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Analysts Favor AMD Momentum Over Intel Turnaround Bet

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Oil Prices Plunge Below $95 as US-Iran Ceasefire Sparks Relief

NEW YORK — As investors weigh opportunities in the semiconductor sector amid the ongoing artificial intelligence boom, Advanced Micro Devices and Intel present contrasting profiles heading into the second half of 2026. AMD has delivered stronger execution and revenue growth in data centers, while Intel pursues an ambitious manufacturing turnaround supported by government backing.

Recent market performance highlights the divergence. Intel shares have surged dramatically year-to-date, climbing more than 220% in 2026 at points, reaching highs near $133 before pulling back. AMD stock has also posted substantial gains, trading around $500-$518 in late May with strong momentum from AI accelerator demand.

AMD reported first-quarter 2026 revenue of $10.25 billion, up 38% year-over-year, driven by a 57% increase in data center revenue. The company benefits from its fabless model, relying on partners like TSMC, which has enabled high gross margins around 55% and rapid product cycles.

Intel, by contrast, continues its IDM 2.0 strategy, investing heavily in foundry operations and advanced process nodes like 18A. While the company has shown signs of recovery with recent quarterly beats, it faces higher execution risks and ongoing foundry losses as it builds out domestic manufacturing capacity.

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Market Positions and AI Exposure

Both companies compete fiercely in CPUs and are expanding into AI accelerators, but their approaches differ. AMD’s Instinct MI series GPUs and EPYC processors have gained traction with hyperscalers, including major deals such as multi-gigawatt commitments. Its upcoming MI350 and MI400 chips position it as a credible alternative in the AI infrastructure buildout.

Intel leverages its broad portfolio, including Xeon processors and Gaudi accelerators, while emphasizing U.S.-based production. The company has secured some policy support through the CHIPS Act, but analysts note slower progress in reclaiming data center share compared to AMD’s gains.

Valuation metrics reflect these dynamics. AMD trades at elevated multiples, around 50-60 times forward earnings in recent assessments, pricing in continued strong growth. Intel’s valuation has expanded with its stock run but offers a different risk-reward profile as a potential turnaround story.

Analyst Views and Consensus

Wall Street leans toward AMD for its execution consistency and clearer near-term growth path. Many analysts rate AMD as a Buy with price targets reflecting optimism around AI demand. Intel receives more mixed ratings, with several firms viewing it as a Hold amid foundry uncertainties.

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Recent comparisons suggest AMD holds advantages in profitability and market share gains in key segments. However, Intel’s recent stock surge demonstrates investor bets on its long-term potential, particularly if it successfully validates its advanced nodes with external customers.

Factors favoring AMD include diversified AI exposure across CPUs, GPUs and adaptive computing, along with strong free cash flow generation. Risks center on dependence on TSMC capacity and intense competition from Nvidia in accelerators.

For Intel, strengths lie in its integrated manufacturing ambitions and potential for margin recovery. Challenges include high capital expenditures and the need to prove competitiveness in AI against faster-moving rivals.

Broader Semiconductor Landscape

The AI boom continues driving sector-wide gains, with demand for high-performance computing chips remaining robust. Both AMD and Intel benefit from this tailwind, but execution separates leaders. Broader chip indices have rallied, though some analysts caution about valuations after significant 2026 runs.

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Global factors such as U.S.-China trade dynamics and supply chain resilience influence decisions. AMD’s fabless approach offers flexibility but geopolitical exposure, while Intel’s domestic focus aligns with policy priorities.

Investment Considerations for 2026

Investors evaluating which stock to buy should consider time horizon and risk tolerance. AMD appeals to those seeking growth with demonstrated momentum in AI infrastructure. Its consistent revenue beats and product roadmap provide visibility, though the premium valuation leaves less margin for error.

Intel suits contrarian investors betting on a multi-year turnaround. Recent operational improvements and government support offer upside, but the path involves higher uncertainty around profitability timelines and competitive positioning.

Portfolio allocation often favors diversification. Many market participants hold both, balancing AMD’s near-term strengths with Intel’s potential recovery. Dollar-cost averaging strategies help manage volatility in this sector.

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Key metrics to monitor include quarterly data center revenue, gross margins, and progress on new product launches. For Intel, external foundry customer wins would serve as major validation. For AMD, sustained share gains against competitors remain critical.

Risks and Market Outlook

Semiconductor stocks face cyclical risks, including potential slowdowns in AI spending or macroeconomic pressures. Geopolitical tensions could disrupt supply chains, affecting both companies differently based on their manufacturing strategies.

Valuation compression remains a concern after strong 2026 gains. AMD’s higher multiples make it more sensitive to any growth misses, while Intel’s recovery narrative could falter if foundry investments fail to yield expected returns.

Longer term, the shift toward agentic AI and advanced computing favors companies with robust innovation pipelines. Both AMD and Intel invest heavily in research, but AMD has translated investments into faster market share gains recently.

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Strategic Takeaways

The choice between Intel and AMD in 2026 ultimately depends on investor conviction in execution versus turnaround potential. AMD currently leads on most fundamental growth metrics and analyst preference for near-term performance. Intel offers asymmetric upside for those patient with its manufacturing bet.

Neither represents a guaranteed winner in the competitive chip industry. Success hinges on technological breakthroughs, customer adoption and efficient capital allocation amid rapid AI evolution.

As the year progresses, quarterly results will provide clearer signals. Investors should track earnings calls for updates on AI deals, process node advancements and margin trends.

The semiconductor sector’s importance to technological progress ensures ongoing attention. For those building positions, thorough due diligence on each company’s strategy, balance sheet and competitive positioning remains essential.

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Market conditions can shift quickly, making regular reassessment important. Professional financial advice tailored to individual circumstances is recommended before making investment decisions in volatile sectors like semiconductors.

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SoftBank Vision Fund CFO to leave company after a decade, Reuters reports

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SoftBank Vision Fund CFO to leave company after a decade, Reuters reports

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Asia stocks mixed on weak China data; Nikkei, ASX fall ahead c.bank meetings

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Asia stocks mixed on weak China data; Nikkei, ASX fall ahead c.bank meetings

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Sensex, Nifty rally 1% as US-Iran peace hopes spark risk-on sentiment

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Sensex, Nifty rally 1% as US-Iran peace hopes spark risk-on sentiment
Mumbai: Indian equities extended gains on Monday, with benchmark indices rising 1% after climbing as much as 1.7% during the session, as hopes of a peace deal between the US and Iran prompted traders to pare bearish bets, while easing crude oil prices lifted sentiment.

While the durability of the rally will depend on the finalisation of a deal, analysts said downside risks appear limited for now.

The NSE Nifty 50 gained 231 points, or 1%, to close at 23,853.90, after briefly crossing the 24,000 mark for the first time since May 29. The S&P BSE Sensex advanced 736.38 points, or 1%, to end at 76,264.33. Over the past two sessions, both indices have rallied as much as 3.3%.

Oil’s Well? D-St Goes Bang BangAgencies

fingers crossed over peace Sensex and Nifty rally 3.3% in past two sessions on short covering; ₹200 cr FPI inflow on Mon

“The rally on Monday and Friday was driven by short covering on hopes of a peace deal between the US and Iran, and while the sustainability of gains is not certain, the deal seems to be around the corner,” said Nilesh Jain, VP-Head of Technical and Derivative Research, Centrum Finverse.
The US and Iran said they have reached a new ceasefire agreement that will end a US blockade of Iranian ports and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ending the months-long conflict that has kept investors on tenterhooks and kept oil prices elevated.

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With both sides showing willingness to bring the war to an end, Brent crude futures fell more than 5% to $85.8 a barrel on Monday. Across Asia, South Korea, Japan surged 5.2% and 5%, respectively, while Taiwan gained 2.8%. China and Hong Kong rose 1.6% and 0.5%.
“The reaction in oil prices after the peace deal was announced reassured investors that crude prices are not expected to sustain at elevated levels for longer and triggered a rally,” said Vaiibhavv Chugh, chief executive officer, Abakkus Mutual Fund. “The fear has toned down considerably, and optimism could build further,” he added.Realty stocks led the gains, with the Nifty Realty index surging 4%. The Nifty Consumer Durables and Auto indices climbed 2.9% and 2.6%, respectively.

Foreign portfolio investors bought shares worth a net ₹200 crore on Monday – after 11 consecutive sessions of selling, while domestic institutional investors bought shares worth ₹3,189.3 crore. So far in June, foreign investors have sold shares worth ₹41,967 crore.

“Foreign investors have pared some of their short positions, which contributed to the rally. However, towards the latter part of the session, participants booked some profits in the derivatives market,” said Abhilash Pagaria, Head of Alternative & Quantitative Research at Nuvama Wealth. If the deal is finalised, a significant source of uncertainty could be removed, potentially encouraging foreign investors to increase allocations to Indian equities, he said.

The India VIX volatility index fell 2.5% to 14.4. After spiking to around 29 at the height of the conflict, the gauge has retreated to more comfortable levels, suggesting investor anxiety has eased. “For the gains to be sustainable, Nifty must decisively close above 24,000,” said Jain.

He said intermittent declines could not be ruled out, but the Nifty could gradually move towards 24,500 during the June series if it breaks above the 24,000 mark.

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Broader markets outperformed the benchmarks, with the Nifty Midcap 150 and Nifty Smallcap 250 rising 1.5% and 1.3%, respectively. Over the past week, the two indices have gained 1% and 3%.

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Macaroni and cheese recall impacts more than 500,000 packages at Aldi stores

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Macaroni and cheese recall impacts more than 500,000 packages at Aldi stores

More than 500,000 packages of macaroni and cheese sold at Aldi stores nationwide have been recalled because they may contain undeclared soy lecithin, a soy-derived ingredient that can pose a risk to people with soy allergies or sensitivities.

According to the Food and Drug Administration, 58,405 cases of Park St. Deli Macaroni & Cheese are affected. Each case contains nine 20-ounce packages, bringing the total number of impacted packages to 525,645.

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The plastic tubs of macaroni and cheese were sold inside paperboard sleeves.

FDA ISSUES HIGHEST-RISK RECALL OF ALFREDO SAUCE SOLD IN 41 STATES

Aldi

More than 500,000 packages of macaroni and cheese sold at Aldi stores nationwide have been recalled. (Paul Weaver/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images / Getty Images)

BEF Foods Inc., the product maker, initiated the voluntary recall on March 23, and the FDA classified it as a Class II recall on June 10.

A Class II recall means use of or exposure to the product may cause temporary or medically reversible adverse health consequences, or that the probability of serious adverse health consequences is remote, according to the FDA.

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Customers are urged not to consume the affected products and to return them to the place of purchase for a full refund.

MORE THAN 17K COFFEE MAKERS RECALLED AFTER DOZENS OF REPORTED BURN INJURIES

A bowl of macaroni and cheese.

The FDA said 58,405 cases containing nine 20-ounce packages each of the Park St. Deli Macaroni & Cheese are affected by the recall. (iStock / iStock)

Lecithin is a group of chemicals the body uses to move fats, according to the University of Rochester Medical Center.

They are found in various foods, including egg yolks, soybeans, wheat germ, peanuts and liver. Many people know lecithin as the oily film on their frying pan when they use a nonstick cooking spray.

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Some people also take them as supplements. They can come in capsules, liquid or granules.

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The FDA classified the recall as a Class II recall last week. (iStock / iStock)

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Lecithin is used in the food industry as an additive to combine foods, with salad dressing being one example.

Soy lecithin emulsifies ingredients like oil and water to blend the salad dressing into a smooth consistency, Judy Simon, a clinical dietitian nutritionist at the University of Washington, previously told USA TODAY.

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Indigenous water projects blend business with sustainability

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Indigenous water projects blend business with sustainability

Indigenous businesses and groups are starting to take on-country water monitoring and management into their own hands.

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Oil Price Today (June 16): Crude oil rebounds after 5% plunge as traders await US-Iran peace deal details. Where are prices headed?

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Oil Price Today (June 16): Crude oil rebounds after 5% plunge as traders await US-Iran peace deal details. Where are prices headed?
Oil prices edged higher on Tuesday as traders weighed the lack of clarity surrounding a preliminary agreement aimed at ending the conflict between the U.S. and Iran, while concerns persisted that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz may not resume as quickly as initially expected.

The rebound followed a sharp selloff on Monday, when oil prices tumbled nearly 5% to their lowest closing level since March 4. The decline came after U.S. President Donald Trump announced that a memorandum of understanding had been agreed to end the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran.

Crude oil price on June 16

Brent crude futures rose 26 cents, or 0.3%, to $83.42 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained 46 cents, or 0.3%, to $81.12 a barrel as of 0108 GMT.
The conflict had led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping route that normally handles around one-fifth of global oil supply, and resulted in roughly 14 million barrels per day of production being shut in.

However, market optimism has been tempered by the absence of publicly available details of the agreement and the fact that a permanent truce has yet to be negotiated. Initial indications suggest the memorandum could pave the way for reopening the Strait of Hormuz and extending a ceasefire for 60 days, giving negotiators time to address more complex issues, including the future of Iran’s nuclear programme.

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Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian on Monday described the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding as an “important step” toward ending the fighting, but said a final agreement to secure a lasting ceasefire had yet to emerge.

Where are prices headed?

Per experts, global oil inventories have been drawn down during the prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz and will require time to recover. The stockpiles are likely to decline further before fresh supplies from the Gulf begin reaching the market.


Market participants are now closely monitoring how quickly producers in the Middle East can restore oil output and exports after wartime disruptions. Investors are also watching whether shipping traffic gradually returns to the region.
Analysts cautioned that even if the ceasefire holds, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz may take months to normalize. They added that any damage to energy infrastructure could further delay the recovery process.Last month, Saudi Aramco Chief Executive Officer Amin Nasser warned that disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz could postpone stability in global oil markets until 2027. He said prolonged interruptions could affect nearly 100 million barrels of oil supply every week. Saudi Aramco remains the world’s largest oil producer.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Global Market Today: Asian markets temper Iran deal optimism, BOJ decision in view

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Global Market Today: Asian markets temper Iran deal optimism, BOJ decision in view
SINGAPORE: Asian stocks inched up on Tuesday after rallying on the previous session on news of a peace deal between Iran and the U.S., as investors turned their focus to several central bank decisions including an expected rate hike from the Bank of Japan.

Early trading in the region followed a familiar pattern, with markets ‌settling into a ⁠more measured ⁠tone on Gulf developments as the initial excitement over the preliminary agreement between Washington and Tehran began to fade.

Oil prices, which settled at a three-month low overnight, reflected the cautious stance, with Brent crude futures up 51 cents, or 0.6%, at $83.74 a barrel. Shippers in Asia and Europe said rebuilding confidence in resuming transit through the Strait of Hormuz could take weeks.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan added 0.2%, with Korean shares leading gains. Japan’s Nikkei 225 was down 0.2%, retreating from a record high as S&P 500 e-mini futures slipped 0.1%.

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While U.S. President Donald Trump’s announcement of ⁠a deal with ‌Iran drew initial investor relief on Monday, it also puts Washington on a collision course with Israel.


“While it is an important diplomatic breakthrough that should remove a key source of market volatility, ⁠the durability of the deal is likely to be tested in the future,” analysts from Westpac wrote in a research note. “Many sticking points, including the fate of Iran’s nuclear programme, were left to be resolved in subsequent negotiations.”
Overnight on Wall Street, stocks and bonds rallied on optimism over the deal. The S&P 500 jumped 1.7% and the Nasdaq Composite surged 3.1%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the STOXX 600 both closed at record highs. Beyond geopolitics, traders are awaiting several major central bank decisions, including the Bank of Japan, which is set to raise interest rates to a 31-year high on Tuesday. Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida will ‌hold a press briefing after the meeting, which Governor Kazuo Ueda will miss because he is undergoing medical treatment.

“We do not anticipate any major changes to the Bank’s assessment of current conditions,” analysts from Mitsubishi UFJ wrote in a research note.

“We expect ⁠Deputy Governor Uchida’s press conference, including the rationale he presents for the rate-hike decision, will be based largely on Governor Ueda’s June 3 speech,” the note added. “Mr. Uchida is also likely to follow the governor’s remarks when discussing future policy decisions.”

The Reserve Bank of Australia will pause its tightening cycle when it meets later, according to a Reuters poll of economists.

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The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, held steady at 99.66, firmly within the tight trading channel in which it has sat all week.

The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond was up 0.8 basis point at 4.475%. Gold was up 0.2% at $4,313.87.

In cryptocurrency markets, bitcoin was down 0.3% at $66,245.97, while ether slumped 1.2% to $1,793.70.

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Fluence Energy: The Discount Is Earned, The Opportunity Is Real

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Fluence Energy: The Discount Is Earned, The Opportunity Is Real

Fluence Energy: The Discount Is Earned, The Opportunity Is Real

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ASEAN Finalizes DEFA to Build a US$2 Trillion Digital Economy by 2030

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ASEAN has finalized the Digital Economy Framework Agreement (DEFA), set for signing in November 2025. It aims to create a unified digital market potentially worth US$2 trillion by 2030, reducing regulatory fragmentation and strengthening ASEAN’s global digital competitiveness.

Key Points

• ASEAN’s Digital Economy Framework Agreement (DEFA) has been officially drafted following meetings in Manila, with member states set to sign it in November 2025 alongside the 49th ASEAN Summit, aiming to create a unified, rules-based digital market projected to reach US$2 trillion by 2030.

• DEFA seeks to harmonize digital trade regulations, reduce compliance costs for MSMEs, attract foreign investment, and eliminate fragmented national regulations, positioning ASEAN as a global digital hub serving 700 million people across its fifth-largest global economy.

• Beyond regional integration, DEFA serves as a geostrategic tool advancing ASEAN 2045 goals, giving the bloc a stronger collective voice in global digital trade governance while shifting the region from crisis-driven responses toward long-term structural planning amid ongoing economic and geopolitical disruptions.

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ASEAN’s DEFA: A Landmark Digital Agreement Takes Shape

The ASEAN Digital Economy Framework Agreement (DEFA) has been officially drafted following senior economic officials’ meetings in Manila from May 27 to 29. The final agreement resolved all outstanding issues after a ministerial push at the 27th AEC Council Meeting in Cebu. Member states are scheduled to formally sign DEFA in November 2025, alongside the 49th ASEAN Summit. Framed as ASEAN’s strategic response to a rapidly evolving digital landscape, DEFA represents a commitment to building an open, seamlessly connected, and rules-based digital future, transitioning the region from fragmented, ad hoc initiatives to a unified, rules-based digital market.


Unlocking a US$2 Trillion Digital Economy

DEFA’s implementation is projected to accelerate the region’s digital economy to US$2 trillion by 2030, strengthening ASEAN’s position as a global digital hub. Deputy Secretary-General Satvinder Singh highlighted that harmonised standards for digital trade, e-commerce, and data would significantly cut costs and reduce regulatory fragmentation. By streamlining digital regulations, DEFA would make the region more attractive for both foreign and domestic investment. Critically, eliminating conflicting national regulations would reduce heavy compliance burdens on MSMEs, enabling smaller businesses to participate more freely and competitively in the regional digital marketplace.


DEFA as a Geostrategic Tool for ASEAN 2045

Beyond trade, DEFA is positioned as both a regional integration mechanism and a geostrategic instrument, giving ASEAN a stronger collective voice in global digital governance debates, including customs duties on electronic transmissions. Singh emphasised that ASEAN’s scale — 700 million people and the world’s fifth-largest economy — makes it a stabilising force amid global disruption. Despite trade tensions and challenging investment conditions, major ASEAN economies recorded GDP growth of approximately 4.9% and trade expansion exceeding 8%. DEFA ultimately supports ASEAN’s long-term structural planning strategy, moving the region away from crisis-driven management toward sustainable, future-ready digital integration aligned with ASEAN 2045 goals.

Source : ASEAN member states come to agreement on DEFA

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Bonus bonanza! Last date to buy Brigade Enterprises shares for 1:3 bonus issue reward

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Bonus bonanza! Last date to buy Brigade Enterprises shares for 1:3 bonus issue reward
Bengaluru-based real estate developer Brigade Enterprises has fixed June 17 (Wednesday) as the record date for its bonus issue in the ratio of 1:3, which effectively makes today the last date for interested investors to buy the stock for the bonus share reward.

Only shareholders who hold Brigade Enterprises shares in their demat accounts as of Wednesday will be eligible to receive the bonus shares. Due to SEBI’s T+1 settlement norm, investors must purchase the company’s shares at least one trading day before the record date so they are credited to their demat accounts by that date and qualify for the corporate action. This effectively makes today the final day for investors to buy the shares to be eligible for the bonus issue.

All about Brigade Enterprises’ bonus issue

Brigade Enterprises in May announced its first bonus issue in around seven years, along with the release of its Q4 results. It said its board approved the plan to issue one bonus share with a face value of Rs 10 each for every three shares held in the company as on the record date.

The company approved the plan to increase its share capital from Rs 250 crore, divided into 25 crore shares, to Rs 400 crore, divided into 40 crore shares.

Also read:
31 stocks turning ex-record date for dividends and bonus issues this week. Do you own any?A bonus issue consists of free shares distributed by a company from its reserves and is often seen as a sign of strong financial health and growth prospects. While the issue of bonus shares increases the total number of outstanding shares, it does not change the company’s market capitalisation. However, it can improve liquidity and affordability, allowing more investors to add shares of the company to their portfolio.

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Brigade Enterprises share price

Brigade Enterprises shares have gained more than 6% in one week but declined over 0.5% in one month and 24% in 2026 so far. In the longer term, the shares of the company have fallen over 42% in one year, but gained more than 15% in three years and 141% in five years.

The company currently has a market capitalisation of Rs 16,755 crore. The stock’s P/E ratio stands at nearly 23x.

Brigade Enterprises Q4 Results

Brigade Enterprises in May reported a consolidated net profit of Rs 190 crore for the fourth quarter of the financial year 2025-26, compared to Rs 249 crore a year ago. Its revenue meanwhile declined to Rs 1,523 crore from Rs 1,532 crore a year earlier.
Along with the Q4 results and bonus issue, Brigade Enterprises also announced a final dividend of Rs 2 per equity share for the financial year 2026.
Also read: 54% of top Indian stocks are cheaper now than in 2023. Is it time to buy?

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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