Crypto World
XRP Price Analysis Reveals Why the 30% Bounce Failed
The XRP price rebounded more than 30% after bouncing from its early February low near $1.12. The move revived hopes of a recovery and briefly pushed the token toward the $1.50 zone. On the surface, the rally looked constructive. Momentum indicators improved. A breakout pattern began to form. Traders started discussing a possible trend reversal.
But blockchain data tells a different story. Instead of showing strong accumulation, on-chain metrics suggest that many holders used the rebound to exit losing positions. Selling at a loss remains dominant. Several groups are still reducing exposure. This raises a key question: was the bounce genuine demand, or simply exit liquidity for trapped sellers?
Technical Setup Shows Bounce Potential, But It Needs Confirmation
On the 12-hour chart, XRP is trading inside a falling wedge pattern, with a 56% breakout potential above the upper trendline.
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For this pattern to activate, XRP needs to first reclaim its short-term moving average, the 20-period exponential moving average (EMA), which gives more weight to recent prices. This level acts as dynamic resistance in downtrends. In early January, a clean break above this EMA triggered a rally of nearly 30%.
Momentum is also showing early improvement.
Between January 31 and February 9, XRP printed a lower low in price. At the same time, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), a momentum indicator that measures buying and selling pressure, formed a higher low. This bullish divergence suggests that sellers are losing strength.
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On its own, this setup points to a possible bounce.
But technical patterns only work when holders are willing to stay invested. To understand whether this bounce has real support, we need to look at how investors are behaving on-chain.
SOPR Shows Holders Are Still Selling at Losses Despite the Bounce
One of the clearest warning signals comes from the Spent Output Profit Ratio, or SOPR. SOPR measures whether coins being moved on-chain are sold in profit or at a loss. When it stays above 1, it shows profit-taking. When it remains below 1, it shows loss-selling.
Since late January, XRP’s SOPR has remained below 1 for more than ten consecutive days.
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This is unusual. After a 30%+ rebound, short-term traders are normally sitting in profit. That usually pushes SOPR higher. But in XRP’s case, profitability never returned. Loss selling continued even as the price recovered. This means many holders are still exiting underwater positions.
In simple terms, the market is not seeing confident profit-taking. It is seeing stress-driven exits. To understand who is responsible, we need to look at holder cohorts.
Holder Data Confirms the XRP Bounce Is Being Used to Exit, Not Accumulate
HODL Waves group XRP wallets based on how long they have held their coins. This helps identify which investor groups are buying or selling.
The most striking shift appeared in the 24-hour holder cohort.
On February 6, this group controlled about 1% of XRP’s circulating supply. Within days, that share collapsed to roughly 0.09%. That represents a decline of more than 90%.
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These were highly reactive traders who entered during volatility and rushed to exit during the rebound.
Selling was not limited to this group.
The 1-month to 3-month cohort, which accumulated heavily in January when XRP traded near $2.07, has also been reducing exposure. Their share of supply fell from around 14.48% in mid-January to about 9.48% recently. That is a decline of roughly 35%.
These holders remain underwater. Instead of waiting for a full recovery, they are using rallies to minimize losses. Together, these two cohorts explain why SOPR has remained depressed for a long time now.
Short-term traders are exiting failed trades. Medium-term holders are cutting losing positions.
This behavior is typical of distribution phases, not early bull markets. And it directly impacts price structure.
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Cost Basis Data Shows Why $1.44–$1.54 Is a Wall for the XRP Price
Cost basis heat maps show where large groups of investors bought their coins. These zones often become resistance when the price returns to them.
For XRP, the strongest near-term cluster sits between $1.42 and $1.44. More than 660 million XRP were accumulated in this range. This creates a powerful sell zone.
When the price approaches this area, many holders reach break-even. After weeks of losses, they chose to exit.
Above this cluster lies the $1.54 level, which aligns with EMA resistance. Together, these zones form a barrier that XRP has repeatedly failed to clear. Each time the XRP price rallies into this region, selling intensifies. This is consistent with the distribution seen in SOPR and HODL Waves.
If XRP fails again near $1.44, downside risk increases. A rejection could send the price back toward $1.23 and possibly $1.12, the recent low. That would represent a decline of more than 20% from current levels.
Only a sustained break above $1.54, supported by improving profitability and reduced selling, would change this XRP price structure.
Gold at $5k exposes how brutally altcoins have lagged, even as gold-backed RWA tokens like PAXG and XAUT surge in adoption and on-chain trading.
Summary
- Analyst flags weekly RSI near 25 for altcoins versus gold, matching or exceeding COVID-crash style stress.
- Gold-backed RWA tokens PAXG and XAUT track spot near $5k yet remain a tiny slice of global bullion despite accelerating inflows.
- Tokenized gold and silver markets expand with volatile derivatives flow as investors hunt on-chain exposure to hard assets.
Michaël van de Poppe fires a warning flare. “The current valuation of #Altcoins against Gold is the lowest it has ever been… The RSI has turned to 25 on the weekly timeframe. This has never happened,” he writes, adding that the only prior analogue was “the COVID crash (a Black Swan).” With spot gold grinding around $5,000 per ounce, that ratio now acts as a brutal scoreboard of how far non‑major crypto has lagged the metal.
Real‑world‑asset tokens backed by gold sit at the center of this stress test. PAX Gold (PAXG), which represents title to allocated London Good Delivery bars, trades near $5,035.43, down 0.09% over the last 24 hours, with a $425.2M daily volume and a $4,985.75–$5,088.73 intraday range.
Leading the way are Ondo (ONDO), up about 0.3% over the last 24 hours, PAX Gold (PAXG), higher by roughly 0.6% on the day, Maker (MKR), gaining around 2–3% in 24 hours, and Chainlink (LINK), trading fractionally lower on the day, which analysts say may be bucking the broader crypto bear trend.
Tether Gold (XAUT) changes hands around $5,013.23, essentially flat on the day, after a 7.4% gain over the last week and an 11.41% rise over the past month. Both instruments track bullion tightly, but remain small compared with the broader crypto complex, underscoring how little capital has actually migrated into tokenized metals despite gold’s parabolic move. Live market stats for PAXG and XAUT are available on their respective crypto.news price pages:
The RWA Sector by the Numbers
Zooming out, the RWA sector is growing, but unevenly. CoinMetrics and Tokeny data put tokenized commodities—dominated by gold‑backed tokens like PAXG and XAUT—in roughly the $0.8–$1B range as of the latest comprehensive report, a rounding error next to spot gold’s multi‑trillion‑dollar market.
More recent industry analysis highlights a sharp acceleration: tokenized gold and silver market value has pushed to new highs into 2026 as regulatory clarity improves and large institutions experiment with on‑chain funds and vault‑linked products. Yet derivatives flow shows how violently this niche still trades; one recent week saw RWA perpetuals volume spike above $15.5B as gold futures dropped over 10% and silver nearly 28%, forcing liquidations across levered positions.
Altcoins vs Gold: Structural Cheapness, Not Just Panic
That backdrop explains why van de Poppe’s chart looks so extreme. Altcoins—especially sub‑top‑100 RWA plays—have been doubly hit: first by structural dilution (new token issuance, unlocks) and second by liquidity tightening that rewards “sleep‑at‑night” gold over speculative tails. As one responder put it, “altcoins hitting historic lows versus gold screams opportunity if you can stomach volatility… rsi at 25 on weekly shows extreme oversold conditions, rarely this extreme.” Whether that becomes the “ultimate arbitrage” for believers in the long‑term blockchain thesis, or just another value trap, will depend on the next macro liquidity flip—not on narratives alone.
The dollar was recovering only marginally after reaching a one-and-a-half-week low overnight on concerns about foreigners selling U.S. assets.
These concerns were triggered by a Bloomberg report that said Chinese regulators advised financial institutions to reduce their exposure to U.S. Treasury holdings.
Elsewhere, Federal Reserve governor Stephen Miran played down the dollar’s recent weakness. He said the dollar would need to register a steeper fall than it already has for it to affect inflation.
A dual national of China and St. Kitts and Nevis has been sentenced to 20 years in US federal prison for orchestrating a global cryptocurrency scam that stole more than $73 million from victims, many of them American investors.
Forty-two-year-old Daren Li received the statutory maximum sentence in the Central District of California, along with three years of supervised release, according to a statement issued Tuesday by the US Department of Justice (DOJ).
Prosecutors said Li and at least eight co-conspirators established spoofed domains and websites resembling legitimate trading platforms to promote fraudulent crypto investments after gaining victims’ trust, a scheme known as pig butchering or phishing scams.
Court filings show the conspirators often initiated contact through social media platforms and dating apps, cultivating professional or romantic relationships before persuading victims to transfer funds into accounts controlled by the group.
“The Court’s sentence reflects the gravity of Li’s conduct, which caused devastating losses to victims throughout our country,” said Assistant Attorney General A. Tysen Duva, adding that authorities would “work with our law enforcement partners around the world to ensure that Li is returned to the United States to serve his full sentence.”
Related: Wallet tied to Infini exploiter resurfaces to buy Ether dip for $13M
Li is the first defendant to be sentenced. Eight other co-conspirators have pleaded guilty and await sentencing.
Li admitted that he and his co-conspirators tricked victims into transferring at least $73.6 million in funds to bank accounts associated with the defendants, including $59.8 million from US shell companies that laundered victim funds.
The sentencing comes more than a year after Li pleaded guilty to conspiring with others to launder funds obtained from victims through crypto scams and fraud, Cointelegraph reported in November 2024.
The investigation remains ongoing and is being led by the US Secret Service Global Investigative Operations Center, with assistance from Homeland Security Investigations’ El Camino Real Financial Crimes Task Force and the US Marshals Service, among other agencies.
Related: OpenClaw AI hub faces wave of poisoned plugins, SlowMist warns
Crypto scams see resurgence at the start of 2026
Crypto scams and phishing incidents saw an uptick in January, when scammers stole $370 million, the highest monthly figure in 11 months, according to crypto security company CertiK.
Notably, $311 million of the total figure was attributed to phishing scams, after a victim lost around $284 million due to a particularly damaging social engineering scam.
The $370 million marked the largest monthly loss since February 2025, when attackers netted around $1.5 billion in total value stolen, with the majority due to the $1.4 billion Bybit exchange hack.
Magazine: Meet the onchain crypto detectives fighting crime better than the cops
Changpeng Zhao uses X to slam scapegoating, telling traders to own their risk as Bitcoin, Ethereum and BNB prices slide across the market.
Summary
- Changpeng Zhao says critics “make stuff up” about Binance and must “take responsibility” for their own trades.
- He argues compliance flags and police cases, not social media outrage, decide when funds are frozen or released.
- Community voices frame the backlash as noise while BTC, ETH and BNB trade lower, testing sentiment around Binance’s ecosystem.
Binance’s co‑founder is done playing scapegoat. On X, Changpeng “CZ” Zhao fired back at critics, insisting that users—and the media—have to stop outsourcing responsibility for their trades.
CZ’s message: stop blaming Binance
“Not saying we are perfect, but at this point, smart people actually triple check any negative ‘news’ on Binance. They are just making stuff up,” CZ wrote on X, adding that “words like ‘blame’ are designed to only attract people who are unwilling to take responsibility for their own actions.” The post, viewed more than 36,000 times within hours, directly challenges a familiar reflex in crypto: when prices fall, blame the exchange.
He doubled down in replies. To a user complaining that Tether’s Paolo Ardoino should “unfreeze my wallet,” CZ replied, “I don’t know any details of your case with USDT of course… I’d imagine your funds was somehow related to a police case, or it was flagged (hopefully incorrectly) by some AML tool. Give it some time, it should be resolved properly.” The subtext is brutal: enforcement flags and compliance tools—not Twitter outrage—decide when funds move.
Community reaction: consolidation under pressure
Supporters framed the storm as a stress test the Binance ecosystem can absorb. “Nothing is perfect anyway. Frustration needs a target. They pick the number 1. And ‘quadruple check’ negative comments is a must,” wrote user @Spigg1115. Another BNB community account argued, “It would be better if everyone spent their time building a stronger, higher-quality crypto world that can reach all 8 billion people on this planet. They are wasting their time for nothing.” As one trader put it bluntly: “Red candles bring creative headlines.”
Price tape: reality check in numbers
While the blame game rages, the market is delivering its own verdict. Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $70,096, down about 0.63% over the last 24 hours and roughly 27.4% below its level a year ago. Ethereum (ETH) changes hands near $2,104, slipping about 2% over the same period. Binance’s own BNB (BNB) token is priced around $636, with a 24‑hour range between roughly $617 and $645 and recent highs above $640.
About a week ago, bitcoin dropped more than 10% in a day to around $60,000 before rebounding to $70,000 in recent days. The question is, did the slide mark “capitulation,” when holders panic-sell at a loss, exhaust bearish pressure and set the stage for a new bull run?
The futures market says no, suggesting there’s scope for another leg lower, according to Amberdata’s director of derivatives, Greg Magadini.
“[The] lack of ‘reaction’ in the futures basis doesn’t make me confident we hit a true CAPITULATION moment,” Magadini said in a market note Monday.
Magadini is referring to how futures typically trade in relation to the spot price during bearish trends and capitulation phases.
Futures are standardised derivative contracts to buy or sell an underlying asset, like bitcoin, at a set price on a future date. Traders use futures to bet on price direction, buying contracts when they expect a rally or shorting when they anticipate a decline, without actually owning the asset itself.
The price difference, or basis, between futures and spot markets reveals market sentiment and trader positioning. When futures trade at a significant premium to spot prices, it signals bullish optimism among investors. Conversely, a discount indicates bearish pressure.
Historically, bitcoin bear markets have tended to bottom out, with standard futures and perpetual futures trading at significant discounts to spot on major exchanges. These massive discounts represented capitulation and mark the final bear-market flush.
Last week, however, futures slipped into a discount only for a short time.
“Although the 90-day basis dropped lower on each leg down for BTC, these moves barely ranged -100bps. Today, fixed basis remains around 4% for BTC (inline with risk-free treasury yields),” Magadini said.
Compare that with the end of the 2022 bear market, when the 90-day futures traded at a 9% discount as the bitcoin price bottomed out below 20,000. So, if history is a guide, bitcoin could see another leg lower where futures traders capitulate, pushing prices into a steep discount relative to the spot price.
Bitcoin recently changed hands near $69,000, a 1% drop since midnight UTC, according to CoinDesk data.
BitMine Immersion Technologies purchased more than 40,000 Ethereum (ETH) in a single day, continuing its aggressive accumulation strategy even as unrealized losses rise to over $7 billion.
The latest accumulation comes as Ethereum continues to trend downwards, with prices down approximately 62% from 2025 highs. Despite this, BitMine Chairman Tom Lee has expressed confidence in a potential V-shaped recovery for Ethereum.
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BitMine Adds Over 40,000 ETH to Its Treasury
In a recent press release, BitMine disclosed that it acquired 40,613 ETH last week. As of February 8, 2026, at 3:00 pm ET, the company’s total Ethereum holdings stood at 4.325 million.
The announcement appeared to boost investor sentiment. BitMine’s stock, BMNR, closed at $21.45 on February 9, marking a 4.79% increase by the end of the trading session.
BitMine’s accumulation did not stop there. On-chain analytics platform Lookonchain reported additional Ethereum purchases after the disclosure.
According to the data, the firm first acquired 20,000 ETH through FalconX, followed by another 20,000 ETH, worth approximately $42.3 million, via BitGo.
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“Today alone, it has bought 40,000 ETH ($83.4 million),” Lookonchain wrote.
ETH Declines Sharply as BitMine Treats Pullback as Entry Point
The continued buying suggests that BitMine remains committed to expanding its Ethereum treasury, even amid market uncertainty. According to data from BeInCrypto Markets, ETH has dropped 13.2% over the past week.
At the time of writing, the second-largest cryptocurrency traded at $2,012, down 3.28% over the past day.
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Lee suggested that the company views the price pullback as a strategic buying opportunity, citing improving network fundamentals.
He also noted network strength despite falling prices. Ethereum daily transactions hit 2.5 million and active addresses reached 1 million in 2026, as stated in BitMine’s official announcement. These figures imply rising adoption regardless of market swings.
“In our view, the price of ETH is not reflective of the high utility of ETH and its role as the future of finance,” he said.
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Furthermore, Lee pointed to Ethereum’s historical price behavior to support his optimism. Since 2018, ETH has experienced 8 separate declines of 50% or more from recent highs.
He highlighted a similar pattern in 2025, when Ethereum fell by 64% between January and March before rallying sharply later in the year. At the time, it surged from approximately $1,600 to nearly $5,000.
According to Lee, Ethereum has historically staged V-shaped recoveries following major downturns. He stated that such rebounds occurred after each of the previous 8 drawdowns. Based on this trend, he expects a comparable recovery to unfold in 2026.
“The best investment opportunities in crypto have presented themselves after declines. Think back to 2025, the single best entry points in crypto occurred after markets fell sharply due to tariff concerns,” Lee stated.
Whether BitMine’s aggressive Ethereum bet will pay off remains uncertain for now. Its ability to withstand market weakness, alongside strong staking revenue, could generate significant advantages if a V-shaped recovery appears. But ongoing price declines or a prolonged market slump may further challenge BitMine’s strategy.
If you are reading this, you are not looking to launch “just another token.” You are building a serious digital asset venture with real fundraising goals and long-term ambition. This guide was written for founders who want clarity before committing capital, time, and reputation. It breaks down how crypto token development should be approached when the end goal is investor trust, regulatory alignment, and sustainable fundraising. By following this roadmap, you learn how to:
- Design a crypto business model that investors can evaluate and trust
- Build a secure, scalable token infrastructure that passes audits and due diligence
- Prepare your project for regulatory and institutional review
- Structure an ICO that attracts quality investors instead of short-term speculators
- Deploy professional fundraising platforms that reduce operational risk
- Manage capital responsibly and protect long-term value after fundraising
More importantly, this guide shows you how to think like your future investors. You now understand what decision-makers look for before backing a project, how risks are evaluated, and why execution quality determines fundraising outcomes. Instead of guessing, experimenting, or relying on hype, you have a structured framework to move from idea to investable venture with confidence. If your goal is serious capital, long-term credibility, and scalable growth, this is the foundation you build on.
Understanding the Foundation of Token-Based Business Models
Before writing code, founders must define how their project creates real value. A fundable crypto business model answers five critical questions:
- What problem does the token solve?
- Who are the primary users?
- How does the ecosystem generate revenue?
- Why will users hold or use the token?
- How does demand scale over time?
Professional token development begins with aligning token utility to business outcomes. Tokens should support governance, access, rewards, or infrastructure, rather than exist only for speculation. Investors prioritize projects where token economics reflect long-term platform growth. Without a strong business model, even technically sound projects struggle to raise capital. Weak fundamentals often lead to low investor confidence and poor long-term adoption.
At this stage, founders should also analyze competitors, market size, and regulatory exposure. A well-defined economic foundation increases investor confidence and reduces the need for future pivots. Many teams also rely on structured Token Development Services to validate their models and ensure that business strategy, technology, and compliance remain aligned from the start.
Check If Your Project Is Investor-Ready
Planning Your Cryptocurrency Before Writing Code
Once the business model is clear, development begins. Building a reliable token requires structured technical planning and disciplined execution. This is where professional token development services play a critical role in translating strategy into a secure, scalable infrastructure that supports long-term growth.
At this stage, founders must focus on building systems that are not only functional but also resilient under real-world usage and investor scrutiny. Key development components include:
1. Token Architecture
- Supply structure
- Issuance model
- Burn or inflation controls
- Governance logic
- Reserve management
A well-designed token architecture ensures that supply dynamics remain predictable and transparent. It also prevents excessive dilution and protects early investors.
2. Smart Contracts
- Modular design
- Upgrade mechanisms
- Emergency controls
- Treasury management
- Access permissions
Smart contracts form the operational backbone of your cryptocurrency. They must be written with security, flexibility, and compliance in mind. Poorly written contracts often become long-term liabilities.
3. Infrastructure
- Testnet deployment
- Integration pipelines
- Gas optimization
- Performance testing
- Monitoring systems
Robust infrastructure allows teams to identify weaknesses early and resolve them before public deployment. Testing environments are essential for validating transaction logic and platform stability. High-quality crypto token development ensures that contracts are audit-ready, scalable, and aligned with regulatory standards. It also improves interoperability with exchanges, wallets, and third-party platforms.
Security must be embedded from day one. Weak contracts expose projects to exploits, legal risk, and reputational damage, often ending fundraising efforts before they begin. This is why many serious founders partner with an experienced token development company that follows industry-standard security practices and formal audit processes. Strong technical foundations signal professionalism, reduce operational risk, and significantly improve investor confidence.
How Can You Prepare Your Cryptocurrency for Legal and Investor Approval?
After technical development, the next challenge is building legal credibility and investor trust through strong compliance systems and transparent operations. Before raising funds, projects must demonstrate full regulatory and operational readiness, including:
- Jurisdiction analysis and token classification reviews to ensure alignment with local securities and digital asset regulations.
- KYC and AML system integration to verify investor identity and prevent regulatory violations.
- Data protection and privacy compliance frameworks to safeguard user and investor information.
- Formal governance documentation defining decision-making authority and operational accountability.
Partnering with a reputable crypto token development company helps founders design compliant infrastructures that meet regulatory and institutional expectations. Investor approval depends on transparent documentation and verifiable disclosures, including:
- Legal opinions and independent audit reports to validate technical and regulatory integrity.
- Detailed whitepapers and risk disclosures outlining project structure, limitations, and obligations.
- Clearly defined treasury management policies to ensure responsible allocation and reporting of funds.
- Ongoing compliance monitoring to adapt to evolving regulatory requirements.
- Projects that delay legal preparation risk exchange listing delays, frozen assets, and enforcement actions.
In today’s market, regulatory readiness is a core fundraising requirement and a foundation of long-term investor confidence. The more regulatory frameworks your crypto complies with, the broader your global fundraising and growth opportunities become.
How Do You Structure and Launch a Successful ICO Token Sale?
Once your cryptocurrency is secure and compliant, the focus shifts from development to structured fundraising execution.
1. Fundraising Readiness
Professional ICO token development ensures that your token sale is transparent, scalable, and legally aligned with investor and exchange expectations.
2. Sale Phases
A successful ICO follows clearly defined fundraising stages to manage valuation and participation:
- Private rounds for early strategic investors
- Strategic rounds for institutional partners
- Public sales for community participation
3. Allocation Design
Balanced token allocation protects long-term value and investor confidence:
- Team vesting schedules to prevent early sell-offs
- Investor lockup periods to stabilize liquidity
- Ecosystem reserves to support sustainable growth
Plan Your ICO with Fundraising Experts
4. Pricing Strategy
Well-structured pricing models reflect market demand and project maturity:
- Fixed pricing for predictable valuation
- Dynamic valuation based on participation levels
- Demand-based tiers to incentivize early contributors
5. Investor Protection
Strong protection mechanisms reinforce trust and operational integrity:
- Refund logic to safeguard participant funds
- Oversubscription controls to manage excess demand.
- Allocation audits to ensure fair distribution
6. Execution Reliability
An experienced ICO token development company ensures that fundraising systems perform reliably under high transaction volumes and peak market activity. When these elements work together, token sales run smoothly, investor confidence remains strong, and projects build lasting credibility with exchanges and institutional partners.
What Platforms and Tools Are Best for Running a Secure ICO?
Modern ICOs require enterprise-grade technology that can handle high transaction volumes, strict compliance requirements, and real-time investor interactions. A professional ICO software development partner provides the infrastructure needed to manage fundraising securely, transparently, and at scale. It ensures that every transaction, allocation, and report remains accurate throughout the fundraising lifecycle.
At this stage, founders must prioritize system reliability, data security, and regulatory compatibility to avoid operational disruptions during live token sales. Core platform components include:
1. Investor Dashboard
- Wallet connectivity
- Contribution tracking
- Vesting overview
- Claim management
- Transaction history
The investor dashboard serves as the primary interface between participants and the fundraising platform. A clean, intuitive design improves trust and reduces support overhead.
2. Admin Console
- Sale configuration
- Compliance controls
- Allocation management
- Reporting systems
- Access permissions
The administrative console allows founders to manage fundraising operations efficiently while maintaining transparency and auditability.
3. Payment Layer
- Multi-chain support
- Stable coin acceptance
- Automated reconciliation
- Fiat gateway integration
- Liquidity routing
A robust payment layer ensures smooth capital inflows across multiple networks and currencies. It also simplifies financial reporting and treasury management. To accelerate deployment, many founders adopt white label ICO development solutions. These pre-tested frameworks reduce time-to-market while maintaining strong security standards and operational reliability.
When combined with tailored white label development, teams can customize branding, workflows, analytics, and third-party integrations without rebuilding core systems from scratch. The right platform improves investor experience, strengthens compliance posture, and significantly reduces operational risk during high-pressure fundraising campaigns.
How Do You Manage, Scale, and Protect Value After an ICO?
After an ICO, founders must shift immediately from fundraising mode to institutional-grade execution. This means implementing strict treasury governance, milestone-based capital deployment, and board-level financial oversight. Many teams continue working with their Token development company to maintain system security, upgrade infrastructure, and ensure long-term technical stability. Funds should be allocated against product development, compliance expansion, and market penetration objectives, with clear accountability at every stage. Regular investor briefings, third-party audits, and transparent performance reporting are essential to sustaining credibility with strategic backers and exchanges.
Scaling successfully requires more than feature releases. Leadership teams must focus on building defensible market positions through enterprise partnerships, regulatory alignment, and ecosystem integration. At the same time, liquidity management, risk controls, and community governance structures must be strengthened to protect long-term token value. Projects that maintain close coordination with experienced development and compliance partners are better positioned to adapt to market shifts and regulatory changes. Teams that treat post-ICO operations as a regulated financial enterprise, rather than a startup experiment, are the ones that attract institutional capital and achieve durable growth.
Plan Your ICO with Fundraising Experts
Conclusion: Build First, Raise Second, Scale Third
Great ideas alone do not raise capital. Execution does. Successful founders build secure products, follow regulatory frameworks, and launch fundraising campaigns with precision. This is where Antier becomes your competitive advantage. As a full-cycle token development company, Antier helps founders design strong token ecosystems, deploy compliant ICO platforms, and prepare projects for serious investor scrutiny. Every solution is built for scalability, transparency, and long-term value creation. With Antier, you move faster without sacrificing credibility. If you are preparing for fundraising in the next 1 to 2 months, now is the time to partner strategically.
Get your token and ICO strategy reviewed by Antier’s experts. Position your project for confident investor participation.
Frequently Asked Questions
01. What is the purpose of this guide for founders in the crypto space?
This guide aims to provide clarity and a structured roadmap for founders looking to build a serious digital asset venture, helping them design a viable business model, prepare for regulatory review, and attract quality investors.
02. What are the five critical questions a fundable crypto business model should answer?
A fundable crypto business model should address what problem the token solves, who the primary users are, how the ecosystem generates revenue, why users will hold or use the token, and how demand will scale over time.
03. Why is it important for tokens to have utility beyond speculation?
Tokens should support governance, access, rewards, or infrastructure to align with long-term platform growth, as investors prioritize projects with strong token economics, which enhances investor confidence and adoption.
TLDR:
- Ethereum EIP-8025 allows validators to verify blocks using ZK proofs instead of re-executing transactions
- zkAttesters can sync in minutes without holding execution layer state or running full EL clients
- The 3-of-5 proof threshold preserves client diversity while enabling proof-based block validation
- ePBS extends proving window to 6-9 seconds, making real-time proof generation feasible for L1-zkEVM
Ethereum is implementing a major architectural change in block validation, transitioning from transaction re-execution to zero-knowledge proof verification.
The L1-zkEVM 2026 roadmap introduces EIP-8025, which enables validators to confirm blocks through cryptographic proofs rather than running full execution clients.
This optional framework allows zkAttesters to verify blocks without maintaining execution layer state. The first L1-zkEVM workshop is set for February 11, 2026, at 15:00 UTC, marking the formal start of this development phase.
Technical Framework for Proof-Based Validation
The new validation pipeline operates through several coordinated steps. Execution layer clients generate an ExecutionWitness containing all necessary data for block validation without full state storage.
A standardized guest program then processes this witness to validate state transitions. Subsequently, a zkVM executes the program while a prover creates proof of correct execution. Consensus layer clients verify these proofs instead of calling execution clients to repeat computations.
Ethereum Foundation member ladislaus.eth described the transformation in a post explaining how proof verification changes the validation paradigm. “Instead of repeating the computation, you verify a cryptographic proof that someone else did it correctly. One proof. Compact. Constant verification time regardless of what happened inside the block,” the post stated.
This approach contrasts sharply with current methods where every node re-executes every transaction independently.
EIP-8025 establishes the consensus layer mechanics enabling this transition. Proofs from different execution client implementations circulate through a dedicated peer-to-peer gossip network.
The specification modifies block processing to allow attesters to verify proofs rather than execute transactions directly.
A preliminary 3-of-5 threshold requires attesters to verify three out of five independent proofs before accepting a block’s execution as valid.
Benefits Across the Validator Ecosystem
Solo stakers and home validators receive the most direct operational improvements. The ladislaus.eth post noted that zkAttesters eliminate the need for full execution layer operation and state storage.
“A zkAttester does not need to hold EL state. It does not need to sync the full execution layer chain,” the explanation clarified. Syncing reduces to downloading proofs for recent blocks since the last finalization checkpoint.
The resource savings extend beyond basic operation. Current validators must run both consensus and execution clients, with the latter consuming significant storage, processing power, and bandwidth.
These requirements scale linearly with gas limit increases. Proof verification replaces this scaling burden with constant-time verification regardless of block activity levels.
Multiple stakeholders gain from this infrastructure shift. Execution client teams can develop implementations as proving targets within a standardized framework.
zkVM vendors including RISC Zero, openVM, and ZisK can build against clear interfaces while working on what could become the largest zero-knowledge application globally.
Layer-2 teams benefit from infrastructure convergence, as validator proof verification enables shared proving infrastructure for native rollups through an EXECUTE precompile.
Development Status and Dependencies
EIP-8025 has been integrated into the consensus-specs features branch for eventual inclusion consideration. The 2026 L1-zkEVM roadmap divides work across six sub-themes: execution witness and guest program standardization, zkVM-guest API standardization, consensus layer integration, prover infrastructure, benchmarking and metrics, and security with formal verification.
The system depends on ePBS (Enshrined Proposer-Builder Separation) targeted for the Glamsterdam hardfork. Without ePBS, the proving window spans only 1-2 seconds, creating unrealistic constraints for real-time proof generation.
ePBS extends this window to 6-9 seconds through block pipelining, making single-slot proving feasible for production use.
Proving infrastructure remains under active discussion. The design assumes a 1-of-N liveness model where one honest prover maintains chain operation.
The ladislaus.eth post emphasized that “proving should remain viable outside of data centre infrastructure,” addressing concerns about centralization. Several zkVM vendors already prove Ethereum blocks, demonstrating technical feasibility ahead of protocol integration.
The February 11 workshop will address the full scope of development themes as teams move toward implementation.
Markets have modernized in almost every way—except one. Trading infrastructure has gone digital, execution is instantaneous, and information moves globally in real time. Yet most traditional markets still shut down on nights, weekends, and holidays.
This is where TradFi intersects with crypto-native infrastructure. Platforms like Phemex are narrowing that gap by listing TradFi futures—price-tracking contracts tied to assets such as gold and silver—on infrastructure built for continuous markets.
Spot trading vs futures contracts
Spot and futures markets work differently, and that difference explains why TradFi futures matter. Put simply, spot trading means you buy the asset itself at the current price, whereas a futures contract tracks price under contract terms rather than giving direct ownership.
In traditional spot trading, buying a share or commodity involves a complex chain of custody, legal ownership transfer, and T+2 settlement cycles. This infrastructure requires banks and clearinghouses to be open, which is why trading halts on weekends and holidays.
A futures contract is a derivative, an agreement based on the price of an asset, not the exchange of the asset itself. Because of this, there is no physical action or need for a transfer in the event of a closed exchange market.
When the market closes, only the conventional infrastructure ceases to function; assets retain their worth. Phemex fills this gap by delivering a marketplace where price discovery and risk management continue uninterrupted.
Macro News Don’t Wait for Monday
Traditional finance (TradFi) and cryptocurrency markets are increasingly moving in the same direction. As crypto trading has matured, digital asset prices have become more closely linked to macroeconomic indicators that have long driven equities and commodities.
Interest rate decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve, inflation data, labor market reports, and geopolitical developments now influence both stock indices and major cryptocurrencies. This growing correlation has reshaped how traders think about risk, timing, and market access across asset classes.
The introduction of TradFi futures on crypto-native trading platforms allows traders to respond to macroeconomic developments in real time. Instead of waiting for traditional market hours, traders can hedge positions or manage volatility as events unfold—an approach that is increasingly central to modern risk management.
Whether it is hedging a position or capitalizing on volatility, the ability to execute trades based on real-time macro news is no longer a luxury,; it is a necessity for modern risk management.
Why TradFi Futures Matter for 24/7 Market Access
The 24/7 openness of markets, remaining functional even during holidays and non-working days, is not merely a new generation innovation; it represents the natural evolutionary progression of trading. In the traditional financial world, when the market is closed, uncertainty and suspense tend to take hold.
If a major event occurs over the weekend, traditional investors face significant gap risk, where the price jumps or drops substantially between Friday’s close and Monday’s open.
Through TradFi futures trading found on Phemex, traders can manage their positions at any time, day or night. This eliminates the waiting game that often leaves investors vulnerable to global news cycles that do not stop for bank holidays.
Unified Trading Across Crypto and TradFi Futures on a Single Platform
Phemex focuses on reducing the liquidity and access friction typical of traditional markets.
The platform offers USDT-settled derivatives linked to traditional assets such as gold, silver, and selected stocks, alongside crypto derivatives. This structure allows traders to access multiple asset classes from a single account, without opening separate brokerage relationships or navigating lengthy funding and settlement processes.
(USDT-settled derivatives mean that profits and losses are settled in USDT rather than through delivery of the underlying asset.)
Phemex operates a unified margin system, enabling the same USDT balance to be used across gold, silver, and crypto futures. Because these contracts track price rather than involve physical settlement, custody and operational complexity are reduced.
As with cryptocurrency perpetual contracts, TradFi futures can be traded with leverage, allowing traders to increase exposure and improve capital efficiency without committing the full notional amount typically required by traditional brokers. Historically, access to equities or commodities—whether via direct ownership, ETFs, or futures—often required substantial upfront capital and fragmented infrastructure.
As demand grows for continuous market access and more flexible risk management, crypto-native platforms are increasingly addressing these structural limitations. Phemex positions itself within this shift by offering infrastructure designed for continuous, multi-asset trading.
The Modern Market Is Open 24/7
Market evolution is no longer a question of if, but how. As crypto and traditional assets increasingly respond to the same macro forces, their separation at the infrastructure level has started to break down.
The objective isn’t to replicate stock exchanges on crypto platforms. It’s to build faster, more flexible systems that allow traders to access traditional asset exposure with the efficiency they expect from modern markets.
Phemex is approaching this by replacing ownership friction with futures-based access. By using price-tracking contracts rather than physical settlement, traditional assets can be traded alongside crypto within a unified, USDT-settled environment.
Moving into the second quarter of 2026, trading across asset classes from a single margin currency is no longer a differentiator; it’s becoming the baseline for how modern markets operate.
As part of the launch of its TradFi futures offering, Phemex has introduced a limited-time campaign aimed at familiarizing traders with the new product. The campaign includes a temporary zero-fee trading period, loss-protection incentives for first trades, trading leaderboards, and task-based rewards. The initiative is designed to support early adoption and allow traders to explore TradFi futures within a controlled, risk-aware framework.
The Monero price is down about 2% over the past 24 hours and nearly 31% over the past month. Since peaking near $799 in mid-January, XMR has already fallen more than 65%. A rebound followed the drop to $276, pushing the price back toward the $330 area. At first glance, this looked like stabilization after heavy selling.
But a closer look tells a different story.
Bear Flag and Moving Averages Show the Downtrend Is Still Intact
On the daily chart, Monero is trading inside a bear flag structure.
A bear flag forms when the price drops sharply and then moves sideways or slightly higher in a narrow range. This pattern usually represents a pause before another decline, not a trend reversal. In XMR’s case, the fall from $799 to $276 created the flagpole. The recent XMR price consolidation is forming a flag.
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As long as the price remains inside this range, the dominant trend stays bearish. A breakdown below the lower boundary would likely trigger another major leg lower.
Trend indicators are reinforcing this view.
Exponential moving averages, or EMAs, are weighted price averages that give more importance to recent data. They help identify whether momentum is strengthening or weakening. When shorter-term EMAs fall below longer-term EMAs, it signals deteriorating trend strength.
Right now, Monero’s 50-day EMA is moving toward the 100-day EMA. At the same time, the 20-day EMA is drifting toward the 200-day EMA.
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These developing bearish crossovers suggest that short-term momentum continues to weaken relative to the broader trend. If these looming crossovers confirm while the XMR price flirts with the lower trendline of the flag, the breakdown theory would likely get validated.
Spot Flows Show Rebounds Are Being Used to Exit, Not Accumulate?
Exchange flow data reveals how investors are behaving during this consolidation.
In early February, Monero briefly showed strong outflows (buying pressure). During the week ending February 2, net outflows reached about $7.1 million. This suggested that some buyers were stepping in after the crash.
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But this support faded quickly.
By the week ending February 9, flows flipped to net inflows of around $768,000. More XMR was moving back onto exchanges than leaving them. This shift happened while the price dipped to $276 and then rebounded to the $327 zone.
This tells an important story. As soon as the price bounced, selling possibly resumed. Instead of holding for a recovery, many investors possibly used the rebound to reduce exposure. Loss exits replaced by accumulation.
When outflows turn into inflows during consolidation, it usually signals distribution. Supply is returning to the market. Without steady spot demand, rallies struggle to survive. This also explains why recent recoveries have been shallow. Buyers are not strong enough to absorb the returning supply.
With spot demand fading, the burden shifts to derivatives traders. But derivatives data show growing caution.
Falling Open Interest and Weak Funding Limit the XMR Recovery Potential
Derivatives markets provide insight into trader confidence and leverage. Open interest measures the total value of active futures contracts. Rising open interest shows that traders are building positions. Falling open interest shows that traders are closing positions and stepping away.
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In mid-January, Monero’s open interest stood near $279 million. By February 10, it had dropped to around $110 million. This represents a decline of more than 60%.
Such a sharp drop indicates that leverage is leaving the market. Traders are reducing risk rather than preparing for a major rebound.
At the same time, funding rates remain mildly positive. Funding rates reflect the cost traders pay to hold futures positions. When funding is positive, long traders are dominant. When it is negative, short traders dominate.
XMR’s funding remains slightly positive, meaning most remaining traders still lean bullish. But without rising open interest, this bias lacks conviction.
This combination is weak. Fewer traders are participating, yet optimism has not fully reset. It also limits the chance of a short squeeze. A short squeeze requires heavy bearish positioning. Without that pressure, upside accelerations are unlikely.
With leverage shrinking and spot buyers hesitant, the price lacks fuel for sustained recovery.
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Why $150 Is Becoming Key Target for the Monero Price
With technical, spot, and derivatives signals aligned, downside levels become increasingly important.
The first major support sits near $314. This area aligns with recent lows and the lower boundary of the bear flag. A decisive break below it would likely confirm continuation lower.
If $314 fails, downside opens quickly.
The next major demand zone is near $150, according to a key Fibonacci retracement level. A move from current levels toward $150 would represent another drop of more than 50%, consistent with the size of the first decline.
Below $150, deeper levels such as $114 and $88 exist. But $150 stands out as the first major zone where long-term buyers may realistically reappear, thanks to its psychological significance. That is why it has become the primary downside reference point.
For now, Monero remains trapped between weak demand and persistent supply. The bear flag shows consolidation, not recovery. Spot flows show selling, not accumulation. Open interest shows retreat, not confidence. Funding shows optimism without commitment.
To weaken and invalidate the bearish pattern, the Monero price must close above $350 and $532, respectively, on a daily candle close.
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