Crypto World
Catapult Trade adds co-founder, expands operations after KuCoin Ventures investment
- Catapult Trade has appointed Claire “Cookie” Dang as VP of Growth and Co-Founder.
- Dang previously held growth and business development roles at Binance, KuCoin, and Crypto.com.
- The expansion is being funded in part by the KuCoin Ventures investment.
Catapult Trade has appointed Claire “Cookie” Dang as VP of Growth and Co-Founder, the latest in a series of moves that have widened the trading platform’s operations following an investment from KuCoin Ventures.
Dang held growth and business development roles at Binance, KuCoin, and Crypto.com before joining and will lead community growth and international expansion.
Her arrival has come alongside a broader push on the company’s external presence.
Catapult Trade has launched a sponsored podcast, Terminally Online, featuring Web3 founders and operators, and has assembled a media network from acquired social channels with a combined reach of over 20 million followers.
The company has also run trading activity collaborations with the exchange Gate.
The expansion is being funded in part by the KuCoin Ventures investment, disclosed earlier this year; terms were not made public, and the company said its funding round remains open, with proceeds also directed toward regional expansion in markets underserved by conventional financial infrastructure.
Catapult Trade opened to the public in December 2025 after a pre-launch incentives campaign that built its first base of traders and creators.
The platform runs on algorithmically generated price charts rather than an orderbook or live price feed.
Each session’s full price path is generated in advance and committed to a cryptographic hash published before trading begins, then revealed at settlement, letting users verify that the chart was never altered mid-session.
The company frames the design as a correction to conditions on memecoin launchpads, where hidden information has consistently worked against retail traders.
Since launch, the platform has recorded more than $1.5 billion in cumulative trading volume and over 80,000 monthly active users, with no paid acquisition behind the figures.
The platform’s chart-generation engine has passed two independent security audits, most recently by Halborn and earlier by Hashlock, with the company committing to annual reviews.
A points system has run since launch, fueling speculation about a token distribution; the company has confirmed in community sessions that a token is planned, but has released no allocation or vesting details.
A second product, Catapult Hyper, is in development and would extend the platform from synthetic charts into multichain token launches built on LayerZero’s omnichain fungible token standard.
The build-out reflects the standards now being applied to crypto products.
Where the previous cycle’s flagships rested on token speculation, the current cohort, led by names such as Hyperliquid in perpetuals and Polymarket in prediction markets, is judged on user demand and revenue.
Catapult Trade is being scaled on the same terms, in a category, gamified short-session trading on verifiable charts, that has yet to see an incumbent at scale.
Crypto World
Broadcom Stock Dropped 15% Despite a Record Quarter and AI Revenue
Broadcom stock fell about 16% even after the company posted a record AI quarter and won fresh target hikes from Bank of America and Morningstar.
The selloff is the puzzle. A record quarter and bullish targets were met by a stock that dropped hard, and the answer lies in earnings quality and money flow, not the headlines.
Broadcom Stock Earns a Record Quarter and Target Hikes
Broadcom (NASDAQ: AVGO) gave the bulls plenty. Second-quarter revenue hit $22.2 billion, up 48% from a year earlier, a record. Yet, the price now stares at a big dip.
AI semiconductor revenue reached $10.8 billion, up 143%, and bookings topped $30 billion against $10.8 billion shipped. That backlog extends demand visibility into 2028.
The guidance went further. Management guided third-quarter revenue to about $29.4 billion, up 84%, put full-year 2026 AI revenue near $56 billion, around 180% growth, and reiterated more than $100 billion for 2027.
Software helped too. Infrastructure software added $7.2 billion, up 9%, with annual recurring revenue up 17%.
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Analysts responded. Morningstar lifted its target to $650 from $550, per FinViz, followed by Bank of America. Broadcom stock is up 37.86% this year and has rallied about 70% since late March.
Those records, however, hide a per-share story that helps explain the selloff.
The Quiet Numbers Under Broadcom Stock’s Hood
Pull up the multi-quarter picture, and the three charts disagree. Sales are a clean climb, from $11.96 billion in early 2024 to $19.31 billion, then $22.2 billion this quarter.
GAAP earnings per share are not clean. GAAP earnings are the official bottom-line profit per share, calculated after all costs. That includes one-time items like the bill for buying other companies, which is why the line jumps around.
EPS ran $0.28, then $0.44, then posted a $0.40 loss in one 2024 quarter due to acquisition charges. It recovered unevenly to $1.50 and the latest $1.91.
The share count is the quieter tell. It has crept up from 4.63 billion to 4.74 billion, so dilution works against holders even as the company buys back stock.
The current quarter shows the same squeeze on quality. Gross margin, the share of sales left after the direct cost of making the chips, was 77.1%. That is down 230 basis points, or 2.3 percentage points, from a year earlier.
Broadcom guides that figure to about 74% next quarter. The reason is the AI mix itself. Custom AI chips carry lower margins than the legacy chip and software lines. So the faster they grow, the more they pull down the blended margin.
That is the quiet warning in a record quarter. The same AI demand driving the headline numbers is also making each new dollar of sales less profitable. Records on the top line, thinner quality underneath.
If the growth is this good but the quality is slipping, the next question is simple. Did the money that sets the price already see it and start to leave?
Money Flow and Options Traders Turn Cautious
The flow had been fading before the print. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), a proxy for institutional buying and selling pressure, remains positive at 0.11, but has dropped from about 0.5 in early May.
From roughly May 14 to June 2, the price trended higher while the CMF trended lower. That bearish divergence, with sell volume near 50 million shares, suggests institutional buyers were thinning out as the rally progressed.
Options traders leaned the same way. The put-call ratio compares put to call activity, with a reading above 1 marking a bearish lean. Before the report, its open interest reading was 1.12.
After the June 3 results, that reading eased only to 1.09. The volume ratio even rose from 0.51 to 0.54 on fresh put buying. The options crowd kept paying for downside protection rather than chasing upside.
That is the link to the money flow. CMF tracks whether cash is moving into or out of the shares, and it was fading. The put-call ratio tracks how the options market is positioned, and it stayed defensive.
One reads the cash tape, the other reads the derivatives book, and both show the same caution in the rally.
With buying thinning and hedging building, the positioning data decides the rest.
The Positioning Data That Settle It
Crypto-native traders moving into stocks are bracing, too. On Hyperliquid, the perpetual smart money cohort is fully short at about $1.06 million, with nothing on the long side.
Whales tell a sharper story. The group holds about $4.00 million in AVGO, split $2.63 million short against $1.36 million long. That is a net short lean. The only long-only group, public figures, holds just $2,100, too small to matter.
One whale’s book shows why this is AVGO-specific, not an AI retreat. That trader runs a $1.69 million long on the S&P 500 and a $1.42 million long on Nvidia.
Yet the same wallet holds only about $25,000 of AVGO, a small long opened near $409 after the drop. So it is bullish the broad market and the wider AI trade while barely touching Broadcom.
These are synthetic crypto contracts that track sentiment and do not move the listed shares. Still, the lean matches the caution seen in the cash and options data.
Put together, the signals tell one story. Broadcom delivered records, yet the traders setting the price are leaning short or standing aside after the post-earnings drop. That holds even for wallets still long the rest of the AI complex.
The drop was not business-breaking. It was a crowded trade meeting, with guidance confirming strength without topping the highest hopes. For investors, the read is positioning, not panic.
The post Broadcom Stock Dropped 15% Despite a Record Quarter and AI Revenue appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Bitcoin crashed below $62,000. What happened
Bitcoin has been in freefall since June 2, 2026. What started as a midday flash crash that knocked the price from about $71,765 to $67,895 has turned into a three-day slide.
Summary
- Bitcoin fell below $62,000 after a three-day selloff that erased months of gains and triggered roughly $1.8 billion in liquidations.
- Data showed leverage had climbed to levels last seen before the October 2025 crash, leaving the market vulnerable to a liquidation cascade.
- Analysts pointed to weakening Bitcoin demand, persistent ETF outflows, and broader risk aversion as factors that kept prices under pressure after the initial drop.
By June 4, Bitcoin had fallen to $61,655, its lowest level in months and more than 50% below the October 2025 all-time high near $126,200.
The selloff has wiped out roughly $1.8 billion in leveraged positions, flushed more than 272,000 traders, and dragged Bitcoin below Strategy’s average purchase price for the first time since late 2023.
Long positions, the bets on prices rising, made up nearly nine-tenths of the damage. The drop looked sudden, the kind of out-of-nowhere move that sends everyone hunting for a single villain. It was not out of nowhere.
The on-chain data had been flashing warnings for days, the leverage was sitting at levels last seen right before the previous major crash, and the spark that lit the fuse was almost comically small.
This is what actually happened, in order.
The setup: leverage at crash levels
The most important fact about this crash is that the market was primed for it before anything happened. The crash was not caused by the trigger. It was caused by the conditions, and the trigger just lit them.
Before the drop, the derivatives market was dangerously stretched. Bitcoin’s futures open interest leverage ratio, a gauge of how much borrowed money is sitting in the futures market relative to Bitcoin’s size, had climbed to 2.63% on June 2. The perpetual-futures version reached 2.48%. Both were the highest readings since October 6, 2025.
That date should make anyone who trades crypto nervous, because October 6, 2025 was right before the “Black Friday” crash, one of the most violent liquidation events of the last cycle. In other words, the amount of leverage in the system on June 2 had quietly built back up to the exact level it sat at immediately before the previous major wipeout.
Funding rates were running hot, meaning traders were paying a premium to hold long positions, a classic sign that bullish bets had become crowded and one-directional.
When leverage gets that stretched and positioning gets that crowded, the market becomes fragile in a specific way. A large mass of leveraged long positions sits stacked at similar price levels, each with a liquidation point not far below the current price.
All it takes is a push big enough to hit the first cluster of those liquidation points, and the rest go like dominoes. The market did not need a major catastrophe to crash. It needed a nudge, because the structure was already a tower of leverage waiting to topple.
The spark: a 32-coin sale
The nudge, almost absurdly, was a $2.5 million Bitcoin sale by a company that owns roughly $61 billion of it.
On June 1, Strategy, the Michael Saylor-led firm that is the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, disclosed in an SEC filing that it had sold 32 Bitcoin for about $2.5 million to help fund dividends on its preferred stock. In raw market terms, 32 coins is statistically irrelevant. Global Bitcoin spot turnover runs into the tens of billions of dollars daily. A $2.5 million sale does not move the price by itself any more than a bucket of water changes the level of a lake.
What made it matter was the symbolism. Strategy wrote the playbook for aggressive, never-sell corporate Bitcoin accumulation. For years, the company’s refusal to sell was a load-bearing belief for a certain kind of Bitcoin holder. So when the filing showed Strategy selling for the first time since 2022, it did not register as a tiny dividend-funding operation.
It registered, especially among retail traders on forums like Stocktwits who pointed to Saylor’s decision as the primary cause, as the guy who said he would never sell, selling. That broke a psychological anchor, and in a market sitting on October-2025 levels of leverage, breaking a psychological anchor was enough.
The sequence matters here. The sale itself did not crash the market. The sale dented sentiment, sentiment nudged the price down toward the first cluster of leveraged long liquidation points, and then the leverage did the rest. The 32 coins were the match. The leverage was the gasoline.
The cascade: how the dominoes fell
Once the price broke through the first liquidation cluster, the mechanism took over, and the mechanism is brutal and automatic.
Here is how a liquidation cascade works. When a trader uses leverage to bet on Bitcoin rising, the exchange sets a liquidation price below the entry. If the price falls to that level, the exchange automatically closes the position by selling, to prevent the trader’s losses from exceeding their collateral. That forced selling pushes the price down further. The lower price hits the next cluster of liquidation points, forcing more automatic selling, which pushes the price down again. Each wave of forced selling triggers the next. It is a chain reaction that feeds on itself, and it can run far faster than any human can react.
On June 2 the chain reaction was violent. Roughly $394 million in leveraged positions were force-closed in a single hour. Over the next 24 hours, the total reached about $1.02 billion, and as the slide continued, the broader wipeout swelled toward $1.8 billion, one of the largest liquidation events of 2026 and the biggest since the prior October’s crash. More than 272,000 traders were liquidated.
The long-short split tells the whole story: roughly $1.57 billion of the liquidations were long positions versus only about $215.7 million in shorts. This was a crowd of bullish, leveraged traders getting flushed almost all at once.
The selling was not only in the derivatives market. Spot Bitcoin moving onto exchanges, often a precursor to selling, spiked sharply. Total exchange inflows reached about 58,617 Bitcoin, the highest since April 14, and higher than the roughly 46,527 Bitcoin that flowed in just before the October 2025 Black Friday crash. More coins were being moved to exchanges to sell this time than ahead of that previous wipeout, which is part of why the slide kept going rather than snapping back.
The damage spread across the market. Bitcoin led with over $833 million in liquidations, Ethereum followed with nearly $480 million as it fell toward $1,857, Solana saw over $90 million, and XRP dropped around 3%. The total crypto market capitalization fell to around $2.42 trillion.
The slide that kept going
A normal flash crash bounces. This one did not, and that is what separates the June 2 event from an ordinary leverage flush.
After the initial June 2 cascade, Bitcoin failed to recover. It opened June 3 below $67,000, dipped toward the $65,400 area, and retested its February low for the third time. By June 4, it had broken below $62,000, touching $61,655, erasing months of recovery and falling more than 50% below the October 2025 peak. Ethereum opened June 3 below $2,000, down more than 7%. Each attempted bounce was sold into.
The reason the slide kept going points to something deeper than leverage. CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, argued the correction was about Bitcoin demand contracting, not about stocks, oil, or macro. By his measure, overall demand for Bitcoin, speculative and spot combined, was shrinking at a monthly pace of about 232,000 Bitcoin.
US equities, by contrast, were sitting at record highs at the same moment, which undercuts the idea that this was simply a broad risk-off move dragging everything down together. On this reading, Bitcoin was falling because fewer people wanted to buy it, full stop, and a leverage flush on top of contracting demand produces a slide rather than a quick snapback.
The drop also pushed Bitcoin below a symbolically heavy line: Strategy’s average purchase price, for the first time since late 2023. The largest corporate holder of Bitcoin was now underwater on its average position, which deepened the very sentiment problem that Strategy’s small sale had started.
The other pressures in the background
The leverage and the demand contraction explain the mechanics, but several other forces were leaning on the market at the same time, which is why the selling found so little support on the way down.
ETF outflows were the steadiest pressure. Spot Bitcoin ETFs had entered an extended consecutive-selloff streak that reached 11 to 12 days, the longest run since the products launched, with total withdrawals of roughly $3.45 billion. That meant the largest channel of institutional demand was not buying the dip. It was a net seller, removing the buyer that might otherwise have absorbed the cascade.
The macro backdrop was risk-off. Renewed Middle East tensions, with Iran-related uncertainty pushing oil prices higher, drove a broad move out of risk assets. The crash also landed at the start of a jobs week, with US job openings data due ahead of payrolls, leaving traders defensive ahead of data that could move rate-cut expectations. Sticky inflation worries and renewed dollar strength added to the pressure, since a stronger dollar makes Bitcoin less attractive to global buyers.
There was even an on-chain wrinkle: reported movement from old Mt. Gox-related wallets, the kind of dormant-coin shuffle that occasionally spooks the market with fears of long-held supply hitting exchanges. And underneath all of it sat the cycle argument. Some analysts read the drop as the four-year cycle simply playing out, with the post-peak drawdown that historically follows a major top now underway. On this view, the crash was not an anomaly at all but the expected behavior of an asset more than a year past its cycle high.
Where prediction markets see it going
With the slide still fresh, the clearest read on sentiment comes from where traders are actually putting money, and the prediction markets have turned sharply bearish.
On Polymarket, the most active Bitcoin market shifted to pricing a roughly two-thirds chance that Bitcoin hits $55,000 or lower before 2027. Traders priced a 72% chance of a drop below $65,000 in 2026, and the same market showed meaningful odds, around half, of a fall to $50,000, with smaller but non-trivial odds assigned to $45,000 and even $40,000.
These contracts resolve based on whether Bitcoin records a low at or below the listed price, so they reflect where traders think the floor could be tested, not necessarily where it settles.
The analyst commentary matched the bearish tilt. CryptoQuant said a bear market has persisted since November 2025 and warned that bottoms take months to form, with Moreno cautioning against trying to call a bottom right after a fresh leg down.
That said, the same prediction markets still showed a slight majority assigning odds to Bitcoin reclaiming $100,000 by year-end, a reminder that even bearish crowds were not writing off a recovery entirely. The honest summary of market sentiment is that the crowd now sees real downside risk toward $55,000 and below, while keeping a smaller bet alive that this resolves higher by December.
Why this keeps happening
If this sequence feels familiar, that is because it is. The specific trigger changes every time, but the underlying pattern of crypto crashes is remarkably consistent, and understanding it is more useful than memorizing any single day’s news.
The recurring ingredient is always leverage. Crypto offers traders enormous leverage, often far beyond what regulated traditional markets allow, and during calm bullish stretches that leverage accumulates. Traders pile into long positions, funding rates climb, and open interest swells.
The market looks strong on the surface because the price is rising, but underneath it is becoming more fragile with every additional leveraged long, because each one is a liquidation point waiting to be hit. The October 2025 crash had this setup. The June 2026 crash had this setup. The pattern repeats because the incentive to use leverage during a rally never goes away.
The trigger is almost always secondary. It can be a Saylor sale, a macro headline, a large whale moving coins, a technical break of a watched level. What matters is not the size of the trigger but whether the market is leveraged enough for the trigger to start a cascade. A $2.5 million sale starting a slide in a $1.2 trillion asset class makes no sense until you understand that the sale was not the cause, just the ignition. In an unleveraged market, the same sale would have been a non-event.
This is why seasoned traders watch funding rates and the open-interest leverage ratio more closely than they watch any individual news item. The news tells you what lit the fuse. The leverage data tells you how big the explosion will be.
Where this leaves things
The June crash was a leverage event that turned into a demand event. The headline says Bitcoin crashed because Saylor sold, and that is the version most people will remember. The fuller version is that Bitcoin was carrying its highest leverage since the eve of the last major wipeout, a small symbolically loaded sale started the dominoes, and then a genuine contraction in Bitcoin demand kept the price sliding for three days instead of letting it bounce.
The numbers that matter going forward are not the 32 coins. They are the roughly $1.8 billion liquidated, the 272,000 traders flushed, the 232,000-Bitcoin monthly demand contraction CryptoQuant flagged, and the fall below Strategy’s average cost basis. The liquidation cascade was, mechanically, a reset: it cleared out the crowded long leverage that made the market fragile, which is often a precondition for stabilization.
But the demand contraction is the worrying part, because a leverage flush fixes itself in hours while demand can persist for months. That is the distinction between a dip and a deeper decline, and right now the data points to both forces being present at once.
What it does not settle is direction. A leverage flush resets the derivatives market, but where Bitcoin goes from its post-crash level near $62,000 depends on the things that have nothing to do with leverage: whether ETF outflows reverse, whether demand stops contracting, whether the Middle East risk-off eases, whether the jobs data shifts rate-cut expectations, and whether the four-year-cycle crowd is right that this is a post-peak drawdown with further to run.
Prediction markets are betting on more downside toward $55,000 while keeping a smaller wager alive on a recovery by year-end. For traders, the durable lesson is the one this pattern teaches every cycle: in a market this leveraged, the trigger is never the point. The leverage is. And this time, the demand behind it is the thing to watch next.
This article is for informational purposes and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. The figures and analysis described reflect data available as of June 4, 2026. Always do your own research and consult with qualified financial professionals before making investment decisions.
Crypto World
Kalshi is building a Bloomberg terminal for prediction markets
The Kalshi market “Will Iran effectively close the Strait of Hormuz for 7+ days?” appears on a smartphone screen, with the Kalshi logo displayed on a laptop computer screen in the background, in this photo illustration taken in Chania, Greece, March 9, 2026.
Nikolas Kokovlis | Nurphoto | Getty Images
Prediction market platform Kalshi is developing a new interface for its highly engaged traders to track the company’s prediction markets, according to a source familiar with the plans.
The product, which the source compared to the “Bloomberg Terminal” for traditional equities and derivatives, is currently in alpha testing with a select group of traders on the platform and has been in development for about a month.
Some of the features of the interface, which were shown to CNBC, include tracking popular contracts by 24-hour volumes across various categories, the ability to see all trades as they’re actively placed and also to view individual contracts’ order books. Users can customize their interfaces to see event contracts related to their own portfolios and are able to manage multiple positions in varying markets at the same time. Traders also can enable an option to reduce the friction to place trades.
Kalshi declined a request to comment.
The source said the company is creating the software to establish a singular product for its highest engaged retail traders, colloquially known as “sharps,” who typically use custom workflows to enhance their trades and gain an edge. The source didn’t know if Kalshi plans to monetize the platform, either at a potential launch or in the future.
In April, Fortune reported that venture capital firm Paradigm, a major Kalshi investor, was building its own prediction markets data platform. However, the report said that platform was in development for market makers and professional traders.
Long-term, the Kalshi source said the company’s platform may include research and other external information, similar to that of Bloomberg’s popular product serving Wall Street traders and investors. Kalshi’s market data is currently accessible on Bloomberg’s platform.
Bloomberg’s system is still referred to as a “terminal” even though it switched from a closed computer system to a software package long ago.
While the Kalshi product will focus on its prediction markets, the source added that a goal is to extend it to the company’s other asset classes. On Friday, Kalshi announced it received approval to offer perpetual futures on cryptocurrencies.
That announcement came one day after the company launched another product, its American Power Index, which it calls a real-time measure of political power using Kalshi’s data.
The source did not include a timeline for an official launch of the new terminal product.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.
Crypto World
BloFin Research: Bitcoin’s Sharp Fall Is on Schedule, Not Off the Rails
Bitcoin’s sharp fall is following the four-year cycle’s depth, slope, and timing; the selling from ETFs and Strategy and the mega-IPO liquidity drain are this cycle’s triggers, but the decline is on schedule.
- Bitcoin’s roughly 50% decline from the October 2025 peak is still in line with prior cycle behavior by depth, slope, and timing. Prior cycle lows followed about 12 months after the peak, and the current setup points to a Q4 2026 low window.
- ETF outflows and Strategy’s first Bitcoin sale in four years confirms both institutional bids behave as allocation capital rather than permanent holders.
- SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic listings could pull risk capital away from crypto through mid-to-late 2026. After IPO lockups begin to expire, newly liquid employees and investors may recycle wealth into higher-beta assets, creating a potential liquidity tailwind for Bitcoin as the next cycle begins.
The Four-Year Cycle Framework
Bitcoin has moved in a four-year pattern since its first traded cycle. Peaks have arrived in late 2013, late 2017, late 2021, and late 2025. Troughs have followed roughly twelve months later: January 2015, December 2018, November 2022. The pattern has held across three complete cycles regardless of the prevailing narrative, retail-driven in 2017, institutional-curious in 2021, ETF-enabled & Bitcoin treasury companies in 2025.
Each cycle is anchored by the halving, which compresses new supply on a fixed schedule, and amplified by reflexive demand: rising price draws marginal capital, marginal capital lifts price further, leverage builds, and the structure eventually breaks. The unwind takes roughly a year. Terminal lows have arrived in Q4 of the year following the peak.
The post-ETF, post-corporate-treasury era was meant to break this pattern. Spot ETF approvals in January 2024 and Strategy’s aggressive accumulation through 2024–2025 introduced two persistent institutional bids that were expected to absorb cyclical selling and compress the drawdown.
Cycle
Peak
Trough
Time peak→trough
Peak-to-trough decline
1
November 2013
January 2015
~14 months
85%
2
December 2017
December 2018
~12 months
84%
3
November 2021
November 2022
~12 months
77%
4 (current)
October 2025
TBD (Q4 2026 base case)
–
50% (current)
The Decline Sits Mid-Pattern by Magnitude
The 50% selloff is shallow relative to the 77–85% distribution of prior cycle declines. Measured against time elapsed at the 7-month mark from peak, the current decline tracks prior periods closely:
Cycle
Drawdown 7 Months After Peak
Final Drawdown
2017–2018
Around −65%
−84%
2021–2022
Around −65%
−77%
2025–Present
50%
TBD
If the four-year template holds, current price sits closer to the midpoint than the terminus.
Source: https://www.bitcoincyclescomparison.com/
The Slope Matches Prior Four-Year Templates
The shape of the move may be more informative than the depth. The current sequence, a sharp post-peak selloff, multi-month consolidation, a spring rally into the 200-day moving average, and subsequent rejection, closely resembles the pattern observed during Bitcoin’s 2018 and 2022 bear-market rallies.
Bitcoin 2018 Price
Bitcoin 2022 Price
What’s Draining the Bid?
There are several potential explanations for the current sharp selloff.
Strategy made a wrong move
Strategy sold 32 bitcoin between May 26 and May 31, its first net disposal in four years. At $2.5 million the sale is immaterial.
The decision now looks like a huge mistake. A firm that genuinely needed to fund an ongoing obligation through Bitcoin sales would sell size quietly and raise real cash before the market repriced its intent. Selling a tiny token amount and announcing it does the reverse: it signals that the largest corporate holder is now a seller and invites everyone in the market to front-run the next sale.
A mega-IPO cycle is pulling risk capital
SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are set to raise more than $240 billion combined from June through year-end, a capital pull larger than every venture-backed US IPO since 2000 combined. SpaceX’s roadshow opens June 4, with pricing June 11 and first Nasdaq trading June 12, targeting a $75 billion raise at a $1.75 trillion valuation, of which roughly $22 billion is reserved for retail.
As we put in our March article:
The AI mega-IPO cycle creates a near-term liquidity headwind for Bitcoin via ETF flow compression, but reverses into a tailwind post-lockup, as newly liquid employees and insiders with above-average Bitcoin & Crypto appetite.
Related Reading: The $197 Billion Question: How the Mega IPO Wave Reshapes Capital Markets & Crypto
Spot ETFs flipped to net redemption
The May outflow was roughly ten times February’s $206 million redemption, suggesting institutions are derisking faster than price weakness alone would suggest. The reversal tracks the allocator behavior the IPO calendar predicts: freeing balance-sheet room ahead of a crowded equity supply.
Forward Implication: Cycle-Consistent Low Meets the IPO Calendar
Every prior cycle has bottomed in the same seasonal window. The 2018 low formed in December, the 2022 low in November. The four-year clock does not predict the price of the low. It predicts the timing: Q4 of the year following the peak. With the October 2025 top in place, that points to Q4 2026.
That timing now overlaps with an unusually large IPO calendar. The key macro implication is a two-step liquidity sequence: absorption first, release later. In the first phase, public-market capital is pulled toward mega-listings. That creates a plausible drain on marginal risk capital at the same time Bitcoin is moving through the cycle-consistent low window.
SpaceX is the clearest example. Its June IPO would absorb a large amount of risk capital upfront, while its phased lock-up schedule begins releasing insider liquidity through the second half of 2026, with broader liquidity available around the 180-day mark in December. That places the unlock-driven wealth-recycling phase almost directly on top of Bitcoin’s Q4 cycle-low window.
OpenAI and Anthropic extend the same logic. Their listings would draw capital into the IPO calendar first, while their eventual lock-up expirations would push additional liquidity into 2027. By then, the initial IPO demand has likely been absorbed, early gains may begin to cool, and newly liquid employees and venture investors can start reallocating into other high-beta assets.
Disclaimer: The information provided herein does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice, and should not be treated as such. All content set out below is for informational purposes only.
The post BloFin Research: Bitcoin’s Sharp Fall Is on Schedule, Not Off the Rails appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Apex Group Joins Tokenized Real Estate Fund on Goldman Sachs Platform
Apex Group is providing fund management services for a tokenized real estate fund whose shares are being issued on Goldman Sachs’ Digital Asset Platform, GS DAP.
The fund was developed with Goldman Sachs, digital asset exchange Archax, real estate investment manager LRC Group and interoperability provider Ownera, Apex said Thursday.
“Tokenization at institutional scale depends on trusted, regulated infrastructure,” Apex Group’s global head of digital assets, Agnes Mazurek, said, adding that its participation reflects growing demand from managers and investors for blockchain-native solutions.
The project reflects a growing push by banks, fund administrators and regulated digital asset companies to move real-world asset funds onchain while preserving familiar governance, investor servicing and regulatory oversight.
Tokenized units issued via GS DAP
The fund’s shares are issued as digital tokens using Goldman Sachs’ Digital Asset Platform (GS DAP), a blockchain-based platform facilitating the issuance, settlement, custody and transfer of digital assets.
Launched in 2022, GS DAP is built on top of the privacy-focused Canton Network and Digital Asset’s smart contract language DAML.
“Issuing blockchain native fund units on GS DAP enables investment in real estate assets with precision while unlocking more seamless transferability in the future,” said Mathew McDermott, Goldman Sachs’ global head of digital assets and a board member at Digital Asset.

Source: Apex Group
As part of the collaboration, LRC Group, a pan-European real estate investment company, manages the fund, while RWA-focused Archax exchange acts as custodian and the initial distribution partner.
Ownera, a connectivity network for tokenized assets, provides the interoperability layer that connects issuers, custodians and distribution channels.
Cointelegraph reached out to Apex Group for additional details on the fund but had not received a response by publication.
Related: RWA market hits $51B as tokenized private credits surges: Bernstein
The project adds real estate to a growing list of institutional tokenization efforts, including tokenized money-market funds, private funds and collateral networks.
Apex Group previously collaborated with US crypto exchange Coinbase to launch a tokenized Bitcoin (BTC) yield fund on the Base blockchain in March.
Other investment banks such as JPMorgan have also expanded tokenization infrastructure through Kinexys, which focuses on payments, collateral and asset tokenization.
Magazine: 5 tech predictions the mainstream media got horribly wrong
Crypto World
Coinbase launches pre-IPO markets, SpaceX first asset
Coinbase has unveiled a new suite of pre-IPO markets, kicking off with SpaceX. The offering provides users outside the United States exposure to private-company valuations before they go public, via a USDC-settled perpetual futures contract that tracks SpaceX’s estimated pre-listing price. The product is designed to operate around the clock, with no expiry or rollover, and profits and losses settled in USDC, according to a Coinbase blog post published Thursday.
According to Coinbase, positions can be opened and closed at any time, mirroring existing perpetual futures on the platform. If SpaceX eventually completes an IPO, those pre-IPO positions will automatically transition into a post-IPO perpetual futures contract that references the public listing. The rollout is not yet available to U.S. persons at launch and begins with eligible users in jurisdictions where private-market exposure is not restricted, reflecting ongoing regulatory considerations on offering private securities exposure in the United States.
Coinbase described the product as a way to broaden access to private market exposure, a space traditionally reserved for venture capital firms and institutional investors. SpaceX was chosen as the initial listing due to robust global demand for exposure to Elon Musk’s space and satellite company, the blog notes, underscoring the market’s appetite for high-profile private firms ahead of a potential public listing.
Key takeaways
- Coinbase launches a USDC‑settled pre-IPO perpetual futures market for SpaceX, expanding access to private-market exposure outside the United States.
- The contract features 24/7 trading with no expiry and automatic conversion to a post-IPO contract upon an IPO, with settlements in USDC.
- US-based users remain restricted at launch, as Coinbase rolls out the product to eligible non-U.S. jurisdictions where private-market exposure is accessible.
- The move is part of a broader push among crypto exchanges to tokenize or synthesize private-market exposure, intensifying competition in this space.
Coinbase’s pre-IPO markets: SpaceX as the inaugural listing
In its blog, Coinbase frames the SpaceX pre-IPO product as a first step in democratizing access to private markets—arena traditionally dominated by seasoned investors and institutions. The perpetual contract tilts toward a straightforward, trader-friendly model: trustless, 24/7 access to a synthetic representation of SpaceX’s pre-listing value, settled in stablecoins. The company emphasized that users can open and close positions at will, offering liquidity for a market that historically has lacked retail visibility.
Importantly, Coinbase confirms that a future IPO would trigger an automatic transition of these pre-IPO positions into post-IPO instruments, aligning with a seamless lifecycle from private to public market exposure. The announcement underscores the ongoing tension between investor demand for private-market visibility and the strict regulatory frameworks governing private securities in the United States. Coinbase did not respond to a request for comment by publication, according to the report.
A race to normalize pre-IPO exposure across major exchanges
The Coinbase move is not happening in a vacuum. It sits within a burgeoning trend as large crypto platforms seek to position themselves at the intersection of tokenized or synthetic private markets. Kraken’s parent company, Payward, announced a parallel initiative this week that would offer tokenized access to pre-IPO companies, aiming to broaden retail participation in upcoming listings.
Meanwhile, other exchanges have already rolled out analogous offerings. Binance has launched derivative products tied to high-profile private firms, including SpaceX, as part of a broader push into pre-IPO exposure. Bitget has also pushed forward with IPO Prime, a platform dedicated to pre-IPO investments, starting with a SpaceX-linked offering in its suite of services. These moves reflect a wider market appetite for fractionalized exposure to coveted private assets, even as traditional markets grapple with regulatory and valuation uncertainties.
The industry’s momentum toward private-market tokenization aligns with broader research about real-world assets (RWA) entering crypto platforms. A Bernstein study released in May estimated the RWA market at about $51 billion, up approximately 42% year-to-date, as investors chase fractional ownership of illiquid private assets. Other industry analyses note that tokenized stocks still form a modest share of RWAs, with activity concentrated in a few major tech names traded on offshore platforms.
Private-market momentum, valuations, and the road ahead
SpaceX remains a focal point of attention in private markets, with private valuations numbering in the trillions depending on the methodology and secondary pricing. Reuters has reported estimates placing SpaceX’s private-market value as high as roughly $1.75 trillion, illustrating the scale of demand for pre-IPO exposure to the company.
The market’s trajectory raises important questions for investors and builders alike. If pre-IPO products become more widespread, they could offer new avenues for portfolio diversification and risk management, but they also heighten concerns about liquidity, price discovery, and the reliability of private-valuation signals during times of market stress. Regulators have repeatedly warned that offering private-market securities exposure to retail investors involves intricate compliance hurdles, and firms launching these products may face evolving guidelines as more platforms participate in pre-IPO trading ecosystems.
Beyond SpaceX, the broader pre-IPO ecosystem continues to evolve as exchanges partner with banks, liquidity providers, and regulatory authorities to establish guardrails around timing, disclosures, and settlement practices. In this climate, investors should monitor how pre-IPO instruments price in relation to actual IPO timelines, how transitions to post-IPO listings are managed, and whether inflows or outflows align with the expected cadence of private-market activity.
Implications for investors, traders, and builders
For investors and traders, the emergence of pre-IPO perpetual futures presents a structured way to gain directional exposure to coveted private firms before public confirmation. It also introduces new considerations around risk tolerance, leverage, and liquidity—particularly in markets where the underlying private valuation is less transparent than a publicly traded equity. The US regulatory environment remains a critical variable; as long as access outside the United States is allowed, participants must weigh the trade-offs between convenience and the evolving oversight around private-market instruments.
From a builder’s perspective, the expanding appetite for real-world asset tokenization and pre-IPO access creates opportunities to design more robust risk controls, more transparent valuation methodologies, and more durable settlement mechanisms. The competition among exchanges to attract retail users with these products could spur faster innovation but also demands rigorous compliance and disclosure standards to protect less sophisticated participants.
What markets will watch next is how broadly the pre-IPO model is adopted across other high-profile private companies, how regulatory guidance evolves globally, and how price discovery for pre-IPO assets compares with post-IPO performance once a listing occurs. If the SpaceX product proves successful outside the US, it could catalyze a wider rollout with other blue-chip private firms, powering a more liquid, cross-border pre-IPO ecosystem—or, alternatively, highlighting the fragility of valuations detached from eventual public-market realities.
As readers track these developments, the central questions remain: Will pre-IPO synthetic exposure become mainstream among retail traders, or will it remain a niche tool for strategic players? How will valuation signals hold up as listings approach, and what safeguards will regulators demand to ensure fair access and transparent pricing? The coming quarters are likely to reveal how quickly the market can balance appetite for private-market exposure with the need for robust risk management and regulatory clarity.
Crypto World
What next for Ripple-linked token as it sinks to four-month lows
XRP is attracting money, but not buyers. ETF products continue pulling in fresh inflows and exchange balances keep shrinking, yet price has fallen back to levels last seen in February. When a market stops responding to bullish developments, traders tend to focus less on the story and more on where the next support level sits.
News Background
• XRP marked its 14th anniversary this week, commemorating the 2012 genesis event that created the network’s 100 billion token supply.
• XRP investment products recorded $20.3 million in weekly inflows even as digital asset funds broadly suffered $1.5 billion in outflows.
• More than 25 million XRP left exchanges in recent days, extending a trend that typically signals longer-term accumulation rather than immediate selling pressure.
Price Action Summary
• XRP dropped from $1.2360 to $1.1497 during the 24-hour session, touching lows near $1.14 before recovering slightly.
• Volume surged to 248.2 million XRP during a support test, marking one of the largest trading bursts of the week.
• The selloff extended losses that began with the breakdown below $1.25, a level that had acted as support throughout much of the spring consolidation.
Technical Analysis
• XRP has now erased the entire $1.20-$1.60 trading range that defined the past four months, putting focus on support levels last tested during February’s selloff.
• The bigger issue is not the decline itself but the repeated failure of recovery attempts. Rallies in January stalled near $2.40, while a second rebound attempt in May failed around $1.54, reinforcing the broader downtrend.
• The monthly RSI has slipped below 43, a level reached only a handful of times in XRP’s history. Previous occurrences coincided with major market resets, though not necessarily immediate bottoms.
• A sharp bounce from the $1.14 area produced signs of short-term seller exhaustion, but volume outside the initial reversal remained largely routine, limiting confidence in the recovery.
What traders should watch
• $1.14-$1.15 is now the immediate support zone. A break lower shifts focus toward $1.11 and potentially the sub-$1.00 area highlighted by some bearish analysts.
• $1.28 has flipped from support into resistance and remains the first major level XRP would need to reclaim to stabilize sentiment.
• ETF inflows, exchange outflows and whale activity continue pointing toward accumulation underneath the surface. The problem for bulls is that price has yet to confirm any of it.
• XRP is approaching a genuine inflection point. Either buyers start defending the current range with conviction, or the market risks turning a four-month consolidation into a much larger breakdown.
Crypto World
Not all layer 2s are dying, but many no longer have a reason to exist
When Zero Network announced it was shutting down last month, the reaction across crypto was weary: Another Ethereum layer-2 just bit the dust.
The closure joined a growing list of struggling rollups and came amid renewed debate about whether Ethereum’s sprawling layer-2 ecosystem has become too crowded. At the same time, Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin has urged developers to rethink the network’s long-term scaling roadmap, while several major projects have shifted away from marketing themselves as general-purpose blockchains and toward more focused applications in payments, stablecoins and tokenized assets.
To many observers, the developments have revived a familiar question: Has Ethereum’s sprawling layer-2 ecosystem become too crowded?
Industry participants, however, argue the opposite.
“The thing to recognize is that anywhere where somebody would be running a smart contract on an existing blockchain, someone could equally run a layer two,” said Ben Fisch, co-founder and CEO of Espresso Systems. “We’re in a consolidation phase for general-purpose layer twos, not layer twos broadly.”
Ethereum layer-2s exploded over the past several years as improvements in rollup technology dramatically reduced the cost and complexity of launching new chains. Rollups work by processing transactions off Ethereum’s main blockchain, bundling hundreds of them together, and then periodically posting compressed transaction data back to Ethereum for settlement and security. The model allows applications to offer faster transactions and lower fees while still relying on Ethereum as the ultimate source of trust.
The result was a flood of networks built using infrastructure stacks such as Optimism’s OP Stack, Arbitrum Orbit and zkSync. But while launching a chain became easier, attracting users proved much harder.
“There were way too many general-purpose layer twos, which frankly don’t make sense as a product, because there’s no reason to have many, many versions of the same thing,” Fisch said.
The numbers support that view. Today, activity across Ethereum’s layer-2 ecosystem remains heavily concentrated among a handful of networks. Base and Arbitrum alone account for more than 80% of layer-2 DeFi total value locked (TVL), according to DefiLlama data.

That concentration has only become more apparent as smaller chains struggle to maintain liquidity. Over the past six months, networks including Linea, World Chain, Starknet and Mantle have all seen declining bridge deposits. Linea’s deposits, for example, fell from $976 million in November 2025 to $367 million in May 2026, a decline of more than 60%.

“I think only a few L2s with clear financial demand will be able to sustain themselves over time,” said Alice Hou, a former research analyst at Messari, to CoinDesk.
For Hou, the key issue isn’t whether layer-2 technology works, it’s whether a network can generate enough activity to justify its existence.
“Without enough blockspace demand, user activity or developer traction, there is little reason to continue maintaining an L2,” she said.
Ironically, the economics of launching a rollup have never looked better. Ethereum’s Dencun upgrade, introduced in 2024, dramatically reduced the cost of posting rollup data to Ethereum through blobs. According to Messari research, data availability costs now represent only a small fraction of operator expenses for many OP Stack chains.
“From an operator perspective, it is definitely cheaper to run an L2 today,” Hou said. “The economics of launching an L2 have become easier, but the real challenge is still generating enough sustained demand to make the network worth operating.”
That dynamic has created a paradox. The barriers to creating a blockchain continue to fall, but the barriers to attracting users continue to rise. As a result, many teams are discovering that simply offering another Ethereum-compatible chain is no longer enough.
“People have realized that all the different general-purpose blockchains compete with each other,” Fisch said. “If you want to succeed, you need to build out a differentiated application.”
From infrastructure to applications
The shift is already visible across the industry. Several blockchain projects that once emphasized infrastructure are increasingly focusing on payments, stablecoins, tokenized assets and other application-specific markets. Traditional financial institutions may become some of the biggest beneficiaries.
Fisch pointed to asset managers launching tokenized money-market funds, stablecoin issuers and tokenized deposit platforms as examples of businesses that have clear reasons to operate on-chain. For those firms, a dedicated layer-2 can offer lower costs, greater control and more predictable performance than deploying directly as a smart contract.
“The technology decision to run as a layer two is simply an option of running an application onchain,” Fisch said.
Hou said she agreed that distribution matters more than technology.
“Only L2s with a solid existing user base and a clear reason to benefit from blockchain infrastructure should launch their own networks,” she said.
That helps explain why exchanges remain among the strongest candidates. Coinbase’s Base has become the dominant example, leveraging the exchange’s existing customer base while integrating users into Ethereum’s broader DeFi ecosystem.
“The question should not be, ‘Can this company launch an L2?’” Hou said. “It should be: ‘Does this business already have enough distribution, financial activity and ecosystem synergies to make an L2 meaningfully useful?’”
A different vision for the layer-2 landscape
The debate also reflects a deeper disagreement about what layer-2s are actually for. For years, Ethereum advocates framed rollups primarily as a scaling solution for Ethereum itself.
Fisch said he sees them differently.
“I don’t view layer twos as scaling Ethereum,” he said. “I view layer twos as leveraging the existing security properties of layer one.”
In that framework, Ethereum functions less as a destination and more as a settlement layer that applications can use when it makes sense.
“Ethereum is sort of a commodity that layer twos can choose to use,” Fisch said.
That vision aligns with a broader trend unfolding across crypto infrastructure. Rather than competing to become the next dominant blockchain, more projects are increasingly treating blockchains as modular components that can be assembled into larger products.
If that trend continues, the future Ethereum ecosystem may look very different from the one imagined during the rollup boom. Instead of hundreds of competing general-purpose chains fighting for liquidity, the winners could be a smaller number of networks tied to specific businesses, financial products and user communities.
Crypto World
Tom Lee’s $250,000 ether (ETH) target would imply $2 million per bitcoin (BTC)
Ether at $250,000 would make Ethereum a $30 trillion network, larger than the U.S. Treasury market and comparable to all the gold ever mined.
But that’s the target Bitmine chairman Tom Lee laid out at Proof of Talk in Paris this week, with the move pitched as a 50x from current levels on the back of AI-driven payments and a corporate validator takeover of the network.
Let’s dive into the math of how that target may be reached, starting with supply. Ethereum’s circulating supply sits at 121.75 million ETH and is growing at 0.82% a year, because since the Dencun upgrade pushed most fee activity to cheaper layer-2 chains in 2024, the burn mechanism has collapsed to roughly 29,000 ETH a year against issuance of 1.03 million ETH.
At $250,000 a coin, that 0.82% drift turns into $250 billion of fresh ether issued every year.
The supply growth is not huge by itself. Gold supply expands at a similar pace, and the U.S. Treasury market grows much faster. Big assets can absorb new issuance if demand is strong enough.
However it puts to rest the old “ultrasound money” trade that was built on the idea that Ethereum could become a shrinking monetary asset while usage kept rising. That setup is not here right now. ETH supply is growing, slowly but steadily, so a 50x move has to come from demand doing almost all the work.

To get a sense of how far-out Lee’s target is, look at the ether-bitcoin ratio, which tracks how ether trades relative to bitcoin. The ratio has never crossed 0.15, a level it touched briefly at the 2017 peak. At today’s bitcoin price of $63,872, $250,000 ether would push that ratio to 3.91, more than 25 times that all-time high.
For the ratio to stay anywhere in its historical range while ether hits $250,000, bitcoin would have to rally to somewhere between $1.67 million and $2.94 million at the same time. So Lee’s call needs either bitcoin running alongside ether at similar multiples, or the pair breaking historical bounds wildly. Neither is in motion right now.

Lee further argued the Ethereum Foundation has dropped to roughly 0.1% of supply while corporate entities like Bitmine and SharpLink now control 7% of circulating ether collectively.
Public companies and governments hold 7.43 million ETH across 32 entities, or 6.16% of supply, with Bitmine alone at 5.42 million ETH and SharpLink at 869,000.
But holding ether and validating the network are different jobs. Validators are the operators that actually run the software securing Ethereum and earn the staking yield.
Of the 39.25 million ether currently staked, Lido, a decentralized staking protocol governed by a DAO of token holders, controls 19.4%, followed by Binance, ether.fi, Coinbase and Figment.
The top corporate treasuries are not running validators at anywhere near the scale Lee’s takeover thesis implies. Lido alone validates more ether than every public-company holder combined.

All in all, ether has to capture a chunk of global financial throughput that no asset has captured before, the burn has to outrun issuance again, the ETH-to-bitcoin pair has to recover more steeply than at any point in its history, and the corporate validator thesis has to actually translate into validating power.
The ETH-to-bitcoin pair turning on a real trend, not a one-week bounce, would be the first sign anything’s actually changing. Right now, however, the data tells a different one.
Crypto World
Bitcoin’s $20K Collapse: 6 Reasons Behind the Crash and What Happens Next?
Bitcoin is currently knocking on the door that helped it bounce during the February crash at $60,000. The asset dumped toward $61,000 earlier today, which was hard to imagine just a few weeks ago when it traded above $82,000.
So, what could have prompted this massive 25% crash in well less than a month?
Investor Exodus
In general, falling prices require somebody selling, right? And it has to be in large quantities. The first that comes to mind are investors who had BTC exposure through the spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US. A simple look at the data provided from SoSoValue paints a clear and painful picture.
The funds have been deep in the red for 13 consecutive days, with the net outflows exceeding $500 million, $600 million, and even $700 million on some occasions. The net withdrawals have been in the billions of dollars for four straight weeks. The current one, even though the data is presented only until Wednesday, is on track to break the record, with already $1.4 billion in outflows.
This behavior is in stark contrast to the developments that took place by mid-May, when investors were rushing to pour funds into the ETFs.

But, it’s not just ETF investors. Data shared by Ali Martinez shows a substantial uptick in the number of BTC sent to exchanges over the past week alone. Roughly 54,000 BTC (valued at $3.35 billion at today’s prices and at almost $3.8 billion when the transfers began) found their way to trading platforms, with the likely intention to be sold off.
54,000 Bitcoin bitcoin:native moved onto trading platforms over the past week. This spike in available supply of roughly $3.78 billion has increased short-term selling pressure, driving the price down to $65,300. https://t.co/AXEpKJPyND pic.twitter.com/pa5WPZXzUt
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) June 3, 2026
Strategy also sold. Yes, this one was speculated for weeks, but the actual confirmation could have been the necessary trigger for some investors to lose hope. Although the company disposed of a tiny portion of its massive BTC stash, the move was still categorized as bearish by many critics.
Mt. Gox also spread some FUD into the already fragile market, as on-chain data shows new BTC transfers to exchanges completed recently.
Iran-US and AI
A more macro reason came from the war front between the US and Iran (and several nearby nations). After weeks of a ceasefire but unsuccessful permanent peace negotiations, the US and Iran reinitiated the attacks against each other, which now involve Kuwait and other countries in the region as well.
History shows that risk-on assets like BTC do not react well to escalating war tensions. Recall that the asset dumped by several grand immediately after the initial strikes began in late February.
Lastly, Michael Saylor outlined the massive growth and hype of the artificial intelligence sector. He believes there’s a clear correlation between investor exodus from crypto and booming AI prices, which continues to harm the former’s progress. Nevertheless, he actually noted that such moments present opportunities.
Capital markets are funding the AI buildout at historic scale: ~$400B over 6 months. Bitcoin ETFs have seen ~$4B of outflows since May 14, pressuring $BTC. This is a capital rotation, not a Bitcoin impairment. Volatility creates opportunity.
— Michael Saylor (@saylor) June 4, 2026
So, What’s Next?
As usual, most crypto analysts are split on what could be around the corner for BTC. Some think a rebound is in the making, while others outlined lower price targets. Ali Martinez stands in the second corner. Basing his analysis on the MVRV pricing bands, he predicted that BTC could be on its way down to $55,000 or even $50,000. It’s worth noting that the cryptocurrency hasn’t traded at such low levels for almost two years.
CryptoQuant’s CEO, though, noted that there’s one major difference between bitcoin’s current state and that of two years ago. Although the price is relatively similar, he noted that short-term holders are “evolving into long-term holders” now, as the percentage of holdings from investors who had bought from 6 months to 2 years ago is up to 53% from 15% back in 2024.
Bitcoin is at the same price as two years ago, but one thing is different.
The 6m–2y cohort, who joined this cycle, now holds 53% of realized cap, up from 15% two years ago. Last cycle, Bitcoin bottomed when this hit 68%.
Short-term holders are evolving into long-term holders. pic.twitter.com/tfmLz3mFPS
— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) June 4, 2026
The post Bitcoin’s $20K Collapse: 6 Reasons Behind the Crash and What Happens Next? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
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