Connect with us
DAPA Banner
DAPA Coin
DAPA
COIN PAYMENT ASSET
PRIVACY · BLOCKDAG · HOMOMORPHIC ENCRYPTION · RUST
ElGamal Encrypted MINE DAPA
🚫 GENESIS SOLD OUT
DAPAPAY COMING

Crypto World

Bitcoin (BTC) Tumbles as May Inflation Surges to Three-Year Peak

Published

on

Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • May’s annual Consumer Price Index climbed to 4.2%, marking the steepest increase in three years, with energy costs surging 3.9%.
  • Bitcoin has plummeted 36% year-to-date, currently hovering around $62,000—approximately 51% beneath its record peak.
  • President Trump expressed enthusiasm for the inflation figures despite gasoline prices reaching $4.15 per gallon.
  • Financial markets now assign more than 70% probability to a Federal Reserve interest rate increase by year-end 2026, typically negative for cryptocurrency markets.
  • Market experts believe institutional capital will remain on the sidelines until inflation demonstrates consistent downward momentum.

The United States recorded its steepest inflation increase in three years during May, sending ripples of concern through cryptocurrency markets as analysts warn of prolonged headwinds for digital assets.

The Consumer Price Index registered a 4.2% annual increase, propelled primarily by escalating energy expenditures. Pump prices nationwide now average $4.15 per gallon, representing a substantial jump from $2.98 recorded prior to the February military operations involving the US and Israel against Iran.

Energy sector inflation accelerated 3.9% during May alone, extending a pattern that has elevated crude oil valuations since military confrontations disrupted critical supply corridors adjacent to the Strait of Hormuz.

The monthly CPI measurement advanced 0.5%, following April’s 0.6% acceleration. Inflation-adjusted wages declined 0.1% for consecutive months.

When questioned about the economic indicators, President Trump informed journalists he “loves” the current inflation trajectory. He projected oil valuations would retreat following resolution of the Iranian conflict.

Implications for Bitcoin Markets

Bitcoin has endured a challenging 2026. Values have contracted 36% since January, with current trading levels near $62,000. This positions the cryptocurrency roughly 51% below its historical apex exceeding $126,000.

Advertisement

Market strategists argue the inflation statistics eliminate any Federal Reserve incentive for monetary easing. The central bank has maintained its current rate structure since December 2025. CME FedWatch projections indicate a 98.4% probability of unchanged rates at the June 17 policy meeting.

Nevertheless, over 70% of market observers now anticipate at least one rate elevation before 2026 concludes. Elevated interest rates typically bolster the dollar and government bond yields, redirecting investment capital from non-yielding assets like Bitcoin.

“We maintain our assessment that prevailing macroeconomic conditions represent persistent obstacles for Bitcoin,” stated Markus Thielen from 10x Research. He emphasized that institutional investors will probably defer increased allocations until inflation establishes an unmistakable downward trajectory.

Iggy Ioppe, serving as chief investment officer at Theo, characterized the CPI release as reinforcing the Fed’s “cautious, data-dependent” posture with “no urgency to reduce rates.” He observed that liquidity forecasts remain constrained while risk assets respond primarily to positioning dynamics rather than fundamental catalysts.

Precious Metals Face Similar Challenges

Gold hasn’t escaped unscathed either. The precious metal has retreated 23% from its January zenith.

Advertisement

Ioppe highlighted that real yields continue elevated, increasing the opportunity cost associated with gold ownership since the commodity generates no income stream. Absent anticipated rate reductions, this headwind appears persistent.

Tim Sun, senior researcher at HashKey Group, acknowledged escalating rate hike speculation while noting the actual probability of monetary tightening this year remains comparatively modest.

“Risk appetite will only genuinely reverse when inflation subsides, rate cuts materialize, and liquidity conditions improve alongside reduced capital expenses,” Sun explained.

Thielen additionally highlighted continuing vulnerabilities stemming from the Iran situation. He suggested oil supply interruptions could intensify throughout summer months, amplifying upward inflation pressures.

He characterized Bitcoin as “remaining vulnerable” with a decline beneath $60,000 appearing progressively probable in the immediate term.

Newly appointed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh assumes leadership of a central bank confronting ascending prices and deteriorating real income levels. Should the June 17 policy meeting signal forthcoming monetary tightening, analysts anticipate Bitcoin’s challenging period will persist.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Polymarket traders think SpaceX will cross $2 trillion market cap

Published

on

Polymarket traders think SpaceX will cross $2 trillion market cap

SpaceX facilities in Hawthorne, California, April 13, 2026.

Ethan Swope | Bloomberg | Getty Images

SpaceX is set to debut on the Nasdaq on Friday, and traders on the prediction market platform Polymarket are confident shares will pop. 

Advertisement

The Elon Musk-led rocket company is expected to price at $135 per share, already giving it a market value of $1.77 trillion. But traders think there’s a high probability it’ll zoom well north of there on its first day of trading.  

There’s an 84% chance that SpaceX will close above $1.8 trillion in market cap, according to Polymarket traders. Odds that SpaceX will surpass $2 trillion stand at 69%.

Based on an expected initial market cap of $1.77 trillion, a capitalization of roughly $2 trillion would equate to a 13% rally in SpaceX Friday. Pre-IPO perpetual futures on Hyperliquid indicate that SpaceX could jump more than 20% in its first day of trading.

Traders are more skeptical that SpaceX will close with a market value above $2.2 trillion, giving it less than a 50-50 chance. 

Advertisement

A close above $2 trillion would put SpaceX in an exclusive club. Only five other U.S. companies — Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon — have valuations north of $2 trillion. 

SpaceX $2 trillion would also put it ahead of chip giant Broadcom‘s valuation of $1.85 trillion. Even at the expected initial valuation of $1.77 trillion, SpaceX would prove larger than Musk’s electric vehicle flagship. Tesla’s market value was about $1.72 trillion late Thursday, according to FactSet data.

Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Solana Foundation Launches Frontier Traders, an Institutional Program for $500M+ Volume Firms

Published

on

Solana Foundation Launches Frontier Traders, an Institutional Program for $500M+ Volume Firms


The Solana Foundation launched Frontier Traders Thursday afternoon, a formal institutional program for elite trading firms, with the first qualifying campaign opening on SpaceX tokenized equity Friday. The entry bar sits at $500 million in trailing 30-day onchain DEX volume combined with $16… Read the full story at The Defiant

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Fidelity’s Dollar Stablecoin Taps Curve and Uniswap as Its DeFi Liquidity Layer

Published

on

Fidelity’s Dollar Stablecoin Taps Curve and Uniswap as Its DeFi Liquidity Layer


The Fidelity Digital Dollar reportedly deployed liquidity to both Curve Finance and Uniswap in a single Ethereum block Thursday evening, with an on-chain watcher flagging the move as the Fidelity-branded stablecoin's first foray onto permissionless DeFi rails. LytninCrypto, an on-chain data… Read the full story at The Defiant

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bithumb CEO Booked in South Korea Bribery Probe Over Lawmaker’s Son Hiring

Published

on

South Korean police are investigating Bithumb CEO Lee Jae-won over bribery allegations linked to hiring people connected to independent lawmaker Kim Byung-ki.

According to Yonhap News, the Seoul Metropolitan Police Agency’s Public Crime Investigation Unit is examining claims that Lee approved the hiring of Kim’s second son after receiving a direct employment request from the lawmaker.

Political Hiring Scandal

The case stems from statements provided by a former aide to Kim, who had previously raised other allegations against the lawmaker. The aide told police that Kim met Lee for drinks at a restaurant in Seoul’s Mapo district in November 2024 and asked him to hire his son.

Police suspect the alleged hiring may have been linked to Kim’s activities while serving on the National Assembly’s Political Affairs Committee. Investigators believe Kim concentrated his legislative efforts on criticizing alleged monopoly practices involving Dunamu, the operator of rival crypto exchange Upbit, in return for his son being employed at Bithumb.

Advertisement

Earlier this month, police listed Lee as a bribery suspect in a second search warrant targeting Bithumb’s headquarters in Seoul’s Gangnam district and several related locations. During an earlier raid carried out in February, investigators had already named Kim as a suspect in connection with alleged preferential hiring tied to his son’s recruitment, while Bithumb was listed as a witness in the case.

Police are now reviewing materials seized during the searches and are expected to question certain individuals regarding the hiring process and whether they were aware of any job solicitation efforts.

Troubles Pile Up

Beyond the hiring controversy, Bithumb has recently been entangled in several separate legal and compliance-related disputes. In May, a South Korean court temporarily blocked a six-month partial business suspension imposed on the crypto exchange by the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU).

The court’s decision paused the sanctions until a final ruling is made in Bithumb’s legal challenge against the regulator. The FIU had accused the exchange of around 6.65 million violations of financial rules, including failures in customer identity checks and transaction monitoring. Regulators also fined Bithumb 36.8 billion won and warned several company officials.

Advertisement

Earlier in April, Bithumb took legal action to freeze 7 BTC that remained missing after a major payout mistake during a promotional event. Due to a system input error, the exchange accidentally distributed Bitcoin instead of Korean won to users. Although most of the funds were recovered quickly, some recipients allegedly refused to return the remaining assets, which forced Bithumb to pursue a provisional seizure.

The post Bithumb CEO Booked in South Korea Bribery Probe Over Lawmaker’s Son Hiring appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Crypto News, June 11: Bitcoin Price Unfazed by Trump and His Threat to Flatten Tehran, Chainlink and Kraken Power FIFA World Cup

Published

on

btc logo

Crypto markets open with Bitcoin price showing surprising strength despite Trump threats on Iran. Chainlink and World Cup partnership shows growing mainstream ties, offering a bright spot amid volatility from geopolitics and ETF outflows.

Trump hinted at an Iran deal days away after proportional strikes yesterday. Today, he told Fox News that without an agreement, the U.S. will “bomb the sh*t out of them” tonight. He also revealed that the U.S. is taking millions of barrels of oil out of Iran every night while Hormuz stays closed. Trump added that when it ends, oil will drop back to prior levels.

Bitcoin (BTC)
24h7d30d1yAll time

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Bitcoin Price Holds Firm Amid Trump Escalation

Advertisement

Bitcoin price faces selling pressure from heavy U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF outflows as the streak continued into this week. It’s a prolonged outflow since May, with hundreds of millions exiting daily, led by BlackRock’s IBIT. Right now, the multi-week totals have reached billions withdrawn, yet Bitcoin price has held with even some bounces.

Bitcoin price holds firm despite Trump threats on Iran as Chainlink powers massive FIFA World Cup Deal alongside Kraken. Bullish?
Bitcoin ETFs Flows, Coinglass

Yesterday, soft-core inflation data unexpectedly supported risk assets, including crypto. Although hotter energy components add caution for us watching rate-cut odds. Geopolitical noise from Trump has not derailed resilience yet.

A fresh story from hours ago shows corporate buyers still competing hard. Strive CEO Matt Cole threw a joke to Michael Saylor that last week they bought 32 Bitcoin. Michael Saylor replied that he wants those 32 Bitcoin back. Strategy sold exactly 32 BTC in late May but maintains net buying overall, battling the fixed 21 million supply race.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Advertisement

Chainlink and Kraken Power FIFA World Cup

Chainlink is now named to power official FIFA World Cup prediction markets, ADI Predictstreet, the tournament’s official partner. The deal will involve Myriad adopting Chainlink oracles for accurate, instant settlements across all 104 matches serving billions of fans. This marks a major real-world utility for Chainlink data feeds.

Chainlink follows Kraken, as a day earlier, it was named the Official Crypto Exchange Supporter of the World Cup. The partnership targets North America and Europe with fan activations, education, and giveaways.

Advertisement

Moving to Artificial Intelligence, after it singlehandedly eliminated millions of human jobs, Tether placed a $1.4 billion bet on autonomous machine economies and AI. The focus is on paying robots via stablecoins as part of bigger institutional moves into real-world AI and crypto integration. This follows MetaMask’s AI wallet launch and XRPL’s similar payment pushes yesterday.

Questions linger after setbacks like Humanity Protocol issues, yet momentum for practical applications grows.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Advertisement

Institutional Conviction and Real Utility Point Higher

Adoption headlines around Chainlink and the World Cup show crypto moving beyond speculation into everyday use cases. Billions of fans will interact with prediction markets settled instantly, proving Chainlink’s value at scale while Kraken brings new users through the World Cup platform.

Corporate accumulation continues despite ETF outflows. The recent Saylor exchange with Strive shows how big players view the fixed supply as increasingly scarce. Institutional players like Tether committing billions to AI-stablecoin systems signal long-term bets on utility that outlast short-term volatility.

Bitcoin price has likely absorbed Trump, Iran, geopolitics, and outflow pressure without breaking key levels.

Advertisement

When the Iran situation resolves and oil normalizes, macro tailwinds could return quickly. Also, not to forget the Ukraine war, which could get a surprise peace deal. All, combined with real-world traction and AI-crypto experiments, the setup favors holders.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

The post Crypto News, June 11: Bitcoin Price Unfazed by Trump and His Threat to Flatten Tehran, Chainlink and Kraken Power FIFA World Cup appeared first on Cryptonews.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Crypto Just Put $2 Billion on the World Cup Winner, and It’s a Draw

Published

on

Crypto Just Put $2 Billion on the World Cup Winner, and It’s a Draw

Crypto prediction markets crossed $2 billion in World Cup winner bets as the tournament opened in Mexico City today, and millions of traders still can’t agree on who will lift the trophy. Spain and France share the lead at around 16%, while defending champion Argentina sits at just 9%.

The combined total across Polymarket ($1.9 billion) and Kalshi ($132 million) makes this the largest single prediction market event in crypto history. Polymarket runs 328 live World Cup markets and saw $66 million traded in the last 24 hours, with the pool of funds behind those bets sitting at $352.7 million.

World Cup Winner Bets on Polymarket. Source: Polymarket

The $2 Billion World Cup Betting Record

Polymarket opened the World Cup winner market in July 2025, giving traders nearly a year to weigh in before the opening whistle.

Volume accelerated as the tournament approached, with $66 million changing hands in a single 24-hour window. The combined Polymarket and Kalshi total sets a new record for the largest single prediction market event in crypto history.

Prediction markets have become a staple at every major 2025 event, from the US presidential race to the Super Bowl. The World Cup now represents the biggest test of crypto betting infrastructure yet.

Advertisement

Spain, France, and the Defending Champion

Spain’s 16.5% and France’s 16.1% sit close enough that the market effectively rates them equal co-favourites. England and Portugal each sit at around 11%, with Brazil at 8%.

Defending champion Argentina sits at just 9%, lower than both European sides in the second tier.

The market is not saying Argentina cannot win, but two years on from their Qatar 2022 triumph, crypto bettors no longer rate Argentina as the team to beat. Every result in the group stage will shift that reading fast.

FIFA Goes On-Chain

This tournament also marks FIFA’s first official on-chain prediction infrastructure. ADI Predictstreet, an official FIFA partner powered by Chainlink, runs a separate market alongside Polymarket and Kalshi.

Advertisement

The governing body of world football now operates in the same prediction market space that crypto traders have built.

The tournament has 38 days and 104 matches to settle what $2 billion in collective wisdom couldn’t. The market will not stay deadlocked.

The post Crypto Just Put $2 Billion on the World Cup Winner, and It’s a Draw appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Citi Launches Blockchain Marketplace for Private Company Shares

Published

on

Citi Launches Blockchain Marketplace for Private Company Shares

Citigroup is launching a blockchain-based marketplace for private company shares, looking to give wealthy and institutional investors a new way to gain exposure to pre-IPO firms as Wall Street pushes deeper into tokenized finance.

According to The Wall Street Journal, the platform will use tokenized depositary receipts issued by Citi, which represent ownership interests in private companies. The offering will initially be initially available to foreign investors, with US access planned at a later date.

The initiative allows investors to invest in private company shares “right next to their Apple stock, Citi digital asset executive Artem Korenyuk told the Journal.

Major banks are increasingly adopting tokenization to modernize traditional financial markets. Citi argues that structuring private investments through tokenized depositary receipts offers a more transparent alternative to special-purpose vehicles (SPVs), which have become a common, but often opaque, way for investors to access private companies.

Advertisement

That distinction is notable as interest in pre-IPO investing surges. Several fintech platforms, including Robinhood, have explored offering tokenized exposure to private companies such as OpenAI, though those products generally provide indirect economic exposure rather than legal ownership of the underlying shares. OpenAI last year cautioned investors that these so-called tokenized stocks do not represent equity in the company. 

OpenAI’s warning to investors on buying tokenized shares. Source: OpenAI Newsroom

The underlying infrastructure of the venture’s blockchain will be operated by SIX Digital Exchange, a subsidiary of Switzerland’s stock exchange operator, SIX Group. Citi said it is already in discussions with several large private companies about making their shares available on the platform. 

Related: Crypto Biz: Crypto infrastructure spending rises as ETF appetite cools

Advertisement

Private markets tend to outperform over time

Growing interest in pre-IPO investing reflects a broader shift toward private markets, where companies are staying private for longer and generating more of their value before reaching public exchanges.

Last December, the American Investment Council published a report citing PitchBook data showing that private equity outperformed the S&P 500 index across five-, 10-, 15- and 20-year investment horizons. This was seen despite the index delivering stronger returns over shorter time periods.

Private equity has outperformed the broader market over longer time horizons. Source: American Investment Council

At the time, American Investment Council President and CEO Will Dunham argued that private equity’s long-term outperformance strengthened the case for expanding retail access through investment vehicles such as 401(k) plans.

Advertisement

The sector’s strong returns, coupled with the trend of companies staying private for longer, have fueled investor interest in pre-IPO opportunities and heightened anticipation for major public listings.

The frenzy surrounding SpaceX’s IPO underscores the trend, with Bloomberg reporting that retail investors alone have placed more than $70 billion in orders for Friday’s offering as of Thursday. Elon Musk’s rocket and AI company is targeting a valuation of $1.8 trillion after its public debut.

Related: Kraken’s xStocks tops $25B in volume with more than 80K onchain holders

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Backpack and Sunrise Roll Out Tokenized SpaceX Shares on Solana Chain

Published

on

Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • SPCX represents tokenized SpaceX shares issued through Backpack Securities.
  • Token can be redeemed for underlying equity via regulated brokerage access.
  • Sunrise provides infrastructure for issuance and Solana integration.
  • SPCX trades on Solana with self-custody wallet support.
  • Launch aligns with SpaceX’s Nasdaq listing day for dual-market access.

SpaceX shares will begin trading on Solana alongside Nasdaq listing via tokenization. Backpack Securities and Sunrise will launch SPCX representing SpaceX equity onchain. The token enables trading, redemption, and self-custody across Solana venues.

SpaceX Stock Token Launches on Solana Network

Backpack issues SPCX as a tokenized claim on SpaceX shares. Eligible users can redeem tokens for underlying shares through brokerage. The firms link brokerage accounts with blockchain settlement systems.

Sunrise provides infrastructure supporting the issuance and distribution of SPCX tokens. The token targets Solana for fast settlement and continuous trading access. Holders may transfer SPCX within supported wallets and platforms.

Backpack states SPCX can move between the token and equity forms. The structure allows redemption and re-tokenization through verified accounts. Trading will operate outside normal market hours on Solana.

Solana Trading Expansion for Tokenized Equities

The launch places SpaceX exposure onchain on listing day. Solana supports continuous trading beyond traditional exchange hours. Backpack integrates custody tools with regulated brokerage services.

Advertisement

SPCX can be stored in self-custody wallets securely. Users can trade tokens across supported Solana venues globally. The system mirrors traditional equity ownership through blockchain records.

Backpack CEO Armani Ferrante described portability across financial systems. “It is making underlying securities portable across financial systems.” The statement highlights integration between brokerage and blockchain rails.

Tokenized equities continue expanding across crypto markets this year. Firms experiment with blockchain rails for traditional asset exposure. SPCX enters this trend with regulated brokerage backing.

Solana supports high-speed settlement for tokenized trading systems. Developers build infrastructure for continuous financial market access. Backpack uses this network for SPCX distribution and trading.

Advertisement

Sunrise coordinates the issuance process with regulated brokerage partners. Token structure links shares with redeemable blockchain units. Users access SPCX through approved wallets and platforms.

Nasdaq listing proceeds separately from onchain SPCX trading. Both markets operate simultaneously for SpaceX exposure access. This dual structure enables parallel price discovery mechanisms.

Backpack ensures compliance through brokerage custody arrangements. Redemption requests convert tokens into underlying equity shares. Verification processes govern eligible participant access.

Solana venues support peer-to-peer SPCX transfers. Self-custody options give users direct asset control. Trading remains active beyond conventional market schedules.

Advertisement

The product aligns tokenized finance with traditional equity markets. Backpack integrates brokerage systems with blockchain infrastructure layers. Sunrise manages technical issuance workflows for token distribution.

SPCX availability begins with the SpaceX Nasdaq listing day. Trading access expands through Solana-based applications and wallets. Backpack continues rollout across supported jurisdictions and partners.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Crypto Trading Volumes Plunge to 2-Year Lows as Market Fatigue Sets In

Published

on

New data from on-chain analytics firm Santiment shows that trading activity across crypto’s largest non-stablecoin assets has fallen to levels not seen since 2024.

According to the company, the slowdown is pointing to a market where traders have largely stepped back, a condition that has often appeared before relief rallies when confidence eventually comes back.

Crypto Traders Retreat as Volumes Dry Up

Santiment’s analysis, shared on X on June 11, noted that top-cap assets are seeing two-year low trading volumes and framed that as a potential capitulation signal rather than the start of another leg down.

“Traders appear reluctant to aggressively buy or sell as macro uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and recent liquidations keep participants on the sidelines,” wrote the firm.

While low activity can appear bearish, Santiment noted that periods of weak participation have historically come just before some of crypto’s strongest recoveries. The firm said markets rarely reverse higher when investors are actively chasing prices and that turning points often emerge when traders become disengaged and expect little movement.

Advertisement

Data from CoinGecko supported Santiment’s take on trading flow, whereby the 24-hour trading volume of Bitcoin amounted to about $30 billion, dropping by almost 20% when compared to that of the previous day. Ethereum’s, though, was a much more modest 1.40%, while Tron (TRX) and BNB saw activity dip by 4% and 10%, respectively.

Still, some altcoins registered upticks, with Solana (SOL), for instance, seeing a 23% jump in its 24-hour trading volume while that of Ripple’s XRP went up 11%.

Santiment says that this type of market situation, where capital is sitting idly despite continued development and institutional involvement in the industry, is becoming more like one looking for a new reason to make a move.

“If confidence begins returning, just a small amount of inflows could be enough to spark a much needed relief rally as sidelined capital re-enters the sector,” was their verdict.

On-Chain Signals Are Not Helping

The lack of participation from crypto investors isn’t happening in a vacuum, given that the on-chain backdrop has grown more difficult recently.

Advertisement

For example, data published earlier this week by CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler Jr. showed that BTC’s Realized Cap 30-day change had fallen to -1.1%, the deepest level of capital outflows since mid-March, with around $12 billion leaving the network since a high point in May.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s adjusted SOPR, which measures whether coins are being sold at a profit or loss, has stayed below 1.0 for 13 straight days. That reading means that the BTC moved on-chain is being sold at an average loss, which Adler associated with weaker holders leaving the market.

The post Crypto Trading Volumes Plunge to 2-Year Lows as Market Fatigue Sets In appeared first on CryptoPotato.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Here’s why bitcoin ETF outflows may have little to do with SpaceX mania

Published

on

Crash risk rises as bond yields surge

Exchange flows remain broadly normal, while stablecoin supply has seen little meaningful contraction. More speculative corners of the digital asset market also continue attracting capital. Products linked to higher-risk crypto assets are still gathering inflows, something Dori says would be unlikely if investors were abandoning the asset class altogether.

Perhaps the strongest argument against the IPO-rotation theory comes from derivatives markets.

Dori pointed to a decline in CME bitcoin futures open interest that has coincided with ETF redemptions. That relationship suggests a significant portion of the outflows may be linked to the unwinding of cash-and-carry arbitrage trades rather than investors reallocating toward equity offerings.

A cash-and-carry trade is a popular institutional arbitrage strategy that seeks to profit from the gap between bitcoin’s spot price and futures prices. Investors buy spot bitcoin, often through an ETF, while also selling bitcoin futures contracts. As long as futures trade at a premium to spot prices, the investor can earn a relatively low-risk yield when the contracts converge at expiry.

Advertisement

When that premium narrows, or funding conditions become less attractive, traders unwind the position by selling their spot exposure and closing their futures shorts. That process can generate ETF outflows even when investors are not turning bearish on bitcoin itself. Instead, the arbitrage opportunity has simply become less profitable.

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025