Connect with us
DAPA Banner
DAPA Coin
DAPA
COIN PAYMENT ASSET
PRIVACY · BLOCKDAG · HOMOMORPHIC ENCRYPTION · RUST
ElGamal Encrypted MINE DAPA
🚫 GENESIS SOLD OUT
DAPAPAY COMING

Crypto World

What is a stablecoin? USDC, USDT, RLUSD, and how they hold a dollar

Published

on

Stablecoin news: FinCEN's new self-policing rule

A stablecoin is crypto that is supposed to be worth exactly one dollar, always. That sounds simple, but how a token holds a steady value, and whether it actually can, is one of the most important and misunderstood questions in crypto. Here is the complete answer.

Summary

  • Stablecoins are designed to maintain a $1 value, giving users a way to move and hold funds on blockchains without the price swings common in cryptocurrencies.
  • USDT, USDC, and RLUSD use dollar backed reserves to maintain their peg, while other stablecoins rely on crypto collateral or algorithmic mechanisms.
  • A stablecoin’s reliability depends on the quality of its backing, with depegs, issuer risks, and regulatory requirements remaining key factors for users to consider.

A stablecoin is a cryptocurrency designed to hold a steady value, almost always pegged to one US dollar, so that one unit is meant to always be worth one dollar regardless of what the rest of the crypto market is doing. 

If Bitcoin is like a stock that swings every day, a stablecoin is meant to behave like the cash in your wallet, a digital dollar that moves on blockchain rails. This stability is what makes stablecoins quietly essential: they are the bridge between volatile crypto and stable money, the safe harbor traders move into when markets crash, the dollars that flow through decentralized finance, and increasingly a payment rail that moves enormous volumes of money around the world. 

Advertisement

As of 2026, stablecoins represent a market worth hundreds of billions of dollars and, by some measures, already move more annual volume than major card networks.

This guide explains stablecoins in plain English: what they are and why they matter, the three fundamentally different ways a stablecoin can hold its peg to a dollar, the major stablecoins including USDT, USDC, and RLUSD and how they differ, the mechanisms that keep the value steady, the real risks including the depegs that have destroyed billions, the regulation now taking shape around them, and how to use them sensibly. 

It assumes no prior knowledge, and it takes the risks seriously instead of treating stablecoins as the risk-free digital cash they are sometimes presented as, because the single most important thing to understand about a stablecoin is that its stability is only as good as whatever is backing it, and not all stablecoins are backed equally.

What a stablecoin is, and why it matters

To understand why stablecoins exist, you have to understand the problem they solve, which is the central inconvenience of cryptocurrency.

Advertisement

Most cryptocurrencies are volatile, swinging in value by large percentages in short periods, and that volatility, while attractive to speculators, makes them impractical for many everyday purposes. You cannot easily price a coffee in an asset that might be worth ten percent less by the afternoon, you cannot comfortably hold your savings in something that swings wildly, and you cannot smoothly trade in and out of positions if the only alternative to a volatile coin is another volatile coin. 

A stablecoin solves this by offering the benefits of cryptocurrency, fast, borderless, programmable digital money that moves on a blockchain, without the volatility, because its value is anchored to a stable asset, almost always the dollar. It is digital cash that lives on the same rails as the rest of crypto.

This stability makes stablecoins useful in several distinct ways, which is why they have become foundational. For traders, a stablecoin is where capital waits: when a trader wants to exit a volatile position without converting back to traditional banking, they move into a stablecoin, locking in their value in dollar terms while staying inside the crypto ecosystem, ready to redeploy instantly. 

For decentralized finance, stablecoins are the essential unit of account and the most important form of collateral and liquidity, because lending, borrowing, and trading protocols need a stable value to function, and a volatile token would make them unworkable. For payments and transfers, stablecoins enable fast, low-cost movement of dollar value across borders without the delays and fees of traditional banking, which is why they are increasingly used for remittances, settlement, and cross-border commerce. 

Advertisement

A stablecoin, in short, is the dollar made native to crypto, and that simple capability turns out to be one of the most important things in the entire ecosystem, the stable foundation on which much of the rest is built.

The three ways a stablecoin holds its peg

Not all stablecoins work the same way, and the differences are the single most important thing to understand, because how a stablecoin maintains its dollar peg determines how safe it is. There are three fundamentally different mechanisms.

The first and largest category is fiat-backed stablecoins, which hold their value through real-world reserves. The idea is simple: for every stablecoin in circulation, the issuing company holds one dollar, or a dollar’s worth of safe assets like cash and short-term government bonds, in reserve. When you want to redeem your stablecoin, you can exchange it for an actual dollar from those reserves, and it is this redeemability, the promise that each token is backed one-to-one by a real dollar you can claim, that keeps the price anchored at a dollar.

Advertisement

USDT and USDC are the dominant examples, and they work this way: a regulated or semi-regulated entity holds the dollars, issues tokens against them, and redeems them on demand. The strength of this model is simplicity and directness, real dollars backing real tokens; the tradeoff is centralization, because you must trust the issuer to actually hold the reserves it claims and to honor redemptions, which is why reserve transparency matters so much for these coins.

The second category is crypto-collateralized stablecoins, which back their value with other cryptocurrencies instead of dollars. Because crypto is volatile, these stablecoins use overcollateralization: to mint a dollar’s worth of the stablecoin, you must lock up more than a dollar’s worth of crypto, often around a hundred and fifty dollars of an asset like Ether for a hundred dollars of stablecoin, in a smart contract. 

That extra cushion absorbs the price swings of the underlying crypto, and if the value of the locked collateral falls too far, the system automatically sells some of it to keep the stablecoin fully backed. DAI is the classic example. The strength of this model is decentralization, since it runs on smart contracts instead of relying on a company holding bank reserves; the tradeoff is capital inefficiency, because you must lock up more value than you receive, and exposure to the volatility of the crypto collateral if markets crash sharply.

The third category is algorithmic stablecoins, which try to hold their peg through code instead of through any reserves at all, using algorithms that automatically expand or contract the token’s supply to push its price toward a dollar. These are the riskiest and least proven, and the category suffered a catastrophic failure in 2022 when a major algorithmic stablecoin called TerraUSD collapsed, losing its peg and destroying tens of billions of dollars in value in days, because the algorithmic mechanism could not hold under stress and unraveled in a death spiral. 

Advertisement

That collapse is why most people today prefer fiat-backed or crypto-collateralized stablecoins, and why algorithmic models are treated with deep suspicion. The three mechanisms, real dollars in reserve, overcollateralized crypto, and algorithmic supply adjustment, represent a spectrum from simplest and most centralized to most experimental and most dangerous, and knowing which mechanism a stablecoin uses is the first thing to check before trusting it to hold a dollar.

The major stablecoins: USDT, USDC, RLUSD, and more

With the mechanisms understood, the specific major stablecoins become easy to place, and knowing the differences among them helps you choose which to trust.

USDT, issued by Tether, is the largest stablecoin by far, with a market value well over a hundred billion dollars, and it is used in a large share of all crypto trades, making it the dominant medium of exchange across global exchanges. It is fiat-backed, holding reserves of cash, government bonds, and other assets, and it publishes periodic attestations of those reserves. USDT’s strength is its enormous liquidity and ubiquity, it is accepted nearly everywhere in crypto, while its history of questions about the exact composition and transparency of its reserves has made it the most debated stablecoin, even as it continues to dominate. 

USDC, issued by Circle, is the second largest, also fiat-backed, and is generally regarded as the more transparency-focused and regulation-friendly option, backed by cash and short-term US government bonds with regular reserve reporting from major accounting firms. USDC is often preferred by institutions and in the United States precisely for that transparency and regulatory posture, trading some of USDT’s raw ubiquity for a stronger reputation on reserves.

Advertisement

RLUSD, issued by Ripple, is a newer entrant that has grown into a significant stablecoin, reaching well over a billion dollars in value and ranking among the larger stablecoins. It is a dollar-backed stablecoin built with a focus on regulatory compliance and institutional and payment use, live across many networks and integrated into payment infrastructure, including a notable integration with a major card network’s settlement system. 

RLUSD represents the wave of newer, compliance-first stablecoins entering as the sector matures and as regulation takes shape, positioning itself for institutional settlement and payments rather than primarily for trading. Beyond these three, the landscape includes DAI and similar crypto-collateralized coins, other fiat-backed entrants from payment companies and exchanges, and yield-bearing stablecoins that pass through returns from their reserves to holders. 

The pattern across the major stablecoins is that the largest and safest tend to be fiat-backed with transparent reserves, that USDT leads on liquidity while USDC leads on transparency, and that newer compliance-focused coins like RLUSD are entering to serve institutional and payment needs as the regulated era arrives.

How the peg actually holds

It is worth understanding the mechanism that keeps a fiat-backed stablecoin at a dollar, because it is more dynamic than simply holding reserves and it explains both the stability and the fragility.

Advertisement

The core of the peg is redeemability and arbitrage. For a fiat-backed stablecoin, the issuer promises to redeem each token for a dollar, and this promise creates a powerful market force that holds the price near a dollar even as the token trades freely. If the stablecoin’s market price drifts below a dollar, traders can buy it cheaply and redeem it with the issuer for a full dollar, pocketing the difference, and this buying pushes the price back up toward a dollar; if the price drifts above a dollar, the issuer can mint and sell new tokens, or traders can, increasing supply and pushing the price back down. 

This arbitrage, the profit opportunity that appears whenever the price strays from the peg, is what continuously pulls the price back to a dollar, as long as the underlying promise of redeemability is credible. The peg is held not by magic but by the constant economic incentive for traders to profit from any deviation, which only works if everyone believes the tokens are truly backed and redeemable.

This is precisely why the credibility of the backing is everything. The arbitrage that holds the peg depends on the belief that each token can actually be redeemed for a real dollar, so the moment that belief weakens, if people doubt the reserves exist or fear the issuer cannot honor redemptions, the mechanism can break down, because no one will pay a dollar for a token they fear is not actually backed. A stablecoin’s peg, in other words, rests on confidence in its backing, and that confidence is the thing that can evaporate in a crisis. 

For crypto-collateralized stablecoins, a similar dynamic holds, maintained by the overcollateralization and automatic liquidation in the smart contract, while for algorithmic stablecoins the peg rests entirely on the algorithm and on market confidence in it, with no hard asset backing to fall back on, which is why they are the most fragile. Understanding that the peg is a confidence-and-arbitrage mechanism rather than a guarantee is the key to understanding why stablecoins can fail.

Advertisement

The real risks: depegs and what they teach

Stablecoins are often treated as the safe, boring corner of crypto, but they carry genuine risks, and the history of depegs, moments when a stablecoin loses its dollar peg, is the most important thing to study before trusting one.

A depeg happens when a stablecoin’s price falls away from its intended dollar value, and depegs range from brief, minor wobbles to total, permanent collapses. The most catastrophic was the 2022 failure of TerraUSD, an algorithmic stablecoin that lost its peg and spiraled to near zero, destroying tens of billions of dollars in days, a collapse that showed how an algorithmic peg with no hard backing can unravel completely under stress. 

But even backed stablecoins can depeg temporarily: a major fiat-backed stablecoin briefly lost its peg in 2023 when some of its cash reserves were caught in a collapsing bank, and the price dropped meaningfully until confidence was restored when the funds proved safe, showing that even well-backed coins are exposed to the quality and accessibility of their reserves. These episodes teach a clear lesson: a stablecoin is only as stable as its backing, and the safety of that backing, what it consists of, whether it truly exists, whether it can be accessed, is the real determinant of a stablecoin’s reliability.

The specific risks worth understanding flow from this. Reserve risk is the danger that a fiat-backed stablecoin’s reserves are not what they claim, are of poor quality, or cannot be accessed when needed, which is why transparency and the quality of reserves matter so much. Counterparty and centralization risk is the danger that the issuing company fails, freezes redemptions, or acts against holders, since with a centralized stablecoin you are trusting that company. Smart-contract risk affects crypto-collateralized stablecoins, where a flaw in the protocol’s code could undermine the system. 

Advertisement

Algorithmic risk is the danger, proven catastrophic, that a code-based peg simply fails under stress. And regulatory risk is the possibility that changing rules affect a stablecoin’s operation or availability. The practical takeaway is that stablecoins are not uniformly safe, that fiat-backed coins with transparent, high-quality reserves are generally the most reliable, that crypto-collateralized coins carry smart-contract and collateral risk, and that algorithmic coins carry the gravest risk of all.

Treating any stablecoin as guaranteed to hold a dollar is a mistake the depeg history exists to correct.

The regulation taking shape

Stablecoins have grown large enough that governments are now regulating them seriously, and this regulatory wave is reshaping the sector in ways worth understanding.

As stablecoins became a significant part of the financial system, moving enormous volumes and holding large reserves, regulators recognized that a stablecoin failure could harm many people and even pose risks to financial stability, and they began building frameworks to govern them. In the United States, legislation has moved to set rules for stablecoin issuers, including requirements around reserves, redemption, and oversight, aiming to ensure that stablecoins are truly backed and that issuers operate responsibly. 

Advertisement

In Europe, a comprehensive framework has set rules for stablecoins as part of a broader crypto regulation. The general thrust of this regulation is to require that stablecoins, especially the large fiat-backed ones used for payments, hold high-quality reserves, honor redemptions, disclose their backing, and operate under supervision, which is intended to make them safer and more trustworthy as they become part of mainstream finance.

This regulatory shift matters for users in concrete ways. Regulation tends to favor the transparent, well-backed stablecoins and to pressure or exclude the opaque or riskier ones, which over time should make the stablecoins available to ordinary users safer, because the ones that survive regulation will be those that truly hold the reserves they claim. It also drives the emergence of compliance-focused stablecoins built specifically to meet the new rules, part of why newer entrants emphasize regulatory alignment. 

The tradeoff is that regulation brings more oversight, more identity requirements, and a more controlled experience than the early, lightly governed days of stablecoins. For most users, the regulatory wave is a net positive for safety, pushing the sector toward truly backed, transparent, redeemable stablecoins and away from the opaque and the experimental, even as it brings the compliance overhead that regulated financial products carry.

Understanding that regulation is actively reshaping which stablecoins are trustworthy is part of understanding the sector as it stands in 2026.

Advertisement

How to use stablecoins sensibly

For anyone using stablecoins, a few principles drawn from everything above turn the theory into practical safety.

The first principle is to favor transparent, fiat-backed stablecoins with high-quality, well-disclosed reserves for most purposes, because they are the most reliable, and to understand the backing of any stablecoin before trusting it with significant value. Knowing whether a stablecoin is fiat-backed, crypto-collateralized, or algorithmic, and how transparent its reserves are, is the single most useful thing you can know about it, because that mechanism is what determines whether it will hold its dollar when stressed. 

The second principle is to remember that no stablecoin is entirely risk-free, that even backed coins can depeg temporarily and centralized ones carry counterparty risk, so holding very large amounts in a single stablecoin, or treating any stablecoin as identical to insured bank money, overstates their safety. Spreading exposure and staying aware of the issuer’s reserves and reputation is sensible for larger holdings.

The third principle is to use stablecoins for what they are genuinely good at, parking value out of volatility, moving money across borders, transacting in DeFi, and serving as a stable unit within crypto, while recognizing they are not an investment that grows, since a stablecoin is designed to stay at a dollar, not to appreciate. 

Advertisement

Yield-bearing stablecoins that pass through reserve returns exist, but any yield carries its own risks that should be understood rather than assumed safe. And whatever stablecoin you use, the same crypto security basics apply: protect your wallet and keys, since a stablecoin is still a crypto asset that can be stolen if your security fails. Used with these principles, favoring transparent backing, respecting the risks, using them for their real purpose, and securing them properly, stablecoins are a useful tool, the stable dollar layer of crypto.

None of this is financial advice; it is a frame for using stablecoins with an accurate understanding of what they are and what can go wrong.

The dollar, made native to crypto

A stablecoin is, at its simplest, a cryptocurrency built to be worth one dollar, always, bringing the stability of cash to the speed and reach of blockchain. That capability, a stable digital dollar that moves on crypto rails, turns out to be foundational: it is where traders shelter from volatility, the unit that makes decentralized finance work, and a payment rail moving enormous sums across borders. 

The largest stablecoins, USDT and USDC, hold their value with real dollar reserves, newer entrants like RLUSD bring a compliance-first approach for institutional and payment use, and together they have grown into a market worth hundreds of billions that increasingly touches mainstream finance.

Advertisement

But the central lesson is that a stablecoin is only as stable as whatever backs it, and the three mechanisms, real reserves, overcollateralized crypto, and algorithms, are not equally safe. Fiat-backed coins with transparent, high-quality reserves are the most reliable; crypto-collateralized coins add smart-contract and collateral risk; and algorithmic coins, as the 2022 collapse of TerraUSD proved by destroying tens of billions, carry the gravest danger of all. The peg holds through redeemability and arbitrage as long as confidence in the backing survives, and it can break when that confidence fails. 

Regulation is now reshaping the sector toward the transparent and well-backed, which should make the surviving stablecoins safer over time. Used with an understanding of what backs them and respect for their real risks, stablecoins are one of crypto’s most useful inventions, the dollar made native to the blockchain, valuable precisely because, when they are built right, they are boring.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is a stablecoin in simple terms?

A stablecoin is a cryptocurrency designed to hold a steady value, almost always pegged to one US dollar, so one unit is meant to always be worth a dollar regardless of crypto market swings. It brings the speed, reach, and programmability of crypto to a stable, dollar-like value, functioning as digital cash on blockchain rails. Stablecoins are used to shelter from volatility, power decentralized finance, and move money across borders, and the market is worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

How do stablecoins hold their value at a dollar?

Through one of three mechanisms. Fiat-backed stablecoins like USDT and USDC hold real dollar reserves, redeemable one-to-one, and arbitrage keeps the price near a dollar. Crypto-collateralized stablecoins like DAI lock up more than a dollar of crypto per token, with automatic liquidation maintaining the backing. Algorithmic stablecoins use code to expand or contract supply, with no hard reserves, which makes them the riskiest. The peg ultimately depends on confidence that the backing is real and redeemable.

Advertisement

What is the difference between USDT, USDC, and RLUSD?

USDT (Tether) is the largest and most liquid stablecoin, used in a large share of crypto trades, fiat-backed but historically the most debated over reserve transparency. USDC (Circle) is the second largest, also fiat-backed, and generally regarded as more transparency-focused and regulation-friendly, often preferred by institutions. RLUSD (Ripple) is a newer, compliance-first dollar-backed stablecoin focused on institutional and payment use, integrated into payment infrastructure. All three are fiat-backed; they differ mainly in liquidity, transparency, and focus.

Can a stablecoin lose its value?

Yes. A stablecoin can “depeg,” losing its dollar value, ranging from brief wobbles to total collapse. The 2022 failure of the algorithmic stablecoin TerraUSD destroyed tens of billions of dollars as its peg spiraled to near zero. Even backed stablecoins can depeg temporarily, as one major coin did in 2023 when some reserves were caught in a failing bank. A stablecoin is only as stable as its backing, so the quality and credibility of its reserves determine its reliability.

Are stablecoins safe?

Not uniformly. Fiat-backed stablecoins with transparent, high-quality reserves are generally the most reliable, but no stablecoin is entirely risk-free. Risks include reserves not being what they claim, the issuing company failing or freezing redemptions, smart-contract flaws in crypto-collateralized coins, the proven danger of algorithmic models failing, and regulatory changes. Treating any stablecoin as identical to insured bank money overstates their safety. Understanding what backs a given stablecoin is the key to judging it.

Why are stablecoins being regulated?

Because they have grown large enough that a failure could harm many people and affect financial stability. Governments are building frameworks, including US legislation and Europe’s comprehensive crypto rules, requiring stablecoin issuers to hold high-quality reserves, honor redemptions, disclose backing, and operate under supervision. The aim is to ensure stablecoins are truly backed and responsibly run. This tends to favor transparent, well-backed coins and pressure opaque or risky ones, making the surviving stablecoins safer over time.

Advertisement

This guide is educational information, not financial advice. Stablecoins carry real risks, including depegs and issuer failure. Understand what backs any stablecoin and secure your assets before relying on it.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Crypto World

Most Litecoin nodes ignore patch for double-spending bug

Published

on

Most Litecoin nodes ignore patch for double-spending bug

Earlier this year, a hacker tried to double-spend litecoin (LTC) before an emergency, 13-block reorganization thwarted the attack.

Even though developers have released a flurry of code patches to prevent a repeat, most of the Litecoin network’s nodes have still not installed the fix.

The patch has been available for free download for nearly two months. Nonetheless, of the nodes tracked by a major monitoring service, less than 30% are running up-to-date software that would reject the type of transactions behind April’s double-spending attempt.

Sadly, the largest cohort of node operators on the Litecoin network by software version run v0.21.4. This vulnerable version is live on roughly 39% of reachable nodes, most of which are non-mining.

Advertisement

Fortunately, most mining Litecoin nodes have updated their software, despite most validating nodes, which comprise the majority of the network, still operating with old, buggy code.

Read more: Bitcoin thieves got away with ATM double-spending spree across Canada

A post-incident review admitted that adoption of the patched software was a meager 23% after nearly two weeks of public release.

As weeks roll on, malformed transactions that triggered April’s reorg would still find a temporarily receptive majority today on the internet, even though miners wouldn’t be fooled and continue building on the correct chaintip.

Advertisement

The original vulnerability sat in Litecoin Core’s handling of MimbleWimble Extension Block (MWEB) transactions. MWEB is a Litecoin privacy layer the project activated in 2022. 

Earlier this year, a malformed MWEB peg-out transaction allowed a tiny input to back a far larger withdrawal of LTC, effectively creating coins that should never have existed.

Nodes ignore the patch for Litecoin’s double-spending bug

It would be far more secure if most — or ideally all — nodes patched their software to reject invalid peg-out transactions containing unfairly minted LTC, but despite the fix being public for weeks, the network has declined or simply been too lazy to install it.

Released in April, still not picked up by most Litecoin nodes.

The major incident involving the exploit occurred on April 25. Non-upgraded mining nodes accepted an invalid MWEB transaction, and an attacker pegged out coins to third-party venues in an attempt to convert the fake LTC for other assets.

Advertisement

A 13-block reorganization beginning at block 3,095,931, documented in the post-mortem, fortunately reversed those transactions and wiped out roughly half an hour of blockchain activities.

The official Litecoin account admitted on social media, “A zero-day bug caused a DoS attack that disrupted major mining pools.” Litecoin creator Charlie Lee also posted about the double-spending attempt.

Litecoin node software developers shipped v0.21.5.4 the day after the reorg to stop the immediate threat of mining denial-of-service.

They soon followed with another patch in early May, v0.21.5.5, to add consensus-level MWEB validation hardening. Many node operators have simply ignored it.

Advertisement

Litecoin has a market cap of $3.4 billion. Its long-term security depends on software updates that most node operators have ignored for almost two months.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin May Hit Q3 “Macro Bottom” Near $50K as Liquidity Grab Approaches

Published

on

Crypto Breaking News

Speculation is building among parts of the trading community that Bitcoin’s next meaningful dip could function as a “macro bottom” trigger, potentially pushing BTC/USD into a targeted liquidity zone below $60,000 before a larger reversal. The renewed focus centers on how order-book liquidity on crypto exchanges can shape short-term price action—and whether traders’ current levels get “front-run” on the downside.

On Friday, pseudonymous analyst Killa argued that the market may be set up to sweep liquidity between roughly $50,000 and $60,000, potentially setting the stage for an end-of-bear-market pivot sometime between July and September. In parallel, multiple traders pointed to bearish pressure signals in short-term charts, including comments about short positioning on Binance.

Key takeaways

  • Killa’s analysis suggests Bitcoin could “front run” higher-timeframe liquidity by sweeping $50,000–$60,000 to complete a longer-term bearish cycle.
  • The core risk in Killa’s scenario is a partial liquidity grab—if the market reverses before that specific pool is fully taken, traders may be “left in complete disbelief.”
  • Chart commentary from other traders highlights a close-in support window around $61,000–$62,000 that, if lost, could accelerate downside pressure.
  • On shorter time frames, traders discussed “aggressive” short positioning on Binance, framing it as a reason near-term outlooks remain bearish.

Why order-book liquidity could drive a downside sweep

Killa’s thesis is tied to a familiar mechanism in liquid markets: order-book liquidity attracts activity, and large participants can move price in ways that force liquidation and unwind leveraged positions nearby. In the Bitcoin market, that process often results in sharp volatility when price moves toward clusters where traders have placed stops or liquidations.

According to Killa, the upcoming move is not just about where price is today, but about where liquidity is likely to be “front-run” by market makers and larger traders. Killa referenced prior behavior in which the market front-ran major liquidity above, and suggested a mirror pattern could occur below—leaving many participants surprised if the move is cleaner or faster than expected.

“Just like the market front ran the 140K liquidity above, it can do the exact same thing on the downside, leaving many in complete disbelief.”

In a post shared on X, Killa framed the key target as a sub-$60,000 liquidity grab in the next quarter. The idea is that once that pool is taken, the market may be positioned for a more durable reversal rather than a brief bounce.

Advertisement

Killa also emphasized that this is not a guarantee of a straight line lower. He noted that price could still sweep below $60,000 even if the primary argument is about taking the liquidity below that level.

The $50,000–$60,000 zone and what would “complete” the move

To support the liquidity-focused view, Killa pointed to a chart from CoinGlass showing a concentration of liquidation-linked liquidity activity in the $50,000 to $60,000 range. The practical implication is straightforward for traders: if that band is actively “cleared,” it can reduce the fuel for further forced downside in the immediate term and potentially change how derivatives positioning behaves.

The more nuanced part of Killa’s argument concerns what happens if the market doesn’t fully execute the expected sweep. Killa suggested that if the liquidity below $60,000 is grabbed completely, it may prevent the next major pool of liquidity from forming later—potentially around July to September—thereby marking what he described as a “macro bottom.”

“Because if this particular liquidity below 60K gets grabbed, there’s a very good chance the next major pool that forms between July and September never gets filled, marking the macro bottom.”

That distinction matters because it separates two outcomes that often look similar at first: a dip-and-retrace versus a liquidity-driven liquidation event followed by stabilization. In the first scenario, traders may treat a move below $60,000 as a temporary scare. In the second, they treat it as structural clearing that can shift the market’s next leg.

Advertisement

However, Killa’s own wording also highlights uncertainty. While he presented the $50,000–$60,000 area as the “main area of interest,” the market can still deviate—especially in highly leveraged periods where liquidity patterns can shift quickly.

Support tests and “aggressive” Binance shorts

Other traders are focusing on a narrower, near-term question: whether the market can hold current support levels around $61,000–$62,000. As Cointelegraph previously noted, there has been ongoing debate about the durability of the $60,000 area as the latest backdrop for BTC’s next move.

Daan Crypto Trades warned that the situation could deteriorate rapidly if those nearby lines fail to hold. In a summary posted to X, he said bulls need to defend the $61,000–$62,000 region to avoid “things get ugly real quick,” while also stating that, for the moment, price remained at support.

Meanwhile, Exitpump pointed to derivatives positioning dynamics on the Binance venue. In a separate X post, Exitpump flagged “aggressive” short positioning by Binance traders, arguing that it contributes to a bearish short-term outlook. In practice, this type of commentary is often used by traders to anticipate how quickly price could rebound—or how much downside pressure might build if the shorts remain crowded.

Advertisement

While such posts don’t provide a guaranteed path, they reflect a consistent theme across trading desks: in a market where liquidity and leverage amplify moves, positioning on major venues can influence whether support becomes a turning point or merely a stop on the way to a deeper sweep.

What investors and traders should watch next

If Killa’s liquidity-clearing scenario plays out, the key is not only whether BTC trades down toward $50,000–$60,000, but whether it does so in a way that meaningfully “takes” that pool and alters subsequent liquidity formation. Traders should also monitor the $61,000–$62,000 support window highlighted by Daan Crypto Trades—because a clean breakdown there could shift attention from a controlled liquidity sweep to a faster downside sequence. Over the coming weeks, changes in short-term derivatives positioning and whether liquidation-driven moves fully exhaust the targeted liquidity band will likely determine which narrative gains traction.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

BlockShoals Says Binance Could Operate in the Philippines Under SEC Rules

Published

on

Crypto Breaking News

Binance’s renewed path to serving users in the Philippines is being shaped by a legal framework that hinges on what the companies say they are—and are not—doing under local rules. According to BlockShoals’ head of legal, Marie Antonette Quiogue, Binance may provide trading access through its arrangement with BlockShoals, but neither party is authorized to handle peso transfers or carry out other activities regulated by the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP), the Philippines’ central bank.

The discussion underscores a central tension in cryptocurrency regulation: whether an exchange can operate through an intermediary and a regulator-run sandbox while avoiding separate licensing requirements tied to banking and payments. The BSP has maintained that neither Binance nor BlockShoals is authorized to operate as a virtual asset service provider (VASP).

Key takeaways

  • BlockShoals argues Binance’s trading access falls under the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) authority for crypto asset services, not BSP-regulated peso transfers.
  • The BSP says participation in the SEC’s sandbox does not remove the need to comply with applicable laws and licensing obligations.
  • Neither Binance nor BlockShoals has applied for a local VASP license, according to Quiogue.
  • Binance’s return comes after the SEC and other regulators restricted access over licensing concerns in 2024.

How BlockShoals’ structure attempts to fit SEC oversight

Quiogue, who leads legal at BlockShoals, told Cointelegraph at Philippine Blockchain Week 2026 that Binance’s local activities are intended to operate under the SEC’s crypto asset service provider (CASP) framework. Under this model, BlockShoals acts as an intermediary, connecting Philippine users to Binance’s global trading platform.

She said the arrangement is designed to align with the SEC’s Strategic Sandbox, or StratBox. In practical terms, this is meant to establish which regulator—SEC versus BSP—has jurisdiction over the specific activities being offered.

Quiogue did not challenge the BSP’s position that neither company is authorized as a VASP in the Philippines. Instead, she argued that the lack of a VASP license does not automatically block the companies from providing services where the SEC has jurisdiction.

Advertisement

Her key distinction was operational: “Trading, the activity of trading, is clearly under the jurisdiction of the SEC,” she said, while adding that BlockShoals and Binance are “not moving pesos, which is clearly under the jurisdiction of the BSP.”

BSP stance: sandbox participation doesn’t eliminate licensing duties

While the SEC framework may govern trading-related activities, the BSP’s message is that regulatory experiments or sandbox participation do not excuse compliance with banking and payments rules. The central bank told Cointelegraph that neither Binance nor BlockShoals is authorized to operate as a VASP.

The BSP also emphasized that sandbox participation does not create a blanket exemption from other laws. As stated by the BSP, involvement in the regulatory sandbox “does not exempt an entity from complying with applicable laws, rules, and regulations, including any licensing requirements imposed by relevant regulators.” The BSP added that it was coordinating with the SEC on the issue.

From a compliance perspective, the practical implication is straightforward: if a service drifts into areas treated as VASP activity—or if it involves regulated functions tied to the BSP’s remit—additional authorization could still be required, even if the trading interface itself is routed through the SEC sandbox structure.

Advertisement

What changes—and what remains unresolved

Quiogue acknowledged that neither Binance nor BlockShoals sought a local VASP license. But she argued that when the companies introduce services that fall under a different regulator’s scope, they must obtain the relevant authority.

“If BlockShoals and Binance will be offering any product that is regulated by any other government agency, you have to get an authority from them,” she said. In other words, the legal position presented is conditional: permitted access depends on staying within the regulator-assigned boundaries.

This raises an investor-and-user question that matters beyond the immediate headline. Even where an exchange is accessible again, the legal risk may depend less on the existence of a sandbox relationship and more on the precise flow of activities behind the scenes—particularly anything touching transfers, custody, or payment rails that might be interpreted as BSP-regulated conduct.

For users, the change appears to be the restoration of platform accessibility under a new local structuring. For compliance watchers, the more important detail is that the arrangement is built around jurisdictional separation rather than a confirmed license covering all aspects of crypto services.

Advertisement

Background: restrictions followed SEC warnings over licensing

Regulatory scrutiny in the Philippines predates this latest arrangement. In November 2023, the SEC warned that Binance was not authorized to sell or offer securities in the country, citing the absence of the necessary license and registration. The SEC also pointed to the Binance platform’s status in relation to local regulatory requirements, according to the SEC’s advisory at the time.

Then in March 2024, the SEC said it had asked the National Telecommunications Commission to block access to the Binance website and related webpages. Following that order, internet providers in the Philippines began restricting access to the platform.

By the time Cointelegraph published its interview, Binance’s platform was accessible to users in the Philippines. That accessibility now appears tied to the BlockShoals arrangement and the assertion that trading-related activities can be handled under the SEC’s CASP and StratBox framework, while peso transfers and other BSP-regulated functions remain outside the scope of what the companies are doing.

Readers should watch how regulators operationalize these jurisdictional boundaries: whether the arrangement remains limited to trading access routed through SEC-supervised structures, and whether any expansion into payment-adjacent or custody-like functions triggers new licensing or enforcement actions from the BSP and SEC.

Advertisement

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Stellantis (STLAM) Stock Plunges 43% in 2026 as Solid-State Battery Testing Begins

Published

on

STLA Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Stellantis maintains a 9.5% ownership position in Factorial Energy, a solid-state battery developer based in the United States, with the stake valued at approximately $126 million
  • The investment, distributed between Stellantis Ventures and Stellantis Europe, represents about 8.67 million shares in the startup
  • Laboratory testing of Factorial’s battery technology demonstrated 375 Wh/kg energy density with charging times of approximately 18 minutes from 15% to 80%
  • Real-world road testing has commenced using Factorial’s FEST battery cells installed in a prototype Dodge Charger Daytona vehicle
  • Shares of STLAM have plummeted almost 43% year-to-date in 2026, with a recent 3.7% decline following negative news from BMW

An SEC disclosure has revealed that Stellantis maintains a 9.5% ownership stake in Factorial Energy, with the position currently worth approximately $126 million based on present valuations. The investment is distributed across both Stellantis Europe and Stellantis Ventures entities.


STLA Stock Card
Stellantis N.V., STLA

The automaker’s initial capital commitment to Factorial dates back to 2021, when Stellantis injected €75 million (approximately $86 million) into the battery technology company. This financial commitment has now transformed into an equity stake, positioning the automotive giant as a significant stakeholder in the emerging technology.

Jon Nelson, who leads Stellantis Financial Services as CEO, has secured a board seat at Factorial, transforming what began as a purely financial transaction into a strategic operational partnership.

The regulatory filing further indicated that Stellantis remains open to expanding its investment in Factorial, characterizing the company as representing a “compelling investment opportunity.”

Factorial has recently launched road testing of its solid-state battery technology in a development version of the Dodge Charger Daytona. This milestone represents the technology’s first deployment in actual driving scenarios beyond controlled laboratory settings.

Advertisement

During lab evaluations, Factorial’s battery cells achieved an energy density measurement of 375 Wh/kg. The cells also demonstrated the capability to charge from 15% to 80% capacity in about 18 minutes — performance metrics that would constitute a significant advancement over existing lithium-ion battery technology if achievable at commercial scale.

Solid-state battery technology offers reduced weight compared to traditional lithium-ion battery packs while promising enhanced driving range, accelerated charging capabilities, superior safety characteristics, and potentially reduced lifecycle costs. The primary obstacle remains manufacturing scalability, a challenge the automotive sector has yet to overcome.

Strategic Rationale Behind Stellantis’ Investment

For Stellantis, the partnership with Factorial represents a component of its comprehensive strategy to maintain competitive positioning in the electric vehicle technology landscape. Industry experts widely regard solid-state batteries as the next transformative advancement in energy storage, making early strategic alliances potentially critical when the technology reaches commercial viability.

The automaker’s approach prioritizes strategic involvement with a promising technology developer rather than attempting full ownership, particularly given Factorial’s demonstrated laboratory achievements and progression toward practical validation.

Advertisement

Share Price Challenges

While the Factorial development offers positive technological prospects for investors to consider, Stellantis shares have experienced significant headwinds throughout 2026. STLAM has declined nearly 43% since the beginning of January.

The latest downturn occurred this week, with shares dropping 3.7%. This decline coincided with a profit warning issued by BMW, which triggered broader selloffs across European automotive stocks.

Stellantis continues to face challenging conditions across its primary geographic markets, with the BMW announcement intensifying existing sector-wide pressures.

The SEC documentation, which officially discloses the Factorial ownership position, was filed on June 19, 2026.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

AI Won’t Make You a Good Trader, But Here’s How the Pros Use It Anyway

Published

on

AI Won’t Make You a Good Trader, But Here’s How the Pros Use It Anyway

Artificial intelligence (AI) is changing how crypto and traditional markets get traded, yet four leading analysts agree it rewards skill rather than replacing it. The edge in AI in crypto trading still comes from clean data and human judgment.

Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments and Julio Moreno of CryptoQuant call AI an accelerant for serious research. Benjamin Cowen and Michael van de Poppe, speaking on a separate panel, reach the same conclusion from the trading desk.

Four Analysts, One Conclusion

On-chain analytics and AI tools have moved from niche to mainstream across crypto research. Two BeInCrypto panels gathered four analysts who use them every day.

Edwards founded Capriole Investments, a quantitative Bitcoin (BTC) hedge fund. Moreno serves as Head of Research at CryptoQuant. Cowen and van de Poppe are widely followed, independent market analysts.

Advertisement

Speaking at the Market Intelligence Council, Edwards said AI shifts the opportunity toward those who do the work.

“I think AI as well is making that… playing field more opportunistic for certain people.”

On a separate panel, van de Poppe set the limit plainly.

“It’s not going to make you a great trader if you weren’t a good trader in the first place.”

Where AI Already Helps

The clearest gains show up in routine research. AI now compresses tasks that once took hours.

Edwards pointed to faster analysis as the main benefit.

Advertisement

“The tool sets to do that are much more powerful and… it can be done more quickly today with AI.”

Van de Poppe showed how accessible this has become. He built a sample crypto portfolio using a chatbot and free data feeds. Tools like AI agents now pull live market data on demand.

“You can build a portfolio and a dashboard of cryptocurrencies within five minutes with just free APIs.”

Van de Poppe demonstrates a crypto portfolio built by Claude, scored on technicals, fundamentals, and on-chain flow. Source: YouTube

Why AI Still Needs a Human

Speed does not equal skill. Van de Poppe noted that his AI portfolio missed important context.

“It didn’t create a basket of uncorrelated cryptos… it doesn’t have any macros in there.”

He said judgment fills that gap.

“That’s where the human knowledge and experience comes in and the intuition… That the AI agent doesn’t have or the LLM.”

He also warned against treating AI as magic. The tool will not deliver “some sort of magic that creates an infinite money loop.” That caution matches the wider market, where few experts back hands-off trading bots.

Moreno said institutions trust data but keep testing it.

Advertisement

“They do trust it but they verify a lot, and are continuously monitoring if the data remains relevant.”

Inside the Models

Professional funds treat AI as infrastructure, not a crystal ball. Edwards built his firm around large, tested models.

“We build hundreds of metrics and we also use hundreds of other data sources to build out comprehensive models… Combining onchain technicals and macro data for many years to build out trading models.”

Capriole’s Macro Index reflects that approach. The firm combines more than 60 on-chain, macro, and equities metrics into one machine-learning model. Most data platforms publish thousands of metrics, yet models still need careful curation.

Capriole’s Macro Index blends more than 60 metrics into a single machine-learning oscillator, shown here below Bitcoin price / Source: X

Cowen is building his own bot from the ground up.

“Right now all the bot does really is regurgitates things that I say. It’s almost like an AI version of me.”

He avoids training on low-quality AI output to prevent model decay.

“I don’t want it to use AI slop that’s out there to create more AI slop”

Van de Poppe runs his fund the same way. AI writes the base of his trading algorithms, but a human keeps steering it, or it keeps “working on stuff that is wrong for your system.”

Advertisement

The Data Behind the Models

Every model depends on the data beneath it. Moreno gave the sharpest example of a data edge.

“They will trade for example mining stocks instead of waiting for your quarterly report you’re tracking in real time actually what they’re mining.”

Network hashrate offers one such real-time signal. It tracks how much computing power miners commit to Bitcoin each day.

Bitcoin network hashrate, a real-time gauge of mining activity, has climbed alongside price since 2022 / Source: CryptoQuant

The same method applies to equity exchanges. Bitcoin miner stocks have drawn fresh attention as AI infrastructure spending climbs. Julio Moreno continues:

“Some of the crypto exchanges have also started trading on stock exchange and so you can be monitoring the trading volume to assess the revenues.”

Cowen added that data quality decides the outcome. He values records from before the AI era.

“Data before 2022 in some ways is actually really valuable because it was data before all the AI stuff was even here.”

For institutions and retail traders alike, the lesson holds. AI compresses the work and widens access, but the advantage flows to operators with clean data and the judgment to steer the model. As adoption spreads, that judgment becomes the real differentiator.

Advertisement

The post AI Won’t Make You a Good Trader, But Here’s How the Pros Use It Anyway appeared first on BeInCrypto.

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

XRP Withdrawal Activity Surges Across Major Exchanges as Bybit’s Deposit Wave Reverses

Published

on

XRP Withdrawal Activity Surges Across Major Exchanges as Bybit's Deposit Wave Reverses

TLDR:

  • Coinbase posted a seven-day net reading of -15,500 on June 18, exceeding its April and February lows.
  • Binance recorded -7,100 on June 18, near April levels and below its February 14 reading of -5,200.
  • Bybit’s net reading collapsed from +27,000 on June 7 to roughly -200 by June 18 in just 11 days.
  • Spot XRP ETFs now hold 1.41% of circulating supply after just five outflow days since March 27.

XRP withdrawal activity is again gaining traction across major cryptocurrency exchanges, with fresh on-chain data from June 18 pointing to a notable shift.

Coinbase and Binance both posted deeply negative seven-day net depositing and withdrawing transaction readings.

Meanwhile, Bybit’s unusually large early-June deposit surge has nearly fully reversed. Separately, spot XRP ETFs in the United States continue accumulating supply, now holding over 1.4% of circulating tokens.

Coinbase and Binance Post Negative Net Transaction Readings

Coinbase recorded a seven-day net depositing and withdrawing reading of -15,500 on June 18. That figure fell below its April 9 reading of -14,200 and its February 14 level of -12,300. The move places the current withdrawal dominance at a more extreme rate than either prior episode.

Binance followed the same direction on the same date. Its reading dropped to -7,100, near April levels and below the -5,200 recorded on February 14. That cross-exchange alignment removes any suggestion that the activity is exchange-specific.

Advertisement

Source: Cryptoquant

The metric tracks the net number of depositing versus withdrawing transactions. It does not measure the total XRP volume or dollar value transferred between accounts. Even so, a synchronized drop across two of the largest exchanges carries weight as a behavioral indicator.

The back-to-back negative readings across Coinbase and Binance point to a broader pattern. XRP holders appear to be moving tokens away from centralized venues at a pace that now exceeds prior notable periods this year.

Bybit’s Deposit Surge Collapses While ETF Holdings Pass 1.4% of Supply

Bybit presented the sharpest single-exchange reversal. Its net reading stood at roughly +27,000 on June 7, reflecting an unusually concentrated deposit wave at the time.

Advertisement

By June 18, that figure had fallen to approximately -200, erasing nearly all of the early-June movement within 11 days.

The speed of the reversal at Bybit adds context to the Coinbase and Binance readings. Together, the three data points suggest a coordinated behavioral shift across major XRP trading venues during June. The withdrawal side is reclaiming dominance across different exchange types and geographies.

On the institutional side, spot XRP ETFs in the United States recorded net inflows of approximately $2.82 million on June 15.

Following that session, the suite of Ripple-linked ETF products now holds 1.41% of XRP’s entire circulating supply.

Since March 27, spot XRP ETFs have posted net outflows on just five trading days. That streak reflects sustained institutional demand running alongside the exchange-level withdrawal activity now observed across Coinbase, Binance, and Bybit.

Advertisement

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin Traders Brace for New Lows as Data Warns Against Bearish Bets

Published

on

Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin is slipping back toward the $59,000 area after a failed rebound attempt left buyers unable to retake key resistance levels. The move has traders watching the downside closely, particularly as technical signals remain bearish and large pools of liquidations are reported to be concentrated near the yearly low.

At the same time, on-chain flow data suggests one source of immediate sell pressure may be easing: CryptoQuant analysis cited by the article points to a sharp decline in exchange inflows from mid-sized investors across Binance, Coinbase, and Coinbase Prime around June 19.

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin is approaching its yearly low near $59,000 after a recovery attempt stalled below the $67,500–$70,500 fair-value gap.
  • Liquidation positioning is reportedly heavy near $59,000 (about $4 billion in leveraged longs), raising the odds of a liquidity-driven push lower before any rebound.
  • CryptoQuant data shows mid-sized investor inflows to major exchanges fell across Binance and Coinbase to levels not seen since April 4.
  • RSI is reportedly hovering near oversold conditions, which can precede volatility spikes and relief bounces after liquidation events.

Why $59,000 remains the center of attention

The latest price action reflects a stalled attempt to reclaim lost ground. According to the report, BTC failed to reach the daily fair-value gap between $67,500 and $70,500, and sellers regained control around the 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages—levels described as acting as overhead resistance.

On the four-hour timeframe, the rejection reportedly pushed BTC below an ascending channel, marking a bearish break of structure. With price trading below that channel’s range, traders highlighted internal liquidity support around $60,700 before the market tests the yearly low near $59,000.

What makes the $59,000 zone particularly important is the clustering of leverage. The article cites liquidation data indicating that around $4 billion in cumulative leveraged long positions are concentrated near $59,000. If price trades into that area, forced liquidations can amplify downside moves by triggering additional selling—often referred to by traders as a “liquidity sweep” of trapped positioning.

Advertisement

Beyond that level, the next larger pocket of reported liquidity is near $68,000, where more than $4.75 billion in cumulative positions are said to be clustered. That distribution matters because it frames both the near-term risk (downside flushing into clustered longs) and the potential upside horizon if liquidations exhaust and a rebound takes hold.

Momentum signals: oversold conditions and the case for a bounce

Beyond structure and liquidity, the report also points to momentum indicators moving toward extremes. It notes that the relative strength index (RSI) is hovering near oversold territory. Another drive toward the yearly lows could push RSI below 30, a level that traders frequently associate with elevated odds of a sharp relief reaction after liquidation-driven selling.

Two separate traders emphasized that the market may not simply follow the most obvious liquidity path. Analyst “Killa” suggested Bitcoin could front-run a liquidity pool below $60,000 rather than fully sweeping the wider area. The reasoning, as presented in the article, is that markets sometimes move opposite the level that becomes “crowded attention,” referencing a past example where Bitcoin reportedly front-ran liquidity above $140,000 in October 2025.

Trader “LP” also cautioned against becoming “too bearish” in the immediate term, pointing instead to the possibility of a bottom forming toward late June. Together, these views underscore a key practical takeaway: even when liquidation maps point to downside, the timing of the flush versus the subsequent rebound can be difficult to forecast.

Advertisement

Exchange inflows cool—selling intent appears to ease

While price action and liquidation data focus on what happens when leverage is already positioned, exchange inflows help gauge what capital may be preparing to sell. The article attributes this portion of the story to CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, who reported that inflows from mid-sized Bitcoin investors declined simultaneously across Binance, Coinbase, and Coinbase Prime on June 19.

As stated in the report, Binance recorded roughly 3,500 BTC in inflows, Coinbase nearly 3,000 BTC, and Coinbase Prime about 1,700 BTC—described as the lowest readings since April 4. The article frames this as a reduction in near-term sell pressure because exchange inflows are commonly interpreted as a proxy for potential intent to trade or distribute coins.

This doesn’t automatically translate into fresh buying demand. The article’s interpretation is more nuanced: the data suggests mid-sized holders are sending fewer coins to exchanges as Bitcoin trades near the low-$60,000 region. In other words, one category of sell-side pressure may be lighter, even as the market tests a major liquidity concentration near yearly lows.

For traders, the practical implication is that downside moves toward $59,000 could still occur if liquidation incentives outweigh spot supply—especially given the large reported concentration of leveraged longs. But if exchange inflows continue to cool, it may reduce the “fuel” available for follow-through selling after any initial flush.

Advertisement

What to watch next as levels converge

Right now, the market is balancing two competing forces: bearish technical structure and large reported liquidation concentrations on one side, versus cooling mid-sized exchange inflows that could limit how persistently selling pressure builds once the market moves into the yearly-low pocket.

Going forward, traders are likely to focus on whether BTC breaks decisively below the $59,000 area (confirming a liquidity-driven downside move) or instead snaps back quickly—consistent with oversold momentum conditions and the possibility of trapped leverage being cleared without a sustained trend extension. The next key signal will be whether exchange inflows remain subdued as price approaches and potentially revisits these liquidity levels.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin Near $63K as Juneteenth Lift Coincides With ~40% Fed Hike Odds

Published

on

Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin pushed back above $63,000 on Friday as traders digested a mix of macro policy signals and renewed attention on US-Iran tensions. The bounce came after BTC weakened into eight-day lows and then stalled near week-to-date support levels, suggesting the market was still searching for direction rather than building fresh momentum.

Alongside calmer volatility in crypto, attention drifted to the Strait of Hormuz and the implications of a recently signed US-Iran memorandum of understanding—developments that market participants typically treat as a tail-risk driver for risk assets, including Bitcoin.

Key takeaways

  • Bitcoin’s rebound above $63,000 lacked follow-through, with BTC still confined to tight intraday ranges after falling to eight-day lows.
  • The Federal Reserve’s latest decision was interpreted as broadly hawkish, with CME Group data pricing in close to a 40% chance of a hike at the next FOMC meeting.
  • US-Iran tensions remain a live macro concern, with reporting highlighting that traffic through the Strait of Hormuz depends on Iran’s permission.
  • One trader framed the current period as potentially leading to a “black swan” event later in the bear-market cycle.

Bitcoin stalls after the Fed’s more hawkish tone

BTC/USD trade activity remained range-bound on lower time frames following a move down to eight-day lows, according to TradingView data referenced by market coverage. Rather than accelerating higher, the market consolidated—an early sign that buyers were not yet confident enough to press beyond recent resistance.

The shift back toward tighter trading conditions followed the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, which was the first for new Fed chair Kevin Warsh. The Fed kept interest rates at current levels and, importantly, did not provide the kind of dovish cues traders had been looking for.

In the Fed’s post-meeting statement, Warsh emphasized that inflation remains above the committee’s 2% goal, noting that supply shocks have contributed to price increases in sectors such as energy. The statement also reiterated that the committee “will deliver price stability,” a message analysts interpreted as less accommodating than some market hopes.

Advertisement

Commentary from trading resource The Kobeissi Letter pointed to a change in how Fed communications may work going forward. The account argued Warsh’s approach was unusual compared with expectations that had him being more aligned with President Donald Trump’s calls for rate cuts, adding that the FOMC statement was also shortened and forward guidance appeared reduced.

In particular, the Kobeissi Letter highlighted a concern that communication could become less informative, arguing that this would increase uncertainty because fewer policy signals would be available to markets.

That uncertainty showed up in rate expectations. CME Group’s FedWatch Tool (as cited in the coverage) indicated markets were pricing in roughly a 40% probability of a rate hike at the next FOMC meeting in late July. In a market that often treats interest-rate direction as a key driver for liquidity and risk appetite, that pricing supports the idea that BTC’s recent weakness and hesitation may be more policy-linked than purely crypto-internal.

US-Iran developments keep geopolitical risk on the board

With US markets closed for the Juneteenth holiday, crypto remained more exposed to global headlines without the usual wall of liquidity from traditional markets. The renewed focus on the US-Iran conflict helped bring the Strait of Hormuz back into the discussion—specifically, whether transit through the narrow waterway will effectively remain controlled by Iran.

Advertisement

Earlier coverage noted that the US and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU). However, Friday’s commentary suggested the agreement does not remove deeper strategic disagreements. In reporting cited by Kobeissi, traffic through the Strait of Hormuz cannot cross without Iran’s permission.

Kobeissi’s account clarified that while the MoU suggests transit through the Strait of Hormuz would be “free” for the duration of its 60-day term, it does not resolve the broader question of long-term control. The post further concluded that Iran appears to be preparing for longer-term control of Hormuz.

Geopolitical risk typically matters for Bitcoin through a macro channel: tensions can translate into energy price pressure, inflation concerns, and shifts in market risk appetite—each of which can affect the pricing of risk assets.

Supporting that macro linkage, WTI crude oil continued to trade around $75 per barrel after posting its lowest levels since early March, according to the coverage. Even without a dramatic jump in oil at the time, the market’s willingness to track Hormuz-related developments underscores how quickly conditions can change.

Advertisement

Traders look for a “black swan” later in this bear market

As near-term volatility cooled, some market participants began framing what comes next rather than reacting only to today’s price action. Rekt Capital, a trader and analyst cited in the article, suggested that Bitcoin’s more decisive test may not arrive immediately.

In a post on X, Rekt Capital told followers that “there tends to be a Black Swan event in the second half of Bitcoin Bear Markets,” presenting it as a pattern-based lesson rather than a specific forecast of timing or magnitude.

While such commentary cannot be treated as a data-driven prediction, it reflects a broader reality of crypto cycles: markets often experience delayed shocks rather than smooth, linear declines or rebounds. For traders, the practical takeaway is that a quiet patch—especially one following a macro-driven selloff—can sometimes be a pause before a more consequential move.

What to watch from here

Bitcoin’s current range behavior above $63,000 appears closely tied to Fed-driven uncertainty and geopolitical headlines. Traders will likely keep an eye on evolving rate pricing ahead of the late-July FOMC meeting, as well as further developments around Strait of Hormuz transit and oil-market signaling—two factors that can quickly reintroduce volatility if the narrative shifts.

Advertisement

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin Miners Pivot to AI as Tokenized RWAs Surge and Ripple Expands Africa Push

Published

on

Bitcoin Miners Pivot to AI as Tokenized RWAs Surge and Ripple Expands Africa Push

For years, Bitcoin miners were little more than leveraged bets on BTC prices. That’s changing fast. As mining margins tighten and demand for AI computing accelerates, the industry’s biggest players are discovering that access to power and data center infrastructure may be more valuable than hash rate.

That shift gained further validation this week as Nvidia reportedly prepared a $20 billion bond sale to finance the next phase of its AI expansion, reinforcing the multi-year investment cycle that Bitcoin miners are increasingly positioning themselves to serve.

Elsewhere, the tokenized real-world asset market continued to defy the broader crypto downturn, Ripple expanded its African payments push with an investment in Flutterwave and former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried failed to overturn his fraud conviction.

Nvidia’s $20 billion bond offering reinforces Bitcoin miner AI pivot

Nvidia wants to sell $20 billion-worth of bonds to finance the next phase of its AI expansion, reinforcing the growth trend that has prompted Bitcoin miners to pivot toward AI and data center infrastructure.

Advertisement

Bloomberg reported Monday that the chipmaker is pursuing a multi-part bond offering to fund AI-related investments and refinance existing debt. The longest-dated bonds are expected to offer considerably higher yields than comparable US Treasury securities.

The sustained AI buildout has created new opportunities for Bitcoin miners, many of which are repurposing their energy-intensive facilities and power infrastructure for high-performance computing and AI hosting as mining economics remain under pressure. Companies including HIVE Digital, Hut 8, CleanSpark and TeraWulf are increasingly positioning themselves as AI infrastructure providers.

Source: Cointelegraph

Tokenized RWAs defy crypto bear market

The tokenized real-world asset (RWA) market continues to grow despite broader crypto weakness, with the total value of onchain financial assets surpassing $43 billion — a 37% increase over the past six months, according to Token Terminal.

Advertisement

Tokenized funds make up the overwhelming majority of the RWA market, representing nearly 80% of all onchain financial assets, though commodities and tokenized stocks are gaining traction.

The sector’s momentum comes as major financial institutions forecast significant long-term growth. Standard Chartered expects tokenization to help drive decentralized finance toward a $2.7 trillion market capitalization by 2030, while Citigroup projects tokenized RWAs could reach $5.5 trillion over the same period.

Source: Token Terminal

Ripple invests in African payment company

Ripple has invested an undisclosed amount in Flutterwave, one of Africa’s fastest-growing remittance companies, in a deal that values the fintech startup at $3.3 billion.

Advertisement

The transaction will bring Ripple’s RLUSD stablecoin, Ripple Payments platform and XRP Ledger infrastructure to one of Africa’s largest payment providers, which operates across 35 countries, as blockchain-based remittances continue to gain traction.

The deal marks another step in Ripple’s push to expand its payments network across Africa, where demand for faster and lower-cost cross-border transfers is rapidly increasing. Last October, the company partnered with South Africa’s Absa Bank to provide institutional digital asset custody solutions, further strengthening its presence on the continent.

Source: Flutterwave

Sam Bankman-Fried loses appeal

Former FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried failed to overturn his fraud conviction after a three-judge appeals panel in Manhattan upheld the verdict, finding that he received a fair trial.

Advertisement

“While he ‌was publicly reassuring customers, investors and regulators ‌that FTX customer funds were safe, he was simultaneously using FTX as his own personal piggy bank, spending customer funds ⁠on real estate, ⁠political contributions, and investments,” wrote Circuit Judge Barrington Parker.

Bankman-Fried was convicted on fraud and conspiracy charges tied to FTX’s collapse and sentenced to 25 years in prison in 2024. As Cointelegraph reported, he has also formally applied for a presidential pardon from US President Donald Trump, with the request appearing on the Pardon Attorney website in early June.

Source: Toby Cunningham

Crypto Biz is your weekly pulse on the business behind blockchain and crypto, delivered directly to your inbox every Thursday.

Advertisement

Source link

Continue Reading

Crypto World

Bitcoin Traders Eye New Price Lows But Warn Against Being Too Bearish

Published

on

Bitcoin Traders Eye New Price Lows But Warn Against Being Too Bearish

Bitcoin (BTC) is once again approaching its yearly low near $59,000 after a failed recovery attempt left bulls unable to reclaim key resistance levels. BTC traders are now anticipating new lows for 2026 as the price drifts back toward a major support zone.

However, exchange inflows from mid-sized investors across Binance and Coinbase recently dropped to their lowest levels since April 4, easing further selling pressure.

Liquidation data also shows more than $4 billion in leveraged positions concentrated near the $59,000 level, a setup that may lead to a downside liquidity sweep before a recovery rally towards the $68,000 range.

Bitcoin traders target liquidity pocket below $59,000

Bitcoin’s recovery attempt stalled before reaching the daily fair-value gap between $67,500 and $70,500. The sellers regained control near the 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages, which continue to act as overhead resistance.

Advertisement

The rejection pushed BTC below an ascending channel, confirming a bearish break of structure on the four-hour chart. The price is currently trading below the channel range, with internal liquidity support near $60,700 as the next area of interest, followed by the yearly low at $59,000.

BTC/USD, four-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

The liquidation data adds weight to that zone. Around $4 billion in cumulative leveraged long positions is concentrated near $59,000. A move into that area could trigger forced selling and flush out late long positions. Beyond that level, the next major liquidity concentration is near $68,000, where more than $4.75 billion in cumulative positions are clustered.

The momentum conditions are also approaching an extreme. The relative strength index (RSI) is hovering near oversold territory. Another push toward yearly lows would likely drive the indicator below 30, a level that may precede a sharp relief bounce after liquidations.

Advertisement

Crypto analyst Killa said Bitcoin could still front-run the liquidity pool below $60,000 rather than fully sweeping it. The trader argued that markets often move in the opposite direction of levels that attract widespread attention, similar to how Bitcoin front-ran liquidity above $140,000 in October 2025. 

BTC trader LP also warned against becoming “too bearish here” in the short term, pointing to a potential bottom forming toward late June.

BTC/USD, one-day chart analysis by LP. Source: X

Related: Bitcoin’s deeply discounted versus AI-stocks, but hawkish Fed risk lingers: Bitwise

Advertisement

BTC exchange inflows continue to decline

According to CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha, inflows from mid-sized Bitcoin investors declined simultaneously across Binance, Coinbase, and Coinbase Prime on June 19. Binance recorded roughly 3,500 BTC in inflows, Coinbase nearly 3,000 BTC, and Coinbase Prime about 1,700 BTC, the lowest readings since April 4.

BTC exchange inflow structure by mid-size investors. Source: CryptoQuant

Exchange inflows are commonly tracked as a measure of potential selling intent. Lower deposits mean fewer coins are being positioned for immediate sale. This indicates one source of near-term sell pressure has eased.

The trend does not signal new demand on its own. It shows that mid-sized holders are reducing transfers to trading venues as Bitcoin trades near $62,000. For now, the flow data points to lighter exchange-side pressure even as price tests a major liquidity concentration near yearly lows.

Advertisement

Related: Bitcoin tipped for Q3 ‘macro bottom’ near $50K as major liquidity grab looms

Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025