence retail adoption and platform competition? And what further clarifications will regulators provide on the contours of 24/7 crypto trading versus traditional markets?

In the meantime, the market should brace for continued evolution in the U.S. framework for crypto derivatives, with investors and traders watching for further platform approvals, margin and settlement standards, and any forthcoming policy guidance that could redefine the boundaries of permissible crypto exposure on national exchanges.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has approved Kalshi to launch the first federally regulated Bitcoin perpetual futures contract in the United States, opening a new path for crypto derivatives trading onshore.

According to a CFTC announcement released Friday, Kalshi received approval to list and trade a Bitcoin-referenced perpetual futures contract under the ticker BTCPERP. The regulator said the approval requires the exchange to maintain the product in compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act and other applicable regulations.

The decision gives U.S. traders access to a type of crypto derivative that has largely been offered through offshore venues.

Unlike traditional futures contracts, perpetual futures do not expire, allowing traders to keep positions open indefinitely while speculating on the future price of an asset.

Kalshi chief executive Tarek Mansour said in a statement published on the company’s website that the launch represents the firm’s next step beyond prediction markets and into regulated derivatives trading. Mansour said federally regulated perpetual futures could improve risk management and capital allocation for U.S. businesses.

The approval comes as Kalshi continues to expand its role in financial markets while facing multiple regulatory and political battles linked to prediction markets.

The approval opens a regulated U.S. market for Bitcoin perpetual futures

For years, perpetual futures have become one of the most heavily traded products in global crypto markets, particularly on exchanges operating outside the United States. Their popularity stems from the ability to gain leveraged exposure to Bitcoin and other digital assets without dealing with contract expiration dates.

Alongside Kalshi’s approval, the CFTC issued a no-action letter to Coinbase on Friday covering certain perpetual futures products the exchange plans to offer through its Coinbase Financial Markets subsidiary.

According to the regulator, those contracts will be routed through Coinbase Bermuda and treated as foreign futures products. The no-action relief allows Coinbase Financial Markets to accept digital assets, including Bitcoin, Ether, and stablecoins, as margin collateral for eligible customers.

The CFTC’s twin announcements arrived days after President Donald Trump highlighted crypto perpetuals in a May 28 Truth Social post. Trump argued that previous regulators had pushed Bitcoin, crypto perpetuals, and innovation offshore before his administration reversed that trend.

“Gary Gensler and the “Anti-Crypto Army” nearly DESTROYED the American Crypto Industry by driving Bitcoin, Crypto Perpetuals, and INNOVATION offshore, but “TRUMP” SAVED IT.”

While perpetual futures can offer traders substantial gains from relatively small market moves, industry participants have long noted that leverage can also amplify losses during periods of volatility.

Kalshi expands beyond prediction markets amid regulatory disputes

The Bitcoin perpetuals approval lands during a period of rapid growth and heightened scrutiny for Kalshi’s business.

Earlier this month, the company filed a federal lawsuit against Minnesota seeking to block a state law that would prohibit prediction market platforms from operating in the state beginning Aug. 1.

Kalshi argued in its complaint that the Commodity Exchange Act grants the CFTC exclusive jurisdiction over event contracts and that Minnesota’s law improperly interferes with federally regulated exchanges.

The legal challenge followed a separate lawsuit filed by the CFTC against Minnesota. As previously reported by crypto.news, the regulator described the state’s legislation as one of the most aggressive attempts by a state government to restrict federally regulated prediction markets.

At the same time, Kalshi has increased its policy engagement efforts through Americans for Fair Markets, a newly launched advocacy group backed by the company. The organization, which counts former White House deputy chief of staff Taylor Budowich as a strategic advisor, said it plans to advocate for federal policies affecting prediction markets and regulated exchanges.

According to the group, its priorities include know-your-customer requirements, insider trading prohibitions, full CFTC funding, and restrictions on contracts related to war, death, terrorism, and assassination.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission has greenlit the nation’s first bitcoin perpetual futures contract on a regulated exchange, marking a watershed moment for domestic crypto derivatives trading.

The CFTC announced Friday it had approved an unnamed regulated exchange to list and trade bitcoin perpetual futures contracts, ending the offshore monopoly on these high-volume derivatives instruments. The approval follows months of signals from CFTC leadership that the agency would move aggressively to onshore crypto perpetuals, which allow traders to speculate on Bitcoin (BTC) price movements indefinitely without expiration dates.

“Having true perpetual contracts in the United States is a major step forward in delivering on President Trump’s goal of cementing America as the crypto capital of the world,” CFTC Chairman Mike Selig wrote in an opinion piece published Friday at CoinDesk. Selig argued the contracts represent “a foundational risk management and price discovery tool in the global crypto asset markets”.

Regulatory Shift Under Trump Administration

The announcement comes days after President Donald Trump posted on social media that the previous administration “nearly DESTROYED the American Crypto Industry by driving Bitcoin, Crypto Perpetuals, and INNOVATION offshore, but ‘TRUMP’ SAVED IT”. Selig echoed this sentiment in March, stating he aimed to repair damage that “drove a lot of these firms and the liquidity offshore”.

Perpetual futures contracts differ from traditional futures by having no expiration date, allowing positions to remain open indefinitely through a funding rate mechanism that keeps contract prices aligned with spot prices. These instruments have dominated offshore crypto trading since 2016, with perpetuals accounting for over 70% of centralized exchange volume. In 2025, perpetual futures trading volume reached $61.7 trillion, up 29% from 2024.

Kalshi and Polymarket Race for Market Share

While the CFTC did not identify which exchange received approval, prediction market platform Kalshi had announced plans to launch cryptocurrency perpetual futures in April, with co-founder Luana Lopes Lara celebrating regulatory progress since December 2024. Kalshi secured a CFTC margin trading license and scheduled an April 27 launch event in New York City for its perpetual futures product, internally codenamed “Timeless”.

The platform planned to offer at least 10x leverage on Bitcoin and other assets, with U.S. dollar collateral at launch and Bitcoin trading to follow. Rival platform Polymarket also entered the perpetual futures market in April, intensifying competition for the lucrative derivatives sector.

Selig wrote Friday that the CFTC’s approach would “limit excessive leverage, volatility and systemic risk”. The announcement carries weight as agency guidance rather than formal rulemaking, meaning future CFTC leadership could reverse the policy without congressional action. The shift aligns with broader CFTC regulatory changes under the Trump administration, including joint SEC-CFTC coordination on crypto asset taxonomy and expanded tokenized collateral frameworks.

Crypto.com and OG Prediction Markets have signed a multi year global partnership with the United States SailGP Team, ahead of this week’s New York Sail Grand Prix, bringing CFTC regulated prediction markets directly into elite foiling yacht racing for the first time.

With the New York Sail Grand Prix set to light up the city’s harbor this weekend, the U.S. SailGP Team has named Crypto.com and its OG Prediction Markets platform as Global Partners, tying a top tier U.S. sailing franchise to a CFTC regulated crypto backed prediction venue.

Under the multi year deal, Crypto.com becomes the team’s Official Crypto Exchange while OG is designated Official Prediction Market Partner, with both brands to appear on the American F50 catamaran, race kit and team environments at SailGP regattas worldwide.

“Crypto.com has always backed those who compete at the highest level — and the U.S. SailGP Team is exactly that,” said Steve Humenik, EVP and Global Head of Legal for Prediction and Capital Markets at Crypto.com. “The OG Prediction Markets partnership reflects our long term commitment to a diverse offering of sports prediction markets, including highly technical and data driven sports like SailGP,” he added, arguing that the tie up helps make “the U.S. the Prediction Markets Capital of the World.”

The deal gives OG a highly visible entry point into a league that is already positioning itself as “Formula 1 on the water,” with 50 foot foiling catamarans capable of speeds above 60 mph racing across iconic global venues and beaming data to broadcasters in real time. SailGP says its tracking systems capture hundreds of data points per second per boat, a rich stream that underpins live odds making and now, through OG, fan facing prediction markets linked directly to U.S. team performance.

“Having Crypto.com and OG Prediction Markets commit to a multi year Global Partnership is a tremendous statement of confidence in where the U.S. SailGP Team and this league are heading,” said Mike Buckley, Team Principal, CEO and Co Owner of the U.S. SailGP Team. Buckley called the agreement “monumental,” stressing that “the ability for fans to engage with our races through OG’s prediction platform is just the beginning of what we’ll build together.”

For Crypto.com, the SailGP partnership extends a push beyond conventional spot trading into derivatives and event contracts, following the February rollout of OG as a social prediction app where the first one million users can earn up to $500 in rewards for trading real world outcomes. It also builds on the exchange’s growing sports sponsorship portfolio and could help drive volume in regulated event markets that some analysts see evolving into a multibillion dollar asset class.

Crypto.com’s native token cronos is currently tracked on the Crypto.com market cap page, alongside major assets like bitcoin and ethereum, underscoring how deeply the exchange is embedded in both trading and fan facing products. In a previous crypto.com launch report, the company framed OG as a way for sports fans to “act on uncertainty, capitalize on the future, and celebrate triumph” in a regulated environment.

Prediction markets are also gaining traction elsewhere in crypto, with platforms like Polymarket continuing to prove that trading on probabilities can double as a powerful information aggregator. In a related crypto.news feature, OG was cast as Crypto.com’s bid to bring that model into a regulated U.S. framework, marrying trading mechanics with social leaderboards and sports obsessed communities.

As the new livery hits the water in New York and co branded campaigns roll out across digital channels, both sides are betting that SailGP’s high speed, data heavy format can turn sailing into fertile ground for prediction market adoption. Whether fans treat OG’s contracts more like trading or like wagering, the partnership signals that the line between sports betting, derivatives and crypto native prediction markets is getting thinner with each new deal.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is charting a more explicit path for crypto derivatives, approving a Bitcoin-backed perpetual futures product on Kalshi’s prediction-market platform while granting Coinbase a no-action interpretation for similar instruments. The moves, paired with the agency’s broader commentary on 24/7 trading in crypto markets, underscore a regulatory shift toward allowing regulated crypto derivatives while maintaining guardrails to manage risk, compliance, and market integrity.

In a Friday notice, the CFTC approved perpetual futures contracts tied to the spot price of Bitcoin for Kalshi’s platform. Kalshi simultaneously announced that it would launch the perpetual futures on its platform, aligning its product line more closely with a traditional derivatives venue. The Commission’s order reflects an individualized assessment of Kalshi’s request and the BTCPERP contract’s terms, the nature of the underlying market, and Kalshi’s compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act and the Commission’s regulations, including the Core Principles applicable to designated contract markets.

The perpetual futures would enable users on Kalshi’s platform—and potentially on other compliant venues—to speculate on Bitcoin price movements without taking ownership of the asset itself. The CFTC’s no-action position for Coinbase, paired with formal approval for Kalshi, signals a cautious openness to crypto derivatives while emphasizing the need for robust oversight and product design that conforms to U.S. law and regulatory standards.

Coinbase chief legal officer Paul Grewal described the development as a “massive first for the industry” in a post on X, highlighting the regulatory milestone for a segment seeking broader access to continuous trading. The broader industry context includes Coinbase’s recent expansion of stock perpetual futures for non-U.S. traders, illustrating how major exchanges are pursuing 24/7 exposure to price movements through regulated channels.

The Kalshi approval and Coinbase’s no-action relief sit within a broader regulatory framework that the CFTC has been actively developing around digital-asset derivatives. The elements of the Kalshi order—its terms and adherence to core market-principle requirements—are presented as a model for how crypto-based perpetual futures might be structured within U.S. oversight, while the Coinbase relief demonstrates that the agency is not granting blanket permission but evaluating products on a case-by-case basis.

Kalshi’s BTCPERP: CFTC approval and contract design

The CFTC’s action centers on a perpetual futures contract designed to track Bitcoin’s spot price, offered on Kalshi’s platform as a derivatives-like product within a prediction-market framework. The agency’s documentation emphasizes that the approval rests on Kalshi’s representations and submissions detailing the BTCPERP contract’s terms, the mechanics of the underlying market, and Kalshi’s compliance with the Commodity Exchange Act and related regulations, including the core principles applicable to designated contract markets.

Per the regulator’s description, the BTCPERP product would function without the need for the trader to own or borrow actual Bitcoin, a structure typical of perpetual futures designed to provide synthetic exposure to price movements. The decision also reflects the Commission’s effort to distinguish crypto-linked derivatives from other asset classes that may pose different risk profiles or regulatory considerations. The Kalshi development thus marks a concrete step in integrating crypto-native exposure into a regulated, exchange-like framework for market participants seeking structured, rule-based exposure to digital-asset prices.

For Kalshi, the milestone is more than a new product approval; it signals a potential pathway for more complex, exchange-like features within prediction markets and crypto markets that rely on transparent price discovery, reliable clearing, and enforceable settlement. The commission’s emphasis on process and compliance highlights a regulatory preference for products whose terms and market mechanics align with traditional design principles, even when the underlying asset is a digital commodity like Bitcoin.

Coinbase no-action relief vs Kalshi approval: Regulatory nuance

In parallel with Kalshi’s approval, the CFTC issued a no-action letter relating to Coinbase’s planned BTC perpetual futures. A no-action position allows a regulated entity to pursue a particular activity without the agency taking enforcement action, provided that the firm adheres to conditions designed to address investor protection and market integrity. This stands in contrast to Kalshi’s formal approval as a designated contract market, illustrating the spectrum of regulatory outcomes the CFTC utilizes for crypto derivatives.

The practical effect is that Coinbase can potentially offer or list perpetual futures referencing crypto assets under the terms outlined in the agency’s relief, while Kalshi progresses under a full-approval framework with explicit design and market-structure requirements. The distinction matters for market participants in terms of legal certainty, risk management, and compliance planning, particularly for institutions seeking clear regulatory footing before committing capital or establishing clearing arrangements.

The contrast also highlights ongoing regulatory calibration around product features, custody, settlement mechanics, and compliance regimes. While the CFTC has shown willingness to adapt to crypto-dominated trading and clearing infrastructures, it continues to ground approvals in demonstrable adherence to oversight standards, including risk controls, disclosure, and the ability to withstand market stress scenarios.

In the wake of these actions, industry participants and observers are watching how such products will integrate with existing market structures, including how they might interact with banking relationships, liquidity provision, and cross-border activity. The pair of actions underscores a nuanced, case-by-case approach, rather than a broad green light for crypto derivatives, and reinforces the need for robust risk-management frameworks and regulatory alignment for any firm seeking to operate these products at scale.

Regulatory stance on 24/7 trading and market structure

The CFTC separately reinforced a calibrated view on 24/7 trading for crypto derivatives, distinguishing crypto markets from other traditional asset classes where a 24/7 model may be less appropriate. The agency stated that derivatives referencing crypto assets may be well-suited for around-the-clock trading due to digital infrastructure, global reach, and the nonstop nature of crypto price discovery. Conversely, markets such as agricultural commodities may be less compatible with a 24/7 regime, given their regional bases, customer profiles, and physical-commodity considerations that influence settlement and risk management.

Industry participants have highlighted the potential benefits of 24/7 access, including tighter price discovery and more consistent liquidity during global trading hours. However, the new guidance also implies heightened attention to clearing, margining, custody, and regulatory oversight to ensure that continuous trading does not undermine investor protection or market integrity. The CME Group’s public signaling of 24/7 crypto futures trading, albeit subject to regulatory review, further indicates a shifting market architecture where continuous trading could become a baseline expectation for crypto derivatives, contingent on satisfying scrutiny from U.S. authorities.

These regulatory distinctions bear practical implications for exchanges, market-makers, and institutional investors. 24/7 access raises questions about risk controls, governance, and the monitoring of cross-border flows and settlement cycles. As U.S. regulators weigh these models, the balancing act remains: enable regulated, transparent access to crypto derivatives while maintaining robust oversight to prevent disclosures, manipulation, and systemic risk.

Jurisdiction, enforcement posture, and political signaling

Beyond product-specific decisions, the regulatory landscape for crypto derivatives intersects with questions of jurisdiction, enforcement, and governance. In a public thread, President Donald Trump highlighted support for the CFTC’s asserted authority over prediction markets, a stance echoing ongoing litigation at the state level that seeks to curb or ban certain platforms. The discussion underscores the broader policy tensions surrounding who governs complex financial innovations—federal regulators, state authorities, or a combination of both—and how such jurisdictional questions shape market access and consumer protections.

Meanwhile, Michael Selig—the CFTC chair and sole commissioner at the time—has framed the agency’s jurisdiction as central to maintaining a consistent federal standard for crypto-related markets. As of the latest update, no nominations had been announced to fill the remaining seats on the five-member commission, a dynamic that can influence regulatory agility and the pace of decision-making as the agency navigates evolving market structures. These political and institutional factors matter for market participants because they shape the durability of regulatory commitments and the likelihood of further rulemaking, enforcement actions, or new product approvals in the crypto derivatives space. According to Cointelegraph, the Trump post reflected a push for continued CFTC authority, while Selig remained the single sitting commissioner with potential implications for governance and strategic direction.

The combination of a formal approval for Kalshi, a favorable no-action pathway for Coinbase, and a recognized potential for 24/7 crypto trading within a regulated framework points to a regulatory strategy that seeks to balance innovation with oversight. For exchanges, custodians, and liquidity providers, the evolving posture necessitates enhanced compliance programs, clear product disclosures, and rigorous risk controls aligned with the CFTC’s expectations for market integrity and consumer protection.

Closing perspective

Taken together, the latest CFTC actions illustrate a measured experimental phase for U.S. crypto derivatives: approvals and reliefs are being granted on a case-by-case basis, anchored by explicit regulatory principles and ongoing oversight. As the market structure for crypto assets evolves—potentially toward 24/7 trading, regulated clearing, and more transparent pricing—market participants should monitor regulatory filings, enforcement signals, and policy developments that could redefine licensing, supervision, and cross-border activity in this rapidly changing landscape.

Beyond attacking the process that put him behind bars, Alex Mashinsky is now trying to recast Celsius’ collapse as an FTX‑driven hit job, even though he already confessed to manipulating CEL himself.

Beyond attacking the process that led to his conviction, Mashinsky is trying to recast the story of Celsius’ collapse by pinning much of the blame on FTX and its former chief executive Sam Bankman Fried.

In materials submitted to the court, he accuses Bankman Fried of attempting to “destroy Celsius” and claims that market manipulation of the CEL token was orchestrated out of FTX, not by Celsius insiders.

In December 2024, Mashinsky pleaded guilty in the Southern District of New York to one count of commodities fraud and one count of securities fraud, admitting that he “illicitly manipulated the price of CEL, Celsius’s proprietary crypto token, while he was secretly selling his own CEL token at artificially inflated prices.”

By May 2025, Judge John G. Koeltl sentenced him to 12 years in prison, three years of supervised release and forfeiture of more than $48 million in criminal proceeds, one of the stiffest penalties to emerge from the 2022 crypto lending implosions.

According to the U.S. Attorney’s Office, Mashinsky misled customers between 2018 and 2022 by portraying Celsius as a safe “bank of the crypto industry” while putting user funds into risky, largely undisclosed strategies and simultaneously pumping CEL.

That conduct ultimately left users unable to access around $4.7 billion in deposits when Celsius froze withdrawals and collapsed, a shortfall later reflected in a $4.72 billion judgment the Federal Trade Commission obtained against Mashinsky personally.

In April 2026, a federal court approved an FTC order permanently banning him from crypto and broader financial services and imposing a $4.72 billion monetary judgment, with only $10 million actually payable so long as it is satisfied through his existing Department of Justice forfeiture obligations.

Cohen Pavon walks with time served as cooperation pays

Mashinsky’s motion also leans on his fractured relationship with former Celsius Chief Revenue Officer Roni Cohen Pavon, whom he now accuses of attempting a “hostile takeover” of the company.

He has gone as far as to publicly release text messages with Cohen Pavon to bolster that narrative, even though the former executive turned government cooperator and was a key witness against him.

What remains unclear is whether any judge will give credence to his new FTX centric theory of the case, or whether Mashinsky’s latest move will simply be remembered as a last ditch bid by a once celebrated crypto lender to claw back a narrative already cemented in guilty pleas, regulatory bans and billions in documented user losses.