Crypto World
Stellar price prediction 2026-2030: the compliance-first bet
Stellar trades between $0.15 and $0.17 in late May 2026, with a market cap around $5.3 billion (rank #19 to #21), 82% below the January 2018 high of $0.9381. Stellar has been quietly executing on the institutional adoption thesis longer than almost any other crypto project.
Summary
- Stellar has tokenized $1.2 billion in real-world assets and ranks second in tokenized treasuries, yet XLM remains about 82% below its 2018 peak.
- PayPal’s PYUSD, Franklin Templeton’s tokenized fund, and growing institutional activity have strengthened Stellar’s role in payments and tokenization infrastructure.
- XLM’s path toward $1 or beyond depends on rising tokenized asset volumes, stablecoin growth, and whether institutional usage translates into stronger demand for the token.
The infrastructure is what traditional finance recognizes. The partnerships translate into actual transaction volume, not test environments. By Q1 2026, over $1.2 billion in real-world assets had been tokenized on Stellar (XLM). Franklin Templeton’s $270 million tokenized fund operates on Stellar. Ondo Finance has tokenized treasuries on Stellar.
Stellar ranks #2 in the tokenized treasuries category with $470 million. The stablecoin infrastructure is substantial: PayPal’s PYUSD operates on Stellar with billions in circulation. USDC has a monthly volume of approximately $500 million on Stellar.
The Soroban smart contract platform expanded Stellar’s capabilities beyond pure payments, supporting DeFi applications, advanced stablecoins, and tokenized treasury products. Protocol 26 “Yardstick” launched on testnet April 16, 2026, with a mainnet governance vote on May 6 focused on configuration settings, enhanced smart contract tools, and efficiency gains. CME XLM Futures launched in February 2026, providing regulated derivatives access.
The SEC/CFTC March 2026 joint guidance classified XLM as a digital commodity, removing regulatory uncertainty for U.S. institutions. ISO 20022 compliance positions Stellar as one of the few crypto assets natively compatible with the global messaging standard being adopted by SWIFT and major central banks. Stellar achieves consensus in under 6 seconds via Federated Byzantine Agreement; transaction fees run 0.00001 XLM.
Institutional partnerships span MoneyGram (remittances), IBM World Wire (settlement), PayPal (PYUSD stablecoin), Visa (payment infrastructure), Mastercard (Crypto Credential), Paxos (tokenization), Ondo Finance (RWA tokenization), and WisdomTree (institutional asset management). The fixed total supply of approximately 50 billion XLM followed the 2019 community vote that ended 1% annual inflation.
The honest read is that Stellar is the cleanest pure-play institutional payments and tokenization infrastructure investment available in crypto for 2026-2030. Real challenges include persistent price weakness despite institutional adoption progress, competitive pressure from XRP and emerging stablecoin payment rails, SDF concentration (30 billion XLM controlled by the foundation), and the gap between platform-level adoption and XLM token value capture.
This piece walks through what the data actually says, the bull case ($1.20-$3.50 by 2030), the base case ($0.40-$0.90), and the bear case ($0.10-$0.25), with the variables that determine which one plays out.
Why Stellar is at $0.15 right now
The current Stellar price reflects what may be the largest fundamentals-to-price disconnect among major crypto assets in 2026.
The starting point: XLM peaked at $0.9381 on January 4, 2018, during peak crypto mania. The drift through 2018-2024 reached lows around $0.10. The 2024 narrative resurgence (Mastercard Crypto Credential partnership, PYUSD integration, Trump election rally) pushed XLM to $0.515 in November 2024. The decline through 2025-2026 brought XLM to the current $0.15-$0.17 range despite continued institutional adoption progress. The 82% drawdown from the all-time high reflects multiple compounding factors: broader altcoin weakness, SDF token distribution creating persistent supply pressure (30 billion XLM controlled by the foundation), and the persistent disconnect between platform-level institutional adoption and XLM token value capture.
The institutional adoption is real. Tokenized real-world assets on Stellar reached approximately $1.2 billion by Q1 2026. Franklin Templeton’s $270 million tokenized fund operates on Stellar. Ondo Finance has deployed tokenized treasuries on Stellar. The network ranks #2 in the tokenized treasuries category with $470 million across multiple products. The institutional positioning extends beyond test pilots to operational products with significant AUM.
The stablecoin infrastructure is substantial. PayPal’s PYUSD operates on Stellar as one of its primary deployment chains, with billions in circulation. USDC has a monthly volume of approximately $500 million on Stellar. Combining major stablecoins running on Stellar creates the foundation for cross-border payment infrastructure that the network was originally designed to support.
The institutional partnerships span the major financial infrastructure providers. MoneyGram uses Stellar for remittances. IBM World Wire deployed on Stellar for settlement. Visa expanded Stellar integration for payment infrastructure. Mastercard’s Crypto Credential partnership integrates Stellar. Paxos uses Stellar for tokenization infrastructure. Ondo Finance deploys tokenized products. WisdomTree integrates for institutional asset management. The partnership density exceeds most crypto projects.
The Soroban smart contract platform represents Stellar’s expansion beyond pure payments. Originally designed as a fast settlement layer for cross-border transactions, Stellar added smart contract capabilities through Soroban. The platform supports DeFi applications, advanced stablecoins, and tokenized treasury products. Protocol 26 “Yardstick” testnet launched April 16, 2026, with a mainnet governance vote on May 6 focused on configuration settings, enhanced smart contract tools, and efficiency gains.
The regulatory positioning is clean. The SEC/CFTC March 2026 joint guidance classified XLM as a digital commodity, removing regulatory uncertainty for U.S. institutions. Combined with the CLARITY Act framework, XLM has cleaner regulatory positioning than most altcoins. ISO 20022 compliance positions XLM as one of the few crypto assets natively compatible with the global banking messaging standard being adopted by SWIFT and major central banks.
The CME XLM Futures launch in February 2026 provides regulated derivatives access. CME futures historically precede or accompany expanded institutional adoption. The futures provide hedging capabilities that institutional investors require for spot positioning. ETF filings have been mentioned, but spot XLM ETFs have not yet launched.
The technical capabilities support the institutional positioning. Stellar achieves consensus in under 6 seconds via Federated Byzantine Agreement. Transaction fees run 0.00001 XLM (approximately $0.0000015 at the current XLM price). Speed plus near-zero fees enables payment and settlement use cases that other blockchains cannot economically support at scale.
The competitive context with XRP is direct. Both XLM and XRP target cross-border payment infrastructure. XRP has stronger Ripple enterprise relationships, but Stellar has cleaner regulatory positioning (no SEC litigation), a stronger compliance focus (ISO 20022, KYC at the protocol level for RWA), and more advanced smart contract capabilities through Soroban. They overlap on use case but differ on positioning.
The supply dynamics are important. Total supply is approximately 50 billion XLM after the 2019 community vote ended 1% annual inflation. SDF (Stellar Development Foundation) holds approximately 30 billion XLM (60% of circulating supply) for ecosystem grants and development. The concentration creates both potential supply pressure (if SDF distributes large amounts) and potential structural support (if SDF shows discipline in releases).
At $0.15, the market has acknowledged but not fully priced in Stellar’s institutional adoption. XLM keeps trading at a heavy discount to platform-level success. SDF distributions keep adding to circulating supply. The competitive question against XRP and direct stablecoin payment alternatives remains open.
The bull case: $1.20-$3.50 by 2030
The bull case requires multiple variables resolving favorably across institutional, technical, and competitive dimensions.
Tokenized RWA volume scaling to $20-50 billion. Currently $1.2 billion on Stellar. The bull case requires the broader RWA tokenization narrative to deliver on its trajectory, combined with Stellar maintaining its top-3 position among institutional tokenization platforms. Franklin Templeton-style funds expanding from $270 million to $1+ billion. Additional major asset managers deploying tokenization products on Stellar. Ondo Finance’s continued expansion on Stellar. The tokenized treasuries category growing from the current $470 million to multi-billion dollar levels.
Stablecoin volume on Stellar scaling significantly. PYUSD currently has billions in circulation across multiple chains. The bull case requires meaningful PYUSD growth combined with Stellar capturing a significant share of cross-chain stablecoin volume. USDC volume growth from the current $500 million monthly to billions monthly. Additional stablecoin issuers deploying on Stellar. Together, they create fee revenue and XLM bridge currency demand.
Institutional partnership volume translating to XLM token demand. The partnerships (MoneyGram, IBM, Visa, Mastercard, etc.) currently provide platform-level adoption without proportional XLM token demand. The bull case requires bridge currency usage scaling: as MoneyGram processes more remittance volume through Stellar, more XLM is consumed for path payment bridges; as Visa expands settlement volume, more XLM transacts as an intermediary asset. The XLM-as-bridge-currency thesis has been underwhelming historically but could materialize at sufficient scale.
Protocol 26 and Soroban DeFi ecosystem development. Yardstick mainnet activation followed by additional protocol upgrades supporting DeFi growth. Soroban smart contract adoption from the current $470 million tokenized treasuries focus to broader DeFi applications. Compliant DeFi protocols specifically designed for institutional and regulated use cases are deployed on Stellar. The smart contract platform achieves meaningful TVL beyond just tokenization.
CLARITY Act and broader regulatory clarity. CLARITY Act deployment supports continued institutional adoption. Additional ETF approvals materialize. Cross-border regulatory clarity supports Stellar’s international payments positioning. The regulatory environment continues supporting compliance-first crypto infrastructure.
SDF discipline in token distribution. SDF’s 30 billion XLM holding creates potential supply pressure if distributed aggressively. The bull case includes continued SDF discipline in measured releases combined with significant ecosystem development funding that drives demand to offset supply.
Bridge currency thesis activation. XLM’s original design purpose was a bridge currency for cross-currency payment paths. The bull case includes meaningful actual usage of XLM in this capacity as institutional payment flows scale. Visa-style settlement expansion using XLM as an intermediary becomes the demand catalyst that previous Stellar cycles haven’t fully achieved.
Broader crypto cycle supporting altcoin appreciation. Bitcoin reaches sustained highs above $150K. Altcoin rotation produces institutional capital flow to compliant altcoins. XLM participates in altcoin season as an institutional positioning option for compliance-focused investors.
Targets if bull case conditions materialize:
- 2026 year-end: $0.30-$0.55
- 2027 year-end: $0.55-$1.00
- 2028 year-end: $0.85-$1.60
- 2029 year-end: $1.05-$2.30
- 2030 year-end: $1.20-$3.50
The upper end ($3.50) requires sustained execution across all variables combined with a broader crypto super-cycle. Reaching $3.50 means an XLM market cap of approximately $175 billion (vs. the current $5.3 billion), which would place it in top-10 territory. The lower bull case ($1.20) is more achievable through moderate execution across the variables.
The base case: $0.40-$0.90 by 2030
The base case assumes meaningful but not transformative progress.
Tokenized RWA volume scaling to $5-12 billion. Continued growth from the current $1.2 billion. Franklin Templeton-style funds expand but additional major asset managers deploy on Stellar at a slower pace than in the bull case. Ondo Finance continues operating on Stellar but doesn’t dramatically expand. The tokenized treasuries category grows but Stellar maintains rather than dominates its position.
Stablecoin volume continues moderate growth. PYUSD adoption on Stellar grows but at a slower pace than in the bull case. USDC volume grows but doesn’t reach billions monthly. The stablecoin infrastructure on Stellar continues developing without becoming the dominant cross-chain volume source.
Institutional partnership volume translates modestly to XLM demand. Platform-level partnerships continue producing transaction volume, but XLM bridge currency usage develops gradually rather than dramatically. The fundamental disconnect between platform success and token value capture continues but with some moderation.
Protocol upgrades continue. Yardstick successfully activates. The Soroban ecosystem develops moderately. Some DeFi applications deploy with limited but meaningful TVL. Technical evolution continues without producing transformative ecosystem outcomes.
Regulatory developments support continued growth. CLARITY Act deployment proceeds. Some ETF developments materialize without producing transformative inflows. The regulatory environment supports steady institutional adoption.
SDF distribution continues at a moderate pace. Some periodic supply expansion occurs without overwhelming demand. Token economics remain a structural consideration but don’t dominate price action.
The broader crypto cycle provides moderate support. Bitcoin reaches the $120K-$160K range. Altcoin rotation produces periodic XLM rallies. XLM participates in altcoin cycles without leading them.
Targets in the base case:
- 2026 year-end: $0.18-$0.28
- 2027 year-end: $0.25-$0.45
- 2028 year-end: $0.30-$0.65
- 2029 year-end: $0.35-$0.80
- 2030 year-end: $0.40-$0.90
The base case represents meaningful appreciation from the current $0.15 levels but stays below the 2018 ATH of $0.94. The support comes from continued institutional adoption and tokenization growth without producing transformative token appreciation.
The bear case: $0.10-$0.25 by 2030
The bear case requires adverse outcomes combined with real challenges.
Tokenized RWA growth stalls. The broader tokenization narrative develops slower than expected. Franklin Templeton-style funds operate but don’t expand. Additional major asset managers choose competing platforms (Ondo Global Markets on Avalanche, BlackRock BUIDL on Ethereum, etc.). Stellar maintains some tokenization presence but market share erodes.
Stablecoin volume on Stellar declines. PYUSD shifts focus to other chains. USDC volume on Stellar reduces. Competing stablecoins (USD1, native chain stablecoins) capture the cross-border payment volume Stellar was positioning for.
Platform adoption doesn’t translate to XLM demand. The structural disconnect between Stellar-the-platform’s success and XLM-the-token’s value capture persists. The bridge currency thesis fails to materialize. Institutional partnerships continue without producing proportional token demand.
XRP captures the bridge currency market. XRP’s Ripple enterprise relationships convert to actual XRP transaction volume more effectively than XLM’s institutional partnerships convert to XLM usage. The cross-border payment market consolidates around XRP rather than splitting between XRP and XLM.
Stablecoin-direct payment rails displace bridge currencies entirely. PYUSD, USDC, and USDT increasingly enable cross-border payments directly without requiring bridge currency intermediation. The “settlement asset” thesis that XRP and XLM both depend on becomes obsolete.
Soroban DeFi adoption disappoints. The smart contract platform fails to attract meaningful DeFi development beyond tokenization. Ethereum, Solana, and other established DeFi chains maintain dominance in non-RWA applications.
SDF distribution creates persistent pressure. The 30 billion XLM SDF holding gets distributed at a pace that overwhelms organic demand. Supply expansion pushes price below current support levels.
Regulatory deterioration. CLARITY Act stalls. A post-2029 administration reverses crypto-friendly policies. Specific regulatory action affecting institutional tokenization or cross-border payments creates headwinds.
Broader crypto weakness. Sustained risk-off conditions pressure altcoins. Even with strong fundamentals, market dynamics push XLM below current support.
Targets in the bear case:
- 2026 year-end: $0.12-$0.18
- 2027 year-end: $0.10-$0.20
- 2028 year-end: $0.10-$0.22
- 2029 year-end: $0.10-$0.23
- 2030 year-end: $0.10-$0.25
The bear case represents continued depressed valuation but assumes XLM retains some institutional presence. Complete failure scenarios (price below $0.05) would require severe broader market disruption combined with specific Stellar-related operational issues.
The five variables that determine outcome
Five variables track which scenario is materializing.
Variable 1: Tokenized RWA volume on Stellar. Currently $1.2 billion. The bull case requires $20-50 billion by 2030. Monitor: monthly RWA TVL on Stellar (RWA.xyz), Franklin Templeton fund growth, Ondo Finance Stellar deployment metrics, additional asset manager announcements, and Stellar’s ranking among RWA platforms.
Variable 2: Stablecoin volume on Stellar. PYUSD and USDC combined volumes. The bull case requires scaling significantly from the current $500 million monthly USDC volume. Monitor: PYUSD circulation on Stellar, USDC monthly volume, additional stablecoin deployments, and cross-border payment volume metrics.
Variable 3: Bridge currency usage. XLM as an intermediary in cross-currency payment paths. This is the value capture mechanism that Stellar’s institutional partnerships could activate. Monitor: XLM transaction volume relative to fiat conversion volumes, path payment metrics from MoneyGram and other partners, Visa settlement volume using XLM, and IBM World Wire activity.
Variable 4: Soroban DeFi ecosystem development. Smart contract platform adoption beyond tokenization. Monitor: Soroban TVL across applications, dApp launches, developer activity, transaction volume on smart contracts versus payments, and DeFi protocols deploying specifically for compliance-focused use cases.
Variable 5: SDF token distribution discipline. SDF holds 30 billion XLM. Distribution pace affects supply dynamics. Monitor: SDF transparency reports on token distribution, ecosystem grant allocations, monthly net change in SDF holdings, and comparison of releases versus ecosystem growth.
The variables interact significantly. RWA volume growth creates token demand. Stablecoin volume drives bridge currency usage. Bridge currency usage scales XLM transaction volume. Soroban DeFi creates fee revenue. SDF discipline affects supply dynamics. All variables compound in producing the eventual price outcome.
What this means for XLM holders and traders
For current XLM holders, the practical implication is the asset has the strongest fundamentals-to-price gap among major crypto assets in 2026. Institutional adoption is concrete and substantial. The price has fallen to levels approaching multi-year support. The catalyst stack, including tokenization growth, stablecoin volume, Soroban development, regulatory clarity, and CME futures, is real and identifiable.
For potential XLM buyers, the current $0.15 reflects a substantial discount from historical highs combined with developing institutional adoption. The risk-reward depends on assessment of tokenized RWA growth probability, stablecoin volume scaling, bridge currency usage materialization, and SDF distribution discipline. Entry at current levels has uneven upside if catalysts materialize at meaningful scale.
For traders, XLM has shown catalyst sensitivity around institutional partnership announcements (Mastercard Crypto Credential, PYUSD integration), regulatory developments (March 2026 digital commodity classification, CME futures launch), and broader crypto cycle dynamics. Trading the catalysts requires monitoring institutional announcements, regulatory milestones, and ecosystem development metrics.
For institutional investors evaluating XLM allocation, Stellar offers exposure to cross-border payment infrastructure and institutional tokenization through one of the most regulation-compliant L1s available. The investment case depends on belief in institutional payment volume eventually translating to XLM token demand, the tokenization narrative continuing to develop, and compliance-focused crypto infrastructure attracting institutional capital.
For developers exploring blockchain deployment, Stellar provides high-speed (sub-6-second consensus), low-cost (0.00001 XLM fees) infrastructure with strong institutional positioning. Soroban smart contracts enable DeFi development with compliance-focused features that institutional use cases require. The technical capabilities support specific application categories better than general-purpose alternatives.
For traditional finance professionals exploring blockchain, Stellar represents established institutional infrastructure with major partner relationships. ISO 20022 compliance and digital commodity classification provide regulatory clarity. The track record of operating with MoneyGram, IBM, Visa, Mastercard, Franklin Templeton, and Paxos provides validation that institutional finance views Stellar as legitimate infrastructure.
The honest bottom line
Stellar’s pitch in 2026 is a strange one. The platform itself is doing what every crypto project claims to do. Franklin Templeton built BENJI on it. MoneyGram routes through it. $1.2 billion in RWAs sit on it. PayPal’s PYUSD launched on it. The token, XLM, has captured almost none of that value capture in price. Trading at $0.15 with an 82% drawdown from 2018 means the market is either still ignoring what’s happening or has correctly priced that the protocol’s success doesn’t flow to its native asset.
The platform fundamentals are extraordinary. $1.2 billion tokenized RWAs. Franklin Templeton, Ondo Finance, and WisdomTree institutional deployments. PYUSD and USDC stablecoin volumes. MoneyGram, IBM, Visa, Mastercard, and Paxos partnerships. ISO 20022 compliance. Digital commodity regulatory classification. Sub-6-second consensus with near-zero fees. CME futures access. The institutional positioning is among the most developed in crypto.
The institutional partnerships span the major financial infrastructure providers. The partnership density and depth suggest traditional finance views Stellar as a legitimate infrastructure partner for cross-border payments and tokenization. The relationships have produced operational deployments rather than just announcements.
The structural challenge is concrete: platform-level success has not translated to proportional XLM token appreciation. XLM trades approximately 82% below its 2018 all-time high despite all the institutional adoption that has occurred since. The disconnect reflects limited XLM bridge currency usage despite payment partnerships, SDF token distribution creating supply pressure, broader altcoin weakness, and the fundamental question of how governance and utility tokens accrue value when the underlying platform operates as traditional finance infrastructure.
The 2030 range across scenarios is wide: $0.10 to $3.50, representing a 35x range. The wide range reflects how much depends on whether platform success eventually translates to token value capture. The base case ($0.40-$0.90) represents meaningful appreciation from current $0.15 levels assuming moderate progression. The bull case ($1.20-$3.50) requires substantial conversion of platform success to token demand. The bear case ($0.10-$0.25) assumes the disconnect persists.
For holders, the question to watch is bridge currency activation. Are institutional payment partnerships routing XLM as the settlement asset? Are tokenization platforms generating XLM demand through fees or settlement? Are stablecoin volumes producing fee revenue that affects XLM economics? The platform success is given. The token translation is the variable.
For buyers, current entry at $0.15 represents one of the more interesting risk-reward setups in compliance-focused crypto. The downside is bounded by continued institutional adoption providing structural support. The upside depends on the conversion mechanism activating at scale. Position sizing should reflect that this is a thesis about institutional payments market structure evolution.
For the broader market, Stellar represents the test case for whether compliance-first crypto infrastructure achieves token appreciation proportional to platform success. The outcome affects how the broader category, including compliant L1s, institutional tokenization platforms, and cross-border payment networks, gets valued.
For 2026, expect XLM in a $0.13 to $0.35 range with catalysts around Protocol 26 Yardstick mainnet activation, additional ETF developments, tokenization volume, stablecoin volumes, and institutional partnerships. The floor near $0.13 reflects current platform positioning. The upside ($0.25 to $0.35) needs catalysts to land.
For 2027-2030, the question is whether the bridge currency function ever activates at scale. If institutional payment partnerships start routing XLM as the settlement asset rather than just using Stellar as the rails, the path opens to $1.20 to $3.50. If the disconnect between platform success and token capture persists, $0.10 to $0.25 stays the trading range. The base case ($0.40 to $0.90) requires neither full activation nor continued disconnect.
XLM is the trade for someone who believes the institutional pipes matter more than DeFi for the next phase of crypto. The platform thesis is validated. The token thesis is the question.
For analysts, the most important framework is: separate Stellar-the-platform (clearly working, clearly institutional, clearly compliant) from XLM-the-token (depressed price reflecting limited value capture conversion). The conversion question is what makes the asset analytically interesting. Most analysis frameworks don’t address it directly because the answer requires monitoring specific transaction patterns rather than headline metrics.
What everyone should watch: the bridge currency activation. If XLM transaction volumes start scaling proportionally with institutional payment partnership volumes, the conversion mechanism is activating. If platform partnerships continue without XLM transaction scaling, the disconnect persists. The conversion is the single most important variable determining which scenario becomes operative.
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes Stellar different from XRP?
Both target cross-border payment infrastructure. Key differences: Stellar has cleaner regulatory positioning (no SEC litigation, digital commodity classification confirmed March 2026), stronger compliance focus (ISO 20022 native compatibility, KYC at protocol level for RWA), more advanced smart contract capabilities through the Soroban platform, and non-profit SDF governance versus Ripple’s for-profit structure. XRP has stronger Ripple enterprise relationships and more institutional ETF infrastructure. Different competitive positioning rather than direct competitors.
Can XLM reach $1 by 2030?
$1 is achievable in the bull case ($1.20-$3.50 by 2030) but requires sustained execution. Required conditions: tokenized RWA volume scaling to $20-50 billion on Stellar, stablecoin volume scaling significantly through PYUSD and USDC expansion, institutional partnership volume translating to XLM bridge currency demand, Protocol 26 and Soroban DeFi ecosystem development, and a broader crypto cycle supporting institutional altcoin appreciation. The base case for 2030 is $0.40-$0.90.
What is the bridge currency thesis for XLM?
XLM was originally designed as a bridge currency for cross-currency payment paths. The thesis: as MoneyGram processes remittance volume through Stellar, XLM is used as an intermediary asset between different fiat currencies. The same applies to Visa settlements and IBM World Wire transactions. Historically, bridge currency usage has been limited despite payment partnerships. The bull case requires this usage to scale meaningfully as institutional payment volumes grow.
What is Soroban and why does it matter?
Soroban is Stellar’s smart contract platform that expanded the network’s capabilities beyond pure payments. It supports decentralized applications, stablecoins (USDC with $500 million monthly volume and PYUSD), and tokenized treasuries (#2 in the category at $470 million). Protocol 26 “Yardstick” launched on testnet April 16, 2026, with a mainnet governance vote on May 6 focused on configuration settings, enhanced smart contract tools, and efficiency gains. Soroban’s continued development is key to Stellar’s expansion from a payments-only network to a broader DeFi platform.
How does ISO 20022 compliance affect Stellar’s positioning?
ISO 20022 is the global messaging standard being adopted by SWIFT and major central banks. Stellar is one of the few crypto assets natively compatible with this standard. This makes XLM one of the few crypto assets with potential to sit at the intersection of traditional banking systems and decentralized finance. As institutions upgrade to ISO 20022-compliant infrastructure, Stellar’s built-in compatibility becomes a structural competitive advantage over rivals like XRP that require additional integration work.
What is the SDF and how does it affect XLM?
The Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) is a non-profit organization holding approximately 30 billion XLM (60% of circulating supply) for ecosystem grants and development. SDF distribution pace affects supply dynamics. The concentration creates both potential supply pressure (if SDF distributes aggressively) and potential structural support (if SDF shows discipline in releases). Non-profit governance contrasts with profit-driven rivals like Ripple’s structure.
What are the main risks to Stellar?
Seven primary risks. First, platform adoption doesn’t translate to XLM token demand (the fundamental disconnect). Second, XRP captures the cross-border payment market that XLM was positioning for. Third, stablecoin-direct payment rails displace bridge currencies. Fourth, tokenized RWA growth stalls on Stellar. Fifth, Soroban DeFi adoption disappoints. Sixth, SDF distribution creates persistent supply pressure. Seventh, broader crypto weakness affects compliance-focused assets despite their fundamentals.
Should I buy XLM given the fundamentals-to-price gap?
This piece does not provide investment advice. The current $0.15 reflects a substantial discount from historical highs combined with developing institutional adoption. The risk-reward depends on assessment of tokenized RWA growth probability, stablecoin volume scaling, bridge currency usage materialization, Soroban DeFi development, and SDF distribution discipline. The uneven upside combined with established institutional infrastructure creates particular interest for compliance-focused crypto investors. The five-variables framework provides objective monitoring signals.
This article is for informational purposes and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and price predictions are inherently speculative. The figures and analysis described reflect data available as of late May 2026. Always do your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Crypto World
Pi Network News and PI Price Update Today: June 15
The team behind Pi Network has remained consistent in its efforts to expand the ecosystem and strengthen the community through new initiatives and upgrades.
PI’s price has finally staged a decisive rebound, mirroring the bullish conditions of the broader crypto market following the peace deal between the USA and Iran.
What Happened Lately?
The Core Team has been quite active lately, completing major milestones on several fronts. At the start of the month, they disclosed the successful transition to protocol v24, an upgrade primarily focused on improving the underlying infrastructure supporting node operations and mainnet activity.
Most recently, Pi Network updated the participation and flow model for the Pi Launchpad, allowing Pioneers to test a second token called “SLICE” for two weeks. The platform is designed to help new projects grow and reach the community. It uses insights gathered from the first testnet token that began testing on PiDay 2026 (March 14).
The team revealed that more than 478,000 Pioneers participated in the initial Launchpad testing and “generated valuable feedback on the Launchpad mechanism.” It also detailed the steps for those who wish to join. They must open Pi Launchpad in Pi Browser, review the SLICE test token and project, choose a commitment amount in Test-Pi, confirm participation, and finally engage with the Slice of Pi app and provide feedback.
In addition to these efforts, Pi Network also made progress in the gaming sector. As CryptoPotato reported, CiDi Games (an entity part of the ecosystem) released four new games for Pioneers. Those include Coin Whack, Fruit Stack, Gemnova, and RainbowCubes. Earlier today (June 15), one X user revealed that CiDi Games had reached a milestone of over 6 million PI staked in its ecosystem and hinted at an announcement of a new game next week.
Waiting for These
Pi Network’s next big update appears to be the transition to protocol v25. The team initially set June 18 as the completion deadline but later clarified that it might need more time, indicating a likely delay.
Another highly anticipated event in the Pi Network community is Pi2Day, celebrated on June 28 (6/28) because it represents the mathematical constant 2π.
Speculation is mounting that the team may announce a major ecosystem update, launch new features, or even a listing on Binance. However, nothing is confirmed, and we’ll have to see whether the day will bring anything meaningful at all.
PI Price Outlook
Earlier this month, PI’s price crashed below $0.12, marking the lowest level in its history. Over the past few days, though, it has followed the broader crypto market’s resurgence and now trades at around $0.14, representing a 4% weekly increase.
The bulls are now hoping for a further rally, which will largely depend on whether Bitcoin (BTC) and the leading altcoins can sustain their positive momentum. Meanwhile, the reduced token unlocks and some other important factors also suggest that PI’s valuation may post additional gains in the near future.
The post Pi Network News and PI Price Update Today: June 15 appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Salesforce (CRM) Acquires AI Firm Fin for $3.6B to Strengthen Agentforce Platform
Key Highlights
- Salesforce has entered into an agreement to purchase AI agent specialist Fin, previously known as Intercom, in a transaction valued at $3.6 billion
- The transaction is anticipated to finalize during Salesforce’s fiscal fourth quarter of 2027
- Shares of CRM increased 0.8% to reach $167.10 on Monday, potentially breaking a nine-day decline
- Fin operates its own AI technology platform, Apex, designed exclusively for customer service applications
- Salesforce’s Agentforce platform reported a 20% increase in annual recurring revenue, reaching $1.2 billion in the company’s fiscal first quarter of 2027
On Monday, Salesforce revealed its plans to purchase Fin, the artificial intelligence agent firm that was previously operating as Intercom, through a $3.6 billion acquisition agreement.
Shares of CRM traded higher by 0.8% to $167.10 during Monday’s session. This uptick would mark the end of a nine-day downward trend. However, the stock remains down 37% on a year-to-date basis.
This strategic acquisition arrives at a time when Salesforce is experiencing increased scrutiny from shareholders concerned that AI-powered coding solutions might enable clients to develop their own customized Agentforce alternatives, potentially diminishing demand for Salesforce’s offerings.
Fin’s flagship offering is an AI agent designed to manage customer inquiries from start to finish. The technology operates seamlessly across multiple communication channels including live chat, email, WhatsApp, text messaging, phone calls, and Slack.
The platform operates using Fin’s proprietary model known as Apex. According to Salesforce, Apex has been specifically engineered for customer support applications and delivers superior resolution rates compared to leading commercial models available today.
Marc Benioff, Chief Executive Officer, described the acquisition as an ideal match. “Fin delivers battle-tested agent technology, a strong dedication to customer satisfaction, and an exceptional AI team that will enhance Agentforce with robust service agent functionalities,” Benioff stated.
Eoghan McCabe, CEO and co-founder of Fin, emphasized that the partnership provides scale his organization couldn’t achieve independently. “Through this combination with Salesforce, we can implement it extensively at a pace we never could have reached working alone,” McCabe explained.
Understanding Agentforce’s Current Performance
Agentforce demonstrated a 20% growth in annual recurring revenue, achieving $1.2 billion during fiscal Q1 2027. The addition of Fin is projected to broaden this platform’s capabilities within customer service environments.
The transaction is scheduled to conclude during Salesforce’s fiscal fourth quarter of 2027, pending specific price adjustment provisions.
Analyst Community Expresses Mixed Views
Rishi Jaluria, an analyst at RBC Capital Markets, acknowledged the strategic merit of the acquisition, particularly for customer engagement purposes. However, he raised several reservations.
“We remain uncertain about certain aspects of the acquisition rationale and recognize that this introduces further integration and execution challenges considering that Informatica, Contentful, and various smaller acquisitions are being incorporated simultaneously,” Jaluria noted on Monday.
Barron’s withdrew its recommendation for Salesforce last week, reversing its original buy rating from December.
The software industry overall has faced headwinds this year from what market observers have dubbed the “SaaSpocalypse” — apprehension that AI agents might diminish reliance on conventional SaaS products.
Heading into this week, Salesforce shares have declined 37% year-to-date.
Crypto World
StanChart Sees DeFi Growth to $2.7T as Tokenization Expands
Standard Chartered is forecasting a major acceleration in how decentralized finance (DeFi) can absorb tokenized assets. In a research note released Monday, Geoff Kendrick—head of digital assets research at the bank—projected that assets actively used in DeFi could expand 37-fold to $2.7 trillion by the end of 2030.
The estimate hinges on a shift in where tokenized value goes once it is issued. Kendrick argued that DeFi protocols could become a key distribution channel not only for crypto-native assets, but also for tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) that are increasingly being developed by traditional finance participants.
Key takeaways
- Standard Chartered expects DeFi-active tokenized assets to reach $2.7 trillion by 2030, implying a 37x increase from current levels.
- The forecast depends on both tokenized RWAs and crypto-native assets finding their way into onchain lending, trading, and other DeFi use cases.
- According to Kendrick, only 3% of stablecoins and 10% of tokenized RWAs are currently used in DeFi.
- Standard Chartered projects tokenized asset usage in DeFi rising to about 30% by end-2030, from roughly 3.5% today.
- The bank points to Uniswap as a possible hub for tokenized markets, though other researchers warn tokenization alone doesn’t solve liquidity fragmentation.
Standard Chartered’s 2030 DeFi absorption forecast
Kendrick’s central claim is that DeFi could be the next major engine for “generational wealth” in digital assets. He estimated that the amount of tokenized assets active in DeFi will grow 37x by the end of the decade.
While tokenization is often discussed as a way to bring real-world finance onto public blockchains, the investment question is how that tokenized value translates into real onchain participation. Kendrick’s projections address that by focusing on usage rates—how much of the overall tokenized supply is actually deployed inside DeFi protocols.
Per the research note, only 3% of stablecoins and 10% of tokenized RWAs are currently used in DeFi. Standard Chartered expects those tokenized shares to rise sharply over the next several years, with the portion of tokenized value used in DeFi projected to reach 30% by end-2030, up from about 3.5% today.
The scale of the jump is important: growing the absolute figure to $2.7 trillion would require both (1) rapid growth in total onchain tokenized assets and (2) a near ninefold increase in the share of that tokenized value being put to work in DeFi.
Why tokenized value may not automatically become liquid
The bank’s outlook reinforces the broader institutional argument that tokenization could re-route capital flows toward onchain systems. However, the path from issuance to deep markets is not straightforward.
The research note acknowledges—and the wider debate around tokenization highlights—that tokenization does not inherently guarantee liquidity or a unified market structure. Other researchers have warned that tokenized assets can still trade in ways that remain fragmented across ecosystems.
Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph noted concerns raised by Axis CEO Chris Kim that issuing the same asset across multiple blockchains and formats can create “siloed liquidity,” leading to pricing gaps and higher costs. In practical terms for traders and liquidity providers, that fragmentation can make it harder for market participants to find consistent pricing and for liquidity to pool efficiently—even if total market value grows.
Similarly, Oya Celiktemur of Ondo Finance told Cointelegraph at Paris Blockchain Week in April that tokenizing an illiquid asset does not “magically” make it liquid. The implication is that deeper liquidity depends on market design, distribution, and the incentives that keep trading and settlement efficient once tokenized assets reach users.
From earlier RWA estimates to a DeFi-centered distribution thesis
Standard Chartered has previously linked tokenization growth to large market expansions. The new DeFi-focused forecast builds on an earlier projection that non-stablecoin tokenized RWAs could grow to $2 trillion by the end of 2028, according to Kendrick—where tokenized money-market funds and US equities are expected to represent much of the projected market.
What’s new here is the emphasis on where those tokenized instruments are used rather than just their total outstanding value. The shift matters because DeFi impact is not measured only by token counts or issuance volumes; it’s measured by how much liquidity and trading activity migrates into onchain protocols that support borrowing, trading, and settlement.
By framing DeFi as a destination for tokenized capital, Standard Chartered is effectively proposing that tokenization’s biggest long-term value creation could be tied to protocol-level adoption—rather than confined to isolated token issuances or simple exposure products.
Uniswap as a potential liquidity bridge for tokenized markets
Alongside the usage-rate assumptions, Kendrick singled out Uniswap as a venue that could play a growing role in trading tokenized assets as more of them move onchain. He pointed to the decentralized exchange’s scale, branding, and track record of operating through multiple crypto cycles.
In his view, these characteristics could be especially relevant for traditional financial institutions that are likely to prioritize security and reliability when integrating tokenized RWAs into DeFi. Kendrick also suggested that if Uniswap is able to “commercialise enough” and form meaningful TradFi partnerships that improve scale, it could strengthen its fee-generation relative to its market capitalization—potentially narrowing the gap with major centralized exchanges.
The bank’s bet on Uniswap aligns with the thesis that tokenized-market liquidity will depend on venues capable of onboarding new assets at meaningful volume. Still, it sits in tension with the liquidity-fragmentation warnings raised by other researchers: even if a venue is technically capable of supporting tokenized assets, liquidity can remain dispersed if the same instruments arrive in multiple formats, across multiple chains, or with mismatched trading infrastructure.
Looking ahead, investors and builders should watch whether DeFi protocols can convert rising tokenization volumes into sustained onchain usage—particularly by tracking how stablecoins and tokenized RWAs distribute across different DeFi activities. The key uncertainty is whether liquidity consolidates around major venues like Uniswap or continues to fragment as tokenized assets proliferate across ecosystems.
Crypto World
Saylor’s Strategy Adds 1,587 BTC, Lifts Holdings to 846.8K
Strategy, the publicly listed company controlled by Michael Saylor, added more Bitcoin to its treasury last week, purchasing 1,587 BTC for $100 million while the token traded below the firm’s reported average cost basis.
According to Strategy’s filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, the acquisitions took place between June 8 and Sunday. The company reported an average purchase price of $63,024 per bitcoin, slightly lowering its overall average cost basis to about $75,656.
Key takeaways
- Strategy bought 1,587 BTC for $100 million between June 8 and Sunday, per an SEC 8-K filing.
- The purchases were executed at an average price of $63,024 per BTC, reducing Strategy’s average cost basis to roughly $75,656.
- Strategy now holds 846,842 BTC, with CoinGecko valuing the holdings at about $56.1 billion at roughly $66,216 per BTC.
- The latest buy was financed through sales of Strategy’s Class A common stock, while its preferred share programs showed no activity during the week.
- Ongoing discussion around Strategy’s willingness to sell Bitcoin remains tied to its need to fund dividend-style digital credit products.
Another tranche of Bitcoin purchases
Strategy’s newest move reinforces its continued accumulation strategy, even as market prices sit under its average entry cost. The company’s SEC 8-K states that it acquired 1,587 BTC for $100 million during the period spanning June 8 through Sunday.
At an average acquisition price of $63,024, the buy occurred at a level materially below Strategy’s average cost basis of approximately $75,700 referenced in the filing details. After this round, Strategy’s overall average cost basis fell slightly to $75,656.
Where the company’s Bitcoin stands today
With the latest acquisition, Strategy’s total Bitcoin holdings reach 846,842 BTC, accumulated at a combined cost of $64.07 billion. Based on CoinGecko market pricing of about $66,216 per BTC, the current value of those holdings is roughly $56.1 billion.
That gap between carrying cost and current market value matters for both equity investors and crypto-focused observers, because Strategy’s balance sheet is built around Bitcoin exposure. When BTC trades below the company’s average cost basis, each incremental purchase can help reduce that average—though it does not automatically offset the unrealized difference in value unless the market moves meaningfully higher.
Financing the buy through MSTR share sales
Strategy’s filing indicates that the purchase was funded similarly to its prior additions: by selling shares of its Class A common stock rather than relying on activity within certain preferred stock programs.
Specifically, the company said it raised about $209 million by selling 1.73 million shares during the period. It also noted that preferred share programs—including STRC, STRF, STRK, and STRD—showed no activity over the week covered by the filing.
This structure is a key element of Strategy’s approach. Rather than treating Bitcoin accumulation as an isolated treasury action, the company ties growth in BTC holdings to capital markets operations that can provide liquidity for continued buying.
Preferred stock below par and the broader sale debate
While Strategy did not report preferred program activity during the week, outside trackers have continued to highlight market pricing pressure around at least one preferred instrument. According to STRC.live, STRC remained below its $100 par value for a fourth consecutive week as of June 12, lingering in the mid-$96 range and marking the longest stretch below par since its launch.
On Friday, STRC closed at $94.80, down about 1%, according to TradingView data cited via STRC.live.
Separately, the context for why Strategy continues to sell assets to fund Bitcoin buying—and, at times, sell BTC itself—has remained a live issue in the crypto community. The company disclosed its first reported Bitcoin sale in years in connection with an earlier transaction referenced in Cointelegraph coverage: a sale of 32 BTC on June 1. Even though that amount was small relative to its overall holdings, it sparked debate about whether Strategy is shifting away from its historically strict “buy and hold” narrative.
Michael Saylor later defended the rationale, telling Cointelegraph that Bitcoin treasury companies need the ability to sell holdings to support dividend-paying securities tied to its digital credit business.
What to watch next
Investors will likely focus on whether Strategy continues to fund Bitcoin buys primarily through common stock issuance, how preferred programs trade relative to par, and—most importantly—whether future SEC disclosures show continued accumulation at prices that further narrow the company’s cost basis versus BTC’s prevailing market level.
Crypto World
Paradigm leads $9 million investment in stablecoin payments platform El Dorado
Paradigm has led a $9 million Series A funding round for Latin American payments platform El Dorado as the company expands stablecoin-powered cross-border transfers across underserved markets in the region.
Summary
- Paradigm led a $9 million Series A round for Latin American payments app El Dorado, with Coinbase Ventures and Verda Ventures also participating.
- El Dorado said it serves more than 100,000 active users, has processed over 5 million transactions, and operates across 12 countries in Latin America.
- The company has expanded into business payments on the Tempo blockchain, onboarding more than 100 corporate clients and supporting cross-border trade flows, including electric vehicle imports from China.
According to a June 15 announcement from Paradigm, the investment was made alongside Coinbase Ventures and Verda Ventures, with the firms backing El Dorado’s effort to build payment infrastructure for cross-border transactions in Latin America.
Ricardo de Arruda, partner for investing and research at Paradigm, said the region handles more than $100 billion in annual cross-border payment volume but continues to rely on systems that are slow, expensive, and difficult to navigate.
“Cross-border payments in Latin America represent one of the most underserved and underreported opportunities in global finance,” de Arruda said.
“The region moves well over $100 billion across borders annually, but is plagued by slow, expensive and opaque infrastructure. El Dorado is building the payments layer this market has long needed.”
Founded in 2022 by Latin American immigrants, El Dorado said it now serves more than 100,000 active users and has processed over 5 million transactions across the region. The company currently operates in 12 countries, including Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Costa Rica, the Dominican Republic, and Ecuador.
El Dorado targets overlooked payment corridors
Offering a different view of the market opportunity, El Dorado co-founder and CEO Guillermo Goncalvez said in an accompanying statement that the annual cross-border payment activity in Latin America is closer to $1 trillion when broader flows are considered.
According to Goncalvez, roughly 60% of those transactions involve business-to-business payments tied to imports and exports between the U.S. and Latin America. Beyond those well-known routes, he said some of the strongest demand comes from payment corridors that large financial technology firms often overlook.
One of El Dorado’s busiest routes today connects Brazil and Bolivia, a market Goncalvez said remains underserved despite strong commercial activity. He added that countries such as Bolivia, Paraguay, Ecuador, and Peru receive less attention from larger fintech providers including Nubank and Wise.
Alongside consumer payments, El Dorado has introduced a dedicated business platform for companies moving money across borders. According to the company, the service combines fiat and stablecoin payment rails within a single application while supporting multi-signature and multi-organization account structures.
Goncalvez added that more than 100 business customers have joined the platform, with imports of electric vehicles from China emerging as one of the most common use cases.
Built on Tempo, a Layer 1 blockchain developed through a partnership between Paradigm and Stripe, the service forms part of a payment infrastructure strategy both organizations have been developing this year. Josh Itzkovitz, GTM at Tempo, said the network allows businesses worldwide to open accounts regardless of whether they maintain a U.S. legal entity.
The investment also adds to Paradigm’s growing activity outside traditional crypto venture funding. In recent months, the firm has backed manufacturing company SendCutSend in a $110 million funding round, partnered with Stripe on the Tempo blockchain network, and participated in policy discussions surrounding stablecoin regulation in the U.S.
Earlier this month, Paradigm submitted comments to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation urging regulators not to restrict third-party stablecoin reward programs, arguing that such limitations extend beyond what Congress approved under the GENIUS Act. Those efforts, together with the launch of Tempo and the El Dorado investment, place stablecoin-based payment infrastructure at the center of several of the firm’s recent initiatives.
Crypto World
Wallet V Launches Public Performance Benchmark for AI Trading Agents on Hyperliquid and Aster
Wallet V, a self-custody Web3 wallet, launched a public performance benchmark for the AI trading agents that its users have configured on the third-party decentralized derivatives platforms Hyperliquid and Aster. The benchmark publishes aggregate cohort performance and is hosted on the Wallet V website.
The benchmark covers 688 agents created by Wallet V users over the prior two months. Each agent was configured by the user, used a large language model selected by the user to generate trading decisions, and executed on Hyperliquid or Aster. Wallet V aggregates the on-platform performance of those agents by underlying model. Performance is refreshed as new agents are deployed.
The cohort spans seven large language model families. Across the cohort, 42 percent of agents recorded a profit and loss balance of zero or higher over the period. Peak agent-level return on investment in the dataset ranged from negative 30 percent on the lowest-performing model to positive 307 percent on the highest. Models represented by fewer than 10 agents in the cohort are reported as directional rather than statistically conclusive.
Agents in the cohort executed strategies as perpetual futures across four asset classes available on Hyperliquid and Aster. These include major digital assets such as BTC, ETH, and SOL; equities, including pre-initial public offering equity exposure; commodities including gold, silver, and oil benchmarks; and major foreign exchange pairs. All instruments are accessed through third-party venues.
“At Wallet V, the focus has been on building infrastructure for the next phase of crypto. This benchmark is what that next phase looks like up close. Users now decide which AI model to configure their agent in the same way institutions evaluate managers, by reviewing observable performance over time,” said Adam Cai, Founder & CEO of Virgo Group.
Wallet V plans to extend the benchmark in subsequent releases. Future releases include the addition of newer model families, support for prediction markets, advanced analytics features for copilot trading and personalized AI prompt generation tailored to each user’s trading style.
The Wallet V applications for iOS and Android are available at dl.walletv.io.
About Wallet V
Wallet V is a Web3 self-custody wallet that gives users access to third-party AI models to configure AI agents and execute user-defined trading strategies. The application connects to third-party platforms supporting cross-chain swaps, perpetual futures, prediction markets, and onchain exposure to tokenized equities.
Wallet V is an incubation project by Virgo Group, a digital asset service provider led by CEO Adam Cai. Virgo Group is backed by investors including Draper Dragon, OKX Ventures, Vaulta Foundation, Cobo Ventures, Waterdrip Capital, and Sora Ventures.
Disclaimer
Trading crypto, perpetual contracts, tokenized assets, and prediction markets involves significant risk of loss and is offered by third-party platforms. Wallet V is a software provider that connects to external platforms and does not offer trading services or AI automation tools directly or indirectly. Wallet V does not provide investment, tax, or legal advice. Access to certain products may be restricted in some jurisdictions.
The post Wallet V Launches Public Performance Benchmark for AI Trading Agents on Hyperliquid and Aster appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
AI Fake or Genuine Leak? Viral Eric Trump UFC Messages Trigger Online Firestorm
Eric Trump says viral screenshots showing him asking UFC commentator Daniel Cormier whether White House fights were rigged are AI-generated fakes. Cormier posted the alleged messages, deleted them within minutes, then questioned the uproar.
The dispute erupted around UFC Freedom 250, staged on the White House South Lawn on June 14. Neither side has produced platform data, so the authenticity of the exchange remains unresolved.
What the Alleged Messages Showed
The screenshots depicted an Instagram-style chat in which Eric Trump appears to probe Cormier for an edge before the fights.
He allegedly asked about injuries, wagering, and then whether any bouts were rigged, singling out the Diego Lopes featherweight fight and adding a “$$” symbol.
Cormier, a former two-division champion and lead UFC analyst, replied that he cannot bet and that nothing was fixed.
The card ran during a Trump-linked White House event marking the country’s 250th anniversary and the president’s 80th birthday.
The fight he allegedly named was real. Lopes, a former two-time title challenger, opened the South Lawn card on June 14 and stopped surging contender Steve Garcia by second-round knockout.
Denials Versus Eyewitness Accounts
Eric Trump addressed the matter directly on X (Twitter), tagging the UFC and Dana White.
“We are aware of the fake, AI generated screenshots being circulated online. I have never spoken to Daniel. He has since deleted his post, which confirms it was clearly fabricated,” wrote Trump.
Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens
He went further in comments to the Wall Street Journal, denying the conversation ever happened.
Kimberly Benza, a Trump Organization communications director, also called the images fabricated.
However, MMA writer Adam Martin said he saw Cormier’s post live before deletion, and a community note argued that deleting a post does not prove the messages were fake.
The UFC has not commented publicly.
Trump’s AI defense is not far-fetched. AI deepfake misinformation has scaled quickly, with deepfake-related crypto scams driving losses of more than $200 million in the first quarter of 2025 alone.
The alleged request landed amid mounting scrutiny of wagering on real-world outcomes.
One Polymarket trader recently netted about $1 million on bets on Google searches, and platforms have since tightened prediction market insider rules after a string of suspicious payouts.
The post AI Fake or Genuine Leak? Viral Eric Trump UFC Messages Trigger Online Firestorm appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Ron Baron bought $1 billion of SpaceX shares in IPO, lifting stake to $25 billion

Early SpaceX investor Ron Baron wasn’t taking profits during its blockbuster stock-market debut. He was buying more.
The billionaire investor said Baron Capital purchased an additional $1 billion worth of SpaceX shares Friday during the company’s initial public offering, increasing the firm’s position in Elon Musk‘s rocket and satellite company to roughly $25 billion.
The purchase marks a fresh vote of confidence from one of SpaceX’s earliest and most enthusiastic institutional backers, even after the company’s valuation soared to $2 trillion.
“I think we’re going to make hundreds of billions of dollars,” Baron said Monday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box.” “What they’ve done isn’t possible for anyone else to accomplish. Not possible. And so he’s at least 10 years ahead of everyone else, as far as making satellites, as far as making rockets, as far as building networks.”
Baron said he participated in the IPO to maintain his firm’s ownership percentage as the company sold new shares to the public.
“I didn’t want to get diluted,” Baron said. “I wanted a billion dollars to keep our percentage the same … I’m an investor in a business. I’m not buying and selling or trading.”
Baron first invested in SpaceX in 2017 through employee tender offers when the company was valued at less than $22 billion and has since participated in 27 funding rounds.
As of March 31, SpaceX accounted for 33% of assets in the $10.4 billion Baron Partners Fund and 25.5% of the Baron Asset Fund. Combined with the firm’s sizable position in Tesla, about half of the assets in some Baron portfolios are tied to companies led by Musk.
Baron acknowledged that SpaceX’s valuation has climbed dramatically since his initial investment, but said he believes the company’s growth potential remains vastly underappreciated.
“I think that with now being valued at $2 trillion, I think it’s going to be valued in 10 years at $20 trillion, $30 trillion, $40 trillion,” Baron said.
The veteran investor argued that Musk’s ambitions extend beyond building a successful aerospace company.
“Normally, our economy doubles roughly every 10 years,” he said. “What he thinks is, by the innovations and the work that he’s doing, he’s going to make the economy grow 10 times in 10 years, not double.”
Crypto World
Strive’s Werkman says Bitcoin downturn may force treasury firms to restructure
Bitcoin treasury companies may need to revisit their capital structures if Bitcoin remains under pressure, with consolidation becoming more likely across the sector, according to Strive Chief Investment Officer Ben Werkman.
Summary
- Strive CIO Ben Werkman said prolonged Bitcoin weakness could push some treasury companies toward consolidation, particularly those carrying debt funded accumulation strategies.
- Werkman pointed to balance sheet restructuring efforts at firms such as Nakamoto and cited Strive’s acquisition of Semler Scientific as a sign of what could follow.
- He also defended Strategy’s recent sale of 32 BTC, saying it helped demonstrate Bitcoin’s liquidity even as the company continued expanding its holdings to 846,842 BTC.
Speaking at BTC Prague, Werkman said companies that relied heavily on convertible debt during the bitcoin treasury boom could face increasing strain if Bitcoin remains far below its October peak near $126,000.
While higher Bitcoin prices would ease many of those concerns, he said an extended downturn could leave some firms with difficult choices. Under those conditions, companies may need to sell Bitcoin to fund operations or manage debt obligations, particularly where financing arrangements include collateral or coverage requirements.
Werkman said Strive was “one of the only ones that didn’t take any convertible bonds” when building its bitcoin treasury strategy, explaining that the company relied on equity financing instead. According to him, that approach has allowed Strive to continue expanding through the current market cycle without facing the same pressures as some debt funded peers.
Consolidation could accelerate if market weakness continues
Among the outcomes he expects, consolidation sits near the top of the list.
Pointing to Strive’s acquisition of bitcoin treasury company Semler Scientific, Werkman said more mergers could emerge if financially constrained firms seek alternatives to operating independently. He added that company leaders are often reluctant to sell at discounted valuations, which has limited deal activity so far.
In Semler’s case, Werkman said the transaction came together because Semler Scientific Chairman Eric Semler supported the preferred-stock model that Strive had been developing, even though the proposal failed to gain enough shareholder support at Semler itself.
Elsewhere in the sector, firms have already started adjusting their balance sheets. Werkman cited efforts by Nakamoto to reduce debt burdens and regain operating flexibility, describing those moves as attempts to free companies from financing constraints that accumulated during more favorable market conditions.
The comments arrive as investors continue to examine how bitcoin treasury firms balance aggressive accumulation strategies with debt servicing requirements and shareholder obligations.
Recent developments at Strategy illustrate that debate.
Earlier this month, the company disclosed the sale of 32 BTC, a move that attracted attention because of its long-standing commitment to accumulating Bitcoin. The transaction raised roughly $2.5 million at an average price of $77,135 per coin, according to previous crypto.news reporting.
Questions about the sale intensified after some market participants interpreted it as a departure from Strategy’s accumulation strategy. Company executives later rejected that view.
Strategy CEO Phong Le said the sale was conducted as a test of internal systems rather than a move to generate cash for dividend payments. He added that the company still had access to funding channels such as equity issuance and preferred stock offerings.
Strategy’s bitcoin sale draws attention from treasury firms
Discussing the transaction, Werkman said the sale carried significance beyond its size because it helped demonstrate Bitcoin’s liquidity to credit markets and rating agencies.
According to him, rating agencies currently assign Strategy a rating that effectively treats the Bitcoin on its balance sheet as having no value when assessing creditworthiness. Under those conditions, proving the ability to sell Bitcoin and convert it into cash becomes important for treasury companies that maintain dividend obligations.
He argued that Strategy needed to show investors and lenders that the market could absorb Bitcoin sales if necessary and that the company could access that value when conditions required.
The sale did not prevent Strategy from continuing its accumulation program.
On June 15, Michael Saylor announced that Strategy had purchased 1,587 BTC for approximately $100 million, increasing total holdings to 846,842 BTC. The company also expanded its cash reserve by another $100 million, bringing total dollar reserves to $1.1 billion.
Previous crypto.news reporting noted that Strategy had raised its cash position to $1 billion after acquiring 1,550 BTC during the first week of June. With another purchase now completed, the company has continued adding Bitcoin while simultaneously increasing liquidity.
For Werkman, that approach supports a practical reality facing treasury companies. He said firms cannot build balance sheets around a single asset while refusing to use that asset under any circumstances. In his view, occasional sales, when required, help demonstrate Bitcoin’s resilience as a treasury asset rather than undermine the long-term strategy behind holding it.
Crypto World
Kraken’s FIFA Campaign Proves Crypto Still Doesn’t Know How To Reach New People
Kraken just became the official crypto exchange of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Their marketing message? It’s clearly not for FIFA fans. It’s for people already in crypto. Here’s why that’s the biggest missed opportunity in sports marketing.
The Message That Reveals Everything
Kraken’s FIFA 2026 campaign just dropped. Here’s their pitch:
“Some watch every match; some only the ones that matter. Some are ride-or-die for one team, every win, every heartbreak, for life. Others just love the game, no matter who’s playing. Crypto’s no different. Some study every chart. Some go all-in on one coin and hold for years. Others just want a bit of everything. Kraken is built for all of them.”
Read that carefully.
Who is this message for?
Not FIFA fans discovering crypto. For people who already understand crypto talking about crypto using a soccer analogy.
That’s not a conversion pitch. That’s in-group messaging masquerading as a mainstream campaign.
What A Real Conversion Campaign Would Look Like
If Kraken was actually trying to convert FIFA fans, the billions of people watching the World Cup, the message would be completely different.
It would translate crypto concepts into soccer language:
Option 1 (Direct conversion): “You believe in your team. You invest emotion, time, loyalty. Investing in crypto is the same thing, belief, conviction, loyalty to an asset. Kraken makes that easy.”
Option 2 (Simple Value Prop): “Your national team wins, you celebrate. An investment wins, you profit. Kraken lets you profit from your convictions.”
Option 3 (Accessibility Angle): “Not everyone can afford to buy a team. Everyone can afford to invest in crypto. Kraken makes it accessible.”
What Kraken actually did: Used “hodlers” (a crypto insider term) in a campaign aimed at… FIFA fans?
No. Not FIFA fans. Crypto people who follow FIFA.
The Smoking Gun: “Hodlers”
The word “hodlers” is the tell.
A FIFA fan watching the World Cup has no idea what a “hodler” is. They’ve never heard the term. It means nothing to them.
But a crypto person? They know exactly what that means. It’s the crypto community’s inside joke about holding investments long-term.
Kraken used an insider term in a campaign supposedly designed to reach mainstream sports fans.
That’s not an accident. That’s evidence the campaign was never designed to convert new people.
It was designed to give existing crypto people a campaign they’d recognize and share with other crypto people.
That’s not marketing. That’s community building for people already bought in.
Why This Is A Massive Missed Opportunity
FIFA 2026 is the biggest sporting event in the world. It’s watched by over a billion people.
Kraken has access to all of them.
And what did Kraken do? They created a campaign that only resonates with people who already understand crypto.
Do you know how many potential new crypto users Kraken just failed to convert?
All of them.
Instead of saying “Crypto is like soccer-passion, belief, investment,” Kraken said “We understand your hodling journey, fellow hodlers.”
Those are not the same message. One converts. One reinforces.
The Pattern This Reveals
This isn’t just Kraken. This is crypto’s fundamental problem:
Crypto doesn’t know how to talk to people outside crypto.
Every major crypto campaign makes the same mistake:
- They use insider terminology (HODL, diamond hands, paper hands, rugpull, etc.)
- They assume people already understand the concept
- They communicate to crypto people using sports/culture metaphors
- They act surprised when mainstream adoption doesn’t happen
Kraken just demonstrated this at scale. With a billion-person audience. And a $X million sponsorship budget.
And they wasted it by talking to people who already get it.
What This Actually Reveals About Crypto’s Status
Here’s what Kraken’s campaign accidentally proves:
Crypto has stopped trying to convert mainstream audiences.
Why? Because it failed. The aggressive “mainstream adoption” campaigns of 2022 didn’t work. So now crypto is just trying to:
- Retain existing users
- Extract more value from them
- Use mainstream visibility to communicate insider concepts
That’s not expansion. That’s consolidation.
Kraken didn’t say “FIFA fans should discover crypto.” Kraken said “Crypto people, here’s a FIFA metaphor you’ll understand.”
The audience shifted. The opportunity shrunk. And nobody noticed because the sponsorship was so flashy.
How To Actually Use A FIFA Sponsorship
If I were Kraken, here’s what I’d do:
Phase 1: Convert Target FIFA fans with crypto-as-investment messaging. “Your team wins, you celebrate. Your investment wins, you profit. Here’s how.”
Phase 2: Educate Create FIFA-themed explainers. “How Bitcoin works (explained through FIFA analogies).” “What is a blockchain (using team formations as analogy).”
Phase 3: Onboard Make it stupidly easy for FIFA fans to buy crypto. Remove friction. Simple interface. Clear language.
Phase 4: Retain Once they’re in, communicate in crypto language. Now the insider terminology makes sense.
Instead, Kraken jumped straight to Phase 4 with a billion-person audience.
That’s not strategy. That’s leaving money on the table.
The Uncomfortable Truth
Crypto has accepted that mainstream adoption failed.
Instead of trying again with better messaging, crypto is now:
- Using mainstream visibility to communicate with existing users
- Creating insider-friendly campaigns that alienate newcomers
- Celebrating “official sponsorships” while failing to convert anyone
Kraken’s FIFA campaign is just the clearest example.
A billion-person audience. A chance to convert millions of new users. And the message was: “Fellow hodlers, here’s a crypto metaphor for soccer.”
That’s not a World Cup campaign. That’s a Reddit post dressed up as a major sponsorship.
What Comes Next
Crypto will claim the Kraken FIFA partnership is a victory.
Official sponsorships. Mainstream visibility. Biggest World Cup ever.
But the campaign itself—the actual message Kraken created—reveals the truth:
Crypto isn’t trying to convert new people anymore. Crypto is just trying to extract more value from people already in the ecosystem.
That’s not a sign of maturity. That’s a sign of surrender.
And a billion FIFA fans just learned… absolutely nothing about crypto, because Kraken was never trying to teach them.
The Real Lesson
If you want to reach a mainstream audience with a niche product, you have to translate it into their language.
Kraken had the opportunity. They had the budget. They had the audience.
They just didn’t have the vision to actually try.
Instead, they created a campaign for people who didn’t need converting.
That’s the most expensive way to reinforce what people already know.
What should Kraken’s FIFA campaign have said to actually convert fans? Drop your ideas, but make them actually appeal to someone who knows nothing about crypto.
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